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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Undertaking any project in life proves to be a milestone in more ways than one. Its
successful completion relies on a myriad people and their priceless help.
I am deeply indebted to all who have inspired, guided and helped me. I owe debt of
gratitude to them, who were so generous with their valuable time and expertise.
I would like to thank Prof. A.N. kashyap for giving me the time to work on this project
and providing constant help, timely advice and personal as well as professional support
I would like to express my gratitude to my Faculty Mentor Mrs. Neha Arya who stood
by me providing overall guidance through the project. I am extremely thankful to him
for his valuable suggestions and inputs.
ANJALI GUPTA
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
SYNOPSIS OF THE PROJECT
DESIRED AREA OF RESEARCH: Finance
TITLE OF THE PROJECT:
Financial Risk Management in Infrastructural Projects
RESEARCH OBJECTIVE
To study the risk involved in Infrastructural Projects with specific reference to
Siemens India Limited.
INTRODUCTION TO THE AREA OF RESEARCH
Siemens practices the process of risk management in a very sound, detailed and an
organized manner. Siemens practices the process of risk reporting where the project
coordinators undertake the process of Risk Reporting to the risk champion for the
projects undertaken by them on a monthly basis In every risk reporting the risk of every
project are identified.
A detailed Project Management Assessment is carried out throughout the
implementation of the project. Siemens has a practice of keeping a record of new
lessons, concepts learnt during the process of project management in a ‘Literature
Folder’. The lending parties help in allocation of risks in a project through the LOA or
the Lenders Offer Agreement
In India, the ever-increasing demand for power has given rise to the need of all the
reforms the sector has seen in the past and will encounter in the future. As the demand
grows, so does the development of the sector. But any development in the sector would
need financing, and going by the rate of development the sector has seen shortly, future
shall see big money getting parked in the sector. So along with the scope of the
infrastructure sector, the scope of project financing is also going to see an up trend in
the future.
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
SCOPE OF PROJECT WORK
The project will be divided into two phases, the first phase being Project Management
at Siemens Ltd. and the second and the final phase, Appraisal of a Power Plant -
SUGEN CCPP at Siemens Ltd. The project delves into the technical as well as financial
aspects of Project Management (taking Power Plants into consideration), introducing
the concept in a comprehensive manner coupled with ample theory and numbers to
support the same. This project will provide a detailed analysis of the power sector- its
scenario today, the reforms and the future prospects, basic insight into the concept of
financial and technical appraisal of power plants in general. The knowledge of the work
process at the commercial department of the power generation division of Siemens Ltd.
shall help in understanding how Siemens works towards project management and risk
mitigation in a power plant project. Analyzing project management and risk mitigation
in the case of SUGEN CCPP can further understand the initial phases of the project.
The project would start with a detailed introduction to the infrastructure sector, the
concept of project financing, risk management techniques etc. The first phase of the
project shall cover the concept of Project Management and Risk Management at
Siemens and the work process of the Commercial Department of the Power Generation
Division. This shall include the concept of offer costing, calculation of Net Working
Capital, concept of transfer pricing, risk management etc. The second phase shall cover
a detailed study of the power sector, the various reforms, the future prospects etc. that
shall be followed by various facets of analysis and evaluation of a private power
project- SUGEN CCPP. The practice of Project and Risk management at Siemens will
be compared with the normal concepts of the same. For the second phase, the SUGEN
CCPP has been selected for evaluation. The parameters have been calculated/assumed
using GOI guidelines for IPPs and standard accounting practices. The financing norms
have been taken as per current practices for IPPs. The performance parameters for
power projects viz. construction schedule is based upon Siemens latest generation Gas
Turbines technology and project management practiced. This study will evaluate the
risk management practices at Siemens Ltd.
iii
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Secondary Data
Desk Research under the guidance of my guide
Books on Financing of Power Projects
Primary Data
Interviews of the officials of Siemens Ltd.
Data Collection Tools
Interview
Books
Internet
JUSTIFICATION FOR CHOOSING A PARTICULAR RESEARCH PROPOSAL
Infrastructure is an Integral Part of Development. It may include providing and
delivering basic services that people need for every day life e.g. safe drinking water,
electricity, roads, and sanitation. Infrastructure provides vital support to the productive
sector and is a key driver for growth, poverty reduction etc. Analysis of sponsoring
firms and project companies illustrates how financing structures affect managerial
investment decisions and subsequent cash flows. The project analysis mainly covers-
market analysis, technical analysis, financial analysis and economic and ecological
analysis. This study will help in understanding the risk management practices for
Infrastructural projects with reference to Siemens Ltd.
iv
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The project is divided into two phases, the first phase being Project Management at
Siemens Ltd. and the second and the final phase, Appraisal of a Power Plant -SUGEN
CCPP at Siemens Ltd.
The project delves into the technical as well as financial aspects of Project Management
(taking Power Plants into consideration), introducing the concept in a comprehensive
manner coupled with ample theory and numbers to support the same.
This project will provide a detailed analysis of the power sector- its scenario today, the
reforms and the future prospects, basic insight into the concept of financial and
technical appraisal of power plants in general. The knowledge of the work process at
the commercial department of the power generation division of Siemens Ltd. shall help
in understanding how Siemens works towards project management and risk mitigation
in a power plant project. By analyzing project management and risk mitigation in the
case of SUGEN CCPP, the initial phases of the project can be further understood.
