NationalTrackingPoll#200255 February23-23,2020 ......50k 23( 224) 16 ( 157) 12 ( 120 ) 45 ( 443) 5( 45 ) 990 50k-100k 26( 165 ) 20 ( 126 ) 16 ( 101 ) 39 ( 250) 1 ( 4 ) 646 100k+ 23(

National Tracking Poll #200255February 23-23, 2020

Crosstabulation Results

Methodology:This poll was conducted between February 23-February 23, 2020 among a national sample of 1989RegisteredVoters. The interviewswere conducted online and the datawereweighted to approximatea target sample of Registered Voters based on age, educational attainment, gender, race, and region.Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Table Index

1 Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in theright direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? . . . . . . . . . . 5

2 Table Q172: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? . 9

3 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on yourmind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? . . . . . . . 13

4 Table PI1: How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus inyour state? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

5 Table PI2: Now thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, wouldyou vote in the: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

6 Table PI3: If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being heldtoday, for whom would you vote? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26

7 Table PI4_1: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Con dent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30

8 Table PI4_2: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Worried . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34

9 Table PI4_3: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Excited . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38

10 Table PI4_4: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Indifferent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42

11 Table PI4_5: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46

12 Table PI4_6: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Depressed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50

13 Table PI4_7: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Happy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54

14 Table PI4_8: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Confused . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58

15 Table PI4_9: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Proud . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62

16 Table PI4_10: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Hopeful . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66

17 Table PI4_11: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Bored . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70

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National Tracking Poll #200255, February, 2020

18 Table PI4_12: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Helpless . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74

19 Table PI4_13: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Interested . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78

20 Table PI4_14: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presi-dential election? Frustrated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82

21 Table PI5: Who do you think is going to win the 2020 presidential election? . . . . . . . . . 86

22 Table PI6: Who do you think has the best chance of beating President Trump in the 2020presidential election? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90

23 Table PI7: To the best of your knowledge without additional research, which of the followingcandidates won the Nevada caucuses? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94

24 Table PI8: Generally speaking, how surprised, if at all, were you by the results of the Nevadacaucuses? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98

25 Table PI9_1: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely tovote for each of the following candidates in your state”s primary or caucus? Joe Biden . . . . 102

26 Table PI9_2: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely tovote for each of the following candidates in your state”s primary or caucus? Michael Bloomberg 106

27 Table PI9_3: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely tovote for each of the following candidates in your state”s primary or caucus? Pete Buttigieg . . 110

28 Table PI9_4: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely tovote for each of the following candidates in your state”s primary or caucus? Tulsi Gabbard . . 114

29 Table PI9_5: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely tovote for each of the following candidates in your state”s primary or caucus? Amy Klobuchar . 118

30 Table PI9_6: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely tovote for each of the following candidates in your state”s primary or caucus? Bernie Sanders . 122

31 Table PI9_7: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely tovote for each of the following candidates in your state”s primary or caucus? Tom Steyer . . . 126

32 Table PI9_8: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely tovote for each of the following candidates in your state”s primary or caucus? Elizabeth Warren 130

33 Table PI10_1: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The winner of the Nevada caucuses can beat President Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134

34 Table PI10_2: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The winner of the Nevada caucuses will be the Democratic nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138

35 Table PI10_3: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The winner of the Nevada caucuses will win the South Carolina primary . . . . . . . . . . . 142

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Morning Consult

36 Table PI10_4: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The results of the Nevada caucuses are re ective of the Democratic Party . . . . . . . . . . . 146

37 Table PI10_5: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?I am happy with the results of the Nevada caucuses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150

38 Table PI10_6: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The Democratic Party is heading in the right direction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154

39 Table PI10_7: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The Democratic Party should eliminate caucuses as part of the nomination process . . . . . . 158

40 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162

4


5

Table P1

Crosstabulation Results by Respondent Demographics

Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off onthe wrong track?

Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Total N

Registered Voters 41% (813) 59% (1176) 1989Gender: Male 45% (418) 55% (513) 931Gender: Female 37% (395) 63% (663) 1058Age: 18-29 32% (101) 68% (212) 313Age: 30-44 38% (184) 62% (306) 489Age: 45-54 41% (132) 59% (194) 326Age: 55-64 47% (189) 53% (209) 398Age: 65+ 45% (207) 55% (256) 463Generation Z: 18-22 24% (26) 76% (81) 107Millennial: Age 23-38 35% (178) 65% (332) 510Generation X: Age 39-54 42% (213) 58% (299) 512Boomers: Age 55-73 45% (348) 55% (425) 773PID: Dem (no lean) 14% (110) 86% (700) 809PID: Ind (no lean) 36% (197) 64% (356) 553PID: Rep (no lean) 81% (506) 19% (120) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 15% (49) 85% (288) 338PID/Gender: DemWomen 13% (60) 87% (411) 472PID/Gender: Ind Men 40% (114) 60% (170) 284PID/Gender: Ind Women 31% (83) 69% (187) 270PID/Gender: Rep Men 82% (255) 18% (55) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 79% (251) 21% (66) 317Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 12% (71) 88% (513) 585Ideo: Moderate (4) 33% (196) 67% (396) 592Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 73% (504) 27% (185) 689Educ: < College 44% (549) 56% (702) 1251Educ: Bachelors degree 37% (175) 63% (295) 470Educ: Post-grad 33% (89) 67% (178) 268

Continued on next page

6

Morning ConsultTable P1



Registered Voters 41% (813) 59% (1176) 1989Income: Under 50k 39% (384) 61% (606) 990Income: 50k-100k 43% (279) 57% (367) 646Income: 100k+ 42% (149) 58% (204) 353Ethnicity: White 45% (723) 55% (886) 1609Ethnicity: Hispanic 32% (61) 68% (132) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 18% (44) 82% (208) 252Ethnicity: Other 35% (45) 65% (83) 128All Christian 48% (459) 52% (503) 962All Non-Christian 29% (27) 71% (67) 94Atheist 20% (18) 80% (72) 90Agnostic/Nothing in particular 37% (309) 63% (535) 844Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 29% (31) 71% (77) 108Evangelical 55% (288) 45% (235) 523Non-Evangelical 42% (324) 58% (444) 768Community: Urban 31% (142) 69% (312) 454Community: Suburban 41% (408) 59% (588) 996Community: Rural 49% (262) 51% (277) 539Employ: Private Sector 42% (280) 58% (389) 669Employ: Government 40% (49) 60% (73) 122Employ: Self-Employed 38% (68) 62% (110) 178Employ: Homemaker 41% (46) 59% (66) 112Employ: Retired 44% (230) 56% (288) 517Employ: Unemployed 39% (69) 61% (108) 177Employ: Other 36% (50) 64% (87) 136Military HH: Yes 43% (150) 57% (196) 346Military HH: No 40% (663) 60% (980) 1643RD/WT: Right Direction 100% (813) — (0) 813RD/WT: Wrong Track — (0) 100% (1176) 1176Trump Job Approve 83% (693) 17% (143) 836Trump Job Disapprove 9% (98) 91% (1004) 1102



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Table P1



Registered Voters 41% (813) 59% (1176) 1989Trump Job Strongly Approve 90% (423) 10% (47) 470Trump Job Somewhat Approve 74% (270) 26% (96) 366Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 20% (54) 80% (210) 263Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 5% (44) 95% (795) 839Favorable of Trump 83% (687) 17% (136) 823Unfavorable of Trump 9% (101) 91% (997) 1098Very Favorable of Trump 89% (432) 11% (52) 484Somewhat Favorable of Trump 75% (254) 25% (84) 339Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 26% (51) 74% (146) 196Very Unfavorable of Trump 6% (50) 94% (851) 902#1 Issue: Economy 41% (207) 59% (293) 501#1 Issue: Security 67% (239) 33% (120) 359#1 Issue: Health Care 31% (125) 69% (275) 400#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 39% (131) 61% (206) 337#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 20% (17) 80% (71) 88#1 Issue: Education 38% (40) 62% (65) 106#1 Issue: Energy 21% (23) 79% (86) 109#1 Issue: Other 32% (29) 68% (61) 902018 House Vote: Democrat 13% (103) 87% (688) 7912018 House Vote: Republican 78% (508) 22% (145) 6522018 House Vote: Someone else 28% (21) 72% (54) 752016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 11% (81) 89% (634) 7142016 Vote: Donald Trump 78% (543) 22% (151) 6942016 Vote: Other 23% (35) 77% (121) 1572016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 36% (154) 64% (269) 423Voted in 2014: Yes 42% (558) 58% (772) 1330Voted in 2014: No 39% (254) 61% (404) 6592012 Vote: Barack Obama 22% (196) 78% (685) 8812012 Vote: Mitt Romney 74% (370) 26% (127) 4972012 Vote: Other 46% (37) 54% (43) 802012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 40% (209) 60% (320) 530


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Registered Voters 41% (813) 59% (1176) 19894-Region: Northeast 35% (124) 65% (231) 3554-Region: Midwest 43% (197) 57% (260) 4574-Region: South 43% (322) 57% (421) 7434-Region: West 39% (170) 61% (265) 435If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 18% (29) 82% (134) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 18% (30) 82% (140) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 12% (11) 88% (81) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 13% (38) 87% (258) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 2% (2) 98% (103) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 16% (10) 84% (51) 60Black DPV 13% (27) 87% (176) 204Knows Bernie won NV 40% (511) 60% (761) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 12% (82) 88% (578) 660DPV 14% (134) 86% (820) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.

https://morningconsultintelligence.com


9

Table Q172

Table Q172: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

DemographicStronglyApprove

SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove

Don’t Know /No Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 24% (470) 18% (366) 13% (263) 42% (839) 3% (51) 1989Gender: Male 27% (248) 19% (175) 13% (123) 39% (366) 2% (19) 931Gender: Female 21% (222) 18% (191) 13% (140) 45% (473) 3% (32) 1058Age: 18-29 13% (41) 16% (51) 18% (57) 48% (151) 4% (13) 313Age: 30-44 20% (98) 20% (100) 15% (74) 42% (205) 3% (13) 489Age: 45-54 23% (75) 21% (69) 11% (37) 43% (140) 2% (5) 326Age: 55-64 29% (116) 20% (80) 12% (49) 35% (140) 3% (12) 398Age: 65+ 30% (141) 14% (66) 10% (46) 44% (202) 2% (8) 463Generation Z: 18-22 8% (8) 16% (17) 21% (23) 51% (55) 4% (4) 107Millennial: Age 23-38 17% (88) 18% (90) 16% (83) 45% (230) 3% (17) 510Generation X: Age 39-54 23% (117) 22% (112) 12% (62) 41% (211) 2% (9) 512Boomers: Age 55-73 29% (225) 18% (139) 11% (83) 40% (309) 2% (17) 773PID: Dem (no lean) 3% (22) 7% (55) 14% (117) 74% (603) 2% (13) 809PID: Ind (no lean) 15% (82) 24% (131) 18% (98) 38% (209) 6% (33) 553PID: Rep (no lean) 58% (366) 29% (180) 8% (49) 4% (27) 1% (5) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 3% (9) 8% (27) 13% (44) 75% (254) 1% (3) 338PID/Gender: DemWomen 3% (13) 6% (28) 15% (72) 74% (348) 2% (10) 472PID/Gender: Ind Men 18% (51) 23% (66) 20% (57) 34% (95) 5% (15) 284PID/Gender: Ind Women 11% (31) 24% (65) 15% (41) 42% (114) 7% (18) 270PID/Gender: Rep Men 61% (188) 27% (82) 7% (22) 5% (16) — (1) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 56% (178) 31% (98) 8% (26) 3% (11) 1% (4) 317Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 4% (25) 6% (37) 10% (60) 78% (455) 1% (8) 585Ideo: Moderate (4) 13% (74) 21% (126) 18% (106) 45% (265) 4% (21) 592Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 52% (357) 27% (184) 12% (79) 9% (65) 1% (5) 689Educ: < College 25% (316) 19% (244) 14% (170) 38% (478) 3% (43) 1251Educ: Bachelors degree 22% (102) 17% (82) 14% (67) 46% (214) 1% (6) 470Educ: Post-grad 19% (52) 15% (40) 10% (26) 55% (146) 1% (3) 268Income: Under 50k 23% (224) 16% (157) 12% (120) 45% (443) 5% (45) 990Income: 50k-100k 26% (165) 20% (126) 16% (101) 39% (250) 1% (4) 646Income: 100k+ 23% (81) 23% (82) 12% (42) 41% (145) 1% (3) 353Ethnicity: White 28% (442) 20% (326) 13% (206) 38% (604) 2% (30) 1609Ethnicity: Hispanic 15% (29) 18% (35) 21% (41) 42% (80) 4% (8) 193


10

Morning ConsultTable Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 24% (470) 18% (366) 13% (263) 42% (839) 3% (51) 1989Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 4% (9) 6% (16) 13% (33) 72% (182) 5% (13) 252Ethnicity: Other 15% (19) 18% (24) 19% (25) 41% (53) 6% (8) 128All Christian 29% (282) 21% (198) 14% (138) 34% (326) 2% (18) 962All Non-Christian 14% (13) 11% (10) 14% (14) 59% (55) 2% (2) 94Atheist 8% (8) 12% (11) 6% (5) 74% (66) — (0) 90Agnostic/Nothing in particular 20% (168) 17% (146) 13% (106) 46% (391) 4% (32) 844Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 15% (16) 11% (11) 18% (20) 55% (59) 1% (2) 108Evangelical 37% (194) 20% (106) 14% (71) 27% (141) 2% (12) 523Non-Evangelical 24% (184) 19% (146) 14% (109) 41% (316) 2% (12) 768Community: Urban 15% (70) 16% (70) 16% (72) 51% (230) 2% (11) 454Community: Suburban 23% (226) 18% (177) 14% (141) 43% (430) 2% (22) 996Community: Rural 32% (175) 22% (118) 9% (50) 33% (179) 3% (18) 539Employ: Private Sector 25% (165) 21% (140) 13% (90) 40% (267) 1% (7) 669Employ: Government 20% (25) 19% (23) 17% (21) 44% (53) — (0) 122Employ: Self-Employed 22% (40) 16% (28) 16% (29) 44% (78) 2% (4) 178Employ: Homemaker 22% (25) 22% (25) 9% (10) 40% (44) 7% (8) 112Employ: Retired 30% (157) 16% (82) 12% (60) 41% (211) 2% (8) 517Employ: Unemployed 16% (28) 21% (37) 9% (17) 49% (87) 5% (8) 177Employ: Other 19% (26) 13% (18) 16% (22) 44% (61) 7% (10) 136Military HH: Yes 28% (96) 19% (65) 13% (46) 39% (133) 2% (6) 346Military HH: No 23% (374) 18% (301) 13% (217) 43% (705) 3% (45) 1643RD/WT: Right Direction 52% (423) 33% (270) 7% (54) 5% (44) 3% (22) 813RD/WT: Wrong Track 4% (47) 8% (96) 18% (210) 68% (795) 2% (29) 1176Trump Job Approve 56% (470) 44% (366) — (0) — (0) — (0) 836Trump Job Disapprove — (0) — (0) 24% (263) 76% (839) — (0) 1102Trump Job Strongly Approve 100% (470) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 470Trump Job Somewhat Approve — (0) 100% (366) — (0) — (0) — (0) 366Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove — (0) — (0) 100% (263) — (0) — (0) 263Trump Job Strongly Disapprove — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (839) — (0) 839Favorable of Trump 55% (457) 39% (322) 2% (18) 2% (19) 1% (7) 823Unfavorable of Trump 1% (10) 3% (35) 21% (236) 73% (805) 1% (12) 1098



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Table Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 24% (470) 18% (366) 13% (263) 42% (839) 3% (51) 1989Very Favorable of Trump 89% (429) 7% (36) — (1) 3% (15) 1% (3) 484Somewhat Favorable of Trump 8% (28) 84% (286) 5% (17) 1% (5) 1% (4) 339Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 1% (2) 12% (24) 78% (154) 4% (9) 4% (7) 196Very Unfavorable of Trump 1% (8) 1% (11) 9% (82) 88% (796) — (4) 902#1 Issue: Economy 24% (120) 22% (111) 11% (55) 41% (205) 2% (10) 501#1 Issue: Security 50% (178) 23% (81) 10% (37) 16% (59) 1% (3) 359#1 Issue: Health Care 13% (51) 16% (62) 16% (63) 53% (213) 3% (10) 400#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 22% (73) 17% (58) 14% (46) 44% (150) 3% (11) 337#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 6% (5) 11% (10) 16% (14) 64% (56) 4% (3) 88#1 Issue: Education 11% (11) 25% (26) 22% (23) 40% (42) 3% (3) 106#1 Issue: Energy 7% (7) 9% (10) 16% (18) 65% (70) 4% (4) 109#1 Issue: Other 28% (25) 8% (7) 8% (8) 48% (43) 7% (7) 902018 House Vote: Democrat 2% (18) 7% (56) 13% (105) 76% (602) 1% (11) 7912018 House Vote: Republican 55% (358) 31% (202) 8% (54) 5% (32) 1% (6) 6522018 House Vote: Someone else 9% (7) 21% (16) 28% (21) 29% (22) 14% (10) 752016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 2% (13) 5% (37) 12% (89) 79% (563) 2% (13) 7142016 Vote: Donald Trump 54% (373) 32% (219) 9% (59) 5% (34) 1% (8) 6942016 Vote: Other 5% (7) 17% (26) 25% (40) 47% (73) 7% (11) 1572016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 18% (77) 20% (84) 18% (76) 40% (167) 5% (20) 423Voted in 2014: Yes 25% (336) 18% (239) 12% (161) 43% (570) 2% (24) 1330Voted in 2014: No 20% (134) 19% (127) 16% (102) 41% (269) 4% (27) 6592012 Vote: Barack Obama 8% (68) 11% (95) 14% (122) 66% (578) 2% (18) 8812012 Vote: Mitt Romney 51% (255) 30% (151) 9% (45) 9% (45) — (1) 4972012 Vote: Other 32% (26) 19% (16) 21% (17) 14% (12) 13% (10) 802012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 23% (122) 19% (103) 15% (79) 39% (204) 4% (22) 5304-Region: Northeast 19% (68) 17% (61) 13% (48) 48% (169) 2% (8) 3554-Region: Midwest 25% (114) 19% (86) 14% (66) 38% (175) 4% (16) 4574-Region: South 26% (196) 18% (136) 11% (83) 42% (309) 3% (19) 7434-Region: West 21% (92) 19% (82) 15% (67) 43% (186) 2% (8) 435


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Morning ConsultTable Q172



SomewhatApprove

SomewhatDisapprove

StronglyDisapprove


Registered Voters 24% (470) 18% (366) 13% (263) 42% (839) 3% (51) 1989If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 4% (7) 6% (10) 9% (15) 77% (125) 4% (6) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 2% (3) 9% (15) 16% (27) 74% (126) — (0) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 3% (3) 10% (10) 13% (12) 74% (68) — (0) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 2% (6) 5% (14) 18% (54) 74% (219) 1% (4) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 2% (2) 2% (2) 8% (8) 88% (92) — (0) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 4% (3) 15% (9) 15% (9) 66% (40) — (0) 60Black DPV 1% (2) 4% (8) 11% (23) 81% (164) 3% (6) 204Knows Bernie won NV 24% (310) 17% (221) 11% (138) 46% (586) 1% (16) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 4% (24) 7% (44) 11% (74) 78% (515) — (3) 660DPV 3% (30) 7% (71) 14% (137) 74% (706) 1% (10) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.



13

Table P3

Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such asU.S. Senate or Congress?

