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MINISTRY FOR NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING / NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AGENCY NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development Planning Agency/ Head of The Bappenas

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Page 1: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

MINISTRY FOR NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING /

NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AGENCY

NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT

By:

Ministry for National Development Planning Agency/

Head of The Bappenas

Page 2: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

OUTLINE

INTRODUCTION: Projection of Energy and Gas Demand

Slide - 2

GAS DEVELOPMENT PLANNING : Program and Activity

STRATEGY: What Should be Done

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A. INTRODUCTION

MINISTRY FOR NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING /

NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AGENCY

A. INTRODUCTION

Slide - 3

Page 4: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

Primary Energy Demand

Projection (million BOE)

Year No Saving

With

Saving

2014 1890 1473

Projection of Energy Demand

2015 2034 1555

2016 2230 1672

2017 2445 1796

2018 2680 1928

2019 2938 2086

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The acceleration of economic development demanding

more energy supply

NOTES:• Primary energy demand will increase

from 1,555 million boe (2015) to 2,086 million boe in 2019, or increasing 7.4% per year.

• The oil contribution in the energy mixture will lightly decrease; gas and

Juta sbm

Slide - 5

ENERGY MIXTURE 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Fuel Oil 39% 37% 36% 35% 34%

Gas 22% 22% 23% 23% 23%

Coal 29% 29% 28% 28% 28%

Renweable Energy 10% 12% 13% 15% 16%

TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

mixture will lightly decrease; gas and coal does not much change; while the renewable energy will double so its share increase from 10% to 16%.

• whereas, oil production will likely decreasing in the 5 years; gas export will still around 47% of the production; and (iii) the coal export amount to 76%.

• therefore, the utilization of gas and coal policy should be revised so as to give priority for domestic customer;

Page 6: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

The utilization of gas and coal will be prioritized to

strengthen the domestic primary energy supply

INDICATOR 2014

(baseline)2019*

Enhancing the Energy Production :

- Oil (ribu BOE /day) 818 700

1. Gas utilization in domestic

market will be enhanced and

will absorb gas from 54% to

64% of the total gas

production in 2019;

2. Coal utilization in domestic

- Gas (ribu BOE/day) 1.224 1.295

- Coal (million Ton) 421 400

Domestic Utilization

(DMO):

- Domestic Gas 53% 64%

- Domestic Coal 24% 60%

2. Coal utilization in domestic

market also will be enhanced

and will absorb coal from

24% to 60% of the total coal

production in 2019.

This is not easy, but the

government and all

stakeholders should go in the

same direction;

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Domestic Gas Utilization will increase to 64% of domestic gas

production, in 2019

Slide - 7

Sumber: SKK Migas, 2014 (diolah)

o The domestic gas utilization in the last 10 years is increased significantly. About 25% of gas production is

consumed domestically in 2004, and increase to 54% in 2014

Page 8: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

Gas production will decrease and gas field is in distance from

the gas market

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000 bcf

Production by region

Slide - 8

0

1,000

2,000

NAD North Sumatera Riau Central and South Sumatera

West Java Central Java East Java and Bali East Kalimantan

South Sulawesi Central Sulawesi Papua South Maluku

Domestic Demand

Page 9: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

Gas demand will exceed gas domestic production capacity

Slide - 9

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The distribution of gas utilization today

� Today, gas domestic

utilization is dominated by

industrial sector (19.2%),

electricity (14%), and fertilizer

(8.7%). Beside that, for oil

lifting (4.5%), and the rest

6.9% for transportation,

household, and domestic

Slide - 10

household, and domestic

LPG-LNG;

� Fertilizer is the biggest gas

consumer in industrial sector,

almost half of the total gas

consumption in industry

sector;

� In the long run, industry and

electricity sector will

dominate the domestic gas

utilization; Sumber: SKK Migas, 2014 (diolah)

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The industrial sector will growth and contribute more

Slide - 11

o GDP growth mostly influenced by the growth in processing industry;

o The growth of processing industry is predicted excessing the GDP growth;

o To support such growth, in processing industry and the whole economic, will need energy

availability whether from coal, gas, and electricity;

Sumber: BPS, s.d. Tri-3 2014 (diolah)

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The spread of 14 strategic industrial area outside Java

