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National governance structures for REDD+ Arild Vatn *, Paul O. Vedeld Department of International Environment and Development Studies, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, P.O. Box 5003, 1432 Aas, Norway 1. Introduction A core issue for the post-Kyoto climate regime concerns how to obtain reduced deforestation and forest degradation (REDD+). Deforestation takes presently place mainly in the tropics and is an important source of carbon emissions (IPCC, 2007; van der Werf et al., 2009). Moreover, REDD is seen by many as a low cost climate mitigation option (e.g., Stern, 2006). Hence, there is interest in the North for paying the South to reduce deforestation to next reduce own mitigation costs. This demands the establishment of institutions both at the international and national level to generate and transfer the necessary financial resources in ways realizing REDD+ activities. This paper focuses at the national part of such a structure. More specifically the aim is to analyze of a set of potential national governance structures, where the degree of market and govern- ment involvement varies. It is a response to the acknowledgment that in-depth analyses concerning governance issues especially at the national level are lacking (Gregersen et al., 2010; Corbera and Schroeder, 2011). To cover the range of options from ‘markets to state’, we have selected four generic governance structures to be evaluated: (a) a market/project based architecture; (b) a system with national REDD+ funds outside national admin- istrations; (c) a national REDD+ fund organized under the national adminis- tration; (d) conditional budget support. While the obligations for reductions of green-house gases will be set in international negotiations, the national governance structures for REDD+ will influence who will be involved in defining national responsibilities and how policies ‘on the ground’ will be formed and implemented. Reduced deforestation will not only influence green- house gas emissions, but also livelihoods for millions of people. In the REDD+ discourse, there is emphasis on REDD as a potential ‘triple win’ e.g., Angelsen (2008) and UN-REDD (2012). Added to climate mitigation, it might also reduce poverty and the loss of biodiversity. REDD+ could, however, also result in impaired livelihoods for people already facing demanding conditions (e.g., Ghazoul et al., 2010; Vatn et al., 2009). Certainly, in this context, the structure of the decision- making processes including who is participating and deciding, will be of great importance. The choice of governance structure for REDD+ is politically disputed. A core issue concerns the role of markets as opposed to state administrations. This debate reflects a general trend on how ‘to do governance’ which at present emphasizes more use of markets both in general (e.g., Pierre and Peters, 2000) and in the case of forests/REDD (e.g., Corbera and Brown, 2010; Okereke and Dooley, 2010). Opportunities relate to less central control and more locally generated, adaptive and innovative solutions. Opposing views to this neo-liberal trend emphasize that a contracted state reduces accountability, results in losses of Global Environmental Change 23 (2013) 422–432 A R T I C L E I N F O Article history: Received 5 February 2012 Received in revised form 22 October 2012 Accepted 16 November 2012 Keywords: REDD+ Governance Legitimacy Markets National funds Budget support Tropical forests A B S T R A C T This paper analyses a set of generic options for national REDD+ governance structures i.e., (a) a market/ project based architecture; (b) a system with national REDD+ funds outside existing national administrations; (c) a national REDD+ fund organized under the present administration; and (d) conditional budget support. The analysis is based on experiences from different, but similar governance structures e.g., the Clean Development Mechanism, payments for ecosystem services, environmental trust funds and various forms of budget support. While a solution with a market/project based structure has been favored by many, we conclude that this is the most problematic alternative. Concerning the other three, the national/local conditions will be of importance for their functioning. If REDD+ policies involve a large part of a county’s forested area, establishing a good link to the general forest and other sector policies will be necessary. ß 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. * Corresponding author. Tel.: +47 64965710/41517780; fax: +47 64965201. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (A. Vatn), [email protected] (P.O. Vedeld). Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Global Environmental Change jo ur n al h o mep ag e: www .elsevier .co m /loc ate/g lo envc h a 0959-3780/$ see front matter ß 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.11.005

National governance structures for REDD+

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NationalgovernancestructuresforREDD+Arild Vatn*,Paul O. VedeldDepartmentofInternationalEnvironmentandDevelopmentStudies,NorwegianUniversityofLifeSciences,P.O.Box5003,1432Aas,Norway1.IntroductionA coreissueforthepost-Kyotoclimateregimeconcernshowtoobtainreduceddeforestationandforestdegradation(REDD+).Deforestationtakespresentlyplacemainlyinthetropicsandisanimportantsourceofcarbonemissions(IPCC,2007;vanderWerfetal.,2009).Moreover,REDDisseenbymanyasalowcostclimatemitigationoption(e.g.,Stern,2006).Hence,thereisinterestintheNorthforpayingtheSouthtoreducedeforestationtonextreduceownmitigationcosts.ThisdemandstheestablishmentofinstitutionsbothattheinternationalandnationalleveltogenerateandtransferthenecessarynancialresourcesinwaysrealizingREDD+activities.Thispaperfocusesatthenationalpartofsuchastructure.Morespecicallytheaimistoanalyzeofasetofpotentialnationalgovernancestructures,wherethedegreeofmarketandgovern-mentinvolvementvaries.Itisaresponsetotheacknowledgmentthatin-depthanalysesconcerninggovernanceissuesespeciallyatthenationallevelarelacking(Gregersenetal.,2010;CorberaandSchroeder,2011). Tocovertherangeofoptionsfrommarketstostate,wehaveselectedfourgenericgovernancestructurestobeevaluated:(a)amarket/projectbasedarchitecture;(b)asystemwithnationalREDD+fundsoutsidenationaladmin-istrations;(c)anationalREDD+fundorganizedunderthenationaladminis-tration;(d)conditionalbudgetsupport.Whiletheobligationsforreductionsofgreen-housegaseswillbesetininternationalnegotiations,thenationalgovernancestructuresforREDD+willinuencewhowillbeinvolvedindeningnationalresponsibilitiesandhowpoliciesonthegroundwillbeformedandimplemented.Reduceddeforestationwillnotonlyinuencegreen-housegasemissions,butalsolivelihoodsformillionsofpeople.IntheREDD+discourse,thereisemphasisonREDDasapotentialtriplewine.g.,Angelsen(2008)andUN-REDD(2012).Addedtoclimatemitigation,itmightalsoreducepovertyandthelossofbiodiversity.REDD+could,however,alsoresultinimpairedlivelihoodsforpeoplealreadyfacingdemandingconditions(e.g.,Ghazouletal.,2010;Vatnetal.,2009). Certainly,inthiscontext,thestructureofthedecision-makingprocessesincludingwhoisparticipatinganddeciding,willbeofgreatimportance.ThechoiceofgovernancestructureforREDD+ispoliticallydisputed.Acoreissueconcernstheroleofmarketsasopposedtostateadministrations.Thisdebatereectsageneraltrendonhowtodogovernancewhichatpresentemphasizesmoreuseofmarketsbothingeneral(e.g.,PierreandPeters,2000)andinthecaseofforests/REDD(e.g.,CorberaandBrown,2010;OkerekeandDooley,2010).Opportunitiesrelatetolesscentralcontrolandmorelocallygenerated,adaptiveandinnovativesolutions.Opposingviewstothisneo-liberaltrendemphasizethatacontractedstatereducesaccountability,resultsinlossesofGlobalEnvironmentalChange23(2013)422432ARTICLEINFOArticle