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NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults,Registered Voters, & Potential Electorates
March 2016
How the Survey was Conducted
Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Ohio Poll of 2,458 Adults This survey of 2,458 adults was conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Ohio were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Ohio from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. Both samples were matched by telephone number to a voter registration list for the state. Voter information was appended to each matched case. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection and L2 for voter registration information. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, region, and race. Results are statistically significant within ±2.0 percentage points. There are 2,052 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±2.2 percentage points. Among registered voters, 694 had a phone match in the voter file and 1,358 did not. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.7 percentage points and ±2.7 percentage points, respectively. There are 974 voters in the potential Republican primary electorate. The potential Republican primary electorate in Ohio includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Republican presidential primary and those who identify as Republicans or Republican leaning independents without a primary preference. There are 868 voters in the potential Democratic primary electorate. The potential Democratic primary electorate in Ohio includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Democratic presidential primary and those who identify as Democrats or Democratic leaning independents without a primary preference. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.1 percentage points and ±3.3 percentage points, respectively. There are 564 likely Republican primary voters and 453 likely Democratic primary voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 Ohio Republican/Democratic Presidential Primary based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±4.1 percentage points and ±4.6 percentage points, respectively. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 1
Ohio Adults Ohio Registered Voters
Col % Col %
100%
83% 100%
40% 47%
23% 27%
35% 42%
18% 22%
Democrat n/a 33%
Republican n/a 33%
Independent n/a 34%
Other n/a 1%
Very liberal n/a 5%
Liberal n/a 19%
Moderate n/a 36%
Conservative n/a 29%
Very conservative n/a 10%
n/a 21%
Men 48% 48%
Women 52% 52%
Under 45 45% 41%
45 or older 55% 59%
18 to 29 21% 16%
30 to 44 24% 25%
45 to 59 28% 30%
60 or older 26% 29%
White 82% 84%
African American 11% 11%
Latino 3% 3%
Other 3% 3%
Cleveland Area 16% 16%
North 26% 26%
Ohio Valley & West 22% 22%
Columbus Area 17% 17%
Cincinnati/Dayton Area 19% 19%
Less than $50,000 52% 48%
$50,000 or more 48% 52%
Not college graduate 65% 61%
College graduate 35% 39%
Married 47% 53%
Not married 53% 47%
Yes 38% 39%
No 62% 61%
29% 30%
Practice a Religion 51% 54%
Does not Practice a Religion 49% 46%
Yes 11% 13%
No 89% 87%
Match n/a 34%
No Match n/a 66%
Landline 40% 43%
Cell Phone 60% 57%
Nature of the Sample - Ohio
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2458 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points. Ohio Registered Voters: n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Ohio Likely Republican Primary Voters
Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate
Ohio Likely Democratic Primary Voters
Religiosity
U.S. Military Veteran
Ohio Voter Registration List
Interview Type
Household Income
Education
Marital Status
Evangelical Christian
White Evangelical Christians
Gender
Age
Age
Race
Region
Party Identification
Political Ideology
Tea Party Supporters
Ohio Adults
Ohio Registered Voters
Ohio Potential Republican Electorate
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 2
Ohio Potential Republican Electorate Ohio Likely Republican Primary Voters
Col % Col %
100%
58% 100%
Democrat 3% 3%