Industrial Area

Teluk Bintuni

Oil and Gas Industry and

Fertilizer

Industrial Area

Teluk Bitung

Agro Industry and Logistic

Industrial Area Palu

Rattan, Rubber, Cacao Industry, and Smelter

Industrial Area Buli

Smelter for Ferronikel,Stainless steel, and

downstream stainless steel

Industrial Area

Batu Licin

Steel Industry

Industrial Area Landak

Rubber Industry, CPO

Industrial Area Ketapang

Alumina Industry

Industrial Area

Kuala Tanjung

Aluminium Industry, CPO

Slide - 12

Industrial Area Morowali

Smelter Ferronikel,

Stainless steel, dan

downstream stainless steel

Industrial Area

Konawe

Industri Smelter Ferronikel,

Stainless steel, dan

downstream stainless steel

Industrial Area Bantaeng

Smelter Ferronikel,Stainless steel, dan

downstream stainless steel

Industrial Area Tanggamus

Maritime Industry and

Logistic

Industrial Area Sei

Mangkei

Processing Industry CPO

Industrial Area

Jorong

Downstream of mineral

(Bauksit), Palm Oil

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The Spread of Special Economic Area (Kawasan Ekonomi

Khusus) and the Indication of New Area

Slide - 13

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The Preliminary Indication of 35,000 MW Power Plant

14Sumber: PT PLN (Persero), 2014

Page 15: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

Power Plant development planning which need Gas supply

SabangSabangSabangSabangPLTMGPLTMGPLTMGPLTMG, 4444

SUMBAGUT

PLTG/PLTMG PLTMG PLTMG PLTMG 350

PLTGU/PLTMGU, 1000

SUMBAGTENG

PLTG/PLTMG, 100

PLTGU/PLTMGU, 300

PLTGU, 250

SELAT PANJANG

PLTMG, 15

TANJUNG BATU

PLTMG, 15

NIAS

PLTG/PLTMG, 25

KALTIM

PLTG/PLTMG, 100

PLTGU, 35

KALTARA

PLTMG, 31

PAPUA BARAT

PLTMG, 40

HALMAHERA

PLTMG, 5SULUT

PLTG/PLTMG, 250

PLTMG, 10GORONTALO

PLTG/PLTMG, 100

PLTG/PLTMG, 114

NATUNANATUNANATUNANATUNAPLTMG, 25252525

TB. KARIMUNTB. KARIMUNTB. KARIMUNTB. KARIMUNPLTG/PLTG/PLTG/PLTG/PLTMG,

40404040

TERNATE TIDORETERNATE TIDORETERNATE TIDORETERNATE TIDOREPLTMG, 40404040

Slide - 15

Sumber: PT PLN (Persero), 2014

PLTG/PLTMG, 25

BENGKALIS

PLTMG, 18

SUMBAGSEL

PLTG/PLTMG, 100

PLTGU/PLTMG, 200

DABO SINGKEP

PLTMG, 15

BANGKA

PLTG/PLTMG, 50

PLTG/PLTMG 100

KALSELTENG

PLTG/PLTMG, 200

PLTGU/PLTMGU, 200

JAWA BAGIAN BARAT

PLTGU, 2.350

PLTGU/PLTMG, 500 JAWA BAGIAN TIMUR

PLTGU, 1.900

PLTMG, 4

PLTGU, 1600

SUMBAWA

PLTMGPLTMGPLTMGPLTMG, 100

LOMBOK

PLTG/PLTMG, 50

PLTGU, 150

TIMOR

PLTG/PLTMG, 30

PLTMG, 40

FLORES

PLTMG, 60

SULSEL

PLTG/PLTMG,

150

PLTGU, 900

PLTMG 20

AMBON

PLTMG, 100

SERAM

PLTMG, 20PAPUA

PLTMG, 165

TUAL

PLTMG, 50

SULTENG

PLTMG, 40

BAU-BAU

PLTMG, 40

SULTRA

PLTG/PLTMG, 50

BELITUNGBELITUNGBELITUNGBELITUNGPLTG/PLTG/PLTG/PLTG/PLTMG,

30303030

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The Mixture of National Primary Energy Target give important

Role to Gas Energy

o In the long run mixture of national primary energy, gas is the

energy sources that its utilization will be optimalized;

o Gas market share will be maintained of about 22-24% (2010-

2050), or equal to the 37 million ton oil equivalent (2010) and

becoming 235 million ton oil equivalent (2050);

o The dominant domestic gas consumer is industry and electricity

Slide - 16

o The dominant domestic gas consumer is industry and electricity

sector and generally located in Java Island, especially West and

East Java;

o Gas producer mostly located in Kalimantan and Papua, while the

gas consumer mostly located in Java and Sumatera, and next in

Kalimantan. Hence, the domestic gas produced should be

transported to the gas shortage area such as Java and Sumatera.

