National Weather Service

1

National Weather Service

FY 2008 OMB Budget Submission

John E. Potts

Deputy Chief Financial Officer

September 26, 2006

2

Agenda

• NWS Mission and Programs

• FY 2005/2006 Accomplishments

• FY 2008 Budget Overview

• Program Change Request Summary

• FY 2008 Program Change Descriptions

3

NOAA’s National Weather Service

NWS MISSION

• Nation’s first line of defense against severe weather

• Provides climate, water, weather forecasts and warnings to protect life and property and enhance the economy

• 1/3 of the U.S. economy ($3 trillion) is weather sensitive

MAJOR PROGRAMS

• Local Warnings & Forecasts – Public services provided at each WFO plus Tsunami warnings, Fire weather, Marine, & Aviation services

• Central Forecast Guidance – Env. Modeling & Development, Storm Prediction, Hurricane Prediction, Aviation forecasts

• Hydrologic Services – River/flood forecasts and warnings

• Space Weather – Solar storm forecasts and warnings

• Climate Services – Climate predictions and outlooks (flood/drought/heat)

4

FY 05-06 NWS Accomplishments

• Accurately forecasted the most active hurricane season in history

– 28 storms– 15 hurricanes– 7 major hurricanes– 4 Cat 5 storms

• Disseminated life-saving warnings through NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards

• Deployed 7 new Hurricane Buoys

• Expanded National Digital Forecast Database

• Worked with EPA to Extend Reach of Air Quality Forecasts

• Began running NOAA’s Central Computer System with Full Backup

• Began Expansion of U.S. Tsunami Warning Program

• Rated high in customer satisfaction

5

About the National Weather ServiceAbout the National Weather Service

In an average year, NWS produces:

• 25 million forecasts• 41,000 warnings• 2,200 flood watches• 500 trillion digital forecasts• 9.4 million fire forecasts• 784,200 airport forecasts

A Typical Year Brings:

• 6 Hurricanes• 1,000 Tornadoes• 5,000 Floods• 10,000 Violent Thunderstorms• Drought Conditions• 500 Deaths; 5,000 Injuries

$14 Billion in Losses

Katrina alone caused an Katrina alone caused an estimated $100 billion in estimated $100 billion in damage, and 1,300 fatalitiesdamage, and 1,300 fatalities

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FY 2008 NWS Overview

• Maintains current services by providing $24.2M above FY07 PB, a 2.7% Increase:

– ATBs at $20.9M – NWS number 1 priority

– Program Changes at $3.3M:

• Provides operations & maintenance funding for expanded capabilities– Hurricane Supplemental projects: observations, modeling, system

redundancy

– Strengthen Tsunami Warning System

– Modernized, redundant telecommunications hub

• Continues planned technology and facilitiesinvestments/ Administration commitments

• Reallocates funding to support priorities

7

FY 2008 NWS By Budget Structure

Account ($ in millions)FY 2007

President’s Budget

ATB ChangeFY 2008 NOAA

Submission

Operations & Research $687.9 $15.4 $9.3 $712.6

Systems O&M $95.6 $2.2 - $97.8

Subtotal, ORF $783.4 $17.6 $9.3 $810.4

Systems $66.6 $3.3 ($0.8) $69.1

Construction $31.8 - ($5.2) $26.6

Subtotal, PAC $98.4 $3.3 ($6.0) $95.7

Total $881.9 $20.9 $3.3 $906.1

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FY 2008 NWS Priorities

Priority Ranking Goal $ in millions

FY 2007 President’s

Budget FY 2008 Change

FY 2008 DOC Submission

Adjustments to Base [$20.9] [$20.9]