history:Received5February2012Received in revised form 22 October 2012Accepted16November2012Keywords:REDD+GovernanceLegitimacyMarketsNationalfundsBudgetsupportTropicalforestsABSTRACTThis paper analyses a set of generic options for national REDD+ governance structures i.e., (a) a market/project based architecture; (b) a system with national REDD+ funds outside existing nationaladministrations; (c) a national REDD+ fund organized under the present administration; and (d)conditional budget support. The analysis is based on experiences fromdifferent, but similar governancestructures e.g., the Clean Development Mechanism, payments for ecosystem services, environmentaltrust funds and various forms of budget support. While a solution with a market/project based structurehas been favored by many, we conclude that this is the most problematic alternative. Concerning theother three, the national/local conditions will be of importance for their functioning. If REDD+ policiesinvolve a large part of a countys forested area, establishing a good link to the general forest and othersector policies will be necessary.2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.*Correspondingauthor.Tel.:+4764965710/41517780;fax:+4764965201.E-mailaddresses:[email protected](A.Vatn),[email protected](P.O.Vedeld).ContentslistsavailableatSciVerseScienceDirectGlobal Environmental Changej our nalhomepage:www. el sevi er . com/ l ocat e/ gl oenvcha0959-3780/$seefrontmatter2012ElsevierLtd.Allrightsreserved.http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.11.005communicationchannelsbetweenthestateanditscitizens,andleadstomorepatchyandunreliableservicedelivery.Morepowertolessaccountablelocalelitesismentioned.Issuesaroundmarketsandfairnessarealsoemphasized(PierreandPeters,2000;OkerekeandDooley,2010).ThechoiceofnationalREDD+structuresmustbeseenandunderstoodinthiswidercontext.AsREDD+isstillatthedrawingtable,ouranalysiswillbebasedonexperiencesfromsimilargovernancestructures.WeutilizeexperienceswiththeCleanDevelopmentMechanism(CDM),paymentsforenvironmentalservices(PES),ConservationTrustFunds(CTF),forestfunds,andgeneralbudgetsupport.TheanalysisalsocallsforadeepeningintospecicitiesofREDD+andhowtheexperiencesobtainedfromtheabovecasescouldtinaREDD+setting.Thepaperhasthefollowingstructure:First,weemphasizesometheoreticalaspectsconcerninggovernanceofreduceddeforestation.Second,wespecifytheoptionswehaveselectedforthenationalREDD+governancestructures.Nextwedenecriteriafortheanalysis.Themainsectionincludestheanalysisofthespeciedgovernancestructuresagainstthecriteriausingdatafromexistingpolicyareasasmentionedabove.Wethendiscusscorendingsandconclude.2.AnalyzinggovernancestructuresforREDD+2.1.GeneralperspectivesGovernanceencompassesboththestructuresandprocessesthatshapesocialpriorities,howconictsareacknowledgedandpossiblyresolved,andhowhumancoordinationisfacilitated.Governanceishencemorethangovernmentasitincludesalsoactorssuchascommunities,businessesandNGOs(seeLemosandAgrawal,2006).Theframingofhumanactionandinteractioniscore,emphasizingpower,involvementandlegitimacy.Gover-nancestructuresorarchitecturescanbeseenasconsistingoftwomaincomponents(Vatn,2011):-Thetypeofactorsinvolved,characterizedbytheircapacitiesandcompetencies,rightsandresponsibilities.-Theinstitutionalstructuresfacilitatingtheinteraction/coordinationbetweentheactors.Bothactortypesandsystemsofinteractionareinstitutionalizedfeatures.Hence,theyarestructuredbyasetofconventions,normsandformalrules(Scott,2008;Vatn,2005). Thetypeofactorsinvolved,theircapacities,interestsandspecicrolesintheactualgovernancestructureinuencetheoutcome.Thesamegoesforthekindofinteractionsthatisfacilitated.Concerningtheactors,onemaydistinguishbetweenprivate,publicandcommunityorganizations.Certainly,eachcategorycoversawidevarietyofstructures.Nevertheless,eachgroupcarriessomedistinctcharacteristicsregardingdecision-making.Concern-ingtheinteractionbetweentheseactors,wemaytypicallydistinguishbetweenmarketexchange,commandandvariouscooperative/reciprocalarrangements.Wemayfurtherencountersituationswithnorules.Weshouldalsonotethatonendsincreasingemphasisintheliteratureonhybrids,meaningmixedformsoftheaboveactorstructurese.g.,publicprivatepartner-shipsseeLemosandAgrawal(2006)andSikor(2008).Governancestructuresare differentnotleastconcerningthefollowingaspects:-Rightsandresponsibilities:Thesestructuresdenewhichinterestsareformedandprotected.Theyconcernboththerulesdenedforpolicyformulationandimplementation,andthosedeningaccesstoeconomicresourcese.g.,propertyrights.Theoveralllegitimacyofinstitutionalsystemsisverymuchrelatedtotheproceduresestablishedfordecision-makingandtheimplemen-tationatvariouslevelsofsociety.-Information/knowledge:Productionanddistributionofinforma-tionandknowledgeareessential.Quality,accessandtranspar-encyareimportantsystems-dependentdimensions.Equallyimportantiswhatkindofinformationandknowledgeisacceptedasbasisfordecisionsbythevariousactors.-Transactioncosts:Thisconcernscostsofinteractionsbetweenactorsi.e.,costsofinformationgathering,formulationofgoals,agreementsorcontracts,andcontrolofagreements.Transactioncostsvarybothduetothecharacteristicsofthegoodsinvolvedandthetypeofgovernancestructure(Williamson,1985).Someservicesmaybeeasilyhandledthroughthemarketwhilehighcontractingcostsmayfavorpublicsystems.-Motivation: Motivationsandinterestformationvaryacrosstypesofactorsandformsofinteractions.Theroleofsocialvs.individualinterestsisimportantaswellaswhatthecontente.g.,self-interestis(MarchandOlsen,1995;Vatn,2009). Willingnesstocooperateasopposedtoactingstrategicallyisthereforeexpectedtovaryacrossgovernancestructures.Takentogethertheseaspectsofagovernancestructureareexpectedtoinuencetheresults(outputs)thatareproduced,theircostsandhowthesearedistributed.Thesearecontentiousissuesandstudyinggovernancestructuresinvolveseveralimportantnormativeques-tions.2.2.ThespecicitiesofREDD+inagovernancecontextREDD+focusesforemostonforestscapacitytostorecarbon.Assuchtheyhavesomechallengingcharacteristics.Beingbiologicalsystems,forestsaresubjecttonaturalvariationsandperturba-tions.Thisimpliesuncertaintyinbothtimeandspace.AstheideaofREDD+istopayonlyforchangesincarbonstocksthatwouldnototherwisehavetakenplace(Angelsen,2008),issuesbothaboutdeningresponsibilityandadditionalityareraised.Finally,leakageisagreatchallengeasreduceddeforestationmaybeoffsetbyincreaseselsewhere(Wunder,2008).Forestsrepresentvasteconomicresources.Theyformlivelihoodsformillionsofpeopledeliveringrewood,timberandnon-timberforestproducts.Theyarealsoveryimportantaslandtoclearforagriculture.ThemainideaofREDD+istocompensateforreducedaccesstotheseresourcesfollowingfromprotectingthecarbon.Whatandwhomtocompensateare contingentonthe rightstoland,paymentsystems,transactioncostsandpowerrelations.Thepoorestpeopleinruralareasare thelandless.Theyoftendependheavilyonforestlivelihoods(Vedeldetal.,2007). Sincetheydonotowntheland,theymay,however,notreceiveanycompensationforlostlivelihoodoptions.RathertheymaybefurthermarginalizedbyREDD+ascompetitionoverlandincreases.Similarly,theconditionsforagriculture,includingexpansionsintonewlandtofeedagrowingpopulation,maybecomecompletelychanged.Therefore,onemayalsoneedtoestablishprogramstosupportchangesinfarmingpractices,makenewenergysourcesavailableetc.Thishighlightsthemulti-sectorialcharacteristicsofREDD+.ItisalsohopedthatREDD+willincreasebiodiversity.Tropicalforestsareveryrichinbiodiversity.Protectioncouldthereforebeanimportantwaytoreducebiodiversitylosses.However,itisnotgiventhatwherecarbonischeapesttostore,thereisalsomostbiodiversity.REDDwillbeestablishedinquitevaryingsocialandpoliticalcontextsdemandingsensitivitytoexistingnationalandlocalinstitutions.ResearchonPESprojectse.g.,Muradianetal.