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Energy: Emerging Opportunities February 10, 2014

Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

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Page 1: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Energy:

Emerging Opportunities

February 10, 2014

Page 2: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

About us

An industry association dedicated to the sustainable

growth and economic development of the regional

energy sector.

Page 3: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in
Page 4: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Global Demand

1.5 Billion people have no access to modern energy services and electricity

Page 5: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Price today is

$100.11

Page 6: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Global Supply of Natural Gas

Page 7: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Global Survey

• New Brunswick improved its ranking

from 102 (of 147) to 81 (of 157)

Fraser Institute Global Petroleum Survey, 2013

Page 8: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Global Survey

“However, in spite of these improvements,

New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after

Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for

exploration and development investment.”

Page 9: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Energy in our region • Hydro

Page 10: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Energy in our region • Hydro

• Nuclear

Page 11: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Energy in our region • Hydro

• Nuclear

• Coal

Page 12: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Energy in our region • Hydro

• Nuclear

• Coal

• Refined Petroleum (and non-refined)

Page 13: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Energy in our region • Hydro

• Nuclear

• Coal

• Refined Petroleum (and non-refined)

• Natural gas

Page 14: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Energy in our region • Hydro

• Nuclear

• Coal

• Refined Petroleum (and non-refined)

• Natural gas

• Renewables – Wind, Biomass, Anaerobic, Solar

Page 15: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

American oil production is projected to increase,

particularly from shale sources, which has led to

projections the U.S. could become energy (oil)

independent by 2030.

Page 16: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Future Supply of Natural Gas

Page 17: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in
Page 18: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in
Page 19: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Atlantic Bridge A potential expansion on the Algonquin Gas Transmission system which could bring natural gas supply from the Marcellus and Utica basins to Algonquin and Maritimes & Northeast.

Page 20: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Canaport LNG

Import/ and potential Export Terminal

Page 21: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Nova Scotia Terminals

• Two proposed terminals

Have stimulated other inquiries for further on-shore and off-shore exploration

Page 22: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

• Three key pipeline proposals

1. TransCanada Pipeline's Keystone XL project proposed to

carry crude southerly into the U.S. Gulf to access refineries

Pipelines

Page 23: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

• Three key pipeline proposals

1. TransCanada Pipeline's Keystone XL project proposed to

carry crude southerly into the U.S. Gulf to access refineries

2. Enbridge's Northern Gateway pipeline and Kinder Morgan's

Trans Mountain Expansion to access markets in the Pacific

Rim via British Columbia

Pipelines

Page 24: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

• Three key pipeline proposals

1. TransCanada Pipeline's Keystone XL project proposed to

carry crude southerly into the U.S. Gulf to access refineries

2. Enbridge's Northern Gateway pipeline and Kinder Morgan's

Trans Mountain Expansion to access markets in the Pacific

Rim via British Columbia

3. TransCanada Pipeline’s proposed West-East pipeline from

Alberta to New Brunswick

Pipelines

Page 25: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Energy East Pipeline

Page 26: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

The region requires an ample supply of

competitively priced energy

Page 27: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

The region requires an ample supply of

competitively priced energy

They will source it from foreign markets,

regional markets, or proposed New

Brunswick sources

Page 28: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

There is a finite window of opportunity for

all of these opportunities

Page 29: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Demand

Page 30: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Industry must be able to operate under a

competitive cost structure

Demand

Page 31: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

If energy sources are not competitively

priced, industry will be operating at a

competitive disadvantage

Demand

Page 32: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

And that is not sustainable

Demand

Page 33: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Residential users also require reasonable

energy costs

Demand

Page 34: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

• Natural gas and oil development

Some on-shore production

Potential further investment on-shore and off-shore

Summary

Page 35: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

• Natural gas and oil development

Some on-shore production

Potential further investment on-shore and off-shore

• Proposed crude oil pipeline: Energy East

Requires regulatory approval and significant investment

Summary

Page 36: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

• Natural gas and oil development

Some on-shore production

Potential further investment on-shore and off-shore

• Proposed crude oil pipeline: Energy East

Requires regulatory approval and significant investment

• Export terminals: NB part of Energy East Pipeline

NS supply and customer contracts required

Summary

Page 37: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

• Electricity infrastructure: Mactaquac, Coleson Cove,

Point Lepreau, Belledune

Summary

Page 38: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

• Electricity infrastructure: Mactaquac, Coleson Cove,

Point Lepreau, Belledune

• Continued development in energy technologies

Biomass, wind, solar, small hydro, geothermal,

biofuels, hydrogen, and research partnerships

Summary

Page 39: Energy · New Brunswick is next to last in Canada, after Quebec, in terms of attractiveness for exploration and development investment.” Energy in our region •Hydro . Energy in

Energy:

Emerging Opportunities

With sources from the International Energy Agency

World Outlook, Deloitte, the Canadian Association of

Petroleum Producers, and the Fraser Institute