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Karen Miller, LRH; Marci Jackson, LRH; Crorey Lawton, MVD; Eric Lynn, NWK; Boni Bigorina, SPD; and other graduates of the 2015 and 2016 and current 2017 classes!20 July 2017

NDMU RISK MANAGEMENT CERTIFICATE PROGRAM

PCOP WEBINAR SERIES

1

SUPPORT AT THE HIGHEST LEVELS OF THE CORPS

21 June 2017, DIRECTOR OF CIVIL WORKS Memorandum: Expand opportunities for participation in graduate-level risk management certification programs across Civil Works functional areas and programs.

4 July 2017, HQ CHIEF OF PLANNING Memorandum: Our planning decisions explicitly consider uncertainty and its impact on the scope of study and recommended project. Planners and study teams utilize uncertainty and risk when identifying and screening measures to get a reasonable array of alternative plans sooner than in the past, and we are committed to using uncertainty when assessing impacts of alternatives on the environment...We look forward to building on the knowledge and skills gained by planner participation in graduate-level risk management programs to increase the capability across the enterprise to identify, communicate, and manage risks. Together, through engaging with other communities of practice, we will work to further embrace and operationalize risk-informed decision making across Civil Works.

7/20/2017

3

NOTRE DAME OF MARYLANDRISK MANAGEMENT

GRADUATE CERTIFICATE PROGRAM

Who participates?

How is the program conducted?

What is the program focus?

WHO?

Do you have the prerequisites to apply?

REQUIRED:• Undergraduate degree (must provide transcripts).• Competence in basic arithmetic and college algebra.• Regular access to a computer with reliable internet access. • Commitment to complete the entire six class program over the next

year.

RECOMMENDED• College level course(s) in probability and/or statistics.• Advanced beginner to intermediate skills using Microsoft Word/Excel.

File Name

5

HOW IS THE PROGRAM CONDUCTED?

• Six graduate courses conducted entirely online on the NDMU course management system.

• Taught by NDMU faculty.• Course lectures, readings, videos, and background

materials are presented in modules typically consisting of a mix of reading and discussion of textbook and professional literature materials; viewing of video lectures or demonstrations; participating in class forums; completing a weekly quiz; and completing individual or group homework assignments.

• Students are provided with university email and library accounts.

File Name

6

7

Quizzes based on readings

Video lectures(.mp3) Textbook

Readings

Professional LiteratureReadings

Participation in onlineclass forum discussions

Individual homeworkassignments

Group homeworkAssignments

Working at your own pace!

PROGRAM FOCUS:

Learning objectives for this program are:

• Apply key risk science terminology and fundamental risk concepts to real-world situations.

• Develop a generic risk management model that is applicable to a wide variety of risk situations.

• Apply appropriate risk management methods to a specific risk situation.

File Name

8

COURSE LEADER – DR. CHARLES YOE, NDMU

Charles Yoe is a professor of economics at Notre Dame of Maryland University, Baltimore, and an independent risk analysis consultant and trainer. Working extensively for U.S. and other government agencies as a consultant and risk analyst, his wide range of risk experience includes international trade, food safety, natural disasters, public works, homeland security, ecosystem restoration, resource development, navigation, planning, and water resources. As a consultant to private industry, his work includes a discrete but wide variety of concerns. He has trained professionals from more than one hundred countries in risk analysis and conducted customized risk training programs for government agencies and private industry in over two dozen nations.

CRC Press Publishes Primer on Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty by Charles Yoe

RISK MANAGEMENT COURSES1-RISK MANAGEMENTThe language of risk is messy.

2-RISK ASSESSMENTRisk assessments can be scaled to fit the need.

3-UNCERTAINTYSome types of uncertainty can be reduced.

4-QUANTITATIVE RISK MGTThere is no such thing as the number.

5-RISK COMMUNICATIONCrisis communication must be simplified.

6-ETHICS & RISKRisk considerations involve values.

HOW CAN RISK MANAGEMENT IMPROVE USACE PLANNING?

EVENT TREE APPLIED TO A PLANNING STUDY0.0% 0.0% # Cars delayed

51.0% Is bridge up?

100.0%

Is car trip during curfew?

49.0%

0.0% 0.0%

51.0%

Is car trip during curfew?

49.0%

0.0

Inputs WOP WPAnnual vehicle transits over bridge = CARS% time curfew is on = CURFEW 51.0% 51.0%Annual # bridge openings = OPENMinutes per bridge opening = MIN

Intermediate VariablesAnnual non peak vehicle transits delayed = CAR TRIPS DELAYED (calcu 0 0

OUTPUTSAnnual vehicle hrs of bridge openings = (CAR TRIPS DELAYED * MIN)/6 0 0

RISK ASSESSMENT ANSWER = WP TOTAL DELAY- WOP TOTAL DELAY

The IHNC Lock Replacement Project will increase delays of vehicle trips over the Claiborne Bridge.

Without project vehicle trips

Yes

Yes

No

No

Yes

No

With project vehicle trips

Yes

Yes

No

No

Yes

No

# Cars delayed

Inputs WOP WPAnnual vehicle transits over bridge = CARS% time curfew is on = CURFEW 51.0% 51.0%Annual # bridge openings = OPENMinutes per bridge opening = MINIntermediate VariablesAnnual non peak vehicle transits delayed = CAR TRIPS DELAYED (calcu 0 0OUTPUTSAnnual vehicle hrs of bridge openings = (CAR TRIPS DELAYED * MIN)/6 0 0RISK ASSESSMENT ANSWER = WP TOTAL DELAY- WOP TOTAL DELAYThe IHNC Lock Replacement Project will increase delays of vehicle trips over the Claiborne Bridge.

PREVIOUS AND CURRENT PARTICIPANTS

Three cohorts to date, first starting in 2015, include 65 individuals that have either completed this program or will finish in August 2017.

All students to date have been supported by the Levee Safety, Asset Management and Planning CoPs, as will be the 2018 cohort.

Future cohorts (2018 and beyond) will likely be opened up to include members from across a greater number of CoPs.

7/20/2017

13

DEADLINE FOR APPLYING: 29 JULY 2017

File Name

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217217217

200200200

255255255

000

163163163

131132122

2396553

110135120

1129256

62102130

1025648

130120111

237237237

8011927

252174.59

Questions?Type questions in the chat box. We will answer as many as time allows.

This webinar will be posted to the Planning Community Toolbox: http://www.corpsplanning.us