Program Changes

1 W&W NWSTG Tech Refresh $0.5 $0.7 $1.2

2 W&W NDBC Hurricane Buoy O&M $1.4 $3.0 $4.4

3 W&W Hurricane Forecast Modeling (HWRF O&M) $0.0 $1.0 $1.0

4 W&W Hurricane Katrina Supplemental: Systems O&M $0.0 $1.2 $1.2

5 Mission Support NCWCP $19.3 ($5.2) $14.1

6 W&W Strengthen US Tsunami Network $20.4 $2.7 $23.1

7 W&W NOAA Profiler Network (ORF/PAC) $6.3 $3.5 $9.8

8 CL NDBC TAO Array: Tech Refresh $0.0 $1.1 $1.1

9 W&W/CL Data Buoy Ocean Sensor O&M $0.0 $1.4 $1.4

10 W&W Strengthen US Tsunami (PAC) $1.0 ($1.0) $0.0

11 W&W Space Weather Prediction Center $7.3 ($1.3) $6.0

12 W&W US Weather Research Project $7.5 ($1.5) $6.0

13 W&W ASOS/PI (PAC) $3.9 ($2.3) $1.6

Total, Program Changes $3.3

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Adjustments to Base +$20.9M

• Highest NWS Priority.

• Under-funding erodes NWS available budget.

• Maintains current operations critical to providing forecast and warnings products and services to the public

• NWS operations budget is 67% labor.

• Assumes 2.2% Pay Raise.

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Why• Need to provide tech refresh to ensure NWSTG cyclical updates/ IT security

compliance (4-6 year cycle)

• 200% throughput increase in FY08 due to improved models and implementation of Hurricane Weather Forecasting System

• Manufacturers no longer provide security support for older servers

• Many elements of facility and network infrastructure 17 years old

What• Additional CPUs and storage to meet increased

throughput demand

• Replace 5 year old Cisco switch and 17 year-old fire protection system

NWS Telecommunications Gateway Tech Refresh +$0.7M

FY06 Enacted FY07 PB ATBs Base Program Change FY08 Request

$0.49 $0.50 $0.50 $0.70 $1.20

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Basis for Investment:NWSTG Status

Requirements StatusMessage Switching System Replace legacy Gateway (RTG) in SSMC2 and implement Backup Gateway (BTG) at Mount Weather

RTG completion has slipped 18 weeks due to system inter-operability problems. Initial Operational Capability (IOC) scheduled for May 23, 2006 and Full Operational Capability (FOC) is scheduled for late June. BTG FOC is on schedule for FY07 Q1

Server Center Implement 4 to 6 year life cycle maintenance program

40% of servers are currently beyond end-of-life. Current tech refresh funding will not allow full update; about 30-40% will always be beyond recommended end-of-life. Requested FY08 budget increase will remediate this situation.

Facility Repair or upgrade 15 year old facility infrastructure and implement 4 to 6 year life cycle maintenance program for network infrastructure

70% of network HW at BTG is currently 4-5 years old, well past systems life in FY08. Currently replacing UPS and air handlers with FY04/05 PAC funds for NWSTG Legacy Replacement. No funding exists for needed updates for water cooling system and network life cycle maintenance. Requested FY08 will remediate this situation.

Message Switching System

Gateway Server Center(about 80 servers)

Facility/Network Infrastructure(power, climate control, fire suppression,

network routers & switches)

NWSTG ComponentsFY 2008 Schedule• Add 8 CPUs and 16GB memory to RTG p60 Message

Switching Center Servers (2 servers @ $250K = $500K)• Replace 21 servers with 36 CPUs ($350K)• Replace 1 Cisco 6500 switch installed in FY 03 ($100K)• Expand cooling tower capacity to meet increased

requirements since tower was installed in 1991 ($150K)• Replace 17 year-old smoke detector and fire control panel

system ($95K)

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NWSTG Tech Refresh +$0.7M

OUTYEAR FUNDING ESTIMATES (BA in Thousands)

FY 2007 & Prior

FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 Cost to Complete

Total Program Estimate

NWSTG Legacy System Replacement 6,304 495 495 495 495 495

Change from FY2007 Base 700 700 700 700 700

Total Request 6,304 1,195 1,195 1,195 1,195 1,195 4,780 17,059

Gateway Server Center Tech Refresh Profiles

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10

% o

f In

ven

tory

Su

pp

ort

able

No Tech Refresh

With Current Funding

With FY08 Restoral

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Why• Saves lives & property by ensuring proper warning to dangerous storms• Provides critical support to improve the accuracy & determine:

