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Now is the time to be ALL TOGETHER with CUNA Councils. Make sure your colleagues are also connected with credit union leaders from across the country—now with $100 off membership! All CUs with a member in each Council by August 21st will be entered to win up to $10k toward 2021 CUNA dues or a 501(c)(3) of their choice. Refer a colleague

Now is the time to be ALL TOGETHER with CUNA Councils. Make …€¦ · Fewer traveling for vacation and going out until vaccine developed 4. Older generations staying at home until

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  • Now is the time to be ALL TOGETHER with CUNA Councils. Make sure your colleagues are also connected with credit union

    leaders from across the country—now with $100 off membership!

    All CUs with a member in each Council by August 21st will be entered to win up to $10k toward 2021 CUNA dues or a 501(c)(3)

    of their choice. Refer a colleague

    http://www.cunacouncils.org/alltogether/

  • Economic & Credit Union Update

    July 2020

  • Meet Your Speaker

    Steven RickChief EconomistCUNA Mutual Group

    With questions or comments, please contact Steven at 800.356.2644, Ext. 665.5454 or [email protected]

    mailto:[email protected]

  • 4

    5 Minute Federal Reserve Board Meeting

    Federal Reserve’s Dual Mandate

    1. Stables Prices2. Full Employment of

    Resources

    Federal Reserve Critical Measures

    Long-Run Equilibrium

    GoalActual

    Inflation Rate 2% 1.8%

    Unemployment Rate

    5% 12%

    Economic Output Gap

    0% -3.0%

    Fed Funds Interest Rates

    2.5% 0.1%

    10-Year Treasury Rate

    4% 0.7%

  • 5

    The COVID-19 Recession will Reduce Output by 35% in the 2nd Quarter of 2020

    The Coronavirus (COVID-19) Recession. Five external shocks are simultaneously impacting the US economy which has increased the probability and severity of a 2020 recession: (COVID-19), OPEC oil price war, trade war, Boeing 737 Max airplane, and election uncertainty. We expect gross domestic product, GDP, to decline in the 1st and 2nd quarters of 2020, which economists typically classify as a recession. We expect the economy to contract 5% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate in the first quarter and then a massive 35% in the second quarter. Expect 15% growth in the second half of 2020 as the economy slowly reopens.

    -1.1

    5.5 5.02.3 3.2 3.0 1.3 0.1 2.0 1.9

    2.2 2.0 2.3 2.2 3.2 3.5 2.5 3.5 2.9 1.13.1 2.0 2.1 2.1

    -5.0

    -35.0

    15.0

    5.0 4.0 3 3.0 2

    -40-35-30-25-20-15-10

    -505

    1015202530

    14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

    U.S. Economic Output(Real GDP - Quarterly Growth Rate)Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate

    GDP Growth2% Maximum Sustainable Growth Rate

    Source: Department of Commerce

  • 6

    Significant Recession in 2020, around -5.0%

    4.1%

    1.0%

    1.8%

    2.8%

    3.8%3.3%

    2.7%

    1.8%

    -0.3%

    -2.8%

    2.5%

    1.6%2.2%

    1.5%

    2.4%2.6%

    1.6%

    2.6%3.0%

    2.3%

    -5.0%

    4.0%

    2.2%

    3.0%

    -5%

    -4%

    -3%

    -2%

    -1%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    -6%

    -4%

    -2%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    000102030405060708091011121314151617181920212223

    U.S. Economic Growth Rate

    EconomicGrowthLong RunGrowth Rate

    Source: Department of Commerce

    -2.0%

    -1.0%

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    -2.0%

    -1.5%

    -1.0%

    -0.5%

    0.0%

    0.5%

    1.0%

    1.5%

    2.0%

    2.5%

    3.0%

    04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

    InflationCore PCE Price Index

    (Percent Change From Quarter One Year Ago)

    Recession Inflation

    Inflation Forecast Fed's 2% Target

    Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

  • 7

    Moving from Positive GDP Output Gap in 2019 to Negative Gap in 2020 With the Economy Operating Below its Potential Level of Output

    13 Risks to Markets and Economy in 20201. Covid-19 Pandemic will cause a major recession. 2. Trade war will slow GDP growth and earnings3. Slowing housing construction will slow GDP growth4. Lower oil prices is negative for energy capital

    expenditure5. Slowing global growth, a rising value of dollar and

    trade wars will reduce exports.6. U.S. inflation moving lower7. Negative EU government bond rates remaining

    through 2020, and impacting global bond markets.8. U.S. Investment Grade and High Yield bond spreads

    to widen because of lower foreign appetite.9. New Fed leadership to be tested (will Jerome Powell

    be politically driven, or driven by incoming data).10.Lower term premia in Treasuries as global central

    bank QE continues.11.Valuation and fundamentals mismatch in US equities,

    are markets ready for a small correction.12.Continued rise in US inequality => more dissatisfied

    voters => more populism coming..13.Housing bubble burst in China, Australia and Canada

