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ANNOUNCER: This is NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT with Tyler Mathisen and
Susie Gharib.
SUSIE GHARIB, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT ANCHOR: Stocks taken on the
chin. Hit by a one-two punch of weak technology and ongoing drama over a
bailout in Cyprus.
TYLER MATHISEN, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT ANCHOR: A growing health
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issue. CVS (NYSE:CVS), the latest company asking for more medical
information from employees. How much should your employer really know
about you?
GHARIB: And a tough decision. The housing market seems to be on the
mend. So, it`s time to ask the age-old question: should you rent or buy?
All that and more coming up.
Good evening, everyone.
Well, Tyler, another down day on Wall Street and it seems like
investors are starting to pay attention to bad news.
MATHISEN: Certainly this week, and certainly again today, Susie.
After spending much of the year blissfully gliding over whatever
troubling news there was, stocks today succumbed to a dose of reality. It
came in two forms: earnings worries and Cyprus, where a banking crisis
shows few signs of abating and the country`s credit rating was cut. The
Dow, though closing well off the lows of the session, nevertheless ended 90
points lower at 14,421, the NASDAQ down 31, and the S&P 500 falling further
from its record high off 14 points today.
Now, stocks got little help from more good news about housing. Sales
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of existing homes last month hit a three-year high, while average home
prices in January shot up 6.5 percent from a year ago.
On the labor front, first time jobless claims rose by only 2,000 last
week. But it was enough to send the monthly average to a fresh five-year
low.
No matter, today, stock investors did what they haven`t done much of
this year at all. Find trouble in the news.
(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)
MATHISEN (voice-over): Until this week, stocks have led a charmed
life in 2013. Day after day, the Dow played past the headlines. Its worst
losing streak of the year: two. And it`s closed higher seven out of every
10 trading days this year.
But this week, after nearly three months of gains that would make for
a pretty good year of returns, investors woke up. Those banking woes in
Cyprus were a first jolt, a reminder that Europe`s problems are far from
solved. Then, came earnings issues at three bellwethers, FedEx (NYSE:FDX),
Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), and Oracle (NASDAQ:ORCL), a transport, an
industrial, a tech.
MATTHEW CHESLOCK, VIRTU FINANCIAL: This market is not really ready to
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take off. The economy is not ready to take off. It does give us a little
pause, maybe across the board. Economy is slowing down, at least
temporarily.
MATHISEN: Ben Bernanke did calm the markets yesterday.
BEN BERNANKE, FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIRMAN: At this meeting, the
committee judged that no adjustment was warranted.
MATHISEN: Today, though, as investors look east to Europe and ahead
to an earnings season promising little profit growth, 2013`s charmed life
for stocks seems so yesterday.
(END VIDEOTAPE)
GHARIB: More now on the financial troubles in Cyprus where the
government is trying to come up with a plan to reorganize its banks by
Monday. That`s the deadline set by the European Union officials. If they
don`t, it could mean collapse of the entire banking sector.
As Michelle Caruso-Cabrera tells us, that fear is being felt on the
streets.
(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)
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MICHELLE CARUSO-CABRERA, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORTCORRESPONDENT:
Cyprus, yet another country in Europe where the devastation from the
financial crisis is being felt throughout the population.
Throughout Cyprus, lines could be seen all day long at the ATMs of the
country`s weakest bank, Laiki. The bank`s customers desperate to take out
cash of rumors the banks was on the verge of failure.
CHRIS SOFRONIOU, BANK DEPOSITOR: This is not solidarity. We`re being
treated like third-class citizens and we`re very, very angry.
CARUSO-CABRERA: How much money did you take out?
SOFRONIOU: I just took 1,000. I`ve been taking 1,000 every day. And
personally, I`m taking this money and cash with me to the U.K. tonight.
CARUSO-CABRERA: Because?
SOFRONIOU: Because we don`t know what the future of our country
holds.
CARUSO-CABRERA: The reason they`re using the ATM? The banks have
been closed nearly a week and won`t open until Tuesday, earliest.
Business owners deeply affected by the bank closures. The head of
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this fruit import business is worried about making payroll.