(2010)andCorberaetal.(2009)emphasizestheroleofexistingpowerrelationsandinstitutions/socialembeddednessforacceptabilityandeffectsofPESprojects.A.Vatn,P.O.Vedeld/GlobalEnvironmentalChange23(2013)422432423Finally,REDD+isexpectedtoattractmuchresources(MeridianInstitute,2009).Itcouldout-competepresentnationalforestryprogramsinmanycountries.Moreover,itmayattractpeoplewithothermotivationsthanreducingcarbonemissionsandensuringco-benets.Theforestsectorisalreadyhauntedbycorruptioninmanyregionse.g.,Smithetal.(2003)andMilledgeetal.(2007).AnanciallylargeREDD+willincreaseopportunitiesformisman-agement.3.OptionsfornationalREDD+governancestructuresAsemphasized,weevaluatefourtypesofnationalgovernancestructuresforREDD+tocoverwhatweenvisionasthemaintypeoptionsavailable(seeFig.1).Themarket/projectbasedsystemforREDD+nancingwillincludebuyersandsellersofcarbonstoredinforests.Buyersaredominantlyexpectedtobermswithemissionreductionresponsibilitiesaccordingtoapost-Kyotoagreement,whilesellersareownersofforests,maybealsoincludingactorswithuserightstoforestresources.Interactionbetweentheseactorswilltaketheformoftrades.ThissystemwouldbequitesimilartothatoftodaysCDM.Thesecondgovernancestructureimpliesestablishingofanationalfundasanintermediarybetweenforestowners/usersandpotentialnanciersofREDD+activities.Whilebeingindependentofthepresentstateadministration,weimaginethattheboardwouldtypicallyincluderepresentativesfromtheprivatesector,civilsocietyandpublicauthorities.Whilethemarketsolutionmayalsoincludeintermediaries,theideabehindthisfundistoestablishanon-commercialactorbeingnationallyresponsibleforREDD+activities.Moreover,resourcesmayinthiscasealsocomefromaninternationalfund.Finally,theindependentnationalfundsmaynotonlymaketradeswithlocalforestowners.Theymayalsohavethecapacitytosupport/runlargerprogramsincooperationwithlocalcommunities.Thelasttwooptionsinvolvethestateandstateadministrationdirectly.Theideabehindafundinthenationalstateadministra-tionistoutilizethecapacitiesandcompetenciesofpresentstateadministrations.Allocationofresourcesis,however,madebyaseparateboardwithREDD+responsibilitiesonly.ThisfundissetupasindependentofordinarybudgetaryprocesseswithaspeciedresponsibilitytoallocatefundstoREDD+.Itreportstothegovernment,butmayincluderepresentativesfromalsocivilsocietyandthebusinesssector.Concerninginteractionrules,thisstructurecouldbeinstitutionalizedtobothusethecapacitiesofstateadministrationstocommand,butalsobeinvolvedindirecttradeswithforestowners/users.Concerningnallybudgetsupport,theideaistoutilizetheexistingstatestructureswithitsparliamentsandministries.ResourcesowfromaninternationalfundtotherespectivestateconditionedonthefulllmentofREDD+activities.Resourcesarethenallocatedtovariousactivities/forestowners/usersrelyingforemostthecommandpowerofthestate.Fig.1alsoincludestheinternationallevel.ThechoiceofanationalREDD+structurewillbeinuencedbytheinternationalfundingsysteminplace.Whilestudyingthisissuewouldgobeyondtheaimofthispaper,wenotethatREDD+resourcesmaybemadeavailablethroughinternationalcarbon(compliance)marketslikethepresentCDMortheymaycomethroughdifferentformsofinternationalfunds.Compliancemarketsi.e.,asystemwhereagentswithreductionresponsibilitiesaccordingtoapost-Kyotoagreementreceivecertiedemissionreductions(CERs)forREDD+paymentsaretypicallythoughttooperatethroughamarket/projectbasedstructure.Itis,however,alsopossibletocombineacompliancebasedsystemwithaninternationalfund.ThisfundthenissuesCERstoactorswithreductioncommitmentsrelativetotheirpayments.Theresourcesofthefundaresubsequentlyusedtopayforreduceddeforestation.Inthisway,resourcesfromtheprivatesectorcanbetransferredeventostatebudgets.Notethatmostanalysese.g.,MeridianInstitute(2009)concludethattomakeREDD+becomenanciallysizeable,somekindofcompliancesystemwillbenecessary.4.EvaluationcriteriaConcerningtheevaluationofthefournationallevelREDD+architectures,wewillfocusontheirlegitimacy.Theliteratureonlegitimacyisquitecomplexemphasizingbothnormativeanddescriptiveelements,bothproceduralandconsequentialaspects.Inouranalysiswehavechosentodenecriteriabothconcerningprocessandexpectedresultsfollowingthenowquitestandarddistinctionintheliteraturebetweeninputandoutputlegitimacy(e.g.,Ba ckstrand,2006; seealsoScharpf,1999).AccordingtoBa ckstrand,theformerrelatestotheorganizationandcontentofthepolicyprocess,andsheemphasizesissueslikeresponsibility,participation,accountabilityandtransparency.Thesecondcon-cernsresults/effectiveness.Concerninginputorprocess,itisparticularlyimportanthowdifferentinterestsareincludedinpolicy-formulationandimplementationprocesses,andhowdecision-makersareaccountabletostakeholdersandthewidersociety.Concerningresults,wewillhereuseaversionofthe3Esframeworkeffectiveness,efciencyandequityaspresentedine.g.,Angelsen(2008).WhilegoingbeyondBa ckstrandatthispoint,wenotethatthisframeworkisfeaturinghighintheREDD+discourseandweuseittolinktheanalysistoasetofspecicissuesraisedinthatcontext.Morespecically,wewillusethefollowingcriteria:1. Market directed (financial) intermediariesProject basedNational fundsBudget supportLocal/private projects National programsInternational funding (international carbon markets, global fund(s))2. Separate national fund3. Fund in national state administration4. State budgetsSector policiesFig.1.OptionsfornationalREDD+fundingarchitecture.ReproducedfromVatnandAngelsen(2009).A.Vatn,P.O.Vedeld/GlobalEnvironmentalChange23(2013)422432 424-Process(input)legitimacy:ConcernstheappropriatenessandacceptabilityofREDD+policyprocessesbothonprincipalgroundsandw.r.t.theinterestsofvariousactorse.g.,nationalauthorities,civilsociety/localcommunities,businessanddonors.Thisconcernsmorespecicallyissueslikeresponsibility,participation/typeofinvolvementatdifferentstagesandlevelsoftheREDD+process,thetransparencyoftheprocessandtheaccountabilityofdecision-makerstowiderconstituencies.