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1 18/12/2014
UTSG 47th Annual Conference
Northampton Square Campus, City University London, 5-7 January 2015
Programme
Monday 5 January
12.00-13.15 Registration in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
12.15-13.15 Lunch in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
13.15-13.30 Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Opening Welcome: Professor John Fothergill (Pro-Vice-Chancellor (Research & Enterprise), City University London)
13.30-14.30 Session 1 (Plenary) Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Chair: C. Arcoumanis
Sir Peter Hendy, CBE (Commissioner, Transport for London) How to transform public transport in a world city?
14.40-16.10 Session 2
2A DISRUPTION MANAGEMENT
Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre
Chair: M. Enoch
456 Parkes (Leeds) (SMEED) The longevity of behaviour change: A case study of the London 2012 Olympic and Paralympic Games
427 Papangelis (Aberdeen) (SMEED) The effects of mobile real time public transport information on rural passengers 445 Galatioto & Roberts (Newcastle) Assessment of major weather event impacts using traffic microsimulation techniques
2B URBAN TRAFFIC CONTROL
Room BG03
Chair: E. Wilson
417 Sha & Chow (UCL) A comparative study of centralised and decentralised hierarchies for urban traffic control 422 Ahmed (Southampton) Investigating bus priority parameters for isolated vehicle actuated junctions
458 Narh (Newcastle) (SMEED) Can chaos theory be used to manage traffic in signalised urban networks?
2C PEDESTRIANS
Room B103
Chair: J. Harvey
403 Calvert, Jain & Chatterjee (UWE) Urban walking experience, understood as relationships between the pedestrian's inner world, the city they experience and their physical movement 416 Matthews, Hibberd & Carsten (Leeds) Crossing the street blind: the importance of being certain
434 Clarkson, Thorpe, Bell & Goodman (Newcastle) Examining pedestrian attitudes and behaviour: Implications for the design of shared space
2D TRANSPORT AND AGE
Room B104
Chair: E. Heinen
390 Garner (Heriot Watt) Young non-drivers: Will they always steer clear of getting behind the wheel?
407 Chen, Le Vine, Suel & Polak (Imperial) A panel-data analysis of the observed decline in car access among young adults in Britain
433 Johnson (Plymouth) Remaining mobile: An exploration of the reality of being a mobility scooter user
Luggage storage is available at the cloakroom next to room B103
2 18/12/2014
16.10-16.30 Tea/coffee break in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
16.30-17.30 Session 3
3A ICT AND TRANSPORT I
Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre
Chair: N. Thorpe
420 Anwer (Leeds) (SMEED) Dynamics of various conventional and advanced ICT in earthquakes (A user’s perspective) 431 Richomme, Mackin & Wilson (Bristol) An evaluation of Google’s automatic mode detection service - for travel diary applications
3B NETWORK ANALYSIS
Room BG03
Chair: F. Galatioto
395 Luan, Polak & Krishnan (Imperial) The performance of dynamic in-vehicle route guidance services in an eco-system with heterogeneous service providers
444 Seetharaman (Leeds) (SMEED) Reliability based disaggregate stochastic process model with strict capacity constraints in congested transit network
3C PUBLIC TRANSPORT OPERATIONS I
Room B103
Chair: K. Pangbourne
412 Dhakal, Shrestha & Hounsell (Southampton) Evaluation of bus performances using advanced AVL data
408 Potoglou, Patil, Patruni & Robinson (Cardiff) Preferences for privacy, surveillance and security: A pan-European study on the metro/train travel
3D DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Room B104
Chair: D. Milne
384 Zhang (Oxford) Electric vehicles in China: Life cycle energy consumption and CO2 emissions for the different power mixes in China, now and in the future 465 Dennis & Pullen (City) Vehicles for rural transport services in sub Saharan Africa
17.40 - 18.10 Session 4 (Plenary) Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Chair: M. Beecroft
442 Quddus (Loughborough) Effects of geodemographic profiles of drivers on their injury severity from traffic crashes using a multilevel mixed-effects ordered logit model
18.30 Check in at DoubleTree by Hilton Hotel London – Islington, 60 Pentonville Road, London, N1 9LA
19.30 Group departure from DoubleTree by Hilton Hotel London – Islington to Le Mercury
20.00 Dinner at Le Mercury, 140A Upper Street, London N1 1QY
3 18/12/2014
Tuesday 6 January
08:30-09:00 Tea/coffee in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
09.00-09.30 Session 5 (Plenary) Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Chair: E. Wilson 391 Blainey & Preston (Southampton) Predict or prophesy? Modelling British transport demand and capacity to 2100
09.40-11.10 Session 6
6A CAPACITY MANAGEMENT
Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre
Chair: J. Nelson 418 Li (UCL) (SMEED) Dynamic robust optimal control of motorway traffic with demand and supply uncertainty
452 Bell, Hoogendoorn & Galatioto (Newcastle) Quantifying the impact of autonomic system control motorway traffic using a micro modelling approach 439 Yap (Southampton) (SMEED) The impact of exiting flows on roundabout lane entry capacity