Republican 67% 69%
Independent 29% 27%
Other 1% 1%
Yes 77% 85%
No 23% 15%
Very liberal 1% 1%
Liberal 6% 5%
Moderate 32% 29%
Conservative 45% 45%
Very conservative 17% 19%
34% 36%
Men 54% 54%
Women 46% 46%
Under 45 38% 33%
45 or older 62% 67%
18 to 29 13% 10%
30 to 44 25% 23%
45 to 59 33% 35%
60 or older 29% 32%
White 95% 95%
African American 1% 0%
Latino 2% 2%
Other 2% 2%
Cleveland Area 11% 11%
North 24% 24%
Ohio Valley & West 26% 26%
Columbus Area 18% 18%
Cincinnati/Dayton Area 21% 21%
Less than $50,000 38% 37%
$50,000 or more 62% 63%
Not college graduate 58% 55%
College graduate 42% 45%
Married 63% 65%
Not married 37% 35%
Yes 48% 49%
No 52% 51%
44% 45%
Practice a Religion 64% 66%
Does not Practice a Religion 36% 34%
Yes 16% 16%
No 84% 84%
Match 35% 38%
No Match 65% 62%
Landline 42% 45%
Cell Phone 58% 55%
Nature of the Sample - Ohio
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=974 MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points. Ohio Likely Republican Primary Voters: n=564 MOE +/- 4.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Ohio Likely Republican Primary Voters
Interview Type
Evangelical Christian
White Evangelical Christians
Religiosity
U.S. Military Veteran
Ohio Voter Registration List
Race
Region
Household Income
Education
Marital Status
Gender
Age
Age
Ohio Potential Republican Electorate
Party Identification
Past Participation*
Political Ideology
Tea Party Supporters
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 3
Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate Ohio Likely Democratic Primary Voters
Col % Col %
100%
52% 100%
Democrat 73% 76%
Republican 1% 1%
Independent 26% 23%
Other 0% 0%
Yes 76% 83%
No 24% 17%
Very liberal 10% 12%
Liberal 33% 35%
Moderate 41% 37%
Conservative 12% 11%
Very conservative 4% 4%
9% 8%
Men 40% 43%
Women 60% 57%
Under 45 42% 47%
45 or older 58% 53%
18 to 29 19% 18%
30 to 44 23% 29%
45 to 59 28% 33%
60 or older 30% 21%
White 75% 76%
African American 20% 19%
Latino 3% 2%
Other 3% 3%
Cleveland Area 22% 20%
North 29% 29%
Ohio Valley & West 16% 18%
Columbus Area 16% 15%
Cincinnati/Dayton Area 18% 18%
Less than $50,000 56% 52%
$50,000 or more 44% 48%
Not college graduate 63% 59%
College graduate 37% 41%
Married 45% 47%
Not married 55% 53%
Yes 31% 30%
No 69% 70%
18% 16%
Practice a Religion 46% 45%
Does not Practice a Religion 54% 55%
Yes 9% 9%
No 91% 91%
Match 34% 32%
No Match 66% 68%
Landline 44% 40%
Cell Phone 56% 60%
Nature of the Sample - Ohio
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=868 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Ohio Likely Democratic Primary Voters: n=453 MOE +/- 4.6 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Ohio Likely Democratic Primary Voters
White Evangelical Christians
Religiosity
U.S. Military Veteran
Ohio Voter Registration List
Interview Type
Region
Household Income
Education
Marital Status
Evangelical Christian
Gender
Age
Age
Race
Party Identification
Past Participation*
Political Ideology
Tea Party Supporters
Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 4
Approve Disapprove Unsure
Adults Ohio Adults
Registered Voters Ohio Registered Voters
Potential Republican Electorate Ohio Potential Republican Electorate
Potential Democratic Electorate Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate
Party Identification
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Political Ideology
Very liberal-Liberal
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household IncomeLess than $50,000
$50,000 or more
EducationNot college graduate
College graduate
Race
White
African American
Latino
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
AgeUnder 45
45 or older
GenderMen
Women
Marital StatusMarried
Not married
ReligiosityPractice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
U.S. Military VeteranYes
No
Interview TypeLandline
Cell Phone 7%
8%
7%
9%
7%
7%
8%
6%
8%
6%
6%
8%
6%
6%
7%
10%
10%
4%
7%
5%
8%
5%
7%
6%
7%
8%
8%
6%
2%
5%
7%
5%
8%
4%
5%
5%
4%
6%
7%
47%
50%
47%
57%
42%
54%
40%
57%
43%
53%
54%
41%