-OutputlegitimacyEffectiveness: Concernshowwellthepolicymeetsitsoverallgoals.Specicaspectsconcernthecapacitytoraisefunds,theabilitytoavoidleakage,andtoensureadditionalityandpermanence.Implicitintheaboveisthecapacitytocoordinateacrosssectorsandlevelsofgovernment.Implicitarealsoissuesconcerningcomplianceandmotivationalaspectse.g.,risksofcorruption.Efciency:Concernstheabilitytoreachgoalsatlowestcosts.Thisinvolvesboththedirectcostofe.g.,reduceddeforestationandthetransactioncostsrelatedtothesystemofdecisionmaking,contracting,paying,monitoring,reportingetc.Capacitytodeliveronco-benets: FollowingtheREDD+discourse,ouremphasisisonpovertyreduction/equityandbiodiversitypreservation.Rightsissues,transactioncostsandmotivationalissuesarecoreastheyinuencetheuseofREDD+resources.Traditionally,the literatureonlegitimacyhasfocusedondueprocessemphasizinglegality.Overthe yearsthe issuesare broadened,includingthe formofparticipation(e.g.,discursiveness)andfairnessindistributionofpowerandoutcomes(e.g.,Dryzek,2001;Backstrand,2006;PaavolaandAdger,2006;OkerekeandDooley,2010).We alsonotethatthere isalinkbetweenprocessandoutputlegitimacyastheprinciplesofandjusticationsforagovernancestructureifappropriate/resonatingwithsocialbeliefsaboutwhatisagoodordertendtoensurevoluntarycompliancedespitethe factthatresultsmaynegativelyinuencespecic interests(Scharpf,1999).Inthecaseofoutputlegitimacy,weusecapacitytodeliveronco-benetsinsteadofthestandardequityelementofthe3Es.Thisisbecauseco-benetshasbecomeastandardreferenceintheREDD+literature.Sinceequityconsiderations/povertyalleviationispartofco-benetstogetherwithbiodiversityprotection,wehavechosentousethelatterasourthirdelementofoutputlegitimacytoavoidoverlapintheanalyses.Certainly,onemayarguethattermingequityissuesaco-benetmayimplyarepudiationofthesebenets.ItclearlyshowsthatREDD+hasitsmainfocusoncarbon.Usingthestandardterminologydoes,however,notimplythatweputlessemphasisonthesebenetsinouranalyses.5.EvaluatingtheREDD+governanceoptionsOuranalysisisforemostgeneric.Strengthsandweaknessesofthedifferentoptionswilldependontheparticularsituationineachcountry.Wementionsomeofthemostimportantcontextspecicissues,whileadetailedanalysisofthesecanonlybecoveredincountry-wisestudies.5.1.Amarket/projectbasedarchitectureThemainempiricalbasisforevaluatingamarket/projectbasedarchitectureisdatafromCDMandtosomeextentPESprojects.Market/projectbasedsystemsdrawespeciallyonthecapacityofmarketstodelivercost-effectivesolutions.Aspartofacompliancemarket,itisthoughttoofferstrongmotivationtondlowcostcarbonmitigationsolutions.ItspotentialforattractinglargeresourcestoREDD+hasalsobeenemphasizede.g.,KarousakisandCorfee-Morlot(2007)andSaundersetal.(2008). ThiskindofprivatefundingisseenasnecessarytomakeREDD+successful.Finally,itisarguedthatusingmarketsmayreducetheproblemofcorruptionandmismanagementoftenobservedinpublicadmin-istrationsinmanydevelopingcountries.Whilethesearestrongarguments,therearealsochallenges.Letusstartwithlookingatprocessissues.Principally,amarketimpliestradesbetweenforestownersandbuyersofcarboncredits.Whilethecreditsthemselvesmustbeissuedbyanindependentparty,thetradeexcludesparticipationfromactorsotherthanthosetrading.Inthecaseofforeststhereareseveralissuesinvolved.First,rightstoforestsresourcesaretypicallypluralintimeandspaceandoftenhighlycontested.Whilethestatemayoftenowntheforests,localcommunitieshavevariousformsofuserights.Thiscreatesademandingsituationfortradesrequiringfurtherrightsspecica-tionsseeUnruh(2008)andCorberaandBrown(2010).Thesituationmaycreatetemptationstolandgrabstoexcludeespeciallyinformalrightsholdersfromaccesstoland(Nelson,2010;Mustalahtietal.,2012).Moreover,theremaybeinformationasymmetriesinvolvedputtinglocalrightsholdersintheweakerpositioninnegotiationovercompensations/payments.Theobser-vationsmadeaboutso-calledcarboncowboysisanindicationofthechallengesfacedhere.AsemphasizedbyOkerekeandDooley(2010)andThompsonetal.(2011), protectinginterestsoflocalcommunities/indigenouspeoplethereforedemandsactionbeyondthemarket.Concerningprocesslegitimacy,theroleofferedtothirdpersonsisveryimportant.Forestresourceshavetypicallybothpublicandcommon-poolcharacteristics.Astradersareonlyaccountabletoeachother,thirdpersoninterestsareexcluded.Transparencyisalsoreducedtotheextentthatpartiestothetradecanclaimthatinformationmustbeprotectedforbusinessreasons.Atthesametime,governmentsmaybeinastrongpositioneveninthecaseofmarkettradesasstatesarethedominantformalownersofforestsinthetropics(e.g.,Siryetal.,2009;Lyster,2011).Itis,however,afundamentalquestionwhetherstateinvolvementshouldforemostbeasownerthroughtradingorasapolitical/democraticsystemwithresponsibilityforlanduseplanning.Tothe extentthatforestsareowned byprivateactors, theimplications for policyofthe marketmodelareevenmorechallenging. One may askifit is appropriate tolet internationaltrades over forest landdominatethe development of anationsforest sector.This questionbecomesmore serious the largerREDD+ grows.IfREDD+ dominates the forest sectornancially,the market/projectarchitecture can side-line state forest sectormanagement.This could inuencethe ability ofthe stateadministration toimprove transparency, accountabilityandparticipationin decision-making inways reducingwiderlegitimacy.Movingtoeffectiveness,itisnotgiventhatacompliancemarketwillattractlargeresourcestodeforestationprojects.TheCDMexperiencesoffersomeinsights.In2009,onlyabout1%ofCDMprojectsinthepipelinewereforestrelated(UNEP,RisoeCentre,2010). AccordingtoRobledoandMa(2008),thisascribesnotleasttocomplicatedrulesmakingforestprojectsexpensivetoinitiate.NotemoreoverthatCDMonlyincludesafforestationandreforestation.Deforestationwasexcludedduetoverydemandingcontrolandmeasurementproblems.SimilarobservationsaremadeconcerningPESforestcarbonprojects(Corberaetal.,2009).ToensuresufcientresourcestoREDD+throughaCDMlikesystem,onemightthereforehavetomakeREDD+investmentscompulsory,goingsomewhatagainstthelogicofthemarket/projectmodel.Anotherchallengefortheeffectivenessofmarket/projectsolutionconcernsleakage.TheexperiencewithCDMillustratesthis.Tobeviable,monitoringandcontrolschemes(MRV)mustbesetupoutsidetheprojectareasaswell.Ifleakageisobserved,theA.Vatn,P.O.Vedeld/GlobalEnvironmentalChange23(2013)422432425projectbasedsystemwill,however,havenopowerinitselftocorrectforthisasthereisnoarrangementcoordinatingactivitiesonthegroundexceptthepowerofinvolvedstatestodismissprojects.REDD+compliancemarketswilldirectactiontowardbuyingcarboninstandingforests.Curbingdeforestationmay,however,demandactioninothersectors,e.g.,energyandagriculture.TotheextentsuccessfulREDD+actionsdemandcross-sectorengage-ment,apuremarket/projectbasedsolutionhasahandicap.Asimportantisthefactthatmuchdeforestationistheresultofillegalloggingandpoorgovernance.Theseareissuesthatthemarket/projectapproachitselfwillnotbewellsuitedtohandle(e.g.,Saundersetal.,2008).Thislinkstotheissueofcorruption.Willamarket-basedREDD+havethecapacitytoavoid/reducethat?TheliteratureonCDMisnotveryencouraging.Oneproblemisthatbothsellersandbuyerswillgainfromctitioustradesi.e.,reductionsthatshowupmainlyonpaper.Therearethusissuesconcerningadditionalityofprojectsandtheproblemofoverestimatedeffectse.g.,Schneider(2007)andSovacoolandBrown(2009).Concerningefciency,theleveloftransactioncostsiscore.ThesecostsseemtoexplainthelowlevelofforestprojectsunderCDM.Moregenerally,statepaymentsheavilydominatemarkettransactionsinthecaseofPESseeMilderetal.(2010).Highlevelsoftransactioncostsinthecaseofmarketsseemtobeaveryimportantpartoftheexplanation(Vatnetal.,2011). InthecaseofPES,Wunderetal.(2008)indicatethattransactioncostsareintheorderof30100%comparedtopayments.Studyingagri-environ-mentalprograms,Rrstadetal.(2007)concludethatcomplexityofatransactionvastlyincreasestransactioncosts.Marketsworkwellforstandardizedcommodities.Assoonasonemovestomorespecictradeswithcomplexandoftenidiosyncraticgoodslikeecosystemservices,usingstatepayments/taxesasopposedtomarkettradesmaysimplifytheprocesssubstantiallyseeVatn(2010).Thefactthatpropertyrightsforforestsareoftencontestedstrengthensthisargument.Movingnallytoco-benets,theexperienceswithmarketbasedsolutionsarevaried.Reviewingtheliterature,wemakethefollowingcoreobservations:-CDMhasdeliveredratherweaklyonco-benets.Those buyingemission reductionsare lookingfor the cheapest carbonoptions.For co-benets todowellinamarket setting, thesemustthen bejointlyproducedwiththe cheapcarbon. Olsen(2007)andOlsen andFenhann (2008) show thatthisis oftennotthe case.