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NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION Michael Rutherford CSX

NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

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Page 1: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

N AT I O N A L G R A I N & F E E D A S S O C I AT I O N

M i c h a e l R u t h e r f o r d CSX

Page 2: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

FORWARD-LOOKING DISCLOSURE

2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E 2

This information and other statements by the company may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act with respect to, among other items: projections and estimates of earnings, revenues, margins, volumes, rates, cost-savings, expenses, taxes, liquidity, capital expenditures, dividends, share repurchases or other financial items, statements of management’s plans, strategies and objectives for future operations, and management’s expectations as to future performance and operations and the time by which objectives will be achieved, statements concerning proposed new services, and statements regarding future economic, industry or market conditions or performance. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words or phrases such as “will,” “should,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “project,” “estimate,” “preliminary” and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and the company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement. If the company updates any forward-looking statement, no inference should be drawn that the company will make additional updates with respect to that statement or any other forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, and actual performance or results could differ materially from that anticipated by any forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by any forward-looking statements include, among others; (i) the company’s success in implementing its financial and operational initiatives; (ii) changes in domestic or international economic, political or business conditions, including those affecting the transportation industry (such as the impact of industry competition, conditions, performance and consolidation);(iii) legislative or regulatory changes; (iv) the inherent business risks associated with safety and security; (v) the outcome of claims and litigation involving or affecting the company; (vi) natural events such as severe weather conditions or pandemic health crises; and (vii) the inherent uncertainty associated with projecting economic and business conditions. Other important assumptions and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements are specified in the company’s SEC reports, accessible on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov and the company’s website at www.csx.com.

Page 3: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

NON-GAAP MEASURES DISCLOSURE

2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E 3

CSX reports its financial results in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (U.S. GAAP). CSX also uses certain non-GAAP measures that fall within the meaning of Securities and Exchange Commission Regulation G and Regulation S-K Item 10(e), which may provide users of the financial information with additional meaningful comparison to prior reported results. Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. The presentation of these non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation from, as a substitute for, or as superior to the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations of non-GAAP measures to corresponding GAAP measures are attached hereto in the Appendix of this presentation.

Page 4: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

DIVERSE MERCHANDISE BUSINESS POISED FOR GROWTH

• Merchandise represents ~60% of revenue

• Selling value of Scheduled Railroading

• Renewed emphasis on carload growth

2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

2017 Revenue by Market

4

Page 5: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

5 2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

Operate Safely

Improve Service

Drive Asset Utilization

Control Costs

Develop People

Operational Focus

Terminal Fluidity

Balanced Train Plan

Service Improvements

Rolling Stock Utilization

People Efficiency

Fuel Optimization

Train Density

Sustainable volume and revenue growth Improving operating ratio Strong FCF generation & less capital intensity Superior shareholder distributions and returns

Financial Focus

Superior Financial Results

Improved Frequency

Better Reliability

Faster Transit

Quicker Turnaround

Productivity Improvements &

« RAILROADING IS JUST A BUNCH OF PROCESSES »

Page 6: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

6 2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

Reducing intermediate handlings improves service

Speed of transit reduces inventory carrying costs

Streamlined service solution supports overall reliability

Result – Faster, more reliable

service over longer distances

95% On-Time

Intermediate

95% On-time

95% On-time

95% On-time

Leaves Origin On-Time

Destination

Intermediate

Intermediate

86% On-time

95% On-time

SCHEDULED RAILROADING DRIVES SPEED and RELIABILITY

Page 7: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

A RADICALLY DIFFERENT FOOTPRINT KEY TO IMPLEMENTATION

Chicago

Jacksonville

Nashville

Atlanta

Baltimore

Florence

Albany

Great

Lakes

Louisville

South

Jersey

North

Jersey

Detroit

South

Northeast Southwest

Midwest

9 Divisions 12 Hump Yards

4 Regions 4 Hump Yards

2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E 7

Page 8: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

DISRUPTIVE CHANGE FOR LONG-TERM IMPROVEMENT

CSX Weekly Train Velocity* (MPH)

CSX Weekly Car Dwell (Hrs)

• Unparalleled rebound in measures driven by scheduled railroading

• Improving measures drive virtuous cycle of capacity and utilization

• Plan is based on continuous improvement

2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E 8 *Train velocity measures the profiled schedule of trains (from departure to arrival and all interim time), and train profiles are periodically updated to align with a changing operation.