51%
56%
48%
34%
30%
5%
55%
49%
47%
54%
42%
48%
45%
60%
45%
38%
79%
78%
41%
16%
49%
85%
14%
15%
82%
49%
48%
47%
42%
46%
34%
51%
39%
52%
37%
49%
41%
40%
51%
43%
38%
46%
56%
60%
91%
38%
46%
45%
41%
51%
45%
48%
32%
47%
56%
19%
18%
52%
79%
43%
11%
80%
80%
13%
45%
45%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Adults. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2458 MOE +/- 2.0 percentage points. Ohio Registered Voters: n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points.Potential Republican Electorate: n=974 MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points. Potential Democratic Electorate: n=868 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 5
John Kasich Donald Trump Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Other Undecided
Potential RepublicanElectorate
Ohio Potential RepublicanElectorate
Intensity of Support
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Party IdentificationRepublican
Independent
Political IdeologyModerate
Conservative-Veryconservative
Political Ideology
Moderate
Conservative
Very conservative
Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household IncomeLess than $50,000
$50,000 or more
EducationNot college graduate
College graduate
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
AgeUnder 45
45 or older
GenderMen
Women
Marital StatusMarried
Not married
White Evangelical ChristiansWhite EvangelicalChristians
ReligiosityPractice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
U.S. Military VeteranNo
Yes
Interview TypeLandline
Cell Phone
4%0%7%18%33%37%
2%
1%
16%
11%
4%
18%
18%
19%
25%
35%
36%
39%
36%
41%
5%
4%
0%
0%
5%
8%
17%
19%
39%
31%
35%
39%
4%
4%
0%7%
7%
22%
13%
33%
29%
34%
48%
5%
3%
4%
0%
4%
8%
7%
39%
16%
13%
29%
34%
29%
23%
38%
48%
2%0%7%28%38%24%
6%
3%
4%
2%
9%
0%
0%
7%
6%
6%
7%
8%
20%
18%
19%
19%
12%
33%
22%
39%
36%
35%
34%
50%
32%
37%
36%
3%
5%
0%
0%
9%
4%
20%
16%
30%
42%
38%
33%
4%
4%0%
8%
6%
18%
18%
25%
39%
45%
32%
4%
4%
5%
5%
0%5%
8%
7%
9%
13%
18%
20%
26%
30%
36%
33%
35%
47%
35%
36%
26%
4%
5%
0%7%
7%
16%
22%
33%
34%
41%
32%
5%
3%0%
8%
6%
17%
19%
29%
37%
40%
35%
4%
3%
0%
0%
6%
7%
14%
20%
41%
29%
33%
40%
4%0%9%23%32%32%
5%
3%0%
5%
8%
14%
21%
46%
26%
31%
42%
5%
4%0%
4%
7%
17%
18%
44%
31%
30%
39%
4%
5%
0%
0%
7%
6%
21%
14%
35%
32%
33%
43%
2016 Ohio Republican presidential primary including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=974 MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to round-ing.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 6
Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure
Potential RepublicanElectorate
Ohio Potential Republican Electorate witha Candidate Preference
Primary Support
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Party Identification
Republican
Independent
Political Ideology
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Political Ideology
Moderate
Conservative
Very conservative
Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000 or more
Education
Not college graduate
College graduate
Race
White
Non-white
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
Age
Under 45
45 or older
Gender
Men
Women
Marital Status
Married
Not married
White Evangelical ChristiansWhite Evangelical Christians
Religiosity
Practice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
U.S. Military Veteran
Yes
No
Interview Type
Cell Phone
Landline
1%9%29%60%
2%
1%
1%
9%
7%
9%
28%
29%
26%
62%
63%
63%
1%
2%
10%
9%
38%
25%
52%
65%
1%
2%
8%
11%
25%
34%
65%
53%
2%
1%
2%
6%
9%
11%
16%
29%
34%
76%
61%
53%
8%21%71%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
8%
8%
8%
12%
9%
34%
22%
28%
28%
37%
57%
69%
63%
58%
52%
1%
2%
10%
10%
29%
29%
61%
59%
1%
2%
8%
10%
29%
29%
62%
60%
3%
1%
12%
9%
39%
28%
46%
61%
2%
3%
6%
9%
11%
14%
24%
28%
28%
44%
68%
61%
61%
42%
2%7%
12%
26%
33%
64%
55%
2%
1%
11%
8%
29%
29%
59%
62%
2%
1%
10%
9%
35%
26%
54%
65%
2%11%24%63%
1%
1%
11%
8%
31%
28%
57%
62%
2%9%
9%
29%
26%
60%
65%
2%
1%
7%
11%
23%
33%
68%
55%
Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote dif-ferently on Primary Day?