– cyclone formation or dissipation– extent of topical cyclone wind circulation– location and center of cyclones– direction, height, and distribution of ocean waves generated by cyclones– maximum cyclone intensity– quality of measurements and estimates obtained from – remote-sensing reconnaissance aircraft and satellites

What• Provides O&M support for 15 weather buoys funded and

deployed under the FY 2005 and FY 2006 Supp Approps• Size of cost increase due to:

– Maintenance cycle peaks– U.S.C.G. doesn’t maintain buoys this far from coast– Buoys are an average of four sailing days apart– Size of buoys requires ship with substantial lift capability (of the15 buoys: 1 is a three

meter buoy; 6 are six meter; 2 are ten meter; and 6 are twelve meter)

Hurricane Supplemental Buoy O&M+$3.0M

FY06 Enacted* FY07 PB ATBs Base Program Change FY08 Request

$2.78 $1.40 $1.40 $3.00 $4.40 * Included in Hurricane Supplemental

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Performance

FY 2008 Schedule Provide field service and maintenance ($2.28M) which includes ship

support for servicing ($1.31M) Provide shore-side operation/infrastructure support ($0.24M) which

includes data processing and operations and industrial infrastructure Provide and maintain spare equipment/buoy to support field

maintenance strategy ($0.48M)

NDBC Hurricane Supp. Buoy O&M +$3.0M

DOC Goal: Observe, protect and manage the Earth’s resources to promote environmental stewardship.

NOAA Performance Goal: Weather and Water

Performance Measures

FY 2008 without increase

FY 2008 with

increase

Number of Observations produced per year (thousands) 121,640 262,800

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Why • Supports improved lead times to reduce the

overall impact and cost to the economy from hurricanes and associated storm surge

• Supports improved track and intensity forecast accuracies to support reducing costs of evacuations through improved storm evacuation strategies

Hurricane Forecast Modeling (HWRF O&M) +$1.0M

What

• Provides O&M support for the next generation hurricane and storm surge prediction system funded under the FY 2005 Hurricane Supplemental Appropriation

• Eight contractors to maintain and enhance operational software code for the hurricane forecast system and storm surge forecast systems

Record Hurricane Season of 2005


$4.50 $1.04 $1.04

* Included in Hurricane Supplemental

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Performance

Hurricane Forecast Modeling (HWRF O&M) +$1.0M





FY 2008 with

increase


FY 2011 with

increase

Hurricane Track Error (48 hours) (nautical miles) 111 105 111 100

Number of Storm surge basins updated 2 6 2 6

FY 2007 Schedule– Implement new Hurricane WRF Forecast Model– Maintain update of 6 basins per year initiated with the Storm Surge Supplemental Funding

FY 2008 Schedule– Provide operations and maintenance of Hurricane WRF Forecast Model– Continue updating Storm Surge model with 6 basins

• Supports planned FY08 NWS GPRA 48hr Hurricane Intensity Forecast

• Current 48hr Hurricane Intensity Forecast error is 14 knots

• This increase is projected to improve intensity forecasts by 3% per year; 30% improvement by FY15

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Hurricane Katrina Supplemental: Systems O&M +$1.2M

• Ongoing operations and maintenance funding is necessary to ensure these capital investments continue to provide the live-saving services they were intended to support

What• Maintaining and keeping the portable systems and communications used by incident

meteorologists (IMET) secure and up-to-date• Maintaining 150 emergency backup systems for ASOS• Maintaining 126 emergency backup systems for NWR All-Hazards• Continuing lease and maintenance of on-site satellite communications equipment:

– 25 coastal WFOs/ 10 Next Generation Weather Radar sites /lease of satellite bandwidth

