New Futures for the Air New Futures for the Air ProgramProgram

Where do we go from here?Where do we go from here?

April 2002April 2002

Overview of BriefingOverview of Briefing

• Progress to dateProgress to date

• View of next 10 yearsView of next 10 years

• Changing RolesChanging Roles

• Common themes and issuesCommon themes and issues

• Work in progress (not a done deal!)Work in progress (not a done deal!)

• Dialogue with stakeholdersDialogue with stakeholders

• Transition stepsTransition steps

1970-1990’s: 1970-1990’s: 3 Decades of Progress 3 Decades of Progress

• Major reductions in criteria pollutant Major reductions in criteria pollutant emissions and improvements in air qualityemissions and improvements in air quality

• 1990’s: Fulfilled Many CAAA Promises1990’s: Fulfilled Many CAAA Promises– 25 million more people breathing clean air25 million more people breathing clean air– 2.2 million tons/yr of toxics removed2.2 million tons/yr of toxics removed– Improvements in understanding riskImprovements in understanding risk– Progress with regional solutions (e.g., OTAG)Progress with regional solutions (e.g., OTAG)

• Decoupled emissions from growthDecoupled emissions from growth

What did the situation look like in 1990 and What did the situation look like in 1990 and how has it changed over the decade?how has it changed over the decade?

As the 1990’s began, there were many air quality issues

Alaska

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… as we complete the efforts of the 90’s

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New Directions in the New Directions in the 1990’s1990’s

• Regional & Community-based Regional & Community-based initiatives (OTAG, RPO’s)initiatives (OTAG, RPO’s)

• Information & Accountability Information & Accountability

• NAAQS changes – PMNAAQS changes – PM2.5 2.5 & Ozone& Ozone

• Market-based tradingMarket-based trading

• Benefits better characterizedBenefits better characterized

What Have Been Our Roles In The What Have Been Our Roles In The 90’s90’s??

RegionsRegions• Reviewing Almost 2800 SIP Reviewing Almost 2800 SIP

RevisionsRevisions

• Tracking Sanction ClocksTracking Sanction Clocks

• Outreach on Radon ProgramsOutreach on Radon Programs

• Reviewing State Permit ProgramsReviewing State Permit Programs

• Reviewing NSR/Title 5/Acid Rain Reviewing NSR/Title 5/Acid Rain PermitsPermits

• Getting Tribal Programs Getting Tribal Programs EstablishedEstablished

• Worked Through OTAG, FACA, Worked Through OTAG, FACA, PPA’s/PPG’s & GPRAPPA’s/PPG’s & GPRA

• MACT DelegationMACT Delegation

• Outreach on Indoor AirOutreach on Indoor Air

• Asthma/Children’s Health Asthma/Children’s Health ProgramsPrograms

• Environmental JusticeEnvironmental Justice

HeadquartersHeadquarters• Motor Vehicles/FuelsMotor Vehicles/Fuels

• SIP GuidanceSIP Guidance

• Acid Rain ProgramAcid Rain Program

• Stratospheric Ozone Stratospheric Ozone Rules/ProgramsRules/Programs

• Global Warming/Energy Global Warming/Energy Efficiency Programs (Energy Efficiency Programs (Energy Star, etc.)Star, etc.)

• Air Toxics StandardsAir Toxics Standards

• Rules/Guidance for Title V and Rules/Guidance for Title V and NSR Permit ProgramsNSR Permit Programs

• Indoor Air/Radon OutreachIndoor Air/Radon Outreach

• Air Quality StandardsAir Quality Standards

Where Are We Now?Where Are We Now?

• What’s the picture in 2002?What’s the picture in 2002?– New data for PM2.5 and 8-hour ozone New data for PM2.5 and 8-hour ozone

affect the nonattainment pictureaffect the nonattainment picture– 425 counties (143 million people) would 425 counties (143 million people) would

have monitored violations of at least have monitored violations of at least one of the NAAQSone of the NAAQS

• Regional nature of problem calls for Regional nature of problem calls for strategies like Clear Skiesstrategies like Clear Skies

… into 2000’s with 8-hr Ozone and PM2.5 NAAQS

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Where Might We Be in Where Might We Be in 2010?2010?• Implementation of key national programsImplementation of key national programs

– Tier II for vehicles and fuelsTier II for vehicles and fuels– Heavy Duty dieselHeavy Duty diesel– Clean Skies initiativeClean Skies initiative

• VMT will continue to grow, but cars, light trucks VMT will continue to grow, but cars, light trucks and SUV’s 99% cleaner than those purchased in and SUV’s 99% cleaner than those purchased in 19701970

• Widespread nonattainment not likely to be a Widespread nonattainment not likely to be a problemproblem

• Nitrogen, sulfur & mercury deposition decreasingNitrogen, sulfur & mercury deposition decreasing• Improvements expected to continue to 2020 & Improvements expected to continue to 2020 &

beyondbeyond

… beyond the next decade if additional measures are taken

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FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLYDO NOT DISTRIBUTE – BASED ON QUALITATIVE PROJECTIONS

Our World is ChangingOur World is Changing

• We are completing CAA requirementsWe are completing CAA requirements• Expectations of stakeholders are Expectations of stakeholders are

changingchanging• Emerging challenges:Emerging challenges:

– Market based/innovative approachesMarket based/innovative approaches– Alternatives to HQ Command & ControlAlternatives to HQ Command & Control– Regional planning approachRegional planning approach– Community-based programsCommunity-based programs– Ag/forestry issues/sector-basedAg/forestry issues/sector-based– InternationalInternational

2002 – 2010 and Beyond:2002 – 2010 and Beyond:What will our Roles Be?What will our Roles Be?

