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180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
1
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
No Metrolinx funding tool has majority support Enthusiasm high only in 416
Toronto, May 29th, 2013 – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 918 Ontarians 18 years of age and older, no more than about 4-in-10 approve of any of the funding tools recommended by Metrolinx on Monday, May 27TH, but approval is highest for all in the Toronto 416 area code.
Development charges, parking levy most popular
Just more than 4-in-10 in total approve of the 15% increase in development charges (42%) and a 25 cent per day regional parking levy (43%). The development charge increase is especially popular in the 416 area code (58%) but less so in southwestern Ontario (31%). The parking levy is also most popular in the 416 (51%) and least popular in the 905 area code surrounding Toronto (33%).
Gas tax and sales tax are unpopular
About one quarter approve of the 5 cent per litre gas tax (25%) or the 1% sales tax increase (27%). The gas tax is least popular in the 905 surrounding Toronto (13%), and the sales tax increase is least popular in southwestern Ontario (13%).
Even split on approval of cost to household
One half of Ontarians agree about $500 per year per household is a reasonable amount to pay to eliminate congestion and gridlock, while half think it is not reasonable (49% each). In the 905 surrounding Toronto, more think it unreasonable (58%) than think it reasonable (41%).
"We've polled Metrolinx's suggested funding tools every time they've been recommended, and we've yet to find strong support. GTHA residents see these tools as taxes, and aren't sure what they're going to get for them. Metrolinx has to do a better job of describing specific projects these funds will be used for," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at [email protected] or at (416) 960-9603.
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
HIGHLIGHTS:
No more than about 4-in-10 approve of any of the funding tools recommended by Metrolinx on Monday, May 27, but approval is highest for all in the Toronto 416 area code.
Just more than 4-in-10 in total approve of the 15% increase in development charges (42%) and a 25 cent per day regional parking levy (43%).
About one quarter or fewer approve of the 5 cent per litre gas tax (25%) or the 1% sales tax increase (27%). The gas tax is least popular in the 905 surrounding Toronto (13%), and the sales tax increase is least popular in southwestern Ontario (13%).
"We've polled Metrolinx's suggested funding tools every time they've been recommended, and we've yet to find strong support. GTHA residents see these tools as taxes, and aren't sure what they're going to get for them. Metrolinx has to a better job of describing specific projects these funds will be used for," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
2
Methodology
The Forum Poll™ was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 918 randomly selected residents of the GTA 18 years of age and older. The poll was conducted on May 28th, 2013.
Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample (such as age, gender) results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp.
Where appropriate, the data has been statistically weighted to ensure that the sample reflects the actual population according to the latest Census data.
This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather, captures opinion at one point in time. Forum Research conducted this poll as a public service and to demonstrate our survey research capabilities.
With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian-owned Forum Research is one of the country’s leading survey research firms. This and other polls may be found at Forum's poll archive at www.forumresearch.com/polls.asp.
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
3
Funding Tools Summary Table
‘Metrolinx, the provincial transportation agency, has proposed a number of taxes and fees to fund transit and transportation. Do you approve or disapprove of each of the following:’
Approval of: Approve Disapprove Don't know
15% increase in the charges developers pay 42 44 13
5 cent per litre gas tax 25 69 5
regional parking levy of 25 cents per space per day 43 45 12
1% sales tax hike Ontario 27 68 5
