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Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Nonlinear Time DomainModeling and Simulation of
Surface and Embedded NPPS
Boris Jeremicwith contributions from
Federico Pisanò, Jose Abell, Kohei Watanabe, Chao Luo
University of California, DavisLawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley
DOE NPH,October 2014
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Outline
IntroductionMotivationModeling Uncertainty
ESSI ModelingModeling Issues3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic WavesNonlinear Material Behavior
Summary
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Motivation
Outline
IntroductionMotivationModeling Uncertainty
ESSI ModelingModeling Issues3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic WavesNonlinear Material Behavior
Summary
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Motivation
Motivation
I Improving seismic design (safety and economy) forNuclear Facilities (NFs)
I Earthquake Soil Structure Interaction (ESSI) in time andspace, plays a major role in successes and failures
I Accurate following and directing (!) the flow of seismicenergy in ESSI system to optimize ESSI system for
I Safety andI Economy
I Development of high fidelity numerical modeling andsimulation tools to analyze realistic ESSI behavior,Real ESSI Simulator
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Motivation
Predictive CapabilitiesI Verification provides evidence that the model is solved
correctly. Mathematics issue.I Validation provides evidence that the correct model is
solved. Physics issue.I Prediction: use of computational model to foretell the state
of a physical system under consideration under conditionsfor which the computational model has not been validated.
I Real ESSI Simulator: a software, hardware anddocumentation system for high fidelity, high performance,time domain, nonlinear, 3D, finite element modeling andsimulation of earthquake-soil/rock-structure interaction ofNuclear Facilities (NFs)
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Motivation
Seismic Energy Input and Dissipation for NFs
I Seismic waves input (flux) into SSI systemI Mechanical dissipation outside of SSI domain:
I reflected (surface, NF) wave radiationI SSI (NF) system oscillation radiation
I Mechanical dissipation/conversion inside SSI domain:I plasticity of soil and rockI nonlinear contact zone (foundation – soil/rock)I plasticity/damage of structure, foundationI viscous coupling of porous solid with pore fluid (soil)I viscous coupling of structure/foundation with fluids
I Numerical energy dissipation/production
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Modeling Uncertainty
Outline
IntroductionMotivationModeling Uncertainty
ESSI ModelingModeling Issues3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic WavesNonlinear Material Behavior
Summary
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Modeling Uncertainty
Modeling Uncertainty
I Real ESSI goal: reduction of modeling uncertainty
I Simplified modeling: important features are neglected(structure complexity, 6D ground motions, non-linearities)
I Modeling Uncertainty: unnecessary and unrealisticmodeling simplifications
I Modeling simplifications are justifiable if one or two levelhigher sophistication model shows that features beingsimplified out are not important
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Modeling Uncertainty
Complexity and Uncertainty in Motions and MaterialI 6D (3 translations (horizontal and vertical), 3 rotations)
I Sources of uncertainties in ground motions (Source, Path(rock), soil (rock))
I Most engineering materials and components experienceinelastic deformations for service and hazard loads
I Pressure sensitive materials (soil, rock, concrete, &c.)have complex constitutive response, tying togethernonlinear stress-strain with volume response
I In addition, man-made and natural materials are spatiallyvariable and their material modeling parameters areuncertain
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Modeling Uncertainty
SPT Based Determination of Young’s Modulus
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
SPT N Value
You
ng’s
Mod
ulus
, E (
kPa)
E = (101.125*19.3) N 0.63
−10000 0 10000
0.00002
0.00004
0.00006
0.00008
Residual (w.r.t Mean) Young’s Modulus (kPa)
Nor
mal
ized
Fre
quen
cy
Transformation of SPT N-value→ 1-D Young’s modulus, E (cf.Phoon and Kulhawy (1999B))Histogram of the residual (w.r.t the deterministic transformationequation) Young’s modulus, along with fitted probability densityfunction
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Modeling Issues
Outline
IntroductionMotivationModeling Uncertainty
ESSI ModelingModeling Issues3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic WavesNonlinear Material Behavior
Summary
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Modeling Issues
Important Issues for ESSI Modeling and Simulation
I Verification and Validation
I 6D, inclined, body and surface seismic waves
I Uncorrelated (incoherent) motions
I Nonlinear material (soil, rock, concrete, steel, &c.)