6B INNOVATIVE MODELLING I
Room BG03
Chair: M. Quddus
397 Turnbull & Wilson (Bristol) Mathematical models for mileage as vehicles age
398 Zolfaghari, Daina & Polak (Imperial) Playable transport models: Principles, opportunities and challenges
450 Karcanias, Hessami & Alonso (City) System of systems and multi-modal transportation
6C CYCLING
Room B103
Chair: H. Roby
429 Miah, Kaparias & Liatsis (City) Development and testing of a prototype instrumented bicycle model for the prevention of cyclist accidents
419 Philips, Watling & Timms (Leeds) Improving estimates of capacity of populations to make journeys by walking and cycling 435 O’Hare, Thorpe, Namdeo & Bell (Newcastle) Piloting methods to explore the influence of hard and soft environmental factors on cycling behaviour across social groups
6D TRANSPORT POLICY
Room B104
Chair: C. Bartle
388 Dudley & Banister (Oxford) Expertise and the dynamics of decision making in large infrastructure projects: from UK trunk roads to High Speed Rail 2
455 Nellthorp (Leeds) Designing urban transport policies for public acceptability: an extension of economic analysis applied to metro investment, bus priority and road pricing
464 Clark & Parkhurst (UWE) When policy recommendations get lost in translation: An examination of the express coach ‘niche’ as a missed sustainable mobility opportunity
11.10 – 11.30 Tea/coffee break in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
4 18/12/2014
11.30-13.00 Session 7
7A MODE CHOICE
Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre
Chair: D. Potoglou
394 Huang (Leeds) (SMEED) Modelling co-evolution of residential location and mode choice in a linear monocentric city
424 Pangbourne & Masthoff (Aberdeen) The message is the medium – influencing travel behaviour change using persuasive technologies
463 Chatterjee & Heinen (UWE) The same mode again? Mode choice variability in Great Britain
7B TRANSPORT AND LAND USE I
Room BG03
Chair: D. Bonilla
410 Yilmaz, Zolfaghari, Polak & Sivakumar (Imperial) Evaluating the land use effects of Silvertown Tunnel using a prototype UrbanSim model of Greater London
404 Wen, Goodman, Namdeo, Bell & Zhao (Newcastle) Effect of land use planning on transport sustainability
405 Banerjee (Ulster) (SMEED) ‘Where we live’ and ‘how we travel’ – Interpreting the influence of urban form on travel patterns using PLS-SEM
7C PUBLIC TRANSPORT OPERATIONS II
Room B103
Chair: S. Blainey
423 Pavlides & Chow (UCL) A study of cost functions for timetabling national railway operations
459 Nadudvari & Liu (Leeds) Modelling passengers’ route choice behaviour on the London Underground: application of two choice modelling approaches
7D SUSTAINABILITY AND EMMISSIONS
Room B104
Chair: R. North
443 Franco, Galatioto, Bell & Christgen (Newcastle) Can food waste feed UK waste collection fleets? A sustainable approach to waste management
436 Hu, Mascia, Han, Thiyagarajah, Luan & North (Imperial) Assessment of different urban traffic control strategy impacts on vehicle emissions 428 Linton, Grant-Muller & Gain (Leeds) Developing a methodology to quantify emissions associated with excess capacity in urban transport systems
13.00-14.00 Lunch in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
14.00-16.00 Meetings and research training workshops
Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre
14.00-15.00 Annual business meeting Chair: J. Nelson 15.00-15.30 UTSG @ 50 forum discussion Moderator: J. Nelson 15.30-16.00 Transport Systems Catapult workshop Moderator: R. North
Room BG03
14.00-15.00 Postgraduate and research students’ meeting Chair: R. Beecham 15.00-16.00 Research training workshop: A guide to successful research publication Moderator: J. Stokes
Room B103
15.00-16.00 Research training workshop: How to do well in the PhD viva Moderator: D. Potoglou
5 18/12/2014
16.00-16.20 Tea/coffee break in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
16.20-17:20 Session 8
8A INNOVATIVE MODELLING II
Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre
Chair: B. Heydecker
440 Imprialou (Loughborough) (SMEED) A new modelling approach to develop accident-speed relationships using multivariate Poisson log-normal regression models
453 Pal (City) Agent-based simulation model for supply chain transportation corridors
8B TRANSPORT AND LAND USE II
Room BG03
Chair: M. Beecroft
460 Hardini (Leeds) Comparing descriptions of transport infrastructure and land use relationship of different perspectives: Understanding from city growth theories
461 Jahanshani (Cambridge) (SMEED) The built environment typologies in the UK and their influences on travel behaviour
8C ICT AND TRANSPORT II
Room B103
Chair: K. Chatterjee
451 Lekshmy, Corsar, Velaga, Nelson, Edwards & Beran (Aberdeen) Using the Crowd to enable smart mobility
393 Clayton & Jain (UWE) Imagined journeys: Experiences of connecting home for those who travel away for work
8D LOW CARBON TRAVEL
Room B104
Chair: P. Franco
387 Chatterton, Williams, Marsden, Mullen, Anable, Docherty, Faulconbridge, Cass, Roby & Doughty (UWE) Flexi-mobility: Helping local authorities unlock low carbon travel?
