Upload
gavin-mcclure
View
236
Download
1
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Nations Changing Demographic Environment
Wayne Hatcher
Regional Director
Census Bureau
Charlotte, NC
NC SDC Meeting
2
Changes & Trends that affect us all…
Today I will discuss…..
3
Population of 13 Colonies in 1790 – 3.9 Million
4
Similar to Population of Maricopa County, AZ today!
5
What are Some Significant Trends that affect Census Work
Growth
Diversity
Aging Population
Other
6
About…Ten years ago . . There were
• 35,000,000 fewer Americans
• 18,000,000 fewer Latinos in the U.S.
• 200,000,000 fewer cell phone subscribers
• 20,000,000 fewer persons over 50
7
Or…..
• We Are Bigger!
• We Are More Diverse
• We Are Older
• We Are More Connected
8
Growth…….
North to South
East to West
9
Banking Moves South
Bank of America and Wachovia in Charlotte….
Citibank in NYC is the only major bank left in the North
10
Auto Manufacturing Moves South
BMW in SC
Nissan in Alabama
GM & Peterbuilt to Texas
Saturn to Tennessee
Also, Honda, Hyundai, Toyota….
11
Retirees Moving South
Florida, NC and SC are destinations
12
Population Growth 1990 - 2000
13
National Population at 300,000,000
1967 – 200,000,000
2006 – 300,000,000
14
Estimated Growth in NC 2000 - 2030
More than 50%
12,000,000 by 2030
15
First Migration – West End of 17th Century
Second Migration – North & West Great Depression
Third Migration – South & West 2000-2020
(Dr. Jim Taylor)
16
35th Parallel
17
Growth of 50 Million Persons over next 20 Years
Below the 35th Parallel
(Dr. Jim Taylor)
18
Diversity
Defined…..”All the ways in which we differ.”
19
Diversity
20
Diversity
Latino/Hispanics
Regional/Local Growth
Charlotte/Greensboro/Raleigh-Durham “Hypergrowth” Areas
21
NC Hispanic Population Changes 1980-2005
Year Hispanic Count
% of Total
1980 56,667 1.0%
2000 378,963 4.7%
2007 638,444 7.05%
Three Counties in North Carolina With High Hispanic
Population Gains
Are….
23
Number 3 - Guilford County, NC
Year Hispanic Count
% of Total
1980 2,404 0.8%
2000 15,985 3.8%
2006 25,601 5.67%
24
Number 2 - Wake County, NC
Year Hispanic Count
% of Total
1980 2,385 0.8%
2000 33,985 5.4%
2006 62,674 7.97%
25
Number 1 - Mecklenburg County, NC
Year Hispanic Count
% of Total
1980 3,962 1.0%
2000 44,871 6.5%
2006 81,241 9.82%
26
Summary Of High Hispanic Growth Counties NC 1980-2006
County % Gain Hispanic/Year Gain
Mecklenburg 1,980% 3,125
Wake 2,527% 2,410
Guilford 965% 985
27
Aging Population
First Wave of 78 Million Baby Boomers
Nearing Retirement
28
Baby Boom Generation
Born 1946 - 1964
29
65 and Over Population
Today 1 out of 8
2020 (est.) 1 out of 6
30
NC Population 50+
Today 28%
2020 34%
31
NC Elderly (65+)
1990 – 2000
21% Increase
32
NC Elderly (65+)
2000 – 2030 (est.)
More than Double from969,000 to 2,142,000
33
Other Demographic Trends
34
More People Live Alone
1950 1 in 10
Today 1 in 4
35
Population Less Connected Socially
Decline in Memberships at Clubs, Lodges, etc.
More Solitary Activities
Fewer Group Activities
Longer Work Hours
Longer Commutes
Increased Use of Internet
Increased Use of Drive Through (restaurants/pharmacies)
36
Housing Changes
Bigger houses on Smaller Lots with fewer people in the houses
More garages and bathrooms
More two story, fewer one story houses
More Condos
Housing built further & further from downtown
37
Ten Years ago Google and Monster.com
did Not Exist
38
Ten years ago fewer than 40% of Americans had
Internet Access . . . Compared to more than
70% today.
Estimated that more than 212,000,000 Americans were
“Internet Users” in 2007
39
We were not at War
40
• Privacy concerns were not “Front Page” Issues
• “PII’ was not in our census vocabulary
41
Summary – What does all this mean to us?
Growth may mean more demand for Services.
Population Growth will be un-even in North Carolina.
People from different parts of the country may want different products, hours, services.
Diversity brings requirements for bilingual staff
42
Summary – What does all this mean to us?
Products in Language
Rapidly increasing older population may have more free time.
Population is becoming more educated and more affluent which is good for Society.
43
The World, the U.S., the Carolinasand your community are
changing rapidly.
To Flourish – Change with them!