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8/3/2019 Nepal Capital Market Master Plan Supplementary Report on Commodity Markets v2[1]
1/18
Securities Board of Nepal
Five-Year Capital Market Development Master Plan
Supplementary Report on Commodity Markets
Introduction
1. The Government of Nepal is considering an amendment to the
Securities Act that would create a regulatory authority for the
commodity markets in Nepal. It is not yet determined whether or not
this regulatory authority would be the Securities Board of Nepal
(SEBON) or some other body. This supplementary report includes abrief assessment of the commodity markets in Nepal and makes
some proposals for the regulation of those markets.
Commodity Markets
2. The term commodity markets is a broad one that can be used to
describe a number of different kinds of market. In a sense, any
market for a commodity, such as agricultural products, would be
encompassed in such a term. Thus a local market for lentils or
potatoes is, in a real sense, a commodity market.
3. However, at a local farmers market, the quality and nature of the
different products will vary considerably. They can be bought and
sold in different quantities, with different quality attracting different
prices. Buyers and sellers can agree a price taking account of the
nature of the specific commodity in question which both buyer and
seller can see, touch and feel, and about which they can make a
judgement.
4. The nature of a formal commodity market is that the quality andquantity of the product is standardised so that any one unit of the
product within the market is the same as any other unit of the same
product. If the unit of the commodity was, for example, one hundred
kilograms of coffee, all units would be regarded as the same and the
price and quality of any one unit would be the same throughout the
market. When a buyer decided to buy one or more units of the
product, the buyer would be indifferent as to which producer had
produced the commodity in question. To achieve this standardisation,
it is necessary to define the quality and quantity of the unit in such a
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way that it can be tested by inspectors and graders in whom the
market has confidence.
5. It is also necessary to distinguish between commodity spot and
commodity futures markets. In the case of a spot market, a seller
would deposit the commodity in its standardised units and receive
payment for them. The buyer would buy the commodity and receive
delivery of the commodity in question.
6. In the case of a commodity futures market, the buyer and seller
would agree to a contract, whereby the buyer would agree to buy,
and the seller to sell, a standardised unit of the commodity for a price
fixed in the contract at a future date, also fixed in the contract. Such
contracts would themselves also be standardised, so that there would
be a series of contracts each of which related to the same unit of thecommodity to be bought and sold at the same time (for example, one
unit of a fixed amount and quality of coffee to be bought and sold at
the same specified date). Once agreed between buyer and seller, the
contracts could then be traded again repeatedly between different
market participants until such time as they become due for
settlement. Commodity futures markets are one form of commodity
derivatives markets (the price of the futures contract being derived
from that in the spot market). However other forms of derivative
market, such as options markets, or options on futures markets, arenot yet in existence in Nepal and are not discussed further here, save
to say that they provide different ways for market participants to
insure against risk.
7. It is then necessary to distinguish between commodity futures
markets that result in the physical delivery of the commodity in
question and those where there is cash settlement. In the case of
physical delivery, the buyer of a commodity futures contract who
holds the contract at the expiry date will receive the commodity in
question. The seller receives cash. In the case of cash settlement, the
contract includes a reference price and, on the date of settlement,
the reference price is compared with the price in the contract and
one of the parties makes a cash payment to the other, depending on
whether the contract price exceeds or is less than the reference
price.
8. Commodity markets, whether spot or futures, can provide
advantages to producers and consumers of commodities. The spot
market allows both buyers and sellers to trade on a large scale,without the need to check the quality and quantity of the product at
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each stage. Because the product is standardised, the price can also
be harmonised across a national market. Farmers can deliver the
product at the point most convenient to them and the buyer can
collect from the location convenient to them. The price is set as a
result of the national market without local variations. The overallprocess of price formation reflects the national (or in some cases,
global) supply and demand.
9. Commodity futures markets allow buyers and sellers to reduce their
risks. Thus, for example, a farmer may sell a commodities futures
contract that involves the delivery of the commodity at a fixed price
in the future. This gives the farmer certainty as to the price to be
received for the crop. The farmer will forego the prospect of
unexpected profits but will also avoid the risk of unexpected loses.
This process is known as hedging the risk.
