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Northeast Utilities Plans for Investment in Transmission Infrastructure. Leon J. Olivier – President Northeast Utilities Transmission Group Harris Nesbitt Conference Boston, Massachusetts April 7, 2005. Safe Harbor Provisions. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Northeast Utilities Plans for Investment in Transmission Infrastructure
Leon J. Olivier – President Northeast Utilities Transmission Group
Harris Nesbitt Conference
Boston, Massachusetts
April 7, 2005
Page 2
Safe Harbor Provisions
This presentation contains statements concerning NU’s expectations, plans, objectives, future financial performance and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In some cases, a listener can identify these forward-looking statements by words such as estimate, expect, anticipate, intend, plan, believe, forecast, should, could, and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those included in the forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those included in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, actions by state and federal regulatory bodies; competition and industry restructuring; changes in economic conditions; changes in weather patterns; changes in laws, regulations or regulatory policy; expiration or initiation of significant energy supply contracts; changes in levels of capital expenditures; development in legal or public policy doctrines; technological developments; volatility in electrical and natural gas commodity markets; effectiveness of our risk management policies and procedures; changes in accounting standards and financial reporting regulations; fluctuations in the value of electricity positions; changes in the ability to sell electricity positions and close out natural gas positions at anticipated margins; obtaining new contracts and anticipated volumes and margins; terrorist attacks on domestic energy facilities; and other presently unknown or unforeseen factors. Other risk factors are detailed from time to time in our reports to the SEC. We undertake no obligation to update the information contained in any forward-looking statements to reflect developments or circumstances occurring after the statement is made.
Page 3
About Northeast Utilities Transmission…
Operating Company
Transmission Circuit Miles
Transmission Substations
12/31/04 Net Plant
($ Millions)
CL&P 1,671.5 38 293.1
WMECO
(including HWP & HPE)
470.5 18 58.6
PSNH 997.5 52 119.7
Total NU 3,139.5 108 471.4
Comparative Ranking of NU (Of the 20 largest transmission companies in the 11 Northeastern States)
• 4th Largest in terms of miles
• 10th largest in terms of Net Transmission Assets
Page 4
Agenda
The need for transmission investment
NU’s programs within ISO-NE’s Regional Transmission Expansion Plan (RTEP)
Major projects and status
Financial benefits to customers and shareholders
Looking beyond the current forecast
Page 5
The Nation’s Transmission System Is in Need of Significant Additions and Upgrades.
A 2001 Edison Electric Industry (EEI) study identified $56B in transmission infrastructure investment needs.
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has identified $12B that is needed simply to relieve immediate congestion points.
The August 14, 2003 blackout report addresses the need for significant new transmission investments.
FERC’s Electric Transmission Constraint Study identified congestion points that need immediate relief.
MAPP
SPP
ECAR
SERC
FRCC
MAIN
NWPA
AZ/NM/SNV
RMPA
ISO-NE
NYISO
PJM
SW CT Interface
Southeast PA West VA/PJM Interface
Southeast West VACentral MO
East KS/MO Interface
Northeast AZ
Central IA
WY/ID InterfaceCA/OR Interface
Pacific DC Intertie
East NY
Central CA
Southern CA
CA/MX
Northeast of Boston
Southwest MI
: Constraint and constrained flow direction
Transmission Constraints in the Contiguous U.S.
55
Page 6
In New England, the Regional Transmission Expansion Plan (RTEP) Identifies Nearly $2.4 Billion in Projects
RTEP05 Transmission Projects
57%18%
10%
9%
5%
1%
NUNgrid NSTAR UI Bangor Hydro Energy East
And NU’s part of that transmission expansion program is nearly $1.4 billion.
NGrid
Page 7
NU’s RTEP Projects Include…
SWCT – 345 kV and 115 kV facilities
Replacement of the 138 kV Long Island Cable (with LIPA)
Distribution support through new substations
Additional autotransformers to strengthen certain areas by providing new connections to the 345 kV grid
Substation upgrades for enhanced reliability and to meet bulk power facility requirements
Circuit breaker replacements
Protection & controls modifications
Capacitor additions
Dynamic voltage control devices (Statcom completed in SWCT)
Line rebuilds and/or reconductoring for increased capability
Page 8
Transmission Group Asset Strategy for 2005
NU has committed to a $245 million capital program for 2005.
Five large projects in Connecticut comprise over two-thirds of the capital program:
Bethel-Norwalk $121.9M
Middletown-Norwalk $18.0M
Glenbrook Cables $3.9M
Long Island Replacement Cable $8.3M
Haddam Autotransformer $14.0M
The remaining one-third is comprised of nearly 200 projects in Transmission’s three-state region:
Connecticut $42.5M
Massachusetts $12.5M
New Hampshire $23.9M
$166.1M
$78.9M
Page 9
The Need: An Adequate Transmission System
Reliability Concerns An inadequate system serves 50% of Connecticut’s load New England’s 345kV system stops at SWCT’s border Does not meet national reliability standards SWCT noted as a major reliability concern at federal, regional and
local levels
Economic Impacts Rising potential for wide area blackouts Relies on old, costly and inefficient generation plants Threat to the area’s economy with increasing congestion costs and
potential for market power Limits the potential of New England’s competitive wholesale markets
345-kV115-kV
50%50%
SWCT improvements have been a top priority in each of ISO-NE’s last four regional transmission expansion plans.
Page 10
Proposed Upgrades to the SWCT Transmission System
345-kV115-kV
Existing
Bethel-Norwalk 345 kV Underground& Overhead$300-350 Million
21 miles 345kV (56% underground)
10 miles 115kV (100% underground)
Projected in-service date: Dec 2006 Middletown-Norwalk 345 kV
Underground & Overhead$670-794 Million (NU 80% Share) 69 miles 345kV (35% underground)
57 miles 115kV (1% underground)
Projected in-service date: 2009
Page 11
Financial Implications
For customers:
Improved reliability – creates secure supply, quality service and stable environment for production and growth
Lower levels of congestion and less LICAP exposure results in lower bills
Increased access by competitive generators should lower costs
For shareholders:
Increases in rate base from investments drive earnings growth
$500 million of current rate base
$1 billion - $1.5 billion of capital spending projected in 2005-2009
Siting for our large projects is progressing
Our cost recovery mechanisms are largely defined
Page 12
Transmission Capital Expenditures*
$55
$99
$171
$245
$285
$250
$375
$255
$20$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Actual Forecast
$ Millions NU’s Transmission growth has already begun.
* Spending levels depend on final level and timing of all projects.
Page 13
We Believe that a Significant, Continuing Stream of Investments in Transmission is Sustainable
Line rebuilds to replace aging, low capacity conductor
Voltage conversions from 69 kV to 115 kV
Additional 345 – 115 kV autotransformers
New 115 and 345 kV lines (overhead and underground) to meet load growth and to increase transfer capability across constrained interfaces
New substations to meet load growth
$55
$99
$171
$245
$285
$250
$375
$255
$20$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Actual Forecast