National Plan for Promoting Mid-term and Long-term ... Harutyunyan... · The RA Government's Protocol Decree No 49 of 2016 “On implementation plan of responsibilities undertaken

«Ani» Hotel, Yerevan13 February, 2018

Diana Harutyunyan: UNDP Climate Change Project Coordinator

Climate Change AdaptationNational Plan for Promoting Mid-term and Long-term Adaptation in Armenia

UNDP-GEF Project Inception Workshop

c

Adaptation planning issueswithin the scope of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change

Climate Change Program, UNDP Armenia 2

2010

CO

P16

Cancún Adaptation Framework wasapproved to serve as a basis for national adaptation plans

2011

CO

P 17

Guideline for thedevelopment of national adaptation plans has been approved.Purpose: • CC vulnerability mitigation,

adaptation capacity building and and resilience

• Contribute to the adaptation to CC in national and sectoral policies, strategies, planning processes, programs and actions

The Paris agreement was approved.

Article 7 refers to adaptation 20

15 C

OP

21

2016

CO

P 22 The Green Climate

Fund committed to assist emerging economies and extend fundingfor adaptation planning development

2023

Glo

bal A

sses

smen

t

RA Government protocol decree No: 41, dated 2015"On approving Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC) of the Republic of Armenia under the UN Framework Convention on

Climate Change".

3) Adaptation actions are based on areas vulnerable to climate change:

• a. natural ecosystems (water and land, including forest ecosystems and their biodiversity, soil);

• b. human health,

• c. water resources,

• d. agriculture, including fish breeding and forestry,

• e. energy

• f. settlements and infrastructures,

• g. tourism.

Climate Change adaptation program compliance with national development context and strategies

Republic of Armenia Government Programme for 2019

Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Comprehensive and Enhanced Partnership Agreement between Armenia and the EU

National Disaster Risk Management Strategy and Program 2017

National Security Concept Paper (2007)

Food Security Concept paper and 2017-2021 Action Plan

The RA Government's Protocol Decree No 49 of 2016 “On implementation plan of responsibilities undertaken by CC conventions”, provides for the elaboration of the Adaptation Plan and its submission for Government approval

UNDP-GEF/ 00104267 Program: 4

Adaptation Action Monitoring Demand:

UNSD (United Nations Statistics Division)

• There is a demand for introduction of comprehensive climate statistics and indicators, 2020.

• The pilot phase and consultations in progress with developing countries, particularly to include vulnerability and adaptation indicators

Climate Change Convention (UNFCCC)

COP 21 transparency and monitoring are required to understand and measure adaptation progress.

Article 7 of the Paris Agreement stipulates that the parties have agreed to implement, monitor and evaluate the adaptation activities planning and implementation through communication, 2023.

Green Climate Fund (GCF)


Objecive: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change financing instrument

Established: in 2010 By Resolution 1 / CP16 under the Convention, started operating in 2015

Beneficiaries: 194 Parties to the ConventionManagement: Board+ Secretariat +Independent Assessors:Purpose: To provide financial resources to developing countries to

promote actions for for Greenhouse Gas Emissions reduction and adaptation to climate change (50% / 50%)

Located: Jangneung, South Korea

Green Climate Fund Preparatory Support Programme


• The objective is to help countries develop and strengthen national capacities for national planning, adaptation frameworks planning, formulate and seek financing from the Fund resources,

• Every developing country is eligible to a maximum funding of $ 3 million

• Authority to apply for funding is assigned to a national agency mandated to provide large-scale strategic oversight of the GCF operation in the country and reporting to the GCF on the priorities of the country's low emissions and climate sustainable development to receive financial support from GCF.

• The UN Development Program and the United Nations Environment Program (UNDP / UN Environment) are accredited by the GCF for the development and implementation of NAP projects.

UNDP‐Supported NAP

Funding and phases of adaptation planning projects

Evaluating the CC

impacts and vulnerabilities

Development of strategies and action

plans

Key stakeholders,

highlighting the importance of the action and

providing inputs

Development of adaptation

funding strategy and GCF project

packages


Armenia's vulnerability to climate change

According to the Convention, "...countries with vulnerable mountainous ecosystem • The issues of vulnerability and adaptation of Armenian economy and

ecosystems were first assessed and presented to the Convention in Armenia’s First National Communication in 1998. These assessments were subsequently supplemented by the 2nd (2010) and the 3rd(2015) communications

• Predictive scenarios were also developed for 2030, 2070, 2100.• Separate detailed studies have also been carried out.