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference including absentee. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=883MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 7
John Kasich Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Donald Trump Other Undecided
Potential RepublicanElectorate
Ohio Potential Republican Electoratewith a Candidate Preference
Primary Support
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Party Identification
Republican
Independent
Political Ideology
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Political Ideology
Moderate
Conservative
Very conservative
Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000 or more
Education
Not college graduate
College graduate
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
Age
Under 45
45 or older
Gender
Men
Women
Marital Status
Married
Not married
White Evangelical ChristiansWhite Evangelical Christians
Religiosity
Practice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
U.S. Military Veteran
Yes
No
Interview Type
Cell Phone
Landline
11%2%12%23%26%26%
7%
11%
14%
1%
3%
2%
21%
19%
31%
24%
34%
9%
40%
37%
46%
14%
9%
3%
2%
11%
12%
20%
26%
27%
25%
24%
26%
9%
11%
2%
2%
13%
12%
26%
18%
23%
35%
27%
23%
8%
9%
11%
4%
2%
2%
14%
13%
12%
20%
29%
18%
23%
22%
35%
31%
26%
23%
5%2%15%27%22%29%
10%
14%
8%
13%
6%
3%
3%
1%
2%
2%
11%
12%
12%
15%
12%
19%
22%
30%
21%
24%
33%
27%
24%
22%
20%
23%
22%
25%
27%
36%
9%
10%
2%
2%
13%
11%
23%
24%
27%
21%
25%
32%
9%
12%
2%
2%
11%
13%
24%
23%
33%
20%
21%
29%
12%
12%
9%
7%
1%
3%
2%
2%
14%
14%
7%
15%
23%
21%
29%
19%
20%
22%
33%
34%
30%
28%
20%
24%
12%
8%
2%
2%
14%
10%
22%
26%
21%
33%
29%
21%
12%
10%
1%
3%
11%
13%
26%
21%
26%
26%
24%
28%
10%
11%
2%
2%
13%
12%
23%
24%
25%
26%
26%
25%
9%3%13%24%24%26%
12%
10%
1%
3%
13%
12%
22%
24%
22%
28%
30%
23%
10%
11%
3%12%
12%
23%
27%
27%
21%
25%
29%
16%
7%
1%
3%
12%
12%
21%
25%
24%
27%
25%
26%
Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candi-date]?
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=837 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to100% due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 8
Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Other Undecided
Potential DemocraticElectorate
Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate
Intensity of Support
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Party Identification
Democrat
Independent
Political Ideology
Very liberal-Liberal
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000 or more
Education
Not college graduate
College graduate
Race
White
African American
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
Age
Under 45
45 or older
Gender
Men
Women
Marital Status
Married
Not married
Religiosity
Practice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
Interview Type
Landline
Cell Phone
6%0%36%57%
50%
37%
37%
50%
63%
63%
5%
6%0%
53%
30%
41%
63%
11%
5%
4%1%
28%
34%
42%
61%
62%
53%
6%
7%
5%
7%
5%
1%
1%
38%
32%
40%
41%
30%
56%
60%
54%
52%
66%
4%
6%
0%
0%
42%
33%
54%
60%
6%
6%
1%41%
34%
53%
60%
8%
6%0%
26%
40%
66%
54%
9%
6%
3%
6%
0%
1%
21%
27%
48%
59%
70%
66%
49%
34%
8%
4%
0%
0%
24%
53%
68%
42%
6%
6%1%
32%
42%
61%
51%
7%
5%
0%
0%
39%
32%
54%
63%
4%
7%
0%
0%
43%
28%
53%
65%
4%
9%
1%43%
28%
52%
64%
2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted ab-sentee
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=868 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100%due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 9
Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure
Potential DemocraticElectorate
Ohio Potential Democratic Electoratewith a Candidate Preference
Primary Support
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Party Identification