Why • $6.6M provided in FY06 Hurricane Supplemental for portable

equipment to deploy meteorologists to high impact areas and continuity of operations at WFOs, NWR, and ASOS located in hurricane prone areas due to lost power and/or communications due to Katrina:

• 4 WFOs/RFCs• 5 NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) transmitters• 5 coastal Automated Surface Observing Systems (ASOS)


$6.60 $1.20 $1.20

* Included in Hurricane Supplemental

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FY 2008 Schedule:

• Continue lease of IMET communications, maintain IMET equipment, provide tech refresh of IMET equipment ($250,000)

• Provide maintenance and diesel fuel for 150 ASOS emergency backup power systems ($230,000)

• Provide maintenance and diesel fuel for 126 NWR emergency backup power systems ($150,000)

• Continue lease of satellite communications for 25 coastal WFOs and 10 coastal NEXRADS ($600,000)

Hurricane Katrina Supplemental: Systems O&M +$1.2M

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Why– Recognizes Congressional Priority – Continues commitment of DOC in President’s Budgets since FY04.– Provides safe building for operations– Accelerates the transfer of newly developed scientific information through close collaboration with University of MD– Improved recruitment & retention of personnel

What– Continues preparation of the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (NCWCP)

for FY 2008 occupancy and operations.– Planned NCWCP investment profile to implement mission critical systems overlap during

the transition/move from the current World Weather Building (WWB) to the NCWCP.• IT/Mission critical infrastructure: $3.27M• System furniture and related facility outfitting costs: $2.63M• GSA/NOAA project management costs: $1.5M• Rent, utilities, security, facility O&M: $6.7M

NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction -$5.2M


$8.41 $19.30 $19.30 ($5.20) $14.10

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NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction -$5.2M

Schedule

OUTYEAR FUNDING ESTIMATES(BA in Thousands)

NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction

FY 2007 & Prior

FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 Cost to Complete


NCWCP 40,278 19,305

Change from FY2007 Base (5,205) (12,605) (12,605) (12,605) (12,605)

Total Request 40,278 14,100 6,700 6,700 6,700 6,700 - 54,378

Milestones Scheduled Completion Date

Site Acquisition February 6, 2004

Lease Acquisition

Lease Award September, 2005

Design Start September, 2005

Construction Start December, 2006

Occupancy

Move Start March, 2008

Move Complete June, 2008

Lease for World Weather Building Expires April 30, 2008

*The costs cited for FY 2009 onward represent increased lease payments for this facility and will be moved to the Operations, Research, and Facilities appropriation in FY 2009.

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Tsunami Warning Program +$2.7M

Why Supports a Presidential & Congressional

Commitment Fulfills Administration Priority Current tsunami warning system lacks necessary

detection and hazard mitigation capabilities for effective protection of life & property

What Preserves the Administration’s two year $24.0M investment ($14.5M in FY 2005 and $9.5M

in FY 2006) Expands the U.S. tsunami detection, warning and mitigation capabilities Completes 39 station DART Network Supports operations and maintenance for the 29 Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting

of Tsunamis (DART) buoy systems Supports operations and maintenance of the expanded seismic and sea-level monitoring

networks Provides $1M for state of Alaska tsunami hazard mitigation programs (TWEAK)


$6.02 $20.40 $20.40 $2.70 $23.10

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FY 2008 Schedule

• Deploy the final 10 DART systems

• Operates and maintains the 29 DART systems in the Pacific and Atlantic Ocean basins

• Operates and maintains the expanded seismic and sea-level monitoring networks

• Continues tsunami inundation modeling, and forecast system efforts for all U.S. communities at risk

• Continues tsunami education/outreach activities including the TsunamiReady program to improve community preparedness for all U.S. communities at risk

• Continues NOAA’s DART R&D program to improve DART reliability, cost-effectiveness, and capabilities

