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NEW EUROPE: UCIs SECOND HOME MARKET Paolo Fiorentino Head of New Europe Division. ING EMEA Financials Conference 2004 London - April, 20 th 2004. AGENDA. UCI Group and New Europe Division Highlights Why New Europe Strategy and Business Model Recent Results and 2004 Outlook. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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NEW EUROPE: UCIs SECOND HOME MARKET
Paolo Fiorentino Head of New Europe Division
ING EMEA Financials Conference 2004
London - April, 20th 2004
2
AGENDA
UCI Group and New Europe Division Highlights
Why New Europe
Strategy and Business Model
Recent Results and 2004 Outlook
3
FY2003 KEY FIGURES
MKT CAP.
Euro 25.4 bn1
NET INCOME
Euro 1,961 mln
ROE2
17.7%
BRANCH NETWORK
4,6373
UCI AT A GLANCE
1 As of 15 April 2004
TOTAL ASSETS
Euro 238 bn
DIRECT DEPOSITS
Euro 135 bn
C/I RATIO
54.5%
REVENUES
Euro 10,465 mln
2 Calculated on end of period net equity, excluding 2003 net income
3 KFS: 100%
4
Pekao
New Europe division
Private & AM division
Pioneer
Xelion
Corporate division
UBM
BMC
Locat
Clarima
UBCasa
Retail division
Zagrebacka
KFS
Bulbank
UniBanka
UC Romania
Zivnostenska
44.6% 29.6% 10.1% 15.7%
Weight on 2003 Group revenues pre Corporate Centre and elisions
Employees (Dec 2003)o/w Italy1
o/w New Europe
70,85140,98229,869
Branches (Dec 2003)o/w Italyo/w New Europeo/w other countries
4,6373,2751,355
7
1 Including other countries ex-New Europe
TODAY THE NEW EUROPE DIVISION ACCOUNTS FOR 16% OF THE GROUP’S TOTAL REVENUES
5
Total assets (Euro mln)
Market share both on loans and on dep.
Net income (Euro mln)
Branches
1,492
2%
6
26
Bulbank - Bulgaria
85.2% acquired in October 2000
End of 2003 data
Group Pekao - Poland53.0%, acquired in May 1999
Total assets (Euro mln) Market share on LoansMarket share on Deposits Net income (Euro mln) Branches
UniCredit – Romania 99.9%, acquired in May 2002
Total assets (Euro mln)
Market share on Loans
Market share on Deposits
Net income (Euro mln)
Branches
Zagrebacka Group-Croatia
Bosnia-Herzegovina 81.9%, acquired in March 2002
7,627
25%
31%
114
193
UniBanka - Slovakia
Total assets (Euro mln)
Market share on Loans
Market share on Deposits
Net income (Euro mln)
Branches
940
6%
4%
7
68
77.1%, acquired in October 2000
Total AuM in New Europe of Euro 2.3 billion (as at 31.12.03)
Pioneer
Koç Fin. Serv. - Turkey50%, acquired in October 2002
Warsaw
Bratislava
Sofia
ZagrebBucarest
Prague
Istanbul
Zivnostenska Banka Czech Rep.97.7%, acquired in February 2003
Other presences: Pekao Ukraina, Koc Azerbaijan
Total assets (Euro mln)Market share on LoansMarket share on DepositsNet income (Euro mln)Branches
12,91511%15%195801
1742%1%
328
Total assets (Euro mln)Market share on LoansMarket share on DepositsNet income (Euro mln)Branches
1,44410%18%
4791
Total assets (Euro mln)Market share on LoansMarket share on DepositsNet income (Euro mln)Branches
5,2264%5%116148
UCI ACQUIRED A LEADING ROLE IN NEW EUROPE BEING AMONG THE TOP PLAYERS IN THE MOST RELEVANT MARKETS
6.6%
40.1%
18.4%
2.7%
1.5%26.5%
Weight of the bank Total Revenues on Division Total Revenues – only UCI’s portion; balance due to Demir Romlease,Demir Securities, ZBT, ZBAM, and Xelion Poland
3.7%
6
AGENDA
UCI Group and New Europe Division Highlights
Why New Europe
Strategy and Business Model
Recent Results and 2004 Outlook
7
47% of current EU population
8% of EU GDP
NEW EUROPE: A LARGE MARKET WITH HIGH GROWTH POTENTIAL
Year 2003 data
Population, mln
GDP, Euro bn
Per Capita GDP, Euro
EU
377
9,307
24,686
NE(12)
176
4,135
728
Total
552
10,035
Loans +Deposits, Euro bn 17,919 561 18,480
Loans+Deposits/GDP % 193% 70%
Note: NE (12) including all countries which already started a more or less advanced process for EU convergence. In particular, those set for enlargement in May 2004, plus Bulgaria, Romania, Turkey and Croatia.