The project would start with a detailed introduction to the infrastructure sector, the
concept of project financing, risk management techniques etc. The first phase of the
project shall cover the concept of Project Management and Risk Management at
Siemens and the work process of the Commercial Department of the Power Generation
Division. This shall include the concept of offer costing, calculation of Net Working
Capital, concept of transfer pricing, risk management etc. The second phase shall cover
a detailed study of the power sector, the various reforms, the future prospects etc. which
shall be followed by various facets of analysis and evaluation of a private power
project- SUGEN CCPP.
The practice of Project and Risk management at Siemens has been compared with the
normal concepts of the same. For the second phase, the SUGEN CCPP has been
selected for evaluation. The parameters have been calculated/assumed using GOI
guidelines for IPPs and standard accounting practices. The financing norms have been
taken as per current practices for IPPs. The performance parameters for power projects
v
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
viz. construction schedule is based upon Siemens latest generation Gas Turbines
technology and project management practiced.
Siemens practices the process of risk management in a very sound, detailed and an
organized manner. Siemens practices the process of risk reporting where the project
coordinators undertake the process of Risk Reporting to the risk champion for the
projects undertaken by them on a monthly basis In every risk reporting the risk of every
project are identified.
A detailed Project Management Assessment is carried out throughout the
implementation of the project.
Siemens has a practice of keeping a record of new lessons, concepts learnt during the
process of project management in a ‘Literature Folder’. The lending parties help in
allocation of risks in a project through the LOA or the Lenders Offer Agreement
In India, the ever increasing demand for power has given rise to the need of all the
reforms the sector has seen in the past and will encounter in the future. As the demand
grows, so does the development of the sector. But any development in the sector would
need financing, and going by the rate of development the sector has seen shortly, future
shall see big money getting parked in the sector. So along with the scope of the
infrastructure sector, the scope of project financing is also going to see an uptrend in the
future.
As far as the project SUGEN is concerned, with the kind of sound investments made
and cost reduction techniques used, it sure is a financially and commercially viable
project.
The process of project management, and risk management is apt and sound. However
the following is recommended to increase the efficiency of the practices at Siemens Ltd.
To augment and catalyze the practices of risk management at Siemens Ltd., the process
of Team Risk Management is recommended.
vi
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter No. / Topic Page
Acknowledgement iSynopsis for the Project iiExecutive Summary v
Chapter 1- Introduction 1-31
Chapter 2-First Phase of the project- Project Management at Siemens 32-60
About Siemens
Range of activities in Power Generation Division
Project Management at Siemens
Project management Process
Risk Management at Siemens
Work Process at Siemens’ Commercial Division
Transfer pricing- concept and practices at Siemens
Risk Reporting at Siemens
Claims management at Siemens
Chapter 3- Second Phase of the project- Appraisal of a power plant 61-94
SUGEN CCPP - About The Power Project
Power Sector- An overview
Need for Private Participation
Power Scenario Today
The Electricity Act, 2003- Main Features
Independent Power Producers And Merchant Power Plants
Power Plant Technology
Facets of Project analysis
Contractual Risk Mitigation For Sugen
Chapter 4- Analysis and Findings 95-98
Chapter 5- Recommendations 99
Bibliography 102
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
INFRASTRUCTURE
Infrastructure is an Integral Part of Development. It may include providing and
delivering basic services that people need for every day life e.g. safe drinking water,
electricity, roads, sanitation. Infrastructure provides vital support to the productive
sector and is a key driver for growth, poverty reduction etc.
Overcoming Infrastructure bottlenecks is an important driver of development strategy.
The importance of infrastructure sector also follows from the fact that foreign investors
are now looking at infrastructural development as a yardstick for directing their
investments. In fact infrastructural development had taken precedence over wage levels
in assessing the investment potential in developing countries.
India is the world’s fourth largest economy, based on purchasing power parity, and
among the fastest growing. It has grown at over 7.6% per annum for the last two years
and is poised to grow at 8% per annum in the years to come. This robust growth has
placed an increasing stress on the physical infrastructure such as power, roads, ports,
airports and railways, which are already carrying a significant deficit from the past.
There is consensus that the on-going growth in the manufacturing and service sectors
would be constrained if infrastructure services do not keep pace. The government is,
therefore, committed to building world-class infrastructure for improving the quality of
life and enhancing competitiveness of the economy.
The public sector will continue to play a dominant role. However, it would not be
feasible to mobilize the requisite resources from the public sector alone. Therefore, the
role of private participation assumes importance. It is expected that as in the case of the
telecom sector, competition and private investment in these sectors will transform the
face of India’s infrastructure.
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Government’s current initiatives are focused on enabling such competition and private
investment through creation of an enabling policy and regulatory environment as well
as offering catalytic fiscal incentives where required. At the same time, protection of
public interest is being ensured by institutionalizing the necessary frameworks and
processes for due diligence, checks and balances.