    => slower economic growth => Minsky Moment0.0%

    0.5%

    1.0%

    1.5%

    2.0%

    2.5%

    3.0%

    3.5%

    4.0%

    4.5%

    5.0%

    5.5%

    6.0%

    6.5%

    7.0%

    -8%

    -7%

    -6%

    -5%

    -4%

    -3%

    -2%

    -1%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21

    GDP Output Gapvs.

    Federal Funds RateRecession

    Output Gap (LeftAxis)Federal FundsRate (Right Axis)

    Source: CBO & Federal Reserve

  • 8

    CU Loan Delinquency Rate Rising to 1.5%CU Loan Charge-off Rates Rising to 1.1%

    0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.41.61.82.02.22.42.62.83.03.23.43.63.84.04.2

    0123456789

    101112131415161718192021

    95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23

    CU Delinquency RateVersus

    Unemployment Rate RecessionUnemployment (Left Axis)4.7% Full Employment Target (Left Axis)Loan Delinquency Rate (Right Axis)0.75% Natural Delinquency Rate (Right Axis)

    0.0%

    0.1%

    0.2%

    0.3%

    0.4%

    0.5%

    0.6%

    0.7%

    0.8%

    0.9%

    1.0%

    1.1%

    1.2%

    1.3%

    1.4%

    1.5%

    1.6%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    11%

    12%

    13%

    14%

    15%

    16%

    07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

    CU Net Chargeoff RateVersus

    Unemployment Rate

    Unemployment Rate (Left Axis)

    Net Chargeoff Rate (Right Axis)

    0.5% Natural Chargeoff Rate (Right Axis)

    Source: Department of Labor, NCUA,CUNA

  • 9

    Hysteresis: The Degree to Which an Economic System Returns to Its Original State after an External Shock

    Top 10 Household Behavioral Changes:1. Increase in precautionary savings2. More space between seats at cinemas sporting events, airplanes, etc.3. Fewer traveling for vacation and going out until vaccine developed4. Older generations staying at home until vaccine developed5. Less willingness to put parents in retirement homes6. More online shopping, more online doctor visits7. Fewer people going to fitness centers, or participating in group sports8. More people avoiding public transportation and driving their own car9. Health insurance premiums going up10. Lower consumer spending

  • 10

    Hysteresis: The Degree to Which an Economic System Returns to Its Original State after an External Shock

    Top 10 Corporate Sector Behavioral Changes:1. Less global business travel, more video conferencing2. More disaster planning3. More permanent work from home solutions4. Staggered work schedules, more distance between seats in offices, fewer

    cubicles5. Fewer stock buybacks, lower dividend payouts6. Health insurance costs going up, higher insurance premiums7. Increased pressure for paid sick leave8. Increased pressure for health benefits9. Regulations forcing corporations to hold 3 months of emergency cash.10. Increased health safety regulations for retirement homes

  • Confirmed COVID Cases Per 1 million population

    (Days since reaching 5 cases per million, to 7/19)

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    10,000

    11,000

    12,000

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    10,000

    11,000

    12,000

    1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93 97 101

    105

    109

    113

    117

    121

    125

    129

    133

    137

    141

    145

    EU

    Italy

    Spain

    France

    Germany

    UK

    US

  • COVID DEATHS Per 1 million population

    (Days since reaching 1 death per million, to 7/193)

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    600

    650

    700

    750

    800

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    600

    650

    700

    750

    800

    1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 101

    103

    105

    107

    109

    111

    113

    115

    117

    119

    121

    123

    125

    127

    129

    131

    133

    135

    137

    139

    EU

    Spain

    France

    Germany

    UK

    US

    Italy

  • Confirmed Cases and Deaths in the USto July 19

    (Daily Changes, Seven Day Moving Average)

    02004006008001,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,0002,2002,4002,6002,8003,0003,200

    05,000

    10,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,00045,00050,00055,00060,00065,00070,00075,00080,000

