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Joe Jimenez | CEO Novartis
J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | San Francisco | January 11, 2016
Novartis: Reimagining Medicine
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that can be identified by words such as “potential,” “expected,” “will,” “planned,” or similar terms, or by
express or implied discussions regarding potential new products, potential new indications for existing products, or regarding potential future revenues from any
such products; regarding potential shareholder returns or credit ratings; regarding the potential financial or other impact on Novartis of the transactions with
GSK, Lilly or CSL, or regarding any potential strategic benefits, synergies or opportunities as a result of these transactions; or regarding potential future sales or
earnings of the Novartis Group or its divisions and associated companies; or by discussions of strategy, plans, expectations or intentions. You should not place
undue reliance on these statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on the current beliefs and expectations of management regarding future
events, and are subject to significant known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should
underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. There can be no guarantee
that any new products will be approved for sale in any market, or that any new indications will be approved for any existing products in any market, or that any
approvals which are obtained will be obtained at any particular time, or that any such products will achieve any particular revenue levels. Nor can there be any
guarantee that Novartis will be able to realize any of the potential strategic benefits, synergies or opportunities as a result of the transactions with GSK, Lilly or
CSL. Neither can there be any guarantee that the Novartis Group, or any of its divisions or associated companies, will be commercially successful in the future,
will achieve any particular financial results, or achieve any particular credit rating or level of shareholder returns. Nor can there be any guarantee that the growth
acceleration plan under development at Alcon will be successfully developed or implemented, or will achieve its goals. In particular, management’s expectations
could be affected by, among other things, unexpected regulatory actions or delays or government regulation generally; the potential that the strategic benefits,
synergies or opportunities expected from the transactions with GSK, Lilly or CSL may not be realized or may take longer to realize than expected; the inherent
uncertainties involved in predicting shareholder returns or credit ratings; the uncertainties inherent in research and development, including unexpected clinical
trial results and additional analysis of existing clinical data; the Company’s ability to obtain or maintain proprietary inte llectual property protection, including the
ultimate extent of the impact on the Company of the loss of patent protection and exclusivity on key products which will continue this year; unexpected
manufacturing or quality issues; unexpected safety issues; global trends toward health care cost containment, including ongoing pricing pressures and ongoing
reimbursement challenges with payors; uncertainties regarding actual or potential legal proceedings, including, among others, actual or potential product liabili ty
litigation, litigation and investigations regarding sales and marketing practices, government investigations and intellectual property disputes; general economic
and industry conditions, including uncertainties regarding the effects of the persistently weak economic and financial environment in many countries;
uncertainties regarding future global exchange rates; uncertainties regarding future demand for our products; uncertainties involved in the development of new
healthcare products; uncertainties regarding potential significant breaches of data security or disruptions of the Company’s information technology systems; and
other risks and factors referred to in Novartis AG’s current Form 20-F on file with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Novartis is providing the
information in this presentation as of this date and does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise.
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 2
Review of 2015
Forward look 2016
Our strategy in a changing environment
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 3
Agenda
Agenda
Review of 2015
Forward look 2016
Our strategy in a changing environment
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 4
Powerful trends are changing the healthcare landscape
~1 billion
Population to increase by
>500 million
Additional 50+ year olds
2 0 1 5 - 2 0 2 5
>70% of all illnesses
Chronic diseases
Source: Projections from UN; WHO
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 5
Healthcare spending to double1
Healthcare spending forecast to double as a result
1 Projected Global Healthcare Spend at current growth rates, expressed in nominal terms
Source: Economist intelligence Unit, World Bank, Global Insights, BMI, OECD, McKinsey Strategy & Trend Analytic Center
2x 2 0 1 5 - 2 0 2 5
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 6
Real world evidence
Health systems are demanding proof that our products
deliver what we promise...
