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New ZealandLand CoverLCDB2(2001/2)
Step 1: Characterizethe present
Step 3: Understand
past changes& trends
New ZealandLand CoverPre-humanEstimate(LENZ)
Step 2: Understand
the past
Step 4:Identify
key drivers & trends and “model”possible
futurescenarios
Step 5: Explore
possible futuresScenarios
How it may help councils
• Up-to-date data and information
• Tools (scenarios, deliberation matrix, models/DSS)
• Access to expert knowledge for interpretation
• LTCCP: prioritising & tracking community outcomes
• Cumulative effects policy and consents (space & time)
• Economic development/growth, and other strategies
• Integrated long term planning & review (RPS/RCP etc)
User Interactions
Important for the success of project
Number of mechanisms in place
• RIKS Visit (Hedwig van Delden) - December 1 - 17, 2008
• Focus on - EW staff & processes (LTCCP, RPS, FutureProof etc)
• Presentations to other councils - ARC, EBoP, HBRC, GWR
• Workshop in Wellington, 10 Dec - DIA, LGNZ/SOLGM
• Project Advisory Group - Central Govt dept & LG (RC, TAs)
Advisory Group • EW, ARC, EBoP, HBRC
• Hamilton CC, Thames-Coromandel DC
• Tainui
• NZTE, EDAs
• LGNZ, DIA
• Stats NZ, MfE, MAF Also:• Governance Group• Steering Group
How it may help councils
• Up-to-date data and information
• Tools (scenarios, deliberation matrix, models/DSS)
• Access to expert knowledge for interpretation
• LTCCP: prioritising & tracking community outcomes
• Cumulative effects policy and consents (space & time)
• Economic development/growth, and other strategies
• Integrated long term planning & review (RPS/RCP etc)
Questionnaire - preliminary results (six Workshops 3 - 10 Dec 2008)
Question agree
disagree
My organisation would benefit from using the Waikato SDSS
26 3
The Waikato SDSS enables communication among planners and decision-makers
29 0
Waikato SDSS is an easy to use and intuitive tool. 17 5
I think learning to use Waikato SDSS is worthwhile, considering the results I can obtain.
27 0
I would prefer a more complex tool even if that requires more parameters to deal with.
9 13
Future Directions SDSS development is ongoing:
First prototype, in December 2008Progressive addition of modules (June 2009)Second round of workshops (Oct/Nov 2009)
Integration into council planning processes
Training and growth in capability & capacity
Data management & quality control
Future development - additional modules, other regions?
Future Directions – additional modules• Transport – (via related EW project)• Coastal/Marine• Ecosystem Services • Social accounts/ Perception Survey Data• Freshwater Biodiversity/Fish modelling (NIWA/EW)• RMA/Zoning Modelling• Relationship among scenarios
– Global/IPCC– National (national scenarios, energy, others…)– Regional/local (EW/Coromandel Blueprint etc)
• Others…
www.creatingfutures.org.nz