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
4
Metrolinx, the provincial transportation agency, has proposed a number of taxes and fees to fund transit and transportation. Do you approve or disapprove of each of the following: ‘A 1% sales tax hike in Ontario to fund transit and transportation projects in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area and infrastructure projects across the rest of the province’: [All Respondents]
Age / Gender
% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female
Sample 918 64 99 216 249 290 408 510 Approve 27 24 26 27 25 34 28 26
Disapprove 68 71 69 68 72 60 68 69
Don't know 5 4 5 5 3 6 4 5
Region
% Total E. Ont 416 905 GTA SW. Ont N. Ont
Sample 918 128 206 249 455 201 134 Approve 27 23 40 32 35 13 24
Disapprove 68 73 56 65 61 81 68
Don't know 5 4 4 3 3 6 8
Household Income
% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100-250K $250K+
Sample 918 61 157 119 118 103 187 27 Approve 27 30 25 23 26 24 35 29
Disapprove 68 62 73 70 70 68 63 64
Don't know 5 8 3 6 4 8 2 7
Current Provincial Party Preference
% Total PC Lib NDP Green Another Party
Sample 918 279 320 185 57 40 Approve 27 15 43 20 30 29
Disapprove 68 83 53 73 66 67
Don't know 5 2 4 7 4 4
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
5
Current Federal Party Preference
% Total Cons Lib NDP Green Other
Sample 918 305 353 149 50 27 Approve 27 18 39 26 17 16
Disapprove 68 80 57 65 78 78
Don't know 5 2 4 8 5 6
Education
% Total Secondary
school or less Some college or
university Completed college
or university Post graduate
studies
Sample 918 169 260 328 161 Approve 27 21 22 26 43
Disapprove 68 77 69 72 51
Don't know
5 2 9 2 5
Marital Status
% Total Married or living
common law Separated or
divorced Widowed or
widower Single, never
married
Sample 918 589 100 109 120 Approve 27 26 25 38 26
Disapprove 68 69 73 56 68
Don't know
5 5 2 6 6
Religion
% Total Protestant Christian
Evangelical Christian
Catholic
Other Christian
Other None
Sample 918 335 32 232 76 73 170 Approve 27 26 10 25 35 19 33
Disapprove 68 70 85 70 63 74 61
Don't know
5 4 5 5 3 7 5
Ethnicity
% Total Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Other
Sample 918 556 125 138 75 Approve 27 23 45 24 33
Disapprove 68 73 49 68 61
Don't know 5 4 6 7 6
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
6
Parking levy of 25 cents per space per day in GTA and Hamilton area ‘A regional parking levy of 25 cents per space per day in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area:’ [All Respondents]
Age / Gender
% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female
Sample 918 64 99 216 249 290 408 510 Approve 43 32 54 43 49 41 46 39
Disapprove 45 56 36 47 39 40 44 46
Don't know 12 12 10 10 12 19 10 14
Region
% Total E. Ont 416 905 GTA SW. Ont N. Ont
Sample 918 128 206 249 455 201 134 Approve 43 51 51 33 40 43 41
Disapprove 45 37 42 59 52 37 44
Don't know 12 12 7 9 8 21 15
Household Income
% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100-250K $250K+
Sample 918 61 157 119 118 103 187 27 Approve 43 18 35 34 52 45 56 52
Disapprove 45 61 54 49 35 38 36 48
Don't know 12 21 11 18 13 17 8 0
Current Provincial Party Preference
% Total PC Lib NDP Green Another Party
Sample 918 279 320 185 57 40 Approve 43 40 48 40 47 34
Disapprove 45 48 39 47 38 61
Don't know 12 12 13 12 15 5
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
7
Current Federal Party Preference
% Total Conservative Liberal New Democratic Green Other
Sample 918 305 353 149 50 27 Approve 43 40 46 45 42 39
Disapprove 45 48 41 44 40 51
Don't know 12 11 13 10 18 10
Education
% Total Secondary
school or less Some college or
university Completed college
or university Post graduate
studies
Sample 918 169 260 328 161 Approve 43 30 38 46 52
Disapprove 45 58 46 41 41
Don't know
12 12 15 13 7
Marital Status
% Total Married or living
common law Separated or
divorced Widowed or
widower Single, never
married
Sample 918 589 100 109 120 Approve 43 48 44 38 26
Disapprove 45 43 46 38 56
Don't know
12 10 11 24 18
Religion
% Total Protestant Christian
Evangelical Christian
Catholic Other
Christian Other None
Sample 918 335 32 232 76 73 170 Approve 43 47 32 36 44 34 50
Disapprove 45 41 54 51 43 49 40
Don't know
12 12 14 13 13 16 10
Ethnicity
% Total Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Other
Sample 918 556 125 138 75 Approve 43 41 59 41 35
Disapprove 45 48 34 40 48
Don't know 12 11 7 19 17
