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New Product Portfolio Management: A Brief Overview
Speaker: Teresa Jurgens-Kowal, PhD, PMP Company: Global NP Solutions, LLC Website: www.globalnpsolutions.com Welcome to the PMI Houston Conference & Expo and Annual Job Fair 2015
• Please put your phone on silent mode
• Q&A will be taken at the close of this presentation
• There will be time at the end of this presentation for you to take a few moments to complete the session survey. We value your feedback which allows us to improve this annual event.
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What is a New Product?
• Good, service, or combination of
• May be: – New to the world – New to the company – Enhancement of existing product – Cost reduction
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New Products are Programs
• PMI Definitions – Project – Program
• New products are really programs
– Market development – Technology development
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Strategy in Project Management
• Pre-Initiation Phase
• Business Case – why are we doing this project in the first place? – Business objectives – Options analysis – Strategic alignment
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Classic Business Strategy
Narrow Market Scope
Broad Market Scope
Uniqueness Competency
Low Cost Competency
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Strategic Response to Change
• First to Market • Seeks out growth, risk-taking Prospector • Niche Markets • Not overly innovative Defender • Fast Follower • Balances new with operations Analyzer • Not aggressive vs. competition • Reactive to market conditions Reactor
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PM Knowledge Areas
Project Integration
Management
Core Functions • Project Scope
Management • Project Time
Management • Project Cost
Management • Project Quality
Management
Facilitating Functions • Project Human Resources
Management • Project Communications
Management • Project Risk Management • Project Procurement
Management • Project Stakeholder
Management STR
ATEG
Y
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PPM and PM Knowledge Areas
Initiating
Project Integration
Planning
Time Management
Cost Management
Human Resources
Executing
Stakeholder Management
Monitor & Control
Quality Management
Risk Management
Closing
Close Project
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Product Portfolio Management • Select the highest value projects
– Dynamic future state – Balance and mix – Strategic alignment – Limited resources
• What does value mean??
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Defining Value
• Financial evaluations – NPV and ROI most common – Compare different projects
• Does value match the strategy?
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Financial Assessment
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Project Name NPV ($M) Type Resources (FTE) Dev Cost ($M)
Cookies 112 Breakthrough 12 2
Cake 100 Derivative 7 2.5
Donuts 84 Support 3 1
Popcorn 68 Support 2 0.75
Peanuts 63 Derivative 6 3
Potato Chips 53 Platform 10 0.5
Financial Assessment
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Project Name NPV ($M) Type Resources (FTE) Dev Cost ($M)
Cookies 112 Breakthrough 12 2
Cake 100 Derivative 7 2.5
Donuts 84 Support 3 1
Popcorn 68 Support 2 0.75
Peanuts 63 Derivative 6 3
Potato Chips 53 Platform 10 0.5
23 Available Resources
Grow Salty Snacks Business
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Project Name
NPV ($M) Type Resources
(FTE) Dev Cost
($M) Total Cost ROI
Popcorn 68 Support 2 0.75 35 94%
Potato Chips 53 Platform 10 0.5 29 83%
Cookies 112 Break-through 12 2 68 65%
Donuts 84 Support 3 1 55 53%
Cake 100 Derivative 7 2.5 87 15%
Peanuts 63 Derivative 6 3 56 13%
23 Available Resources
You Try It!