Demographic

EconomicIssues –like taxes,wages,jobs,

unemploy-ment, andspending

SecurityIssues –like

terrorism,foreign

policy, andbordersecurity

HealthCare Issues– like the2010 healthcare law,Medicaid,other

challenges

SeniorsIssues –like

Medicareand SocialSecurity

Women’sIssues –like birthcontrol,abortion,and equal

pay

EducationIssues – like

schoolstandards,class sizes,

school choice,and student

loans

Energy Issues– like carbonemissions,cost ofelectric-

ity/gasoline,or renewables Other: Total N

Registered Voters 25%(501) 18%(359) 20%(400) 17%(337) 4% (88) 5%(106) 5%(109) 5% (90) 1989Gender: Male 28%(259) 18%(168) 20%(187) 18%(167) 1% (7) 4% (37) 6% (57) 5% (48) 931Gender: Female 23%(242) 18% (191) 20%(213) 16%(170) 8% (81) 6% (68) 5% (52) 4% (42) 1058Age: 18-29 31% (96) 11% (33) 19% (60) 1% (3) 14% (43) 14% (44) 7% (22) 4% (12) 313Age: 30-44 35%(172) 18% (86) 20% (98) 4% (20) 5% (26) 8% (37) 6% (28) 5% (24) 489Age: 45-54 29% (95) 20% (64) 28% (92) 7% (24) 2% (5) 5% (16) 6% (21) 3% (10) 326Age: 55-64 21% (82) 18% (71) 21% (84) 26%(104) 2% (8) 2% (7) 5% (19) 6% (24) 398Age: 65+ 12% (56) 23%(105) 14% (66) 40%(187) 1% (6) 1% (2) 4% (19) 5% (21) 463Generation Z: 18-22 29% (31) 6% (6) 13% (14) — (0) 22% (24) 16% (17) 8% (9) 5% (6) 107Millennial: Age 23-38 35%(178) 14% (74) 21%(105) 2% (11) 8% (39) 10% (49) 7% (35) 4% (19) 510Generation X: Age 39-54 30%(154) 20%(103) 26%(132) 7% (35) 2% (11) 6% (31) 5% (27) 4% (20) 512Boomers: Age 55-73 17%(129) 20%(152) 17%(135) 33%(256) 2% (14) 1% (9) 5% (35) 5% (42) 773PID: Dem (no lean) 23%(183) 8% (61) 28%(225) 18%(148) 6% (48) 6% (45) 9% (70) 4% (30) 809PID: Ind (no lean) 29% (161) 15% (85) 16% (90) 15% (83) 5% (30) 6% (34) 6% (31) 7% (39) 553PID: Rep (no lean) 25%(157) 34%(213) 14% (85) 17%(106) 2% (10) 4% (27) 1% (8) 3% (21) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 27% (92) 7% (25) 29% (98) 18% (62) — (1) 5% (18) 10% (33) 3% (9) 338PID/Gender: DemWomen 19% (92) 8% (36) 27%(126) 18% (86) 10% (47) 6% (27) 8% (37) 4% (20) 472PID/Gender: Ind Men 29% (81) 15% (43) 17% (50) 16% (46) 2% (5) 5% (15) 6% (17) 10% (27) 284PID/Gender: Ind Women 30% (80) 15% (42) 15% (40) 14% (38) 9% (25) 7% (19) 5% (14) 4% (12) 270PID/Gender: Rep Men 28% (87) 32%(100) 13% (39) 20% (60) — (1) 2% (5) 2% (6) 4% (11) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 22% (70) 36% (113) 15% (46) 14% (46) 3% (9) 7% (22) 1% (2) 3% (10) 317Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 22%(127) 6% (33) 28%(164) 14% (85) 9% (53) 6% (36) 10% (58) 5% (29) 585Ideo: Moderate (4) 28%(166) 15% (91) 19% (113) 20% (118) 3% (15) 6% (35) 5% (29) 4% (24) 592Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 25%(175) 31%(217) 15% (101) 18%(124) 2% (12) 3% (23) 2% (14) 3% (24) 689


14



Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(501) 18%(359) 20%(400) 17%(337) 4% (88) 5%(106) 5%(109) 5% (90) 1989Educ: < College 25%(309) 18%(227) 20%(248) 20%(255) 4% (45) 4% (56) 4% (56) 4% (55) 1251Educ: Bachelors degree 25% (115) 18% (86) 21% (101) 11% (53) 6% (29) 7% (33) 7% (32) 5% (22) 470Educ: Post-grad 28% (76) 17% (46) 19% (52) 11% (29) 5% (14) 6% (17) 8% (22) 5% (13) 268Income: Under 50k 24%(240) 16%(160) 22%(215) 21%(209) 3% (31) 4% (41) 5% (49) 4% (44) 990Income: 50k-100k 25%(165) 22%(140) 17% (110) 14% (91) 5% (33) 7% (42) 6% (39) 4% (28) 646Income: 100k+ 27% (97) 17% (59) 21% (74) 11% (37) 7% (24) 6% (22) 6% (21) 5% (18) 353Ethnicity: White 24%(379) 20%(321) 19%(310) 18%(288) 4% (68) 5% (76) 6% (91) 5% (76) 1609Ethnicity: Hispanic 28% (54) 15% (29) 24% (47) 8% (15) 4% (8) 11% (21) 7% (14) 3% (5) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 37% (92) 8% (19) 20% (50) 15% (37) 6% (15) 8% (21) 4% (10) 3% (8) 252Ethnicity: Other 23% (29) 14% (18) 32% (41) 9% (12) 4% (5) 7% (8) 6% (8) 4% (6) 128All Christian 24%(228) 22%(209) 19%(182) 20%(189) 3% (33) 4% (40) 4% (42) 4% (39) 962All Non-Christian 25% (23) 15% (14) 24% (22) 19% (18) 3% (2) 7% (7) 7% (6) 1% (1) 94Atheist 32% (29) 8% (7) 24% (22) 10% (9) 7% (6) 2% (1) 10% (9) 8% (7) 90Agnostic/Nothing in particular 26%(221) 15%(129) 21%(174) 14%(122) 5% (46) 7% (58) 6% (51) 5% (43) 844Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 27% (29) 15% (16) 21% (22) 17% (19) 4% (4) 6% (7) 9% (9) 1% (1) 108Evangelical 25% (131) 24%(127) 18% (94) 17% (91) 4% (22) 5% (25) 2% (11) 4% (22) 523Non-Evangelical 24%(185) 19%(143) 19%(149) 20%(154) 3% (22) 5% (39) 6% (48) 4% (29) 768Community: Urban 29%(130) 16% (75) 18% (83) 16% (73) 4% (19) 6% (29) 6% (27) 4% (17) 454Community: Suburban 24%(237) 16%(164) 21%(214) 18%(175) 6% (55) 4% (44) 6% (63) 4% (43) 996Community: Rural 25%(133) 22%(120) 19%(103) 17% (89) 3% (14) 6% (32) 3% (18) 5% (30) 539



15

Table P3


Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(501) 18%(359) 20%(400) 17%(337) 4% (88) 5%(106) 5%(109) 5% (90) 1989Employ: Private Sector 33%(222) 18%(123) 22%(147) 6% (43) 4% (29) 6% (39) 6% (43) 4% (24) 669Employ: Government 32% (39) 21% (26) 15% (18) 3% (4) 6% (7) 13% (16) 8% (9) 2% (2) 122Employ: Self-Employed 36% (63) 18% (32) 17% (31) 9% (15) 2% (4) 5% (9) 7% (12) 6% (11) 178Employ: Homemaker 27% (31) 14% (16) 23% (25) 10% (11) 6% (6) 8% (9) 5% (6) 7% (8) 112Employ: Retired 10% (54) 21%(109) 17% (89) 42%(215) 1% (4) — (3) 4% (19) 5% (25) 517Employ: Unemployed 26% (46) 16% (28) 23% (41) 15% (27) 7% (12) 6% (10) 4% (7) 3% (6) 177Employ: Other 21% (29) 15% (21) 25% (35) 16% (22) 5% (7) 9% (12) 2% (2) 6% (8) 136Military HH: Yes 23% (79) 24% (85) 14% (48) 21% (73) 3% (9) 4% (15) 7% (23) 4% (15) 346Military HH: No 26%(422) 17%(274) 21%(352) 16%(265) 5% (79) 6% (91) 5% (86) 5% (75) 1643RD/WT: Right Direction 26%(207) 29%(239) 15%(125) 16% (131) 2% (17) 5% (40) 3% (23) 4% (29) 813RD/WT: Wrong Track 25%(293) 10%(120) 23%(275) 18%(206) 6% (71) 6% (65) 7% (86) 5% (61) 1176Trump Job Approve 28%(230) 31%(259) 14% (114) 16% (131) 2% (14) 4% (38) 2% (17) 4% (32) 836Trump Job Disapprove 24%(260) 9% (96) 25%(276) 18%(195) 6% (70) 6% (65) 8% (88) 5% (51) 1102Trump Job Strongly Approve 25%(120) 38%(178) 11% (51) 15% (73) 1% (5) 2% (11) 2% (7) 5% (25) 470Trump Job Somewhat Approve 30% (111) 22% (81) 17% (62) 16% (58) 3% (10) 7% (26) 3% (10) 2% (7) 366Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 21% (55) 14% (37) 24% (63) 17% (46) 5% (14) 9% (23) 7% (18) 3% (8) 263Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 24%(205) 7% (59) 25%(213) 18%(150) 7% (56) 5% (42) 8% (70) 5% (43) 839Favorable of Trump 27%(223) 32%(263) 13% (110) 17%(138) 2% (14) 3% (27) 2% (15) 4% (32) 823Unfavorable of Trump 24%(264) 8% (90) 25%(274) 17%(192) 6% (68) 6% (71) 8% (90) 5% (50) 1098Very Favorable of Trump 25% (119) 39%(188) 10% (49) 18% (85) 1% (6) 2% (10) 1% (6) 4% (20) 484Somewhat Favorable of Trump 31%(104) 22% (75) 18% (61) 16% (53) 3% (9) 5% (18) 3% (9) 3% (12) 339Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 27% (53) 13% (26) 22% (43) 17% (34) 4% (8) 10% (19) 5% (10) 2% (3) 196Very Unfavorable of Trump 23%(210) 7% (64) 26%(231) 18%(158) 7% (60) 6% (52) 9% (79) 5% (47) 902


16



Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(501) 18%(359) 20%(400) 17%(337) 4% (88) 5%(106) 5%(109) 5% (90) 1989#1 Issue: Economy 100%(501) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 501#1 Issue: Security — (0) 100%(359) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 359#1 Issue: Health Care — (0) — (0) 100%(400) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 400#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(337) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 337#1 Issue: Women’s Issues — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (88) — (0) — (0) — (0) 88#1 Issue: Education — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(106) — (0) — (0) 106#1 Issue: Energy — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(109) — (0) 109#1 Issue: Other — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (90) 902018 House Vote: Democrat 23%(180) 8% (63) 26%(207) 19%(150) 5% (41) 6% (44) 9% (71) 4% (35) 7912018 House Vote: Republican 27%(177) 35%(229) 13% (86) 15% (99) 2% (13) 3% (17) 2% (10) 3% (21) 6522018 House Vote: Someone else 15% (11) 18% (13) 13% (10) 22% (16) 2% (2) 9% (7) 4% (3) 18% (13) 752016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 23% (161) 8% (57) 28%(200) 20%(143) 5% (39) 3% (23) 9% (62) 4% (31) 7142016 Vote: Donald Trump 27% (191) 34%(235) 14% (96) 16%(108) 2% (12) 3% (21) 2% (12) 3% (20) 6942016 Vote: Other 28% (45) 10% (16) 15% (23) 18% (27) 3% (4) 11% (17) 7% (11) 9% (13) 1572016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 25%(105) 12% (51) 19% (80) 14% (59) 8% (33) 11% (45) 6% (24) 6% (26) 423Voted in 2014: Yes 24%(320) 20%(267) 21%(274) 19%(248) 3% (35) 4% (52) 6% (77) 4% (59) 1330Voted in 2014: No 27% (181) 14% (92) 19%(126) 13% (89) 8% (53) 8% (54) 5% (32) 5% (31) 6592012 Vote: Barack Obama 24%(208) 10% (91) 25%(223) 20%(174) 4% (31) 5% (47) 8% (70) 4% (37) 8812012 Vote: Mitt Romney 24% (121) 33%(163) 15% (72) 18% (90) 2% (8) 3% (14) 2% (10) 4% (19) 4972012 Vote: Other 18% (15) 31% (25) 16% (12) 18% (15) 1% (1) 2% (1) 9% (7) 6% (5) 802012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 30%(157) 15% (80) 17% (92) 11% (59) 9% (48) 8% (43) 4% (22) 5% (29) 530



17

Table P3


Demographic




terrorism,foreign



challenges




pay




loans



Registered Voters 25%(501) 18%(359) 20%(400) 17%(337) 4% (88) 5%(106) 5%(109) 5% (90) 19894-Region: Northeast 27% (95) 19% (67) 22% (77) 17% (59) 4% (14) 4% (13) 5% (19) 3% (12) 3554-Region: Midwest 24% (110) 19% (87) 19% (85) 15% (69) 5% (23) 5% (22) 7% (32) 6% (27) 4574-Region: South 26%(194) 18%(130) 19%(145) 19%(139) 4% (31) 6% (43) 5% (34) 4% (28) 7434-Region: West 24%(102) 17% (75) 21% (93) 16% (70) 4% (19) 6% (28) 6% (24) 5% (24) 435If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 25% (40) 6% (10) 27% (44) 22% (36) 3% (5) 2% (4) 9% (15) 5% (9) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 29% (49) 8% (14) 19% (33) 28% (48) 2% (4) 4% (6) 8% (13) 1% (2) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 16% (15) 10% (10) 24% (22) 22% (21) 9% (9) 6% (5) 6% (5) 6% (6) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 28% (83) 7% (21) 31% (92) 8% (25) 6% (19) 6% (18) 9% (26) 4% (11) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 11% (12) 9% (9) 24% (25) 10% (11) 14% (15) 11% (12) 13% (13) 7% (8) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 20% (12) 9% (5) 22% (13) 13% (8) 5% (3) 18% (11) 4% (2) 9% (6) 60Black DPV 38% (78) 7% (15) 20% (41) 15% (31) 4% (8) 8% (17) 5% (10) 2% (4) 204Knows Bernie won NV 24%(304) 18%(228) 21%(273) 19%(238) 4% (48) 4% (53) 6% (72) 4% (56) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 22%(145) 7% (49) 27%(179) 19%(125) 5% (35) 5% (33) 9% (60) 5% (35) 660DPV 24%(229) 8% (79) 25%(241) 17%(162) 6% (58) 6% (61) 9% (82) 4% (42) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


18

Morning ConsultTable PI1

Table PI1: How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state?

DemographicAbsolutelycertain Very likely About 50-50 Not too likely Not likely at all Total N

Registered Voters 66% (1318) 16% (317) 11% (212) 3% (68) 4% (74) 1989Gender: Male 67% (622) 16% (144) 11% (99) 3% (32) 3% (32) 931Gender: Female 66% (695) 16% (173) 11% (112) 3% (36) 4% (42) 1058Age: 18-29 52% (162) 20% (62) 21% (64) 4% (14) 4% (11) 313Age: 30-44 61% (300) 23% (114) 10% (48) 4% (18) 2% (9) 489Age: 45-54 70% (228) 13% (43) 11% (36) 2% (6) 4% (14) 326Age: 55-64 73% (291) 13% (51) 8% (30) 4% (16) 3% (11) 398Age: 65+ 73% (336) 10% (48) 7% (34) 3% (15) 6% (30) 463Generation Z: 18-22 46% (49) 19% (21) 24% (26) 7% (8) 3% (3) 107Millennial: Age 23-38 56% (288) 24% (121) 13% (68) 3% (18) 3% (15) 510Generation X: Age 39-54 69% (354) 15% (76) 10% (54) 2% (12) 3% (16) 512Boomers: Age 55-73 73% (564) 11% (88) 7% (56) 4% (29) 4% (35) 773PID: Dem (no lean) 76% (614) 14% (113) 7% (57) 2% (16) 1% (9) 809PID: Ind (no lean) 44% (242) 22% (122) 19% (103) 7% (37) 9% (49) 553PID: Rep (no lean) 74% (461) 13% (82) 8% (51) 2% (15) 3% (16) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 78% (263) 13% (43) 6% (21) 3% (9) 1% (2) 338PID/Gender: DemWomen 75% (352) 15% (70) 8% (36) 2% (7) 1% (7) 472PID/Gender: Ind Men 46% (132) 22% (61) 19% (53) 6% (16) 7% (21) 284PID/Gender: Ind Women 41% (110) 22% (61) 19% (50) 8% (21) 10% (28) 270PID/Gender: Rep Men 74% (228) 13% (40) 8% (25) 2% (7) 3% (9) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 74% (233) 13% (42) 8% (26) 2% (8) 2% (7) 317Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 75% (439) 13% (75) 8% (46) 2% (10) 3% (15) 585Ideo: Moderate (4) 57% (337) 21% (122) 14% (85) 5% (29) 3% (19) 592Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 72% (499) 14% (96) 7% (46) 3% (23) 4% (26) 689Educ: < College 62% (777) 17% (216) 13% (160) 4% (47) 4% (51) 1251Educ: Bachelors degree 70% (327) 16% (75) 8% (37) 4% (17) 3% (14) 470Educ: Post-grad 80% (214) 10% (26) 5% (14) 1% (4) 4% (10) 268Income: Under 50k 60% (591) 18% (174) 14% (137) 4% (41) 5% (46) 990Income: 50k-100k 71% (461) 15% (100) 8% (52) 3% (19) 2% (16) 646Income: 100k+ 75% (266) 12% (44) 6% (23) 2% (8) 4% (13) 353Ethnicity: White 66% (1069) 16% (255) 10% (159) 4% (62) 4% (64) 1609Ethnicity: Hispanic 66% (127) 15% (30) 10% (20) 4% (7) 4% (8) 193



19

Table PI1



Registered Voters 66% (1318) 16% (317) 11% (212) 3% (68) 4% (74) 1989Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 68% (172) 14% (35) 15% (38) 2% (4) 1% (4) 252Ethnicity: Other 60% (77) 21% (27) 12% (15) 2% (3) 5% (6) 128All Christian 70% (676) 15% (140) 9% (82) 4% (34) 3% (30) 962All Non-Christian 77% (72) 12% (11) 8% (7) 2% (2) 1% (1) 94Atheist 63% (57) 13% (12) 8% (8) 3% (3) 13% (11) 90Agnostic/Nothing in particular 61% (513) 18% (154) 14% (115) 4% (30) 4% (33) 844Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 74% (80) 14% (15) 9% (10) 2% (2) 1% (1) 108Evangelical 65% (339) 17% (90) 11% (59) 4% (20) 3% (16) 523Non-Evangelical 71% (542) 15% (113) 9% (66) 3% (24) 3% (23) 768Community: Urban 69% (313) 12% (54) 12% (55) 4% (18) 3% (13) 454Community: Suburban 69% (684) 16% (157) 9% (88) 3% (28) 4% (39) 996Community: Rural 59% (320) 20% (106) 13% (68) 4% (22) 4% (23) 539Employ: Private Sector 69% (465) 17% (112) 8% (56) 2% (16) 3% (20) 669Employ: Government 72% (88) 9% (12) 13% (16) 1% (1) 4% (5) 122Employ: Self-Employed 68% (121) 15% (26) 11% (19) 5% (9) 2% (3) 178Employ: Homemaker 52% (59) 27% (31) 15% (17) 5% (5) 1% (1) 112Employ: Retired 72% (375) 12% (61) 7% (38) 3% (17) 5% (27) 517Employ: Unemployed 58% (103) 18% (31) 12% (21) 6% (11) 6% (10) 177Employ: Other 49% (67) 18% (25) 24% (33) 5% (6) 4% (6) 136Military HH: Yes 72% (248) 13% (46) 10% (35) 2% (7) 3% (10) 346Military HH: No 65% (1069) 17% (271) 11% (177) 4% (61) 4% (64) 1643RD/WT: Right Direction 70% (565) 13% (102) 10% (82) 4% (29) 4% (34) 813RD/WT: Wrong Track 64% (753) 18% (215) 11% (130) 3% (39) 3% (40) 1176Trump Job Approve 68% (568) 15% (126) 10% (84) 3% (26) 4% (32) 836Trump Job Disapprove 67% (739) 17% (183) 10% (106) 3% (37) 3% (37) 1102Trump Job Strongly Approve 79% (369) 10% (47) 6% (28) 2% (10) 3% (15) 470Trump Job Somewhat Approve 54% (199) 22% (79) 15% (56) 4% (16) 5% (17) 366Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 49% (130) 24% (62) 17% (45) 6% (15) 4% (12) 263Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 73% (609) 14% (120) 7% (61) 3% (22) 3% (26) 839Favorable of Trump 69% (566) 15% (120) 9% (74) 3% (28) 4% (35) 823Unfavorable of Trump 67% (732) 17% (185) 10% (108) 3% (38) 3% (35) 1098


