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INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
NNPDF3.0 parton distributions for theLHC run II
Christopher S. DeansUniversity of Edinburgh
On behalf of the NNPDF collaboration:R. D. Ball, V. Bertone, S. Carrazza, CD, L. Del Debbio, S. Forte, A. Guffanti,
N. P. Hartland, J. I. Latorre, J. Rojo, M. Ubiali
QCD 14, Montpellier30 June, 2014
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
OUTLINE
INTRODUCTION
Parton Distribution FunctionsNNPDF ApproachCurrent PDFs
NNPDF3.0New DataMethodology
CLOSURE TESTS
ImplementationResults
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
Parton Distributions
CONCLUSIONS
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
PARTON DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS
Plot from PDG2013 update
I PDF characterize partoncontent of the proton
I Important input intocalculations of LHCobservables
I PDFs are fit from data, andLHC input is important
(H)
[pb]
σ
17
17.5
18
18.5
19
19.5
20
= 0.119 - PDF uncertaintiesSαLHC 8 TeV - iHixs 1.3 NNLO -
NNPDF2.3
MSTW08
CT10
ABM11
HERAPDF1.5
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
NNPDF APPROACH
I Global Fit, determinedusing a wide range ofobservables (DIS,Drell-Yan, Inclusivejets...)
I Monte Carlo ReplicaPDFs provideuncertainties
I Neural Networks usedas unbiasedinterpolaters
I Genetic Algorthm toefficiently obtain best fitPDFs
x-510 -410 -310 -210 -110
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-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7)2xg(x,Q
Replica PDFsMean value
error bandσ168% CL band
)2xg(x,Q
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
CURRENT PDFS – NNPDF2.3 [ARXIV:1207.1303]
x-510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1
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1
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5
6
7)
02xg(x, Q
NNPDF2.3 NNLO
NNPDF2.1 NNLO
NNPDF2.3 NNLO
NNPDF2.1 NNLO
)02xg(x, Q
x-510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7)
02(x, QΣx
NNPDF2.3 NNLO
NNPDF2.1 NNLO
NNPDF2.3 NNLO
NNPDF2.1 NNLO
)02(x, QΣx
I First public PDF set use LHCdata in the determination
I Includes all relevant LHC setsavailable with full correlations(at the time)
I ATLAS W and Z leptonrapidity
I ATLAS 7 TeV inclusive jetsI CMS W electron asymmetryI LHCb W rapidity
I Default PDF set inMadgraph5 aMC@NLO,Pythia 8, used in new Monash2013 tune
I Available in LHAPDF5.9 and 6.0
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
CURRENT PDFS – NNPDF2.3QED [ARXIV:1308.0598]
I PDF set based on NNPDF2.3 with QED corrections andaddition of photon PDF with uncertainty
I Photon-induced LHC processes included via reweightingI LHCb low-mass Z/γ∗I ATLAS inclusive W and Z productionI ATLAS high-mass Z/γ∗
I Both sets are available on LHAPDF at NLO and NNLOwith αS variations
x-510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1
)2(x
,Qγx
-0.02
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16MRST2004QEDNNPDF2.3QED averageNNPDF2.3QED replicas
σNNPDF 1NNPDF 68% c.l.
2 GeV4Photon PDF comparison at 10
x0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
)2(x
,Qγx
-0.01
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
2 GeV4Photon PDF comparison at 10
MRST2004QEDNNPDF2.3QED averageNNPDF2.3QED replicas
σNNPDF 1NNPDF 68% c.l.