    26-F

    eb29

    -Feb

    3-M

    ar6-

    Mar

    9-M

    ar12

    -Mar

    15-M

    ar18

    -Mar

    21-M

    ar24

    -Mar

    27-M

    ar30

    -Mar

    2-Ap

    r5-

    Apr

    8-Ap

    r11

    -Apr

    14-A

    pr17

    -Apr

    20-A

    pr23

    -Apr

    26-A

    pr29

    -Apr

    2-M

    ay5-

    May

    8-M

    ay11

    -May

    14-M

    ay17

    -May

    20-M

    ay23

    -May

    26-M

    ay29

    -May

    1-Ju

    n4-

    Jun

    7-Ju

    n10

    -Jun

    13-J

    un16

    -Jun

    19-J

    un22

    -Jun

    25-J

    un28

    -Jun

    1-Ju

    l4-

    Jul

    7-Ju

    l10

    -Jul

    13-J

    ul16

    -Jul

    19-J

    ul

    Cases (Left Scale)

    Deaths (Right Scale)

  • Daily Change in COVID-19 Cases per Million, Seven Day Moving Average, to 7/12

    CASES

    Province/StateCountry/RegionLatLong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

    Afghanistan33.9391167.7099530000000000000000000000000000000001111111111111445777111621222222242440407484941101101201701742372732812993493674234444845215556076657147848409069339961026109211761279135114631531170318281939217123352469270428943224339235633778403344024687496352265639605364026664707276538145867692169998105821117311831124561303613659145251520515750165091726718054189691955120342209172145922142228902354624102247662552726310268742753227878284242883329157294812964030175304513061630967312383151731836320223232432672329513319033384335943390834194343663445134455347403499435070352293530135475

    Albania41.153320.16830000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000021012233338425155596470768910412314617418619721222324325927730433336137738340040941643344646747549451853954856258460963466367871272673675076677378278979580382083284285085686887287688089891693394694894996496998198999810041029105010761099112211371143116411841197121212321246126312991341138514161464152115901672172217881838189119621995204721142192226923302402246625352580266227522819289329643038310631883278337134543571366737523851390640084090

    Algeria28.03391.6596000000000000000000000000000000000011111135121217171920202024263748546074879013920123026430236740945451158471684798611711251132014231468157216661761182519141983207021602268241825342629271828112910300731273256338235173649384840064154429544744648483849975182536955585723589160676253644266296821701972017377754277287918811383068503869788578997913492679394951396269733983199351005010154102651038210484105891069810810109191103111147112681138511504116311177111920120761224812445126851296813273135711390714272146571507015500159411640416879173481780818242187121919519689202162077021355219482254923084

    Andorra42.50631.521800000000000000000000000000000000000000001111111111111123939537588113133164188224267308334370376390428439466501525545564583601601638646659673673696704713717717723723731738738743743743745745747748750751751752752754755755758760761761761761761761762762762762762763763763763764764764765844851852852852852852852852852853853853853854854855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855855858861862877880880880

    Angola-11.202717.8739000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000012233344577788810141617191919191919191919192424242425252525262727272730353535363636434345454545484848485052525860616970707174818486868686868688919296113118130138140142148155166172176183186189197212212259267276284291315328346346346386386396458462506525541576607638687705

    Antigua and Barbuda17.0608-61.7964000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111111111133377777779151515151919191921212323232323232323232424242424242424242525252525252525252525252525252525252525252525252525252525252626262626262626262626262626262626262626262626262665656569696969696868687070707374747474747474767676

    Argentina-38.4161-63.616700000000000000000000000000000000000000000111281212171919313445566879971281582663013873875025896907458201054105411331265145114511554162817151795197519752142220822772443257126692758283929413031314434353607378038924003412742854428453246814783488750205208537156115776603462786563687971347479780580688371880992839931106491135312076126281322813933147021541916214168511741518319192682019721037220202279423620247612598727373287643029531577327853415935552375103957041204427854493147203498515245755343577445993362268645306719769941727867537677815804478342687030906939406097509100166103265106910111146114783119301122524126755

    Armenia40.069145.038200000000000000000000000000000000000000011111111111481826527884115136160194235249265290329407424482532571663736770822833853881921937967101310391067111111591201124812911339140114731523159616771746180818671932206621482273238625072619278228843029317533133392353837183860404442834472482350415271560659286302666171137402777482168676892792829492100091052411221118171236413130133251367514103146691528116004166671706417489180331869819157197082026820588210062171722488232472390924645251272554226065266582732027900286062893629285298203034630903313923196932151324903300533559340013446234877

    Australian Capital TerritoryAustralia-35.4735149.0124000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111223469193239395362717778808487919396969699100103103103102103103103103103103104104104104105106106106106106106106106106107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107107108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108108111112113113113113113113113113113113113

    New South WalesAustralia-33.8688151.2093000034444444444444444444444444444444444661322222628384855656592112134171210267307353436669669818102912191405161717912032203221822298238924932580263726862734277328222857285728632870288628972926293629572963296929712976298229943002300430163016302530303035303330353042304430473051305330533053305930633071307430753076307830813082308430863087309030923089309030923092309530983104310431063110311031093112311431173117311531193128313131343135313731433144314931513150315931623168317431773184318932033211321134053419342934333440345334673474347834923505351735273535355035683588