10. This reduction in risk allows the farmer greater confidence in
investing in the seeds and equipment necessary to grow the
commodity. Similarly, the consumer who may have invested in
machinery to process the product can also, in effect, fix the price and
then invest with confidence, with the knowledge that the net outlays
(allowing for the profit or loss on the futures contract and the
changes in the spot commodity price) will be fixed. Commodity
futures markets also provide scope for those who believe prices mayrise or fall in the future to test their belief in the market through
speculation which provides the liquidity in the market that enables
the producers and consumers to reap the benefits of the commodity
markets as described above.
11. Commodity markets also create risks. In the spot market, there is a
risk that any one unit of the commodity, despite the controls
designed to achieve standardisation, may not in fact meet the
standard quality or quantity. The buyer may suffer. Those trading in
the commodity futures markets may not fully understand the risks
involved and may find that they have suffered losses they did not
expect. There are also risks that some of the parties to contracts may
fail to meet their obligations. As is the case with any market,
commodity markets (both spot and futures) can be subject to
conflicts of interest, manipulation or other forms of market abuse.
Commodity markets have established risk management techniques
to address these risks. Regulation is designed to ensure the risk
management is adequate and properly maintained.
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Commodity Markets in Nepal.
12. At the time of writing this supplementary report, there are four
established commodity markets in Nepal. Two are trading commodity
futures contracts that are cash settled by reference to prices that are
set on foreign markets. The commodities include agricultural
products, such as soya and soya oil, precious metals such as gold and
silver, other metals, and minerals, such as oil. A third exchange is a
spot exchange. It trades certificates that represent a standard
quantity of a commodity such as gold. The buyer may hold the
certificate for up to six months but may trade it at any time. The
price for buying and selling the certificate is based on the world
market for gold as set in global markets such as the London Gold
Market, or COMEX, which is operated by the Chicago Mercantile
Exchange in the USA. The fourth exchange is yet to start operation.
13. The size and depth of the markets is difficult to determine but the
exchanges estimate that the average daily trading volume is 50
million NPRs.
14. All of the Nepali commodity markets operate on the basis of cash
settlement and thus none of them provide for the physical delivery of
the commodity in question. All of them use reference prices based on
global markets, such as COMEX, as noted above, the London Metal
Exchange, or the world oil markets in London and the US. None of
them involve Nepali commodities.
15. However, all of the exchanges state that, in the future, they would
wish to trade commodity spot or futures contracts that are based on
Nepali commodities. One exchange, the Nepal Spot Exchange, is
seeking to develop spot markets in Nepali commodities such as
wheat, lentils and potatoes. The other exchanges see the scope for
developing derivatives markets based on the prices of the spot
exchange. Such markets would be of more direct benefit to theNepali economy by providing a means by which producers of
commodities could insure against (or hedge) their risks.
16. Each of the markets operates broadly on the following basis:
a. The exchanges provide facilities for the buyers and sellers of
the contracts to see the best bid and offer price currently in
the market. Each of the markets also has one or more liquidity
providers in the form of one or more market makers dealers
that deal in the commodities and provide bid and offer prices
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to customers. Most of the trading is done through the market
makers.
b. Buyers and sellers access the market through brokers who are
licensed by the exchange and may trade on the exchanges as
agents for the clients. None of the brokers engage in
proprietary trading on their own account.
c. Trading is done by buying and selling contracts designed by
the exchange. Each of the exchanges design their own
contracts and the contracts for any one exchange are
different from those in other exchanges. The contracts give
details of the commodity to be traded and the date of
settlement, together with other features but not the reference
price of the contract (a point discussed further below).
d. Each exchange has one or more clearing members. A
clearing member is responsible for making sure that a trade is
settled (i.e. that payments are made on the expiry of the
contract). The clearing member (or members) establish
between themselves the overall net obligations of each of the
clients of the brokers and make payments between
themselves through a settlement bank to settle the accounts.
e. The risks of default by any one party are reduced by thefollowing mechanism:
i. Once a trade is made, the client, through the broker,
must make a deposit (known as initial margin) of
between 1 - 3 percent of the nominal value of the
commodity.
ii. Every day, the value of the contract is assessed on the
basis of movements in the underlying reference price
(known as marking to market). If the value of the
contract has declined during the day, the client is
required to pay, via the broker to the clearing member,
an amount equivalent to the reduction in the value of
the contract during the day. The reverse is also true, if
the market price of the contract rises. These payments
are known as variation margin.