With the reforms like the SEZ Act, FDI up to 100% has been allowed under the
automatic route for development of townships, housing, built up infrastructure and
construction development projects and the cost of development of infrastructure in
SEZs has been reduced substantially by exempting all material and services purchased
by the SEZ developer from customs, excise duty, service tax and Central Sales Tax.
Such reforms help in upgrading the rate of development of the infrastructure sector by
making investment in the same, more attractive. The sector, which shall see big money
finding its way into it, is more too see in the coming decades as the financial and
technical scenario of the investment and the risk attached to the same reduces due to
various improvements in the manner of handling infrastructure.
Stages in Infrastructural Projects usually are the following:
The Development Phase: This may include availability of the proposed site,
physical suitability of the site, the need for statutory consents, environmental
contamination, estimate development, estimating accuracy,
The Design Phase: This may include, Site Selection, Geotechnical Survey,
Scheme decisions, Detailed Design, Engineers Design Estimate, Concept for
Work Execution, schedule for Execution of Work etc.
The Construction/Manufacturing Phase: This may include construction,
erection, start up, commissioning, testing including conducting performance
testing and in connection therewith, provide all materials, equipment,
machinery, tools, Labor, Transportation, administration, and other services and
items required to complete the facility in all respects; and
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
The Operating/Performance Phase: That is the actual running of the project and
its maintenance and revenue realization.
TYPES OF INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
Following are the types of infrastructural projects:
Energy
o Electricity or power generation, transmission, and distribution
o Natural gas production, transmission and distribution
Telecommunications
o Fixed or mobile local telephony
o Domestic long-distance telephony
o International long-distance telephony
Transport
o Airlines, airport runways and terminals
o Railways services including fixed assets, freight, intercity passenger, and
local passenger
o Toll roads, bridges, highways, and tunnels
o Terminals and channel dredging
Water
o Potable water generation and distribution
o Sewerage collection and treatment, sanitation
3
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
FACETS OF PROJECT ANALYSIS
Analysis of sponsoring firms and project companies illustrates how financing structures
affect managerial investment decisions and subsequent cash flows. The project analysis
mainly covers- market analysis, technical analysis, financial analysis and economic and
ecological analysis (Prasanna Chandra). These are detailed below:
Market Analysis
Market analysis is concerned primarily with two questions of aggregate demand and
market share for the business in future. To answer the above questions, appropriate
forecasting methods and following information is required:
Present Supply position and forecast
Production possibilities and constraints
Other competing projects in the state
Consumption trends in the past and the present consumption level
Import and export
Structure of competition
Costs structure
Elasticity of demand
Consumer behavior, intentions, motivations
Distribution channels and marketing policies in use
Administrative, technical and legal constraints
Technical Analysis
Technical and engineering analysis seeks to determine whether the prerequisite for the
successful commissioning of the project have been considered and reasonably good
choices have been made with respect to location, size, process etc. The criteria being;
4
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Status of preliminary tests and studies for the project
Availability of fuel, water, and other in outs
Scale of operation and technology- is it suitable?
Provision and requirement if affluent treatment
Project schedules- is it realistic?
Financial Analysis
Financial analysis seeks to ascertain whether the proposed project will be financially
viable and give satisfactory returns to the investor. It also shows that the project is able
to meet the burden servicing debt. The main aspects that have been looked into while
conducting financial appraisal are:
Investment outlay and capital cost of project;
Means of financing including interest rates and repayment schedules
Cost of capital
Projected profitability
Cash flows of the project
Projected financial position
Level of risk in the project
Economic and Ecological Analysis
Economic analysis, also referred to as social cost benefit analysis, is concerned with
judging a project from the larger social point of view. Environment is another issue,
which needs special attention, particularly for large projects such as power projects. The
major issues are:
Direct economic benefits and costs of the project measured in terms of
efficiency
Impact of the project on the level of savings and investment in the society
5
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Contribution of the project towards the fulfillment of certain merit like self
sufficiency, employment and social order
Environmental impact
INFRASTRUCTURAL FINANCING
Infrastructural or Project finance involves the creation of a legally independent project
company financed with no recourse debt for the purpose of investing in a capital asset,
usually with a single purpose and a limited life. (Benjamin C. Esty, 2003).
It is nothing but financing of long-term infrastructure, industrial projects and public
services based upon a non-recourse or limited recourse financial structure where project
debt and equity used to finance the project are paid back from the cash flow generated
by the project (As defined by The International Project Finance Association or IPFA).
Project or infrastructural financing is different from normal corporate financing. In the
case of corporate financing the firm invests money in a project in its own name, and
owns, operates and maintains the same till the end of its economic life. On the contrary,
in the case of project finance, the company joins hands with other sponsors to invest in
a project which shall be a separate legal entity. Usually, project financing is used in
such projects which involve a lot of risk due to the technology or simply because of a
significant amount of uncertainty over the financial feasibility of the same. That is why
such projects are financed through large amounts of debt. The sponsors shall hold
minimal amount of equity in the project which results in very little risk taking by them.
Around 80 to 90 percent of the investment can be debt financed in such projects.
The decision to source debt finance by any company will be dependant on the costs and
the terms on which the finance is raised. Project sizes are growing, to access economies
of scale and to withstand international competition. This, together with rising capital
intensity necessitates accessing the international markets for both working capital and
project finance. Typically, projects have long gestation periods funded by stage wise
credit disbursals.