I Nonlinear foundation-soil/rock contact (dry and saturated),slip – gap
I Saturated dense vs loose soil with buoyant forces
I Isolators, dissipators
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Modeling Issues
ESSI Models
Detailedhighfidelitymodelstakingintoaccountall of theissues
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Modeling Issues
In Detail: Main ESSI Issues for SMRs
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic Waves
Outline
IntroductionMotivationModeling Uncertainty
ESSI ModelingModeling Issues3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic WavesNonlinear Material Behavior
Summary
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic Waves
Real Earthquake Ground Motions
I Body waves: P and S waves
I Inclined waves
I Surface waves: Rayleigh, Love waves, &c.
I 6D waves (3 translations, 3 rotations)
I Surface waves carry most seismic energy
I Lack of correlation (incoherence)
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic Waves
3D, Body and Surface Seismic Waves
2km10km
5km
x
y
xy
1
1
22
2km
0.2km
0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Time (s)
0.2 m/s2
z=3000m
z=3200m
z=3400m
z=3600m
z=3800m
z=4000m
z=4200m
z=4400m
z=4600m
z=4800m
z=5000m
0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Time (s)
0.2 m/s2
z=3000m
z=3200m
z=3400m
z=3600m
z=3800m
z=4000m
z=4200m
z=4400m
z=4600m
z=4800m
z=5000m
horizontal accelerations vertical accelerationsJeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic Waves
Body and Surface Wave Animations
I Homogeneous soil/rock, 45deg off vertical
I Homogeneous soil/rock, 45deg off vertical, motion vectors
I Homogeneous soil/rock, 45deg off vertical, motion vectors,NPP location
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Nonlinear Material Behavior
Outline
IntroductionMotivationModeling Uncertainty
ESSI ModelingModeling Issues3D, Inclined, Body and Surface Seismic WavesNonlinear Material Behavior
Summary
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Nonlinear Material Behavior
Validation: Lotung, LSST07, G/Gmax and Damping
I Nonlinear, 3D elastic-plastic, Pisanò material model forLotung (validation)
I 1D wave propagation, only LSST07 is close to 1D!I No volume change data (a serious issue!)
10−4
10−3
10−2
10−1
1000
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1 (0.0001,1)(0.0003,0.98)(0.001,0.92)
(0.0033,0.77)
(0.01,0.59)
(0.0333,0.43)
(0.1,0.27)
(0.333,0.14)(1,0.08)
(0.0001,1)(0.0003,1) (0.001,0.98)(0.0033,0.93)
(0.01,0.8)
(0.0333,0.57)
(0.1,0.29)
(0.333,0.12)(1,0.08)
Shear Strain[%]
G/G
max
0−6m6−34m34−47m
10−4
10−3
10−2
10−1
1000
5
10
15
20
(0.0001,1.2)(0.0003,1.4)(0.001,1.7) (0.0033,2.1)(0.01,3.3)
(0.0333,6.5)
(0.1,11.2)
(0.333,16)
(1,18.6)
(0.0001,1.2)(0.0003,1.4)(0.001,1.7) (0.0033,2.1)(0.01,3.3)
(0.0333,5.1)
(0.1,7.5)
(0.333,11)
(1,13.5)
Shear Strain[%]
Dam
ping
Rat
io[%
]
0−6m6−34m34−47m
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Nonlinear Material Behavior
Validation: Lotung, LSST07, Downhole Motions
0 10 20 30−2
−1
0
1
2
t[s]
a[m
/s2 ]
Time History of Surface
Recorded MotionSimulated Motion
0 10 20 30−2
−1
0
1
2
t[s]
a[m
/s2 ]
Time History of 6m depth
Recorded MotionSimulated Motion
0 10 20 30−2
−1
0
1
2
t[s]
a[m
/s2 ]
Time History of 11m depth
Recorded MotionSimulated Motion
0 10 20 30−2
−1
0
1
2
t[s]
a[m
/s2 ]
Time History of 17m depth
Recorded MotionSimulated Motion
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Nonlinear Material Behavior
Validation: Lotung, LSST07, Fourier Spectra
100
101
0
100
200
300
400
f[Hz]
Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de [m