    Northern TerritoryAustralia-12.4634130.845600000000000000000000000000000000000000000011000011111111113355661212151515171921222627282828282828282828282828282828282828282828282828282729292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292929292930303030303030303131313131313131313131

    QueenslandAustralia-27.4698153.0251000000013232233455555555555555555555559991111131313151518202035466168789414418422125931939744349355562565668974378183587390090792193494395396597498398799899910011007101510191019102410241026102610261030103310341033103310341035103810431043104510451045104510451051105210511054105510551057105710581058105810601061105610571058105810581058105810581059105910601060106110611062106210621063106410651065106510651066106610661066106610661066106610661067106710671067106710671067106710671067106710681068106810681070107010711071107110711071107110711072

    South AustraliaAustralia-34.9285138.6007000000000012222222222222222222222222223333557777799161920292937425067100134170170235257287299305337367367396407407411411415420428429429429433433433435435435435437438438438438438438438438438438438438438438438439439439439439439439439439439439439439439439439439439439440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440440443443443443443443443443443443443443443443443443444444444444444

    TasmaniaAustralia-42.8821147.32720000000000000000000000000000000000000000111111222335567710101016222828364747626666696972748082868998111122133133144165165169180188195200201205207207207212214218219221221221221221225226227227227227227227227227228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228228

    VictoriaAustralia-37.8136144.963100001111234444444444444444444444444444779910101011111518212136495771941211211212293553554114665205746857698219179681036108511151135115811911212122812411265126812811291129912991302131913281329133613361337134313461349134913541361136413711384140614231440145414671468148714961511151415211540155115581564157315731581159315931603160516101618162816341645164916531663167016781681168116851687168716911699170317031720173217411762178017921792183618471864188419171947194720282099215922312303236823682536266028242942309833973560379939674224444847505165535356965942

    Western AustraliaAustralia-31.9505115.8605000000000000000000000000000000000000002222233334699141717283135526490120140175175231231278311355364392400400436453460460481495506514514517527527532541544545545546546546548549549549550551551551551551551551551552552552552553553552552552553554557557557557557560560564570570577585586589591592592592596599599599599601602602602602602602603603604605605607607608608608609609611611611611611612618621624624627634635635636636646646651651651

    Austria47.516214.550100000000000000000000000000000000002233914182129415579104131182246302504655860101813321646201323882814358244745283558869097657827187889618101801071111129115241178112051122971263912942132441355513806139451404114226143361447614595146711474914795148731492515002150711514815225152741535715402154521553115558155971562115650156841575215774158331587115882159611599716058161091620116242162691632116353164041643616486165031653916557165911662816655166851673116733167591677116805168431689816902169681697917005170341706417078171091713517189172031722317271173231734117380174081744917477175221758017654177231776617873179411805018165182801836518421185131861518709187831889718948190211915419270194391957319655

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    FujianChina26.0789117.987415101835598084101120144159179194205215224239250261267272279281285287290292293293293293293293294294296296296296296296296296296296296296296296296296296296296296296296299303313313318322328331337338340343345345349350350350351351351351351352352353353353354355355355355355355355355355355355355356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356356357357358358358358358358358358358358359359359359360361361361362362362362362362363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363363

    GansuChina35.7518104.2861022471419242629405155576262677983838687909090909191919191919191919191919191919191102119120124124125127127127129133133133133134134134136136136136136136136138138138138138138138138139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139139149150151151151151158158161161162163163164164164164164167167167167167167167167167167167167167167167167

    GuangdongChina23.3417113.42442632537811115120727735443653563272581389597010341095113111591177121912411261129413161322132813311332133313391342134513471347134713481349134913501350135013511352135213521352135313561356135613561360136113641370137813951400141314151428143314481456146714751484149415011507151415161524153215331536153915441548155215551564156615711577157915801581158215821585158515861587158715881588158815881588158815881588158915891589158915891589158915891589158915901590159015901590159015911592159215921592159215921593159315951596159715981598160116021602160416041607160716081625162516281628162816311631163416341634163416351635163716371637164116411642164216431643164316431645164716471647164816501650165016501650165016501650

    GuangxiChina23.8298108.7881252323364651587887100111127139150168172183195210215222222226235237238242244245246249249251252252252252252252252252252252252252252252252252252252252252252253253253254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254254

    GuizhouChina26.8154106.8748133457991229293846586471818999109127133135140143144146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146147146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147147