iii. If a client fails to make a variation margin payment, the
clearing member will (subject to a short delay) close thecontract by selling it on the exchange. If the value of the
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contract has increased, the clearing member makes a
payment to the client via the broker, of the amount of
the gain.
iv. This mechanism ensures that, on settlement day, the
only outstanding payments that are due from or to the
clients are the result of the movement of prices on the
last day (all previous price movements having resulted
in daily variation margin payments as noted above). The
clearing members ability to make these final payments,
even in the event of a default by one or more of the
parties, rests on the clearing members own capital and
the initial margin collected as described in (i) above. If
all payments are properly made, the initial margin is
returned.
f. The reference price is based on the prices on world markets
that tend to be denominated in US dollars, with a Nepali
equivalent being calculated by an exchange rate that is fixed
in the contract. While this may appear to protect the investor
from exchange rate risk, in fact, the exchange rate risk
remains insofar as the market exchange rate, on settlement
date, may differ from that in the contract.
17. These arrangements, albeit briefly described, have some of the
characteristics of international best practice for derivative markets.
Marking contracts to market on a daily basis so that clients whose
contracts have reduced in value are required to make payments to
the clearing members is a standard practice on international markets.
Risk management
18. However, there are a number of ways in which the commodity
markets in Nepal depart from best practice, particularly in the riskmanagement practices.
19. The contracts designed by the exchanges do not specify precisely
how the reference price will be determined on the settlement day of
the contract. It is noted above that all futures contracts in Nepal
have, as their reference price, the price traded on a particular foreign
exchange. In principle, it should be straightforward to specify that the
base reference market price of the commodity in question is that
published at the close of business on settlement day on the reference
exchange. Thus for example, the reference price for a gold contract
could be the closing price of gold on COMEX on the settlement date
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of the contract. However, the contracts used by Nepali exchanges do
not specify the basis of the reference price and the brokers point out
that the clients do not know exactly how the price is determined. In
practice, the price is determined in at least one exchange by the
clearing members. It is quite contrary to best practice for thesettlement price to be determined by a clearing member who is a
party to the contract, since this creates a clear conflict of interest.
The way the price is set should be specified in the contract and
should be finally determined by an independent party.
20. The Nepali commodity markets do not have central counterparties
(CCPs). Commodity futures markets elsewhere typically use a CCP
which is the counterparty to every buyer and the counterparty to
every seller. Because it would have substantial capital and because it
would use risk management techniques that have been welldeveloped in world futures markets, the risk of failure by a CCP is
very low. The clients therefore do not need to fear that, when it
becomes time for the settlement of a contract, the counterparty
might be unable to meet the obligations. The elimination of
counterparty risk in this way is one of the considerable advantages of
commodity futures markets. However, with no central counterparty,
this advantage is missing from the Nepali commodity markets.
21. Instead, in Nepal, the clearing members are the counterparties to thetrades by clients. The brokers maintain that there are, in some cases,
considerable doubts about who the counterparty may be in a
particular case.
22. Moreover, the clearing members have only limited capital (50 million
NPRs, or less than $1 million). The exchanges point out that this is
sufficient for the level of markets as they now exist and that there
are limits on the ability of the clearing members to take on trades
beyond the amount that can be properly absorbed by their capital.
However, since the clearing members are essential to the functioning
of the market (being, in effect, the counterparty to all trades) it is
difficult to see how the markets could continue if the clearing
members were not permitted to accept further trades. Where an
exchange has only a single clearing member, any decision to enforce
a rule preventing that clearing member from taking on more trades
because of inadequate capital would, in effect, mean closing down
the exchange. Even where there is more than one clearing member,
the removal of one would severely constrain the capacity of the
exchange. In practice, therefore, there is a risk that exchanges wouldbe reluctant to enforce their rules that limit the trading capacity of
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clearing members by reference to their capital. This reluctance would
increase the risk to the client that a clearing member may fail.
23. None of the Nepali commodity markets uses a clearing house. A
clearing house is responsible for establishing the net obligations paid
by and due to each participant. The clearing house may also be the
CCP but would not be an active participant in the market as market
maker. This separation of functions removes some of the potential
conflicts of interest and provides greater confidence that the system
is robust in the event of a default. Without this facility in Nepal, there
is a greater problem of conflicts of interest and of vulnerability to
default. In effect, the clearing house function in Nepal is performed
by the clearing members.