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Budget

FY08 FY08 OMB FY08

ORF ($K) FY05 Sup FY06 PB FY07 PBProgram Change Request TWEAK

Deploy DART Buoys (12 in FY07; 10 in FY08) 1,200 3,284 (19) 3,265 NDBC O&M of Deployed Buoys (29 in FY08) 4,160 480 4,640 Ship-Time Cost for DART O&M (29 DARTs) 3,320 1,320 4,640 Emergency DART Repair 930 (430) 500 NDBC DART Program Management 210 10 220 Expand DART II Buoy R&D 990 500 489 (19) 470 Expand National Water Level Monitoring Network 1,030 400 782 (82) 700 Alaska Water Level Monitoring Network (TWEAK) 100 100 100 TWC: 24/7 Ops (+13 FTE); ITIC Expand (+2 FTE) 800 1,620 1,720 365 2,085 Upgrade PRSN 350 (10) 340 Expand/Modernization: Seismic Network (O&M) 280 (80) 200 Alaska Seismic Net (O&M) (TWEAK) 250 250 250 Inundation Mapping/Modeling 3,000 1,000 2,000 - 2,000 Alaska Inundation Mapping/Modeling (TWEAK) 350 350 350 Tsunami R&D - - 355 115 470 TsunamiReady 1,250 1,250 244 56 300 Alaska TsunamiReady (TWEAK) 300 300 300 Tsunami Data Archive - - - 200 200 National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation 2,291 (206) 2,085 Subtotal, ORF 7,070 5,970 20,415 2,700 23,115 1,000

NOAA's Strengthen US Tsunami Warning Program: FY 2005 - FY 2008

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Performance






FY 2008 with

increase

FY 2009 without

increase

FY 2009 with

increase

Warning Latency (time between event detection and warning issuance in minutes)

Local Tsunami

Distant Tsunami8

30

5

15

8

30

5

15

Inundation Mapping, Modeling and Forecast Efforts (MMFE) (cumulative)

30 30 34 34

DART Stations 39 39 39 39

Percentage of Local Seismic Network Upgrades Completed

100% 100% 100% 100%

% DART II Stations Operational 69% 100% 69% 100%

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Why• Supports FY06 decision to operate Nat’l

Profiler Network (NPN) per COEA study• By FY 2010 all unconverted Profilers will

need to be shut down• Improves NWS performance capability

for tornado, winter storm, severe storm,and flash flood forecasts and warnings,and aviation and fire weather warnings

What• Sustains operations of NPN from research to operations by converting the operational

frequency to not interfere with SARSAT capability on Galileo communications satellites and replacing obsolete components (required tech refresh)

• Provides $1.83M for PAC• $1.67M for new systems O&M (ORF increase FY08 through FY09 only)• Demonstrated improvements to numerical weather prediction and local severe weather

warnings:– 20% improvement in short-term model forecast accuracy for winds– Sustains current tornado warning lead time, without conversion the we would loose

3 minutes (WFOs within NPN domain vs. outside)

NOAA Profiler Network +$3.5M


$2.86 $6.34 $6.34 $3.50 $9.84

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OUTYEAR FUNDING ESTIMATES (BA in thousands)

NOAA Profiler Conversion FY07 & Prior

FY 2008

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

FY 2012

Cost to complete* Total

Change from FY 2008 Base 3,500 8,130 1,600 1,600 (3,270)

Total Request 6,336 9,836 14,466 7,936 7,936 3,066 12,264 61,840

Profilers Converted 3 12 17 32

Profilers Tech. Refreshed 12 12 13 37

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Frequency Change: $13.2M• Antennas –$5.97M• Transmitters – $5.87M• Parts – $0.79M• Project expenses (frequency change

coordination) – $0.57M (To be completed in FY10)

Technical Refresh: $14.01M• The technical refresh effort is

completed concurrent with the frequency conversion.