    HainanChina19.1959109.7453458192233404346526264728099106117124131138144157157159162162163163168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168168169169169169169169169169169169169169169169169169169169169169169169170170170170170170171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171171

    HebeiChina39.549116.1306112813183348658296104113126135157172195206218239251265283291300301306306307308309311311311312317318318318318318318318318318318318318318318318318318318318318318318318319319319319319319319319321321323325326326327327327327327327327327327327327328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328328331335336338340340344346346348349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349349

    HeilongjiangChina47.862127.761502491521333844598095121155190227277295307331360378395419425445457464470476479479480480480480480480480480480480480481481481481481481482482482482482482482482483484484484484484484484484484484484484484488489491504524544569609638661684740819841861872892898905913921928930935936939939939944944944944944944944944944944945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945945947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947947

    HenanChina37.8957114.90425593283128168206278352422493566675764851914981103310731105113511691184121212311246125712621265126712701271127112711271127212721272127212721272127212721272127212721272127212731273127312731273127312731273127312731273127412741274127412751275127512761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276127612761276

    Hong KongChina22.3114.202258881010121315151721242526293849505356565760626368686974798491929495961001001051051071081141151201261291341401451551621812082562733173563864104535195616416827147658028458628909149359609739891000100410091012101710171021102410251025102910331035103510371037103710371037103710391039103910401040104010441044104410471047104710501051105210521055105510551055105510651065106510651065106610661079108210841087109310931099110211051106110711071107110711081109110911121112112011241124112811311161117711791193119611971199120312051233124212471258126812851299132313651365143114691469156915881655165516551655

    HubeiChina30.9756112.2707444444549761105814233554355449035806715311177135221667819665221122495327100296313172833366333664820654406562495818259989616826203162442626626408464084642876478665187655966591466337669076710367217673326746667592676666770767743677606777367781677866779067794677986779967800678006780067800678006780067801678016780167801678016780167801678016780267802678026780367803678036780367803678036780367803678036780367803678036780368128681286812868128681286812868128681286812868128681286812868128681286812868128681286812868128681286812868128681296813468134681346813468134681346813468134681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135681356813568135

    HunanChina27.6104111.708849244369100143221277332389463521593661711772803838879912946968988100110041006100710081010101110131016101610161016101710171018101810181018101810181018101810181018101810181018101810181018101810181018101810181018101810181018101810181018101810181018101810181019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019101910191019

    Inner MongoliaChina44.0935113.94480017711151619202327343542465052545858606165687072737575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575778992949597107111117117117117118121124126128155189190190190193193193193194194194194197198198199199200201201201201201201201201201201208209209209209209209213216216216216217217227232232232232232232235235235235235235235235235237237237237237237238238238238238238238238238238238238238238238238238238238238239240244244244244245249249249249249249249249

    JiangsuChina32.9711119.4551591833477099129168202236271308341373408439468492515543570593604617626629631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631631633633636638640641641644645646646647651651651651651651651651652653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653653654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654654

    JiangxiChina27.614115.72212718183672109109162240286333391476548600661698740771804844872900913925930933934934934934934934934934934935935935935935935935935935935935935935935935935935935935935935935935936936936936936936936937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937937932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932932

    JilinChina43.6661126.1923013446891414172331425459656978808183848688898989909191919193939393939393939393939393939393939393939393939393939393939394959597989898989898989898989898989899100100102102102102104104106106108109109110110110111111112112112112112112113113124127127133134138140144146151151151151154155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155155

    LiaoningChina41.2956122.60852341721273439414864707481899499105107108111116117119119121121121121121121121121121121121121121121122122125125125125125125125125125125125125125125125125125126126127127127127128128132134136139140141141141142142144144144144145145145145145145146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146146147147147149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149149151151152152152153153153154154154154154154154155155155155156156156157157159162162162164164164164164164164164164

    MacauChina22.1667113.5512225677777881010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010111215171718242425303133373738414141434344444445454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454545454546464646464646464646464646464646464646464646464646

    NingxiaChina37.2692106.1655112347111217212628313434404345454953586467707070707171717171717171727273737474757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575757575

    QinghaiChina35.745295.99560001166688911131517181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818181818

    ShaanxiChina35.1917108.870103515223546566387101116128142165173184195208213219225229230232236240240242245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245245246246246247248248248249250253253253253253253255255255256256256256256256256256256256256256256256256256256277279279286286286286306306306306306306306308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308308309309309309309311311311311311311311311313313313314314314316317317319319319319320320320320320320320320321321321321321321321321321321321321321321321

    ShandongChina36.3427118.1498261527467595130158184206230259275307347386416444466487497509523532537541543544546749750754755756756756756756758758758758758758758758758758760760760760760760761761761762764767768768769771772772772773774774775778778779780781783783783784784784784784784787787787787787787787787787787787787787787787787788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788788790792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792792793793793793793793793793