*EU only for this figures is referred to EU12; **2004-2006 CAGR
Weight of country’s GDP on Total NE area
GDP in 2003 (%)
25.5Poland
10.3Hungary
11.0Czech Rep.
4.0Slovakia
3.3Slovenia
3.4Croatia
28.9Turkey
UCI is present in the most relevant NE countries (82% of GDP in the area)
2.4Bulgaria
Romania 6.9
4.4Baltics
728NE GDP (bn)
New EuropeExcl Turkey
EU*2000 2001 2002 2003e 2004-06**
3.93.5
2.8
1.6
2.8
0.9
3.8
0.4
1.9
4.4GDP Growth
18,179
183%
8
STILL UNDERDEVELOPED RETAIL MARKET
2 2001 figures
(Loans+Deposits)/GDP
Cards per ths inhabitants2
1,280
EUNew
Europe1
349
BANKING PENETRATION in 2003
Lower weight of Asset Management, expected to partially substitute deposits
Mortgages and consumer credit expected to be the key retail products
54.3
UCI’s 3 Italian Banks
UCI’s NE banks
35.6
Non Interest Income/Total revenues in 2003 (%)
Life Insuran.
Pension Funds
Mutual Funds
Retail Bank Deposits
33%
15%
18%
34%
EU3
73%
11%7%9%
New Europe4
Breakdown of retail financial assets
3 2001 data considering France, Germany, Italy, Spain and UK as proxy for EU
4 Countries with UCI’s presence
193%
NewEurope1EU
70%
Share loans retail over total loans
50%
EU NewEurope1
33%
1 Poland, Hungary, Slovenia, Czech Rep., Slovakia, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Bulgaria, Romania, Croatia, Turkey,
9
DECREASING RISKS AND GROWING STABILIZATION
NE declining risk represented by fast decreasing country spread compared to Euro area yield curve
Moody’s Rating
Upgrade
Apr 03-Mar 04
EU entry date
Spread SUEMI*
31 Mar 04
Countries with UCI presence
B1/stableNot
defined yet
248.80TK
A2/stableMay 2004
44.09PL
A1/stableMay 2004
-CZ
Ba3/stable
+2007 169.04RO
A3/stableMay 2004
13.43SK
Baa3/stable20071 107.10HR
Ba2/stable
++2007 131.21BG
0
200
400
600
800
1000
30/1
2/0
2
28/0
2/0
3
30/0
4/0
3
30/0
6/0
3
30/0
8/0
3
30/1
0/0
3
30/1
2/0
3
29/0
2/0
4
Suemi Latin Suemi New Europe Suemi General
*Spread over Euro yield Interest Rates Curve - SUEMI
10
AGENDA
UCI Group and New Europe Division Highlights
Why New Europe
Strategy and Business Model
Recent Results and 2004 Outlook
11
NEW EUROPE DIVISION: STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
Different strategic focus with: “Leading Banks” in 3-4 countries: N.1 player in the market, focused on constant
improvement of bottom line while maintaining market shares and fulfilling their institutional role within local communities
“Emerging Leaders” in 3-4 countries: banks focused on growth through enlargement of Golden Customer’s base (customer acquisition program) with final goal of being in the “top 5” in the market
Clear N.1 Banking Group in New Europe for profitability, value creation, cost/income and AUMs
Best risk manager in the New Europe region
Focus on building a long term sustainable franchise and on assuring higher customer loyalty, through a superior quality of services
Future growth driven mainly by organic growth (with some potential acquisitions)
Possible completion of geographic coverage in New Europe, also leveraging on “managerial hubs” (eg. Zaba, Pekao)