-Inlinewiththis,CDMfundsdonottendtoowtothepoorestregions.Hence,AfricahasreceivedalowpercentageofCDMinvestments(UNFCCC,2009).Lackofsecurepropertyrights,andcostlytransactionscomparedtolowcarboneffectsgainedpertradeareimportantexplanations(e.g.,LipperandCavatassi,2004,Cosbeyetal.,2005).SimilarobservationsaremadeinthecaseofPES(e.g.,Grieg-Granetal.,2005;Corberaetal.,2007;Muradianetal.,2010).-Venteretal.(2009)pointtowardsimilarissuesforbiodiversityprotection.Therearetrade-offsbetweencheapcarbonandhighlevelsofbiodiversityprotection,whilethechallengesseemclearlysmallerthanforpovertyalleviation.-CDMhasattractedsubstantialresourcesandresearchersemphasizethatithascaughttheattentionofmanyintermediar-iesthatratherareafterthemoney,causingthewideraimsofCDMtobeside-linedtosomeextent(e.g.,LloydandSubbarao,2009)-Thetypeofmarketalsoinuencesmotivationsforcarbontraders.Neeffetal.(2009)documentwillingnesstopayforco-benetsinthevoluntarymarket.WhilebuyersofCDMcreditstendtolookforcheapcarbon,thoseoperatinginvoluntarymarketsaremoreafterconsumertrust.Thisillustrateshowthecomplianceinstitutionitselfmaynarrowthefocusoftraders.Oneshouldnallynotethatthekindofintermediariesinvolvedmaymakeadifferenceconcerningperformance.SomeNGOsgetinvolvedasintermediariesforwiderreasonsthanearningincomefromtrades.Whilewehavefoundnostudiesanalyzingdifferencesbetweentypesofintermediaries,wenotethattheGoldStandardforcarboncreditswasdevelopedbyNGOstostrengthentheemphasisonsustainabledevelopmentinthecaseofCDM(Stenslie,2010).5.2.FundsoutsideexistingnationaladministrationsConservationtrustfunds(CTFs)arethekindofexistingfundsthatcomeclosesttothisstructure.Suchfundshaveexistedsincetheearly1990s,andtherearepresentlyabout50ofthem(SpergelandTa eb,2008).WhilepredominantlyfoundinLatinAmericaandtheCaribbean,therearealsoCTFsinAfricaandAsia,andinsomeformerSovietUnionstates.CTFsaredominantlyorganizedtonancebiodiversityprotection.ItshouldbenotedthattheyoftenoperateasintermediariesinPESprojects.We alsonotethatinanalyzingexperienceswithCTFs,thereareratherfewespeciallyresearchbasedassessmentstorelyon.CTFsoperateatnationallevelsandmanyhavebeenestablishedbyspecialnationallegislation(SpergelandWells,2009).Theyarepublicprivatepartnershipswithboardstypicallyincludingrepresentativesfromcivilsociety,business,academicorganiza-tions,donorsandgovernmentofcials.Non-governmentalrepre-sentativesnormallyhavemajority(GEF,1998).TheliteratureonCTFsindicateshighoverallprocesslegitimacy.Eveniftherehasbeencriticismofdonordominanceespeciallyinnewlyestablishedfunds,CTFsaretypicallyestablishedinratherclosecollaborationbetweendonorsandthehostingstate(Moye,2002).Thewiderepresentationinmostboardshasfurtherstrengthenedlegitimacy.Thesystembuiltforthesefundsemphasizehighleveloftransparency.InmanyCTFstheboardmembersareappointedasindividualstoavoidclosetiestospecicinterests.Thismayprovokeissuesofaccountability,though.Theliteraturedoesnotmentionanysuchcritique,whilewenotethatalsointhecaseofCTFs,environmentaldecision-makingispushedoutofthestandardpoliticalprocess.SpergelandTa eb(2008)emphasizethatthebusinesssectorissupportiveofCTFswhilethesomewhatlowervisibilityofferedtodonorscomparedtothemarket/projectbasedsystemisnotedasanissue.Concerningeffectiveness,CTFsweresetuptoattractprivatefundstonationalenvironmentalprotectionactivities.AccordingtoSpergelandWells(2009)manynanceministriesinitiallyopposedtheirestablishment,butwerepersuadedtoacceptthesolutionduetoitsabilitytoaccessotherwiseinaccessibleprivatefunds.Despitethis,themainsourceofCTFnancesisstillpublic.AccordingtoSpergelandTa eb(2008)theycoveralmost75percentofatotalfundingofabout1.5billionUS$forCTFsworldwide(SpergelandWells,2009).TheliteratureemphasizesgreatuncertaintyconcerningtheimpactofCTFactivities.Thefocushasbeenmoreonprocessthanimpact.Baselinedataareoftenlackingandmonitoringofresultsonthegroundisweak(GEF,1998;SpergelandTa eb,2008).Thisisamajorweakness,butnotanargumentspecicallyagainstCTFs.Thisisaproblemforallsystemsreviewedinthispaper.Moreover,itshouldbepossibletoremediatethisbyincreaseddemandsfromdonors.CTFsfacesomeofthesamerestrictionsasmarket/projectbasedsystemsconcerningcoordinationacrosssectors.SpergelandTa eb(2008)refertoexceptionsliketheMexicanNatureConservationFundanditscoordinationofactivitieswithofcialMexicanpolicies.Nevertheless,CTFsoperatetoalargeextentthroughA.Vatn,P.O.Vedeld/GlobalEnvironmentalChange23(2013)422432 426fundingprojects.Hence,someoftheproblemsmentionedinrelationtothisissueraisedinSection5.1wouldalsoapplyhere.AreasonforestablishingCTFshasbeentoreducecorruptionandensureindependencefromgovernmentsincreasingdonorcondencethatfundswillbespentefcientlyandavoidredirectionofresourcestoothergovernmentuses(Starke,1995).WhiletheliteratureonCTFsdoesnotmentioncorruptionproblems,weshouldnotethattheemphasisoncorruptionintheCDMliteraturemayfollowfromdifferentgoals,notdifferentsystems.MostCTFsareorientedatfundingbiodiversityprotectionespeciallythroughnationalparks.Nocomplianceissuesareinvolved,nocreditsissued.Hence,therearefewermotivestowardmanipulatingdata.Turningtoefciency,ithasbeenarguedthatCTFsincreasecostsbyestablishinganextramanagementlevelbetweenbuyersandsellersseeBayonetal.(1999).Thisargumentisnotwellsubstantiated.Makingthiskindoftransactionisdemanding,andusingintermediariesseemshardtoavoid.Rather,professionalintermediariescouldreducetransactioncosts(Bayonetal.,1999).HowefcientCTFsareatdoingthatjobisdifculttoassessgivenpresentdata.GEF(1998)documentsthatfundshaveoperatingcostsintherangeof2530%ofthetotalbudget.SpergelandTa eb(2008)recordsomewhatloweradministrativecostsintheorderof1020%.ThetransactioncostgurespresentedearlierforPESmoregenerallywereabithigher(1550%ifrecalculatedtotheaboveformat).Thedifferencemaybeexplainedbysomeeconomiesofscale.Asimportantisthefactthatthelatteralsoincludestransactioncostsforthelocalorganizationrunningtheprojects.NotemoreoverthatthereisoverlapinthedataasmanyPESprojectsarechanneledthroughCTFs.ArgumentsinfavorofCTFsalsoconcerntheircapacitytoavoidtherigidityofmanystateandlocaladministrations.Inlinewiththis,SpergelandTa eb (2008)offerexamplesofverybureaucraticmanagementsystemsife.g.,theCTFiscontrolledbyaministry.Certainly,thepotentialgainofCTFsdependsonthekindofpublicmanagementsysteminthehostcountry.Addedtothatistheissueofpoliticalaccountabilitymentionedabove.Aspreviouslyemphasized,paymentsforenvironmentalser-vicesmaynothaveawell-denedreceiver.Hence,Bayonetal.