Page 9: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

DELIVERING BETTER, MORE COMPETITIVE SERVICE

2017 2018

Reduced Transit Time Yields Customer Benefits

Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018

• Use more low-cost rail

• Fewer inventory buffers

• Lower carrying-costs

• Better asset utilization

2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E 9

Page 10: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

10 2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

TRIP PLAN COMPLIANCE WILL TAKE CSX FROM GOOD TO GREAT

• Every car has a plan and not just the train that it is riding • Trip Plan drives visibility and accountability • Provides customers predictability and reliability • Trip plans deliver consistent service product and asset utilization

Before After

Page 11: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Housing Starts In Millions

2.9%

1.5%

2.3% 2.6%

2.3% 1.9%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

U.S. Gross Domestic Product

(0.7%) (1.2%)

1.9%

3.3% 2.5% 2.2%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

U.S. Industrial Production 17.5 17.8

17.1 17.5 17.7 18.2

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Auto Production In Millions

100.0 97.1 107.9

102.8 102.5 100.4

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Grain Production Indexed: Jan-2015 = 100

Key Market Forecasts Key Merchandise Forecasts

THE TIMING COULD NOT BE BETTER

Source: IHS Global Insight • February 2018 Release: ProExporter 11 2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

Page 12: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

RAIL CAN CREATE VALUE IN A TIGHTENING TRUCK MARKET

110115120125130135140

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Indexed, 2005 = 100

Indexed, 2011 = 100

Cass Truckload Linehaul Index

(Measure of changes in per-mile rates)

Domestic Intermodal Shipments Vs. Truck Tonnage

90

105

120

135

150

165

180

Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17

IANA Domestic Containers ATA Truck (Tonnage)

• Trucking demand and linehaul rates surged at the end of 2017

• Driver shortages are likely to continue

• Electronic Logging Device mandate will create more trucker challenges

• Diesel prices up $0.44 per gallon YoY in January 2018

2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E 12

Page 13: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

UPSIDE OPPORTUNITY THROUGHOUT MERCHANDISE

Improving Freight Economy Expanding Economy

GDP/IDP Tax Reform

Infrastructure Bill Consumer Sentiment

Rail Conversion Opportunity Tightening Truck Market Rising Truck Load Rates Modal Share Expansion

US Modal Shipment Tonnage

Source: United States Bureau of Transportation Statistics

2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E 13

Page 14: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

14 2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

CSX AG & Food Products Revenue Growth

2017 AF Revenue: $1.2B Volume: 452K

AG AND FOOD ALSO REPRESENT IMPORTANT OPPORTUNITIES

Page 15: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

15 2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

Cycle equipment quickly to avoid idle dwell ― Do not allow cars to sit in the serving yard ― Quickly load and unload to turn the cars ― Release cars promptly in usable condition

Reduce time at customer to make local service more predictable

― Drop and hook is the ideal set up ― Eliminate excessive switching or placement ― Do not require mainline time to switch

Plan with the end in mind ― Pre-block cars to facilitate switching in transit ― Update transit times to mange pipeline

PARTNERSHIP IS KEY TO REALIZING CUSTOMER BENEFITS

Page 16: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

16 2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

Historical CSX Train Lengths

144 Total Locations – 149,637 carloads Includes both origins & destinations

40 - LTT Car Locations 11% of traffic – 16,597 clds.

104 - 90 Car Locations 89% of traffic – 133,040 clds.

47 Not Express 45% of locations

57 Express 55% of locations

MAINTAIN FOCUS ON TRAIN LENGTH AND SPEED

Page 17: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

17 2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

INNOVATING AS WE EXPAND EXPRESS TRAIN FRANCHISE

Focus on express execution – Pre-release technology – Better short line communication

and coordination – Data accuracy improvements

75% compliance is key – Participants must consistently perform

Future service measurements – Reservation # on the waybill is critical – Improvements in ETA’s – Enhancements to ShipCSX tools

Page 18: NATIONAL GRAIN & FEED ASSOCIATION · 2018-04-05 · Non-GAAP measures do not have standardized definitions and are not defined by U.S. GAAP. Therefore, CSX’s non-GAAP measures are

18 2 0 1 8 G R A I N & F E E D C O N F E R E N C E

INNOVATING AS WE EXPAND EXPRESS TRAIN FRANCHISE

CSX is committed to our new operating plan — Working to provide a more consistent and reliable product — Asset Utilization will continue to be a strong focus

Improving efficiencies for both CSX and our customers through mutually beneficial programs — 90 Car Conversions — Express Programs — Facility Development — ShipCSX Suite of E-Business Tools

We really appreciate your business and partnerships