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
NNPDF3.0
New PDF set, due for release this summer
I 1000 new datapoints from HERA-II and LHC, for a total of4000 datapoints
I Completely rewritten C++ code, with improved structure
I Extensively upgraded fitting methodology, refined andvalidated using closure tests
I Improved cross-validation to control overfitting
I Extended set of positivity constraints
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
NNPDF3.0 – NEW DATAI HERA-II
I H1 high Q2 NC and CC data [JHEP 1209 (2012) 061]I H1 low Q2, high y NC data [Eur.Phys.J. C71 (2011) 1579]I ZEUS NC and CC positron beam data
[Phys.Rev. D87 (2013) 5, 052014] [Eur.Phys.J. C70 (2010) 945-963]I HERA combined charm production [Eur.Phys.J. C73 (2013) 2311]
I ATLASI Inclusive jets
√s = 2.76 TeV (correlated with ATLAS 7 TeV
jets) [Eur.Phys.J. C73 (2013) 2509]I High Mass Drell-Yan [Eur.Phys.J. C70 (2010) 945-963]
I CMSI Inclusive jets
√s = 7 TeV [Phys.Rev. D87 (2013) 11, 112002]
I Double differential Drell-Yan [JHEP 1312 (2013) 030]I Muon charge asymmetry [arXiv:1312.6283]I W+ charm [JHEP 1402 (2014) 013]
I LHCbI Large rapidity Z→ ee [JHEP 1302 (2013) 106]
I t̄t total σ from ATLAS and CMS 7 TeV & 8 TeV
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
NNPDF3.0 DATA
x-610 -510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1
]2
[ G
eV2 T
/ p
2 /
M2
Q
1
10
210
310
410
510
610
710 FT DIS
HERA1
FT DY
TEV EW
TEV JET
ATLAS EW
LHCB EW
LHC JETS
HERA2
ATLAS JETS 2.76TEV
ATLAS HIGH MASS
ATLAS WpT
CMS W ASY
CMS JETS
CMS WC TOT
CMS WC RAT
LHCB Z
TTBAR
NNPDF3.0 NLO dataset
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
NEW THEORY
Progress in theory are an important part of reducing PDFuncertainties.
NNPDF3.0 makes use of several recent improvements:I Full NNLO top quark production cross section, differential
distribution coming soon. [Czakon, Fiedler, Mitov, Phys.Rev.Lett. 110
(2013) 25, 252004]
I NNLO inclusive jet production in the gg channel.[Gehrmann-De Ridder, Gehrmann, Glover, Pires, Phys.Rev.Lett. 110 (2013) 16,
162003], which we use to determine valid region forapproximate NNLO.
I QED and EW corrections provided by FEWZ3.1NNLO and EW corrections are included in NNPDF3.0 datasetvia c-factors
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
NNPDF3.0 METHODOLOGY
Major upgradeI Streamlined Genetic Algorithm Several obsolete features
removedI Nodal Mutations Exploit structure of neural networks in
genetic algorithmI Larger number of mutants Explore a larger region of
parameter spaceI Optimized Fits are significantly faster despite larger
datasetI Extended positivity New positivity constraints to ensure
positive definite cross-sections
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
UPDATED CROSS-VALIDATION
Neural network are very flexible – need to control overfittingIn NNPDF3.0 this is done using updated Cross-Validationstrategy
I Split data into two sets: training and validationI Train networks only on training set, but record validation χ2
I At the end of the fit, rewind to the point with the lowestvalidation χ2
This ‘optimal’ point hasthe best quality of fit tounseen data
Overfitting is prevented
GA generation0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
2 χ
2.2
2.25
2.3
2.35
2.4
2.45
2.5
per generation2χReplica
Training
Validation
per generation2χReplica
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
CLOSURE TESTS
Key Question: How do we know whether our methodologyworks? Or how close is our fit to the ‘true’ value?
Closure Tests can provide an answer: fit pseudo-data generatedusing known theory.
Advantages:I Can compare result of fit directly to (artificial) underlying
lawI Clean environment to test different fitting methodologiesI Possible to investigate overfitting
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
CLOSURE TESTS – IMPLEMENTATION
Closure test process:
I Generate observables using theory and PDF setI Makes use of existing tools for observables used in fits
(FastKernel tables)I Can use any PDF set as long as it has an LHgrid
I Add statistical noise using experimentaluncertainties and replace data values
I Generates perfectly consistent dataI Also possible create data without noise or to
intentionally add inconsistencies
I Fit with standard methodologyI Runs on same code as fit to experimental dataI Closure test are a good testing ground for
methodological improvements
I Compare fit PDFs to original PDF setI Since underlying law is know can directly compare how
close fit PDFs areI Can also look at overfitting: smaller χ2 but further away
PDFs
GeneratePseudodata
Perform Fit
Compare tooriginal
StartingPDF set
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
CLOSURE TEST RESULTS: NNPDF2.3
Experiments
NMC SLACBCDMS
CHORUSNTVDMN
HERA1AVZEUSHERA2
H1HERA2HERAF2CHARM
DYE886DYE605
CDF D0ZRAPATLAS
CMS LHCBTOP
2 χ
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
for experiments2χDistribution of
2χClosure_NNPDF23_preliminary 2χNNPDF23_nnlo_as_0118
2χClosure_NNPDF23_preliminary central 2χNNPDF23_nnlo_as_0118 central
for experiments2χDistribution of
I Closure test fit to NNPDF2.3pseudo-data.