    ShanghaiChina31.202121.4491916203340536696112135169182203219243257277286293299303311315318326328333333333334334335335335336337337337337337337338338339342342342342344344344346353353355358361363371380404404414433451468485492498509516522526529531536538543552555555607618618622628628628635638638639641641642642644645647652652652655656656657657657659659659660660660665665666666666666666667668668669670671671672672672673673673677677677678678678684689690691692695695697697697698701701703703705706707708712712713714715716716716718721721721724725725731732732732732732

    ShanxiChina37.5777112.2922111691327273539476674818196104115119119124126126127128129130131131132132132132133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133133134134134135135135136136136137137137137138138138163166168172172173173186194197197197197197197197197197197197197197197197197198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198198199199199199200200200201201201201201201

    SichuanChina30.6171102.7103581528446990108142177207231254282301321344364386405417436451463470481495508514520525526526527529531534538538538538538538539539539539539539539539539539539539540540540541542543543545547547548548550550550552554555557558559560560560560560560560560560560560561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561561563563564564564564564564564575577577577578578578581582582582582583583587588589589589589589589589589589589589589592595595595595595596596596598599599599599599599599599599599599599

    TianjinChina39.3054117.3234481014232427313241486067697981889195106112119120122124125128130131132135135135135135136136136136136136136136136136136136136136136136136136136136136137137137137141145145151155161166174174176176180180180180180180182183183183184185185186189189189189189189189190190190190190190190190190190190190190190191191191191191191191191192192192192192192192192192192192192192192192192192192192192192193193193194195195196196196196196197197197197197198198198198198198198198198198198198199199199199199199199203203203203203203203203203

    TibetChina31.692788.0924000000001111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111

    XinjiangChina41.112985.2401022345101314171821242932363942454955596365707175767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767676767677777777

    YunnanChina24.974101.4871251116264455708393105117122128133138138141149153154156162168171171172172174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174174176176176176176176176176176176178180180180180182182183184184184184184184184184184184184184184184184184184184184184184185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185185186186186186186187187187187187187187188188188188188188

    ZhejiangChina29.1832120.09341027436210412817329642853859966172482989595410061048107510921117113111451155116211671171117211741175120312051205120512051205120512051205120512061213121312151215121512151215121512151215121512271231123112321232123312341236123812381240124112431247125112541255125712571258126012621263126412651266126712671267126712671267126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681268126812681269126912691269126912691269126912691269126912691269126912691269126912691269126912691269126912691269127012701270127012701270127012701270

    Colombia4.5709-74.297300000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111139913223457751021081581962312773784704915396087027989061065116112671406148515791780205422232473270927762852297931053233343936213792397741494356456148815142537955975949620765077006728576687973861389599456100511049511063116131227212930136101421614939155741629516935176871833019131201772117521981230032410425366266882823629383304933183333354351203663538027392364071942078436824521246858487465093953063549315704660217632766563368652711837357277113805998444288591917699504397846102009106110109505113389117110120281124494128638133973140776145632150445154277159898165169173206182140190700197278

    Congo (Brazzaville)-0.22815.8277000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001111333344444419191919222222454545456060606060601171171431431431601651861862002002002002072072202292292292362362642642742742743333333333913913913914124204204694694874874874875715715715716116116116116116356836836837287287287287287288838838838838838838831087108710871087108710871087108710871382138215571557155715571557182118212028202820282028202822222358263326332633

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    Costa Rica9.7489-83.75340000000000000000000000000000000000000000000011599132223262735415069891171341581772012312632953143303473753964164354544674835025395585775956126186266426496556606626696816866876936956977057137197257337397427557617657737807928018048158308438538638668828979039119189309519569841000102210471056108411051157119412281263131813421375146115381612166217151744179618711939205821272213227723682515268428362979313032693459375340234311462149965241548658366485684572317596803684828986954699691055111114

    Cote d'Ivoire7.54-5.547100000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001111115699141425738096101101165168179190194218245261323349384444444533574626638638654688801847847916952100410771077115011641183123812751333136213981432146415161571160216671700173018571912197120172061210921192153223123012341236623762423247725562641275027992833295130243110326234313557373938813995418144044684484850845439567960636444687472767492767779048164833487398944910192149499970299921024410462107721096611194115041175012052124431276612872130371340313554136961391214119

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    Holy See41.902912.453400000000000000000000000000000000000000000000111111111111111111444466666777777888888888888999999991010111111111111121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212