(1999)emphasizethateffectiveCTFstendtoexpandbeyondtheroleofapurenancialmechanism,engagingininstitutionalcapacitybuildingatthelocallevel.So,creatingnewlocalgovernancestructuresisoftenneededtomakepaymentswork.Turningnallytoco-benets,thereisnotmuchdocumentedexperience.AsCTFsarepredominantlyorientedtowardprotectingbiodiversity,onecouldexpectthemtobebothpositivetoandcapableoftakingbiodiversityissueswellintoaccount.Note,however,thatthedynamicsmaybedifferentwithfocusturningtowardcarbon.Concerningpovertyissues,therehasgenerallybeenconictsbetweenbiodiversityconservationandlivelihoodprotection.Thisconcernsnotleastprotectedareamanagement(e.g.,Vedeld,2002;Huttonetal.,2005).AsCTFsdominantlysupportthenancingofsuchareas(GEF,1998;SpergelandTaeb,2008),theissueislikelyalsoaproblemforthem.SpergelandWells(2009,p.81)pointtowardaspecicaspectofthisstatingthatCTFssometimesstrugglewithgovernmentsthatwanttouseCTFsforpovertyalleviationprojectswhicharenotrelatedtoconservation.Weshouldalsonotethatinmanycases,theCTFshaveamanagementculturewithquitestrongconservationvaluesandcompetences,beinglittleinvolvedincommunitybasedmanage-mentactivities.5.3.ConditionalbudgetsupportAsREDD+maygrowlargeincludingsubstantialforestareasinacountryinvolvingthegovernmentdirectlymayseembothunavoidableandwarranted.Analyzingthisoption,wehavelookedintotheliteratureonbudgetsupportandconditionality.Develop-mentaidintheformofbudgetsupporthasincreasedsubstantiallysincethelate1990s(IDDandAssociates,2006).Itimplieschannelingdonorfundstoapartnercountryusingitsownallocation,procurementandaccountingsystem(KoeberleandStavreski,2006,p.7).Onereasonforthismovewasratherweakresultswithstandardprojectandevenprogramaidsinceitwasfragmentedandweaklycoordinatedwithnationalpoliciesresultinginweaksenseofownership,rentseekingbehaviorandpooroutcomes.Italsorepresentedashiftinthinkingtowardestablishingapartnershipbetweendonor(s)andtherecipientcountry,respond-ingtoacritiqueofoldstyleconditionalityasinthelendingpracticesoftheIMFandtheWorldBank.ItwasrealizedthatgoodpoliciescannotbeboughtasemphasizedbyJosephStiglitz(TheEconomist,1999).Severalargumentsareemphasizedconcerningstrongconditionality(e.g.,Checkel,2000;Killick,1997).First,usingconditionalitywhengoalsofdonorsandtherecipientgovernmentareinconictisnotveryeffective.Second,paymentsareneverthelessoftenmadedespiteconditionsnotbeingfullledasdonorrepresentativeswanttodisbursemoneyalreadyallocated.Thisinuenceswillingnesstocomply.Third,conditionalitytendstoreducetheengagementofthehostcountry.Anownershipproblemiscreated.Finally,conditionalityfaresbadlyinnationalcontextsmarkedbypoororfragmentedpolicyenvironments(Checkel,2000,p.3).Theinterpretationoftheabovendingsvariessubstantiallyacrosstheliterature.WhileauthorslikeKillick(1997)andSvensson(2003)emphasizethatconditionalityisnormallynotformulatedinawaythatisconsistentinincentiveterms,Checkel(2001,p.560)underlinesthattheissueisnotjustaboutincentives,butalsoaboutdevelopingachangedagendawheremutuallearningandthediscoveryofnewpreferencesreplaceunilateralcalculation.Asimplicitintheabove,channelingresourcesthroughthestatebudgetwouldscorehighonprocesslegitimacytotheextentthatthepoliticalsystemisdemocraticallycontrolled,accountableandtransparent.Acoreissueconcernsthecapacityofthepoliticalsystemtoinvolvevariousstakeholders.Therearemanyexamplesofweakinvolvementoflocalcommunities.ThemarginalizationofindigenousgroupshasbeenespeciallyemphasizedinthediscussionoverREDD+e.g.,Lyster(2011). Thereare,moreover,reasonstofearthatREDD+mayturntherecenttrendtowarddecentralizationofforestmanagement;e.g.,Phelpsetal.(2010).Theywarnagainstre-centralizationbecauseofeconomiesofscaleinMRV,coordinationneedsandstandardizationissues.Involve-mentofcommunitiesandmarginalizedpeopleisbothimportantforREDD+legitimacyandagreatchallengeforstateadministra-tionsinmanydevelopingcountries(e.g.,Colfer,2011).Transparencymaybeanissueasmoneyisnowpaidthroughnationalbudgetsanditwillnotbeeasytofollowitsspecicuse.Ifthemoneyispaidconditionallyonthebasisofperformancei.e.,levelofreduceddeforestationonecouldarguethatthereisnoproblem.Itistheamountofcarbonstored,nothowitisaccomplishedthatmatters.Thisassumesthatdonorsignoretheprocessofestablishingreductionsandwhogetscompensatede.g.,co-benets.Astheconditionalityliteratureshows,theseissuescouldbefraughtwithproblems.Thequestionofaccount-abilityisequallyimportant.Thegovernmentmaycomeinakindofsqueeze.Itsbasicaccountabilityistowarditsconstituencies.Ontheotherhand,inthecaseofREDD+,accountabilityiswiththebuyersofstoredcarbon.Movingtoeffectiveness,weobserveseveralissues.Concerningraisingfunds,onemayarguethatbudgetsupportworkswellonlywhenforeignstatesarebuyers.Thisconclusionis,however,A.Vatn,P.O.Vedeld/GlobalEnvironmentalChange23(2013)422432427dependentontheinternationalarchitecturechosen.Ifprivatebusinessesreceivecertiedemissionreductions(CERs)whenpayingintoaninternationalfund,thereshouldbenodifferencecomparedtoamarket/projectsystem.Concerningleakage,asolutionwithbudgetsupporthas,atleastintheory,thecapacitytooutperformthetwopreviouslydiscussedsystems.Thestateshouldhavethebestcapacitytoestablishnationallevelmonitoringaswellasthepowertoensurethatactioninonelocalityisnotcounteredbyincreaseddeforestationatotherlocations.Onemustnotethatthecapacityofstatestoensurenecessarycontrolvariesconsiderably.Itcannotbetakenforgrantedthattheadministrationiscapableorevenwillingtoestablishandrunthenecessaryprogramswell.Ensuringadditionalityisstronglylinkedtotransparencyandaccountability.AnargumentbehindusingCTFswasnotleasttoavoidmoneybeingdivertedtootherissues(SpergelandTa eb,2008).Hence,forbudgetsupporttoperformwell,itmightbenecessarytodenequitestrictperformancebasedconditionalities.Asstrongconditionalitymightreducethecooperativewillofthehostcountry,theremightbeanunavoidabletrade-offhere.Concerningsectorcoordination,wenotethatbudgetarysupporthasthecapacitytooutperformproject-basedandCTF-basedsystems.Certainly,mostgovernmentsstrugglewithsectorcoordination.Despitethis,beingpartofthesameadministrationopensupopportunitiesthatclearlygobeyondthatofthepuremarket/projectsolutionorseparatefunds.Concerningefciency,budgetarysupporthastheadvantageofusingexistingsystems.NonewstructuresneedtobeestablishedseealsoKoeberleandStavreski(2006)andLawsonetal.(2005).ThefactthatpublicagentsstronglydominateasintermediariesinPESprogramsisanindirectsupporttotheconclusionthatusingpublicsystemshelpskeepingtransactioncostsdowncf.earlierdiscussion.However,inmanycountries,thelocaladministrationsareweaklydeveloped,andREDD+woulddemandfurtherimprovements.Wealsonotethatbureaucraticrulesmayhampertheefciencyofpublicadministrations.Certainly,thelevelofrigidityvariesacrossadministrationsandacrosscountries.Hence,theimportanceofthisargumentiscontextual.InmanycountrieswhereREDD+maybeinstituted,stateadministrationsareoftenplaguedwithcorruptionandpoormanagement.ItmaystillbearguedthatREDD+shouldbeusedtostrengthenpublicadministrationatvariouslevelssimplybecauseforestrymanagementisapublicresponsibility.Thishasbothtodowiththenecessaryaccountabilitytothepublicandthefactthatstrengtheningthenationalsystemscanhavelongrunpositiveeffectsonthepoliticalsystem.Turningnallytoco-benets,theargumentinfavorofbudgetsupportconcernsthepossibilitytomakestronglinkstopresentpoliciesonpovertyalleviationandbiodiversitypreservation.BothissuesareimportantforgovernmentsinmanypotentialREDD+hostingcountries.Oneshouldneverthelessobservethatthereisnoguaranteethatsuchawidersetofgoalswillbetakenintoaccount.Nationalbiodiversityprogramsareoftenaccusedfornottakingtheinterestsofruralpoorseriously(e.g.,Huttonetal.,2005).Theinterestsofindigenouspeoplesareoftenleftunaccounted,sometimesevenopposed.Policiestoreducepovertyhaveoftenbeencriticizedforbeingineffectivee.g.,Hulme(2010)andChronicPovertyResearchCentre(n.y.).Certainly,intheseareas,successwilldependheavilyontheengagementandwillofthegovernmentinthespeciccountries.Itisespeciallyheretheissueofconditionalityisparticularlysensitive.5.4.FundsinsidethenationaladministrationOurinterestinthisalternativeconcernswhetherafundinsidethenationaladministrationcouldcounteractweaknesseswithstandardbudgetsupportwhilestillmaintainimportantgains?Heretheliteratureonso-calledforestfundsprovidesthemostrelevantinsights.Thesefundshaveahistorygoingbacktothe1920s(Fontaine,1961).Theyareofvaryingformatsspanningfromquiteautonomousfunds,viafundsthatarerunbyaspecicpublicagency,tofundsbeingjustaseparateaccountinthebudgetofaministry.Inourcontext,forestfundsthatarerunbyseparateboardsoragenciesareofgreatestinterest.Theyarestillpublickeptwithinthenationaladministrationbuthavevariousdegreesofautonomy.AccordingtoRosenbaumandLindsay(2001)eventhisclassofforestfundsmayhaveverydifferentgovernancestructures.Somearerunbyaspecialagencyplacedwithinaministrye.g.,theBolivianFONOBOSQUElocalizedasaseparateentityundertheMinistryofSustainableDevelopmentandEnvironment.Othershavegreaterlegalautonomylikeapublicagency,trustorgovernmentownedcorporation.TheCostaRicanFONAFIFOtsthisdescriptionbeingatrustfundgrantedrelativeautonomywithaboardofdirectorsconstitutedbythreerepresentativesfromthepublicsectorandtwofromtheprivate(FONAFIFO,2011). Inthesecases,thegovernmentappointstheboard/administration,formulatesstatutesandsecuresitsnances,butdoesnotengageindecisionsconcerningtheuseofthemoney.AsFONAFIFOillustrates,boardsmayincludenon-governmentalrepresentatives.Separateauditingisnormallyused,whilethestandardstateauditingauthoritiesmaysometimesbeinvolved.AnexampleofthelatteristheSouthAfricanNationalForestRecreationandAccessTrust.Adominantobjectiveofforestfundsisreforestationandafforestationbothonprivateandpubliclands(RosenbaumandLindsay,2001).Thefundsmaysupportadministrativeactivities.Therearealsoseveralcaseswherethefundsareusedtonanceordinarypublicforestadministrations.Purchaseoflandforpublicobjectivesisalsoobservedasanaimforforestfunds.Therearelittlesystematicevaluationsofthefunctioningofforestfunds.SomeelementsarefoundinRosenbaumandLindsay(2001)andinLandell-Mills(1999).ButasRosenbaumandLindsayemphasize,theirevaluationsaremainlytobeseenashypotheses.Basedonthesesourcesandonourownmoregeneralassessments,wemaystilloffersomeinsights.Inthecaseofprocesslegitimacy,thepotentialinvolvementofactorsoutsidethepublicadministratione.g.,representativesofNGOsmaybeseenasacrucialfactorensuringwiderparticipationindecision-makingandaccesstoinformation.Theuseofseparateaccountsalsoincreasestransparency.Atthesametime,thelevelofindependenceestablishedmayreduceaccountability.Thisargu-mentcarriesweightconcerningtherelationtothestandardpoliticalsystemministriesandtheparliament.Ontheotherhand,totheextentthattheboardincludescivilsocietyrepresentatives,anewchanneltothewidersocietyisopened.Hence,theliteratureemphasizesthatthepotentialforincreasedaccountabilityandtransparencydependontherulesgoverningtheoperationofthefundsandtowhatextentcivilsocietyisincludedintheboard.Lookingateffectiveness,theliteratureemphasizesthepositiveeffectofforestfundsonlong-termplanning.Theforestsectorpresupposessuchmanagementperspectivesandthefundsolutionrespondstothisbymovingdecisionsawayfromannualbudgetaryprocesses(Fontaine,1961;Landell-Mills,1999;RosenbaumandLindsay,2001).Certainly,thisispositiveforREDD+notleastfortheissueofpermanence.Itisalsoarguedthatanautonomousorsemi-autonomousfundensuresreducedlevelsofcorruptionbyincreasingtransparency.Theliteratureis,however,somewhatcontradictoryonthispoint.Afteremphasizingwaysseparatefundsmaycounteractcorruption,RosenbaumandLindsay(2001,p.17)mentionthatinanenvironmenttoleratingcorruptionkeepingA.Vatn,P.O.Vedeld/GlobalEnvironmentalChange23(2013)422432 428moneyoutsidethenormal. .. governmentbudgetingprocessmayincreasetheopportunitiesforcorruption.Undoubtedly,localconditions,thesystemforadministeringandauditingfundsallplaycrucialrolesindeterminingtheeffectivenessofthisgovernancestructure.Concerningleakageandtosomeextentcross-sectorcoordina-tion,thefundsolutionshouldhavemanycapacitiessimilartothesystemwithbudgetarysupport.We donothavedatatoassessthis,anditcouldaswellbearguedthatanationalfundwouldbeinabetterpositiontoforcecooperationthroughitsautonomyandcapacitytospecifythisasaconditionforawardingresourcestosectorministries.Regardingefciency,thereareagainsomesimilaritiestobudgetsupport.Ifthefundisorganizedinsuchawaythatitcanutilizealreadyexistingpublicadministrationstoputactionsinplace,nonewsystemsneedtobesetup.Nevertheless,problemsmayappearinthenecessaryprocessofcoordination,makingthissolutionweakerthanthatofbudgetarysupport.Ontheotherhand,thesystemwithnationalfundscouldmakeiteasiertoshort-cutseverallevelsofpublicadministrationsthroughestablishingdirectrelationstothelocallevelwhereREDD+actionstakeplace.Finally,nationalfundscanalsobeinstitutedinawayfreeingtheadministrationfromrigidbureaucraticrulesseealsoRosenbaumandLindsay(2001).Concerninglastlyco-benets,thecapacityofnationalfundscomesclosetothatofbudgetsupport.Itcouldbearguedthatthefundmodelmakesiteasiertoinstitutespecicliabilityfortakingonwiderresponsibilitiesi.e.,responsibilityforbiodiversityprotectionandpovertyalleviation.Participationfromcivilsocietycouldmoreoverbeusedtocountertendenciestooverridecommunityinterest/interestsofindigenouspeoples.Certainly,thisdependsonthepoliticalwilloftheauthoritiessettingupthisstructure.Theinternationalcommunitymayconsiderdeningconditionsonthisimportantpointasabasisforofferingpayments.Beforeweclosethissection,wealsowanttomentiontheresultsofanin-depthassessmentoftheIndonesianreforestationfund(Barretal.,2010).Whiletheaboveanalysisofthefundssolutionisratherpositive,theiranalysisisquitecritical,especiallyoftheSuhartoperiod,showinghowasubstantialpartofthemoneyavailablewasdivertedawayfromthepurposeofreforestation.Largesumsevenendedupinprivateaccountsbelongingtopublicofcials.TheIndonesiancaseillustratessomeimportantcautionsabouthowtoorganizeREDD+.RosenbaumandLindsay(2001)classifytheIndonesianfundasanaccountingdeviceonly.Itwasnotadministeredbyaseparateboard,butbyaministry.Hence,theIndonesiancasesayslessaboutthepotentialoffundsandmoreaboutthekindofcautionsnecessaryincorruptenvironments.6.DiscussionandconclusionREDD+maybecomeanimportantinitiativeforfutureclimatepolicy.Thechallengesare,however,great.EspeciallythebeliefthatREDD+istobecomeatriplewinisdemandingtorealize.Thewayitwillbeorganizedwillhavedecisiveimpactsonitscapacitytodeliverreducedcarbonemissions,improvedlocallivelihoodsandbiodiversityprotection.Amongthealternativegovernancestructuresanalyzedinthispaper,noonecomesforwardasclearlybestseealsosummaryinTable1.WhatstandoutarethemanychallengesthatorganizingREDD+atthenationallevelwillface.Itshouldalsobenotedthatthechoiceofsolutionwillhavetodependonthelocalcontextsineachcaseespeciallythepoliticalculture,whichpresentinstitutionsareinplace,andtherelativeimportanceofREDD+intheactualcountry.Somemoregeneralconclusionsmaystillbeemphasized.Accordingtoouranalysisthemarket/projectbasedsystemseemstobetheweakestalternativeforanationalREDD+architecture.Itsmainappealliesinitscapacitytoattractprivatefunding.Asemphasized,creatingREDD+resourcesthroughaninternationalfundofferingCERs,willmaketheothersolutionsequallystronginthisrespect.Thepotentialtondcost-effectiveREDD+optionsisalsoanargumentforthissolution.Itdoes,however,notTable1ComparingREDD+governancestructures.SystemCriteriaProjects/marketbasedsystemSeparatenationalfundsFundsinstateadministrationsBudgetarysupportProcesslegitimacyVoluntaryparticipation.Informationasymmetries.Democraticdecit;thirdpersonexclusion.Issuesconcerningtransparencyandaccountability.Potentialforparticipationfromawidesetofactors.IssuesconcerningaccountabilityespeciallyifREDD+growslarge.Goodontransparency.Potentialforparticipationfromawidesetofactorswhilesomewhatlowerthanforseparatefunds.Goodontransparency.Someaccountabilityissues.Goodonaccountabilityhowever,regimedependent.Challengesconcerninglocalparticipation.Issuesconcerningtransparency.Outputlegitimacy:EffectivenessStrongattractionofprivatefunding,butREDD+mayhaveproblemswithcompetingforthesefunds.Weakonleakage,additionality,permanenceandcoordinationacrosssectors.VulnerabletocorruptionGoodattractionoffundingbestfrompublic.Mediumstrongonleakage.Fairlygoodonpermanence.Issuesonadditionality.Ratherweakonsectorcoordination.SomewhatvulnerabletocorruptionAttractionofprivatefundingdependsoninternationalregime.Ratherstrongonleakageandpermanence.Issuesonadditionality.Fairlygoodonsectorcoordination.SomewhatvulnerabletocorruptionAttractionofprivatefundingdependsoninternationalregime.Ratherstrongonleakage.Issuesonadditionality.Issuesconcerningpermanence.Ratherstrongonsectorcoordination.Vulnerableto