• Hardware: $10.81M• Software: $3.2M (To be completed in FY11)

VERTICALEAST

Radar Beams

VERTICALEAST

Radar Beams

Equipment Shelter

GPS Water VaporAntennafor PWV

Profiler SurfaceObserving

System(PSOS)

Wind Profiler Radar Antenna

RASS TemperatureSounder

7.50 km

16.25 km

LOWMODE

HeightResolution

320 m

HeightResolution

900 m

HIGHMODE

NORTH

9.25 km

7.50 km

0.50 km

Heights Measured


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TAO Array: Tech Refresh +$1.1M

Why

• Obsolete components must be replaced to maintain and improve operational availability (technology is from late 80s/early 90s)

• Guarantees continuance of critical data for climate models

• Provides early detection of El Nino and La Nina to mitigate economic, ecological, and human impact

• Improves predictions of potential for extreme climate episodes such as drought and flood

What• Replace obsolete components to sustain life cycle of 55 buoy TAO Array• Establishes tech refresh cycle (7-8 year)


$1.10 $1.10

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FY 07 FY 2008 without increase

FY 2008 with increase

Observational Availability 88% 80% 89%

Number of Sites Operational 55 50 55

Observations per Day 880 800 4,192*

* Increased real-time observations necessary to calibrate and validate the coupled ocean/atmosphere Climate Forecast System will become available as refreshed buoys are deployed with improved communications capabilities.

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FY 2008 Schedule• On 17 buoys and spares:

– Replace subsurface temperature and salinity sensors ($0.58M)

– Replace CPU/data logger and modem ($0.26)

– Replace compass, communications, sensor interfaces and enclosures ($0.26M)

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Why

• U.S. has invested $12M to add oceanographic sensors to existing weather buoys at 98 sites

• Subsurface sensors for temperature, salinity, current and directional wave measurement

• Biofouling of subsurface sensors requires maintenance every 6-9 months rather than every three years for coastal weather-only buoys—increases ship time required to maintain buoys

• Benefits coastal managers, fishing industry, search/rescue, hazardous spill mitigation

• Oceanographic sensors add 900,000 observations per year

NDBC Data Buoy Ocean Sensor O&M +$1.4M

What• Ongoing operations and maintenance funding needed to continue benefits of initial

investment


$1.40 $1.40

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/Stations/3m.jpg

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Performance

FY 2008 Schedule

• Provide field service and maintenance, including ship support ($1M)

• Provide onshore infrastructure support ($0.05M)

• Provide and maintain spare equipment/buoy to support field maintenance strategy ($0.3M)

NDBC Data Buoy Ocean Sensor O&M +$1.4M





FY 2008 with

increase

Number of Observations processed per year 0 900,000

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• U.S. Weather Research Program:-$1.5M– NOAA requests reductions to reflect funding of higher-priority requirements.

– Reduce support for THORPEX• Including a multi-national experiment in the North Pacific targeted to improving high impact

winter weather forecasts on the U.S. Pacific Coast.

• Will end a grants program between NOAA and the academic community focused on accelerating 1-14 day forecasts.

• Significantly reduces US participation (THORPEX funding reduced to FY05 levels: $1.0M)

• Preserves Air Quality research, Hurricane Test Bed & high impact weather research

• Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) (formally the Space Environment Center): -$1.3M

– Reduces SWPC model development and transition of models to operations

– Eliminates outreach efforts.

– $6.3M funding level supports SWPC real-time monitoring and forecasting of solar and geophysical events.

• Automated Surface Observing Systems (ASOS): -$2.3M– Reduction in ASOS/PI funding to reflect funding of higher-priority NWS requirements.

– Eliminates NWS development and deployment of the ASOS Enhanced Precipitation Identifier (EPI) sensors.

– Defers completion of scheduled ASOS ceilometer deployment from FY2009 to FY2013.