Patient management services
Partnerships with payors
This is expected to increase pricing pressure and a shift toward ‘outcomes’
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 7
At the same time, competition is intensifying
More breakthrough
drugs and devices
Tech companies entering
healthcare
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 8
To succeed, industry leaders will need:
Science-based R&D and innovation power
Global scale
Broad partnerships to deliver outcomes
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 9
Our strategy to lead in this environment
To deliver
better
patient
outcomes
Science-
based
innovation
In
growing
areas of
healthcare
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 10
Science-based innovation
200 More than
R&D projects
underway
USD 9 billion
Over
Invested in R&D
in 2015
18 Major approvals
in US, EU, Japan
in 2015
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 11
To deliver better patient outcomes
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 12
Pharmaceuticals Alcon Sandoz
In growing areas of healthcare
#2 generic medicines
company worldwide
#2 pharmaceuticals
company worldwide1
#1 eye care
company worldwide
1 Rx sales excluding Gx & Major vaccines for top pharmacos
Source: Evaluate Pharma
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 13
Agenda
Review of 2015
Forward look 2016
Our strategy in a changing environment
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 14
18 major approvals
EntrestoTM & Cosentyx® launched
First BPCIA US Biosimilar
Core margin up 3.1 ppts1
Closed all deals
Smooth integration and separation
NBS up and running
NBS managed costs flat
Scaling up 5 global service centers
Quality - 98% 2015 inspections good or acceptable
The high points....
Increased profitability
1
Progressed Pipeline
2
Completed portfolio
transactions
3
Delivered Cross-divisional
synergies
4
Strengthened organization
5
1 9M 2015, including portfolio changes
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 15
2015 - a year of highs and lows for Novartis
Where we fell short
1 All growth shown vs. PY in constant currencies (cc)
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 16
Growth trajectory slowed in Q2:
• IOL competition
• Surgical equipment sales
• US generic competition
9M 20151
• Sales +1%
• Core Operating income -5%
The low points....
Our underlying performance was strong, although Fx
headwinds had a big impact,
Sales Core operating
income
+5% +10%
At Q3 results, we confirmed full year outlook for
continuing operations, barring unforeseen events
9M 2015 continuing operations1
1 All growth shown vs. PY in constant currencies (cc), an explanation of continuing operations can be found on page 42 of the Q3 2015 Condensed Interim Financial Report.
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 17
1 Increased
profitability
1.3
2.8
0
26
30
31
29
27
28
+3.1
29.1
Fx
-1.0
Sales and
Productivity
Portfolio
Transformation
9M 2014 Total
Group core ROS
26.0
Core Operating Income Margin USD at period rates
(in % pts)
Allowing us to deliver our margin improvement
commitment
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 18
1 Increased
profitability
9M 2015
Continuing
Operations core
ROS
We delivered on Entresto™ and Cosentyx® approvals
ahead of schedule and launches are underway
US, EU, JP approval for Psoriasis
EU approval for AS & PsA
>15,000 patients worldwide; 7% patient share in the US1
US and EU approval
Positive feedback from physicians on clinical experience
US: Sales modest to date, patient access expected to improve in 2016
1 Estimated share in psoriasis, patients on biologics only (IMS National Prescription Audit data)
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 19
2 Progressed
Pipeline
Our Immuno-Oncology portfolio now extends well
beyond checkpoint inhibitors
Immune boosting
STING
TIM-3
T-cell
modulation
GITR
PD-1
PD-L1
Het-IL15
Tumor
microenvironment
PD-1
PD-L1
LAG-3
Adenosine
receptor
TIM-3
GITR
CSF-1
TGFβ
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 20
CAR-T cells
CTL019
Note: Checkpoint inhibitors include PD-1, PD-L1, LAG-3 and TIM-3
2 Progressed
Pipeline
We now have 10 molecules in our pipeline, with a
focus on second generation immunotherapy
1 Target FIH1
Checkpoint
inhibitors
PD-1 ✓
LAG-3 ✓
TIM-3 ✓
2nd Generation
CSF-1 ✓
CART-19 ✓
