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NorthcentralNorth Roland Park
Roland Park
Tuscany-Canterbury
Hampden
Loyola/Notre Dame
Homeland
Guilford
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Spatial Context
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
City Line
Yo
rk Rd
.
Falls R
d.
Hopkins Homewood Campus
Background & History | An Historically Affluent Area
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Reputation • Affluent• Safe• Desirable residential area
Housing stock•Detached homes, single- l …family residences•Apartment complexes
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Demographics | Population Change
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
• City population decline: 20% from 1980 to 2010
• Northcentral growth: 11% from 1980 to 2010
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Demographics | Ethnic and Racial Change since 1980
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
1980 20100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
WhiteBlackHispanicAsian and Other
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Demographics | Northcentral vs. Baltimore, E/R Composition 2010
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
78.6
10.4
3.1
10.9
Northcentral
29.6
63.7
3.16.7
Baltimore City
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
White
HispanicAsian andOther
Black
Focus Neighborhoods
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
• Tuscany-Canterbury• Roland Park• North Roland Park
• Loyola/Notre Dame
• Hampden• Guilford• Homeland
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
} Increase in Asian and others
Increase in black population
}No notable ethnic and racial change
Summary of Findings
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
•Growing diversity, improving indicators
• Exception: Education in Roland Park
• Exception: Loyola/Notre Dame
•A story of education
•Ethnic enclaves
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Tuscany-Canterbury
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
• Large apartment and condo buildings
• Population decline: nearly 4%
....(1980 to 2010)
• Asian increase, rising education
University Pkwy.
East Highfield Rd.
Gre
enm
ount
Rd.
Hopkins Homewood Campus
Tuscany-Canterbury | Population & Ethnic/Racial Change
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
1980 1990 2000 20100
200
400
600
800
1000
Asian Population
Year
Resi
dent
s
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
• Asians: ..18% of total ...population ...(2010)
Tuscany-Canterbury | Socioeconomics
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
1980 1990 2000 20100
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Median IncomeMedian Sales Price
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Tuscany-Canterbury | Socioeconomics
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
1980 1990 2000 201040%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% Employed
% 25+ with BA or Higher
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
• Increasing ... ...diversity and ... ...improving key ...indicators
Tuscany-Canterbury | Education
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
1980 1990 2000 201040%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Percentage with B.A. Degree or Higher
White Asian
Year
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
%
Tuscany-Canterbury | Trends
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
• Influx of Asian residents
• Educational levels rising
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Tuscany-Canterbury | Enclaves & Social Integration
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
• 49.4% of Asians live in one block group
University Pkwy.
East Highfield Rd.
Gre
enm
ount
Rd.
Hopkins Homewood Campus
Roland Park and North Roland Park
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
City LimitF
alls
Rd.
Rol
and
Ave
.Wyndhurst Ave.
University Pkwy.
Roland Park and North Roland Park | Population & Ethnic/Racial Change
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
97
1980
78
8
3
14
2010
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Total Pop. Change:Roland Park: +26.4 % North Roland Park: +5.3%White
HispanicAsian and Other
Black
Roland Park and North Roland Park | Socioeconomics
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
1980 1990 2000 20100
50,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000450,000500,000
North Roland Park
Median Income Median Sales Price1980 1990 2000 2010
050,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000450,000
Roland Park
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Roland Park and North Roland Park | Socioeconomics
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
1980 1990 2000 201040%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
North Roland Park
% Employed % 25+ with BA or higher
1980 1990 2000 201040%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Roland Park
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Roland Park and North Roland Park | Education
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
1980 1990 2000 201040%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
North Roland Park
White Asian and Other
1980 1990 2000 201040%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Roland Park
• 2010 Asian and other educational attainment does not follow trend
Roland Park and North Roland Park | Trends
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Differing relationships between diversity and indicators:• Non-education indicators: positive relationship• North Roland Park: negative relationship between Asian
growth and education• Roland Park: positive relationship between Asian growth
and education • Exception: 2000-2010 education declined, diversity
continued to increase
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Roland Park and North Roland Park | Enclaves & Social Integration
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
• 84% of Asian and other residents live in two of six block groups
City Limit
Fal
ls R
d.
Rol
and
Ave
.
Wyndhurst Ave.
University Pkwy.
Northern Pkwy.
Loyola/Notre Dame
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
• Contains Loyola ...University and Notre ...Dame of Maryland ...University
• Total population ...decline of 9.71% from ...(1980 to 2010)
Loyola/Notre Dame | Population & Ethnic/Racial Change
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
1980 1990 2000* 20100
102030405060708090
White and Black Populations
WhiteBlack
Year
%
*2000 figures adjusted to compensate for
Census error
Loyola/Notre Dame | Socioeconomics
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
1980 1990 2000 20100
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Median Income
Median Sales Price
Loyola/Notre Dame | Socioeconomics
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
1980 1990 2000 20100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% Employed
% 25+ with BA or higher
• Employment ...increased ...since 1980• Education ...drop in last ...decade
Loyola/Notre Dame | Education
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
1980 1990 2000 20100
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Attainment of B.A. or Higher by Race
White Black
Year
%
Loyola/Notre Dame | Employment
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
1980 1990 2000 201040%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
WhiteBlack
Loyola/Notre Dame | Some Interesting Trends
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
• Decrease in white residents• Increase in black residents • Black residents make up increasing proportion
of population
• Socioeconomic disparities by race:• Education • Employment (fluctuates)• Income
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral
Key Findings
Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis
• Increase in Asian residents in Tuscany-Canterbury • Hopkins affiliates
• Increasing diversity is associated with improved
neighborhood indicators• Exception: Education in Roland Park• Exception: Loyola-Notre Dame (mixed bag)
• Evidence of ethnic/racial enclaves at block level
Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013
Northcentral