24. It should also be noted that the clearing members are market makersas well. In effect, therefore, the clearing members set the price of the
contract when it is bought and when it is traded. They also determine
the reference price at expiry. They are also the counterparties to the
contracts. There is clearly a very substantial conflict of interest in this
arrangement.
25. The transparency of the market is not sufficient. The client is only
aware of the best bid and offer price but does not know the depth of
the market (i.e. how much of the commodity is being offered at any
one price). The client does not know what other bids and offers are in
the exchange and therefore cannot know whether or not a bid or
offer might be of such weight as to result in a movement of the price.
The exchanges do not publish the open interest (the amount of
contracts outstanding) and so the customers cannot know the size or
depth of the market. To this lack of transparency should be added the
obscurity of the process by which the settlement price is determined
and the uncertainty as to the identity of the counterparty.
26. There is limited capacity for individuals to provide liquidity in themarket by becoming proprietary traders. Markets require liquidity in
order to provide efficient risk management for the end users and in
most markets, this is facilitated by encouraging intermediaries who
are proprietary traders.
27. The limited information in the contracts, particularly about the
reference price, leaves room for manipulation. Moreover, the
contracts are different in different exchanges, which results in
different prices for reasons that are not always understood. The
scope for arbitrage is limited and this reduces liquidity.
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28. There also appears to be some uncertainty about the precise nature
of the actions to be taken in the event of default. The exchanges all
say that they have facilities to monitor the market and to take action
in the event that a market participant may become a threat to the
market. However, none of the exchanges are clear as to the nature ofthe action to be taken if they were to conclude that a market
participant posed such a threat. There is also some uncertainty as to
the consequences of a client failing to make a daily variation margin
payment as a result of the process of marking to market described
above. Different participants have different views as to the
appropriate obligations and penalties.
29. There is no exemption from Nepali insolvency law in the case of the
default of a commodity broker and thus, if such a default took place,
the entire settlement system could be disrupted as an insolvencyadministrator would be obliged to cease making payments to meet
obligations arising from commodity contracts. Since the commodity
markets work on the basis of the net obligations between different
participants on settlement day, this absence of certainty in the event
of a failure would be extremely disruptive.
30. The amount of the first deposit paid by the client on making a trade
(initial margin) is not based on a calculation of price volatility. The
purpose of the process of marking to market and making variationmargin payments (described in paragraph above) is to limit the
outstanding obligations of any participant, at any one time, to the
effect of one days price movement. For this reason, best practice is
to determine the amount of initial margin by reference to the likely
maximum price movement in a single day, given previous
experience. In the case of the Nepali markets, initial margin is set at
between 1 3 percent and this would appear to be considerably less
than the maximum likely volatility in the world markets for the
commodities in question.
31. There is no settlement guarantee fund. In the event of a failure by a
market participant which was of a size that could not be met by the
margin payments already paid by the defaulting participant, the loss
would have to be borne by the clearing member (whose capital is, as
already noted, limited). Many commodity futures markets create a
settlement fund based on contributions from market participants that
would be used in such circumstances. The exchanges are seeking to
create such funds but they are not yet at a level sufficient to provide
comfort that defaults could be accommodated.
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Physical delivery
32. The commodity markets in Nepal are interested in developing the
facility to offer physical delivery in both spot and futures markets.
Physical delivery of commodities would enable Nepali producers and
consumers to use the commodity markets in a more direct way to
trade the commodities and to manage risk. It is a development to be
desired. However, it requires substantial infrastructure.
33. In order to ensure that a commodity is truly standardised, it is
necessary to establish a network of warehouses and inspectors who
would be responsible for accepting the commodity (whether wheat,
potatoes, lentils or any other commodity) and checking that the
quality and quantity met the established standards. For the market to
work, it is essential that the standards adopted by each warehouseand inspector should be the same. There is always a temptation for a
producer to attempt to persuade, bribe or intimidate an inspector or
warehouse to accept a delivery that did not meet the standards.
There must therefore be an oversight system that can be trusted
rigorously to enforce common standards and take firm action against
any person who departed from them. Given that the warehouses and
inspectors are, of necessity, located around the country, enforcement
is extremely difficult. The exchanges will look to the commodity
regulator to achieve this level of enforcement.
34. For this to be possible, it will be necessary to enact a Warehouse Act
that creates an obligation on warehouse keepers and inspectors to
maintain standards and gives the regulator the powers to carry out
inspections. There should be strong enforcement powers and
sufficient human and other resources to use the powers to ensure
that commodities are delivered according to the standards in the
contracts.