Het-IL 15 ✓
Adenosine receptor ✓
TGFbeta 2016
STING 2016
GITR 2016
Combinations
PD-1 + LAG-3 ✓
PD-1 + TIM-3 2016
PD-1 + CSF-1 2016
1 Expected commencement of First-In-Human trial (CSF-1 dosed after previously being developed in another indication)
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 21
2 Progressed
Pipeline
We have also added therapeutic depth in neuroscience
EMA401; Neuropathic Pain
Ofatumumab; Multiple Sclerosis
Partnership in migraine (AMG 334) and
Alzheimer’s Disease (CNP520)
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 22
2 Progressed
Pipeline
Sandoz launched first biosimilar approved in the US
under BPCIA pathway, with strong pipeline
Chemotherapy induced febrile
neutropenia
1 Glatopa is not a biosimilar
Note: All trademarks are the property of their respective owners
Rheumatoid Arthritis
Psoriasis
Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma
Chemotherapy induced febrile
neutropenia
Anaemia
Multiple sclerosis1
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 23
2 Progressed
Pipeline
Phase 3 / registration recruitment complete for all programs
8 major filings in next 3 years
Launched in US
Launched in US
Etanercept accepted by FDA/EMA
Peg-Filgrastim accepted by FDA Chemotherapy induced febrile
neutropenia
We completed our complex portfolio transactions
ahead of schedule
Divested
Vaccines
(ex. Flu)
Acquired Oncology
Divested Animal Health
Divested Flu
Vaccines
Joint Venture
OTC
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 24
3 Portfolio
Transactions
Making Novartis a stronger, more focused company
Innovation power to lead
Global scale
Well-positioned for future 61% 21%
18%
Continuing Operations1
Net Sales 2014, USD 52.2 bn
Pharmaceuticals
Sandoz
Alcon
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 25
1 An explanation of continuing operations can be found on page 42 of the Q3 2015 Condensed Interim Financial Report.
3 Portfolio
Transactions
Novartis Business Services (NBS) is building up 5
Global Service Centers
Five Novartis Global Service Centers are a cornerstone of NBS’ strategy
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 26
4 Cross-Divisional Synergies
Delivered strong Quality performance across our
~80 sites
192 Health Authority inspections in 2015
Includes 31 US FDA inspections
98% good or acceptable in 20151,2
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 27
1 100% pending acceptance of action plans for three inspections
2 An FDA Warning Letter issued in 2015 to Sandoz with respect to its sites in Kalwe and Turbhe, India, related to inspections conducted in 2014
5 Strengthened Organization
Where we fell short: Completed Alcon Diagnosis
We have conducted an
exhaustive and
quantitative analysis of
Alcon’s underlying issues
Listened to our customers 100+
surgeons, ophthalmologists, optometrists
Deep dive data analysis of market and
competitor benchmark data
Assessed impact of Alcon’s strategic
decisions over last decade
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 28
Turnaround actions to:
Increase innovation
Improve capabilities
Accelerate growth
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 29
Turnaround plan to be announced at Full Year
results
Agenda
Review of 2015
Forward look 2016
Our strategy in a changing environment
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 30
2016 expected to be a transition year for Novartis - but also big
opportunities for future growth
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 31
Facing historically high headwinds...
Glivec® patent expiration (~$2bn)
Heavy investment for launches
Investment in Alcon Turnaround
...but with big future growth opportunities
Cosentyx® & EntrestoTM uptake
Actions to return Alcon to growth
Begin to realize Biosimilars potential
In summary: Our 2016 Priorities
Strengthen
Innovation 2 o Improve pipeline across Divisions & ensure launch uptake
Deliver strong
Financial
Results 1
o Deliver performance, while absorbing Glivec® loss of
exclusivity
Capture
Cross-Divisional Synergies
4 o Execute NBS plans, and capture additional synergies
Build a
Higher-Performing Organization
5 o Strengthen quality, compliance and develop the best talent
| JPM | J. Jimenez | 11 January 2016 | Novartis: Reimagining Medicine 32
Turnaround
Alcon
Performance 3 o Take action to return Alcon to growth