ANDREAS AGROTIS, AMALTHIA TRADING COMPANY: We are doing our best to
expedite the cash collecting process in order to be able to pay our
employees next week. Most shipping lines require that you pay in cash. So
if you want to get some important goods out of (INAUDIBLE), you have to pay
in cash.
CARUSO-CABRERA: Bank employees likely to be on the losing end as well
and they know it, showing up in front of parliament to protest in fear that
their bank will be shut down.
UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: (INAUDIBLE). It`s not their family. E.U., it`s
Germany and other countries, they are not our friends, because their
members of family don`t do this.
CARUSO-CABRERA: Many people here are so angry, they feel they have
been treated unfairly by the Europeans, particularly the Germans and
they`re angry with the politicians they say have led them astray.
For NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, I`m Michelle Caruso-Cabrera, Cyprus.
(END VIDEOTAPE)
GHARIB: Our market guest tonight says investors should be concerned
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about what`s going on in Cyprus and its impact on Europe. He`s Andres
Garcia-Amaya, global market strategist at JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) Funds.
You know, Andres, tell us why U.S. investors should be concerned about
what`s going on in Cyprus. A lot of them think that there`s no spillover
effect over here.
ANDRES GARCIA-AMAYA, J.P. MORGAN FUNDS GLOBAL MARKETSTRATEGIST:
Right. I think it s really important to look at Cyprus and not blow it out
of proportion, but at the same time, don`t underestimate its risk. And its
risk is that it does create question marks around the safety of deposits
around the European Union. The whole point of creating a banking union is
that a Cyprus bank is as safe as a German bank. And this does create a
question mark.
MATHISEN: Andres, is Europe for investors simply too hot to touch
right now?
GARCIA-AMAYA: I think if you look at individual companies, if you
look at their balance sheets and you try to understand what is their
drivers of growth, there are still opportunities, especially large
corporations that have access to the emerging markets, and that`s really
where their growth is coming from.
But overall, at the macro level, I do expect some headlines -- some
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headline risks this year. Let`s not forget, this is a German election
year, right? In September, Merkel has to convince her voters that she
should be re-elected. And I wouldn`t put that past what`s happening in
Cyprus and what other headlines we come up during the duration of this
year.
GHARIB: Let`s talk a little bit about things closer to home --
earnings. You heard in Tyler`s report we`ve had disappointing earnings
recently. You know, we`re going to get a lot of reports over the next
couple weeks. Are they going to shape the direction of the markets?
GARCIA-AMAYA: Well, first off, we had a weak market today and I think
it`s important to take it in stride. We had a great run, but it is
concerning when the markets move up in a straight line up or down. So,
some consolidation is actually healthy.
Two, when it comes to earnings, we do expect earnings not to be too
strong in the second quarter. Let`s remember what just happened. We have
the payroll tax going away. We have the sequester that`s really going to
start hitting in April. Therefore, the second quarter.
So, earnings in the short term might seem weak, but we do believe over
the next couple years, the earnings story could be strong, especially when
you look at the economy and the fundamental story what`s happening with
housing and slowly what`s happening to jobs.
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MATHISEN: So where should I put my money, Andres? If I want to be a
broadly diversified global investor, what percentage of it right now of my
equity holdings should be in the U.S. market and what percentage in foreign
markets, what percentage in emerging markets?
GARCIA-AMAYA: So first off, we are overweight in the U.S. equity
markets over, for instance, other developed economies like Europe. I think
a lot of the headline risk is going to actually send a lot of dollars back
into the United States. And fundamentally, the U.S. economic story is
improving.
But just a comment on emerging markets. You hit on something that I
think is important. I think most investors globally are structurally
underweight emerging markets. They might hold maybe 4 percent or 5 percent
of emerging markets throughout the whole portfolio. Yet if you look at
this share out of whole world market cap, it`s 13 percent.
So, I do believe that people structurally are underweight and they
need a little bit more exposure to emerging markets which right now there`s
a lot of volatility there, but I think there`s also a lot of upside.
GHARIB: Andres, you used to always hear: buy on the dips. I don t
know if this is one of those times.