20




Registered Voters 66% (1318) 16% (317) 11% (212) 3% (68) 4% (74) 1989Very Favorable of Trump 78% (377) 11% (51) 6% (27) 2% (11) 3% (17) 484Somewhat Favorable of Trump 56% (188) 20% (69) 14% (46) 5% (17) 5% (18) 339Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 44% (86) 28% (56) 18% (36) 6% (11) 4% (7) 196Very Unfavorable of Trump 72% (646) 14% (129) 8% (72) 3% (27) 3% (28) 902#1 Issue: Economy 64% (322) 17% (87) 11% (57) 4% (21) 3% (14) 501#1 Issue: Security 73% (262) 14% (49) 8% (28) 3% (11) 3% (9) 359#1 Issue: Health Care 65% (261) 17% (70) 10% (39) 3% (14) 4% (17) 400#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 69% (234) 13% (43) 9% (31) 3% (11) 6% (19) 337#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 58% (51) 19% (17) 18% (16) 2% (2) 2% (2) 88#1 Issue: Education 60% (64) 17% (18) 18% (19) 2% (2) 2% (2) 106#1 Issue: Energy 66% (72) 17% (19) 9% (10) 5% (6) 2% (2) 109#1 Issue: Other 59% (53) 17% (15) 13% (12) 2% (2) 9% (8) 902018 House Vote: Democrat 80% (631) 12% (98) 4% (35) 2% (16) 1% (11) 7912018 House Vote: Republican 76% (495) 15% (95) 4% (28) 2% (16) 3% (19) 6522018 House Vote: Someone else 45% (34) 14% (10) 22% (17) 4% (3) 16% (12) 752016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 78% (560) 12% (86) 6% (42) 2% (12) 2% (13) 7142016 Vote: Donald Trump 73% (509) 14% (96) 7% (47) 2% (17) 4% (26) 6942016 Vote: Other 59% (92) 19% (29) 14% (23) 3% (5) 5% (7) 1572016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 37% (155) 25% (106) 24% (100) 8% (34) 7% (28) 423Voted in 2014: Yes 77% (1025) 13% (171) 5% (69) 2% (29) 3% (37) 1330Voted in 2014: No 44% (293) 22% (146) 22% (143) 6% (40) 6% (37) 6592012 Vote: Barack Obama 75% (662) 12% (109) 7% (64) 3% (24) 3% (22) 8812012 Vote: Mitt Romney 75% (371) 13% (66) 5% (27) 2% (11) 4% (22) 4972012 Vote: Other 59% (47) 22% (18) 13% (11) 1% (1) 4% (4) 802012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 44% (236) 24% (125) 21% (110) 6% (32) 5% (27) 5304-Region: Northeast 66% (233) 15% (52) 9% (31) 5% (18) 6% (20) 3554-Region: Midwest 66% (299) 16% (74) 11% (50) 4% (18) 4% (16) 4574-Region: South 65% (486) 17% (129) 12% (90) 3% (21) 2% (17) 7434-Region: West 69% (299) 14% (62) 9% (41) 3% (12) 5% (21) 435



21

Table PI1



Registered Voters 66% (1318) 16% (317) 11% (212) 3% (68) 4% (74) 1989If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 80% (130) 13% (22) 7% (11) — (0) — (0) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 79% (134) 17% (29) 4% (8) — (0) — (0) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 78% (72) 16% (14) 6% (5) — (0) — (0) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 73% (215) 16% (48) 11% (33) — (0) — (0) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 80% (84) 18% (19) 2% (2) — (0) — (0) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 58% (35) 25% (15) 17% (10) — (0) — (0) 60Black DPV 75% (152) 13% (26) 13% (26) — (0) — (0) 204Knows Bernie won NV 72% (920) 13% (169) 8% (101) 3% (42) 3% (40) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 80% (531) 14% (92) 6% (37) — (0) — (0) 660DPV 76% (725) 16% (157) 8% (72) — (0) — (0) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


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Table PI2: Now thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, would you vote in the:

DemographicDemocratic primary or

caucusRepublican primary or

caucusDon’t Know / No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 52% (954) 36% (662) 12% (230) 1846Gender: Male 50% (436) 38% (333) 11% (97) 866Gender: Female 53% (518) 34% (328) 14% (133) 980Age: 18-29 60% (174) 25% (72) 15% (42) 288Age: 30-44 54% (250) 34% (159) 11% (53) 462Age: 45-54 53% (162) 35% (108) 12% (37) 307Age: 55-64 44% (163) 41% (151) 15% (57) 371Age: 65+ 49% (205) 41% (172) 10% (41) 418Generation Z: 18-22 65% (62) 17% (16) 19% (18) 96Millennial: Age 23-38 57% (270) 32% (150) 12% (56) 477Generation X: Age 39-54 52% (254) 36% (173) 12% (57) 484Boomers: Age 55-73 47% (331) 40% (285) 13% (93) 709PID: Dem (no lean) 95% (744) 1% (11) 4% (29) 784PID: Ind (no lean) 42% (196) 22% (104) 36% (167) 467PID: Rep (no lean) 2% (14) 92% (547) 6% (34) 595PID/Gender: DemMen 96% (315) 1% (4) 2% (8) 327PID/Gender: DemWomen 94% (429) 1% (7) 5% (22) 458PID/Gender: Ind Men 45% (110) 23% (57) 32% (80) 247PID/Gender: Ind Women 39% (86) 21% (47) 40% (87) 220PID/Gender: Rep Men 4% (11) 93% (272) 3% (10) 293PID/Gender: Rep Women 1% (3) 91% (275) 8% (24) 302Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 90% (506) 5% (28) 4% (25) 560Ideo: Moderate (4) 58% (313) 22% (118) 21% (113) 544Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 14% (89) 78% (501) 8% (51) 641Educ: < College 49% (565) 37% (427) 14% (161) 1153Educ: Bachelors degree 54% (237) 34% (151) 12% (51) 439Educ: Post-grad 60% (152) 33% (84) 7% (19) 254Income: Under 50k 53% (477) 32% (292) 15% (133) 903Income: 50k-100k 50% (305) 39% (240) 11% (67) 612Income: 100k+ 52% (172) 39% (130) 9% (30) 332Ethnicity: White 46% (682) 42% (622) 12% (179) 1483Ethnicity: Hispanic 62% (109) 25% (44) 14% (24) 177



23

Table PI2





Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 52% (954) 36% (662) 12% (230) 1846Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 83% (204) 7% (16) 10% (25) 245Ethnicity: Other 58% (69) 20% (24) 22% (26) 119All Christian 43% (390) 47% (426) 9% (82) 898All Non-Christian 71% (65) 18% (17) 10% (9) 91Atheist 81% (62) 12% (9) 7% (6) 76Agnostic/Nothing in particular 56% (438) 27% (210) 17% (133) 781Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 66% (70) 23% (24) 11% (11) 105Evangelical 35% (172) 53% (257) 12% (59) 487Non-Evangelical 51% (364) 39% (285) 10% (72) 721Community: Urban 63% (267) 25% (104) 12% (51) 423Community: Suburban 52% (487) 37% (341) 11% (102) 930Community: Rural 41% (201) 44% (216) 16% (77) 494Employ: Private Sector 50% (315) 40% (252) 11% (67) 633Employ: Government 54% (63) 35% (41) 11% (12) 116Employ: Self-Employed 53% (88) 34% (57) 13% (22) 166Employ: Homemaker 46% (49) 36% (38) 18% (19) 106Employ: Retired 50% (238) 39% (183) 11% (53) 474Employ: Unemployed 59% (91) 29% (46) 12% (19) 155Employ: Other 54% (67) 26% (32) 20% (25) 124Military HH: Yes 46% (150) 40% (133) 14% (46) 329Military HH: No 53% (804) 35% (529) 12% (184) 1518RD/WT: Right Direction 18% (134) 71% (531) 11% (84) 749RD/WT: Wrong Track 75% (820) 12% (131) 13% (147) 1097Trump Job Approve 13% (101) 76% (588) 11% (89) 778Trump Job Disapprove 82% (843) 7% (70) 11% (115) 1028Trump Job Strongly Approve 7% (30) 87% (385) 7% (30) 445Trump Job Somewhat Approve 21% (71) 61% (203) 18% (59) 333Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 58% (137) 17% (41) 25% (59) 237Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 89% (706) 4% (29) 7% (56) 791Favorable of Trump 11% (86) 77% (583) 12% (90) 760Unfavorable of Trump 83% (847) 7% (67) 11% (111) 1025


24






Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 52% (954) 36% (662) 12% (230) 1846Very Favorable of Trump 7% (30) 87% (395) 7% (32) 456Somewhat Favorable of Trump 19% (56) 62% (189) 19% (59) 304Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 56% (100) 20% (35) 24% (43) 178Very Unfavorable of Trump 88% (747) 4% (32) 8% (68) 847#1 Issue: Economy 49% (229) 38% (177) 13% (60) 466#1 Issue: Security 23% (79) 68% (230) 9% (30) 339#1 Issue: Health Care 65% (241) 23% (84) 12% (44) 369#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 53% (162) 33% (102) 14% (43) 307#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 69% (58) 16% (14) 15% (13) 84#1 Issue: Education 60% (61) 24% (24) 16% (17) 101#1 Issue: Energy 82% (82) 11% (11) 7% (7) 100#1 Issue: Other 53% (42) 24% (19) 23% (18) 802018 House Vote: Democrat 92% (703) 3% (25) 5% (36) 7642018 House Vote: Republican 7% (45) 84% (521) 8% (50) 6172018 House Vote: Someone else 26% (16) 13% (8) 62% (37) 612016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 92% (637) 3% (21) 5% (31) 6892016 Vote: Donald Trump 11% (74) 80% (518) 9% (58) 6512016 Vote: Other 52% (74) 17% (24) 32% (46) 1442016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 46% (168) 27% (99) 26% (95) 361Voted in 2014: Yes 53% (672) 38% (480) 9% (112) 1264Voted in 2014: No 48% (282) 31% (182) 20% (118) 5822012 Vote: Barack Obama 80% (670) 10% (87) 9% (77) 8352012 Vote: Mitt Romney 11% (49) 83% (385) 6% (30) 4642012 Vote: Other 25% (19) 37% (28) 38% (28) 762012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 46% (216) 34% (160) 20% (94) 4714-Region: Northeast 58% (183) 33% (104) 9% (29) 3174-Region: Midwest 49% (208) 35% (147) 16% (68) 4234-Region: South 49% (346) 38% (268) 13% (90) 7054-Region: West 54% (217) 36% (143) 11% (42) 402



25

Table PI2





Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 52% (954) 36% (662) 12% (230) 1846If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 100% (162) — (0) — (0) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 100% (170) — (0) — (0) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 100% (92) — (0) — (0) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 100% (295) — (0) — (0) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 100% (105) — (0) — (0) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 100% (60) — (0) — (0) 60Black DPV 100% (204) — (0) — (0) 204Knows Bernie won NV 55% (660) 35% (419) 9% (111) 1190DPV Knows Bernie won NV 100% (660) — (0) — (0) 660DPV 100% (954) — (0) — (0) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


26


Table PI3: If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for whom would you vote?

Demographic Joe BidenMichaelBloomberg

PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 17%(162) 18%(170) 10% (92) 2% (17) 3% (29) 31%(295) 2% (23) 11%(105) 6% (60) 954Gender: Male 17% (76) 16% (70) 9% (38) 3% (14) 3% (15) 36%(158) 3% (13) 8% (33) 5% (20) 436Gender: Female 17% (87) 19%(100) 11% (55) 1% (3) 3% (14) 27%(137) 2% (10) 14% (71) 8% (40) 518Age: 18-29 8% (14) 12% (21) 7% (12) 1% (2) 2% (4) 46% (81) — (0) 15% (26) 8% (13) 174Age: 30-44 11% (27) 14% (35) 9% (22) 1% (2) 2% (5) 42%(105) 1% (3) 13% (33) 7% (17) 250Age: 45-54 20% (33) 22% (35) 11% (18) 2% (4) 1% (2) 25% (40) 4% (6) 10% (16) 5% (8) 162Age: 55-64 22% (36) 20% (33) 11% (19) 2% (3) 4% (7) 22% (36) 2% (3) 9% (15) 8% (13) 163Age: 65+ 26% (53) 22% (46) 11% (22) 2% (5) 5% (11) 17% (34) 5% (11) 7% (15) 4% (8) 205Generation Z: 18-22 3% (2) 10% (6) 10% (6) 1% (1) 4% (2) 55% (34) — (0) 12% (7) 5% (3) 62Millennial: Age 23-38 11% (30) 13% (35) 7% (19) 1% (3) 2% (6) 43% (115) 1% (2) 15% (41) 7% (19) 270Generation X: Age 39-54 17% (43) 20% (50) 11% (27) 2% (5) 1% (3) 30% (76) 3% (7) 10% (27) 7% (17) 254Boomers: Age 55-73 23% (75) 22% (72) 11% (37) 2% (6) 5% (16) 19% (65) 4% (12) 9% (29) 6% (20) 331PID: Dem (no lean) 18%(133) 19%(145) 10% (72) — (1) 2% (19) 29%(219) 2% (17) 12% (90) 6% (47) 744PID: Ind (no lean) 15% (28) 12% (24) 10% (19) 6% (13) 4% (8) 37% (72) 3% (6) 7% (15) 6% (11) 196PID/Gender: DemMen 21% (65) 18% (56) 9% (28) — (0) 3% (8) 34%(106) 3% (9) 9% (27) 5% (16) 315PID/Gender: DemWomen 16% (68) 21% (89) 10% (44) — (1) 2% (10) 26% (113) 2% (9) 15% (63) 7% (31) 429PID/Gender: Ind Men 10% (11) 12% (13) 8% (9) 10% (11) 4% (4) 44% (48) 4% (4) 6% (6) 3% (4) 110PID/Gender: Ind Women 21% (18) 12% (10) 12% (10) 2% (1) 5% (4) 28% (24) 2% (2) 10% (8) 9% (8) 86Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 14% (73) 14% (70) 9% (47) — (1) 4% (18) 36%(182) 2% (12) 15% (77) 5% (25) 506Ideo: Moderate (4) 21% (66) 22% (70) 13% (40) 3% (9) 2% (6) 24% (76) 2% (7) 7% (22) 6% (19) 313Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 15% (13) 26% (23) 4% (4) 7% (7) 4% (3) 25% (22) 5% (4) 5% (5) 9% (8) 89Educ: < College 16% (92) 20% (114) 9% (51) 1% (7) 1% (4) 35%(196) 3% (15) 8% (45) 7% (40) 565Educ: Bachelors degree 18% (42) 14% (33) 11% (27) 3% (7) 7% (17) 24% (58) 2% (5) 14% (33) 7% (16) 237Educ: Post-grad 18% (28) 15% (23) 9% (14) 2% (3) 5% (8) 27% (41) 2% (3) 18% (27) 3% (4) 152Income: Under 50k 18% (86) 18% (87) 8% (38) 1% (3) 1% (3) 34%(164) 4% (18) 10% (45) 7% (32) 477Income: 50k-100k 15% (46) 16% (49) 10% (32) 3% (10) 3% (9) 32% (99) 1% (4) 13% (39) 6% (19) 305Income: 100k+ 18% (30) 20% (35) 13% (22) 2% (4) 10% (17) 19% (33) 1% (1) 12% (21) 5% (9) 172Ethnicity: White 15%(104) 17% (113) 12% (80) 2% (14) 4% (24) 29%(200) 3% (18) 13% (87) 6% (43) 682Ethnicity: Hispanic 9% (10) 16% (18) 8% (8) 1% (1) 1% (1) 45% (49) 3% (4) 14% (15) 3% (3) 109Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 25% (51) 25% (51) 3% (6) — (1) 2% (3) 30% (61) 2% (4) 5% (11) 8% (16) 204



27

Table PI3



PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 17%(162) 18%(170) 10% (92) 2% (17) 3% (29) 31%(295) 2% (23) 11%(105) 6% (60) 954Ethnicity: Other 10% (7) 10% (7) 10% (7) 4% (3) 2% (2) 49% (34) 2% (1) 11% (7) 2% (2) 69All Christian 22% (84) 20% (80) 8% (29) 2% (9) 3% (14) 25% (96) 4% (15) 11% (42) 5% (21) 390All Non-Christian 18% (12) 24% (15) 6% (4) 1% (1) 6% (4) 25% (16) 1% (1) 12% (7) 7% (5) 65Atheist 15% (9) 7% (4) 14% (9) 3% (2) 4% (3) 43% (27) — (0) 13% (8) 1% (1) 62Agnostic/Nothing in particular 13% (58) 16% (71) 11% (50) 1% (6) 2% (9) 36%(157) 2% (7) 11% (47) 8% (34) 438Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 17% (12) 22% (15) 5% (4) 1% (1) 6% (4) 27% (19) 1% (1) 13% (9) 7% (5) 70Evangelical 22% (37) 28% (48) 5% (9) 3% (5) — (1) 25% (43) 1% (2) 6% (10) 9% (15) 172Non-Evangelical 20% (73) 18% (67) 8% (29) 1% (4) 4% (15) 28%(102) 5% (17) 11% (40) 5% (17) 364Community: Urban 17% (44) 19% (51) 7% (18) 1% (4) 3% (7) 30% (81) 3% (7) 12% (31) 9% (24) 267Community: Suburban 17% (85) 17% (81) 11% (52) 2% (8) 4% (18) 33%(162) 2% (9) 11% (53) 4% (20) 487Community: Rural 17% (33) 19% (38) 11% (23) 2% (5) 2% (4) 26% (52) 4% (7) 11% (21) 8% (16) 201Employ: Private Sector 17% (55) 16% (51) 9% (28) 2% (5) 2% (6) 33%(105) 1% (4) 15% (46) 5% (16) 315Employ: Government 14% (9) 13% (8) 5% (3) 5% (3) 6% (4) 35% (22) 4% (2) 16% (10) 3% (2) 63Employ: Self-Employed 20% (18) 15% (13) 8% (7) — (0) 3% (2) 37% (32) — (0) 11% (9) 8% (7) 88Employ: Retired 22% (52) 21% (50) 12% (28) 3% (7) 5% (12) 20% (47) 6% (14) 6% (15) 6% (14) 238Employ: Unemployed 9% (8) 24% (21) 5% (4) 1% (1) 3% (3) 36% (33) — (0) 11% (10) 11% (10) 91Employ: Other 11% (8) 22% (15) 15% (10) — (0) 1% (1) 34% (23) 3% (2) 5% (4) 8% (5) 67Military HH: Yes 18% (27) 24% (36) 5% (8) 4% (6) 5% (8) 28% (42) 5% (8) 4% (6) 7% (10) 150Military HH: No 17%(135) 17%(135) 10% (84) 1% (11) 3% (21) 31%(253) 2% (15) 12% (99) 6% (51) 804RD/WT: Right Direction 21% (29) 23% (30) 9% (11) 6% (8) 2% (3) 28% (38) 3% (3) 2% (2) 7% (10) 134RD/WT: Wrong Track 16%(134) 17%(140) 10% (81) 1% (9) 3% (26) 31%(258) 2% (20) 13%(103) 6% (51) 820Trump Job Approve 16% (16) 18% (18) 12% (12) 13% (13) 3% (3) 19% (19) 4% (4) 4% (4) 11% (12) 101Trump Job Disapprove 17%(140) 18%(153) 9% (80) — (4) 3% (26) 32%(272) 2% (19) 12% (101) 6% (49) 843Trump Job Somewhat Approve 13% (10) 21% (15) 13% (10) 12% (8) 1% (1) 19% (14) 5% (4) 3% (2) 12% (9) 71Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 11% (15) 20% (27) 9% (12) 2% (2) 3% (5) 39% (54) 4% (5) 6% (8) 7% (9) 137Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 18%(125) 18%(126) 10% (68) — (1) 3% (22) 31%(219) 2% (14) 13% (92) 6% (40) 706


28




PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 17%(162) 18%(170) 10% (92) 2% (17) 3% (29) 31%(295) 2% (23) 11%(105) 6% (60) 954Favorable of Trump 14% (12) 19% (16) 11% (9) 12% (10) 3% (3) 24% (21) 3% (3) 3% (2) 11% (10) 86Unfavorable of Trump 17%(147) 17%(148) 10% (82) 1% (6) 3% (24) 32%(270) 2% (20) 12%(100) 6% (50) 847Somewhat Favorable of Trump 11% (6) 25% (14) 12% (6) 10% (5) 3% (2) 24% (14) 5% (3) — (0) 11% (6) 56Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 11% (11) 23% (23) 10% (10) 4% (4) 3% (3) 31% (31) 5% (5) 8% (8) 7% (7) 100Very Unfavorable of Trump 18%(136) 17%(125) 10% (73) — (2) 3% (22) 32%(239) 2% (15) 12% (92) 6% (43) 747#1 Issue: Economy 18% (40) 22% (49) 7% (15) 2% (5) 5% (11) 36% (83) — (1) 5% (12) 5% (12) 229#1 Issue: Security 13% (10) 18% (14) 12% (10) 9% (7) — (0) 26% (21) 4% (3) 11% (9) 7% (5) 79#1 Issue: Health Care 18% (44) 14% (33) 9% (22) 1% (2) 3% (7) 38% (92) 1% (2) 10% (25) 6% (13) 241#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 22% (36) 30% (48) 13% (21) 1% (1) 2% (3) 15% (25) 6% (10) 7% (11) 5% (8) 162#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 9% (5) 7% (4) 15% (9) — (0) 5% (3) 33% (19) — (0) 26% (15) 5% (3) 58#1 Issue: Education 6% (4) 10% (6) 8% (5) — (0) 3% (2) 30% (18) 5% (3) 19% (12) 18% (11) 61#1 Issue: Energy 18% (15) 16% (13) 6% (5) 1% (1) 3% (2) 32% (26) 5% (4) 16% (13) 3% (2) 822018 House Vote: Democrat 18%(129) 17%(122) 11% (77) 1% (4) 3% (21) 29%(203) 3% (19) 13% (89) 6% (40) 7032016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 20%(127) 18% (115) 10% (67) — (2) 3% (20) 27%(173) 2% (15) 13% (80) 6% (38) 6372016 Vote: Donald Trump 19% (14) 20% (15) 8% (6) 11% (8) 5% (4) 22% (16) 3% (2) 3% (2) 9% (7) 742016 Vote: Other 10% (7) 15% (11) 9% (6) 8% (6) 3% (2) 41% (30) 1% (1) 9% (7) 5% (4) 742016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 8% (14) 18% (30) 7% (12) — (1) 2% (3) 45% (76) 3% (4) 9% (16) 7% (12) 168Voted in 2014: Yes 19% (131) 18%(123) 11% (76) 2% (11) 3% (22) 26%(174) 3% (18) 11% (75) 6% (42) 672Voted in 2014: No 11% (32) 17% (47) 6% (17) 2% (6) 2% (7) 43% (121) 2% (5) 11% (30) 6% (18) 2822012 Vote: Barack Obama 19%(130) 20% (131) 10% (68) 1% (7) 3% (21) 28%(189) 2% (14) 11% (71) 6% (38) 6702012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 9% (20) 16% (34) 6% (13) 2% (3) 2% (4) 44% (96) 3% (6) 13% (29) 5% (11) 2164-Region: Northeast 19% (34) 17% (31) 12% (21) 1% (2) 3% (6) 32% (58) 1% (3) 10% (18) 6% (10) 1834-Region: Midwest 18% (36) 17% (34) 12% (24) 2% (4) 4% (8) 31% (64) — (1) 12% (25) 5% (11) 2084-Region: South 18% (63) 23% (80) 8% (29) 2% (6) 2% (8) 28% (96) 3% (10) 8% (29) 7% (26) 3464-Region: West 13% (29) 12% (25) 8% (18) 2% (5) 3% (7) 35% (77) 5% (10) 15% (32) 6% (13) 217