The Sustainability of Nepali Commodity Markets
35. As already noted, the commodity markets in Nepal currently operate
on the basis of a reference price derived from world markets. The
commodities in question are not Nepali commodities and there is
therefore little direct advantage to producers and consumers of
Nepali commodities. The markets at present meet a demand within
Nepal for speculation on world commodity markets. However, beyond
the fees and profits earned by the clearing members, exchanges and
brokers, there is no direct benefit to the Nepalese economy.
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36. If there is a demand within Nepal for facilities for speculation, it is
reasonable for Nepali entities to be formed to meet that demand.
However, it is also reasonable to assume that, if Nepali citizens were
permitted to trade directly on foreign commodity markets, they
would do so. By trading direct on COMEX or other world markets,Nepali citizens could benefit from the more advanced risk
management arrangements that provide greater protection against
the failure of market participants than is afforded by the existing
Nepali commodity markets. The effect of Nepali foreign exchange
controls, in this instance, is to oblige Nepali citizens, who wish to
speculate on world commodity prices, to do so on exchanges that
offer less protection than would be given by the world markets.
37. It has been argued that the existence of Nepali commodity markets
as an alternative to direct trading on foreign markets preventscapital flight. The term capital flight refers to the decision by
investors to invest in foreign countries rather than investing in the
productive capacity of Nepal. In fact, trading in the Nepali commodity
exchanges does not result in any direct investment in Nepal.
38. Although it is difficult to see much economic value being provided to
Nepal at present by the commodity markets (other than the fees and
profits of exchanges and intermediaries), this may change if the
commodity markets were to trade contracts based on Nepalicommodities. The commodity markets would then provide an
opportunity for producers and consumers of Nepali commodities to
insure against the risks arising from price volatility and this, in turn, is
likely to increase investment by both producers and consumers of
Nepali commodities. Until this development takes place (which would
require the extensive infrastructure described above), the
sustainability of Nepali markets will depend on the continued
retention of restrictions that prevent Nepali citizens from investing
abroad.
Should Nepali Commodity Markets be Regulated?
39. The Government has taken the decision to bring the commodity
markets into regulation. The normal justification for regulation is to
ensure fair markets, to protect investors and to guard against
systemic risk.
40. The commodity markets in Nepal are not big enough to create any
systemic issues for the Nepali economy at this time and this
justification therefore does not apply. However, there is a risk that
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clients of the Nepali commodity markets may suffer as a result of
conflicts of interest, defaults, poor service by brokers or other market
failings. Moreover, there is a further risk of market abuse. These
justifications for regulation therefore exist in Nepal.
41. However, Nepali citizens who wish to speculate about the price of
world commodities could have better protection if they were
permitted to trade directly on international markets which meet
international standards of investor protection and risk management.
The current position therefore is that:
a. Nepali citizens are subject to restrictions on their ability to
invest in foreign markets a restriction that imposes a cost to
the economy;
b. Those restrictions mean that Nepali citizens who wish to trade
on world commodity markets have to use Nepali exchanges
which provide less protection to the investor than is provided
by international markets;
c. The Government is then obliged to incur yet further cost to
protect investors from the consequences of using the Nepali
exchanges with their lower standards of risk management.
42. Regulation of commodity markets is likely to divert regulatoryresources that should be focussed on the more important Nepali
equity and bond markets. It is difficult to see how such regulatory
costs would be justified at present given that the commodity markets
currently provide little benefit to the Nepali economy and that the
costs are only necessary because of the restrictions that prevent
Nepali speculators from trading direct on foreign markets.
43. This position could change if the Nepali markets were to trade
contracts that provided hedging opportunities to Nepali commodity
producers and consumers. When considering the regulation of
commodity markets, the Government should distinguish between the
present position, where markets provide little direct benefit to Nepal
and only exist because of foreign exchange restrictions, and a future
time, when the commodity markets could offer contracts in Nepali
commodities and thereby provide an advantage to the Nepali
economy and to economic development. This distinction is discussed
further below.
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The Appropriate Regulatory Authority
44. In many respects, the risk management of commodity markets bears
a close relationship to the risk management of securities exchanges.