12
UCI’s COMMERCIAL PRESENCE IS RELEVANT IN THE REGION: 1.355 BRANCHES IN 8 COUNTRIES AND ALMOST 18,300 FRONT OFFICE STAFF …
1 79 operative PFAs + 45 PFAs on training in Xelion Polska
Poland
FO staff ~11,800PFAs¹ ~ 125Branches 801
Croatia & Bosnia Herzegovina
FO staff ~2,400Branches 193
Turkey
FO staff ~1,750Branches 148
Bulgaria
FO staff ~950Branches 91
Slovakia
FO staff ~600Branches 68
Czech Republic
FO staff ~400Branches 26
Romania
FO staff ~350Branches 28
18,300 Front-office staff 1,355 Branches
Pekao
ZivnoUniBanka
UCR
Bulbank
KFS
13
FamilyBankingSB/AffluentPrivateCorporate
… SUPPORTED BY SPECIALISED SERVICE MODELS BY SEGMENT SERVING AROUND 6,6 MILLION CLIENTS IN THE AREA
N° of Clients
N° of dedicated Salesforce 14.200
Each Bank has a specific divisionalised organisation: Pekao has 4 business divisions (Family, VIP-SME, Private, Corporate) KFS and Zivno have 3 business divisions (Retail, Private, Corporate) Zaba, Bulbank, UCR and UniBanka have 2 business divisions (Retail, Corporate)
~5,5 mln~1 mlnGolden clients~60.000
Target Products
1.100
AUM
Packages
Credit cards
For Affluent: AUM, Life insurance, Packages, Credit cards Mortgages
For SB: Packages Lending
Accumulation plans
Pension Funds
Packages
Credit cards
Mortgages
Cash Management
Trade finance Structured and
Project Finance
Leasing
14
KNOW HOW TRANSFER THROUGH CROSS BORDER PROJECTS AND UCI MANAGEMENT’S COMMITMENT (PARTNERSHIP COMMITTEE)
A team of ~45 expatriates covering key positions in 7 countries (Commercial and Control functions)
A team of ~70 people in NE Division supporting the banks in their key strategic projects
Planning & Development Retail & Corporate Credit risk & processes Organisation & HR IT Strategy Legal issues
A group of ~20 people in UCI Holding dedicated to NE banks
Around 100 projects launched during 2003 in NE banks
Cross Border projects UCI/New Europe
Cross border transfer of niches of excellence in New Europe banks
A variety of areas of intervention Launch of new products Client acquisition Network expansion Sales performance culture Credit processes and tools
ProjectsPeople
15
AGENDA
UCI Group and New Europe Division Highlights
Why New Europe
Strategy and Business Model
Recent Results and 2004 Outlook
16
RESULTS SO FAR
Perimeter for 1999: Group Pekao only; for 2000 and 2001: Group Pekao, Bulbank, Unibanka and Splitska (sold in Apr. 02); for 2002: Group Pekao, Zagrebacka Banka, Bulbank, UniBanka, UniCredit Romania; for 2003: Group Pekao, Zagrebacka Banka, KFS, Zivnostenska, Bulbank, UniBanka, UniCredit Romania
Branches
Total Revenues
CAGR +19.8%
(Euro mln)
1999 2003
786
1,619
Operating Income
CAGR +30.8%
(Euro mln)
244
715
1999 2003
Cost/Income
-13.1 pp
1999 2003
69.0%
55.9%
Net Profit for the Group
CAGR +69.7%
(Euro mln)
1999 2003
37
307
ROE
+13.2 pp
17.4%
4.2%
1999 20031 Including KFS 100%
At Current FX
+635 Branches
1999 20031
720
1,355
17
2003 RESULTS SHOW A GOOD GROWTH OF NET INCOME THANKS TO HIGHER NET COMMISSIONS, COST CONTROL AND LOWER PROVISIONS NEEDS
Attr. Net Income
FY03(Euro mln)
y/y % ch.