29

Table PI3



PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 17%(162) 18%(170) 10% (92) 2% (17) 3% (29) 31%(295) 2% (23) 11%(105) 6% (60) 954If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 100%(162) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg — (0) 100%(170) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg — (0) — (0) 100% (92) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(295) — (0) — (0) — (0) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(105) — (0) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100% (60) 60Black DPV 25% (51) 25% (51) 3% (6) — (1) 2% (3) 30% (61) 2% (4) 5% (11) 8% (16) 204Knows Bernie won NV 16%(104) 16%(105) 11% (73) 2% (14) 4% (26) 34%(225) 2% (13) 11% (71) 4% (28) 660DPV Knows Bernie won NV 16%(104) 16%(105) 11% (73) 2% (14) 4% (26) 34%(225) 2% (13) 11% (71) 4% (28) 660DPV 17%(162) 18%(170) 10% (92) 2% (17) 3% (29) 31%(295) 2% (23) 11%(105) 6% (60) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


30

Morning ConsultTable PI4_1

Table PI4_1: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Con dent

Demographic Very well Somewhat well Not too well Not well at allDon’t know /No opinion Total N

Registered Voters 22% (439) 27% (528) 25% (488) 17% (338) 10% (196) 1989Gender: Male 27% (255) 29% (274) 22% (201) 14% (127) 8% (74) 931Gender: Female 17% (185) 24% (254) 27% (287) 20% (211) 12% (122) 1058Age: 18-29 15% (47) 26% (82) 32% (100) 16% (49) 11% (34) 313Age: 30-44 20% (100) 28% (139) 27% (131) 15% (72) 10% (48) 489Age: 45-54 22% (70) 24% (80) 27% (87) 18% (58) 10% (31) 326Age: 55-64 26% (102) 28% (111) 20% (78) 17% (67) 10% (39) 398Age: 65+ 26% (120) 25% (116) 20% (92) 20% (91) 9% (43) 463Generation Z: 18-22 8% (8) 25% (26) 33% (36) 15% (17) 19% (20) 107Millennial: Age 23-38 19% (95) 28% (144) 30% (152) 15% (76) 8% (43) 510Generation X: Age 39-54 22% (115) 26% (131) 25% (130) 17% (86) 10% (50) 512Boomers: Age 55-73 25% (192) 27% (210) 20% (154) 19% (145) 9% (72) 773PID: Dem (no lean) 15% (123) 25% (205) 31% (253) 20% (164) 8% (64) 809PID: Ind (no lean) 14% (78) 22% (122) 28% (157) 22% (121) 14% (75) 553PID: Rep (no lean) 38% (239) 32% (201) 12% (77) 8% (53) 9% (56) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 22% (75) 26% (86) 28% (96) 18% (60) 6% (21) 338PID/Gender: DemWomen 10% (49) 25% (119) 33% (157) 22% (104) 9% (43) 472PID/Gender: Ind Men 18% (50) 29% (81) 28% (79) 15% (44) 11% (30) 284PID/Gender: Ind Women 10% (28) 15% (40) 29% (79) 29% (77) 17% (45) 270PID/Gender: Rep Men 42% (130) 34% (107) 9% (26) 8% (24) 7% (23) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 34% (109) 30% (95) 16% (51) 9% (29) 11% (33) 317Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 14% (81) 24% (143) 34% (202) 21% (123) 6% (35) 585Ideo: Moderate (4) 17% (101) 25% (149) 27% (158) 21% (126) 10% (58) 592Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 35% (245) 32% (220) 15% (103) 10% (69) 8% (53) 689Educ: < College 25% (314) 27% (341) 22% (277) 14% (177) 11% (143) 1251Educ: Bachelors degree 17% (78) 26% (123) 29% (135) 21% (100) 8% (35) 470Educ: Post-grad 18% (48) 24% (64) 29% (77) 23% (61) 7% (18) 268Income: Under 50k 23% (231) 27% (266) 21% (209) 16% (159) 13% (124) 990Income: 50k-100k 23% (151) 26% (169) 27% (173) 15% (100) 8% (54) 646Income: 100k+ 16% (58) 26% (93) 30% (106) 22% (78) 5% (18) 353Ethnicity: White 22% (361) 26% (426) 25% (399) 17% (280) 9% (144) 1609



31

Table PI4_1



Registered Voters 22% (439) 27% (528) 25% (488) 17% (338) 10% (196) 1989Ethnicity: Hispanic 25% (48) 27% (52) 25% (48) 14% (27) 9% (18) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 23% (59) 24% (62) 23% (57) 16% (40) 14% (35) 252Ethnicity: Other 16% (20) 32% (41) 25% (32) 14% (18) 13% (17) 128All Christian 26% (245) 27% (262) 22% (213) 16% (156) 9% (86) 962All Non-Christian 12% (12) 24% (22) 33% (31) 23% (21) 8% (7) 94Atheist 14% (13) 16% (15) 37% (33) 27% (25) 6% (5) 90Agnostic/Nothing in particular 20% (170) 27% (229) 25% (211) 16% (136) 12% (97) 844Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 14% (15) 23% (24) 36% (38) 21% (23) 7% (7) 108Evangelical 30% (157) 31% (162) 17% (88) 12% (62) 10% (55) 523Non-Evangelical 23% (180) 26% (199) 24% (183) 19% (143) 8% (63) 768Community: Urban 21% (97) 27% (124) 24% (109) 17% (79) 10% (45) 454Community: Suburban 21% (208) 27% (267) 26% (260) 18% (180) 8% (81) 996Community: Rural 25% (134) 26% (138) 22% (119) 15% (78) 13% (70) 539Employ: Private Sector 22% (148) 25% (168) 29% (195) 17% (111) 7% (47) 669Employ: Government 18% (23) 26% (32) 22% (27) 22% (27) 11% (13) 122Employ: Self-Employed 24% (43) 24% (43) 23% (42) 16% (28) 12% (22) 178Employ: Homemaker 18% (21) 25% (28) 31% (35) 11% (12) 15% (17) 112Employ: Retired 25% (131) 28% (146) 20% (101) 19% (97) 8% (42) 517Employ: Unemployed 21% (37) 30% (52) 21% (37) 17% (30) 12% (21) 177Employ: Other 21% (29) 27% (37) 19% (27) 15% (20) 17% (23) 136Military HH: Yes 24% (83) 28% (95) 24% (82) 17% (60) 7% (26) 346Military HH: No 22% (357) 26% (433) 25% (406) 17% (278) 10% (170) 1643RD/WT: Right Direction 37% (300) 33% (266) 14% (114) 7% (59) 9% (73) 813RD/WT: Wrong Track 12% (139) 22% (262) 32% (374) 24% (279) 10% (122) 1176Trump Job Approve 35% (296) 32% (268) 16% (132) 8% (65) 9% (76) 836Trump Job Disapprove 13% (142) 23% (250) 32% (352) 24% (264) 9% (94) 1102Trump Job Strongly Approve 51% (242) 32% (149) 7% (31) 4% (19) 6% (29) 470Trump Job Somewhat Approve 15% (54) 32% (119) 28% (101) 13% (46) 13% (47) 366Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 11% (29) 22% (59) 34% (89) 22% (58) 11% (28) 263Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 14% (113) 23% (191) 31% (262) 25% (206) 8% (66) 839


32




Registered Voters 22% (439) 27% (528) 25% (488) 17% (338) 10% (196) 1989Favorable of Trump 36% (300) 33% (271) 15% (124) 7% (58) 8% (70) 823Unfavorable of Trump 12% (133) 23% (248) 32% (356) 25% (273) 8% (87) 1098Very Favorable of Trump 51% (246) 32% (154) 7% (35) 3% (16) 7% (32) 484Somewhat Favorable of Trump 16% (54) 35% (117) 26% (89) 12% (42) 11% (38) 339Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 7% (14) 25% (48) 36% (71) 24% (47) 8% (16) 196Very Unfavorable of Trump 13% (119) 22% (200) 32% (285) 25% (226) 8% (72) 902#1 Issue: Economy 24% (118) 26% (130) 24% (121) 17% (84) 10% (48) 501#1 Issue: Security 35% (126) 28% (101) 20% (73) 9% (33) 7% (27) 359#1 Issue: Health Care 16% (66) 27% (108) 31% (126) 18% (70) 7% (30) 400#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 22% (75) 29% (99) 18% (59) 19% (64) 12% (39) 337#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 7% (6) 17% (15) 36% (32) 29% (25) 11% (10) 88#1 Issue: Education 20% (21) 22% (24) 21% (22) 18% (19) 18% (20) 106#1 Issue: Energy 15% (17) 26% (28) 31% (34) 24% (26) 3% (4) 109#1 Issue: Other 11% (10) 25% (23) 24% (22) 18% (16) 21% (19) 902018 House Vote: Democrat 16% (123) 25% (195) 32% (250) 21% (169) 7% (54) 7912018 House Vote: Republican 38% (245) 32% (211) 15% (95) 9% (58) 7% (44) 6522018 House Vote: Someone else 5% (4) 14% (11) 21% (16) 28% (21) 32% (24) 752016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 16% (116) 23% (167) 31% (221) 22% (157) 7% (53) 7142016 Vote: Donald Trump 36% (249) 32% (223) 16% (109) 9% (61) 7% (51) 6942016 Vote: Other 6% (10) 26% (41) 28% (44) 27% (42) 12% (19) 1572016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 15% (64) 23% (98) 27% (113) 18% (76) 17% (72) 423Voted in 2014: Yes 25% (328) 27% (360) 24% (313) 17% (228) 8% (102) 1330Voted in 2014: No 17% (111) 26% (169) 27% (175) 17% (110) 14% (93) 6592012 Vote: Barack Obama 17% (151) 25% (221) 29% (252) 21% (187) 8% (70) 8812012 Vote: Mitt Romney 35% (175) 33% (162) 15% (77) 10% (50) 6% (32) 4972012 Vote: Other 21% (17) 17% (14) 24% (19) 14% (11) 24% (19) 802012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 18% (96) 25% (131) 26% (140) 17% (89) 14% (73) 530



33

Table PI4_1



Registered Voters 22% (439) 27% (528) 25% (488) 17% (338) 10% (196) 19894-Region: Northeast 19% (66) 23% (83) 31% (111) 18% (64) 8% (30) 3554-Region: Midwest 22% (100) 27% (125) 24% (108) 16% (74) 11% (50) 4574-Region: South 24% (178) 27% (198) 23% (170) 16% (117) 11% (79) 7434-Region: West 22% (95) 28% (122) 23% (98) 19% (83) 9% (37) 435If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 16% (26) 22% (36) 27% (44) 25% (41) 9% (15) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 17% (29) 27% (46) 31% (52) 20% (35) 5% (9) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 10% (9) 27% (25) 34% (31) 24% (22) 6% (5) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 17% (52) 34% (100) 30% (89) 14% (41) 4% (13) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 16% (16) 18% (19) 39% (41) 22% (23) 5% (5) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 7% (4) 18% (11) 25% (15) 28% (17) 21% (13) 60Black DPV 24% (49) 26% (53) 23% (47) 17% (34) 10% (20) 204Knows Bernie won NV 23% (290) 28% (350) 26% (325) 17% (220) 7% (87) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 13% (87) 26% (175) 32% (214) 23% (151) 5% (32) 660DPV 15% (143) 27% (253) 31% (297) 21% (201) 6% (60) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


34


Table PI4_2: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Worried





35

Table PI4_2





36







37

Table PI4_2





38


Table PI4_3: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Excited





39

Table PI4_3





40







41

Table PI4_3





42


Table PI4_4: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Indifferent





43

Table PI4_4





44







45

Table PI4_4





46


Table PI4_5: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Angry





47

Table PI4_5





48







49

Table PI4_5





50


Table PI4_6: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Depressed





51

Table PI4_6





52







53

Table PI4_6





54


Table PI4_7: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Happy





55

Table PI4_7





56







57

Table PI4_7





58


Table PI4_8: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Confused





59

Table PI4_8





60







61

Table PI4_8





62


Table PI4_9: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Proud





63

Table PI4_9





64







65

Table PI4_9





66


Table PI4_10: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Hopeful





67

Table PI4_10





68







69

Table PI4_10





70


Table PI4_11: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Bored





71

Table PI4_11





72







73

Table PI4_11



Registered Voters 5% (95) 13% (262) 22% (443) 42% (831) 18% (357) 19894-Region: Northeast 3% (10) 14% (51) 23% (82) 45% (159) 15% (53) 3554-Region: Midwest 4% (17) 13% (58) 27% (122) 38% (176) 19% (85) 4574-Region: South 6% (43) 12% (86) 20% (147) 43% (318) 20% (149) 7434-Region: West 6% (26) 15% (67) 21% (92) 41% (178) 16% (71) 435If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 3% (5) 11% (18) 21% (34) 45% (74) 19% (32) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 5% (9) 12% (20) 21% (36) 47% (80) 15% (25) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg — (0) 14% (13) 26% (24) 50% (46) 10% (9) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 5% (15) 14% (42) 25% (74) 44% (131) 11% (34) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren — (0) 14% (14) 23% (24) 51% (53) 12% (13) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 9% (6) 12% (7) 30% (18) 24% (15) 24% (15) 60Black DPV 9% (18) 14% (29) 18% (37) 39% (80) 20% (40) 204Knows Bernie won NV 4% (51) 13% (160) 23% (288) 47% (602) 13% (171) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 4% (25) 13% (83) 23% (154) 49% (321) 12% (78) 660DPV 4% (43) 13% (121) 23% (221) 45% (431) 14% (138) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


74


Table PI4_12: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Helpless





75

Table PI4_12





76







77

Table PI4_12





78


Table PI4_13: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Interested





79

Table PI4_13





80







81

Table PI4_13





82


Table PI4_14: How well do each of the following describe how you feel about the 2020 presidential election?Frustrated





83

Table PI4_14





84







85

Table PI4_14





86


Table PI5: Who do you think is going to win the 2020 presidential election?

Demographic President TrumpThe Democratic

candidateDon’t know / No

opinion Total N

Registered Voters 46% (914) 37% (728) 17% (348) 1989Gender: Male 50% (469) 36% (340) 13% (123) 931Gender: Female 42% (445) 37% (388) 21% (225) 1058Age: 18-29 34% (107) 46% (144) 20% (62) 313Age: 30-44 45% (222) 40% (197) 14% (70) 489Age: 45-54 51% (166) 31% (101) 18% (59) 326Age: 55-64 49% (194) 33% (132) 18% (72) 398Age: 65+ 49% (225) 33% (154) 18% (84) 463Generation Z: 18-22 27% (29) 50% (53) 22% (24) 107Millennial: Age 23-38 42% (214) 42% (213) 16% (82) 510Generation X: Age 39-54 49% (252) 34% (175) 17% (85) 512Boomers: Age 55-73 48% (370) 34% (259) 19% (144) 773PID: Dem (no lean) 15% (120) 69% (554) 17% (135) 809PID: Ind (no lean) 43% (240) 28% (152) 29% (161) 553PID: Rep (no lean) 88% (554) 3% (21) 8% (52) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 15% (52) 74% (251) 10% (35) 338PID/Gender: DemWomen 14% (68) 64% (304) 21% (100) 472PID/Gender: Ind Men 47% (133) 28% (81) 25% (71) 284PID/Gender: Ind Women 40% (107) 27% (72) 34% (90) 270PID/Gender: Rep Men 92% (284) 3% (9) 5% (17) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 85% (270) 4% (12) 11% (35) 317Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 20% (117) 64% (375) 16% (93) 585Ideo: Moderate (4) 37% (218) 42% (247) 21% (126) 592Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 79% (546) 10% (66) 11% (78) 689Educ: < College 47% (584) 36% (446) 18% (221) 1251Educ: Bachelors degree 45% (214) 38% (177) 17% (79) 470Educ: Post-grad 43% (116) 39% (104) 18% (48) 268Income: Under 50k 42% (414) 40% (401) 18% (175) 990Income: 50k-100k 49% (317) 35% (224) 16% (106) 646Income: 100k+ 52% (183) 29% (103) 19% (67) 353Ethnicity: White 52% (834) 31% (506) 17% (269) 1609Ethnicity: Hispanic 34% (65) 48% (93) 18% (35) 193



87

Table PI5




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 46% (914) 37% (728) 17% (348) 1989Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 14% (34) 67% (169) 19% (49) 252Ethnicity: Other 36% (46) 41% (52) 23% (30) 128All Christian 54% (519) 31% (301) 15% (142) 962All Non-Christian 35% (32) 46% (43) 19% (18) 94Atheist 28% (25) 54% (48) 18% (16) 90Agnostic/Nothing in particular 40% (337) 40% (335) 20% (171) 844Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 39% (41) 43% (46) 18% (20) 108Evangelical 59% (307) 26% (138) 15% (77) 523Non-Evangelical 48% (366) 37% (281) 16% (121) 768Community: Urban 37% (167) 44% (198) 20% (89) 454Community: Suburban 46% (458) 37% (369) 17% (169) 996Community: Rural 54% (289) 30% (161) 17% (90) 539Employ: Private Sector 50% (335) 36% (238) 14% (95) 669Employ: Government 48% (58) 32% (39) 21% (25) 122Employ: Self-Employed 43% (77) 39% (69) 18% (32) 178Employ: Homemaker 46% (52) 30% (34) 24% (27) 112Employ: Retired 49% (253) 35% (179) 17% (85) 517Employ: Unemployed 37% (65) 43% (76) 20% (36) 177Employ: Other 39% (53) 42% (58) 19% (26) 136Military HH: Yes 49% (171) 32% (112) 18% (64) 346Military HH: No 45% (743) 37% (616) 17% (284) 1643RD/WT: Right Direction 80% (654) 9% (75) 10% (84) 813RD/WT: Wrong Track 22% (260) 55% (653) 22% (264) 1176Trump Job Approve 87% (726) 5% (41) 8% (70) 836Trump Job Disapprove 16% (180) 62% (679) 22% (242) 1102Trump Job Strongly Approve 96% (451) 2% (8) 2% (11) 470Trump Job Somewhat Approve 75% (274) 9% (33) 16% (58) 366Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 27% (70) 42% (109) 32% (84) 263Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 13% (111) 68% (570) 19% (158) 839Favorable of Trump 88% (721) 5% (37) 8% (65) 823Unfavorable of Trump 17% (184) 61% (672) 22% (242) 1098


88





opinion Total N

Registered Voters 46% (914) 37% (728) 17% (348) 1989Very Favorable of Trump 96% (465) 2% (8) 2% (11) 484Somewhat Favorable of Trump 75% (256) 9% (30) 16% (54) 339Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 35% (69) 34% (68) 30% (60) 196Very Unfavorable of Trump 13% (115) 67% (604) 20% (183) 902#1 Issue: Economy 51% (254) 35% (176) 14% (70) 501#1 Issue: Security 76% (271) 14% (51) 10% (37) 359#1 Issue: Health Care 34% (134) 49% (197) 17% (69) 400#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 41% (139) 37% (125) 22% (73) 337#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 25% (22) 51% (45) 24% (21) 88#1 Issue: Education 32% (34) 38% (40) 30% (32) 106#1 Issue: Energy 24% (26) 56% (61) 20% (21) 109#1 Issue: Other 37% (33) 35% (32) 28% (25) 902018 House Vote: Democrat 18% (138) 65% (512) 18% (140) 7912018 House Vote: Republican 87% (564) 5% (33) 8% (55) 6522018 House Vote: Someone else 30% (22) 16% (12) 55% (41) 752016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 16% (114) 68% (483) 16% (118) 7142016 Vote: Donald Trump 85% (590) 5% (37) 10% (67) 6942016 Vote: Other 29% (45) 33% (52) 38% (60) 1572016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 39% (165) 37% (155) 24% (103) 423Voted in 2014: Yes 48% (635) 37% (493) 15% (203) 1330Voted in 2014: No 42% (279) 36% (235) 22% (145) 6592012 Vote: Barack Obama 25% (221) 57% (501) 18% (159) 8812012 Vote: Mitt Romney 82% (407) 7% (34) 11% (56) 4972012 Vote: Other 58% (47) 9% (7) 33% (27) 802012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 45% (239) 35% (185) 20% (105) 5304-Region: Northeast 42% (150) 40% (142) 18% (63) 3554-Region: Midwest 47% (216) 35% (159) 18% (82) 4574-Region: South 47% (351) 36% (267) 17% (125) 7434-Region: West 45% (197) 37% (160) 18% (78) 435



89

Table PI5




opinion Total N

Registered Voters 46% (914) 37% (728) 17% (348) 1989If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 15% (24) 71% (115) 14% (23) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 15% (26) 74% (126) 11% (19) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 22% (20) 66% (61) 11% (10) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 15% (44) 73% (215) 12% (36) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 13% (13) 72% (76) 15% (16) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 25% (15) 37% (22) 38% (23) 60Black DPV 8% (16) 77% (157) 15% (31) 204Knows Bernie won NV 47% (604) 37% (473) 15% (195) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 20% (130) 66% (435) 14% (96) 660DPV 18% (169) 68% (645) 15% (140) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


90


Table PI6: Who do you think has the best chance of beating President Trump in the 2020 presidential election?


PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 12%(245) 19%(373) 5% (99) 2% (34) 2% (32) 25%(500) 1% (25) 4% (79) 30%(602) 1989Gender: Male 13%(123) 20%(188) 5% (42) 3% (26) 2% (15) 27%(249) 1% (13) 3% (31) 26%(244) 931Gender: Female 12%(122) 17%(185) 5% (57) 1% (8) 2% (17) 24%(251) 1% (13) 4% (48) 34%(358) 1058Age: 18-29 12% (37) 14% (44) 3% (11) 1% (4) 1% (3) 38% (118) — (1) 6% (18) 25% (77) 313Age: 30-44 12% (57) 15% (73) 6% (31) 1% (6) 1% (6) 31%(150) 1% (5) 5% (25) 28%(135) 489Age: 45-54 13% (43) 21% (70) 4% (13) 1% (4) 1% (4) 23% (74) 2% (8) 4% (14) 29% (96) 326Age: 55-64 10% (39) 22% (87) 6% (25) 3% (12) 3% (12) 19% (75) 1% (4) 2% (9) 34%(135) 398Age: 65+ 15% (70) 22%(100) 4% (19) 2% (7) 1% (6) 18% (83) 2% (8) 3% (12) 34%(158) 463Generation Z: 18-22 7% (8) 17% (18) 5% (6) 1% (1) 2% (2) 40% (42) 1% (1) 4% (4) 24% (26) 107Millennial: Age 23-38 13% (67) 13% (67) 5% (24) 1% (6) 1% (3) 35%(176) 1% (4) 6% (33) 25%(130) 510Generation X: Age 39-54 12% (63) 20%(102) 5% (25) 2% (8) 2% (8) 24%(124) 2% (9) 4% (21) 30%(154) 512Boomers: Age 55-73 12% (95) 21%(163) 5% (40) 2% (17) 2% (18) 20% (151) 1% (9) 3% (20) 34%(259) 773PID: Dem (no lean) 18%(145) 23%(187) 6% (49) — (2) 1% (8) 33%(266) 2% (12) 7% (60) 10% (80) 809PID: Ind (no lean) 10% (57) 20%(108) 4% (24) 3% (16) 2% (9) 26%(146) 2% (10) 2% (12) 31%(170) 553PID: Rep (no lean) 7% (43) 13% (78) 4% (25) 3% (16) 2% (14) 14% (88) 1% (3) 1% (7) 56%(351) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 21% (70) 21% (71) 5% (18) — (1) 1% (3) 37%(125) 2% (6) 6% (22) 6% (21) 338PID/Gender: DemWomen 16% (75) 24% (115) 7% (31) — (1) 1% (5) 30%(140) 1% (6) 8% (38) 13% (59) 472PID/Gender: Ind Men 9% (26) 24% (68) 5% (14) 5% (13) 1% (2) 28% (80) 2% (6) 2% (6) 24% (69) 284PID/Gender: Ind Women 11% (31) 15% (40) 4% (11) 1% (3) 3% (7) 25% (67) 1% (4) 2% (5) 38%(102) 270PID/Gender: Rep Men 9% (27) 16% (49) 3% (11) 4% (12) 3% (9) 14% (44) — (1) 1% (3) 50%(154) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 5% (17) 9% (29) 5% (15) 1% (4) 1% (4) 14% (44) 1% (2) 1% (4) 62%(197) 317Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 16% (96) 19%(109) 5% (31) — (1) 1% (8) 38%(220) 2% (9) 8% (49) 10% (61) 585Ideo: Moderate (4) 16% (92) 23%(139) 6% (33) 2% (13) 1% (8) 25%(149) 1% (8) 3% (18) 22%(132) 592Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 7% (48) 16%(107) 4% (31) 3% (20) 2% (14) 16% (112) 1% (8) 1% (10) 49%(340) 689Educ: < College 11%(137) 18%(224) 5% (56) 1% (13) 1% (16) 27%(335) 1% (17) 3% (31) 34%(422) 1251Educ: Bachelors degree 13% (63) 20% (95) 6% (28) 3% (16) 2% (10) 23%(108) 1% (4) 5% (25) 26%(123) 470Educ: Post-grad 17% (46) 20% (54) 5% (15) 2% (5) 2% (6) 22% (58) 2% (5) 8% (22) 21% (57) 268Income: Under 50k 13%(124) 18%(179) 3% (34) — (4) 1% (12) 27%(267) 2% (20) 3% (29) 32%(321) 990Income: 50k-100k 12% (78) 17%(108) 6% (38) 4% (24) 2% (10) 26%(167) 1% (4) 5% (34) 28%(184) 646Income: 100k+ 12% (43) 25% (87) 8% (28) 2% (6) 3% (9) 19% (66) 1% (2) 4% (15) 27% (97) 353



91

Table PI6



PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 12%(245) 19%(373) 5% (99) 2% (34) 2% (32) 25%(500) 1% (25) 4% (79) 30%(602) 1989Ethnicity: White 11%(177) 17%(280) 5% (87) 2% (31) 2% (29) 24%(387) 1% (21) 4% (64) 33%(534) 1609Ethnicity: Hispanic 10% (20) 17% (32) 5% (10) 3% (5) 1% (1) 35% (67) 2% (4) 7% (13) 21% (41) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 22% (54) 30% (76) 2% (5) — (0) 1% (3) 27% (68) 1% (2) 3% (7) 15% (38) 252Ethnicity: Other 11% (15) 13% (17) 5% (7) 3% (4) — (1) 36% (45) 2% (3) 6% (8) 23% (30) 128All Christian 13%(122) 19%(184) 5% (52) 2% (20) 2% (18) 21%(200) 2% (20) 3% (33) 33%(313) 962All Non-Christian 13% (12) 27% (25) 3% (3) 2% (2) 3% (2) 26% (24) — (0) 5% (5) 22% (21) 94Atheist 16% (15) 8% (8) 9% (8) 4% (3) 3% (3) 40% (36) 1% (1) 4% (4) 14% (13) 90Agnostic/Nothing in particular 12% (97) 19%(157) 4% (36) 1% (9) 1% (8) 28%(240) 1% (4) 4% (37) 30%(255) 844Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 11% (12) 26% (28) 4% (4) 2% (2) 2% (2) 27% (29) 1% (2) 4% (5) 22% (24) 108Evangelical 13% (68) 17% (90) 4% (20) 2% (11) 2% (8) 19% (97) 1% (3) 2% (11) 41%(215) 523Non-Evangelical 13% (97) 20%(154) 5% (40) 1% (11) 2% (12) 24%(187) 3% (20) 4% (33) 28%(215) 768Community: Urban 14% (65) 19% (86) 5% (24) 1% (5) 1% (5) 29%(130) 1% (6) 6% (28) 23%(105) 454Community: Suburban 13%(126) 20%(202) 5% (54) 2% (19) 1% (15) 26%(257) 1% (11) 3% (31) 28%(282) 996Community: Rural 10% (55) 16% (85) 4% (21) 2% (10) 2% (11) 21% (113) 2% (9) 4% (20) 40%(215) 539Employ: Private Sector 13% (87) 19%(124) 5% (35) 2% (13) 2% (14) 26%(174) 1% (6) 5% (32) 27%(183) 669Employ: Government 11% (14) 21% (25) 5% (7) 2% (2) — (0) 25% (31) 1% (2) 8% (10) 26% (32) 122Employ: Self-Employed 15% (27) 16% (29) 4% (7) 2% (4) 1% (2) 25% (44) 1% (2) 5% (8) 31% (54) 178Employ: Homemaker 13% (14) 16% (18) 3% (4) — (0) 2% (2) 24% (27) 1% (1) 3% (4) 39% (44) 112Employ: Retired 12% (63) 20%(103) 5% (28) 2% (9) 1% (6) 20%(105) 2% (11) 2% (11) 35% (181) 517Employ: Unemployed 10% (17) 26% (45) 5% (8) — (0) 2% (4) 27% (47) — (1) 4% (7) 27% (47) 177Employ: Other 12% (16) 14% (19) 5% (6) 3% (5) 1% (2) 29% (39) 3% (4) 3% (4) 30% (41) 136Military HH: Yes 13% (44) 22% (76) 5% (17) 2% (6) 2% (7) 23% (78) 1% (3) 2% (7) 31%(107) 346Military HH: No 12%(201) 18%(297) 5% (82) 2% (28) 1% (24) 26%(422) 1% (22) 4% (71) 30%(495) 1643RD/WT: Right Direction 8% (67) 16%(132) 4% (29) 3% (22) 2% (15) 18%(143) 1% (8) 1% (9) 48%(387) 813RD/WT: Wrong Track 15%(178) 20%(241) 6% (69) 1% (13) 1% (17) 30%(357) 1% (17) 6% (70) 18%(214) 1176Trump Job Approve 8% (66) 13% (113) 5% (39) 4% (29) 2% (17) 16%(135) 1% (8) 1% (9) 50%(420) 836Trump Job Disapprove 16%(173) 23%(255) 5% (60) — (5) 1% (15) 32%(356) 2% (17) 6% (68) 14%(155) 1102


92




PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 12%(245) 19%(373) 5% (99) 2% (34) 2% (32) 25%(500) 1% (25) 4% (79) 30%(602) 1989Trump Job Strongly Approve 6% (26) 9% (40) 3% (12) 5% (22) 2% (12) 10% (47) 1% (6) — (2) 64%(303) 470Trump Job Somewhat Approve 11% (39) 20% (73) 7% (26) 2% (7) 1% (5) 24% (89) — (2) 2% (7) 32% (117) 366Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 12% (31) 24% (63) 6% (16) 2% (4) 2% (4) 32% (83) 2% (4) 2% (6) 20% (52) 263Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 17%(142) 23%(192) 5% (44) — (1) 1% (11) 33%(273) 1% (12) 7% (62) 12%(102) 839Favorable of Trump 8% (62) 13%(108) 4% (35) 4% (29) 2% (17) 16% (131) 1% (8) 1% (9) 51%(423) 823Unfavorable of Trump 16%(178) 23%(254) 6% (62) — (5) 1% (12) 33%(362) 1% (16) 6% (67) 13% (141) 1098Very Favorable of Trump 5% (26) 9% (46) 3% (13) 4% (20) 2% (10) 11% (55) 1% (7) 1% (4) 63%(303) 484Somewhat Favorable of Trump 11% (36) 18% (62) 7% (23) 3% (9) 2% (6) 22% (76) — (2) 1% (5) 35%(120) 339Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 11% (22) 29% (56) 7% (14) 2% (4) 1% (2) 30% (59) 2% (4) 3% (6) 15% (29) 196Very Unfavorable of Trump 17%(156) 22%(198) 5% (48) — (1) 1% (10) 34%(302) 1% (12) 7% (61) 13% (113) 902#1 Issue: Economy 13% (63) 20%(100) 5% (26) 2% (11) 2% (8) 26%(132) 1% (4) 2% (11) 30%(148) 501#1 Issue: Security 6% (22) 16% (56) 3% (10) 4% (14) 3% (9) 18% (64) 2% (7) 3% (11) 46%(165) 359#1 Issue: Health Care 17% (69) 16% (66) 5% (21) 1% (4) 2% (7) 31%(126) 1% (4) 4% (16) 22% (89) 400#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 12% (41) 26% (89) 5% (17) — (1) — (1) 21% (72) 2% (7) 3% (9) 30%(100) 337#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 11% (10) 16% (14) 11% (10) 1% (1) 3% (3) 27% (24) — (0) 8% (7) 21% (19) 88#1 Issue: Education 9% (9) 11% (11) 6% (6) 1% (1) — (0) 33% (35) 4% (4) 7% (7) 30% (32) 106#1 Issue: Energy 19% (20) 25% (27) 5% (5) 1% (2) 4% (4) 26% (28) — (0) 9% (10) 11% (12) 109#1 Issue: Other 12% (11) 11% (10) 4% (4) 1% (1) — (0) 22% (20) — (0) 8% (7) 41% (37) 902018 House Vote: Democrat 18%(140) 23%(182) 6% (48) 1% (5) 1% (9) 32%(252) 2% (12) 8% (60) 11% (84) 7912018 House Vote: Republican 7% (48) 14% (89) 5% (30) 3% (22) 2% (15) 15% (97) 2% (10) 1% (4) 52%(337) 6522018 House Vote: Someone else 4% (3) 14% (11) 4% (3) 6% (5) 2% (1) 30% (23) 1% (1) 2% (1) 36% (27) 752016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 20%(140) 24%(168) 6% (42) — (1) 1% (8) 30% (211) 1% (11) 8% (57) 11% (76) 7142016 Vote: Donald Trump 7% (48) 14%(100) 4% (28) 4% (26) 2% (14) 16% (111) 2% (13) 1% (6) 50%(347) 6942016 Vote: Other 7% (10) 21% (33) 7% (11) 3% (5) 2% (2) 33% (52) — (0) 2% (4) 25% (39) 1572016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 11% (47) 17% (72) 4% (18) 1% (2) 2% (7) 30%(125) — (2) 3% (11) 33%(139) 423Voted in 2014: Yes 13%(168) 19%(258) 6% (74) 2% (27) 2% (26) 24%(313) 1% (18) 4% (57) 29%(389) 1330Voted in 2014: No 12% (77) 17% (115) 4% (25) 1% (7) 1% (6) 28%(187) 1% (7) 3% (22) 32%(213) 659



93

Table PI6



PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 12%(245) 19%(373) 5% (99) 2% (34) 2% (32) 25%(500) 1% (25) 4% (79) 30%(602) 19892012 Vote: Barack Obama 17%(152) 23%(206) 5% (45) 1% (6) 1% (12) 30%(263) 2% (13) 6% (53) 15%(130) 8812012 Vote: Mitt Romney 7% (36) 16% (79) 6% (29) 2% (12) 3% (15) 13% (62) 1% (6) 1% (3) 51%(254) 4972012 Vote: Other 7% (5) 16% (13) 5% (4) 12% (10) 2% (2) 16% (13) 1% (1) 3% (2) 38% (31) 802012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 10% (51) 14% (76) 4% (20) 1% (6) 1% (3) 31%(162) 1% (5) 4% (19) 35%(186) 5304-Region: Northeast 13% (47) 19% (69) 5% (17) 1% (5) 2% (8) 26% (93) 1% (4) 4% (13) 28% (99) 3554-Region: Midwest 12% (54) 17% (75) 6% (28) 2% (9) 2% (10) 24% (110) 1% (2) 4% (17) 33%(150) 4574-Region: South 13% (96) 22%(164) 4% (27) 1% (10) 1% (9) 23%(172) 2% (12) 4% (27) 30%(226) 7434-Region: West 11% (48) 15% (65) 6% (27) 2% (10) 1% (5) 29%(125) 2% (7) 5% (22) 29%(127) 435If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 75%(122) 10% (16) 2% (3) 1% (1) — (0) 8% (13) — (0) — (0) 5% (8) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 3% (4) 86%(146) 1% (2) — (1) — (0) 8% (13) — (0) — (0) 2% (3) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 6% (6) 11% (10) 50% (46) — (0) 2% (2) 16% (15) — (0) 4% (4) 10% (9) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 4% (12) 6% (18) — (0) — (0) — (0) 85%(252) — (0) 1% (2) 4% (11) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 11% (11) 7% (7) 1% (1) — (0) — (0) 16% (17) — (0) 55% (57) 11% (11) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 14% (9) 13% (8) — (0) — (0) — (0) 14% (9) — (0) 1% (1) 57% (35) 60Black DPV 24% (49) 32% (66) 3% (5) — (0) — (1) 29% (58) 1% (2) 3% (7) 8% (16) 204Knows Bernie won NV 12%(158) 18%(230) 6% (70) 2% (30) 2% (23) 30%(385) 1% (13) 4% (46) 25%(317) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 17% (112) 20%(132) 6% (37) 1% (10) 1% (7) 40%(263) 1% (4) 6% (42) 8% (53) 660DPV 17%(166) 23%(218) 6% (57) 1% (12) 1% (9) 34%(328) 1% (13) 7% (67) 9% (84) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


94


Table PI7: To the best of your knowledge without additional research, which of the following candidates won the Nevada caucuses?


PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 2% (38) 2% (44) 1% (29) — (6) — (7) 64%(1272) — (9) 1% (27) 28%(556) 1989Gender: Male 3% (24) 3% (26) 2% (21) 1% (5) — (1) 70%(647) — (4) 1% (12) 20%(190) 931Gender: Female 1% (14) 2% (19) 1% (8) — (1) 1% (6) 59%(625) — (5) 1% (15) 35%(366) 1058Age: 18-29 2% (5) 4% (12) 1% (3) 1% (2) 1% (2) 44%(138) 1% (4) 1% (4) 45% (141) 313Age: 30-44 3% (13) 3% (17) 2% (10) 1% (3) — (1) 54%(262) 1% (3) 3% (13) 34%(168) 489Age: 45-54 2% (5) 1% (3) 2% (7) — (0) — (0) 66%(217) — (1) 1% (3) 28% (91) 326Age: 55-64 3% (14) 2% (8) 1% (5) — (0) 1% (4) 71%(282) — (1) 1% (2) 21% (82) 398Age: 65+ — (2) 1% (5) 1% (4) — (0) — (0) 81%(374) — (0) 1% (5) 16% (74) 463Generation Z: 18-22 — (0) 5% (5) 1% (1) — (0) 1% (1) 38% (41) 1% (1) 2% (2) 52% (56) 107Millennial: Age 23-38 3% (14) 4% (19) 2% (8) 1% (5) — (2) 50%(254) 1% (6) 2% (12) 37%(189) 510Generation X: Age 39-54 2% (9) 2% (8) 2% (11) — (1) — (0) 63%(321) — (1) 1% (5) 30%(155) 512Boomers: Age 55-73 2% (16) 1% (8) 1% (7) — (0) 1% (4) 76%(584) — (1) 1% (7) 19%(146) 773PID: Dem (no lean) 3% (26) 3% (25) 2% (19) — (2) 1% (6) 65%(526) 1% (4) 2% (15) 23%(187) 809PID: Ind (no lean) 1% (7) 1% (7) 1% (4) — (2) — (1) 61%(339) — (2) 1% (5) 34%(188) 553PID: Rep (no lean) 1% (6) 2% (12) 1% (7) — (2) — (0) 65%(408) — (3) 1% (7) 29% (181) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 5% (17) 4% (12) 4% (13) 1% (2) — (1) 67%(226) 1% (2) 2% (8) 17% (57) 338PID/Gender: DemWomen 2% (9) 3% (13) 1% (6) — (0) 1% (5) 64%(300) 1% (3) 1% (7) 27%(129) 472PID/Gender: Ind Men 1% (4) 2% (6) 1% (3) — (1) — (0) 71%(203) — (1) 1% (2) 23% (65) 284PID/Gender: Ind Women 1% (3) — (1) — (1) — (1) — (1) 50%(136) — (1) 1% (3) 46%(123) 270PID/Gender: Rep Men 1% (4) 2% (8) 2% (6) 1% (2) — (0) 71%(218) — (1) 1% (2) 22% (68) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 1% (2) 1% (4) — (1) — (0) — (0) 60%(189) — (1) 2% (5) 36% (114) 317Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 3% (16) 2% (12) 2% (12) — (2) — (3) 71%(414) — (2) 2% (10) 20% (115) 585Ideo: Moderate (4) 1% (7) 3% (16) 1% (9) — (2) — (2) 62%(365) 1% (3) 2% (13) 30%(177) 592Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 2% (12) 2% (14) 1% (8) — (2) — (0) 68%(466) — (3) — (3) 26% (181) 689Educ: < College 2% (31) 3% (37) 1% (18) — (2) — (5) 57%(713) — (5) 1% (17) 34%(424) 1251Educ: Bachelors degree 1% (7) 1% (5) 1% (6) 1% (3) — (1) 74%(346) — (2) 1% (6) 20% (95) 470Educ: Post-grad — (1) 1% (2) 2% (6) — (1) — (1) 80%(213) 1% (3) 1% (4) 14% (37) 268Income: Under 50k 3% (27) 3% (33) 1% (9) — (2) — (3) 59%(583) — (5) 1% (9) 32%(318) 990Income: 50k-100k 1% (8) 1% (4) 2% (12) — (2) — (3) 67%(430) — (2) 2% (15) 26%(170) 646Income: 100k+ 1% (3) 2% (7) 2% (8) — (2) — (1) 73%(259) 1% (2) 1% (3) 19% (68) 353



95

Table PI7



PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 2% (38) 2% (44) 1% (29) — (6) — (7) 64%(1272) — (9) 1% (27) 28%(556) 1989Ethnicity: White 2% (25) 1% (23) 1% (20) — (3) — (7) 67%(1073) — (6) 1% (22) 27%(429) 1609Ethnicity: Hispanic — (0) 4% (8) 2% (5) 1% (2) — (1) 48% (93) — (0) 2% (3) 42% (81) 193Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 5% (12) 6% (16) 2% (4) 1% (2) — (0) 50%(126) 1% (2) 2% (5) 34% (85) 252Ethnicity: Other 1% (1) 4% (5) 4% (5) 1% (1) — (0) 57% (73) — (0) — (0) 33% (42) 128All Christian 1% (14) 2% (19) 2% (14) — (2) — (2) 69%(667) — (5) 1% (14) 23%(223) 962All Non-Christian 2% (2) — (0) 2% (2) — (0) 1% (1) 73% (68) — (0) 2% (2) 21% (19) 94Atheist 4% (3) 2% (2) — (0) 1% (1) — (0) 73% (66) — (0) — (0) 20% (18) 90Agnostic/Nothing in particular 2% (19) 3% (23) 2% (13) — (2) — (4) 56%(471) — (4) 1% (11) 35%(296) 844Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 2% (2) — (0) 1% (2) — (0) 1% (1) 72% (77) — (0) 2% (2) 22% (24) 108Evangelical 3% (15) 4% (19) 1% (4) — (2) — (2) 54%(281) — (3) 2% (13) 35%(184) 523Non-Evangelical 2% (12) 2% (15) 2% (15) — (2) — (2) 69%(529) 1% (4) 1% (7) 24%(182) 768Community: Urban 3% (12) 3% (14) 2% (8) — (2) — (1) 64%(288) — (2) 2% (7) 26% (119) 454Community: Suburban 2% (15) 1% (14) 2% (15) — (4) — (4) 68%(681) — (4) 1% (11) 25%(248) 996Community: Rural 2% (11) 3% (16) 1% (6) — (0) — (2) 56%(303) 1% (3) 2% (9) 35%(189) 539Employ: Private Sector 2% (14) 2% (13) 2% (15) — (3) 1% (5) 64%(430) — (3) 2% (11) 26%(176) 669Employ: Government 1% (2) 3% (3) 3% (4) 1% (1) — (0) 61% (74) — (0) 2% (2) 30% (36) 122Employ: Self-Employed 3% (6) 3% (5) 1% (2) — (0) — (0) 59%(105) 1% (2) 2% (3) 31% (54) 178Employ: Homemaker 2% (2) 3% (4) — (0) — (0) 1% (1) 58% (65) 1% (2) 1% (1) 34% (39) 112Employ: Retired 2% (10) 1% (7) 1% (7) — (0) — (1) 79%(407) — (1) — (2) 16% (83) 517Employ: Unemployed 1% (2) 6% (10) — (0) 1% (2) — (0) 50% (88) — (0) 2% (4) 40% (71) 177Employ: Other 3% (3) 1% (1) — (0) — (0) — (0) 47% (65) 1% (1) 3% (4) 45% (62) 136Military HH: Yes 1% (4) 3% (10) 2% (6) — (2) — (2) 65%(225) 1% (2) — (1) 27% (95) 346Military HH: No 2% (34) 2% (35) 1% (23) — (4) — (5) 64%(1047) — (7) 2% (26) 28%(461) 1643RD/WT: Right Direction 2% (15) 3% (25) 1% (10) 1% (5) — (2) 63% (511) — (3) 1% (8) 29%(235) 813RD/WT: Wrong Track 2% (24) 2% (20) 2% (20) — (1) — (5) 65%(761) 1% (6) 2% (19) 27%(322) 1176Trump Job Approve 1% (12) 2% (18) 1% (8) — (3) — (2) 64%(531) — (1) 1% (10) 30%(251) 836Trump Job Disapprove 2% (25) 2% (24) 2% (22) — (2) — (5) 66%(725) 1% (7) 1% (16) 25%(276) 1102


96




PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 2% (38) 2% (44) 1% (29) — (6) — (7) 64%(1272) — (9) 1% (27) 28%(556) 1989Trump Job Strongly Approve 1% (6) 2% (8) 1% (4) 1% (2) — (0) 66%(310) — (1) 1% (6) 28%(133) 470Trump Job Somewhat Approve 2% (6) 3% (10) 1% (4) — (1) — (2) 60%(221) — (1) 1% (3) 32% (118) 366Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 4% (9) 1% (4) 2% (6) — (0) — (1) 52%(138) 1% (4) 1% (4) 37% (98) 263Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 2% (16) 2% (20) 2% (16) — (2) 1% (4) 70%(586) — (3) 1% (13) 21%(178) 839Favorable of Trump 1% (10) 2% (17) 1% (6) — (3) — (2) 63%(517) — (2) 1% (9) 31%(256) 823Unfavorable of Trump 2% (26) 2% (24) 2% (23) — (2) — (5) 67%(739) — (4) 2% (17) 23%(257) 1098Very Favorable of Trump 2% (7) 2% (8) 1% (4) — (2) — (0) 64%(309) — (2) 2% (9) 30%(144) 484Somewhat Favorable of Trump 1% (3) 3% (9) 1% (3) 1% (2) — (2) 62%(209) — (0) — (0) 33% (112) 339Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 3% (7) — (1) 3% (7) — (0) — (1) 56% (111) — (0) 3% (6) 33% (65) 196Very Unfavorable of Trump 2% (19) 3% (23) 2% (17) — (2) — (4) 70%(628) — (4) 1% (12) 21%(192) 902#1 Issue: Economy 3% (13) 3% (13) 1% (7) — (1) — (2) 61%(304) — (1) 1% (5) 31%(154) 501#1 Issue: Security 1% (4) 2% (5) 1% (5) 1% (3) — (0) 64%(228) — (1) 2% (9) 29%(104) 359#1 Issue: Health Care 3% (12) 3% (12) 1% (6) — (0) — (1) 68%(273) — (1) 1% (3) 23% (92) 400#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 2% (6) 2% (8) 2% (6) — (0) — (0) 71%(238) — (1) 1% (3) 23% (76) 337#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 1% (1) 1% (1) — (0) — (0) 1% (1) 55% (48) 1% (1) 2% (2) 40% (35) 88#1 Issue: Education — (0) — (0) 1% (1) — (0) 1% (1) 50% (53) 1% (1) 3% (3) 44% (47) 106#1 Issue: Energy 1% (2) 4% (4) 5% (5) 1% (2) 1% (2) 66% (72) 2% (3) 1% (1) 18% (20) 109#1 Issue: Other 2% (2) 2% (2) — (0) — (0) — (0) 63% (56) — (0) 2% (2) 32% (29) 902018 House Vote: Democrat 3% (22) 2% (18) 2% (16) — (3) 1% (4) 72%(566) — (4) 2% (13) 18%(145) 7912018 House Vote: Republican 1% (7) 2% (13) 1% (4) — (2) — (1) 67%(440) — (3) 1% (8) 27%(174) 6522018 House Vote: Someone else 5% (4) 1% (1) 1% (1) — (0) — (0) 56% (42) — (0) 2% (1) 35% (26) 752016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 3% (21) 3% (19) 2% (16) — (3) 1% (4) 70%(503) — (2) 2% (14) 19%(134) 7142016 Vote: Donald Trump 2% (11) 2% (14) 1% (4) — (2) — (1) 69%(478) 1% (4) 1% (8) 25%(174) 6942016 Vote: Other — (1) 2% (2) 2% (3) 1% (2) — (0) 63% (99) 1% (2) 1% (2) 30% (47) 1572016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 2% (6) 2% (9) 1% (6) — (0) 1% (2) 46%(193) — (2) 1% (3) 48%(202) 423Voted in 2014: Yes 2% (28) 2% (26) 1% (20) — (6) — (6) 71%(939) — (7) 2% (20) 21%(278) 1330Voted in 2014: No 2% (11) 3% (18) 1% (10) — (0) — (1) 51%(333) — (2) 1% (7) 42%(278) 659



97

Table PI7



PeteButtigieg

TulsiGabbard

AmyKlobuchar

BernieSanders

TomSteyer

ElizabethWarren

Don’tKnow /No

Opinion Total N

Registered Voters 2% (38) 2% (44) 1% (29) — (6) — (7) 64%(1272) — (9) 1% (27) 28%(556) 19892012 Vote: Barack Obama 3% (23) 2% (21) 2% (15) — (2) 1% (6) 70%(613) — (4) 2% (17) 20%(179) 8812012 Vote: Mitt Romney 1% (5) 2% (8) 1% (3) — (2) — (0) 73%(361) — (1) 1% (5) 22% (112) 4972012 Vote: Other 2% (2) 2% (2) 3% (2) 1% (1) — (0) 57% (46) 1% (1) — (0) 34% (27) 802012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 2% (9) 3% (13) 2% (8) — (0) — (1) 48%(252) 1% (4) 1% (6) 45%(237) 5304-Region: Northeast 2% (6) 2% (8) 1% (3) — (0) — (2) 66%(235) — (1) 1% (5) 27% (94) 3554-Region: Midwest 2% (9) 2% (9) 1% (5) 1% (2) 1% (3) 63%(286) 1% (4) 1% (5) 29%(133) 4574-Region: South 2% (18) 3% (19) 2% (14) — (1) — (2) 62%(460) — (3) 2% (13) 29%(212) 7434-Region: West 1% (5) 2% (8) 1% (6) 1% (2) — (0) 67%(291) — (1) 1% (4) 27% (117) 435If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 12% (20) 2% (3) 3% (5) — (0) 1% (1) 64%(104) — (0) 1% (2) 17% (28) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 2% (3) 9% (16) 2% (3) 1% (2) — (0) 62%(105) — (1) — (1) 23% (40) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg — (0) — (0) 8% (8) — (0) — (0) 80% (73) — (0) — (0) 12% (11) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders — (1) 1% (3) 1% (2) — (1) — (1) 76%(225) — (1) 1% (3) 20% (59) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren — (0) 2% (2) 4% (5) — (0) 2% (2) 68% (71) 1% (1) 9% (10) 14% (14) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 46% (28) — (0) — (0) 54% (32) 60Black DPV 5% (11) 8% (16) 2% (4) 1% (2) — (0) 52%(105) 1% (2) 2% (5) 29% (59) 204Knows Bernie won NV — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(1272) — (0) — (0) — (0) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) — (0) 100%(660) — (0) — (0) — (0) 660DPV 2% (24) 2% (24) 2% (22) — (2) — (4) 69%(660) — (4) 2% (16) 21%(198) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


98


Table PI8: Generally speaking, how surprised, if at all, were you by the results of the Nevada caucuses?

Demographic Very surprisedSomewhatsurprised

Somewhatunsurprised

Veryunsurprised


Registered Voters 8% (159) 21% (425) 19% (379) 19% (379) 32% (646) 1989Gender: Male 8% (75) 22% (201) 23% (214) 23% (216) 24% (225) 931Gender: Female 8% (84) 21% (224) 16% (165) 15% (163) 40% (422) 1058Age: 18-29 6% (19) 19% (59) 15% (45) 13% (41) 47% (148) 313Age: 30-44 9% (42) 19% (93) 17% (83) 16% (79) 39% (193) 489Age: 45-54 5% (15) 23% (74) 21% (70) 19% (62) 32% (106) 326Age: 55-64 10% (39) 24% (95) 18% (71) 22% (89) 26% (105) 398Age: 65+ 9% (44) 23% (105) 24% (110) 24% (109) 21% (95) 463Generation Z: 18-22 3% (3) 15% (16) 15% (16) 11% (11) 57% (61) 107Millennial: Age 23-38 9% (45) 20% (103) 16% (80) 15% (76) 40% (206) 510Generation X: Age 39-54 6% (29) 21% (107) 20% (103) 18% (94) 35% (180) 512Boomers: Age 55-73 10% (74) 23% (178) 21% (161) 23% (174) 24% (186) 773PID: Dem (no lean) 9% (71) 25% (205) 21% (172) 17% (138) 28% (224) 809PID: Ind (no lean) 5% (29) 20% (108) 18% (99) 17% (97) 40% (222) 553PID: Rep (no lean) 9% (59) 18% (112) 17% (109) 23% (145) 32% (201) 626PID/Gender: DemMen 9% (32) 25% (85) 23% (78) 22% (74) 20% (68) 338PID/Gender: DemWomen 8% (39) 25% (119) 20% (94) 13% (64) 33% (155) 472PID/Gender: Ind Men 5% (16) 20% (56) 24% (67) 21% (59) 30% (86) 284PID/Gender: Ind Women 5% (13) 19% (52) 12% (32) 14% (38) 50% (135) 270PID/Gender: Rep Men 9% (27) 19% (60) 22% (70) 27% (83) 23% (70) 309PID/Gender: Rep Women 10% (32) 17% (52) 12% (39) 20% (62) 41% (131) 317Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 7% (42) 25% (145) 23% (134) 21% (121) 24% (142) 585Ideo: Moderate (4) 8% (46) 25% (149) 17% (98) 16% (94) 35% (205) 592Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 9% (59) 17% (119) 20% (140) 24% (164) 30% (208) 689Educ: < College 8% (99) 18% (231) 17% (208) 18% (229) 39% (483) 1251Educ: Bachelors degree 8% (36) 25% (119) 23% (109) 20% (93) 24% (114) 470Educ: Post-grad 9% (24) 28% (75) 23% (62) 22% (58) 18% (49) 268Income: Under 50k 7% (71) 21% (212) 17% (169) 17% (171) 37% (367) 990Income: 50k-100k 9% (57) 19% (124) 19% (122) 22% (140) 32% (204) 646Income: 100k+ 9% (31) 25% (89) 25% (89) 20% (69) 21% (75) 353Ethnicity: White 8% (124) 22% (356) 20% (316) 19% (311) 31% (502) 1609Ethnicity: Hispanic 11% (21) 21% (41) 15% (29) 11% (21) 42% (80) 193



99

Table PI8



Somewhatunsurprised

Veryunsurprised


Registered Voters 8% (159) 21% (425) 19% (379) 19% (379) 32% (646) 1989Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 11% (28) 18% (44) 13% (33) 19% (47) 40% (100) 252Ethnicity: Other 5% (6) 19% (25) 23% (30) 17% (22) 35% (45) 128All Christian 10% (96) 23% (221) 18% (170) 22% (210) 27% (265) 962All Non-Christian 6% (6) 32% (30) 25% (23) 18% (17) 18% (17) 94Atheist 2% (2) 20% (18) 29% (27) 24% (22) 24% (21) 90Agnostic/Nothing in particular 6% (54) 19% (156) 19% (159) 15% (131) 41% (343) 844Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 6% (7) 30% (32) 27% (29) 17% (19) 20% (22) 108Evangelical 10% (50) 19% (98) 15% (77) 19% (100) 38% (198) 523Non-Evangelical 10% (74) 23% (174) 18% (136) 21% (160) 29% (224) 768Community: Urban 9% (41) 23% (106) 22% (98) 16% (75) 30% (135) 454Community: Suburban 8% (77) 22% (223) 20% (197) 21% (208) 29% (291) 996Community: Rural 8% (41) 18% (96) 16% (84) 18% (97) 41% (220) 539Employ: Private Sector 9% (57) 21% (141) 21% (141) 20% (134) 29% (196) 669Employ: Government 9% (11) 24% (29) 12% (15) 22% (27) 34% (41) 122Employ: Self-Employed 7% (12) 21% (38) 19% (35) 22% (39) 31% (55) 178Employ: Homemaker 7% (8) 25% (28) 12% (14) 11% (13) 45% (50) 112Employ: Retired 8% (44) 22% (115) 23% (120) 23% (120) 23% (119) 517Employ: Unemployed 8% (15) 21% (37) 13% (23) 14% (24) 44% (77) 177Employ: Other 6% (8) 20% (28) 12% (16) 10% (13) 52% (72) 136Military HH: Yes 7% (26) 23% (79) 18% (62) 21% (73) 31% (107) 346Military HH: No 8% (133) 21% (346) 19% (317) 19% (307) 33% (539) 1643RD/WT: Right Direction 9% (77) 19% (151) 18% (143) 22% (183) 32% (258) 813RD/WT: Wrong Track 7% (82) 23% (274) 20% (236) 17% (197) 33% (388) 1176Trump Job Approve 9% (73) 18% (154) 17% (140) 23% (188) 34% (281) 836Trump Job Disapprove 8% (83) 24% (268) 21% (234) 17% (190) 30% (327) 1102Trump Job Strongly Approve 10% (46) 16% (73) 16% (76) 27% (129) 31% (147) 470Trump Job Somewhat Approve 7% (27) 22% (81) 17% (64) 16% (59) 37% (134) 366Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 8% (20) 23% (61) 14% (36) 14% (38) 41% (108) 263Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 8% (63) 25% (206) 24% (198) 18% (152) 26% (219) 839Favorable of Trump 9% (75) 18% (146) 16% (131) 23% (191) 34% (280) 823Unfavorable of Trump 7% (81) 25% (273) 22% (244) 17% (185) 29% (314) 1098


100




Somewhatunsurprised

Veryunsurprised


Registered Voters 8% (159) 21% (425) 19% (379) 19% (379) 32% (646) 1989Very Favorable of Trump 10% (51) 15% (72) 16% (77) 26% (128) 32% (156) 484Somewhat Favorable of Trump 7% (24) 22% (73) 16% (54) 19% (63) 37% (125) 339Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 6% (12) 26% (51) 17% (34) 14% (27) 37% (72) 196Very Unfavorable of Trump 8% (69) 25% (222) 23% (210) 18% (158) 27% (242) 902#1 Issue: Economy 6% (32) 24% (121) 18% (89) 18% (90) 34% (168) 501#1 Issue: Security 11% (39) 17% (61) 18% (63) 23% (84) 31% (112) 359#1 Issue: Health Care 6% (23) 22% (87) 25% (100) 20% (80) 28% (110) 400#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 11% (38) 24% (81) 17% (56) 19% (64) 29% (98) 337#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 5% (5) 17% (15) 17% (15) 13% (11) 48% (42) 88#1 Issue: Education 4% (4) 20% (21) 11% (12) 15% (16) 51% (54) 106#1 Issue: Energy 15% (16) 25% (27) 19% (21) 17% (19) 24% (26) 109#1 Issue: Other 2% (2) 13% (12) 26% (24) 18% (16) 41% (37) 902018 House Vote: Democrat 8% (63) 28% (218) 23% (185) 17% (134) 24% (191) 7912018 House Vote: Republican 10% (64) 19% (122) 18% (120) 24% (155) 29% (191) 6522018 House Vote: Someone else 5% (4) 15% (11) 12% (9) 19% (14) 49% (37) 752016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 8% (60) 27% (194) 23% (168) 16% (117) 24% (175) 7142016 Vote: Donald Trump 9% (65) 20% (139) 18% (122) 25% (173) 28% (196) 6942016 Vote: Other 6% (10) 20% (31) 18% (28) 18% (28) 39% (61) 1572016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 5% (23) 15% (62) 15% (62) 14% (61) 51% (215) 423Voted in 2014: Yes 9% (121) 24% (315) 21% (275) 21% (284) 25% (336) 1330Voted in 2014: No 6% (38) 17% (110) 16% (104) 15% (96) 47% (311) 6592012 Vote: Barack Obama 9% (79) 25% (222) 21% (188) 18% (156) 27% (236) 8812012 Vote: Mitt Romney 10% (51) 20% (101) 20% (98) 24% (119) 26% (128) 4972012 Vote: Other 5% (4) 17% (13) 13% (10) 29% (23) 37% (30) 802012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 5% (24) 17% (88) 16% (83) 16% (82) 47% (251) 5304-Region: Northeast 7% (25) 25% (88) 20% (69) 17% (59) 32% (114) 3554-Region: Midwest 7% (30) 18% (81) 20% (90) 22% (100) 34% (155) 4574-Region: South 9% (69) 22% (163) 17% (126) 18% (136) 33% (249) 7434-Region: West 8% (35) 21% (93) 22% (94) 19% (84) 30% (129) 435



