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NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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Page 1: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

NATIONAL POLL

April 24-27, 2014N=1,960 Likely Voters

#140404

Page 2: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

2

Total DEM(35%)

IND(32%)

GOP(33%)

Age 18-29

(17%)

Age 30-44

(24%)

Age 45-64

(38%)

Age 65+(21%)

35%

60%

29%

13%

47%36% 32% 28%

65%

40%

71%

87%

53%64% 68% 72%

RD

Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on

the wrong track?

WT

Total By Party By Age

RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT

NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK. YOUNG VOTERS & DEMS ARE DRIVING FORCE OF LIMITED OPTIMISM.

Page 3: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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Total

DEM(35%)

IND(32%)

GOP(33%)

Age 18-29

(17%)

Age 30-44

(24%)

Age 45-64

(38%)

Age 65+(21%)

42%

78%

37%

8%

58%

41% 41%31%

56%

20%

59%

90%

38%

56% 57%68%

And, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

OBAMA DEEPLY INVERTED AMONG INDS. HOWEVER, YOUNG VOTERS VIEW HIM POSITIVELY.

Total By Party By Age

Ap Ds Ap Ds Ap Ds Ap Ds Ap Ds Ap Ds Ap Ds Ap Ds

Page 4: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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Total

Total

Total

35% 30%

50%55% 58%

35%

Do you believe that the Obama

Administration has done a good job

running the federal government?

OBAMA ADMINISTRATION MIRED IN A CRISIS OF COMPETENCY AND HONESTY. MAJORITY BELIEVE ADMINISTRATION INFRINGES ON CIVIL LIBERTIES.

Yes No Yes No Yes No

Do you think the Obama Administration has been honest with the American people

about what is happening in the

federal government?

Do you think the Obama

Administration is infringing on the civil liberties of

American citizens?

Page 5: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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52%

39%

35%

32%

26%

22%

13%

13%

10%

91%

86%

82%

79%

77%

63%

56%

47%

51%

Education

Immigration Reform

Health CareFederal Budget Deficit and

Debt

Jobs/Unemployment

The Economy

Medicare and Social Security

Foreign Policy

Energy Policy

LOOKING AT BALLOT AMONG THOSE WHO CONSIDER EACH ISSUE “THE TOP PRIORITY”…

Thinking about the same list of issues, how high of a priority do you think each one should be for the federal government over the next six months before the 2014 Congressional elections? Should it be… The top priority, One of the top

priorities, A mid-level priority, …or… Not a priority?

DEM GOP

39% 42%

42% 37%

36% 44%

31% 55%

44% 36%

50% 30%

35% 44%

31% 49%

41% 35%

“Top” “One of Top”

Generic Preference

among “Top”

Page 6: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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March 30

April 5

April 27

DEM(35%)

IND(32%)

GOP(33%)

38% 37% 39%

81%

30%

3%

42% 39% 41%

7%

30%

88%

REPUBLICANS ARE MAINTAINING A SLIGHT EDGE IN GENERIC SENATE PREFERENCE THANKS TO SLIGHTLY MORE-COALESCED BASE, INDIES ARE EVEN.

DEM

And, when you think about the upcoming 2014 elections for U.S. Senate happening in some states, which is your preference for the outcome of

the election? Is it…

GOP DEM GOP DEM GOP DEM GOP DEM GOP GOP

Total By Party

R+4

R+2

R+2

Page 7: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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National All Senate States

Competitive Senate States*

DEM(35%)

IND(32%)

GOP(33%)

28% 27% 24%

59%

17%4%

39% 40% 35%

10%

35%

73%

33% 33%41%

30%

47%

23%

Sup

Will your vote this November for federal offices such as U.S. Senate and U.S. House be a vote to…

Send a signal of support for President Obama,Send a signal of opposition to President Obama, OR

Not send a signal either way about President Obama?

Opp

* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.

NoSig. SupOpp

NoSig. SupOpp

NoSig.

Totals By Party

SupOppNoSig. SupOpp

NoSig. Opp

NoSig.

VOTERS IN COMPETITIVE SENATE STATES ARE INDICATING THEY ARE LESS LIKELY TO SEND A SIGNAL ON OBAMA WITH THEIR VOTE.

Page 8: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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Generic SenateUndecided

Generic SenateUndecided

Generic SenateUndecided

31% 34%

11%

69%61%

31%

AMONG GENERIC UNDECIDED, ONLY 42% SAY THEY WILL VOTE TO SEND A SIGNAL TO OBAMA.