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
8
5 cent per litre gas tax in the GTA and Hamilton
‘A 5 cent per litre gas tax in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area:’ [All Respondents]
Age / Gender
% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female
Sample 918 64 99 216 249 290 408 510 Approve 25 22 30 22 26 29 30 21
Disapprove 69 76 65 74 66 62 66 73
Don't know 5 3 5 4 8 9 4 6
Region
% Total E. Ont 416 905 GTA SW. Ont N. Ont
Sample 918 128 206 249 455 201 134 Approve 25 27 30 13 20 30 35
Disapprove 69 64 68 84 78 62 60
Don't know 5 8 1 4 3 8 5
Household Income
% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100-250K $250K+
Sample 918 61 157 119 118 103 187 27 Approve 25 7 19 16 23 29 41 31
Disapprove 69 80 78 74 71 66 56 69
Don't know 5 13 3 10 6 5 3 0
Current Provincial Party Preference
% Total PC Lib NDP Green Another Party
Sample 918 279 320 185 57 40 Approve 25 14 34 27 41 25
Disapprove 69 81 60 69 55 74
Don't know 5 5 6 4 4 1
Current Federal Party Preference
% Total Cons Lib NDP Green Other
Sample 918 305 353 149 50 27 Approve 25 18 32 32 18 22
Disapprove 69 78 62 64 75 76
Don't know 5 4 6 4 7 2
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
9
Education
% Total Secondary
school or less Some college or
university Completed college
or university Post graduate
studies
Sample 918 169 260 328 161 Approve 25 16 18 27 42
Disapprove 69 75 78 68 55
Don't know
5 9 4 5 3
Marital Status
% Total Married or living
common law Separated or
divorced Widowed or
widower Single, never
married
Sample 918 589 100 109 120 Approve 25 28 12 20 27
Disapprove 69 68 83 65 69
Don't know
5 4 5 15 4
Religion
% Total Protestant Christian
Evangelical Christian
Catholic Other
Christian Other None
Sample 918 335 32 232 76 73 170 Approve 25 25 25 20 24 26 33
Disapprove 69 71 73 70 71 72 65
Don't know
5 4 2 10 4 2 3
Ethnicity
% Total Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Other
Sample 918 556 125 138 75 Approve 25 23 36 25 23
Disapprove 69 72 61 69 68
Don't know 5 5 4 6 9
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
10
15% increase in the charges developers pay
‘A 15% increase in the charges developers pay:’
[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female
Sample 918 64 99 216 249 290 408 510 Approve 42 36 48 44 45 42 43 42
Disapprove 44 53 35 47 43 41 47 42
Don't know 13 11 17 9 13 18 11 15
Region
% Total E. Ont 416 905 GTA SW. Ont N. Ont
Sample 918 128 206 249 455 201 134 Approve 42 43 58 45 50 31 33
Disapprove 44 50 31 46 40 47 50
Don't know 13 7 11 10 10 22 17
Household Income
% Total <$20K $20-40K $40-60K $60-80K $80-100K $100-250K $250K+
Sample 918 61 157 119 118 103 187 27 Approve 42 33 29 38 43 44 59 69
Disapprove 44 50 53 44 43 49 33 17
Don't know 13 17 18 19 14 8 8 13
Current Provincial Party Preference
% Total PC Lib NDP Green Another Party
Sample 918 279 320 185 57 40 Approve 42 29 56 44 45 34
Disapprove 44 59 32 40 38 61
Don't know 13 12 12 16 17 6
Current Federal Party Preference
% Total Cons Lib NDP Green Other
Sample 918 305 353 149 50 27 Approve 42 31 54 48 34 38
Disapprove 44 58 33 36 55 49
Don't know 13 12 14 16 11 13
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
11
Education
% Total Secondary
school or less Some college or
university Completed college
or university Post graduate
studies
Sample 918 169 260 328 161 Approve 42 32 35 41 66
Disapprove 44 48 48 47 29
Don't know
13 20 16 12 5
Marital Status
% Total Married or living
common law Separated or
divorced Widowed or
widower Single, never
married
Sample 918 589 100 109 120 Approve 42 46 36 42 32
Disapprove 44 41 55 37 53
Don't know
13 13 9 21 15
Religion
% Total Protestant Christian
Evangelical Christian
Catholic
Other Christian
Other None
Sample 918 335 32 232 76 73 170 Approve 42 46 27 37 34 50 47
Disapprove 44 45 64 45 54 42 36
Don't know
13 9 9 18 12 8 16
Ethnicity
% Total Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Other
Sample 918 556 125 138 75 Approve 42 39 63 47 32
Disapprove 44 46 21 47 50
Don't know 13 14 15 6 18
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
12
Reasonable amount to ask households to pay to eliminate congestion
‘All together, these taxes and fees may add up to a total of about $500 per household annually in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area. Is this a reasonable amount to ask households to pay to eliminate congestion and gridlock?’