    Honduras15.2-86.2419000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000022223689122424263030365268951101391411722192222642682983053123433823923933974074194264424574724774945105195916276276617027387718041010105511781270146116851771183019722100208022552318246025652646279829552955320434773477395041894401464047524752509452025362552756905880597161556327645069357360766981328455885891789656102991073911258123061276913356139431457115366159941700718082188181955820262211202211622921239432466525428259782638427053275832809028579291063003630867317453279333835

    Hungary47.162519.503300000000000000000000000000000000000000000022247991313193032395058738510313116718722626130034340844749252558562367873374481789598011901310141014581512157916521763183419161984209821682284244324432500258326492727277528632942299830353065311131503178321332633284331333413380341734733509353535563598364136783713374137563771379338163841386738763892392139313954397039904008401440174027403940534064406940764077407840794081408640944102410741144123412741384142414541554157416641724174418341894205421042204223422942344247425842634279429343154333

    Iceland64.9631-19.02080000000000000000000000000000000000000113611263443505058698510313415617118022025033040947356858864873780289096310201086113512201319136414171486156215861616164816751689170117111720172717391754176017711773177817851789178917901792179217951797179717981798179917991799179918011801180118011801180118021802180218021802180218021803180318031804180418041804180518051805180618061806180618061806180618061807180718071807180718071808181018101812181518161819182218231823182418241830183218361838184018421847185018551860186318661873188018821886188818961900190519111914191619221930

    India20.59368478.962880000000011123333333333333333333333333333552830313439435662738210211311914215619424433039649953665772788798710241251139719982543256730823588477853115916672575988446920510453114871232213430143521572217615185392008021370230772453026283278902945131324330623486337257396994250546437494005298756351596956280867161707687429278055819978578490648956981003281064751120281182261247941314231385361449501507931580861653861734911818271906091983702071912168242267132361842466222574862659282761462866052975353089933209223324243430913540653669463805323950484104514252824402154561834731054904015089535288595483185668405854816046416255446483156731656974137196647424177672967938028209168495228782549067529361819688571003832103908410777811118206

    Indonesia-0.7893113.9213000000000000000000000000000000000000000022224461927343469961171341722273113694505145796867908931046115512851414152816771790198620922273249127382956329335123842424145574839513655165923624865756760713574187775821186078882909695119771101181055110843111921158712071124381277613112136451403214265147491543816006164961702517514180101849619189201622079621745222712275023165238512453825216257732647326940275492823328818295213051431186320333307634316352953640637420382773929440400414314276243803450294589146845478964900950187514275281254010550925638557770593946069562142637496495866226680797073672347740187569976981785728009481668831308488286521

    Iran32.42790853.6880460000000000000000000000000000251828436195139245388593978150123362922351347475823656671618042900010075113641272913938149911616917361184071964420610216382304924811270172940632332354083830941495446054759350468531835574358226605006258964586662206819270029716867330374877763897799579494808688221183505848028599687026881948932890481914729258493657946409564696448974249864799970101650103135104691106220107603109286110767112725114533116635118392120198122492124603126949129341131652133521135701137724139511141591143849146668148950151466154445157562160696164270167156169425171789173832175927177938180156182525184955187427189876192439195051197647200262202584204952207525209970212501215096217724220180222669225205227662230211232863235429237878240438243051245688248379250458252720255117257303259652262173264561267061269440271606273788

    Iraq33.22319143.679291000000000000000000000000000000000115771319263235354054606071717110111011612415416419220821423326631634638245850654763069472877282087896110311122120212321279131813521378140014151434148215131539157416021631167717081763182018471928200320852153221922962346243124802543260326792767281829133032314331933260340435543611372438773964427244694632484851355457587361796439686873878168884098461109812366134811426815414166751777018950202092131522700242542571727352292223086832676345023670239139411934326245402471514910951524537085602058354604796227564701674426961272460751947750679735817578386786148881719022092530

    Ireland53.1424-7.69210000000000000000000000000000000000000011126618181921344343901291291692232925576837859061125132915641819212124152615291032353447384942734604499453645709607465748089892896551064711479125471327113980147581525115652160401667117607181841856119262196481987720253206122083321176215062177221983222482238522541227602299623135232422340123827239562404824112242002425124315243912450624582246392469824735248032484124876249292499025062250662511125142251632518325201252072521525231252382525025295253032532125334253412535525368253742537925383253912539625405254142543725439254622547325477254892549825509255272553125538255422556525589256112562825638256702568325698257302575025760