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Should people start picking up stocks if they haven`t been involved in
this market rally or is a serious pullback close by?
GARCIA-AMAYA: I think if you have to look at your options, right?
So, if you have a new dollar, what are you going to do with it? Are you
going to put it on fixed income? Are you going to put it on cash or in
equities?
I think, even at these levels, equities still more look appealing than
the other options. So if you see some weakness, I would actually put that
new dollar into equities. Why? Because everything else just looks so
expensive.
GHARIB: All right. Lots of good information. Thank you so much,
Andres.
Andres Garcia-Amaya, global market strategist at JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM)
Funds.
MATHISEN: Well, Susie, first, the Senate voted for it, and now, the
House passing a stopgap spending bill with broad bipartisan support and
sending it to the president`s desk for his signature. The measure will
keep the federal government up and running until the end of September,
while lawmakers get back to work on a more comprehensive long-term budget
for fiscal 2014 and beyond.
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GHARIB: And after the bill, earnings surprise starts us off in
"Market Focus" tonight.
Nike (NYSE:NKE) reported a 55 percent jump in quarterly net income to
73 cents a share. That was 6 cents more than analysts` estimates. Nike
(NYSE:NKE) said worldwide future demand for its apparel and shoes rose 6
percent compared to the same period last year.
Looking at the stock, it closed at $53.60, down more than 2 percent.
That was during the regular session, and then it surged in after hours.
Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) Systems was the biggest loser in the Dow. Shares
fell on an analyst downgrade from a market perform to underperform. The
analyst predicts a decline in routers, and Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) could be
challenged to transition to a software and service business model.
Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) lost almost 4 percent, closing at $20.84.
And Oracle (NASDAQ:ORCL) was the biggest NASDAQ loser. Investors
reacted to that warning that we told you about last night that Oracle`s
hardware revenue would shrink. The company also said on its earnings
called today that its sales staff didn`t do a good job on selling on the
software side.
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Oracle (NASDAQ:ORCL) shares have fell on heavy volume, closing at
$32.30, down more than 9.5 percent.
MATHISEN: And Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM), on Oracle (NASDAQ:ORCL)
competitor in cloud computing and customer relationship services, announced
a four for one stock split after the close today. You don`t see that very
often. Salesforce was up on the day, ending at $172.73, before it spiked
after hours on the news of that split.
And Airgas (NYSE:ARG), a company that makes industrial gases that
other manufacturers use in their processes, warned that it may fall short
in the current quarter because sales fell in February in a key division and
didn`t recover in March. Airgas (NYSE:ARG) down over 5 percent, closing at
$97.96.
One bright spot today, though, was Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST). The
discount retailer said its latest quarterly income jumped 23 percent on
higher demand from bargain hunting shoppers. Ross says revenue stores at
least a year up 5 percent. Ross was up $3.35 -- 3.35 percent, excuse me,
to $58.05 at the close.
GHARIB: Here`s another bright spot. This year`s corn crop,
especially in the wake of last year`s devastating Midwest drought. Corn
planting this year are expected to be the highest in decades, and Jane
Wells tells us what that means for farmers and consumers.
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(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)
JANE WELLS, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT (voice-over):
Farming is like housing. It`s all about location, location, location.
JASON KVOLS, NEBRASKA CORN FARMER: I`m a bit nervous.
WELLS: Nebraska corn farmer Jason Kvols should be. He`s coming off a
horrible 2012 due to the drought.
KVOLS: I expected around 150 bushels average year going into the
year. And I ended up with 75 bushel on my corn.
WELLS: Curt Mowery`s Texas operation could not have been more
different.
CURT MOWERY, TEXAS GRAIN FARMER: Our 2012 corn crop was excellent.
It`s probably the best corn crop we`ve ever raised down here.
WELLS: Mowery already has corn coming out of the ground and he`s
optimistic about 2013. Farmers are expected to plant the most acres of
corn in 77 years. And if the crop is good -- corn prices could fall as
much as 40 percent and bring down the cost of everything else, especially
beef.
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America`s cattle herd is the smallest it`s been in decades. Ranchers
have been getting rid of animals because it costs too much to feed them.