/s2 ]
Fourier Spectrum of Surface
Recorded MotionSimulated Motion
100
101
0
100
200
300
400
f[Hz]
Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de [m
/s2 ]
Fourier Spectrum of 6m depth
Recorded MotionSimulated Motion
100
101
0
100
200
300
400
f[Hz]
Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de [m
/s2 ]
Fourier Spectrum of 11m depth
Recorded MotionSimulated Motion
100
101
0
100
200
300
400
f[Hz]
Fou
rier
Am
plitu
de [m
/s2 ]
Fourier Spectrum of 17m depth
Recorded MotionSimulated Motion
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Nonlinear Material Behavior
NPP with Base Slip and GapI Low friction zone between
concrete foundation and soil/rockI Inclined, 3D, body and surface,
seismic wave field (wavelets:Ricker, Ormsby; real seismic, &c.)
0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Time (s)
0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Time (s)
horizontal verticalJeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Nonlinear Material Behavior
Acc. Response for a Full 3D (at 45◦) Ricker Wavelet
top X
-40
-20
0
20
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Acc
eler
atio
n (m
/s2)
Time (s)
Slip BehaviorNo-slip Behavior
top Z
-40
-20
0
20
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Acc
eler
atio
n (m
/s2)
Time (s)
Slip BehaviorNo-slip Behavior
bottom X
-40
-20
0
20
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Acc
eler
atio
n (m
/s2)
Time (s)
Slip BehaviorNo-slip Behavior
bottom Z
-40
-20
0
20
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Acc
eler
atio
n (m
/s2)
Time (s)
Slip BehaviorNo-slip Behavior
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Nonlinear Material Behavior
Slipping Response and Energy Dissipated (45◦ Ricker)4.5s 4.6s 4.7s
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
4.8s 4.9s 5.0s
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
5.1s 5.2s 5.3s
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Ene
rgy
(kJ)
Time (s)
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Nonlinear Material Behavior
Gaping Response (45◦ Ricker Wavelet)4.5s 4.6s 4.7s
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110Y
(m
)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
4.8s 4.9s 5.0s
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
5.1s 5.2s 5.3s
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X (m)
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Y (
m)
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Summary
Summary
I Earthquake Soil Structure Interaction, in time domain,nonlinear, uncertain, plays a decisive role in seismicperformance of Nuclear Facilities
I Improve design and retrofits (safety and economy) throughhigh fidelity, physics based modeling and simulation
I Real ESSI Simulator System, verified (extensive) andvalidated (not so extensive), for modeling and simulationsused for design, retrofits and regulatory decision making
I Education and training of users (designers, regulators,owners) proves essential
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation
Introduction ESSI Modeling Summary
Summary
Acknowledgement
I Funding from and collaboration with the US-NRC,US-DOE, US-NSF, CNSC, LLNL, INL, AREVA NP GmbH,and Shimizu Corp. is greatly appreciated,
I Collaborators: Dr. Budnitz (LBNL), Dr. Kammerer (BechtelCorp.), Prof. Whittaker (UB), Mr. Orbovic (CNSC), Prof.Pisanò (TU Delft), Prof. Sett (UB), and UCD students: Mr.Abell, Mr. Jeong, Mr. Kamranimoghadam, Mr. Karapiperis,Mr. Watanabe, Mr. Chao, Dr. Tafazzoli,
Jeremic et al.
ESSI Modeling and Simulation