Right Directio

n

Among Voters Undecided on Generic Senate Control (20% of Sample):

Wrong Track Approve

Disapprove Support

Opposition

Mood of Country Obama Job Approval

Vote to send a signal of ________ for/to President

Obama

Page 9: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE

Page 10: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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Please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of…

Total

Total

Total

23-Mar

29%

10% 8% 12%

49%

26%

42%

13%

The Internal Revenue Service

(IRS)

Fav

Sample A:Lois Lerner

Sample B:Lois Lerner, the

former IRS employee accused of

wrongfully targeting conservative groups

for additional scrutiny from the IRS based on their

political beliefs

Previous PollConducted March

21-23Image: Tom Steyer

INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE FAIRLY UNPOPULAR. LOIS LERNER BETTER KNOWN/LESS LIKED THAN TOM STEYER (PREV. POLL) EVEN BEFORE DESCRIPTION.

Unfav Fav Unfav Fav Unfav Fav Unfav

Page 11: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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Total DEM(35%)

IND(32%)

GOP(33%)

Mod.(32%)

Cons.(39%)

Comp. Senate

SenateUnd.

8% 13% 6% 5% 8% 3% 7% 3%

42%27%

47% 52%25%

62%

30% 27%

10% 12% 6% 11% 8% 9% 8% 5%26%

14% 25%40%

21%44%

19% 15%

Unfv Fav Unfv Unfv Unfv Unfv Unfv Unfv Unfv

Total By Party By Ideology

Sample B: Lois Lerner w/Description

Sample A: Lois Lerner

Fav Unfv Fav Unfv Unfv Fav Unfv Unfv Unfv Unfv Unfv

LOIS LERNER AMONG KEY DEMOS…

54%VeryUnfa

v

37%VeryUnfa

v

* “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report.

CompetitiveSenateStates

Generic Senate Undecid

ed

Page 12: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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Total

Total

27%14%

43%

67%

Do you think the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has done

a good job in fulfilling their mission to administer the tax

code?

IRS DOES NOT GET GLOWING SCORE ON FULFILLING MISSION, AND FULLY TWO-THIRDS SAY IRS SHOULD NOT HAVE A ROLE ADMINISTERING OBAMACARE.

Yes

Do you believe that the Internal Revenue Service

(IRS) should have a role in administering the 2010

health care law, sometimes called ObamaCare?

No Yes No

Page 13: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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Total

DEM(35%)

IND(32%)

GOP(33%)

18-29(17%)

30-44(24%)

45-64(38%)

65+(21%)

9% 13%6% 9%

24%15%

4% 1%

82% 78% 83% 85%

62%72%

89%96%

A government investigation recently revealed that the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has paid over $2.8million in bonuses to employees with recent disciplinary problems, including over

$1million to workers who owed back taxes. The report says that this is inconsistent with the IRS mission to enforce tax laws. Knowing this, do you have a more favorable or a less favorable

impression of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS)?

NEWS OF IRS “SCANDAL” RECEIVED WITH NEGATIVITY. NOTE LITTLE PARTISAN DIFFERENCE, BUT SOME PUSHBACK FROM YOUNGER VOTERS.

LessFav

MoreFav

LessFav

LessFav

LessFav

MoreFav

LessFav

MoreFav

LessFav

LessFav

LessFav

Total By Party By Age

Page 14: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404

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Total

DEM(35%)

IND(32%)

GOP(33%)

Senate Und.(20%)

17%24%

14% 11% 7%

66%

52%

69%78%

64%

HAVING SENT A LETTER TO IRS ON TARGETING (MERKLEY, SHAHEEN, FRANKEN) HAS MESSAGE POTENTIAL, SIGNIFICANT INTENSITY.

More Likely

Total By Party Generic Senate

Undecided

In the summer of 2013, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) came under fire for improperly targeting conservative groups for additional scrutiny and delays based on their ideological leanings. It recently

came to light that a group of Democratic U.S. Senators sent a letter to the IRS in March of 2012 encouraging this type of action. If one of these Senators represented your state, would you be more

likely or less likely to vote for their re-election having learned this?

Less Likely

More Likely

Less Likely

More Likely

Less Likely

Less Likely

Less Likely

45%MuchLess 25%

MuchLess

46%MuchLess

66%MuchLess

40%MuchLess

Page 15: NATIONAL POLL April 24-27, 2014 N=1,960 Likely Voters #140404