The exchanges must be run by operators who are fit and proper (who
have the skills, integrity and financial resources to operate an
exchange). The market rules must promote a fair market. There must
be sound and robust clearing and settlement. The intermediaries
should also be fit and proper and should be subject to corporate
governance and conduct of business requirements that ensure they
comply with the regulations and manage their relations with their
customers with due care and diligence. There would therefore be
some synergies to be gained by giving the task of regulating the
commodity exchanges to the Securities Board of Nepal (SEBON).
45. On the other hand, the regulatory task differs in some important
respects, particularly the regulation of warehouses and inspectors.
There is no equivalent, in a futures market, of an issuer of securities
and there must be regulatory focus on contract design, rather than
the disclosure of information by issuers. These factors would indicate
that there are some advantages in giving the regulatory task to a
separate body.
46. International practice varies. Because SEBON exists at present, there
are obvious reasons for giving SEBON responsibility for regulating
commodities markets rather than incurring the cost of establishing a
new agency. However, if SEBON is to be given the regulatory task, it
is essential that it should have sufficient staff and that the staff
should have the skills and experience required for dealing with these
kinds of markets.
47. The skills and experience must include a sound understanding of the
risk management of commodity markets. The regulator will have to
determine what risk management standards it expects from thecommodity markets, in terms of contract design, the use of central
counterparties, the separation of clearing houses from clearing
members, the calculation of margin payments, the establishment of
settlement guarantee funds, the management of conflicts of interest,
the capital requirements of participants, the obligations on
intermediaries and so on. Once the commodity markets begin to
trade contracts involving the physical delivery of Nepali commodities,
SEBON (or, if the Government prefers, another agency) must also
have the capacity to enforce a Warehouse Act. The agency wouldhave to have the powers and staff to license warehouses and
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warehouse keepers. There would have to be capacity to inspect
warehouses and the activities of warehouse keepers regularly to
ensure that they can be relied upon to enforce the quality and
quantity of commodities rigorously.
48. These are complex issues. It is important to meet international best
practice to ensure that Nepal can have the commodity markets it
needs but it will also be important to avoid imposing requirements
that are so burdensome that the markets cannot survive. Striking the
right balance will involve difficult judgments and the regulator of the
commodity markets is advised to seek technical assistance in
establishing the regulatory regime.
The Principles Governing the Regulation of Nepali Commodity
Markets
49. In order to create a regulatory regime for the Nepali commodity
markets, the regulatory authority will have to ensure that the
following elements are in place:
a. There should be licensing, conduct of business and corporate
governance requirements for exchanges that ensure that
those operating the exchanges have the necessary skills,
integrity and financial standing;
b. The exchanges should publish and enforce trading rules and
procedures that provide full pre and post trade transparency
on the prices and volumes traded in the market and limits, so
far as possible, the scope for market manipulation and abuse;
c. There should be adequate requirements for contract design so
that parties to the contracts are quite clear about all aspects
of their obligations and can see the basis for different prices in
the markets (greater transparency of contract design is likely
to create a demand for convergence in contract terms and
this will encourage arbitrage and liquidity);
d. Where market makers are used, their obligations in respect of
the maximum spread between the bid and offer price that
they quote and the minimum order size that they must meet,
should be fully disclosed;
e. The process of settlement should be clearly defined, and the
basis of the settlement price should be objective andindependent;
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f. Where the contract provides for physical delivery of the
commodity, the contract should clearly specify the quality and
quantity of the commodity to be delivered and these
specifications should be enforced by means of an
infrastructure of warehouses and inspectors, who shouldthemselves be subject to supervision under powers granted
by a Warehouse Act;
g. The exchange should have robust procedures for clearing and
settlement that reduce to a minimum the risk that settlement
could be interrupted by the default of a market participant
and such risk management should include adequate capital
for clearing houses, CCPs, clearing members and other market
participants as well as margin payments that are properly
calculated and enforced and a settlement guarantee fund;
h. The powers of the exchanges and / or clearing houses to
intervene to protect the markets should be clearly specified;
i. Brokers, clearing members and other market participants
should be subject to licensing, conduct of business and
corporate governance requirements that ensure that those
who supply market services have the skills, integrity and
financial resources necessary for their role;
j. The regulatory requirements should include adequate
safeguards against money laundering.