• Evaluate financial portfolio in pairs • Strategy is to grow the TREE business
– Moderate growth in vegetables – Maintain market share in flowers
• Other information: – You have about 25 product development
resources to work on new product projects – Internal hurdle rate = 15% ROI
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Sample New Product Portfolio Project Name Business NPV
($M) Type Resources (FTE)
Dev Cost ($M)
Total Cost ROI
Carrots Vegetable 100 Break-through 10 8 75 33%
Cucumbers Vegetable 40 Derivative 7 15 25 60%
Daffodil Flower 140 Support 5 15 130 8%
Eggplant Vegetable 55 Derivative 6 10 56 -2%
Fir Tree 60 Break-through 12 7 35 71%
Oak Tree 35 Derivative 8 12 33 6%
Pine Tree 130 Platform 6 50 95 37%
Rose Flower 50 Platform 10 10 35 43%
Tomatoes Vegetable 30 Support 3 3 28 7%
Tulip Flower 70 Support 2 2 60 17%
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NPV Prioritization Only Project Name Business
NPV ($M) Type
Resources (FTE)
Dev Cost ($M)
Total Cost ROI
Daffodil Flower 140 Support 5 15 130 8%
Pine Tree 130 Platform 6 50 95 37%
Carrots Vegetable 100 Break-through 10 8 75 33%
Tulip Flower 70 Support 2 2 60 17%
Fir Tree 60 Break-through 12 7 35 71%
Eggplant Vegetable 55 Derivative 6 10 56 -2%
Rose Flower 50 Platform 10 10 35 43%
Cucumbers Vegetable 40 Derivative 7 15 25 60%
Oak Tree 35 Derivative 8 12 33 6%
Tomatoes Vegetable 30 Support 3 3 28 7%
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Maximizes NPV=$440M Overall ROI ~22%
Consumes 23 resources
Select Only Tree Projects Project Name Business
NPV ($M) Type
Resources (FTE)
Dev Cost ($M)
Total Cost ROI
Fir Tree 60 Break-through 12 7 35 71%
Oak Tree 35 Derivative 8 12 33 6%
Pine Tree 130 Platform 6 50 95 37%
Tulip Flower 70 Support 2 2 60 17%
Rose Flower 50 Platform 10 10 35 43%
Daffodil Flower 140 Support 5 15 130 8%
Tomatoes Vegetable 30 Support 3 3 28 7%
Carrots Vegetable 100 Break- through 10 8 75 33%
Eggplant Vegetable 55 Derivative 6 10 56 -2%
Cucumbers Vegetable 40 Derivative 7 15 25 60% -17- www.globalnpsoltuions.com
Reduced NPV = $225M Overall ROI ~38%
Consumes 26 resources
NPV + Growth Strategy Project Name Business
NPV ($M) Type
Resources (FTE)
Dev Cost ($M)
Total Cost ROI
Daffodil Flower 140 Support 5 15 130 8%
Pine Tree 130 Platform 6 50 95 37%
Carrots Vegetable 100 Break-through 10 8 75 33%
Tulip Flower 70 Support 2 2 60 17%
Fir Tree 58 Break-through 7 9 37 57%
Eggplant Vegetable 55 Derivative 6 10 56 -2%
Rose Flower 50 Platform 10 10 35 43%
Cucumbers Vegetable 40 Derivative 7 15 25 60%
Oak Tree 35 Derivative 8 12 33 6%
Tomatoes Vegetable 30 Support 3 3 28 7% -18- www.globalnpsoltuions.com
Modified NPV = $358M Overall ROI ~34%
Consumes 25 resources Delay Fir Project
Evaluating Fuzzy Front End
• Fuzzy Front End is messy, beginning period of innovation where activities are more chaotic and less determined – Typically comprise stages of opportunity
identification, concept generation & evaluation
• Product or service idea is not fully formed – Sales volumes and pricing unknown
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Scoring Methods
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• Very useful for early stage projects • Criteria may include:
– Strategic Alignment – Product Advantage (for customer) – Market Attractiveness – Leverage Core Competencies? – Technical Feasibility – SHE (Safety, Health, Environment) – Commercial Reward vs. Risk – Capital Investment – Legal and Regulatory Risk
• Project Attractiveness is the weighted addition of the items rated
• Rank-order the projects
Scoring Example
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Project Strategic Alignment
Product Advantage
Market Attractiveness
Core Competency
Technical Feasibility Reward Points Normalized
ScoreNumber
Resources Status
Thorium 5 5 5 5 4 5 29 97% 16 ActiveHelium 2 5 5 5 4 5 26 87% 20 ActiveNeon 5 4 4 4 5 4 26 87% 15 ActiveHydrogen 5 4 3 4 3 3 22 73% 20 ActiveOxygen 5 3 4 3 4 2 21 70% 15 HoldNitrogen 2 2 5 2 5 4 20 67% 30 HoldFluoride 4 4 2 4 2 4 20 67% 20 HoldRadium 3 5 5 1 1 4 19 63% 25 Hold