6
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Borrowers differ in their objectives and philosophies while designing their funding
requirements. Some actively desire innovation, through sophisticated central treasury
functions with the objectives of reducing costs, managing funding risks and optimizing
taxation by utilizing all available techniques. Some may be deal oriented, whereas
some, relationship oriented. Thus, any finance structuring must look at differing
philosophies and strike a balance between cost, flexibility and simplicity.
Infrastructure lending is distributed under- power, shipping, irrigation,
telecommunication and roads and ports. Considering banks do not have adequate
expertise in appraising such projects, and infra- financing is also not without risks, it has
to be well thought out, given that project finance is normally through non-recourse
financing. Going by the present scenario of a credit boom, soon banks will have no
other go but to raise money overseas to be able to meet credit demand.
Large infrastructure projects and other types of project financing deals encompass all
sorts of risks. And the scale of such projects prevents single sponsors or institutions
holding the entire related risk on its books. Sponsors, usually a combination of local and
multinational corporations, often in energy or commodity-related industries, are
increasingly looking to find ways to disseminate a large portion of those risks to the
wider market. In a typical project finance deal, the sponsors will create a special
purpose vehicle – a separately capitalized, stand-alone entity that is legally separate
from its parent company – in which they remain the principal shareholders.
Funding for the project is acquired through this vehicle, which may have a different
credit rating from its sponsors or the country in which the project is located. The assets
associated with the project in question will also be owned by the vehicle. It will be
allotted only the minimum amount of capital required to meet the financial needs of the
project, and, in most cases, the vehicle does not consolidate with the sponsors' balance
sheets.
Project financing is particularly useful when the scale of the project exceeds the
resources of a single sponsor, or, indeed, when the risk associated with the project in
question is larger than the sponsor is able to take on. Many of these types of deals are
7
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
conducted to finance large-scale infrastructure projects where it can be important to
achieve significant economies of scale.
If the country where the project is located mandates a joint venture with local interests,
this can be easily achieved if it is funded through project financing. Such types of deals
are also useful when the sponsors want to finance the project on a non-recourse basis.
The structure of project finance deals involves many parties, all of which bear some
portion of the risks of the scheme (see diagram).
Both those who lend to the venture and those who invest in it rely on the project's
expected revenue stream for returns. As a result, these parties share with the sponsor
some of the risks associated with the project. Such risks include technical, financial,
operational, commercial and political risks. Those lending money to the project –
usually international banks – have to decide which of these risks are acceptable for them
to hold on their books and which should be covered through sponsor support,
governmental guarantees, insurance and other contractual arrangements, including
derivative products.
The sponsor's objectives in using project financing are usually threefold. First, the
sponsor aims to minimize its exposure to risk, thereby helping to preserve its own credit
8
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
standing and its future access to capital markets. It also is attempting to minimize the
cost of financing the project itself. If the structure can make the debt attractive to
prospective lenders and investors in some way, it can reduce the cost of funding the
project overall. And, lastly, by achieving these things it will maximize the return on its
equity investment. Forming a comprehensive list of the risks facing both sponsors and
lenders in project financing would be almost impossible, and would be, to some extent,
project-specific. But all project finance deals share certain common risks, including:
resource or reserves risk; completion risk; operational risk; technical risk; legal risk;
market risk; and country or political risk. Market risk shocks to the financial health of
the project brought about by a sudden shift in economic conditions outside the
sponsor’s control may arise from sudden and dramatic moves in foreign exchange rates,
commodity prices, energy prices, inflation rates and interest rates.
MOTIVATIONS TO USE PROJECT FINANCING
Given the fact that it takes longer and costs more to structure a legally independent
project company than to finance a similar asset as part of a corporate balance sheet, it is
not immediately clear why firms use project finance. For it to be rational, project
finance must entail significant countervailing benefits to offset the incremental
transaction costs and time. Yet these benefits are not well understood nor have they
been accurately described in the academic or practitioner literatures.
Project financing can sometimes be used to improve the return on the capital invested in
a project by leveraging the investment to a greater extent than would be possible in a
straight commercial financing of the project (Nevitt and Fabozzi (2000, p. 5)). While it
is true that leverage increases expected equity returns, this motivation for using project
finance fails to recognize that higher leverage also increases equity risk and expected
distress costs. Project finance creates value by reducing the agency costs associated
with large, transaction-specific assets, and by reducing the opportunity cost of
underinvestment due to leverage and incremental distress costs. By itself, this
explanation does not provide a compelling reason to use of project finance. There are
certain motivations which result in the use of project financing.
9
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
The motivations explain why financing assets separately with non recourse debt creates
value, and why it can create more value than financing assets jointly with corporate
debt, the most likely financing alternative. Project finance solves two financing
problems: 1) it reduces the cost of agency conflicts inside project companies; and 2) it
reduces the opportunity cost of underinvestment due to leverage and incremental
distress costs in sponsoring firms.
