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nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 1
Teaching of ASA & SRA:An Industry PerspectiveTeaching of ASA & SRA:An Industry Perspective
Dr Nigel KnowlesDirector of Technology - WS Atkins Consultants
presentation to
ASRANET 2nd Annual Colloquium 9 July 2001
Dr Nigel KnowlesDirector of Technology - WS Atkins Consultants
presentation to
ASRANET 2nd Annual Colloquium 9 July 2001
(Visiting Professor, Cranfield University)(Visiting Professor, Cranfield University)
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 2
OutlineOutline
Industry drivers
Technology trends
Barriers to progress
How should we respond?
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 3
TRANSPORTTRANSPORTMANAGEMENTAND INDUSTRYMANAGEMENTAND INDUSTRYPROPERTYPROPERTY
Design &EngineeringDesign &Engineering
ACTIVITIESACTIVITIES
ConstructionManagementConstructionManagement
Operations &MaintenanceOperations &Maintenance
WS Atkins BusinessWS Atkins Business
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WS Atkins a Technology BrokerWS Atkins a Technology Broker
Universities
WS AtkinsConsultants
(experience /knowledge base)
IndustrialResearch
Organisations
ApplicationsApplications
MarketMarket
needsneeds
Clients
NewNew
technologytechnology
VerifiedVerified
conceptsconcepts
Market needs / areas of opportunityMarket needs / areas of opportunity
Knowledge Value ChainKnowledge Value Chain
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 5
Developments in structural assessment methodsDevelopments in structural assessment methods
pre-MEDIEVAL 'experiential'
1500 MEDIEVAL 'rules of thumb' statics – Newton, Galileo, da Vincielasticity – Hooke (1678)
1850 VICTORIAN 'allowable stress' energy methods – Castigliano, Maxwell, Mohr indeterminate structures
1960 MODERN 'limit state' plastic methods (1950)computers (1960)finite element methods (1970)non linear (1980)
1980 'probabilistic' approaches
FORM/SORM (1990)
2000(?) reliability based design/assessment
|?
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 6
Some Business TrendsSome Business Trends
Globalisation
BOOT, PFI
Partnering
Outsourcing
Public sector changes– agency status– privatisation– market testing
Globalisation
BOOT, PFI
Partnering
Outsourcing
Public sector changes– agency status– privatisation– market testing
Time to market
Whole life costing – life extension c.f. new build
Operational efficiency
Environmental concerns
Sustainability
Safety culture
Time to market
Whole life costing – life extension c.f. new build
Operational efficiency
Environmental concerns
Sustainability
Safety culture
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 7
Market driversMarket drivers
Nuclear : PSA – predictive modelling
Offshore : RBI, RCM
Bridges : BMS – decision support
Special structures : treatment of uncertainty
Nuclear : PSA – predictive modelling
Offshore : RBI, RCM
Bridges : BMS – decision support
Special structures : treatment of uncertainty
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 8
Technical issuesTechnical issues
Multiple-criteria decision making (Multiple constraints, Multiple options)
Reliability-based Design Optimisation
Parameter uncertaintycrisp ~ fuzzy dataincomplete / inconsistent data sets
Time dependency & Deterioration modelling
Human error
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 9
CARBOSCARBOS
DB
USER INTERFACE
OPT
REL
DSA
FEA
design sensitivity
component reliability
system reliability
sensitivity of reliability
optimisation
interactive design
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 10
Barriers to progressBarriers to progress
Availability of data
Computing effort
Industrial infrastructure
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 11
Types of uncertaintyTypes of uncertainty
Physical
Measurement
Epistemic
partially addressedin QualificationCriteria
partially addressedin QualificationCriteria}}
Model / idealisation
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 12
UK v EuropeUK v Europe
4 year degree courses 4 year degree courses 5+ year degree course 5+ year degree course
trend for breadth trend for breadth depth and breadth depth and breadth
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NAFEMS ExperienceNAFEMS Experience
PractitionersPractitioners V ManagersV Managers
Promote competencePromote competence
registered analyst scheme37.5 hrs theory and practise
CFD requirement
short courses
registered analyst scheme37.5 hrs theory and practise
CFD requirement
short courses
Promote awarenessPromote awareness
'how to' booklets
management guides
awareness seminars
'how to' booklets
management guides
awareness seminars
nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 14
Other InitiativesOther Initiatives
Engineering doctorate
Case awards
Teaching company scheme
EC mobility awards (Marie Curie Fellowships)
Highways Agency sponsored PhD's
Engineering doctorate
Case awards
Teaching company scheme
EC mobility awards (Marie Curie Fellowships)
Highways Agency sponsored PhD's