Texas rancher Bob McCan says his herd is 25 percent smaller than it
used to be.
BOB MCCAN, TEXAS RANCHER: Until there`s some really relief in the
drought situation, it`s going to be hard to rebuild the herd.
WELLS: Curt Mowery says what happens next won`t just impact American
food costs but global supply.
MOWERY: If anybody has a marginal or total crop failure, it`s going
to start impacting worldwide the availability of those commodities on the
food shelf. It`s that critical. I`ve never seen it in my lifetime.
WELLS: The national weather service isn`t providing much hope. Its
new spring forecast calls for warmer than normal temperatures with little
relief from the drought.
For NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Jane Wells, Moorpark, California.
(END VIDEOTAPE)
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MATHISEN: And coming up, first, smoking, then, cholesterol levels.
Now, one company is asking employees to weigh in, or pay up for health
insurance. Is it a motivation to get healthy or an invasion of privacy?
First, though, let`s attack a look at how the international markets
finished the day.
(MUSIC)
GHARIB: We don`t have to tell you that the cost of health care is
skyrocketing, especially for big companies providing coverage for thousands
of workers. But there`s a growing controversy about just how involved
employers should get in the lives and personal information of those
workers.
Hampton Pearson explains.
(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)
HAMPTON PEARSON, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT (voice-over):
The CVS (NYSE:CVS) drugstore chain, one of the nation`s largest, is taking
a hard line on weight control in the workplace, telling its 200,000
employees to participate in the company`s health insurance they must reveal
health information, including weight, body fat and blood pressure levels or
pay a $50 a month fine. That`s $600 a year.
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UNIDENTIFIED MALE: It`s a $600 fine. Yes, that seems pretty
unreasonable.
PEARSON: The chief medical officer for the Rhode Island-based firm
says it`s not an invasion of privacy, but an incentive to improve employee
health and reduce health care costs.
DR. TROY BRENNAN, CVS (NYSE:CVS) CHIEF MEDICAL OFFICER: It`s an
incentive one way or the other. The way we see it is that the company
contributes a good deal to people`s health insurance, and people can get an
additional contribution if they undertake this. It seems to make common
sense to us.
PEARSON: Worker rights advocates say there`s nothing really voluntary
about asking workers to pay what could be a $600 a year penalty.
PAULA BRANTNER, WORKPLACE FAIRNESS: If you`re looking at CVS
(NYSE:CVS), you`re looking at a company that has a lot of low-wage workers,
where $50 a month could make a significant difference.
PEARSON: A Kaiser Family Foundation survey finds 94 percent of large
businesses now offer some kind of wellness program, things like free health
club memberships, nutrition counseling, even stop smoking campaigns.
What`s accelerating is the use of financial penalties to motivate behavior.
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Workers are adjusting.
UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: My job required it, and I need my job -- yes,
I`d would do it. I`ve got nothing to hide.
PEARSON: In a 2009 survey of 500 companies, 8 percent used financial
penalties to motivate healthy behavior. Last year, that number jumped to
30 percent, according to Towers Watson (NYSE:TW), a risk management
consulting firm.
Health care experts also say draft regulations tied to implementing
the Affordable Care Act increased dramatically financial incentives tied to
wellness programs.
CRAIG PALOSKY, KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION: There really isn`t anything
else that the insurance industry or the employee benefits industry has
shown they can do to control health care costs.
PEARSON (on camera): CVS (NYSE:CVS) said they`re using what some
might consider the stick approach tied to penalties. What`s not yet
apparent is how many firms will follow that trend.
For NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, I`m Hampton Pearson in Washington.
(END VIDEOTAPE)
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GHARIB: We have two different points of view on this subject.
Deborah Peel is the founder of Patients Privacy Rights Foundation, and
Tracy Burns is the director of Northeast Human Resources Association.
I`d like to ask both of you this question. We all want a healthier
work force. You know, how do we get there? Is it through rewards or is it
through penalties?
Deborah, why don`t you start us off?