Project finance involves both an investment decision involving a capital asset and a
financing decision. Firms experience positive and significant returns when they
announce increases in capital expenditures (McConnell and Muscarella; 1985). This
finding differs from the announcements regarding acquisitions: merger announcements
generate non-positive returns for acquirers. Whereas investment decisions, particularly
the decision to acquire, could reflect empire-building by managers, it is more difficult to
imagine reasons why a manager might overspend on financing an acquisition or an
investment or what personal benefits he or she could derive from such a financing
choice (Jensen and Ruback; 1983). For this reason, the decision to use project finance—
a change away from the traditional way of financing investment opportunities—reflects
an attempt by managers to reduce total financing costs.
Agency Cost Motivation
The first motivation to use project finance, the agency cost motivation, recognizes that
certain assets, namely large, tangible assets with high free cash flows, are susceptible to
costly agency conflicts. The creation of a project company provides an opportunity to
create a new, asset-specific governance system to address the conflicts between
ownership and control.
Project structures can also reduce agency conflicts between owners and related parties.
The transaction-specific nature of project assets creates a need to deter strategic
behavior by suppliers of critical inputs or expropriation by host governments. The threat
of opportunistic behavior or “hold-up” is especially severe in project companies where
the deals typically involve negotiations between bi-lateral monopolists. Project
companies utilize joint ownership and high leverage to discourage costly agency
10
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
conflicts among participants. Today, these agency cost motivations remain the most
important reasons why firms use project finance.
Because project companies are new and independent firms, project sponsors have the
opportunity to create asset-specific governance systems to address these agency
conflicts in ways that cannot be replicated under corporate finance. If the same assets
were financed using corporate finance, then the company’s existing structure would
govern the asset and its cash flows. In most cases, the existing governance system was
not designed to address asset-specific agency conflicts. By tailoring the governance
structure to fit the specific application, sponsors can minimize the costs associated with
agency conflicts. In doing so, they increase the asset’s expected cash flows and the
likelihood sponsors will earn an appropriate return on their invested capital,
Debt Overhang Motivation
In contrast to the agency cost motivation, which relates to the asset being financed, the
two underinvestment motivations relate to the firms making the capital investments—
these firms are known as “sponsoring firms” or “sponsors.” Although underinvestment
in positive net present value (NPV) projects can occur for many reasons, focus is on the
effects of leverage and incremental distress costs as two important reasons, and show
how project finance mitigates both effects.
Project finance solves leverage-induced underinvestment by allocating project returns to
new capital providers in a way that cannot be replicated using corporate debt. This debt
overhang motivation is similar to the motivation described by Stulz and Johnson (1985)
for using secured debt, but it is even more effective because it eliminates all recourse to
the sponsor’s balance sheet and it eliminates the possibility that new capital will
subsidize pre-existing claims with higher seniority or reduce the value of junior claims
(Myers, 1977). While it is true that the origin of the debt overhang problem is also an
agency conflict, Benjamin Esty (2003) distinguishes the debt overhang motivation from
the agency cost motivation because the conflict occurs at the sponsor rather than the
project level.
11
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Risk Management Motivation
The third motivation, risk management, recognizes that investing in risky assets can
generate incremental distress costs for sponsoring firms. When these indirect or
collateral distress costs are sufficiently large, at least in expectation, they can exceed the
asset’s net present value (NPV), thereby turning a positive NPV project into a negative
investment (the total NPV is negative). By isolating the asset in a standalone project
company, project finance reduces the possibility of risk contamination, the phenomenon
whereby a failing asset drags an otherwise healthy sponsoring firm into distress. It also
reduces the possibility that a risky asset will impose indirect distress costs on a
sponsoring firm even short of actual default.
STRUCTURAL ATTRIBUTES OF PROJECT COMPANIES
Organizational Structure
Project companies involve separate legal incorporation—the power plant is legally
independent from the three sponsoring firms. Special purpose vehicles (SPV’s, or
special purpose entities, SPE’s) created to facilitate asset securitization share this
feature of separate incorporation. Secured debt, a corporate obligation, does not.
Capital Structure
Project companies employ very high leverage compared to public corporations. They
can have a debt equity ratio as high as 80:20. From this perspective, project companies
resemble leveraged buyouts (LBOs).
Ownership Structure
Project companies have highly concentrated debt and equity ownership structures. Most
of the debt comes in the form of syndicated bank loans, not bonds, and is non-recourse
to the sponsoring firms (Esty, 2001b). As a result, creditors must look to the project
company itself for debt repayment. In terms of equity ownership, the typical project
company has from one to three sponsors, and the equity is almost always privately held.
Looking only at the concentrated equity ownership structure, project companies
12
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
resemble venture-backed companies. The concentrated equity ownership resembles pre-
IPO venture-backed companies, except that managers do not typically own any project
equity.
Board Structure
Project boards are comprised primarily of affiliated (or “gray”) directors from the
sponsoring firms. According to a survey conducted in the study by Esty, in terms of
size, the typical project board has 9.8 members, a number that is overstated because his
sample included mostly large projects (average total cost is $1.9 billion) and there was a
weak, but significant positive relation between project size and board size.
Contractual Structure
Project finance is sometimes referred to as “contract finance” because a typical
transaction can involve as many as 15 parties united in a vertical chain from input
suppliers to output buyers through 40 or more contractual agreements.5 The four major
project contracts govern the supply of inputs, purchase of outputs (known as off-take or
purchase agreements), construction, and operations. Larger deals can have several
hundred and up to several thousand contracts.