corruptionOutputlegitimacy:EfciencyCost-efcientREDD+investments.Relativehightransactioncostlevels.FairlygoodcapacitytokeeptransactioncostsdownGoodpotentialtokeeptransactioncostsdown.IssuesconcerninglowcostREDD+optionsGoodpotentialtokeeptransactioncostsdown,butdependsonadministrativestructure.May notensuremostlowcostREDD+optionsOutputlegitimacy:Capacitytodeliverco-benetsExpectedtobeweakonpovertyalleviation.WeakalsoonbiodiversityprotectionifinconictwithcheapcarbonmitigationoptionsHascapacitytodeliverco-benets,butdemandsspecialcontrolandattentioninstatutes.Relativestrongcapacitytodeliveronco-benets,butdemandsspecialcontrolandattentioninstatutes.Relativestrongcapacitytodeliveronco-benets,butdemandsspecialcontrolandattentioninagreements.A. Vatn,P.O.Vedeld/GlobalEnvironmentalChange23(2013)422432429compensatefortheweaknessesfoundconcerningaccountability,leakage,permanence,co-ordinationacrosssectors,transactioncosts,andtheexpectedweakdeliveryofco-benets.Inrelationtothis,oneshouldnotethegeneraltrendtowardincreaseduseofmarketsinareasthatearlierwerethoughtofaspublicresponsibilitiescf.theneoliberalgovernancetrendmentionedearlier.Thisideologicalorientationhasinuencedmajordonors,likeIMF,theWorldBank,andmostUNorganiza-tions.We believethatitisespeciallyimportanttorethinkthecapacitiesofthissolutionnotleastinaREDD+context(seealsoBa ckstrandandLo vbrand,2006).Concerningtheotherthreeoptions,localconditionsareofgreatimportancewhenchoosing.Wendthattheargumentsforfundsinthestateadministrationandbudgetarysupportarequitestrongcomparedtothatofseparatenationalfundsregardingdimensionslikeaccountability/democraticprocesses,coordinationacrosssectors,capacitytoavoidleakage,co-benetsandmaybealsotransactioncosts.Wendtheissueofaccountability/democraticprocessesthemostimportant.IfREDD+becomeslargei.e.,muchlandisinvolveditseemsproblematictoestablishasystemforcombatingdeforestationandforestdegradationthatisseparatedfromstatedecision-makingandadministrativebodies.Notealsothatinmanyoftheactualcountries,forestsaredominantlyownedbythestate.Concerningleakage,noneoftheproposedsystemscanavoidleakageacrossnationalborders.Thisisanissuethathastobetreatedatinternationallevels.Themainargumentforfundsoutsidethestateadministrationcomparedtonationalfundsandbudgetsupportistheabilitytoattractvoluntaryprivatefunding,thecapacitytosetupsystemsthatdonotdependonrigidbureaucraticrulesofstateadminis-trations,andthepotentialtohandlecorruptionbetter.Certainly,incountrieswherecorruptionisverypronouncedinthestateadministration,thelatterisimportant.Similarly,inasituationwitharigidbureaucracy,usingthepresentadministrationmaynotresultinreducedtransactioncostscomparedtoseparatefundseventhoughaparalleldistributionsystemmustbedeveloped.Inrelationtoboththeabovearguments,awell-designedREDD+programoffersanopportunitytocombatcorruptionandtrimmingstatebureaucracy.Whichargumentisthestrongestwilldependonthespecicsituation,notleastthewillingnessofthepresentgovernmenttoengageinadministrativereforms.Turningtobudgetarysupportvs.fundsinthestateadminis-tration,theargumentsfortheformeraremainlyrelatedtoaccountability/democraticprocessesandcapacitytocoordinateacrosssectors.Thefundsolutionseemstoofferbetterpossibilitiestoincreasetransparency,ensurepermanenceandcombatcorrup-tionwhenimportant.Itmayalsolikeseparatefundsinvolverepresentativesfromcivilsocietyandbeorganizedtoavoidsomeofthe(necessary)rigiditiesforstandardstateadministrations.Finally,itmaybeeasierforexternaldonorstoformulatestrongerconditionsifthefundsolutionisusedcomparedtopayingviastatebudgets.REDD+isademandingpoliticalendeavor.Independentofthemainarchitecturechosen,therewillbesubstantialneedsforcapacityandcompetencebuilding.Thisconcernsparticipatorysystems,necessarylocalinstitutionsincludingtheclaricationofpropertyrights,establishingprinciplesfordistributionoffunds,andthedevelopmentofvarioustechnicalcompetenciesnotleastinMRV.Therearefurthergreatchallengesconcerningtheinvolvementoflocalcommunities.Whileforestsaredominantlystateowned,theyaretoalargeextentusedandmanagedbylocalcommunities.Overthelast23decennia,forestmanagementindevelopingcountrieshasfollowedatrendofdecentralization.ThereisarealisticdangerthatREDD+mayturnsthistide.Hence,strongfocusonthewaylocalstakeholdersareempoweredandincludedintheREDD+processisnecessary.InthisliesalsoafearthatREDD+canbecomedetrimentaltothepoorestruralpopulation.Noneofthediscussedsolutionsinthispaperwillautomaticallyguardagainstsuchoutcomes.Astrong,separateandenduringfocusonthisproblemiswarranted.Similarly,allthesystemsdiscussedabovearevulnerabletocorruption.REDD+maybringinvastamountsofmoneytodevelopingcountries.Thismayattractorganizationsandindivid-ualsthatareafterthemoneyratherthansupportingtheREDD+idea.Again,astrongfocusiswarranted.GiventheamountofresourcesinREDD+,itcould,however,beusedtohelpturnthetide.REDD+wouldrepresentresourcestoamagnitudethatactuallymightmakegovernancereformsine.g.,forestadminis-trationspossible.Atpresent,countriesareintheearlystagesofestablishingREDD+structures.ThemainamountofresourcesisgoingintonancingREDD+pilotsatthelocalleveloftenrunbyNGOsandinmanyinstancesquiteseparatedfromnationalREDD+processes.Ourresearchine.g.,Tanzaniaindicatesthatatthelocallevelactorstypicallyexpectfuturepaymentstocomefromthemarket.ThisseemstoreecttheinternationalREDD+discourseespeciallyintheearlierstages.Lookingatwhatisnowhappeningatthenationallevel,theroleofthestateismuchmorepronouncede.g.,developmentsinBrazil,IndonesiaandTanzania.ThisishighlyunderstandablegiventhepotentialscaleofREDDanditsseriousmacro-levelpoliticalimpactsonlanduse.Themainobservationis,however,thelackofafocusedandmoreprincipaldebateaboutstrengthsandweaknessesofdifferentnationalarchitecturesevenintheinternationalREDD+negotia-tions.Itisurgentthattheinternationalcommunitytakesonsuchadiscussion.Thisisnecessarybothfortheabilitytomakewisechoicesconcerningtheinternationalstructuresasframingthechoicesatnationallevelsandforsupportingcountriesintheirindividualdecisions.AcknowledgementsTheworkbehindthispaperispartlynancedtheprojectPovertyandsustainabledevelopmentimpactsofREDDarchitec-ture;Optionsforequity,growthandtheenvironment,fundedbytheNorwegianAgencyforDevelopmentCooperation.TheprojectisundertakenincooperationwiththeInternationalInstituteforEnvironmentandDevelopment.TheauthorswouldalsoliketothankArildAngelsenforcommentstoadraftofthepaper.Theusualdisclaimersapp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