DEBORAH PEEL, PATIENTS PRIVACY RIGHTS FOUNDATION FOUNDER: Well,
penalties, of course. And these penalties in particular are very coercive,
they`re very hurtful. And most of the people that are working there are
probably working a second job already.
So, it`s cruel. It`s cruel and it`s an insult to dignity.
But worse than that, there are serious privacy problems. First of
all, Americans have the right to health information privacy. The reason
is, is this is very sensitive information, and it`s been clear for decades
that employers and insurers use this information to make decisions about
hiring, firing and promotions.
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So the privacy of health information and the lack of control of data
in electronic systems and wellness programs require the collection of lots
of sensitive data.
GHARIB: Let`s get Tracy in on this.
PEEL: OK.
GHARIB: Rewards or penalties, Tracy?
TRACY BURNS, NORTHEAST HUMAN RESOURCES ASSOCIATION DIRECTOR:Well, I
think it depends on the individual. I think, as you know, health care --
health risk assessments have been around since the `80s. So, this is
really nothing new. It`s really just how it s being packaged.
So, it comes down to the individual and how they`re motivated and what
their financial motivation works for some people. And coercion or
perceived coercion is going to work -- will be the proof in the pudding. I
think, like with a lot of wellness programs, it takes a long time for us to
see the fruits of the labor, but I commend CVS (NYSE:CVS) for being willing
to implement a wellness program, because it`s really not just about the
bottom line. It`s about overall well-being. And when we come to work, we
don`t just bring ourselves, our work selves, we bring our entire selves,
and proven that healthy employees equal productive employees.
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MATHISEN: Ms. Peel, I`m curious why you think the practice of
supplying or having to submit to a test where you would be weighed, have
your body mass index measured, presumably your blood sugar taken and
cholesterol taken --
PEEL: Yes.
MATHISEN: -- is a cruel procedure. I believe that was your word.
I`m not sure I understand. Why you perceive that to be cruel, and
why, on the other hand, someone might not see that as, well, that`s
information that I could use, perhaps, if I didn`t have it already, to live
a more healthy lifestyle?
PEEL: The cruelty is about the financial penalties that most people
can`t afford. The problem with the blood tests are when you get blood
tests, they`re collected by a lab, data is collected about you, personal
data about your body and mind.
The public is very sensitive about this. They know that employers and
insurers and wellness plans and labs and electronic data about health is
not secure, and it`s not private. They believe that these systems are not
ready for prime time. They know that we have no data map of where all this
data goes, who uses it, and what for. But it`s very clear that this
information is used to discriminate against people.
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The most important thing I like to say, though, about health plans is
this month`s "Health Affairs" did a very careful study, and they found that
wellness programs basically don`t work. They`re one-size-fits-all.
These illnesses that we are having, the epidemics of, are happening
because not just of factors within the person, but there are social
factors, cultural factors and corporate factors as well, such as very
addictive, terrible, cheap food.
GHARIB: All right. Can we just get maybe a short explanation from
you --
PEEL: Sure.
GHARIB: -- of what`s the alternative? I mean, the status quo in our
country right now is not working. We have an obesity --
PEEL: You are right.
GHARIB: -- epidemic. We have a heart disease epidemic.
PEEL: You`re right.
GHARIB: And we have a health care cost epidemic. So what do we do?
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Real quickly.
PEEL: Well, first of all, the alternatives are to find the solutions
not only in the individual, by working with individuals, but by looking at
the larger factors in society. We don`t have epidemics because suddenly a
whole bunch of people in this nation are not responsible. These are
complex problems. So they`re going to be -- we have to find the problems
in the individuals, but in our culture, in our food chain, in our
workplaces, to fix his, because wellness programs don`t work.
MATHISEN: Tracy, my employer requires me to submit that I haven`t
used tobacco products over the past year or pay a penalty. And that feels
like a reasonable -- to me, a reasonable use of the expression of the
employer`s interest here.
My question for you, though, are we going to a system where
individuals` health care costs will pay more for insurance if they have
certain personal attributes or certain behaviors or certain habits than
somebody else? Variable pricing?