At first, many of these structural features appear counter-intuitive especially when
compared to the alternative of using corporate finance. Creating a stand-alone project
company takes more time (from 6 to 18 months more) and requires significantly greater
transaction costs than financing an asset on an existing balance sheet.
Klein, So, and Shin (1996) find that total transaction costs for infrastructure projects
average 3% to 5% of the amount invested, but can be as high as 10% for smaller and
unique or first-of-a-kind projects. Project debt is often more expensive than corporate
debt—spreads (promised yields) can be 50 to 400 basis points more—because creditors
cannot rely on the cross-collateralized cash flows and assets the way they can with
corporate debt (Lewellen, 1971).
Finally, the combination of high leverage and extensive contracting severely restricts
managerial discretion. For long-term projects with uncertain futures, managers of both
13
FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
sponsoring firms and project companies might prefer greater discretion. In reality,
however, the individual structural components fit together in a very coherent and
symbiotic way, and can reduce the net financing costs associated with large capital
investments.
MEANS OF FINANCING AN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECT
To meet the cost of project the following means of finance are available (source: I.M.
Pandey, 2000)
Share capital (Equity or Preferential): they are the legal owners of the company.
They bear all the risks, get dividends (rates may not be fixed) in return, and the
capital is reimbursed only during the liquidation of the company.
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Term Loans: Term loans may be obtained from banks and financial institutions.
They are generally obtained for financing large expansion, modernization or
diversification projects (also called project financing)
Debenture Capital: this is a long term, fixed income financial security.
Debenture holders are the creditors of the firm. The interest rate is fixed. They
can be convertible (partially or fully) into equity if the option is given by the
firm.
Deferred Credit: they are loans taken with a view of deferring their repayment in
various installments. An amount is written off every year from the total.
Ways of Issuing Equity
Venture Capital: it is the financing of new, young concept projects, by venture
capitalists that shall have an involvement in the management of the client
enterprise.
Public Offering – Initial or Subsequent: Public offering means raising share
capital directly from the public. As per existing norms, the company is free to
decide the price(can be at par, premium or discount)
Privileged Subscription or Right Issue: A rights issue involves selling equity
shares to the existing share holders of the company at a nominal price. They
have a pre-emptive right of being offered the shares for sale prior to selling them
in the market by the company.
Auction: the shares can also be auctioned.
Private Placement: it involves sale of shares by a company to few selected
investors, particularly institutional investors.
Ways of Raising Debt
Long Term or Short Term Debts
Fixed or Floating Rate Debts
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Domestic or Foreign Placement Debts
Private or Market Placement Debts
Conditions Attached Debts
Type of Debt
o Term Loan
o Bonds/Debentures
Non-Recourse Finance
It is a loan where the lending bank is only entitled to repayment from the profits of the
project the loan is funding, not from other assets of the borrower or the sponsor.
It is used in cases of projects which are characterized by high capital expenditures, long
loan periods, and uncertain revenue streams. Analyzing them requires a sound
knowledge of the underlying technical domain as well as financial modeling skills.
Sources of International Finance
Due to limited domestic finance available, the need to tap international markets
becomes inevitable, which is generally characterized by long tenure of maturates and
low interest rates. These investors have a choice to invest in various developing
countries vying each other to attract such investments. Following are the various
sources of international finance available:
Multilateral Institutions: Institutions like World Bank, IFC, ADB and CDC
have traditionally been financing infrastructure in developing countries like
India. The financing comes with restrictive covenants, affordable cost,, and long
tenure. The co-financing facility being extended by these institutions require
sovereign guarantee.
Export Credit Agencies: ECAs are important source of bilateral funding
especially for Independent Power Producer Projects. ECAs such as US Exim,
JBIC, KFW, OPIC, and ECGD are providing credit to finance power equipment
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
from their respective countries. There are certain limits to ECA Financing like
the exposure limit, guarantee requirements and cost of insurance etc.
External Commercial Borrowings (ECB): These include Yankee Bonds,
Samurai Bonds, Dragon Bonds; Euro Currency syndicated loans, US-Sec 144 A
Private placement, Global Registered Notes (GRNs), Global Bonds etc.
Syndicated Loans: Syndicate banking or Consortium Banking gets a group of
banks together within the same credit document, negotiate only one loan, and
have participating banks assume most of the administration and operations. It is
beneficial for the borrowers as well, for this helps them borrow large levels of
amounts normally not possible on a one to one basis, and bring in a competitive
element among the banks, which in turn results in lower debt service for the
borrower.
In traditional financing, lending on a one to one basis was ideal except that with
the growing size of amounts raised, it was logical to expect risk diversification.
Also, traditional banks could hardly meet all the financial needs of all the
customers.
There is a lead/arranger bank that will not take full risk on its own balance sheet
and therefore finds other banks to participate, while trying to raise its own
yields. Each bank would obviously try to achieve a worthwhile return on it
capital employed.
Global Depository Reciepts: GDRs present an attractive avenue of funds for
the Indian Companies. Indian Companies can collect a large volume of funds in
foreign currency through Euro issues. GDRs do not have voting rights, so there
is no fear of loss of management control.