Page 17: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

B. GAS DEVELOPMENT PLANNING

MINISTRY FOR NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING /

NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AGENCY

B. GAS DEVELOPMENT PLANNING

Slide - 17

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The Spread of Gas Reserve in 2013

Slide - 18

Status CadanganCadangan per

1/1/2013Produksi 2013 Cadangan POD 2013

Cadangan per

31/12/2013

Gas Asso + Gas non

Asso (TSCF)150,39 Triliun 3,12 Triliun 2,71 Triliun 149,97 Triliun

Sumber: SKK Migas, 2014 (diolah)

o Gas Reserve about 150 Trillion, national gas production is about 3 Trillion , hence the production may last

for 50 years in case no new reserve found and gas production is steady;

Page 19: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

1. Enhancing the oil and gas exploration activity to the offshore and deep

water field, where the new and rich basin is located;

2. Mastery in the exploration and exploitation technology in offshore and

deep water activity through increasing the capacity and capability of

human resources;

3. Simplification and improvement in the licensing, bureaucracy, and fiscal

incentives in the exploration and exploitation activity;

4. Setting of the secondary/tertiary recovery stage that already stated in the

The Policy for Enhancing Primary Energy Supply in National MidTerm Development

Planning (RPJMN) 2015-2019

4. Setting of the secondary/tertiary recovery stage that already stated in the

Plan of Development (POD), especially for the new Production Sharing

Contract, PSC;

5. Incentives to the secondary/tertiary recovery stage, such as split

calculation that will include additional expenses for research and

feasibility for Enhanced Oil Recovery applied;

6. Cooperation of government and PSC contractor in the research,

feasibility study, and pilot project in applying the EOR;

Page 20: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

Gas Distribution from Surplus to Shortage Gas Area needs

Domestic Gas Transportation

Gas Supply in the form of LNG and Gas Piping

Slide - 20

o The Gas Surplus Area : East Kalimantan , Papua, Natuna, and South Maluku

o The Gas Shortage Area: Java and Sumatera

Gas Pipe Network of Trans Jawa is vital to gas supply to West and East Java

Page 21: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

1. Up-grading (revamping) the existing Oil Refinery and Gas Fuel to enhance its

capacity;

2. Give incentives in developing and/or up-grading Oil Refinery and Liquified

Petroleum Gas (LPG) installation;

3. Development of depo facility, storage, and stockpilling of crude oil, Oil Fuel, Gas

Fuel, and LPG. The purpose is enhancing the national operational and buffer

Policy of Gas Infrastructure Provision in National MidTerm Development Planning

(RPJMN) 2015-2019 to Enhance Domestic Gas Utilization

Fuel, and LPG. The purpose is enhancing the national operational and buffer

reserve and also to serve the remote and fisherman area;

4. The improvement of integrated national gas infrastructure planning as such the

gas pipe network and LNG infrastructure can easily transporting gas from the

Gas Surplus Area to the Gas Shortage Area;

5. Development of gas distribution network in the urban area, for transportation

sector and household consumers;

6. Development of small scale gas power plant especially in the gas producer area;

Page 22: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

The New Gas Field and Proposed Gas Infrastructure

IDD (1240

MMSCFD)

TANGGUH T-3

(700 MMSCFD)

DONGGI-MATINDOK

(105 MMSCFD)

Receiving

Terminal

Arun

Gas Pipe Network

Arun – Belawan – KIM – KEK Medan(480 Km)

Gas Pipe NEtwork Pemping – Batam (13,5 Km)Gas Pipe Network

Duri – Dumai (132,4 Km)

LNG

Donggi –

Senoro

and LNG

Slide - 22

BD-MDA-MBH

(220 MMSCFD)

E & NE JANGKRIK

(450 MMSCFD)

SENORO TOILI

(310 MMSCFD)

MASELA (449

MMSCFD)

Sumber: RPJMN 2015-2019 dan SKK Migas, 2014 (diolah)

