7/27/2019 NEA/GQR - Public Survey Memo

1/2

WORLD HEADQUARTERS10 G Street, NE, Suite 500Washington, DC 20002

EUROPEAN HEADQUARTERS405 Carrington House6 Hertford StreetLondon UK W1J 7SU

LATIN AMERICAN HEADQUARTERSCabrera 6060, 7 DC1414 BHNCiudad de Buenos Aires, Argentina

www.gqrr.com | www.greenbergresearch.com

July 17, 2013

LePage Losing Ground in Maine Post-Budget VetoSurvey Results Memo

To: Interested Parties

From:Greenberg Quinlan Rosner ResearchNational Education Association

On the heels of a bi-partisan majority of state legislators vot ing to override the Governorsbudget veto and scathing reaction to yet another example of coarse public behavior andcommentary, Paul LePage surrenders a convincing lead to challenger Mike Michaud in the 2014race for Governor. Between July 11 and 16, 2013, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner interviewed 400likely 2014 voters in the state of Maine. This survey was sponsored by the National Education

Association and carries a margin of error of +/- 4.90 points at a 95 percent confidence interval.

The results show an incumbent in deep trouble and challenger who clearly holds the poleposition early in this race. Only 28 percent of votersincluding just half of registeredRepublicanscommit to reelecting Paul LePage. Nearly two thirds (65 percent) would vote forsomeone new. When that someone new is Mike Michaud, the challenger vaults to 9-point leadover the incumbent in a three-way trial heat for Governor: 40 percent Michaud, 31 percentLePage, 26 percent Cutler. If Cutler drops out, this race become non-competitive, as Michaudcrushes LePage by a 61 to 34 margin.

Figure 1 Maine Gubernatorial Matchups

7/27/2019 NEA/GQR - Public Survey Memo

2/2

Survey memo

2013 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, All Rights Reserved. July, 2013

2

Conclusion

It is still very early in the election season and the vagaries of a three-way contest for Governorare difficult to predict, but Mainers seem to have grown tired of LePages act and are finding an

appealing alternative in Mike Michaud.