Credit from Equipment Supplier/ Contractors: In many cases the EPC/
O&M contractors provide credit on their own or arrange through bankers/
investors.
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RISKS IN FINANCING INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS IN
VARIOUS PHASES OF A PROJECT
The successful structure of project financing requires an assessment and evaluation of
the complete range of risks involved in the project.
Development Stage
Risks at the development stage may include site risk – covering such issues as
availability of the proposed site, physical suitability of the site, the need for statutory
consents, environmental contamination, estimate development, estimating accuracy,
Deficiencies/Current Standard Contracts. This is borne by the project sponsors, and
covers the period of preparation prior to financial close. Lenders are not committed to
the project at this stage and therefore bear none of the responsibility.
High level risk identification and risk assessment should form part of the initial
information gathering exercise to decide whether or not a proposal for the development
of an infrastructure asset should proceed. At the contractual stage, issues like Delay
Claims new contract requirements, warning signs, default/termination Issues, the
creditworthiness of the counterparty and the risk of later change in the counterparty’s
position due to changes in economic conditions or a change in management control;
reciprocal indemnity obligations for failures and violations, insurance and bonding
requirements etc. should be tackled with.
Design Stage
Issues in the Design stage like will the design deliver the assets or services required; or
counterparty risks like the technical and operational capability of those who are to
deliver the infrastructure and the supporting or resulting services contracted for, Site
Selection, Geotechnical Survey, Schematic scope, definition and control, detailed
design, engineers design estimate, concept for work execution, schedule for execution
of work, schematic design(variations -20% to +20%), design developmentvariations -
15% to +15%), drawings, specifications
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
etc. have to be dealt with. But another issue is, if design risk is to be allocated to the
developer, how and on what basis is transfer of this risk to be achieved? Sign off or
acceptance wording in bidders proposals for the design may indicate a mismatch of
expectations, which will need to be aligned.
Construction Phase
Issues during construction like delays in completion, occurrence of certain events that
hinder the progress of work, schedule (programmer) development, schedule
contingency, cost control, correct estimation of contingency etc have to be dealt with.
This is normally borne by the construction contractor involved in the scheme and
includes failure to complete construction within the agreed timeframe, cost overruns,
delays to the commissioning of the facilities and/or the start of the resulting service, and
inability to meet specified design and construction requirements. Risk assessments,
involving the measurement of loss to the commissioning party in different scenarios, are
of help in developing a liquidated damages regime, being one of a number of remedies
available to provide incentives to the developer to manage the project properly.
Operation Phase
Issues in the operation phase can be training, operability, maintainability, reliability etc.
Operating risk can be the required inputs for the construction or operation of the
infrastructure cost more than anticipated; the risk that maintenance costs will be higher
than anticipated due to bad design or defects in construction; technical obsolescence;
inadequate specifications leading to subsequent variations and unanticipated costs,
efficiency and reliability of the project in operation. To mitigate this, a reputed O&M
partner is appointed with long term binding contract and suitable performance
guarantees and is responsible for the day to day maintenance and operation of the asset.
If contract negotiations are not to be unduly protracted, it is essential that suitable key
performance indicators (KPI’s) are identified in advance, as a result of the work already
done under the risk management programme. The selection of appropriate KPI’s is
essential if the project objectives are to be realised, especially in service output focused
projects such as PPP’s. Many clients will have done this work, but most will not have
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
given much thought to a regime of credits or adjustments to the service charges if these
KPI’s are not achieved. A rigorous risk management programme will include
measurement of losses incurred if different kinds of operating risks are realised. This
work can considerably assist the development of an appropriate service credit regime;
RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk Management is the process of measuring, or assessing risk and then developing
strategies to manage the risk. In general, the strategies employed include transferring
the risk to another party, avoiding the risk, reducing the negative effect of the risk, and
accepting some or all of the consequences of a particular risk. Traditional risk
management focuses on risks stemming from physical or legal causes (e.g. natural
disasters or fires, accidents, death, and lawsuits)
Generally Regardless of the type of risk management, all large corporations have risk
management teams and small groups and corporations practice informal, if not formal,
risk management.
In ideal risk management, a prioritization process is followed whereby the risks with the
greatest loss and the greatest probability of occurring are handled first, and risks with
lower probability of occurrence and lower loss are handled later. In practice the process
can be very difficult, and balancing between risks with a high probability of occurrence
but lower loss vs. a risk with high loss but lower probability of occurrence can often be
mishandled.
Steps in the Risk Management Process
1) Establish the context
Establishing the context includes planning the remainder of the process and mapping
out the scope of the exercise, the identity and objectives of stakeholders, the basis upon
which risks will be evaluated and defining a framework for the process, and agenda for
identification and analysis.
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2) Risk Identification
After establishing the context, the next step in the process of managing risk is to
identify potential risks. Risks are about events that, when triggered, will cause
problems. Hence, risk identification can start with the source of problems, or with the
problem itself.
Source analysis Risk sources may be internal or external to the system that is
the target of risk management. Examples of risk sources are: stakeholders of a
project, employees of a company or the weather over an airport.
Problem analysis Risks are related to identify threats. For example: the threat
of losing money, the threat of abuse of privacy information or the threat of
accidents and casualties. The threats may exist with various entities, most
important with shareholder, customers and legislative bodies such as the
government.
