New Jersey State Education Data Profile - May 2011

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    HOW WELL IS NEW

    JERSEY PREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE

    May 2011

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    A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every good

    job requires some education beyond high school such as an

    associates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completion

    of an apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

    Far too many students drop out or graduate from high school

    without the knowledge and skills required for success, closing doors

    and limiting their post-high school options and opportunities.

    The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to alignK-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-

    class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

    Why College- and Career-Ready

    Expectations for All?

    2

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    A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NOLONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESS

    The changing economy is accelerating theexpectations gap, as careers increasingly requiresome education/training beyond high school,and more developed knowledge and skills.

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    4Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs andEducationRequirements Through 2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.ww9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf

    Jobs in Todays (and Tomorrows) Workforce

    Require More Education and Training

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    The Rise of Middle-Skill Jobs

    5Source: Holzer, Harry J. and Robert I. Lerman (February 2009). The Future of Middle-SkillJobs.Brookings Institution.

    High-skill jobs

    Occupations in the professional/technical and managerial categories.

    Often require four-year degrees and above

    Middle-skill jobs

    Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,

    production, and transportation/material moving.

    Low-skill jobs

    Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

    Often require some education and training beyond high school (but

    typically less than a bachelors degree), including associates

    degrees, vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.

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    Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level

    6Source: National Skills Coalition (2010). The Bridge to a NewEconomy: Worker TrainingFills the Gap.http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/assets/reports-/the-bridge-to-a-new-economy.pdf ; National Skills Coalition (2011).

    State MiddleSkillFactSheets. http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/resources/fact-sheets/state-fact-sheets/

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    Education and Training Beyond High School

    Is Increasingly Being Demanded

    8Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. OccupationalOutlookHandbook, 2010-11 Edition.http://www.bls.gov/oco/oco2003.htm

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    The Jobs of Tomorrow

    9Source: Milano, Jessica,B

    ruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009).A

    Matter of Degrees:Tomorrows Fastest GrowingJobs andWhy Community College Graduates WillGet Them. TheNew Democratic Leadership Council.

    New Jersey should be preparing students for the jobs of

    tomorrow, not the jobs of yesterday or even today.

    A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in the

    Census Bureaus occupation codes in 1967.

    Given the growth of new job sectors most notably green jobs it is

    common sense to provide all students with a strong foundation that

    keeps all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.

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    The Public Agrees That Education or

    Training Beyond High School

    is Necessary for Future Success

    10

    To really get ahead in life, a

    person needs at least some

    education beyond high

    school, whether that means

    university, community

    college, technical orvocational school.

    To really get ahead in

    life, a person needs more

    than just a high school

    education.

    87

    8

    Source: Achieve, Inc. (2010). Achievingthe Possible: WhatAmericans Think the College andCareer-ReadyAgenda. http://www.achieve.org/files/AchievingThePossible-FinalReport.pdf

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    Postsecondary Degree Attainment

    11Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported.) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Young Adults (25-34) with College Degree % Adults (25-64) with College Degree

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    % of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2 )

    - 4 4 - 4 3 -44 2 -34 ALL (2 - 4)

    1 U.S. (40%) Canada (44%) Canada (54%) Korea (58%) Canada (49%)

    2 Canada (40%) Japan (43%) Japan (48%) Canada (56%) Japan (43%)

    3 N.Z. (34%) U.S. (40%) Finland (44%) Japan (55%) U.S. (41%)

    4 Finland (29%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (43%) N.Z. (48%) N.Z. (40%)

    Australia (28%) Finland (37%) Korea (43%) Norway (46%) Finland (37%)

    Norway (28%) Australia (33%) N.Z. (40%) Ireland (45%) Korea (37%)

    7 Switz. (27%) Denmark (32%) Norway (38%) Denmark (43%) Norway (36%)

    8 U.K. (27%) Norway (32%) Australia (38%) Belgium (42%) Australia (36%)

    Sweden (26%) Switz. (31%) Denmark (37%) Australia (42%) Denmark (34%)

    1 Neth. (26%) Neth. (31%) Ireland (37%) U.S. (42%) Ireland (34%)

    11 Denmark (26%) Iceland (30%) Switz. (36%) Sweden (41%) Switz. (34%)

    12 Japan (26%) U.K. (30%) Iceland (36%) France (41%) U.K. (33%)

    13 Germany (24%) Belgium (29%) Belgium (35%) Neth. (40%) Belgium (32%)

    14 Iceland (24%) Sweden (28%) U.K. (33%) Spain (39%) Neth. (32%)

    1 Belgium (22%) Ireland (27%) Sweden (33%) Luxembourg (39%) Sweden (32%)

    4 - 4: New Jersey (42%) NJ (47%) NJ (4 %) NJ (4 %)

    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    Postsecondary Degree Attainment

    12Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en ; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2009 AmericanCommunity Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

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    Of Every 100 9th Graders in New Jersey

    14Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). Student Pipeline- Transition andCompletion Ratesfrom 9th Grade to College. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    9th Graders Grad ateigh hoolin 4 ears

    Enroll inCollege In the

    Fall

    till Enrolledophomore

    ear ofCollege

    Earn aCollegeDegree

    1

    82

    8

    41

    22

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    Achievement Remains Low: 8th Grade