Stop Here, only 75
Resources Available
Limited Resources
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Critical Chain Planning (Eli Goldratt)
Product Portfolio Management
• Goals 1. Maximize the value of the portfolio
• Staff with limited resources 2. Balance and mix of the portfolio
• Support the strategy • Align with strategic goals & objectives
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Balancing the Portfolio
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52%
27%
21%
Support
Enhancement
New Product
PPM Risk vs. Reward
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NEW PRODUCT PORTFOLIO RISK-REWARD
Relative Market Share
Mar
ketG
row
th R
ate
© Copyright 2010 Global NP Solutions, LLC
Size of Bubble = Investment
low high
Efficient Frontier (MS Project)
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Cum Reward/Cum Dev Costs
05
10152025303540
0 2 4 6 8
Dev Cost Remaining (M$)
Cum
NPV
(M$)
Accelerate
SolidMarginal
Project Type Balance
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0 2 4 6 8 10 12
2016
2015
2014
2013
Number of Projects
Projects by Launch Date and Project Type
BreakthroughPlatformDerivativeSupport
© Global NP Solutions, LLC
Starting with PPM
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• Lots of charts and analyses available – Choose what makes sense for your business – Easy to understand (fewer variables on one
chart, usually better) – Communication Tools – One chart doesn’t tell the whole story
PPM Goals • Maximize value
• Balance with strategic objectives
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Cautions in PPM
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Dominant Portfolio Method
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Benefits of PPM
• Portfolio Management Value delivers: – Higher NPD Return on Investment (ROI) – Quicker to Market – Better Decision Making – Early Selection of Exceptional Projects
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Tips for Implementing PPM
• Software tools are helpful – Greater than 20 projects
• Buy-in from stakeholders – Stimulate conversation to ensure strategic
alignment – Start small…and simple…
• Don’t overbook NPD resources • Clearly established criteria for projects
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Contact Information • Speaker: Teresa Jurgens-Kowal, PhD, PMP • Company: Global NP Solutions, LLC • Website: www.globalnpsolutions.com • Phone: 281-280-8717 • E-mail: [email protected]
Thank You -34- www.globalnpsoltuions.com
Back-Up Information
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ROI Prioritization Project Name Business
NPV ($M) Type
Resources (FTE)
Dev Cost ($M)
Total Cost ROI
Fir Tree 60 Break-through 12 7 35 71%
Cucumbers Vegetable 40 Derivative 7 15 25 60%
Rose Flower 50 Platform 10 10 35 43%
Pine Tree 130 Platform 6 50 95 37%
Carrots Vegetable 100 Break-through 10 8 75 33%
Tulip Flower 70 Support 2 2 60 17%
Daffodil Flower 140 Support 5 15 130 8%
Tomatoes Vegetable 30 Support 3 3 28 7%
Oak Tree 35 Derivative 8 12 33 6%
Eggplant Vegetable 55 Derivative 6 10 56 -2% -36- www.globalnpsoltuions.com
Low NPV = $150M Good Overall ROI ~58% Consumes 29 resources
Minimize Development Cost Project Name Business
NPV ($M) Type
Resources (FTE)
Dev Cost ($M)
Total Cost ROI
Tulip Flower 70 Support 2 2 60 17%
Tomatoes Vegetable 30 Support 3 3 28 7%
Fir Tree 60 Break-through 12 7 35 71%
Carrots Vegetable 100 Break-through 10 8 75 33%
Rose Flower 50 Platform 10 10 35 43%
Eggplant Vegetable 55 Derivative 6 10 56 -2%
Oak Tree 35 Derivative 8 12 33 6%
Cucumbers Vegetable 40 Derivative 7 15 25 60%
Daffodil Flower 140 Support 5 15 130 8%
Pine Tree 130 Platform 6 50 95 37% -37- www.globalnpsoltuions.com
NPV = $260M $100M less than modified NPV
Overall ROI ~31% Consumes 27 resources