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www.urbanbuzz.org
The reality of creating sustainable communities2nd December, London
Dr Robin HickmanHalcrow Group
Achieving carbon efficient transport
VIBAT LondonVISIONING AND BACKCASTING FOR TRANSPORT IN LONDON
Objective: mapping the pathways towards a 60% reduction in CO2 emissions in the transport sector in London by 2025 and 80% by 2050
A range of policy packages
Level of application
Target achieved/ achievable?
The Backcasting Approach
Baseline and projection
Alternative image(s) of the futureBackcastingAppraisal, costing, optimum pathways
Achieving Carbon Efficient Transport
The VIBAT Policy Packages
EnablingMechanisms?
Carbon rationsOil price sensitivities
London: The Baseline (Transport Only)
TC-SIM London
Local Version 03
Web Version 03
C:\tcsim\tcsim_version_02\tcsim_65
http://www.vibat.org/vibat_ldn/tcsim3/tcsim.html
Conclusions: Towards Optimised Packaging
Much debate – but little action – transport sector needs to URGENTLY ACCELERATE its effortsSome cities, such as London, providing a lead[80%] target is very ambitious: major change required; the scale of which is being underestimatedWide range of policy packages available – all require a successful applicationBehavioural and lifestyle changes difficult to engenderFurther work:
Different contexts (India, North America ..)Educational tool – BA, BSc and MA CO2 quantification, synergiesPolicy packaging and pathwaysInternational air & shippingPolitical and public acceptance
Appraisal - not just CO2; wider quality of life aspects
VIBAT-Delhi
VIBAT-Victoria (Canada)
www.vibat.org
ABUNDANCEDr Robert [email protected]• Use of community gardens• Practical surveys of cultivable space• Actual cultivation• Practical permaculturetraining• YouTube UCLurbanbuzz
DEI-DEMONSTRATIONProf. Stephen [email protected]• Reducing heat loss in buildings• Zero carbon mechanisms and sensors for automatically opening and closing shuttershttp://www.pachube.com/feeds/1044
CLOVIS
John [email protected]• Knowledge sharing events between regeneration teams of local authorities• Social sustainability usually weak • One size does not fit all for stakeholder engagement; context is everything
www.urbanbuzz.org
The reality of creating sustainable communities2nd December, London
THANK YOUDr Robin Hickman
Halcrow Group
Achieving carbon efficient transport
Reserve slides if web not available
Techno-Optimist “AMBITIOUS”
Techno-Optimist “REALISTIC”
Complacent Car Addict
Concerned Realist
The International Air Problem