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Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission Navua Flood Warning System Michael Bonte-Grapentin 1 , John Fenwick 2 Faga Finiasi 3 , Rajendra Prasad 4 , Joeli Rokovada 5 , Paula Holland 1 , Anthony Blake 1 1 SOPAC, 2 NIWA, 3 Fiji Hydrology, 4 FMS, 5 NDMO

Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

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Page 1: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Navua Flood Warning System

Michael Bonte-Grapentin1, John Fenwick2 Faga Finiasi3, RajendraPrasad4, Joeli Rokovada5, Paula Holland1, Anthony Blake1

1SOPAC, 2NIWA, 3Fiji Hydrology, 4FMS, 5NDMO

Page 2: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Agencies involved

• Funded by: EU as part of SOPAC Reducing Vulnerability of Pacific ACP States Project

• Operated by: Hydrology Section• Warning services by: FMS• Response by: NDMO / local DISMAC• Contractor: NIWA – NZ’s National

Hydrology Service

Page 3: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Why Flood Warning?• Flood losses are high - on average Fiji looses

nationally every year 10 lives & Mio $ 22• 2004 flood in Navua mounted to F$ 13 million• Major Floods in Navua every 7 years based on >

100 yrs of documented floods and 35 yrs of flood records, last major floods (2004, 1993 TC Kina, 1980 TC Wally, 1972 TC Bebe)

• Flood warning can safe lives and reduce flood losses → time to act

• Protect possessions, secure livestock, evacuate in time, avoid risk of injury and death, reduced stress and early recovery

Page 4: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Components

1. Institutional strengthening and inter agency cooperation at national/provincial level

2. Design and technical implementation of flood detection system

3. Establishment of an effective warning dissemination system

4. Development of flood response plan5. Testing of arrangements and system6. Economic evaluation to ensure ongoing

government commitment and sustainability7. Public awareness and community engagement

Page 5: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Navua

NadiMet-Office

Suva Hydrology

θ

FAX, e-mail, TXT, ALERT

NDMO, Media,

Agencies, Public

System Overview

FAX,

TXT

, ALE

RT

PA Serua Local DISMAC • SIREN

ACTIVATION• INFORM PUBLIC• COORDINATE

RESPONSE

Page 6: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Navua gauge network

• 3 river-level stations (1 existing at Nakavu, 2 new at Sabata and Nabukalevu

• 6 rainfall stations giving catchment-wide coverage

Page 7: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Data sent to Hydrology & Meteorology Service

• Data is sent by VHF radio to Hydrology in Wailoku/Suva and then by broadband internet connection to FMS in Nadi

• A flood forecasting model is in place but data is needed to calibrate the new stations

Page 8: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Robust Installation

Page 9: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Nabukalevu flow and rainfall

• Floods get up onto this floodplain

• Hence height of installations

Page 10: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Tikituru rainfall station

• 920 m ASL• NW of catchment

adjacent to upper Sigatoka valley

• Remote site -access

• TB3 tipping bucket – 0.5 mm tip

Page 11: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

River Levels monitored by the System in SEPT-OCT

-1000

0

2000

4000

6000

7000S

tage

mm

18-Sep-2007 11:45 8-Oct 18-Oct 28-Oct 7-Novsite 311801 Nakavu Stage Stage mmsite 312703 Sabata Stage Stage mmsite 310704 Nabukelevu Stage stage mm

Page 12: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Time between rainfall in Sabata and flood in Nakavu = about 5hrs

Time between flood peaks in Nabukelevu and Nakavu = > 3hrs

Time between flood peaks in Sabata and Nakavu = about 1hr

Available Warning Time

Page 13: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

System operation

• The water-level or rainfall dataloggers will send alarm messages to the base stations, once critical levels are reached

• Operators at Suva (8/5) and FMS (24/7) will monitor river level rise

• Forecasting model will provide predictions of downstream levels once calibrated

• FMS will give warnings to national and local DISMAC, media and general public

Page 14: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Information Flowchart

Fiji Met Service (FMS)

Media(Radio, TV, Online)

Provincial Administrator(Serua) NDMO/ NEOC

Hydrology Department(MoPU)

Police StationNavua

PublicBroadcast

Local Authorities& Response

Agencies

National Response& SupportAgencies

Public Notification (Mobile Patrols)

• FMS Website

• Flood Phone

• Public Display

• Vodafone

Affected population(people, villages, settlements, schools, churches, businesses)

Page 15: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Flood Response Plan

• Outlines Roles, Capacities & Responsibilities of Agencies

• Communication & warning dissemination Strategy

• Provides needed information (maps, zones, emergency contacts, location & capacity of EEC

• Community Outreach

Page 16: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

NAVUA FLOOD ADVISORY SYSTEMEXAMPLE

NAVUA FLOOD ADVISORY BULLETIN NUMBER TWO ISSUED FROM NWFC NADI AT 10 AM MONDAY 24 SEPTEMBER 2007.

A FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN PLACE FOR GREATER NAVUA AREATHE UPSTREAM NAVUA RIVER GAUGE(S) AT NABUKALEVU AND SABATA HAVE

BOTH REACHED CRITICAL FLOOD LEVEL.THE WATER SHOULD RISE FURTHER AS HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES WITH

THE RIVER BURSTING ITS BANK.FLOODING IS THEREFORE EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THE GREATER NAVUA

AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 3 HRS.

PEOPLE LIVING IN THE LOW-LYING FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF NAVUA RIVER ARE NOW ADVISED TO:

• SECURE YOUR PREMISES AND LIVESTOCK AGAINST FLOODING.• STORE YOUR POSSESSIONS ON HIGHER LEVELS INSIDE YOUR HOUSE.• MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND OR THE NEXT EVACUATION CENTRE BEFORE

ACCESS ROADS ARE CUT OFF BY FLOOD WATERS• INFORM YOUR NEIGHBORS AND FAMILY LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS• LISTEN TO YOUR RADIO FOR FURTHER ADVICE OR CALL ---

Page 17: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Benefit-Cost Analysis• Warning system most likely to save a minimum of Fj$

1.9-3.8 m over its life• Would save much more in practice but not possible to

estimate value of:• All possible floods• All possible benefits (use of warning system for other

diasters, use of data for water resource management, reduced trauma)

• Most likely returns on investment:Stakeholder Gross savings

Fj$Returns on investment

Navua community 1.7-3.4 million ∞

Government of Fiji 0.4-0.8 million 1.1-2.2 to 1

Everyone 2.1-4.2 million 3.7-7.3 to 1

Page 18: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Are we safe of floods now?

• NO, nature will still prevail• Better warning services

available• The Navua FWS will

reduce flood losses significantly, BUT

• Navua catchment is short and steep, warning time may only ever be short

• Development planning and preparedness remains key

Page 19: Navua Flood Warning System - Pacific Community

Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission

Malo