[All Respondents]
Age / Gender
% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female
Sample 918 64 99 216 249 290 408 510 NET: Top2 49 44 58 46 52 46 50 48
NET: Btm2 49 54 40 51 46 51 47 50
Very reasonable 20 18 24 17 19 20 22 18
Somewhat reasonable 29 26 35 29 33 26 28 30
Not very reasonable 28 24 25 27 29 40 24 33
Not at all reasonable 20 30 14 23 17 11 24 17
Don't know 2 2 2 4 2 3 2 2
Region
% Total E. Ont 416 905 GTA SW. Ont N. Ont
Sample 918 128 206 249 455 201 134 NET: Top2 49 60 49 41 44 48 55
NET: Btm2 49 36 49 58 55 48 43
Very reasonable 20 15 26 16 20 14 30
Somewhat reasonable 29 44 23 25 24 34 25
Not very reasonable 28 15 28 30 29 34 31
Not at all reasonable 20 21 21 28 25 15 11
Don't know 2 4 2 1 1 4 3
Household Income
% Total <$20K $20-40K
$40-60K
$60-80K
$80-100K
$100-250K
$250K+
Sample 918 61 157 119 118 103 187 27 NET: Top2 49 49 45 45 55 49 57 52
NET: Btm2 49 51 52 54 42 49 41 48
Very reasonable 20 25 13 18 19 19 29 36
Somewhat reasonable
29 24 32 27 36 30 28 15
Not very reasonable
28 33 40 26 28 24 20 25
Not at all reasonable
20 18 12 28 14 25 22 24
Don't know 2 0 3 1 3 2 2 0
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
13
Current Provincial Party Preference
% Total PC Lib NDP Green Another Party
Sample 918 279 320 185 57 40 NET: Top2 49 39 63 47 43 57
NET: Btm2 49 60 35 52 46 39
Very reasonable 20 10 28 20 21 33
Somewhat reasonable 29 29 35 27 21 24
Not very reasonable 28 33 23 32 28 16
Not at all reasonable 20 27 12 20 17 22
Don't know 2 1 1 1 12 4
Current Federal Party Preference
% Total Cons Lib NDP Green Other
Sample 918 305 353 149 50 27 NET: Top2 49 44 57 52 40 57
NET: Btm2 49 55 41 46 51 43
Very reasonable 20 12 26 24 17 24
Somewhat reasonable 29 32 31 27 22 33
Not very reasonable 28 32 25 34 21 35
Not at all reasonable 20 23 16 12 29 8
Don't know 2 1 3 2 9 0
Education
% Total Secondary
school or less Some college or university
Completed college or university
Post graduate studies
Sample 918 169 260 328 161 NET: Top2 49 54 50 43 58
NET: Btm2 49 44 49 55 39
Very reasonable
20 13 17 19 30
Somewhat reasonable
29 41 33 24 28
Not very reasonable
28 34 30 26 26
Not at all reasonable
20 9 18 29 13
Don't know 2 2 2 3 3
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
14
Marital Status
% Total Married or living
common law Separated or
divorced Widowed or
widower Single, never
married
Sample 918 589 100 109 120 NET: Top2 49 51 49 49 43
NET: Btm2 49 47 51 47 53
Very reasonable
20 22 14 17 16
Somewhat reasonable
29 29 35 31 27
Not very reasonable
28 29 25 42 23
Not at all reasonable
20 18 26 5 30
Don't know 2 2 1 4 5
Religion
% Total Protestant Christian
Evangelical Christian
Catholic
Other Christian
Other None
Sample 918 335 32 232 76 73 170 NET: Top2 49 48 55 47 39 41 61
NET: Btm2 49 49 45 52 60 58 34
Very reasonable
20 17 9 19 13 21 29
Somewhat reasonable
29 31 45 28 26 21 32
Not very reasonable
28 28 20 30 33 43 18
Not at all reasonable
20 21 26 22 27 14 16
Don't know 2 2 0 1 2 1 5
Ethnicity
% Total Canadian British, Scots, Irish or
Welsh Other
European Other
Sample 918 556 125 138 75 NET: Top2 49 48 63 46 43
NET: Btm2 49 49 34 53 55
Very reasonable 20 16 32 21 19
Somewhat reasonable
29 31 31 25 24
Not very reasonable 28 29 20 31 37
Not at all reasonable 20 21 15 22 18
Don't know 2 3 3 1 1
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
180 Bloor Street W., #1400
Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
15
-30-
For more information: Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. President Forum Research Inc. Tel: (416) 960-9603 Fax: (416) 960-9602 E-mail: [email protected]
MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President
416.960.9603
TORONTO
May 29th, 2013