Reallocations to Support Priorities: -$5.1M

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Local Warnings and Forecasts - ORF

Line Item/Account

FY 2007 Pres Budget ATBs

FY08 Program Change

FY08 NOAA Submission($ in millions)

Local Warnings & Forecasts 561.0 17.0 578.0

Strengthen U.S. Tsunami Warning Network 20.4 2.7 23.1

NOAA Profiler Network 6.3 (3.3) 1.7 4.7

Hurricane Supplemental Buoy O&M (LWF) 1.4 3.0 4.4

Hurricane Supplemental O&M (LWF) 1.2 1.2

TAO Array Refresh (LWF) 1.1 1.1

NDBC Ocean Sensor O&M (LWF) 1.4 1.4

SEC 7.3 0.2 (1.3) 6.3

USWRP 7.5 0.1 (1.5) 6.1

NOAA Weather Radio 2.3 2.3

Alaska Data Buoys 1.7 1.7

Sustain COOP Observer Network 1.9 1.9

Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service 6.0 6.0

Aviation Weather 4.7 4.7

WFO Maintenance 7.3 7.3

Air Quality Forecasting 5.4 5.4

Pacific Islands Compact 3.5 3.5

Total, Local Warnings & Forecasts 636.8 14.0 8.3 659.1

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Line Item/Account

($ in millions)

FY 2007 Pres Budget

ATBs FY08 Program Change

FY08 NOAA Submission

Central Forecast Guidance 51.1 1.5 52.6

Environmental Modeling 1.0 1.0

Total, Central Forecast Guidance

51.1 1.5 1.0 53.6

Central Forecast Guidance - ORF

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Systems Operations & Maintenance - ORF

Line Item/Account FY 2007 Pres Budget

ATBs FY08 Program Change

FY08 NOAA Submission

($ in millions)

NEXRAD 43.8 1.4 45.1

ASOS 8.7 0.4 9.1

AWIPS 37.6 0.4 38.0

NWS Telecommunications Gateway Backup (CIP) O&M

5.5 - 5.5

Total, Systems O&M

95.6 2.2 -

97.8

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Procurement, Acquisition, & Construction

Line Item/Account

FY 2007 Pres Budget ATBs

FTE

FY08 Program Change

FY08 OMB Submission($ in millions) Change

NWSTG Legacy Replacement 0.5 0.7 1.2

NOAA Profiler Network 3.3 1.8 5.1

ASOS Product Improvement (EPI) 3.9 (2.3) 1.6

Strengthen U.S. Tsunami Warning Network 1.0 (1.0) -

NOAA Center for Weather & Climate Prediction Construction 19.3 (5.2) 14.1

Radiosonde Network Replacement 4.0 4.0

NEXRAD Product Improvement 8.4 8.4

AWIPS 12.8 12.8

Weather & Climate Supercomputing 19.1 19.1

Weather & Climate Supercomputing Back-up (CIP) 7.1 7.1

Complete & Sustain NWR 5.6 5.6

COOP Modernization 4.2 4.2

Weather Forecast Office Construction 12.5 12.5

Total, PAC 98.4 3.3 - (6.0) 95.7

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FY 2008 NWS Overview

• Maintains current services by providing $24.2M above FY07 PB, a 2.7% Increase:

– ATBs at $20.9M - number 1 priority

– Program Changes at $3.3M:

• Provides operations & maintenance funding for expanded capabilities– Hurricane Supplemental projects: observations, modeling, system

redundancy

– Strengthen Tsunami Warning System

– Modernized, redundant telecommunications hub

• Continues planned technology and facilitiesinvestments/ Administration commitments

• Reallocates funding to support priorities

40

Back Up

41

Why • Addresses Congressional mandate• Supports FY06 decision to operate

National Profiler Network (NPN) per COEA study

• 32/37 Wind Profilers have frequency interference problems. These 32 profilers need to be converted from

404MHz to 449 MHz profilers. • All NPN sites (nearing 20 years in age) require tech refresh

What• Establishes new NPN systems O&M infrastructure while continuing current system O&M (2

year effort). • Establishes new Monitoring Center at the Radar Operations Center (ROC): 4 contract

FTEs: $0.8M• Provides for the development of new systems maintenance course at the NWSTC: 1

contract FTE: $0.1M• Provides funding to establish new NPN Depot repair test facility at the National