+45.5307
Total revenues -3.21,619
Operating income -10.7715
FY03(Euro mln)
y/y % ch.
Loans +3.211,848
Deposits +0.520,555
AUM3 +54.12,346
Cost/Income +3.7 pp55.9%
Cost of Risk -72 bp2117 bp
- o/w net interest income1 -3.61,036
At unchanged FX
At unchanged FX
- of which commissions +26.9418
Net write-downs of loans -61.5-139
ROE +3.8 pp17.4%
NET INCOME FOR THE GROUP up 45.5% y/y
Net interest income -3.6% y/y mainly hit by Pekao results, acceleration in 4Q03 (+3.7% on 3Q03) primarily thanks to Pekao and Zaba
Higher growth in net commissions benefiting from development of AUM3 products (stock: +54.1% y/y)
Operating costs +3.6% linked to IT investments and variable staff compensation
Decreased cost of risk (117 bp), improved NPL and Doubtful loans coverage ratios
VOLUMES:
Customer loans up 3.2% supported by higher growth in Croatia, Bulgaria and Turkey negatively impacted by Poland
Further switch from deposits to AUM
3 New Europe business area of PioneerITAS2 Deducting extraordinary provisions from 2002 stated figure
1 Excluding dividends
18
NE BANKS POSITIONING IN KEY RETAIL PRODUCTS IS IMPROVING …
AUM
Key issues
1 Pioneer Market Share in Poland 2 In Romania MFs are going to be launched
Achievements/Positioning
Leverage on Pioneer expertise Segment-tailored AUM products Development of innovative structured
products with TLab and UBM
Leaders in MFs: Pekao ~ 30% market share1, Zaba ~49% and Bulgaria ~40%, Other NE banks are in top five competitors list2
Leading position in Structured Time Deposits
Bulbank and Zaba: first movers in structured products (Bulbank also in MFs)
Mortgages
Enrichment of product offer (Mortgage + Life Insurance)
Cross selling commercial campaigns (Pekao)
Development of cooperation agreements with external partners (real estate agents)
Sales process optimization: fast and easy process, highly skilled salesforce and dedicated location (Pekao, Bulbank, Unibanka)
High credit quality, thanks to the implementation of application processing system and the adoption of sound credit policies
Launch of mortgages in UCR
Excellent sales results: Zaba: Leader with 40% market
share Pekao: strong acceleration in LC
mortgages in 1Q04 Bulbank: 133% volume growth and
+68% in new mortgages (1Q04/1Q03)
UniBanka: sales of mortgage loans started in July 2002 reaching the 5th position in the market
19
… THANKS TO A NUMBER OF PRODUCT INNOVATION PROJECTS RUNNING …
Key issues Achievements/Positioning
Cards (Debit and Credit)
Bancassurance Completion of distribution
agreements (Allianz1, Aviva2) and product innovation (Unit Linked for Bulbank and Zaba as first movers in 2004)
Zaba and Pekao leaders in 2003 new business (life) to be considered good starting point
1 Life: Bulgaria, Croatia, Poland (pre JV agreement), Slovakia,Turkey. Non Life: Romania
2 Life: Czech Republic.
Small Business
Implementation of complete product offer based on client segmentation across NE Banks
New distribution channels
Adequate risk management and organisation
UCI / NE Banks treated as Key Global Client by MasterCard
Launch of revolving cards in all NE Banks
Launch of card business in UCR Instalment payment option launched
for all KOC Credit Card (400 K – EOP 2003)
Massive Visa Electron issuing at ZABA (500 K - in 9 months)
First movers in launch of dedicated packages
Specific credit product offer Dedicated SB leasing offer in Pekao and
Zaba Implementation of CPA tool - Client
Profile Assessment
Dedicated service model with Relationship managers with micro/ small business portfolios assigned
Joint service model (SB + owner) to cross capture opportunities
20
… ALSO IN CORPORATE BANKING
Cash Management
Key issues Achievements
Structured and Project Finance
Specialised cash management units in all NE banks:
Focus on upgrading the product shelf Introduction of new value added
products (cash pooling, direct debit, etc.)
