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©2014 NOV
JOE ROVIG President, NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket Joe previously served in various global leadership positions in Offshore and Aftermarket. Prior to joining NOV in 2002, he worked for two drilling contractors both domestically and internationally.
1 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket NOV Analyst Day Joe Rovig President, NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket NOVEMBER 19, 2014
Statements made in the course of this presentation that state the Company’s or management’s intentions, hopes, beliefs, expectations or predictions of the future are forward-looking statements. It is important to note that the Company’s actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, including risk factors, is contained from time-to-time in the Company’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Any decision regarding the Company or its securities should be made upon careful consideration of not only the information here presented, but also other available information, including the information filed by the Company with the SEC. Copies of these filings may be obtained by contacting the Company or the SEC or through the Company’s web-site
©2014 NOV
Who We Are
3 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
People Technology Global Vertically Integrated Execution Sense of Urgency
©2014 NOV
Leadership
4 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV
NOV Rig Systems and Aftermarket
$8.45B OFFSHORE
FY13 $2.69B
FY13
AFTERMARKET LAND
5 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV 6
Building Leadership the NOV Way
Acquisitions of premium product companies
Coalescing drilling packages
Expansion of manufacturing
Aftermarket global infrastructure
Valu
e to
Cus
tom
ers
1990 2000 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV
Building Leadership
7 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | 8
REVENUE GROWTH OP GROWTH MARGIN IMPROVEMENT
30% 70% 500bps
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
CONTINUED BUILD-OUT OF
HIGH-SPEC LAND RIGS
RESUMPTION OF FLOATER AND JACKUP
ORDERS IN ‘16
MARGIN BENEFIT FROM HIGHER-PRICED
BACKLOG AND PROCESS EFFICIENCIES
Expectations from 12/31/2013 through 2019 NOV Rig Systems
©2014 NOV NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | 9
REVENUE GROWTH OP GROWTH MARGIN IMPROVEMENT
115% 130% 200bps
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
GROWING INSTALLED BASE
200% GROWTH IN NUMBER OF SPS
Expectations from 12/31/2013 through 2019 NOV Rig Aftermarket
620,000 RISER (FT)
670 OFFSHORE DRILLING CRANES
750 CONTROL SYSTEMS
2,460 IRON ROUGHNECKS
6,220 BLOWOUT PREVENTERS
(RAM OR ANNULAR)
2,940 TOP DRIVES
550 AC DRAWWORKS
500 OFFSHORE COLUMN RACKERS
6,050 MUDPUMPS
©2014 NOV
Capital Equipment Installed Base
10 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV 11 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
Source: RigLogix, Baker Hughes (BHI Rig Count excludes Russia and China)
CURRENT GLOBAL MARKET FLOATERS JACKUPS
447 281 INDUSTRY-WIDE
LAND RIGS
3,267
©2014 NOV
GLOBAL FAMILY
12 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV
Global Family
20,000 PEOPLE
30+ NATIONALITIES MANTRA
OUR
13 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV
PURPOSEFUL INNOVATION
14 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
13 test bays (PCG) 3,220 engineers
University relationships Test rig
©2014 NOV
Purposeful Innovation
Delivering a top drive every day
Pioneer in Cellular and Lean Manufacturing Processes
15 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV
Purposeful Innovation
Projecting delivery of 30 subsea stacks in 2014
Modular BOP Design – Reduced Lead Times
16 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV
Purposeful Innovation Rig Construction - $10M Saved in Each Phase
17 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
45 PHASE I
DAYS SAVED 45
PHASE II
DAYS SAVED
©2014 NOV
SERVICE ABOVE ALL
18 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV
Service Above All Worldwide Installation & Commissioning Teams
950+ I&C PERSONNEL
23 SHIPYARDS
54 ACTIVE PROJECTS
19 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV
Drilling Rig Supply Chain Old Business Model
20 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV
Vertical Integration (slide 1 here)
Drilling Rig Supply Chain Vertical Integration
21 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV 22
CONSISTENTLY ON TIME, ON BUDGET
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
226 offshore rigs delivered 2005 to today, 2015 will be biggest delivery year yet
©2014 NOV 23
NOV Rig Systems Market View
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV 24
NOV Land Rigs Booked
535 2005 - 2014
NOV TIER 1 LAND RIGS ORDERED
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
Source: NOV Includes complete land rigs, equipment suites, and packages
©2014 NOV 25
AC technology
UNCONVENTIONAL wells
PAD drilling
Increased rig CAPACITY
AUTOMATION
INTERNATIONAL growth
Land Rig Outlook
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV 26 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
LAND RIG ADDITIONS
1,574 NEWBUILDS
2010 - 2014
1,646 PROJECTED NEWBUILDS
2015 - 2019
Source: NOV
INDUSTRY-WIDE
©2014 NOV 27
Land Rig of the Future
The next step from Ideal Prime
Increased ROBOTICS
Improved EFFICIENCY
REDUCED non-productive time
MINIMIZED flat time
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV 28
NOV Jackups Booked
222 2005 - 2014
NOV JACKUPS ORDERED
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
Source: NOV
©2014 NOV 29
NEAR-TERM industry concerns on Chinese speculative builds
NATIONAL OIL COMPANY requirements
Harsh ENVIRONMENT needs
Fleet RENEWAL continues at slower pace
Jackup Outlook
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV 30 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
OFFSHORE JACKUP MARKET ADDITIONS
195 PAST
2005 - 2014
201 FUTURE
2015 - 2024
Source: IHS, NOV
INDUSTRY-WIDE
©2014 NOV 31
NOV Floaters Booked
162 2005 - 2014
NOV FLOATERS ORDERED
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | Source: NOV
©2014 NOV 33
SHORT TERM capacity issue
Long term DEMAND CONTINUES
MIDWATER replacement
Specific rig designs - ARCTIC, 20K
Floater Outlook
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV 34 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
OFFSHORE FLOATER MARKET ADDITIONS
137 PAST
2005 - 2014
207 FUTURE
2015 - 2024
Source: IHS, NOV
INDUSTRY-WIDE
©2014 NOV 35
Drillship of the Future
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
FUTURE
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
©2014 NOV 36
NOV Rig Systems Order Outlook
Bookings
IMPROVED OFFSHORE
EXPECTED 2016 LAND
OFFSHORE
CONTINUED LAND GROWTH
OVER NEXT FIVE YEARS
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
FUTURE
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
©2014 NOV 37
NOV Rig Systems Revenue Growth
Revenue Growth
LAND
OFFSHORE
REVENUE RECOGNITION
EXPECTED 2016
STEADY LAND GROWTH OVER NEXT FIVE YEARS
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | 38
REVENUE GROWTH OP GROWTH MARGIN IMPROVEMENT
30% 70% 500bps
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
CONTINUED BUILD-OUT OF
HIGH-SPEC LAND RIGS
RESUMPTION OF FLOATER AND JACKUP
ORDERS IN ‘16
MARGIN BENEFIT FROM HIGHER-PRICED
BACKLOG AND PROCESS EFFICIENCIES
Expectations from 12/31/2013 through 2019 NOV Rig Systems
©2014 NOV 39
NOV Rig Aftermarket Market View
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV 40
NOV Rig Aftermarket
SPARES SERVICES REPAIR TRAINING
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV 41
Rig Aftermarket Geographical Growth
Global Hub Regional Hub Existing RSA Facility New RSA Facility Drilling Activity – Land Drilling Activity - Offshore
13 NEW FACILITIES
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV 42
Special Periodic Survey (SPS)
Five year Offshore Regulatory Upgrade/ New Equipment OEM
What is an SPS?
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
FUTURE
0
80
160
240
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Proj
ects
©2014 NOV 43
SPS Recertification Projects
Vessels <25 Years of Age
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
DEDICATED TEAM
OVER NEXT TEN YEARS
PROJECTS TRIPLE
SPS AFTERMARKET OPPORTUNITY
$1M - $40M
©2014 NOV 44
Service Life
Offshore Rig Asset Life
IRON ROUGHNECK
CONTROLS
PIPEHANDLING
TOP DRIVE
BOP
DRAWWORKS
MUD PUMPS
0 Years
5 10 15 20 25
Maj
or C
ompo
nent
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | ©2014 NOV 45 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
CUMULATIVE SPEND OF DRILLING VESSELS
$45M JACKUP REVENUE
AT DELIVERY
$200M FLOATER REVENUE
AT DELIVERY
©2014 NOV 46 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
CUMULATIVE SPEND OF DRILLING VESSELS
$82M JACKUP REVENUE
AFTER 25 YEARS
$371M FLOATER REVENUE
AFTER 25 YEARS
2,550 2,627
3,123
3,895
5,278 5,703
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
0
2000
4000
6000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Billi
ons
©2014 NOV 47
Rig Aftermarket Historical Financials
HEADCOUNT
Rig Aftermarket Growth
REVE
NU
E
OP$
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
AVERAGE
YEAR OVER YEAR
MID-TEENS REVENUE GROWTH
AVERAGE
27.5% OPERATING
PROFIT ANNUALLY
©2014 NOV NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket | 48
REVENUE GROWTH OP GROWTH MARGIN IMPROVEMENT
115% 130% 200bps
KEY ASSUMPTIONS
GROWING INSTALLED BASE
200% GROWTH IN NUMBER OF SPS
Expectations from 12/31/2013 through 2019 NOV Rig Aftermarket
©2014 NOV
Long-term order fundamentals remain STRONG
LAND RIG STRENGTH now and in the future
INSTALLED BASE is strong competitive advantage
Mid-teens REVENUE GROWTH in Aftermarket
Land and Aftermarket OFFSETS Offshore cooling in 2015 - 2016
NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket
49 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |
©2014 NOV 50 NOV Rig Systems & Aftermarket |