101

Table PI8



Somewhatunsurprised

Veryunsurprised


Registered Voters 8% (159) 21% (425) 19% (379) 19% (379) 32% (646) 1989If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 7% (12) 31% (51) 19% (31) 18% (30) 24% (39) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 16% (27) 29% (50) 21% (36) 7% (11) 27% (46) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 8% (7) 29% (27) 25% (23) 20% (18) 18% (16) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 5% (15) 18% (53) 22% (66) 31% (91) 24% (70) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 11% (12) 35% (37) 24% (26) 10% (11) 19% (20) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 7% (4) 16% (9) 17% (10) 7% (4) 53% (32) 60Black DPV 13% (26) 17% (35) 14% (29) 18% (38) 37% (76) 204Knows Bernie won NV 9% (119) 27% (349) 26% (334) 27% (350) 9% (120) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 8% (51) 31% (205) 27% (178) 27% (180) 7% (46) 660DPV 8% (79) 25% (241) 22% (206) 20% (187) 25% (242) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


102


Table PI9_1: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely to vote for each of the following candidates in your state”sprimary or caucus?Joe Biden

DemographicMuch more

likelySomewhatmore likely

Somewhat lesslikely Much less likely


Registered Voters 18% (176) 24% (226) 21% (204) 19% (182) 17% (166) 954Gender: Male 22% (95) 22% (96) 24% (104) 22% (95) 11% (46) 436Gender: Female 16% (81) 25% (130) 19% (101) 17% (87) 23% (120) 518Age: 18-29 11% (18) 19% (33) 24% (42) 23% (40) 24% (41) 174Age: 30-44 14% (34) 24% (60) 21% (53) 18% (44) 23% (59) 250Age: 45-54 21% (35) 26% (42) 19% (31) 19% (31) 14% (23) 162Age: 55-64 18% (30) 25% (41) 20% (33) 22% (36) 15% (25) 163Age: 65+ 28% (58) 25% (51) 22% (46) 15% (31) 9% (18) 205Generation Z: 18-22 7% (4) 22% (13) 19% (12) 18% (11) 34% (21) 62Millennial: Age 23-38 13% (35) 21% (56) 24% (65) 22% (60) 20% (54) 270Generation X: Age 39-54 19% (48) 25% (65) 19% (49) 17% (44) 19% (48) 254Boomers: Age 55-73 22% (72) 26% (87) 20% (66) 19% (62) 13% (43) 331PID: Dem (no lean) 19% (145) 26% (194) 22% (163) 16% (115) 17% (127) 744PID: Ind (no lean) 15% (30) 16% (31) 20% (38) 32% (62) 18% (34) 196PID/Gender: DemMen 26% (80) 24% (75) 25% (78) 16% (50) 10% (32) 315PID/Gender: DemWomen 15% (64) 28% (119) 20% (85) 15% (66) 22% (95) 429PID/Gender: Ind Men 13% (15) 18% (20) 20% (23) 37% (41) 11% (12) 110PID/Gender: Ind Women 18% (16) 13% (11) 18% (16) 25% (21) 26% (23) 86Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 16% (82) 23% (118) 24% (120) 20% (100) 17% (87) 506Ideo: Moderate (4) 23% (71) 25% (78) 19% (60) 19% (60) 14% (44) 313Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 20% (18) 25% (23) 23% (20) 19% (17) 12% (11) 89Educ: < College 20% (111) 24% (134) 19% (109) 18% (101) 19% (110) 565Educ: Bachelors degree 17% (40) 22% (52) 22% (52) 23% (55) 16% (37) 237Educ: Post-grad 16% (24) 26% (40) 29% (43) 17% (25) 13% (19) 152Income: Under 50k 22% (105) 24% (113) 17% (83) 19% (91) 18% (86) 477Income: 50k-100k 15% (46) 26% (80) 26% (79) 18% (54) 15% (46) 305Income: 100k+ 15% (26) 20% (34) 25% (42) 21% (37) 19% (34) 172Ethnicity: White 16% (111) 23% (154) 23% (157) 21% (140) 18% (121) 682Ethnicity: Hispanic 15% (17) 25% (27) 22% (24) 19% (21) 19% (21) 109Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 29% (60) 28% (57) 14% (29) 13% (26) 16% (32) 204



103

Table PI9_1






Registered Voters 18% (176) 24% (226) 21% (204) 19% (182) 17% (166) 954Ethnicity: Other 8% (5) 23% (16) 27% (19) 24% (16) 18% (12) 69All Christian 23% (89) 26% (100) 18% (69) 18% (71) 16% (61) 390All Non-Christian 21% (14) 28% (18) 26% (17) 17% (11) 8% (5) 65Atheist 9% (6) 26% (16) 25% (16) 25% (15) 15% (9) 62Agnostic/Nothing in particular 15% (67) 21% (93) 24% (103) 19% (85) 21% (90) 438Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 20% (14) 28% (20) 26% (18) 19% (13) 8% (5) 70Evangelical 28% (49) 25% (42) 15% (26) 12% (20) 20% (34) 172Non-Evangelical 19% (69) 28% (100) 20% (72) 18% (65) 16% (58) 364Community: Urban 18% (49) 26% (70) 25% (67) 13% (35) 17% (46) 267Community: Suburban 19% (91) 22% (108) 22% (107) 20% (99) 17% (82) 487Community: Rural 18% (35) 24% (49) 15% (31) 24% (48) 19% (38) 201Employ: Private Sector 18% (57) 22% (69) 24% (76) 20% (62) 16% (50) 315Employ: Government 15% (9) 26% (17) 29% (18) 22% (14) 8% (5) 63Employ: Self-Employed 21% (19) 26% (23) 11% (10) 20% (18) 22% (19) 88Employ: Retired 26% (61) 24% (58) 21% (49) 18% (43) 11% (26) 238Employ: Unemployed 9% (8) 30% (27) 18% (17) 20% (18) 23% (21) 91Employ: Other 13% (9) 21% (14) 29% (19) 13% (9) 25% (17) 67Military HH: Yes 21% (31) 23% (35) 19% (28) 24% (36) 14% (21) 150Military HH: No 18% (145) 24% (192) 22% (176) 18% (146) 18% (146) 804RD/WT: Right Direction 15% (20) 23% (30) 22% (29) 28% (37) 13% (17) 134RD/WT: Wrong Track 19% (155) 24% (196) 21% (175) 18% (145) 18% (149) 820Trump Job Approve 14% (14) 14% (15) 16% (16) 39% (39) 17% (17) 101Trump Job Disapprove 18% (156) 25% (210) 22% (187) 17% (143) 18% (148) 843Trump Job Somewhat Approve 8% (5) 16% (11) 17% (12) 41% (29) 19% (13) 71Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 12% (16) 30% (41) 23% (32) 18% (25) 17% (24) 137Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 20% (140) 24% (169) 22% (156) 17% (118) 18% (124) 706


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Registered Voters 18% (176) 24% (226) 21% (204) 19% (182) 17% (166) 954Favorable of Trump 13% (12) 12% (10) 17% (15) 38% (33) 19% (16) 86Unfavorable of Trump 19% (160) 25% (211) 22% (187) 17% (147) 17% (142) 847Somewhat Favorable of Trump 7% (4) 11% (6) 20% (11) 42% (24) 20% (11) 56Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 9% (9) 27% (27) 24% (24) 24% (24) 16% (16) 100Very Unfavorable of Trump 20% (151) 25% (184) 22% (164) 16% (123) 17% (126) 747#1 Issue: Economy 20% (46) 25% (58) 17% (39) 19% (44) 19% (43) 229#1 Issue: Security 18% (14) 28% (22) 16% (13) 21% (16) 16% (13) 79#1 Issue: Health Care 18% (43) 20% (48) 26% (63) 21% (49) 15% (37) 241#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 25% (40) 27% (44) 20% (33) 16% (26) 12% (20) 162#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 5% (3) 23% (13) 25% (15) 17% (10) 30% (17) 58#1 Issue: Education 13% (8) 21% (13) 22% (14) 21% (13) 22% (14) 61#1 Issue: Energy 17% (14) 25% (20) 26% (21) 16% (13) 16% (13) 822018 House Vote: Democrat 20% (140) 26% (181) 22% (153) 18% (124) 15% (105) 7032016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 21% (137) 27% (173) 21% (136) 15% (96) 15% (95) 6372016 Vote: Donald Trump 17% (13) 12% (9) 20% (15) 32% (24) 19% (14) 742016 Vote: Other 11% (8) 19% (14) 15% (11) 39% (29) 16% (12) 742016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 10% (17) 18% (31) 25% (42) 20% (33) 27% (46) 168Voted in 2014: Yes 20% (137) 26% (171) 22% (147) 18% (120) 14% (96) 672Voted in 2014: No 14% (38) 19% (55) 20% (58) 22% (62) 25% (70) 2822012 Vote: Barack Obama 21% (140) 27% (178) 22% (144) 15% (102) 16% (106) 6702012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 13% (27) 19% (41) 21% (45) 25% (54) 23% (49) 2164-Region: Northeast 16% (30) 24% (44) 23% (42) 17% (31) 20% (36) 1834-Region: Midwest 17% (35) 25% (51) 19% (40) 20% (43) 19% (39) 2084-Region: South 21% (72) 24% (85) 19% (67) 17% (57) 19% (66) 3464-Region: West 18% (39) 21% (46) 25% (55) 24% (51) 12% (26) 217



105

Table PI9_1






Registered Voters 18% (176) 24% (226) 21% (204) 19% (182) 17% (166) 954If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 69% (112) 20% (33) 4% (6) — (0) 7% (12) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 11% (18) 37% (63) 24% (42) 15% (26) 13% (22) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 6% (6) 20% (19) 28% (26) 24% (22) 22% (20) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 10% (29) 20% (58) 25% (74) 28% (81) 18% (53) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 6% (6) 27% (28) 29% (30) 22% (23) 16% (17) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 3% (2) 17% (10) 16% (10) 10% (6) 54% (32) 60Black DPV 29% (60) 28% (57) 14% (29) 13% (26) 16% (32) 204Knows Bernie won NV 19% (122) 23% (149) 24% (157) 22% (148) 13% (84) 660DPV Knows Bernie won NV 19% (122) 23% (149) 24% (157) 22% (148) 13% (84) 660DPV 18% (176) 24% (226) 21% (204) 19% (182) 17% (166) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


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Table PI9_2: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely to vote for each of the following candidates in your state”sprimary or caucus?Michael Bloomberg








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Table PI9_2








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Table PI9_2








110


Table PI9_3: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely to vote for each of the following candidates in your state”sprimary or caucus?Pete Buttigieg








111

Table PI9_3








112










113

Table PI9_3








114


Table PI9_4: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely to vote for each of the following candidates in your state”sprimary or caucus?Tulsi Gabbard





Registered Voters 2% (23) 5% (48) 15% (146) 42% (402) 35% (336) 954Gender: Male 4% (19) 7% (30) 19% (82) 46% (198) 25% (107) 436Gender: Female 1% (4) 3% (18) 12% (64) 39% (204) 44% (228) 518Age: 18-29 1% (2) 7% (12) 14% (25) 30% (51) 48% (84) 174Age: 30-44 4% (10) 8% (20) 18% (44) 32% (81) 38% (95) 250Age: 45-54 2% (3) 4% (7) 15% (25) 45% (74) 33% (53) 162Age: 55-64 2% (4) 4% (6) 13% (22) 48% (79) 33% (53) 163Age: 65+ 2% (4) 2% (4) 15% (31) 57% (117) 24% (50) 205Generation Z: 18-22 1% (1) 4% (2) 19% (12) 24% (15) 52% (32) 62Millennial: Age 23-38 2% (6) 8% (23) 17% (46) 33% (89) 39% (105) 270Generation X: Age 39-54 3% (8) 5% (14) 14% (35) 40% (102) 37% (95) 254Boomers: Age 55-73 2% (6) 3% (9) 14% (45) 53% (177) 29% (94) 331PID: Dem (no lean) 1% (9) 4% (32) 15% (114) 43% (321) 36% (268) 744PID: Ind (no lean) 6% (12) 8% (15) 16% (31) 39% (77) 32% (62) 196PID/Gender: DemMen 2% (5) 6% (19) 20% (63) 48% (151) 24% (76) 315PID/Gender: DemWomen 1% (4) 3% (13) 12% (51) 39% (169) 45% (192) 429PID/Gender: Ind Men 11% (12) 8% (9) 16% (18) 39% (43) 26% (28) 110PID/Gender: Ind Women — (0) 6% (6) 15% (13) 39% (34) 39% (34) 86Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 1% (6) 5% (24) 16% (81) 45% (230) 33% (165) 506Ideo: Moderate (4) 3% (10) 6% (19) 16% (50) 40% (125) 34% (108) 313Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 7% (6) 5% (4) 16% (14) 40% (36) 33% (29) 89Educ: < College 2% (14) 5% (26) 17% (97) 39% (218) 37% (211) 565Educ: Bachelors degree 3% (6) 6% (15) 13% (31) 43% (102) 35% (83) 237Educ: Post-grad 2% (2) 5% (8) 12% (18) 54% (82) 27% (42) 152Income: Under 50k 2% (7) 4% (18) 17% (79) 41% (197) 37% (176) 477Income: 50k-100k 4% (14) 8% (24) 16% (49) 41% (126) 30% (92) 305Income: 100k+ 1% (2) 4% (6) 10% (18) 46% (79) 39% (68) 172Ethnicity: White 2% (17) 5% (33) 15% (105) 43% (290) 35% (236) 682Ethnicity: Hispanic 3% (3) 9% (10) 22% (24) 35% (38) 31% (34) 109Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 2% (5) 4% (9) 15% (30) 43% (87) 36% (74) 204



115

Table PI9_4






Registered Voters 2% (23) 5% (48) 15% (146) 42% (402) 35% (336) 954Ethnicity: Other 1% (1) 9% (7) 15% (10) 36% (25) 38% (26) 69All Christian 3% (12) 4% (16) 16% (62) 46% (179) 31% (121) 390All Non-Christian — (0) 4% (3) 15% (9) 54% (35) 27% (17) 65Atheist 2% (1) 6% (4) 17% (11) 44% (27) 30% (19) 62Agnostic/Nothing in particular 2% (9) 6% (26) 15% (64) 37% (161) 41% (178) 438Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic — (0) 4% (3) 16% (11) 53% (37) 27% (19) 70Evangelical 6% (10) 4% (8) 18% (30) 35% (60) 37% (64) 172Non-Evangelical 1% (5) 4% (16) 16% (57) 44% (161) 34% (126) 364Community: Urban 3% (8) 5% (15) 16% (42) 43% (114) 33% (88) 267Community: Suburban 2% (7) 5% (25) 16% (78) 42% (203) 36% (173) 487Community: Rural 3% (7) 4% (8) 13% (26) 42% (85) 37% (74) 201Employ: Private Sector 2% (7) 6% (19) 15% (46) 41% (130) 36% (112) 315Employ: Government 2% (1) 5% (3) 17% (11) 38% (24) 38% (24) 63Employ: Self-Employed 3% (2) 2% (2) 12% (10) 45% (40) 38% (33) 88Employ: Retired 3% (6) 3% (8) 18% (43) 54% (127) 23% (54) 238Employ: Unemployed 3% (3) 9% (8) 17% (16) 32% (29) 39% (35) 91Employ: Other 1% (1) 4% (2) 10% (7) 35% (23) 51% (34) 67Military HH: Yes 2% (4) 5% (7) 12% (18) 50% (74) 32% (47) 150Military HH: No 2% (19) 5% (41) 16% (128) 41% (328) 36% (288) 804RD/WT: Right Direction 8% (10) 8% (11) 13% (18) 34% (46) 36% (48) 134RD/WT: Wrong Track 1% (12) 5% (37) 16% (128) 43% (356) 35% (287) 820Trump Job Approve 15% (16) 10% (11) 9% (9) 30% (30) 36% (36) 101Trump Job Disapprove 1% (5) 4% (38) 16% (137) 44% (367) 35% (295) 843Trump Job Somewhat Approve 9% (6) 12% (8) 10% (7) 30% (21) 40% (28) 71Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 1% (2) 5% (7) 23% (31) 34% (47) 37% (50) 137Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 1% (4) 4% (31) 15% (106) 45% (320) 35% (245) 706


116







Registered Voters 2% (23) 5% (48) 15% (146) 42% (402) 35% (336) 954Favorable of Trump 17% (15) 10% (8) 8% (7) 28% (24) 38% (32) 86Unfavorable of Trump 1% (6) 5% (40) 16% (138) 44% (370) 35% (293) 847Somewhat Favorable of Trump 9% (5) 14% (8) 6% (3) 36% (20) 35% (20) 56Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 1% (1) 8% (8) 26% (27) 29% (29) 35% (35) 100Very Unfavorable of Trump 1% (6) 4% (32) 15% (111) 46% (340) 35% (258) 747#1 Issue: Economy 2% (6) 6% (14) 18% (42) 33% (75) 40% (93) 229#1 Issue: Security 9% (7) 9% (7) 19% (15) 25% (20) 38% (30) 79#1 Issue: Health Care 1% (3) 5% (12) 15% (37) 48% (117) 30% (72) 241#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 1% (2) 2% (3) 13% (22) 53% (86) 31% (50) 162#1 Issue: Women’s Issues — (0) 5% (3) 10% (6) 38% (22) 47% (27) 58#1 Issue: Education 2% (1) 7% (4) 9% (5) 37% (23) 45% (28) 61#1 Issue: Energy 3% (2) 7% (6) 18% (15) 47% (39) 25% (21) 822018 House Vote: Democrat 2% (12) 4% (31) 17% (119) 45% (314) 32% (226) 7032016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 1% (7) 3% (20) 17% (107) 47% (299) 32% (203) 6372016 Vote: Donald Trump 15% (11) 8% (6) 11% (8) 38% (28) 28% (21) 742016 Vote: Other 5% (4) 11% (8) 13% (10) 37% (28) 33% (25) 742016 Vote: Didn’t Vote — (0) 9% (14) 12% (20) 28% (46) 52% (87) 168Voted in 2014: Yes 3% (18) 4% (30) 15% (104) 45% (303) 32% (217) 672Voted in 2014: No 2% (4) 7% (18) 15% (42) 35% (99) 42% (118) 2822012 Vote: Barack Obama 2% (14) 5% (32) 16% (104) 44% (294) 34% (226) 6702012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 1% (3) 6% (13) 17% (36) 35% (77) 41% (88) 2164-Region: Northeast 2% (3) 5% (10) 14% (26) 45% (82) 34% (63) 1834-Region: Midwest 3% (5) 4% (8) 17% (36) 40% (83) 36% (75) 2084-Region: South 3% (12) 6% (20) 14% (48) 39% (137) 37% (129) 3464-Region: West 1% (3) 5% (10) 16% (36) 46% (100) 32% (68) 217



117

Table PI9_4






Registered Voters 2% (23) 5% (48) 15% (146) 42% (402) 35% (336) 954If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 3% (5) 3% (5) 10% (16) 47% (77) 36% (59) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 2% (3) 3% (5) 20% (33) 43% (73) 33% (56) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 1% (1) 6% (6) 15% (14) 47% (43) 31% (29) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 2% (4) 6% (19) 18% (55) 40% (117) 34% (100) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 1% (1) 4% (4) 15% (16) 50% (52) 30% (32) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion — (0) 3% (2) 10% (6) 23% (14) 64% (39) 60Black DPV 2% (5) 4% (9) 15% (30) 43% (87) 36% (74) 204Knows Bernie won NV 3% (17) 5% (31) 15% (101) 48% (317) 29% (194) 660DPV Knows Bernie won NV 3% (17) 5% (31) 15% (101) 48% (317) 29% (194) 660DPV 2% (23) 5% (48) 15% (146) 42% (402) 35% (336) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