50. It is noted above that the Government should distinguish between
the position as it currently exists, where the commodity markets are
providing facilities for speculating on world commodity markets, and
a future time, when the exchanges could be offering facilities for
trading Nepali commodities. Although some of the exchanges are
currently developing the facilities for trading Nepali commodities, it isunlikely that this will, in practice, be feasible until the authorities
have enacted a Warehouse Act and have the capacity to enforce such
an Act. Although naturally the exchanges wish to move ahead very
quickly, the Government will wish to satisfy itself that there is
genuine demand for commodity markets amongst the producers and
consumers of Nepali commodities, before incurring the cost of
creating the extensive regulatory infrastructure that will be required
(bearing in mind that, with limited capacity, the creation of that
regulatory infrastructure is likely to divert resources from the more
immediate task of bringing the regulation of equity and bond markets
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up to international standards). The Government may wish, therefore,
to commission a study of potential users of the market, to see which
consumers and producers of Nepali commodities would find it useful
to use Nepali commodity markets to hedge risk and to what extent
they would be used.
51. In order to minimise the costs of regulation in the short term, SEBON
(or any other regulatory agency to which the government may
choose to allocate the task) should issue regulations that prohibits
any commodity market participant from accepting a client unless
they are an institutional investor or a high net worth individual, who
has assets of at least the equivalent of US$1 million to invest.
Moreover, SEBON should prohibit any mutual fund from investing in
the commodity markets unless they are issuing units in the fund
solely to institutional investors or high net worth individuals. Thecommodity markets in Nepal do not yet meet international best
practice in terms of investor protection and, until the regulatory
regime has ensured that they are brought up to best practice, they
should be restricted to those who are in a position to make their own
assessment of risk and who could afford to make losses on the
commodity markets.
52. If the authorities then choose to enact a Warehouse Act and if there
is demand from Nepali commodity producers and consumers formarkets in Nepali commodities, the Government should then review
whether or not SEBON should continue to have regulatory
responsibility or whether it should be passed to another agency.
SEBON (or another agency if the Government prefer) can then (with
the technical assistance recommended above) create the more
extensive regulatory regime necessary to protect investors. Access to
the commodity markets could be extended to the major producers
and consumers of Nepali commodities, including large agribusinesses
and co-operatives. If such an extension of access is successful, there
could be a further movement to allow other investors to use the
markets. The cautious, step-by-step approach would enable the
markets to improve their risk management practices over time and
for the Nepali authorities to acquire expertise in the markets while
minimising the risk to the Nepali economy and to investors more
generally.
53. The recommendations of this supplementary report are that:
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a. The Government should commission a study into the demand
for markets in Nepali commodities, by Nepali commodity
producers and consumers of commodities;
b. The Government should give the task of regulating commodity
markets, at least initially, to SEBON and commit itself to
providing the staff required to develop and enforce an
appropriate regulatory regime with salaries and training
sufficient to ensure that the staff are capable of regulating the
markets;
c. As soon as the regulatory authority acquires the statutory
regulatory powers, it should issue regulations that insist that
no commodity broker accepts as a client any person who does
not meet the definition of a professional investor as describedabove and in the master plan.
d. Once it becomes clear that there is a demand for markets in
Nepali commodities, the government should review again
whether or not the regulatory task should be performed by
SEBON or a separate authority.
e. The commodity market regulatory authority should seek
technical assistance for the establishment of a regulatory
regime that properly addresses the risks of the commoditymarkets;
f. The technical assistance should cover all of the necessary
legislative changes, including a Warehouse Act and an
amendment to the Insolvency Law;
54. The responsible authorities are:
a. The Government:
i. to determine the appropriate regulatory authority and
to ensure that there is sufficient capacity within that
authority;
ii. to commission a study into the demand for commodity
futures markets trading Nepali commodities.
b. The commodity regulatory authority:
i. to acquire the necessary staff, and to seek technicalassistance for training and for the establishment and
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enforcement of the regulatory regime, including a
Warehouse Act;
ii. to restrict clients to professional investors until such
time as a full regulatory regime is established that
addresses the risks posed by the markets to other
investors.
c. Parliament, to enact the relevant legislation giving regulatory
powers and a Warehouse Act.
55. The timing of these actions is for the Government to determine,
given its other priorities. Changes to the Securities Act have
apparently been drafted and, in that case, it makes sense to secure
their enactment as soon as possible. If the regulatory authority is tobe SEBON, it should seek technical assistance at the earliest
opportunity.
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