Same training to specialists for supporting sales
Increasing capabilities in Project Finance in key markets (Poland, Croatia, Bulgaria, Turkey)
Offer completed and marketed
Sales started
KPIs inserted in all RM targets
Strenghtened teams in Bank Pekao, Zaba and Koc
Prestigious transactions already won in Poland (KHGM, Simoldes, SSN, others) and in Croatia
Trade finance Interfactoring agreement with UCI
Factoring for cross-border factoring
Refocusing of sales force for trade finance products
Successful completion
Volumes increased in Zivno and Koc
Sales force refocus already completed in Pekao
21
CAREFUL RISK MANAGEMENT2002-2004 CREDIT EXCELLENCE PROGRAM, GOOD RESULTS IN 2003
Cost of risk1
-38.1%
(bp, annualised)
1892
117
20032002
79.9
2002 2003
81.3
62.6 64.1
Coverage ratios
On Gross Doubtful Loans
On Gross NPLs
Net NPL/ Loans %
Dec03
Total NE -0.23.3
ch. on Dec02 (pp)
Net Doubtful/Loans %
Dec03
ch. on Dec02 (pp)
8.6-0.1
At unchanged FX
Ow: Zaba -0.82.2 4.6-0.7
Ow: Pekao +1.64.7 12.9+0.9
Total provisions on Performing Loans to 168 mln (+82.8% on Dec02) with an increase in the coverage ratio (+0.6 pp to 1.5%)
5 credit modules designed, set-up and implemented (corporate underwriting, management and workout, individuals and small business underwriting)
UCI Group credit corporate governance defined and introduced (i.e. large exposure management, credit tableau de bord, …)
Skill assessments and training prepared and launched for roles involved in credit activities
Tactical actions: credit diagnostics and contingency plan actions
Learning organisation (3,800 people involved throughout New Europe)
1 Calculated as Net Loan Loss Provisions on Net customers Loans at period-end
2 Data obtained deducting extraordinary provisions from stated figure
22
2004 DIVISIONAL OUTLOOK IS VERY POSITIVE WITH SIGNIFICANT REVENUE GROWTH EXPECTED MAINLY DUE TO AN INCREASE IN COMMISSIONS
Significant revenue growth with strong push on net commissions
Volumes growth both in loans and in Assets under Management
Improvement in cost/income ratio and bottom line results
Implementation of relevant strategic projects to support future growth
Salesforce management program Client acquisition and development project throughout New Europe Network expansion in Turkey and Czech Republic Customer and employee satisfaction project in Poland and Croatia Reengineering projects to improve operational efficiency Credit learning program
Decrease in cost of risk, with improvement of NPL ratio and increase of the coverage ratio
Further macroeconomic improvement all over the New Europe area
Reduction of country risk
23
Annex
24
Net extraordinary income
Net non interest income
Total revenues
Operating income
Provisions on loans
Administrative costs (incl. depr.)
Net income
Other net provisions*
Goodwill depr.
(Euro mln)
Minorities
Taxes
% ch. on 3Q03 4Q03
1,306
2,541
-1,510
1,031
-440
160
380
-76
-60
-19
-216
* Net write-downs of financial investments, provisions for risks and charges and provisions to reserve for general banking risk
% ch. on 4Q02
UNICREDITO ITALIANO: FY03 CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
y/y % ch.