Vulnerability assessments in Armenia:


• Roadmap for Modernization of Weather, Climate and Hydrology Services, 2018 • Rockfall Disaster Risk Assessment, 2018• Vulnerabilities in the Agriculture Sector, 2014• Assessment of Needs for Agricultural Insurance in Armenia on Climatic Risks,

2014• Climate Risk Management in Armenia, 2013• Vayots Dzor Region Vulnerability to Climate Change and Adaptation action plan,

2014• Armenia's Water Resources Vulnerability to Climate Change Impact, 2009• Socio-Economic Impacts of Climate Change, 2009• Complex assessment of climate change impacts on Marmarik River Basin Water

Resources

Deviations of average annual temperature in Armenia (1929-2016) and precipitation (1935-2016)

Average annual temperature rise: 1. 2 3 0 C

12

Annual average annual precipitation decline by approx. 9%

‐250

‐150

‐50

50

150

250

350

1935

1938

1941

1944

1947

1950

1953

1956

1959

1962

1965

1968

1971

1974

1977

1980

1983

1986

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

2016

Precipita

tion fluctuations, C

o

‐1.5

‐1.0

‐0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

1929

1932

1935

1938

1941

1944

1947

1950

1953

1956

1959

1962

1965

1968

1971

1974

1977

1980

1983

1986

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

2016

Tempe

rature fluctuations, C

o

Forecast changes in Armenia's river flow in 2030, 2070 and 2100

2030 2070 . 2100 .Year:

Flow, million m 3

Flow Change:million m 3 %

1961‐1990 5,797.0 0 02030 5,141.6 -655.3 ‐11.62070 4,405.6 -1,391.5 ‐24.92100 3,602.2 ‐2,195.0 -39.8

13

Vulnerabilities in agriculture• Agro-climatic shifts of 200-400 m up to the year 2100• Reduction of crop yields due to increased temperature, precipitation decrease

and evaporation from soil surface, • Increased negative impact of HHP due to their their expected increase in

frequency and intensity, • Expansion of irrigated land zones and the need for additional irrigation water,• Increased land and natural pastures degradation • Deterioration of agricultural land and yield decline• Expansion of plants and animals diseases and pests

14

Vulnerabilities in Agriculture towards HHPby Region

Year:Losses, AMD

billion

1995 17.001996 12.591997 26.531998 14.951999 11.332000 59.782001 23.942002 15.142003 82.632009 11.892010 35.502011 0.912012 0.492013 23.92

336.6 15

More than half of the territory of Armenia, especially the average highland mountainous areas, aresubject to mudflows.

Most of the mudflows in the country are associated with mountainous terrain and rainfall, hail, raresnow melting, and the largest number, approximately 80% is recorded in May-June. (4 NA)

Mud flow observed the Artik community of Shirak marz in June 2016 16

Vulnerability of settlements and infrastructures

Climate change and disaster risk management

17

Climate Change:Changes in the slow-changing hydro-meteorological situation,Hydro-meteorological Hazards

Disaster Risk Management:

Hydro-meteorological and geophysical extreme

phenomena

Joint risk management based on a common

agenda

Senday

The NAP Process:

Integrated approach. The NAP process should be included in national development planning, policies and programs.

Solutions specific to national context. Every country should work out their NAP relevant their respective situation

Continuity. Medium-term and long-term adaptability is a recurring process, rather than a one-time action

NAP development should be based on substantive data and studies, taking into account the best practices and traditional knowledge and with a view of the Convention requirements

Experience of developed countries: NAP structure and elements

• USA- Adaptation is viewed in the context of Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) functions as part of environmental protection

• Canada - mostly community function, with their appropriate guidance• Australia - 6 Guideline Principles ( shared responsibilities , data-driven risk management, CC

factor should be included in decision-making, choice of value-based alternatives, support to vulnerable groups, periodic review of decisions)

• Great Britain - Based on Risk Assessment, which should be revised every 5 years, the action plan clearly sets the responsible authorities

• Ireland - It is planned to develop national frameworks and propose local authorities to develop their annual plans

• Germany - Development of the Frameworks and Action Plan Approval at the Federal Level (2011), which contains sections per sectors, implementation is monitored by 105 indicators


Armenian NAP Program overview

In June 2016 the Ministry of Nature Protection launched the preparatory works for the National Adaptation Plan (NAP).

The Preparatory Action Plan for NAP Implementation was formulated and approved by key stakeholders and the Ministry of Nature Protection.

In January 2017, the UNDP Armenia Office elaborated and agreed the Project concept paper with the stakeholders, which was then submitted for approbation to the Ministry of Nature Protection,

In February 2017, along with "no objection" letter received from the Minister of Nature Protection, it was submitted to GCF for approval,

In June 2018, the GCF officially approved the Project. On November 27, 2018 the project document was signed


Diana [email protected]

THANK YOU.

www.nature-ic.am

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National Plan for Promoting Mid-term and Long-term ... Harutyunyan... · The RA Government's Protocol Decree No 49 of 2016 “On implementation plan of responsibilities undertaken