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National Weather Service
Des Moines IA
The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the National Weather Service.
Using Bufkit to Diagnose Winter Weather
Central Iowa NWA
12-5-07
Outline
•Cross-section mode•Shear profile•Instability•Precipitation Type•Other uses?
Temperature Time-HeightTemperature Time-Height
•Click on Overview button in the upper right hand corner of Bufkit GUI to display time-section
-18 -18
-12-12
Identify Dendritic Growth ZoneIdentify Dendritic Growth Zone
Scan Zone for Moisture and Identify Favored Growth Zone
Scan Zone for Moisture and Identify Favored Growth Zone
Favored Growth Zone
Display Model OmegaDisplay Model Omega
Overlay All VariablesOverlay All Variables
3”- 4”/hr
“Cross-hair” signature
Moderate Lift May Fall Outside Dendritic Growth Zone
Moderate Lift May Fall Outside Dendritic Growth Zone
-14ub-1
4” actual snow
X
•Omega bullseye outside Dendritic Growth Zone
DGZ•Waldstreicher study correlates cross-hair signature with Advisory and Warning Criteria snowfall
Snowfall output
based on different
SLR methods
Bufkit Time-SectionBufkit Time-Section
•3-8 Km Shear Vector oriented same direction as heavy snow band
X
(Banacos, 2003)
actual snow 10.5 “actual snow 10.5 “
•Shear vector in main forcing layer will approximate the orientation of the heavy snow band
•Deep layer unidirectional shear favorable for maintaining frontogenetical circulation with heavy snow band
Other operational uses of Bukfit data
Note elevated instability layer
•Near neutral or unstable lapse rates (with respect to a moist adiabat) implies multiple narrow and intense (maybe 5-10 km or so in width) bands.
Bourgouin Technique ReviewBourgouin Technique Review
• Divide the Temperature Profile into 1 to 4 layers
• Compute the + and - energy (J/kg) in each layer
• Divide the Temperature Profile into 1 to 4 layers
• Compute the + and - energy (J/kg) in each layer
The Freezing Rain ProfileThe Freezing Rain Profile
3 layers
Thickness method toggle
Bourgouin’s Strengths and Limitations
Bourgouin’s Strengths and Limitations
• For Snow Events, Bourgouin Always Assumes Ice Crystals are Present
• Top Down Approach (Microphysics) NOT Addressed
• For Snow Events, Bourgouin Always Assumes Ice Crystals are Present
• Top Down Approach (Microphysics) NOT Addressed
SummarySummary
• A detailed Bufkit analysis should be part of every winter weather decision making process
• Waldstreicher study showed potential in differentiating Warning vs Advisory criteria using cross-hair technique
• Utilize full functionality, including overview mode, precipitation type, shear profiles, instability, SLR’s
• A detailed Bufkit analysis should be part of every winter weather decision making process
• Waldstreicher study showed potential in differentiating Warning vs Advisory criteria using cross-hair technique
• Utilize full functionality, including overview mode, precipitation type, shear profiles, instability, SLR’s
Any questions?…ask Chris Karstens
Any questions?…ask Chris Karstens
http://www.wdtb.noaa.gov/tools/BUFKIT/index.html
Bufkit Resources:http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/bufkit.html