+8.9
+7.7
+1.8
-2.5
-41.1
+1.6
+2.0
-49.0
+7.8
FY03
Net interest income (incl. div.) 1,235-3.85,088
5,377
10,465
-5,703
4,762
-1,001
215
1,961
-236
-264
-22.3-129
+4.0-1,386
- of which Dividends 84+35.6293
-15.4
+0.2
+1.6
n.m.
n.m.
+10.3
-8.9
n.m.
-11.8
-44.3
-37.7
+8.0
+7.0
+1.0
+32.5
-27.2
+2.7
-1.2
-75.4
+1.7
-34.0
+18.2
+3.1 -4.6
n.m. +68.0
25
Interest margin (incl. div.)
Net non interest income
Total revenues
Operating costs (incl. dep.)
Net operating income
Net income
ROE
Cost/income
TOTAL1
1,042
577
1,619
-904
715
427
17.4%
55.9%
Net provisions -177
1 Balance due to roundings and other small companies
(Euro mln)
(UCI stake)
Net income (UCI’s portion) 307
- of which: Staff costs -446
- of which: Other costs -336
NEW EUROPE DIVISION: RESULTS BREAKDOWN BY BANK
- o/w: Net write-down of loans -139
UNI BANKA (77.1%)
27
13
40
-29
11
7
10.1%
73.4%
-7
5
-13
-13
-5
BULBANK (85.2%)
50
37
87
-34
53
20.2%
39.1%
+6
47
40
-14
-15
+5
Group PEKAO (53.0%)
510
344
853
-490
363
14.9%
57.5%
195
-107
104
-243
-182
-103
257
108
365
-201
164
114
21.7%
55.1%
-27
93
Group ZABA
(81.9%)
-112
-65
-4
7
10
17
-12
5
3
10.5%
71.4%
-6
-5
-2
3
-1
162
46
208
-94
114
58
28.6%
45.1%
-40
-40
-39
58
KFS2 (50.0%)
-29
2 Consolidated with proportional method (50%)
26
16
43
-35
7
6
7.0%
82.9%
-15
-13
-2
6
Zivno (97.7%)
-2
UniCredit Romania (99.9%)
ITAS
Banks’ data net of consolidation adjustment
261 Excluding dividends
MACROECONOMIC TREND IN POLAND: Economic strenghtening (GDP+4.7% 4Q03/4Q02, +3.7%
FY03/FY02) reverting the upward trend in NPLs ratio, started in 1996
150 bp cut of interest rate creating pressure on net interest income
Recovery in households savings and change in customer behaviour supported sale of mutual funds
IMPROVED PROFITABILITY thanks to commissions growth and reduced Cost of Risk
Net interest income down 19.0% y/y mainly impacted by decreased spread on deposits (from 2.6% to 1.7%) and debt securities (from 2.4% to 1.5%)
Net commissions up 30.5% y/y benefiting from increased AUM2 (stock +85.5%, mkt share +6.5 pp to 30.4%) and from quality upgrade of C/A
Increased coverage ratio on doubtful loans (64.5% in Dec03 from 62.1% in Dec02) and on NPL (82.3% vs. 81.4%)
SPECIAL PROJECTS: Development of credit scoring system New IT implementation allowing further optimisation of staff level:
headcount -6.4% to 16,641 and -6.3% to 15,826 at bank level
VOLUMES: Customer loans down 12.6% y/y: decreased corporate lending
and FX mortgages partially counterbalanced by a good increase in local currency retail mortgages flow
PEKAO 2003 KEY HIGHLIGHTS: IMPROVED PROFITABILITY THANKS TO HIGHER COMMISSIONS AND LOWER PROVISIONS NEEDS AND DESPITE PRESSURE ON NET INTEREST INCOME
FY03(Euro mln)
y/y % ch.
Total revenues -16.3853
FY03(Euro mln)
y/y % ch.