BURNS: Well, potentially so. And it`s not much different than what`s
been happening for quite some time with the incentives plan. So I think we
have to be very careful about what we`re penalizing people for and what`s
preventative. And a lot of the wellness programs that corporations have
been involved in for quite some time are based on preventative measures,
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and lifestyle things that you can change, things that are within your
control.
GHARIB: All right. We have to leave it there. This is obviously a
topic that as a country we`re going to continue to be in a conversation.
Thank you both, Deborah Peel, founder of Patient Privacy Rights
Foundation, and Tracy Burns, director of Northeast Human Resources
Association.
Tyler?
MATHISEN: This one, Susie, really did hit a nerve in lots of people
today around the country.
All right. Coming up, our special series on housing continues with a
look at renting versus buying a home, which could be best for you in
today`s economy?
But, first, let`s take a look at what treasuries -- they were up today
-- currencies and commodities closed.
(MUSIC)
MATHISEN: With home prices on the rise and mortgage rates still near
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historic lows, a lot of would-be home buyers are looking to jump in while
others remain cautious. So, in today`s housing market, is it wiser to rent
or own your home?
Diana Olick looks for some answers.
(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)
UNIDENTIFIED MALE: So this is e place.
DIANA OLICK, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT (voice-over):
Newlyweds Brian and Ali Earle are ready to buy their first home together.
While owning a home seems daunting, renting just doesn`t add up
anymore.
BRIAN EARLE, POTENTIAL HOME BUYER: To be honest, it keeps going up.
I think we`ve seen our rent go up over 20 percent in the last two years.
And you don`t really have control over your property.
OLICK: Rents are rising at an annual rate of 3.5 percent, according
to AXIOMetrics. But home prices are rising faster. So should you buy or
rent?
Analysts at Trulia say it`s 44 percent cheaper to buy, but only if you
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stay in your home for seven years, itemize your deductions and get a 3.5
percent mortgage rate.
ALI EARLE, POTENTIAL HOME BUYER: Right now, with how interest rates
are, they are actually below 4 percent in this area. So it`s the perfect
time for us to do it, especially for good investments for us, for our
future.
OLICK: Still, rental buildings are largely full, partially because so
many potential home buyers now have damaged credit, but also because many
younger Americans want neither the hassle nor the risk.
SUSIE BOGGES, RENTER: It`s low-maintenance. That`s the best thing.
OLICK: Susie Bogges has been renting in D.C. for six years and admits
she would pay more to rent than own.
BOGGES: I have a lot of friends who purchase and they thought it was
a great deal and then ended up losing tens of thousands of dollars just in
a few years.
OLICK: Another barrier to home ownership is lack of supplies. The
realtors today reported a small increase in the number of homes for sale,
but it`s just not enough, especially given the competition from cash-heavy
investors.
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ALI EARLE: Everywhere we`ve looked, there`s at least five or six
offers going in within 48 hour period.
OLICK: That`s why now, even some home builders, like Lennar
(NYSE:LEN), are getting into the multifamily apartment business.
STUART MILLER, LENNAR: We`re bullish both on the rental side of the
business and on the single family side of the business. We have
underserved production for probably seven years now, and as we look ahead,
both on the multifamily side and on the single family side, we`re going to
need a lot more production.
UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Yes, this is actually pretty spacious, too.
OLICK: Because at this point in the housing recovery, the rent versus
buy debate still has no winner.
For NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, I`m Diana Olick in Washington.
(END VIDEOTAPE)
GHARIB: You know, Tyler, my husband and I just went through this
process with our adult children who were going to be in these training
programs for three years, four years, decided to rent rather than buy,
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because it`s that seven-year rule that Diana was talking about.
MATHISEN: More likely to stay there that long.
My rule is whenever Mathisen buys, you sell, because I`ve managed to
top the real estate market I`ve ever been in. I`ll tell you. I`ll give
you a hint. I`m not moving any time soon.
GHARIB: Anyway, that`s it for us. NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT for
tonight. I`m Susie Gharib. Thanks so much for watching.
MATHISEN: And I`m Tyler "Time the Market" Mathisen. Have a great
evening, everybody. We`ll see you back here tomorrow night.
END
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