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[email protected] Helleiner E. & S. Pagliari– The End of an Era in International Financial Regulation? A Postcrisis Research Agenda In International Organization 65, Winter 2011, pp. 169–200 Notes: With the 2008 financial crisis a reform of the financial regulatory regime became a top priority of global public policy (G20 etc.) 170 since 1990 scholarly attention was focused on explaining the creation and strengthening of international prudential financial standards in the context of rapidly globalizing financial markets o explanation searched for in three particular policy arenas: interstate, domestic, and transnational o now there is a need for some serious rethinking of that approach limitations revealed by the crisis in existing understandings of interstate power relations, the influence of domestic politics, and the significance of transnational actors within international regulatory politics “informal regulatory convergence,” “regulatory fragmentation,” and “cooperative regulatory decentralization” have to be explored The setting of international prudential regulatory standards has taken place by degrees since the 1970s (as the financial market globalization was proceeding) o Standards in banking 1975 Basel Concordat concerning banking supervision 1988 Basel Accord that set common capital standards for international banks ( Basel II 1998–2004) o Standards in the securities o Standards in insurance sectors o international financial standards project – cross-cutting sectors, an attempt to cover multiple arenas with a single regulatory regime (1990s) banking, securities, insurance sectors, accounting, auditing, payments systems, corporate governance 1

Notes - Helleiner, Pagliari (2011) the End of an Era in International Financial Regulation

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Notes from an article by Helleiner E. and S. Pagliari called "The End of an Era in International Financial Regulation? A Postcrisis Research Agenda". Published in International Organization 65, Winter 2011.

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Page 1: Notes - Helleiner, Pagliari (2011) the End of an Era in International Financial Regulation

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Helleiner E. & S. Pagliari– The End of an Era in International Financial Regulation? A Postcrisis Research AgendaIn International Organization 65, Winter 2011, pp. 169–200

Notes: With the 2008 financial crisis a reform of the financial regulatory regime became a top priority of

global public policy (G20 etc.) 170 since 1990 scholarly attention was focused on explaining the creation and strengthening of

international prudential financial standards in the context of rapidly globalizing financial marketso explanation searched for in three particular policy arenas: interstate, domestic, and

transnationalo now there is a need for some serious rethinking of that approach

limitations revealed by the crisis in existing understandings of interstate power relations, the influence of domestic politics, and the significance of transnational actors within international regulatory politics

“informal regulatory convergence,” “regulatory fragmentation,” and “cooperative regulatory decentralization” have to be explored

The setting of international prudential regulatory standards has taken place by degrees since the 1970s (as the financial market globalization was proceeding)

o Standards in banking 1975 Basel Concordat concerning banking supervision 1988 Basel Accord that set common capital standards for international banks (

Basel II 1998–2004)o Standards in the securitieso Standards in insurance sectorso international financial standards project – cross-cutting sectors, an attempt to cover multiple

arenas with a single regulatory regime (1990s) banking, securities, insurance sectors, accounting, auditing, payments systems,

corporate governance + hedge funds and credit-rating agencies, derivatives

Analyses of the interstate political contexto explain international standards with reference to the exercise of power by dominant stateso relative market size as the key source of international powero the US and the EU as key players

International financial standards project being developed by a small club of states then promoted them globally using market power as a leverage

domestic political context as the primary source of international regulationo States as unitary actors? National interests stemming from domestic debates. Opening the

black box.o principal-agent framework employed

regulators attempt to balance the objectives of maintaining financial stability and of preserving the competitiveness of the influential national financial industry

o domestic motives as a source of regulation

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Page 2: Notes - Helleiner, Pagliari (2011) the End of an Era in International Financial Regulation

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experiences of Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, and Thailand policy choices were usually driven by domestic pro-reform interests; if there was

reluctance to accept certain norms, countries manifested ability to avoid them by making compliance mechanisms inefficient

transnational political contexto the significance of trans-governmental networks and transnational non-state actors that

transcend the international/domestic divideo various international standard-setting bodies and the FSF

according to some authors, their role is significant for explaining the emergence of international standards

cultivation informal trans-governmental networkso constructivist perspective

Because of the esoteric subject matter, discussions within these networks take place largely outside the scrutiny of domestic politics (domestic audiences and politicians are rarely even aware of them)

networks foster common knowledge and “shared understandings” among the officials involved

trans-governmental networks bypass governments in maintaining the common grounds for regulation

o transnational non-state actors in international regulatory politics financial industry groups and lobbies Private sector actors maintaining private standards

private institutions, individual financial exchanges, clearing houses international public authorities often endorse private standards

H: international regulatory policymaking has been increasingly captured by transnational private financial interests 175

The crisis has challenged understandings of all three contextso important limitations revealed with the advent of the crisis

Reconceptualising interstate power relationso diffusion of power in global finance – the US and the EU are not as much in charge as

thoughto emerging powers now play much larger role in international financial regulation

in the midst of the crisis the the US and the EU plead for cash at both private and governmental institutions in the emerging markets (e.g. Chinese banks)

widening of the “clubs” involved in international standard-setting G20 the membership of key international standard-setting bodies was widened

o BCBS, FSFFSB (Financial Stability Board)o Limitation of past scholarship’s focus on relative market size as the key source of power in

international financial regulatory politics revealed new research topics Not just juicy financial markets as determinant of clout, but more importantly

internationally significant investors and institutions We need to understand significance of this different kind of market power