Democrat
Independent
Political Ideology
Very liberal-Liberal
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000 or more
Education
Not college graduate
College graduate
Race
White
African American
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
Age
Under 45
45 or older
Gender
Men
Women
Marital Status
Married
Not married
Religiosity
Practice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
Interview Type
Landline
Cell Phone
1%11%29%58%
2%
1%
15%
9%
28%
30%
56%
60%
1%
1%
23%
8%
37%
26%
40%
65%
4%
1%
0%
11%
17%
6%
21%
35%
27%
64%
47%
67%
1%
1%
1%
2%
9%
5%
12%
15%
12%
29%
30%
41%
26%
25%
61%
65%
46%
58%
60%
1%
1%
10%
14%
31%
27%
58%
58%
0%
2%
11%
12%
26%
31%
63%
56%
1%
1%
9%
12%
28%
30%
62%
57%
2%
1%
1%
7%
10%
17%
13%
24%
26%
34%
37%
66%
63%
49%
50%
2%
1%
9%
15%
25%
35%
65%
49%
2%
1%
12%
10%
28%
31%
58%
58%
1%
1%
12%
11%
28%
31%
59%
57%
1%
1%
11%
11%
33%
25%
55%
63%
1%
2%
13%
10%
32%
25%
54%
64%
Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day?
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Potential Democratic Electorate with a Candidate Preference including absentee. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=761 MOE +/- 3.6 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 10
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Undecided
Registered Voters Ohio Registered Voters
Party Identification
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Political Ideology
Very liberal-Liberal
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household IncomeLess than $50,000
$50,000 or more
EducationNot college graduate
College graduate
RaceWhite
African American
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
AgeUnder 45
45 or older
GenderMen
Women
Marital StatusMarried
Not married
ReligiosityPractice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
U.S. Military VeteranYes
No
Interview TypeLandline
Cell Phone 10%
11%
10%
9%
8%
11%
10%
10%
11%
9%
9%
12%
10%
9%
14%
8%
2%
11%
11%
10%
9%
9%
8%
12%
11%
11%
10%
9%
13%
10%
5%
13%
13%
4%
10%
42%
42%
40%
56%
38%
45%
36%
48%
34%
51%
46%
37%
44%
48%
38%
36%
7%
47%
41%
43%
48%
36%
45%
39%
53%
39%
32%
71%
69%
32%
14%
42%
77%
9%
42%
48%
47%
50%
35%
53%
43%
54%
42%
55%
40%
45%
51%
46%
44%
48%
56%
91%
41%
49%
47%
43%
54%
47%
50%
37%
50%
58%
20%
18%
58%
81%
46%
10%
86%
48%
If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Registered Voters. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 11
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Undecided
Registered Voters Ohio Registered Voters
Party Identification
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Political Ideology
Very liberal-Liberal
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household IncomeLess than $50,000
$50,000 or more
EducationNot college graduate
College graduate
RaceWhite
African American
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
AgeUnder 45
45 or older
GenderMen
Women
Marital StatusMarried
Not married
ReligiosityPractice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
U.S. Military VeteranYes
No
Interview TypeLandline
Cell Phone 7%
11%
8%
13%
9%
7%
9%
7%
8%
9%
8%
8%
9%
8%
9%
7%
4%
9%
8%
8%
6%
9%
7%
8%
9%
10%
7%
3%
7%
8%
5%
13%
6%
5%
8%
50%
43%
46%
55%
40%
54%
39%
55%
41%
54%
47%
48%
45%
49%
49%
46%
4%
53%
49%
46%
54%
39%
50%
47%
59%
43%
35%
79%
75%
40%
16%
47%
88%
8%
47%
43%
46%
46%
32%
52%
39%
52%
38%
51%
37%
45%
44%
46%
43%
42%
47%
92%
38%
43%
46%
39%
51%
43%
45%
32%
47%
58%
19%
18%
52%
79%
41%
6%
87%
45%
If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Registered Voters. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 12
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat John Kasich, the Republican Undecided