I χ2 of 1.053 compared with1.058 for NNPDF2.3 itself
I Distances (see right)compatible with PDFuncertainties
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7)2(x,QΣx
Closure_NNPDF23_preliminary
NNPDF23_nnlo_as_0118_1gev
)2(x,QΣx
x-5
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10 -210 -110
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tanc
e (in
uni
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f sig
ma)
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5Distances for NNPDF2.3 closure test
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Distances for NNPDF2.3 closure test
x0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Dis
tanc
e (in
uni
ts o
f sig
ma)
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5Distances for NNPDF2.3 closure test
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Distances for NNPDF2.3 closure test
x-5
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tanc
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gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Uncertainty
x0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Dis
tanc
e (in
uni
ts o
f sig
ma)
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5Uncertainty
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Uncertainty
Closure test fit vs Generating PDF
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
CLOSURE TEST RESULTS: OTHER SETSMSTW2008
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Closure_MSTW_preliminary
MSTW2008nlo68cl
)2(x,QΣx
x-5
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10 -210 -110
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tanc
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f sig
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5Distances for MSTW2008 closure test
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Distances for MSTW2008 closure test
x0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Dis
tanc
e (in
uni
ts o
f sig
ma)
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1
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5Distances for MSTW2008 closure test
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Distances for MSTW2008 closure test
x-5
10 -410-3
10 -210 -110
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tanc
e (in
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f sig
ma)
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5Uncertainty
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Uncertainty
x0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Dis
tanc
e (in
uni
ts o
f sig
ma)
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1
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5Uncertainty
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Uncertainty
Closure test fit vs Generating PDF
CT10
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Closure_CT10_preliminary
CT10nnlo
)2(x,QΣx
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5Distances for CT10 closure test
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Distances for CT10 closure test
x0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Dis
tanc
e (in
uni
ts o
f sig
ma)
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5Distances for CT10 closure test
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Distances for CT10 closure test
x-5
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10 -210 -110
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tanc
e (in
uni
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ma)
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gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Uncertainty
x0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Dis
tanc
e (in
uni
ts o
f sig
ma)
0
1
2
3
4
5Uncertainty
gΣV
3Ts∆+s-s
Uncertainty
Closure test fit vs Generating PDF
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
PRELIMINARY NNPDF3.0 RESULTS
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NNPDF30_nnlo_preliminary
NNPDF23_nnlo_as_0118
)2xg(x,Q
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NNPDF30_nnlo_preliminary
NNPDF23_nnlo_as_0118
)2(x,QΣx
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1.6)2xV(x,Q
NNPDF30_nnlo_preliminary
NNPDF23_nnlo_as_0118
)2xV(x,Q
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1)2(x,Q+xs
140618-r1796-003-jr
NNPDF23_nnlo_as_0118_1gev
)2(x,Q+xs
Preliminary Preliminary
Preliminary Preliminary
INTRODUCTION NNPDF3.0 CLOSURE TESTS PRELIMINARY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS
CONCLUSIONS
I Current NNPDF releases:I NNPDF2.3: First public set with LHC dataI NNPDF2.3QED: Determination with QED corrections and
photon pdf with uncertaintiesI All of our fits are available on LHAPDF and on our
webpage nnpdf.hepforge.org
I New pdf set, NNPDF3.0I New data from LHC, HERAIII Closure test demonstrate success of updated methodologyI Available soon, followed by NNPDF3.0QED
I Additional work within NNPDF collaboration:I Intrinsic charmI Polarized NNPDFs, see arXiv:1303.7236