    Israel31.04605134.85161200000000000000000000000000000011111234710101215203743616175791001261552132182503044275297128831071123823692693303536194247469553586092685774287851843089049248940499681040810743111451158612046125011275812982132651349113713139421449814803150581529815443155551572815834159461610116185162081624616289163101638116436164541647716506165291654816579165891660816617166431665916667166831669016712167171673416757167931687216987170121707117169172851737717495175621775217863180321818018355185691879518972190551923719495197832003620339206332077821082215122204422400228002342123755244412524426257270472805529170299583074932222335573482536266374643867040632423604418846059474594936550289

    Italy41.8719412.56738000000000222222233333333333333206215522932245365588811281694203625023089385846365883737591721014912462151131766021157247472798031506357134103547021535785913863927691767438680589864989247297689101739105792110574115242119827124632128948132547135586139422143626147577152271156363159516162488165155168941172434175925178972181228183957187327189973192994195351197675199414201505203591205463207428209328210717211938213013214457215858217185218268219070219814221216222104223096223885224760225435225886226699227364228006228658229327229858230158230555231139231732232248232664232997233197233515233836234013234531234801234998235278235561235763236142236305236651236989237290237500237828238159238011238275238499238720238833239410239706239961240136240310240436240578240760240961241184241419241611241819241956242149242363242639242827243061243230243344243506243736243967244216244434

    Jamaica18.1096-77.29750000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000128810101213151616191921262626303236364447475358586363636365697373125143143163173223223233257288305350364364396422432463469471473478488490490502505507509509511517520520520529534544550552556564569569575581586588590591591595596598599605605611614615617621621626638652657659665670678684686690696698702707715721728732737745751753753758758759762763765768774790

    Japan36.204824138.252924222244771115202020222323232424262728334354606779859511213714916017319221823624525927829833336542046649952758564069673379582684389392896810221059110411441217131414161530172819072001225525352818315435253876411044855020561462506951747377738277883593989958105481091411258116411203712469128541318613405135761386014076142841455814861150611522915354154551555315640157551582415861159481599816096161481620216226162591628716321163621638516410164511647216502165281659816673167161675116787168371686716911169581700017039170601711117146171871725017293173691743917484175301758817658177251778017820178791796318055181621825418366184761861518838190551918519461196681984820055202612061721044214302184122125224372317223510241042494625446

    Jordan31.2436.5100000000000000000000000000000000000000000111111111111817345269858511212715417221223524625926827427829931032334534935335837237238138939139740140240741341742542843543744144444744944945145345946046146547147349450852254056257658258659660761362964967268470070470871171872072873073473974675575776578479580883184586389091595396197998198710011008101510331042104710711086110411111121112811321133113611471150116411671169116911691173117611791183119812011206120912141218

    Kazakhstan48.019666.92370000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000004691033354449536062728111115022828430234338043546453158466269772778181286595110911232129514021546161516761852199521352289248226012717283530273138340235973857392040494205442245784834497550905207527954175571568958506157675167516969723479197919853189698969930495769932103821085811308115711206712067123121251112694128591307413319138721387214238144961519215542158771587716779172251773218231187651928519750203192031921327218192230841065425744571947171485744968351059510595474756455582535825361755635146518866895687036870371838

    Kenya-0.023637.90620000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001133337771516252831313842505981110122126142158172179184189191197208216225234246262270281296303320336343355363374384396411435465490535582607621649672700715737758781830887912963102911091161119212141286134814711618174518881962202120932216234024742600276728722989309432153305345735943727386040444257437444784738479749525206538455335811607061906366667369417188757778868067825085288975944897261010510294107911125211673120621275013353

    Korea, South35.907757127.76692211223444411121515161923242425272828282828293031311042044336028339771261176623373150373643355186562160886593704173147478751377557869797980868162823683208413856586528799896189619037913792419332947895839661978698879976100621015610237102841033110384104231045010480105121053710564105911061310635106531066110674106831069410708107181072810738107521076110765107741078010793108011080410806108101082210840108741090910936109621099111018110371105011065110781111011122111421116511190112061122511265113441140211441114681150311541115901162911668117191177611814118521190211947120031205112085121211215512198122571230612373124211243812484125351256312602126531271512757128001285012904129671303013091131371318113244132931333813373134171347913512135511361213672137111374513771

    Kuwait29.3116647.48176600000000000000000000000000000000011126434545455656565858616464697280801041121231301421481591761881891911952082252352552662893173424174795566657438559109931154123413001355140515241658175119151995208022482399261428923075328834403740402443774619498352785804628965677208762386889286102771102811975128601380214850156911676417568186091956420464213022196722575232672411225184261922704327762286492935929921306443113131848325103314033823344323495235466359203643136958375333807438678391453965040291410334187942788437034439144942455244619546940478594867249303499415064451245520075284053580540585489455508561745687757668582215890459204

    Kyrgyzstan41.2043874.7660980000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000


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