400 Thorpe & Harvey (Newcastle) Why are we not all wanting to drive an electric vehicle?
17.30-18.00 Session 9 (Plenary) Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Chair: G. Parkhurst 415 Matthews (Leeds) Where do we go from here? Technology and visually impaired people’s mobility
18.45 Group departure from DoubleTree by Hilton Hotel London – Islington to Embankment Pier
19.30-20.00 Boarding and drinks reception on board the Harmony (Bateaux Cruises) at Embankment Pier
20.00-22.30 Sailing and conference dinner on board the Harmony (Bateaux Cruises)
6 18/12/2014
Wednesday 7 January
08:30-09:00 Tea/coffee in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
09:00-10:00 Session 10
10A SUSTAINABILITY INITIATIVES
Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre
Chair: G. Dudley
411 Williams (UWE) (SMEED) Social practice theory and sustainable mobility: An analysis of English local transport planning as a system of provision
426 Bartle & Chatterjee (UWE) Employer attitudes to sustainable transport initiatives: Perceptions of senior managers in North Bristol
10B AVIATION
Room BG03
Chair: A. Evans
389 Busquets (City) Application of machine learning techniques in air traffic forecasting
421 Edwards (Leeds) (SMEED) Aircraft cost index and the future of carbon emissions from air travel
10C SOCIAL MEDIA I
Room B103
Chair: G. Yeboah
401 Dickinson, Hibbert, Speed & Cherrett (Bournemouth) Collaborative travel apps, reciprocity and the Internet of Things
448 Gault, Corsar, Edwards, Nelson, Cottrill & Galan-Diaz (Aberdeen) Passenger probe kits: Understanding the experience of commuters and social media
10D SHOPPING TRAVEL
Room B104
Chair: R. Johnson
413 Roby (Open) 'Click and collect'; How will this affect travel practices
441 Suel, Zolfaghari & Polak (Imperial) Mobility impacts of multi-channel retailing: joint model of shopping channel and destination choice
10.10-11.10 Session 11
11A EVALUATING SMARTER CHOICES
Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre
Chair: B. Clark
430 Heinen, Panter, Mackett & Ogilvie (Cambridge) Changes in commute mode choice of a new transport infrastructure intervention 385 Melia (UWE) Bias and evidence hierarchies in the evaluation of smarter choices
11B CAR FOLLOWING APPLICATIONS
Room BG03
Chair: R. Beecham
454 Mamouei, Kaparias & Halikias (City) A quantitative approach to behavioural analysis of drivers in highways using particle filtering
446 Appiah, Saleh & Stewart (Napier) Evaluation of existing car-following models and calibration parameters using real time series data
11C SOCIAL MEDIA II
Room B103
Chair: J. Dickinson
438 Chen, Guo & Blythe (Newcastle) Understanding travellers’ social media behaviour: What are travellers talking about M25 on Twitter?
457 Cottrill, Yeboah, Gault, Nelson, Anable & Budd (Aberdeen) Tweeting transport: Examining the use of Twitter in transport events
11D TRANSPORT FUTURES
Room B104
Chair: T. Chatterton
399 Beecroft & Pangbourne (Aberdeen) Automated? Flexible? Secure? Exploring public transport futures
462 Enoch (Loughborough) Looking through a windscreen at a future of motoring
Luggage storage is available at the cloakroom next to room B103
7 18/12/2014
11.10-11.40 Tea/coffee break in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
11.40-12.30 Session 12 (Plenary) Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Chair: J. Nelson
Philip Rutnam (Permanent Secretary, Department for Transport) Major challenges in transport and the response to them
12.30-13.00 Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre: Award of Smeed Prize and Closing Session
13.00 Grab and go lunch in Oliver Thompson Lecture Theatre Foyer
The following full papers are not on the Conference USB stick: 397, 398, 407, 408, 415, 416, 430, 431, 441, 463 Please contact the authors directly or check the paper archive on the UTSG website should you wish to obtain a copy.