RegionsRegions• Review SIP RevisionsReview SIP Revisions

• Review Title 5 Permits Review Title 5 Permits • Review Review NSR Permits NSR Permits

• Targeted Outreach ProgramsTargeted Outreach Programs

• Regional Planning BodiesRegional Planning Bodies

• Indoor Air/Radon WorkIndoor Air/Radon Work

• Community-level Risk AssessmentsCommunity-level Risk Assessments • Work on Tribal ProgramsWork on Tribal Programs

• Homeland Security/ResponseHomeland Security/Response

• GPRA – Performance Investment GPRA – Performance Investment Strategies Strategies

• Emerging IssuesEmerging Issues

HeadquartersHeadquarters• National Rulemaking (toxics, mobile, National Rulemaking (toxics, mobile,

etc) etc)

• Guidance/Development of Innovative Guidance/Development of Innovative and and

Voluntary ProgramsVoluntary Programs

• Managing/Tech Support for National Managing/Tech Support for National ProgramsPrograms

• Emerging Issues, Revisions to Act (3P, Emerging Issues, Revisions to Act (3P, etc.)etc.)

• Homeland Security/Response Homeland Security/Response

• Establish & Monitor PerformanceEstablish & Monitor PerformanceMeasuresMeasures

• Regional/Community-Based Programs Regional/Community-Based Programs • Command and ControlCommand and Control

• Innovative/Voluntary Programs & Innovative/Voluntary Programs & Building AlliancesBuilding Alliances

Common Themes for the Common Themes for the FutureFuture• Be friendly to innovationBe friendly to innovation

• More focus on localized problemsMore focus on localized problems– Develop tools to support local & regional problem Develop tools to support local & regional problem

solvingsolving– Examples: Examples:

• Nitrogen in Chesapeake BayNitrogen in Chesapeake Bay

• Shenandoah hazeShenandoah haze

• PM in NYCPM in NYC

• Work collaboratively with partners to develop Work collaboratively with partners to develop national & regional measuresnational & regional measures

• Improve information systems & accountabilityImprove information systems & accountability

Addressing EPA Air Program Addressing EPA Air Program PrioritiesPriorities• Multi-pollutant legislationMulti-pollutant legislation

– Modeling/Analytical supportModeling/Analytical support– Sector-based approachesSector-based approaches

• Improving Existing ProgramsImproving Existing Programs– NSR, Title V, Attainment ProgramsNSR, Title V, Attainment Programs

• Toxics Risk ReductionToxics Risk Reduction– Community-based (e.g., Cleveland)Community-based (e.g., Cleveland)– Real time data deliveryReal time data delivery

• Voluntary programsVoluntary programs– Information systems to establish accountabilityInformation systems to establish accountability– Ozone FlexOzone Flex– AIRNowAIRNow– Diesel RetrofitDiesel Retrofit– Asthma Activities (Education & Outreach,Tools for Schools, Smoke –Asthma Activities (Education & Outreach,Tools for Schools, Smoke –

free Home Pledge)free Home Pledge)• Homeland SecurityHomeland Security

– Inventory of available resourcesInventory of available resources– Outfitting mobile response capabilityOutfitting mobile response capability

Specific Actions Specific Actions UnderwayUnderway1.Expanding AQI (PM, Spanish 1.Expanding AQI (PM, Spanish

language)language)2.Ozone Flex2.Ozone Flex3.Local innovative initiatives 3.Local innovative initiatives

(e.g., Cleveland, Charlotte)(e.g., Cleveland, Charlotte)4.Innovative approaches conference4.Innovative approaches conference5.Data Warehouse5.Data Warehouse6.Redirecting resources6.Redirecting resources7.Communicating with stakeholders7.Communicating with stakeholders

Turning Dialogue into ActionTurning Dialogue into Action

• This is a work in progressThis is a work in progress

• Agree on common themes and directions to Agree on common themes and directions to gogo

• Identify tangible pilots and programs to Identify tangible pilots and programs to jointly pursuejointly pursue

• Ongoing communication among stakeholdersOngoing communication among stakeholders– Continue to foster partnershipContinue to foster partnership– HQ-Regional Steering committee HQ-Regional Steering committee – Region-State (and Tribe) communicationRegion-State (and Tribe) communication

What DoWhat Do YOU YOU think?think?

• Does this match your view of the future?Does this match your view of the future?

• What are the implications for your What are the implications for your programs?programs?

• What are the obstacles and opportunities?What are the obstacles and opportunities?

• How do we know we are making progress? How do we know we are making progress? What measures should we use?What measures should we use?

• What are opportunities for presenting this What are opportunities for presenting this to stakeholders and getting their feedback?to stakeholders and getting their feedback?