LNG

Tangguh

Train - 3

LNG

Masela

Gas Pipe Network

Kalija I Kepodang –Tambak Lorok (207 Km)

and LNG

South

Sulawesi

Receiving

Terminal

Banten

FSRU

Jateng

Gas Pipe NetworkGresik – Semarang (267 Km)

Jaringan Pipa GasPorong – Grati (56 Km)

Gas Pipe Network

Muara Bekasi – Muara Tawar –Muara Karang (44 Km)

Gas Pipe Network

Muara Karang – Muara Tawar –Tegal Gede (70 Km)

RencanaRencanaRencanaRencana 2015201520152015 2016201620162016 2017201720172017 2018201820182018 2019201920192019

Domestic Gas Utilization 59% 61% 62% 63% 64%

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C. STRATEGY

MINISTRY FOR NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING /

NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AGENCY

C. STRATEGY

Slide - 23

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Domestic Gas Utilization Enhancing Strategy

Gas can be utilized as (i) energy sources; (ii) raw materials of industry and fertilizer industry; and (iii)

injection for oilfield in the enhanced oil recovery (EOR). All of the gas utilization will be around 64%

of the total gas production, according to the RPJM 2015-2019. The strategy, inter alia, are:

STRATEGY INSTITUTION

Integrated gas energy provision and production from upstream to downstream

in the industry, industrial area, power plant, etc as to guarantee domestic gas

Min. Industry, Min.

ESDM, Local Gov.,

Slide - 24

in the industry, industrial area, power plant, etc as to guarantee domestic gas

supply;

ESDM, Local Gov.,

SKK Migas, BPH

Migas

Enhancing and synchronization of gas transportation infrastructure

development from Gas Surplus Area to the Gas Shortage Area;

Min. ESDM, BPH

Migas, SKK Migas

Re-formulating the national policy in gas infrastructure development so as to

give state own enterprises more rule and function in installation of gas

infrastructure.

Min. ESDM, SKK

Migas, BPH Migas

Development of small scale gas power plant in remote areas in the form of

compressed natural gas (CNG) or LPG for gas machine power plant;

PLN, Local Gov.,

Local Gov Own

Enterprise BUMD

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Domestic Gas Utilization Enhancing Strategy (continued ... )

STRATEGY INSTITUTION

Development of gas fuel (BBG) facility for transportation and the

enhancing of gas fuel utilization for mass transportation such as train,

truck, bus, and other public transportation;

Pertamina, PGN, Local

Gov., BUMD

Overcoming the LPG scarcity through enhancing the development of gas

and LPG processing, by simplification of licensing and bureaucracy,

Pertamina, Min. ESDM

Slide - 25

and LPG processing, by simplification of licensing and bureaucracy,

including the agreement with Pertamina as LPG offtaker;

Domestic gas production to be prioritized for domestic consumer, as stated

in government regulation 79/2014 (the energy availability for national

demand);

Min. ESDM, SKK Migas

Domestic gas selling price should be adjusted so as resulted to similar

government take compare to the exported gas. Then the gas could be

more attractive if it is consumed domestically, since it will result to the

comparative advantage of domestic industry having cheaper energy;

Min. ESDM, SKK Migas,

BPH Migas

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Domestic Gas Utilization Enhancing Strategy (continued ... )

STRATEGY INSTITUTION

Re-visited domestic gas selling contracts according to the world gas prices.

In the period where world gas prices decrease, then the domestic gas price

is also adjusted to maintain the domestic industry competitiveness;

Min. ESDM, SKK Migas,

BPH Migas

Improving gas governance, including transparancy of gas selling and

purchasing agreement, data and information of gas reserve, tender of gas

Min. ESDM, SKK Migas,

BPH Migas.

Slide - 26

purchasing agreement, data and information of gas reserve, tender of gas

infrastructure, transparancy for gas allocation, and transparancy for gas

incentives;

BPH Migas.

Re-formulating the existing law and regulation so as to make investment in

the upstream and downstream of oil and gas more interesting.

Government.

Page 27: NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT - Indonesian Gas Societyindonesiangassociety.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Presentation... · NATIONAL GAS DEVELOPMENT By: Ministry for National Development

THANK YOU

TERIMA KASIH

MINISTRY FOR NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING /

NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AGENCY

TERIMA KASIH

Slide - 27