November, 13, Bucharest, CONFERENCE”Energy towards FP7” Romanian Technology Platform “Photovoltaics”, Dan I. Teodoreanu

November, 13, Bucharest, CONFERENCE”Energy towards FP7”

Romanian Technology Platform “Photovoltaics”,


Dan I. Teodoreanu



A VISION FOR PV TECHNOLOGY PV PRODUCTION/MARKET

• PRODUCTION MARKET

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Japan Europe USA ROW

2003

2004

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Japan Europe SUA ROW

2003

2004



PV market segmentsby application

0

100200

300

400500

600700

800

9001000

1100

12001300

1400

15001600

inst

alle

d c

apac

ity

(MW

p)

1997 1999 2001 2003 2005

year

consumer products

off-grid rural

off-grid commercial & other

grid-connected residential

grid-connected central

global market growth:

25% last 20 yrs

35% last 10 yrs

45% last 5 yrs

Source: Renewable Energy World, July-August 2006



The challenges

0

1

2

3

4

5

typicalturn-key system

price (€/Wp)

2004 2010 2020 2030 2050year

BOSmodules

BOS = Balance-Of-System

1000 GWp globally200 GWp in EU (200,000 jobs)

competing consumer & peak prices

competing wholesale prices

?



PV and the energy PV and the energy transitiontransition

2000 2020 2040

200

600

1000

1400

Year2100

Annual consumption [EJ/y]

Source: Scientific Board "Global Change of Environment" to the German Government (2003)

OilCoalGas

NuclearHydro Biomass (traditional)Biomass (modern)

Solar ElectricitySolar thermalOther renewableGeothermal

Wind energy



Feed in Tariff in Germany

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004



III.Research &Development Program(1)

Research &Development Programs funded by Romanian Government – Ministry of Education and Research:

National Program:

“Research for Excellence”- based on “Collaborative research” and the EU Technology Platforms already established, including PV EU Technology Platform.



III.Research &Development Programs(2)

“Research for Excellence”

Ongoing PV projects (2005 – 2009):

Research activities for solar cells based on silicon thin films,

crystalline silicon and polymers;

Building Integration and grid connected of PV Systems;

Complementarity of PV and solar thermal building integration

for power supply and cooling.

2005/2006 Competition: Total projects: 30, Total funds:

Budget: ( ~1 mil.EuroPV/year); Private :~30% from total.



III.Research &Development Programs(3)

R&D Energy Sectorial Programs funded by Romanian Government – Ministry of Economy and Commerce:

Ongoing projects (2005 – 2008):

Evaluation of RES potential in Romania;

R&D projects based on RES for Rural

Electrification

Total funds: Budget: ~0.5 Mil.Euro

Private: ~30% from Total funds



III. Structural and cohesion funds (2006 – 2013)

Priority 2: R&DI Projects for investment in infrastructure,innovation and centers of excelence-platforms for research, demonstration and dissemination at EU level.

Funds: ~300 Mill.Euro

Priority 4: Projects based on RES applications/energy efficiency. Co-financed by EU- European Regional Development Fund (max. 50% of the total eligible cost) and Romanian Government/Private Companies for the rest.

Total EU funds: ~600Mil.Euro



NESL – ICPE-Center of Excellence for solar and wind energy



2005Pret electricitatePret electricitateFotovoltaic (€ / kWh)Fotovoltaic (€ / kWh)

0.500.50

0.360.36

0.0.4242

0.310.31

0.280.28

PV Electricity prices* Compared with typical

consumer prices *lifetime 25 yrs, inflation 4%,

O&M cost 1%/yr, PR= 0.75 (exemple

Pret consumatorPret consumator((€ / kWh)€ / kWh)

0.140.140.160.16

0.160.16

0.200.20

0.100.10

0.220.22

0.120.12

0.110.11

Intersection area

The future energy prices



2015PV electricity pricePV electricity price(€ / kWh)(€ / kWh)

0.250.25

0.180.18

0.0.2121

0.160.16

0.140.14

PV Electricity prices* Compared with typical

consumer prices *lifetime 25 yrs, inflation 4%,

O&M cost 1%/yr, PR= 0.75 (exemple)

consumer electricity priceconsumer electricity price((€ / kWh)€ / kWh)

0.160.160.180.18

0.180.18

0.220.22

0.110.11

0.240.24

0.130.13

0.120.12




2020PV electricity pricePV electricity price(€ / kWh)(€ / kWh)

0.200.20

0.140.14

0.0.1717

0.130.13

0.110.11

PV electricity pricescompared with

expected consumerelectricity prices

(+ 1%/yr)

consumer electricity priceconsumer electricity price((€ / kWh)€ / kWh)

0.160.160.190.19

0.190.19

0.230.23

0.120.12

0.260.26

0.140.14

0.120.12


(Romania ~0.10 Euro/kWh)



24h-Energy Profile0:

00

6:00

12:0

0

18:0

0

24:0

0

Ele

ctr

ica

l En

erg

y [

arb

. un

its

]

Low Tariff Low TariffHigh Tariff

Electricity supplied by Utility

Fed-InEnergy

Solar Energy

Energy consumption of building

Electricity supplied by Utility

Peak electricity price and solar generation. RO Price=.17Euro/kWh

Documents

November, 13, Bucharest, CONFERENCE”Energy towards FP7” Romanian Technology Platform “Photovoltaics”, Dan I. Teodoreanu