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Table PI9_5: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely to vote for each of the following candidates in your state”sprimary or caucus?Amy Klobuchar





Registered Voters 4% (43) 15% (147) 20% (194) 29% (276) 31% (294) 954Gender: Male 6% (26) 16% (70) 25% (107) 31% (136) 22% (98) 436Gender: Female 3% (17) 15% (77) 17% (87) 27% (141) 38% (196) 518Age: 18-29 2% (4) 10% (18) 19% (33) 22% (38) 47% (81) 174Age: 30-44 7% (17) 12% (29) 22% (55) 25% (62) 35% (87) 250Age: 45-54 1% (2) 13% (22) 22% (35) 35% (57) 28% (46) 162Age: 55-64 6% (9) 17% (28) 17% (28) 34% (56) 26% (42) 163Age: 65+ 5% (11) 24% (50) 21% (43) 31% (64) 18% (37) 205Generation Z: 18-22 — (0) 9% (6) 15% (9) 27% (16) 49% (31) 62Millennial: Age 23-38 5% (14) 12% (33) 23% (61) 23% (61) 37% (100) 270Generation X: Age 39-54 3% (8) 12% (30) 21% (53) 31% (79) 33% (84) 254Boomers: Age 55-73 5% (18) 21% (69) 18% (60) 33% (109) 23% (75) 331PID: Dem (no lean) 5% (34) 16% (117) 20% (147) 29% (215) 31% (231) 744PID: Ind (no lean) 5% (9) 13% (26) 24% (46) 28% (55) 30% (59) 196PID/Gender: DemMen 6% (19) 16% (52) 24% (77) 30% (95) 23% (72) 315PID/Gender: DemWomen 3% (14) 15% (66) 16% (71) 28% (120) 37% (159) 429PID/Gender: Ind Men 6% (6) 14% (15) 27% (30) 31% (35) 22% (24) 110PID/Gender: Ind Women 3% (3) 13% (11) 19% (16) 24% (20) 41% (35) 86Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 4% (21) 17% (85) 23% (114) 27% (138) 29% (149) 506Ideo: Moderate (4) 5% (16) 16% (49) 21% (66) 29% (91) 29% (91) 313Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 5% (5) 15% (13) 15% (13) 43% (38) 23% (20) 89Educ: < College 3% (19) 13% (72) 21% (119) 28% (158) 35% (197) 565Educ: Bachelors degree 6% (14) 20% (48) 17% (40) 29% (70) 28% (66) 237Educ: Post-grad 6% (10) 18% (27) 24% (36) 32% (48) 20% (30) 152Income: Under 50k 4% (18) 13% (61) 21% (98) 29% (140) 33% (159) 477Income: 50k-100k 5% (15) 17% (51) 20% (61) 30% (90) 29% (89) 305Income: 100k+ 6% (10) 20% (34) 21% (36) 27% (46) 27% (46) 172Ethnicity: White 5% (33) 17% (113) 21% (141) 28% (192) 30% (203) 682Ethnicity: Hispanic 4% (4) 9% (9) 27% (29) 33% (36) 28% (30) 109Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 5% (10) 10% (20) 19% (38) 32% (66) 34% (70) 204



119

Table PI9_5






Registered Voters 4% (43) 15% (147) 20% (194) 29% (276) 31% (294) 954Ethnicity: Other — (0) 21% (15) 22% (15) 26% (18) 31% (21) 69All Christian 5% (20) 19% (73) 18% (71) 32% (126) 26% (100) 390All Non-Christian 8% (5) 26% (17) 15% (9) 30% (19) 21% (13) 65Atheist 2% (1) 15% (9) 27% (17) 21% (13) 34% (21) 62Agnostic/Nothing in particular 4% (16) 11% (48) 22% (97) 27% (118) 36% (159) 438Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 8% (5) 27% (19) 17% (12) 28% (19) 21% (15) 70Evangelical 7% (12) 12% (21) 19% (32) 31% (52) 31% (54) 172Non-Evangelical 3% (13) 18% (66) 19% (67) 31% (112) 29% (106) 364Community: Urban 5% (13) 12% (31) 24% (63) 32% (85) 28% (75) 267Community: Suburban 4% (20) 18% (88) 19% (91) 27% (133) 32% (154) 487Community: Rural 5% (10) 14% (27) 20% (40) 29% (58) 33% (65) 201Employ: Private Sector 4% (14) 15% (48) 21% (65) 29% (91) 31% (97) 315Employ: Government — (0) 14% (9) 24% (15) 34% (21) 28% (18) 63Employ: Self-Employed 5% (5) 13% (11) 14% (12) 32% (28) 36% (31) 88Employ: Retired 6% (13) 22% (52) 23% (54) 31% (74) 19% (45) 238Employ: Unemployed 5% (4) 13% (12) 20% (18) 28% (26) 34% (31) 91Employ: Other 2% (1) 7% (5) 22% (15) 24% (16) 44% (30) 67Military HH: Yes 4% (5) 18% (26) 14% (21) 41% (61) 24% (36) 150Military HH: No 5% (37) 15% (121) 22% (173) 27% (215) 32% (258) 804RD/WT: Right Direction 6% (8) 12% (16) 18% (25) 32% (43) 31% (41) 134RD/WT: Wrong Track 4% (35) 16% (130) 21% (170) 28% (233) 31% (253) 820Trump Job Approve 7% (7) 14% (14) 16% (16) 34% (35) 28% (28) 101Trump Job Disapprove 4% (34) 16% (132) 21% (178) 28% (239) 31% (259) 843Trump Job Somewhat Approve 2% (2) 10% (7) 19% (14) 37% (26) 31% (22) 71Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 1% (1) 14% (20) 23% (32) 30% (41) 31% (43) 137Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 5% (33) 16% (113) 21% (146) 28% (198) 31% (217) 706


120







Registered Voters 4% (43) 15% (147) 20% (194) 29% (276) 31% (294) 954Favorable of Trump 9% (8) 11% (9) 14% (12) 36% (31) 29% (25) 86Unfavorable of Trump 4% (33) 16% (132) 21% (181) 29% (244) 30% (257) 847Somewhat Favorable of Trump 3% (2) 12% (7) 17% (9) 41% (23) 27% (15) 56Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump — (0) 14% (14) 29% (29) 24% (24) 33% (33) 100Very Unfavorable of Trump 4% (33) 16% (118) 20% (152) 29% (220) 30% (224) 747#1 Issue: Economy 4% (8) 9% (21) 22% (51) 29% (67) 35% (81) 229#1 Issue: Security 15% (12) 11% (9) 17% (13) 27% (21) 30% (24) 79#1 Issue: Health Care 4% (10) 20% (49) 20% (48) 28% (66) 28% (68) 241#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 2% (3) 20% (32) 18% (29) 35% (57) 25% (40) 162#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 1% (1) 21% (12) 19% (11) 18% (10) 41% (24) 58#1 Issue: Education 2% (1) 12% (7) 18% (11) 29% (18) 39% (24) 61#1 Issue: Energy 6% (5) 14% (12) 22% (18) 30% (25) 27% (23) 822018 House Vote: Democrat 5% (36) 17% (123) 22% (154) 30% (207) 26% (183) 7032016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 5% (34) 17% (107) 22% (143) 29% (182) 27% (170) 6372016 Vote: Donald Trump 7% (5) 17% (13) 15% (11) 38% (29) 22% (17) 742016 Vote: Other 2% (2) 11% (8) 19% (14) 40% (30) 28% (21) 742016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 1% (1) 11% (19) 16% (26) 21% (35) 52% (87) 168Voted in 2014: Yes 5% (37) 16% (110) 21% (141) 31% (208) 26% (177) 672Voted in 2014: No 2% (6) 13% (37) 19% (53) 24% (69) 42% (117) 2822012 Vote: Barack Obama 5% (36) 16% (107) 20% (136) 30% (202) 28% (188) 6702012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 2% (3) 14% (30) 18% (40) 25% (54) 41% (90) 2164-Region: Northeast 3% (6) 19% (35) 15% (28) 31% (56) 32% (59) 1834-Region: Midwest 4% (8) 15% (30) 21% (43) 31% (65) 29% (61) 2084-Region: South 5% (16) 14% (48) 21% (72) 27% (94) 34% (117) 3464-Region: West 6% (12) 16% (34) 24% (52) 28% (61) 26% (57) 217



121

Table PI9_5








122


Table PI9_6: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely to vote for each of the following candidates in your state”sprimary or caucus?Bernie Sanders








123

Table PI9_6








124










125

Table PI9_6








126


Table PI9_7: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely to vote for each of the following candidates in your state”sprimary or caucus?Tom Steyer








127

Table PI9_7








128







Registered Voters 5% (49) 10% (94) 18% (176) 34% (327) 32% (308) 954Favorable of Trump 3% (2) 20% (17) 10% (8) 38% (33) 30% (26) 86Unfavorable of Trump 5% (44) 9% (77) 19% (165) 34% (290) 32% (271) 847Somewhat Favorable of Trump — (0) 18% (10) 11% (6) 40% (23) 31% (17) 56Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 5% (5) 7% (7) 31% (31) 26% (26) 32% (32) 100Very Unfavorable of Trump 5% (39) 9% (71) 18% (134) 35% (264) 32% (239) 747#1 Issue: Economy 4% (10) 9% (20) 20% (45) 32% (74) 35% (80) 229#1 Issue: Security 8% (6) 17% (14) 13% (11) 30% (24) 31% (24) 79#1 Issue: Health Care 4% (10) 8% (20) 22% (54) 35% (84) 31% (74) 241#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 6% (10) 12% (19) 16% (27) 39% (63) 27% (43) 162#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 6% (4) 3% (1) 10% (6) 37% (22) 44% (25) 58#1 Issue: Education 8% (5) 9% (5) 19% (11) 26% (16) 38% (23) 61#1 Issue: Energy 5% (4) 13% (11) 18% (15) 32% (27) 31% (25) 822018 House Vote: Democrat 6% (39) 11% (76) 21% (145) 35% (244) 28% (199) 7032016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 6% (40) 8% (53) 21% (134) 36% (228) 29% (182) 6372016 Vote: Donald Trump 3% (2) 16% (12) 11% (8) 46% (34) 24% (18) 742016 Vote: Other 1% (1) 15% (11) 19% (14) 36% (27) 28% (21) 742016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 3% (5) 11% (18) 12% (19) 23% (38) 52% (87) 168Voted in 2014: Yes 5% (34) 11% (72) 20% (131) 37% (247) 28% (188) 672Voted in 2014: No 5% (15) 8% (22) 16% (45) 29% (81) 42% (120) 2822012 Vote: Barack Obama 5% (36) 10% (68) 21% (138) 34% (227) 30% (201) 6702012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 6% (12) 8% (18) 14% (31) 30% (65) 41% (90) 2164-Region: Northeast 2% (4) 7% (14) 20% (36) 34% (62) 37% (67) 1834-Region: Midwest 2% (4) 5% (11) 18% (38) 38% (79) 37% (76) 2084-Region: South 7% (25) 9% (32) 16% (56) 33% (116) 34% (118) 3464-Region: West 7% (16) 17% (37) 21% (46) 33% (71) 22% (47) 217



129

Table PI9_7








130


Table PI9_8: As a result of the Nevada caucuses, would you say you are more or less likely to vote for each of the following candidates in your state”sprimary or caucus?Elizabeth Warren








131

Table PI9_8








132










133

Table PI9_8






Registered Voters 12% (118) 24% (233) 20% (186) 23% (223) 20% (194) 954If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 9% (15) 24% (39) 14% (22) 28% (45) 26% (42) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 6% (10) 24% (41) 21% (35) 32% (55) 17% (28) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 6% (5) 20% (18) 30% (28) 20% (18) 24% (22) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 7% (21) 26% (77) 25% (75) 24% (70) 17% (51) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 57% (60) 30% (32) 4% (5) — (0) 8% (8) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 6% (4) 17% (10) 9% (6) 14% (8) 54% (33) 60Black DPV 15% (30) 28% (57) 15% (30) 21% (42) 22% (45) 204Knows Bernie won NV 11% (75) 26% (169) 23% (149) 25% (166) 15% (101) 660DPV Knows Bernie won NV 11% (75) 26% (169) 23% (149) 25% (166) 15% (101) 660DPV 12% (118) 24% (233) 20% (186) 23% (223) 20% (194) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


134


Table PI10_1: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The winner of the Nevada caucuses can beat President Trump

Demographic Strongly agreeSomewhatagree

Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





135

Table PI10_1



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




136




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





137

Table PI10_1



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




138


Table PI10_2: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The winner of the Nevada caucuses will be the Democratic nominee


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





139

Table PI10_2



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




140




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





141

Table PI10_2



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




142


Table PI10_3: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The winner of the Nevada caucuses will win the South Carolina primary


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





143

Table PI10_3



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




144




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





145

Table PI10_3



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree


Registered Voters 6% (114) 17% (345) 19% (376) 11% (224) 47% (930) 19894-Region: Northeast 4% (16) 13% (47) 19% (69) 12% (42) 51% (181) 3554-Region: Midwest 6% (28) 19% (86) 18% (81) 6% (30) 51% (232) 4574-Region: South 6% (42) 18% (130) 20% (148) 14% (102) 43% (319) 7434-Region: West 6% (27) 19% (82) 18% (78) 12% (50) 46% (198) 435If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 6% (11) 11% (18) 30% (48) 17% (28) 36% (58) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 9% (16) 18% (31) 24% (41) 13% (22) 36% (61) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg — (0) 22% (20) 26% (24) 16% (15) 36% (33) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 16% (48) 32% (95) 11% (33) 3% (9) 38% (111) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 6% (6) 12% (12) 25% (27) 10% (11) 47% (49) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 3% (2) 5% (3) 20% (12) 5% (3) 68% (41) 60Black DPV 13% (26) 23% (48) 18% (36) 10% (20) 36% (74) 204Knows Bernie won NV 6% (80) 22% (282) 22% (279) 12% (155) 37% (476) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 9% (59) 23% (152) 24% (155) 12% (77) 33% (217) 660DPV 9% (87) 20% (193) 21% (203) 11% (101) 39% (369) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


146


Table PI10_4: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The results of the Nevada caucuses are re ective of the Democratic Party


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





147

Table PI10_4



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




148




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





149

Table PI10_4



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




150


Table PI10_5: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?I am happy with the results of the Nevada caucuses


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





151

Table PI10_5



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




152




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





153

Table PI10_5



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree


Registered Voters 12% (240) 18% (358) 14% (282) 15% (298) 41% (811) 19894-Region: Northeast 9% (32) 19% (66) 16% (58) 15% (54) 41% (144) 3554-Region: Midwest 13% (60) 17% (76) 12% (54) 16% (71) 43% (196) 4574-Region: South 11% (80) 19% (142) 15% (109) 13% (99) 42% (312) 7434-Region: West 16% (68) 17% (73) 14% (61) 17% (74) 37% (159) 435If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 11% (17) 21% (33) 25% (40) 21% (34) 23% (38) 162If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 8% (14) 29% (50) 19% (33) 19% (32) 25% (42) 170If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 5% (5) 20% (19) 32% (30) 13% (12) 29% (27) 92If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 45% (132) 29% (86) 6% (17) — (0) 20% (60) 295If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 16% (17) 27% (28) 25% (26) 8% (8) 24% (26) 105If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 8% (5) 15% (9) 17% (10) 9% (5) 51% (31) 60Black DPV 18% (36) 34% (68) 12% (24) 6% (12) 31% (63) 204Knows Bernie won NV 16% (205) 22% (280) 17% (211) 19% (239) 27% (338) 1272DPV Knows Bernie won NV 25% (168) 27% (177) 21% (136) 13% (89) 14% (91) 660DPV 20% (194) 25% (239) 18% (168) 11% (107) 26% (246) 954Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com.


154


Table PI10_6: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The Democratic Party is heading in the right direction


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





155

Table PI10_6



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




156




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





157

Table PI10_6



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




158


Table PI10_7: To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?The Democratic Party should eliminate caucuses as part of the nomination process


Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





159

Table PI10_7



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




160




Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree





161

Table PI10_7



Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree




Morning ConsultRespondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent DemographicsDemographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemAll Registered Voters 1989 100%

xdemGender Gender: Male 931 47%Gender: Female 1058 53%

N 1989

age5 Age: 18-29 313 16%Age: 30-44 489 25%Age: 45-54 326 16%Age: 55-64 398 20%Age: 65+ 463 23%

N 1989

demAgeGeneration Generation Z: 18-22 107 5%Millennial: Age 23-38 510 26%

Generation X: Age 39-54 512 26%Boomers: Age 55-73 773 39%

N 1901

xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 809 41%PID: Ind (no lean) 553 28%PID: Rep (no lean) 626 31%

N 1989

xpidGender PID/Gender: DemMen 338 17%PID/Gender: DemWomen 472 24%

PID/Gender: Ind Men 284 14%PID/Gender: Ind Women 270 14%

PID/Gender: Rep Men 309 16%PID/Gender: Rep Women 317 16%

N 1989

xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 585 29%Ideo: Moderate (4) 592 30%

Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 689 35%N 1866

xeduc3 Educ: < College 1251 63%Educ: Bachelors degree 470 24%

Educ: Post-grad 268 13%N 1989


162

National Tracking Poll #200255, February, 2020Respondent Demographics Summary


xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 990 50%Income: 50k-100k 646 33%

Income: 100k+ 353 18%N 1989

xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 1609 81%

xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 193 10%

demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 252 13%

demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 128 6%

xdemReligion All Christian 962 48%All Non-Christian 94 5%

Atheist 90 5%Agnostic/Nothing in particular 844 42%

N 1989

xdemReligOther Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 108 5%

xdemEvang Evangelical 523 26%Non-Evangelical 768 39%

N 1291

xdemUsr Community: Urban 454 23%Community: Suburban 996 50%

Community: Rural 539 27%N 1989

xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 669 34%Employ: Government 122 6%

Employ: Self-Employed 178 9%Employ: Homemaker 112 6%

Employ: Retired 517 26%Employ: Unemployed 177 9%

Employ: Other 136 7%N 1912

xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 346 17%Military HH: No 1643 83%

N 1989

xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 813 41%RD/WT: Wrong Track 1176 59%

N 1989


163

Morning ConsultRespondent Demographics Summary


Trump_Approve Trump Job Approve 836 42%Trump Job Disapprove 1102 55%

N 1938

Trump_Approve2 Trump Job Strongly Approve 470 24%Trump Job Somewhat Approve 366 18%

Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 263 13%Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 839 42%

N 1938

Trump_Fav Favorable of Trump 823 41%Unfavorable of Trump 1098 55%

N 1921

Trump_Fav_FULL Very Favorable of Trump 484 24%Somewhat Favorable of Trump 339 17%

Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 196 10%Very Unfavorable of Trump 902 45%

N 1921

xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 501 25%#1 Issue: Security 359 18%

#1 Issue: Health Care 400 20%#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 337 17%

#1 Issue: Women’s Issues 88 4%#1 Issue: Education 106 5%

#1 Issue: Energy 109 5%#1 Issue: Other 90 5%

N 1989

xsubVote18O 2018 House Vote: Democrat 791 40%2018 House Vote: Republican 652 33%

2018 House Vote: Someone else 75 4%N 1518

xsubVote16O 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 714 36%2016 Vote: Donald Trump 694 35%

2016 Vote: Other 157 8%2016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 423 21%

N 1988

xsubVote14O Voted in 2014: Yes 1330 67%Voted in 2014: No 659 33%

N 1989


164

National Tracking Poll #200255, February, 2020Respondent Demographics Summary


xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 881 44%2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 497 25%

2012 Vote: Other 80 4%2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 530 27%

N 1988

xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 355 18%4-Region: Midwest 457 23%

4-Region: South 743 37%4-Region: West 435 22%

N 1989

PIdem1 If primary today, vote for: Joe Biden 162 8%If primary today, vote for: Michael Bloomberg 170 9%

If primary today, vote for: Pete Buttigieg 92 5%If primary today, vote for: Tulsi Gabbard 17 1%

If primary today, vote for: Amy Klobuchar 29 1%If primary today, vote for: Bernie Sanders 295 15%

If primary today, vote for: Tom Steyer 23 1%If primary today, vote for: Elizabeth Warren 105 5%

If primary today, vote for: Don’t Know / No Opinion 60 3%N 954

PIdem2 Black DPV 204 10%

PIdem3 Knows Bernie won NV 1272 64%

PIdem4 DPV Knows Bernie won NV 660 33%

PIdem5 DPV 954 48%

Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu-lated with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

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Documents

NationalTrackingPoll#200255 February23-23,2020 ......50k 23( 224) 16 ( 157) 12 ( 120 ) 45 ( 443) 5( 45 ) 990 50k-100k 26( 165 ) 20 ( 126 ) 16 ( 101 ) 39 ( 250) 1 ( 4 ) 646 100k+ 23(