Loans -12.65,192
Deposits -5.210,071
AUM2 +85.52,146
At unchanged FX
At unchanged FX
Attr. Net Income +14.8104
Operating income -34.5363
Cost/Income +11.8 pp57.5%
Cost of Risk -3.3 pp198 bp
- o/w net interest income1 -19.0512
- of which commissions +30.5234
Net write-downs of loans -67.1-103
ROE +2.2 pp14.9%
2 PPIM
Data net of consolidation adjustment
ITAS
27
MACROECONOMIC SCENARIO
2004 PRODUCT FOCUS, LEVERAGING ON ECONOMIC GROWTH, SALESFORCE AND BRANCH MODEL
2004 PRODUCT FOCUS
Continued economic recovery: GDP: +4.2% in 04E (+3.7% in 03)
cagr 04/06 4.8% Loans: +10.2% in 04E (+8.1% in
03) cagr 04/06 +9.8% Deposits: +5.0% in 04E (+3.7% in
03) cagr 04/06 +6.5%
Push on mortgages: Strong market growth +29% in 2004e Shorter granting process, enriched product offer,
new distribution channels through alliances Selective focus on lending to SME and Mid
corporate
Evolving households preferences in terms of saving products
(AUM/Total deposits1 from 10.3% in 2003 to 12.1% in 2004)
Leader in mutual funds: Product enrichment, leveraging on Pioneer expertise Increased client penetration and new clients
acquisition Accumulation Plans (PAK) offer
Stabilisation of interest rates, still with pressure on margins
Focus on commissions generating products: Massive charge/credit cards campaign Continued upgrade of current accounts New cash management offer
Positive impact of economic recovery on loan portfolio quality and on cost of risk
Decreased NPL ratio Improvement in NPL portfolio management and
workout activity
1 Including AUM
28 Data net of consolidation adjustment
2004 STRATEGIC PRODUCTS AND FORECAST
2003 MAIN ACTIONS
GOOD RESULTS IN 2003 FOR ZABA, KOC AND ZIVNO; PROMISING FORECAST FOR 2004
Divisionalisation and segment based product innovation
Credit process optimisation
Preparation activity for Integration of VABA1 in Zaba
Implementation of new organisational model and reinforcement of management team
Improved service model and credit process
Repositioning of local Brand
Cross selling and retention activities
Further efficiency improvement after the merger of VABA1 in ZABA and of the two Bosnian banks
Market Shares consolidation
Strong acquisition of new clients Network expansion (+20 branches) Launch of new products (C/A
packages, Pioneer funds, PAC2) Increase in net commissions with
strong push on AUM, package products and credit cards
Strong acquisition of new clients Network expansion: around
+100% in n° of branches Improvements in efficiency Increase in market shares
1 Varazdinska Banka2 Capital Accumulation Plans
2003 RESULTS3
Strong increase in operating income (+28.2% y/y)
Good cost control (-2.7% y/y)
Higher loans mkt sh. (to 25.2%, +1.2 pp), mkt sh. in AUM at 49%
Strong contribution of net commissions (+79.2% y/y) driven by AUM (mkt sh. 13%)
Significant revenue growth (+45.8% y/y)
Costs under control (-1.2% y/y)
Increase in revenues with flat costs
Strong improvement in bottom line results
3 at unchanged FX excluding for KFSITAS
KFS
Zagrebacka
29
TREND IN VOLUMES AND COMMERCIAL INDICATORS
VOLUMES (at unchanged FX)
COMMERCIAL INDICATORS
Front Office Staff/ Tot. Staff2
61.1%59.7%
Dec02 Dec03
Branches2
1,3551,347
Dec02 Dec03
Active Customers2 (mln)
6.66.0
Dec02 Dec03
15% 15% golden
other
2 KFS is included at 100%
Deposits (Euro bn)Loans (Euro bn) Assets under Management1 (Euro bn)
Jun02 Dec03Dec02
2.32.01.5
+14.7%
+54.1%
Jun03 Dec03 Dec02
11.811.711.5
+1.0%
+3.2%
Jun03 Dec03 Dec02
20.620.220.4
+1.7%
+0.5%
1 New Europe business area of Pioneer ITAS
30
Euro 1,6 bn AUM (+91.8% on Dec02) +1,000 new active Private clients (+21.6%) 1° in leasing, among top 3 in AM
KFS
PEKAO
Euro 1.7 bn AUM in Mutual Funds1 (+112% on Dec02)
Market Share in Mutual Funds2 +6.5 pp (to 30.4%)
Euro 154 mln AUM in Pension Funds (+39.6% on Dec02)
Euro 95 mln AUM in Accumulation Plans
Euro 82 mln AUM in Mutual Funds (+36.8% on Dec02)
Euro 10 mln in Life Insurance (+97.4% y/y) +110,000 C/A in 2003 (to 1.7 mln) Flow of new mortgage +33.8% (to 340 mln) Total loans mkt share +1.2 pp (to 25.2%)
ZABA
UNIBANKA
Euro 12.2 mln AUM (from 3.1 mln in 2002) +30% Affluent clients (to 19,500) +40 bp mkt share on Deposits
Loans +105% (to Euro 110 mln) Deposits +110% (to Euro 99 mln), mkt sh.