Not just “power-as-influence”, but also “power-as-autonomy”

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Page 3: Notes - Helleiner, Pagliari (2011) the End of an Era in International Financial Regulation

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The capacity to impose regulation standards on others The capacity to exercise policy independence (ability to act unilaterally)

o E.g. the enhanced regulatory initiatives of the EUo E.g. China not enhancing its influence, but maintaining increasing

independence and therefore capacity to adjust domestic regulatory policies without reference to the outside world

Changing domestic politics in core states 178o assumption challenged: the main actors in international regulatory harmonization are

regulatory agencies elected policymakers became more involved, overruled international financial

technocrats (reversal of pre-crisis trends) in the light of reassertion of political actors in the financial regulation arena the

composition of these actor’s motivations have to be better understood (e.g. domestic pressures)

o the way domestic societal actors engaged in shaping international financial regulation changed

formerly too complex and too opaque for societal actors to be interested in now mobilization of corporate actors outside the financial sector as well as citizens We need to know more about how the mobilization of these groups beyond the

financial industry can influence the direction of state policy toward international regulatory standards

o Financial industry in leading powers as a cohesive group with uniform preferences? divisions emerged

e.g. banks would like to see tighter regulation of credit-rating agencies etc. theorists have to treat the preferences of constituent parts of the industry more

finely and embrace more context-specific analyseso private “capture” of financial regulatory policymaking – causes 180

not just deregulatory policies sponsored by the private financial sector also the prestige and cultural capital the sector amassed during the boom years personal interconnection between regulators and financial industry radical intellectual conformism cycles of deregulation, followed by crises and reregulation

need for further understandingo the need for structural analyses inspecting how financial regulation bodies relate to

governments in various – increasingly important – cultural areas e.g. in China state owned financial sector incl. regulation varieties of capitalism

o new domestic political dynamics in core countries revealed; new patterns of political dynamics of emerging powers need to be incorporated

New constraints on transnational politicso Assumption: trans-governmental networks operate insulated from their respective domestic

political contexts – not guaranteed nowadays, autonomy revoked Technocratic networks tend to lead in the time of peace but follow in crises

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Page 4: Notes - Helleiner, Pagliari (2011) the End of an Era in International Financial Regulation

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The power of transnational private actors is more contingent than the pre-crisis literature suggested

Crisis shook the in ideas in which technocratic consensus was embedded legitimacy of the Anglo-American model of “regulatory neoliberalism”

undermined difficulties of maintaining technocratic consensus may be intensified by

increasing diversity of shareholderso Will the new members of regulatory ‘clubs’ disturb the regulatory

common sense or will they be socialized into it? It is necessary to investigate and theorize the ways in which transnational political

processes are nested within the domestic and interstate political contexts Insights from a more integrative approach: toward a weakening of international standards?

o Analysts should: Innovate their toolkit of analytical approaches and notions They should seek a more integrative approach overcoming the neat boundaries of

domestic/interstate/transnationalo The claim that international standards will strengthen is grounded in scholarship concerning

the politics of international (interstate only) prudential regulation If we take the integrative approach, the durability of this trend of ever-strengthening

official international standards is called into question Consensus will be hard to reach because:

The newfound variety of actors In the international arena the wider domestic politicization of financial regulation triggered by the

crisis (intrastate international consensus) “global banks are global in life, but national in death” greater emphasis

on host country rules, which bear the costs when something happens weakening of the autonomy of trans-governmental technocratic networks

but there is hope: the FSB (replacing the FSF) as the ‘fourth pillar of world economic architecture’

increased budget, responsibilities, more strict obligations for memberso New outcomes to explain

Governments have motivation to synchronize regulatory policies, but more likely regulatory divergence

“rival standards”, “sham standards”, “mock compliance” – sign of rebellion towards the idea of united standards

Needs to be better understood Decline of “one size fits all” global standards

Greater host country regulationo An alternative: “Cooperative decentralization” - a system of mutual

recognition of varying national/regional standardso desirable forms of financial regulation differ across countries

depending on their preferences and levels of developmento more segmented architecture, but having respect for national

diversity

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Page 5: Notes - Helleiner, Pagliari (2011) the End of an Era in International Financial Regulation

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o coordination internationally at the level of common broad principles (supported by FSB and other global regulatory institutions)

o “a thin veneer of international co-operation superimposed on strong national regulations”

Establishment of global principles for prudential supervision, giving states discretion in their design and implementation

o New “World Financial Organization” should be createdo Theorizing regulatory divergence

Certain kinds of international cooperation required to sustain the scenario of cooperative decentralization (different than for harmonized int’l standards)

Activities centred on information-sharing, research collaboration, international early warning systems, and capacity building

Establishment of penalizing jurisdictions = combination of soft and hard power

Everything speaks in favour of the system of “cooperative decentralization” But there are dissimilar incentives in various regions and various industries,

and so the resulting system will not be uniform The crisis shattered the previous consensus on how to make the system shock-proof on all the

political levels – the crisis would therefore signal the end of an era in both the politics of international financial regulation as well as scholarship on this topic

o More attention should be devoted to the scenario of cooperative decentralization, because that seems to be where we are heading

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