Reconditioning Center (NRC): 1 contract FTE with test equipment: $0.55M• Provides funding to purchase test equipment for field Electronic Technicians: $0.22M

(ORF) NOAA Profiler Network O&M: +$1.7M

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DART Locations

43

Funding Plan: NPN O&M Costs (ORF)

Schedule• FY08: 3 sites converted• FY09: 12 sites converted 12 sites refreshed• FY10: 17 sites converted 12 sites refreshed• FY11: 13 sites refreshed (includes 5 Profilers

already operating at approved frequency)

NOAA Profiler Network: +$1.7M

Recurring Costs FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11

Communication Costs 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25

Logistics Repairs 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

Operations and Maintenance (existing) 2.35 2.35 2.35 0 0

Operations and Maintenance (new) 0 1.67 1.67 2.35 2.35

Sub-total Recurring 3.1 4.77 4.77 3.1 3.1

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(PAC) NOAA Profiler Network O&M: +$1.83M

Technical Refresh: $14.0M

Hardware ($10.81M)• LINUX computer platform with backup and fail over circuitry - $11K per site x 35 sites = $0.4M. Technology

refresh includes replacing the VAX system computers and re-hosting the software on a LINUX platform• One support system for the NWS Training Center - $0.5M• Refurbish one support system for National Reconditioning Center - $0.3• Software re-host development system = $0.2M• Upgrade telecommunications equipment at each site (including modems) - $41K per site x 35 sites = $1.44M• Data Collection facility modems - $0.16M• Site uninterruptible power supplies - $92K per site x 30 sites = $2.76M• Quality Assurance and receiving test system - $0.2M• Site uninterruptible power supplies - $92K per site x 8 sites - $0.74M• Shelter replacement – 36K per site x 35 sites - $1.26M• Site electric distribution – 9K per site x 35 sites - $0.32M• Antenna array support structure replacement - $29K per site x 35 sites - $1.02M• RASS component replacement - $13K per site x 35 sites - $0.46M• Satellite communication equipment - $30K per site x 35 sites - $1.05M

Software ($3.2M)• Software re-host engineering to comply with NWS Enterprise Architecture - $1.8M Technology refresh

includes replacing the VAX system computers and re-hosting the software on a LINUX platform.• Wind profiler site product formatter - $0.7M• Site data compression software- $0.2M• Data collection facility data decompression software - $0.2M• National Reconditioning Center and Quality assurance test software - $0.3M

45


*

* Estimated costs – NWS will be required to cover costs exceeding $4.4M request

46

NWSTG Tech Refresh +$0.7M

OUTYEAR FUNDING ESTIMATES (BA in Thousands)

FY 2007 & Prior

FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 Cost to Complete*


NWSTG Legacy System Replacement 6,304 495

Change from FY2007 Base 700 700 700 700 700

Total Request 6,304 1,195 1,195 1,195 1,195 1,195 4,780 17,059

Measure FY05 Actual

FY06 Target

FY07 Target

FY08 with

increase

FY08 without Increase

FY09with

increase

FY09 withoutincrease

FY10 with

increase

FY10withoutincrease

Message (Watch and Warning) Average Transit Time (seconds)

84 10 10 10 39 10 44 10 45

Average Message Traffic (send/receive) (daily)

950 GB

1.1TB 1.3TB 3.0TB* 3.0TB 3.5TB 3.5TB 4.0TB 4.0TB

Servers beyond recommended life cycle

42% 33% 40% 38% 43% 18% 42% 10% 44%

System Reliability ** 99.9% 99.9% 99.99% 99. 99% 98.89% 99.99% 98.89% 99.99% 98.89%

* By end of FY 2008

** 99.9% system reliability results in 8.75 hour maximum unscheduled downtime per year; 99.99% system reliability results in .9 hours maximum unscheduled downtime per year; 99.25% results in 65.7 hours downtime; 98.89% results in 97 hours of downtime per year.

Documents

National Weather Service