28
NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian Kjær Peter Borgen Sørensen

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark

Christian Kjær Peter Borgen Sørensen

Page 2: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

PestNaB› It is suitable as a framework for a harmonised

risk indicator because:

› It is flexible with respect to geographical coverage of data and variety of data and model types

› Can suggest most effective risk minimisation practises

› Can support setting up national action plan to reduce pesticide risk

› Visualise areas of concern (organisms at risk and areas of particularly concern)

› Incorporate new knowledge

Page 3: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

PestNaB’s focus

From EEA internal working paper, 2003: Environmental Indicators:Typology and Use in Reporting

Page 4: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Aim of a new improved indicator, PestNaB

› Make an indicator that can reflect the potential risk for nature due to application of pesticides

› Excluding› Contamination of groundwater› Risk for human health

Page 5: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Process

› Identify the most important and certain pesticide side effects

› Aggregate incomparable effect types in a reasonable way

› Aggregation method invented that meet the challenges by assessing hot spots of risk (when more potential effects are likely to occur simultaneously)

Page 6: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Basis of the indicator PestNaB

› Where are nature elements occurring?

› Where is the spraying occurring?

› Which pesticides has been sprayed?

› How toxic are these pesticides?

Page 7: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Basic unit for analysisGrids of 1 km2

Page 8: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

› Information about fields: Crop type, geographical

position etc.

› Information about nature: Type, position, distance to

fields

› Average used amount for different crops (based on

expert knowledge and sales numbers)

Quadrate information

Page 9: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

No

. Exposure

Sub

ordinate

indicator Protection

1 Within the agricultural

fields

Mammals Terrestrial nature within

agricultural fields

2 - Birds -

3 - Bees -

4 - Earthworm

s

-

5 - Insects Food chain within agricultural field

6 - Plants -

7 Drift to terrestrial

nature

Bees Terrestrial nature in the vicinity of

agricultural fields

8 - Arthropod

s

-

9 - Plants -

Sub ordinate Indicators

Page 10: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

No. Exposure

Sub ordinate

Indicator Protection

10 Leaching Algae Surface water

11 - Invertebrates -

12 - Fishes -

13 Drift to streams Algae -

14 - Invertebrates -

15 - Fishes -

16 Drift to ponds Algae -

17 - Invertebrates -

18 - Fishes -

Sub ordinate Indicators

Page 11: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Sub ordinate indicator calculations

a1 m2

x1,ax2,a

x3,a

x1

1

ocK1

1

Page 12: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Loadn: Toxic load for endpoint nA: Grid area (m2)Dosei,a: Mean yearly dose of active

ingredient i and for squaremeter a in the grid

Toxn,i: Toxicity selected for indicator n and active ingredient i

xe,a: Distance for square meter number a

i: Index for active ingredientsI: Number if active ingredientsa: Index for a specific square meterA: Number of square meters in the grid, - the area = 1000,000 m2

e: Index for type of nature element (Streams/rivers, Ponds/lakes,

Terrestrial)

Indicator calculation in a quadrate

A

a ae

I

i in

ai

n x

Tox

Dose

Load1 ,

1 ,

,

1

For indicators where the transport pathway is spray drift

Page 13: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

What do we do› Compare all quadrates i one year with all

quadrates in another year and separate result of comparison into three categories:

› all sub indicators agree on › Year A > Year B› Year A < Year B› Unable to qualify such a statement because one or

more indicators points opposite to the rest

Page 14: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Page 15: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Page 16: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Page 17: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Page 18: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Page 19: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Page 20: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

How to rank two scenarios, A and B

BABABA

BABABARS

RSA>BA>B: The Rank Strength for A>B

In other words: We are counting risk level hotspots, where several indicators simultaneously are predicting high load

Page 21: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Scenario A: Application anno 2007

Scenario B: Application anno 2001

: 293,854,077

389,177,853

: 1,056,501,190

: 196.420

RSA>B: -0,05

BA

How to rank two scenarios, A and B

Page 22: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Categories of protection

2001 highest risk

2007 highest riskAll biotopes

Agriculturalarea

Terrestrialbiotopes

Aquaticbiotopes

Page 23: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Separate sub ordinate indicators RS

Spray drift to terrestrial nature, plants 0.29

Spray drift to terrestrial nature, arthropods 0.24

Field area, food chain involving plants 0.22

Field area, earthworms 0.17

Field area, food chains involving insects 0.03

Spray drift to streams, algae -0.07

Spray drift to ponds and lakes, algae -0.07

Field area, birds -0.11

Field area, bees -0.21

Spray drift to terrestrial nature, bees -0.23

Drain water, algae -0.28

Spray drift to streams, fish -0.36

Spray drift to ponds and lakes, fish -0.34

Field area, mammals -0.35

Drain water, fish -0.41

Spray drift to streams, invertebrates -0.51

Spray drift to ponds and lakes, invertebrates -0.51

Drain water, invertebrates -0.51 200

1 h

igher

toxic

pre

ssure

200

7

hig

her

Page 24: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Assess potential for risk reductionPestNaB includes all means of management to

reduce risk:› Change in application rates (ex. convert to organic

farming, use of reduced dosages)› Change in rate of transport to ecosystem (unsprayed

buffer zones etc.)› Change in substance composition (substitution)› Change in location of application including

unsprayed buffer zones in the edge of fields

Page 25: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Testing means of risk reduction

All Indicators

Category of protection

Within agricultural

fields

Terrestrial Outside

agricultural fields

Surfacewater

No reduction compared to 2007

0.18 0.36 0.50 0.13

Non spraying zones (10 m) 0.15 0.36 0.28 0.13

Reduced spraying zones (20 m)

0.13 0.36 0.13 0.13

Substitution -0.02 -0.06 0.06 -0.19

Increased organic farming (from

2% to 4% of agricultural area)

0.17 0.33 0.47 0.12

Reduced usage of insecticides

0.10 0.11 0.21 0.09

All means jointly -0.13 -0.09 -0.21 -0.21

Page 26: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

Use in monitoring and science› This type of indicator can aid the design of

monitoring programmes and guide science to plan research activities that search for “real” adverse effects by answering following question:

› “Where do we expect effect are most likely to occur taking into account the uncertainty of the data background”

Page 27: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

PestNaB analysis of year 2007.Individual grid rank using indicators forecotoxicity in surface water ecosystems.

Strongest hotspots

Weaker hotspots

No hotspots

Page 28: NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE AARHUS UNIVERSITY PestNaB: Presentation of pesticide risk indicator developed at national level in Denmark Christian

NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INSTITUTEAARHUS UNIVERSITY

ConclusionThe PestNaB indicator can analyse

› Hot spot areas for pesticide risks

› Trends in the pesticide risk on a chosen scale

› Means of risk minimisation

› Fulfilment of objectives for risk minimisation

› Time trend (upward/downward) in the risk pressure

The PestNaB indicator can facilitate

› Flexible application of different type of knowledge