Registered Voters Ohio Registered Voters
Party Identification
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Political Ideology
Very liberal-Liberal
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household IncomeLess than $50,000
$50,000 or more
EducationNot college graduate
College graduate
RaceWhite
African American
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
AgeUnder 45
45 or older
GenderMen
Women
Marital StatusMarried
Not married
ReligiosityPractice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
U.S. Military VeteranYes
No
Interview TypeLandline
Cell Phone 6%
8%
7%
8%
6%
7%
7%
6%
7%
6%
7%
6%
6%
8%
7%
4%
7%
6%
7%
6%
5%
7%
6%
5%
9%
8%
5%
3%
6%
6%
5%
10%
3%
5%
7%
58%
55%
56%
63%
52%
62%
51%
63%
51%
63%
57%
57%
57%
58%
56%
58%
11%
63%
59%
56%
63%
51%
59%
60%
65%
53%
46%
82%
79%
55%
26%
60%
92%
19%
57%
36%
37%
37%
29%
43%
32%
43%
31%
42%
30%
36%
37%
37%
35%
37%
37%
82%
30%
34%
38%
32%
43%
35%
34%
26%
40%
48%
15%
15%
39%
69%
30%
4%
76%
36%
If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Registered Voters. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 13
Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Undecided
Registered Voters Ohio Registered Voters
Party Identification
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Political Ideology
Very liberal-Liberal
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household IncomeLess than $50,000
$50,000 or more
EducationNot college graduate
College graduate
RaceWhite
African American
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
AgeUnder 45
45 or older
GenderMen
Women
Marital StatusMarried
Not married
ReligiosityPractice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
U.S. Military VeteranYes
No
Interview TypeLandline
Cell Phone 6%
12%
9%
8%
6%
10%
7%
9%
10%
7%
10%
6%
11%
9%
7%
5%
2%
9%
9%
8%
8%
8%
9%
8%
10%
9%
6%
5%
10%
8%
4%
10%
10%
5%
9%
42%
40%
40%
54%
38%
45%
34%
49%
33%
50%
46%
35%
44%
47%
38%
31%
7%
46%
41%
42%
47%
35%
43%
38%
53%
39%
31%
73%
68%
32%
14%
37%
77%
10%
41%
52%
48%
52%
38%
56%
45%
59%
42%
57%
43%
44%
58%
45%
43%
55%
64%
91%
44%
51%
50%
45%
57%
49%
54%
37%
52%
62%
22%
22%
60%
82%
52%
13%
85%
50%
If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Registered Voters. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 14
Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Undecided
Registered Voters Ohio Registered Voters
Party Identification
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Political Ideology
Very liberal-Liberal
Moderate
Conservative-Very conservative
Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters
Region
Cleveland Area
North
Ohio Valley & West
Columbus Area
Cincinnati/Dayton Area
Household IncomeLess than $50,000
$50,000 or more
EducationNot college graduate
College graduate
RaceWhite
African American
Age
18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60 or older
AgeUnder 45
45 or older
GenderMen
Women
Marital StatusMarried
Not married
ReligiosityPractice a Religion
Does not Practice a Religion
U.S. Military VeteranYes
No
Interview TypeLandline
Cell Phone 9%
14%
11%
14%
10%
11%
11%
11%
13%
9%
13%
9%
13%
12%
11%
6%
8%
11%
11%
11%
8%
12%
10%
12%
11%
12%
12%
5%
9%
12%
8%
15%
7%
9%
11%
45%
43%
43%
52%
37%
51%
36%
52%
39%
50%
46%
42%
45%
48%
45%
37%
13%
49%
45%
44%
50%
39%
46%
44%
53%
39%
38%
78%
71%
36%
16%
40%
83%
11%
44%
46%
43%
46%
33%
53%
38%
53%
37%
48%
41%
41%
49%
42%
40%
44%
57%
79%
40%
44%
45%
42%
50%
44%
45%
36%
48%
50%
17%
21%
51%
76%
46%
10%
80%
45%
If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Registered Voters. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2052 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio March 2016 15