+50bp (to 1,1%) New retail C/A +90% (to 13,000)
UCROMANIA
Credit and Debit Cards +33%
ZIVNO
BULBANK Corporate Loans +61% on Dec02, mkt share
+1.3 pp (to 11.7%) Flow of new mortgage +68.5% (to 10.3 mln) +66.000 clients (+24.3% on Dec02)
2003 SUCCESSFUL COMMERCIAL ACHIEVEMENTS SUPPORT THE REVENUE GENERATIONIMPROVEMENT IN MARKET SHARES
1 Mutual funds distributed by Pekao
2 Total PPIM Mutual Funds
31
3 Including Momentum
1 Balance due to market and FX effects
Italy
New Europe
(Euro mln)
80,759
1,522
TOTAL PIONEER
Alternative Investments3
103,687
1,517
632
284
2,104
107
US 17,665 962
International (ex-Italy)3 3,741 226
AuM as of 31.12.2002
2Q03
2003 Quarterly Net Sales
1,253
362
3,330
191
1,149
566
US in USD 18.525 1,035
85,876
2,347
115,985
2,449
21,884
5,878
AuM as of 30.12.20031
27,639
AuM as of 29.02.20042
90,237
23,480
6,170
2,659
122,546
2,710
29,1571,299
3Q03
-126
331
1,161
256
703
253
794
1Q03
372
69
2,349
411
993
915
1,177
4Q03
PGAM GROUP: QUARTERLY EVOLUTION OF 2003 NET SALES AND DEC02-FEB04 AUM TREND
2 Provisional figures including ING (not included in 2003 data). ING AUM as of 29.2.2004: 2,867 mln
More than 80% through UCI NE Banks
32
THE 2002-2004 “REACHING CREDIT EXCELLENCE IN NE” PROGRAM:DECREASING COST OF RISK IN EACH PHASE OF THE PROCESS FOR ALL THE CUSTOMER SEGMENTS
WorkoutManagementUnderwriting
Corporate
Small Businesses
Retail
1. Electronic underwriting tool
2. Credit rating system
4. Credit management system
3. Application processing system
6. Workout systemt
5. Anomalies management system
7. Collection system
8. Credit corporate governance
9. Credit Tableau de Bord
10. Learning organisation (3,800 people involved throughout New Europe)
Cross-bank project
33
Provide an overview of the main specialized lending products and services
Module 3: Specialized lending
STRUCTURE OF THE REACHING CREDIT EXCELLENCE DIPLOMA
Provide a broad perspective of the entire credit system, illustrating the logics behind the definition of credit strategies and policies
Module 1: Credit organization, strategy and policies
Provide a hands-on experience of UCIs most advanced credit underwriting methodologies and processes
Module 2: Underwriting
Provide an understanding of UCIs most advanced logics, methodologies and processes for Corporate and SB credit monitoring
Module 4: Credit monitoring and management
Illustrate UCI most advanced logics and methodologies for the workout of Corporate and Retail not performing loans
Module 5: Workout and debt restructuring