    Achievement Over Time

    15Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    8th Grade Math 1 2 2

    New Jersey 24% 44%

    U.S. 21% 34%

    8th Grade Reading 1 8 2

    New Jersey n/a 42%

    U.S. 33% 32%

    8th Grade Science 1 2

    New Jersey n/a 34%

    U.S. 29% 30%

    %At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    And Gaps Persist: New Jerseys 8 th Grade

    Achievement Gap

    16Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    Subgroup8th Grade Math

    (2 )

    8th Grade

    Reading (2 )

    8th Grade Science

    (2 )

    All Students 44% 42% 35%

    White 54% 51% 44%

    Black 17% 17% 8%

    Hispanic 22% 20% 13%

    Asian 77% 64% 58%

    American Indian n/a n/a n/a

    %At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    High School Graduation Rates Remain

    Inequitable in New Jersey

    17Source: Education Week (2007). Graduation in the UnitedStates.http://www.edweek.org/media/ew/dc/2010/34sos_gradrate.pdf

    U.S.

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    merica

    I dia

    sia

    Hispa icBlackWhitell

    51%

    81%

    56%54%

    77%

    69%

    86%

    66%67%

    88%83%

    n/a

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    High School Graduation Rates

    18Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2008 and 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Iceland

    U.K.

    Netherlands

    Norway

    Ireland

    Denmark

    Germany

    Israel

    Canada

    Poland

    Korea

    U.S.

    New ersey

    % Young Adults (25-34) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-64) with HS Diploma+

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal

    College Readiness

    19Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). RemedialEducation at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall2000.

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-yearinstitutions requiring remediation

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    Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are More

    Likely to Require Remediation

    20Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). RemedialEducation at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall2000.

    0%

    5%

    0%

    5%

    20%

    25%30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    Reading, Writingor Math

    ReadingWriting

    Math

    42%

    20%23%

    35%

    20%

    6%9%16%

    Public 2-Year Colleges Public 4-Year Colleges

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students requiring remediation,by institution type

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    Many College Students Fail to Return Their

    Sophomore Year and Go On To Earn Degrees

    21Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). Retention Rates -First-Time College Freshmen ReturningTheirSecondYear; Graduation Rates.http://www.higheredinfo.org/

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Completion (4-Year)Persistence (4-Year)

    Persistence (2-Year)

    56%

    75%

    54% 62%

    82%

    58%

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    Many College Students Fail to Earn a

    Degree in New Jersey

    22Source: NCES. IPEDS Graduation RateSurvey,analyzed by National Center for Management ofHigher Education Systems.

    Percent of students earning a bachelors degreewithin six years in New Jersey, 2 7

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    A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANT

    HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL

    OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS AND KEEP THEM OPEN

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    25

    Personal Benefits of Education in New Jersey

    While there may be jobs available to high school dropouts and

    graduates, they often pay l and off r l c rit ythan jobs

    held by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

    The link between educational attainment and gainful employmentis clear:

    More education is associated with higher

    earnings and higher rates of employment.

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    26Source: U.S. Census Bureau (2010). Current Population Survey. Figures are based on the total personsin the civilian labor force. http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/cpstc/cps_table_creator.html

    Personal Benefits of Education in New Jersey

    NewJerseyStatistics: TotalUnemployment: 11%, Mean Income: $55,535

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    27Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). HelpWant

    ed:Proj

    ections of Jobs an

    dEduc

    ation Requ

    ireme

    nts Throug

    h

    2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce. www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdfAnalysis based on authors analysis of March 2008 CPS data.

    Benefits to Education

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    28Source:ACT (2010). ACT 2009 Results. http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html ; College Board. Mean 2010SATScores byState. http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/2010-sat-trends.pdf

    New Jerseys Students Taking College

    Admissions Exams

    2 1 New Jersey U.S.

    Participation in ACT 17% 47%

    Average ACT Score 23.2 21

    Participation in SAT 76% 47%

    Average SAT Score 1506 1509

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    29Source:ACT (2010). College Readiness BenchmarkAttainment byState.http://www.act.org/news/data/10/benchmarks.html?utm_campaign=cccr10&utm_source=data10_leftnav&utm_medium=web#benchmark

    Students Meeting College Readiness

    Benchmark

    Note:A benchmarkscore indicates a 50% chance of obtaininga Bor higher or about a 75% chance of obtaininga C or higher in thecorrespondingcredit-bearingcollegecourses.

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    30Source: College Board (2011). AP Report to the Nation.http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/7th-annual-ap-report-to-the-nation-2011.pdf

    Students Participating in Advanced

    Placement and Exceeding College and Career

    Readiness

    Percent of all 12th Graders Participating inAdvanced Placement (2 8)

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    THE SOLUTION:

    STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE

    EXPECTATIONS GAPAll students deserve a world-class education thatprepares them for college, careers and life.

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    The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

    32

    Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.

    Require students to take a college- and career-ready

    curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Require students to take a college- and career-ready

    curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.

    Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.

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    New Jerseys Commitment to Closing the

    Expectations Gap to Date

    33

    In 2 7, New Jersey adopted academic standards in math and

    English aligned with college- and career-ready expectations.

    New Jersey adopted the Common Core State Standards in

    June 2 1 .

    New Jersey is a Governing State in the Partnership for

    Assessment of College and Career Readiness (PARCC), a

    consortium of states working to develop a common

    assessment system using Race to the Top Common

    Assessment funds.

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    HOW WELL IS NEW

    JERSEY PREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE

    May 2011