When either source or problem is known, the events that a source may trigger or the
events that can lead to a problem can be investigated. The identification methods are
formed by templates or the development of templates for identifying source, problem or
event. Common risk identification methods are:
Objectives-based Risk Identification Organizations and project teams have
objectives. Any event that may endanger achieving an objective partly or
completely is identified as risk.
Scenario-based Risk Identification In scenario analysis different scenarios was
created. The scenarios may be the alternative ways to achieve an objective, or an
analysis of the interaction of forces in, for example, a market or battle. Any
event that triggers an undesired scenario alternative is identified as risk
Taxonomy-based Risk Identification The taxonomy in taxonomy-based risk
identification is a breakdown of possible risk sources. Based on the taxonomy
and knowledge of best practices, a questionnaire is compiled. The answers to the
questions reveal risks.
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Common-risk checking in several industries lists with known risks is available.
Each risk in the list can be checked for application to a particular situation. An
example of known risks in the software industry is the Common Vulnerability
and Exposures.
3) Risk Assessment
Once risks have been identified, they must then be assessed as to their potential severity
of loss and to the probability of occurrence. The fundamental difficulty in risk
assessment is determining the rate of occurrence since statistical information is not
available on all kinds of past incidents. Furthermore, evaluating the severity of the
consequences (impact) is often quite difficult for immaterial assets. Asset valuation is
another question that needs to be addressed. Thus, best educated opinions and available
statistics are the primary sources of information. Thus, there have been several theories
and attempts to quantify risks. Numerous different risk formulae exist, but perhaps the
most widely accepted formula for risk quantification is:
Rate of occurrence multiplied by the impact of the event equals risk
Later research has shown that the financial benefits of risk management are not so much
dependent on the formulae used. The most significant factor in risk management seems
to be that 1.) Risk assessment is performed frequently and 2.) It is done using as simple
methods as possible.
4) Potential Risk Treatments
Once risks have been identified and assessed, all techniques to manage the risk fall into
one or more of these four major categories: (Dorfman, 1997)
Transfer
Avoidance
Reduction (Mitigation)
Acceptance (Retention)
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Ideal use of these strategies may not be possible. Some of them may involve trade offs
that are not acceptable to the organization or person making the risk management
decisions.
Risk avoidance
It includes not performing an activity that could carry risk. An example would be not
buying a property or business in order to not take on the liability that comes with it.
Avoidance may seem the answer to all risks, but avoiding risks also means losing out on
the potential gain that accepting (retaining) the risk may have allowed. Not entering a
business to avoid the risk of loss also avoids the possibility of earning the profits.
Risk reduction
It involves methods that reduce the severity of the loss.
Risk retention
It involves accepting the loss when it occurs. True self insurance falls in this category.
Risk retention is a viable strategy for small risks where the cost of insuring against the
risk would be greater over time than the total losses sustained. All risks that are not
avoided or transferred are retained by default. This includes risks that are so large or
catastrophic that they either cannot be insured against or the premiums would be
infeasible. Political risks and wars is an example since most property and risks are not
insured against war, so the loss attributed by war is retained by the insured.
Risk transfer
It means causing another party to accept the risk, typically by contract or by hedging.
Insurance is one type of risk transfer that uses contracts. Other times it may involve
contract language that transfers a risk to another party without the payment of an
insurance premium. Liability among construction or other contractors is very often
transferred this way.
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
5) Create the plan
Decide on the combination of methods to be used for each risk. Each risk management
decision should be recorded and approved by the appropriate level of management. The
risk management plan should propose applicable and effective security controls for
managing the risks. A good risk management plan should contain a schedule for control
implementation and responsible persons for those actions. The risk management
concept is old but is still not very effectively measured
6) Implementation
Following of all of the planned methods for mitigating the effect of the risks and
purchase of insurance policies for the risks that have been decided to be transferred to
an insurer, avoid all risks that can be avoided without sacrificing the entity's goals,
reduce others, and retain the rest.
7) Review and evaluation of the plan
Initial risk management plans will never be perfect. Practice, experience, and actual loss
results, will necessitate changes in the plan and contribute information to allow possible
different decisions to be made in dealing with the risks being faced.
Risk analysis results and management plans should be updated periodically. There are
two primary reasons for this:
1. to evaluate whether the previously selected security controls are still applicable and
effective, and
2. to evaluate the possible risk level changes in the business environment. For
example, information risks are a good example of rapidly changing business
environment.
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RISK MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES AS APPLIED TO PROJECT
MANAGEMENT
In project management, risk management includes the following activities:
Planning how risk management will be held in the particular project. Plan
should include risk management tasks, responsibilities, activities and budget.
Assigning a risk officer - a team member other than a project manager who is
responsible for foreseeing potential project problems. Typical characteristic of
risk officer is a healthy skepticism.
Maintaining live project risk database. Each risk should have the following
attributes: opening date, title, short description, probability and importance.
Optionally risk can have assigned person responsible for its resolution and date
till then risk still can be resolved.
Creating anonymous risk reporting channel. Each team member should have
possibility to report risk that he foresees in the project.
Preparing mitigation plans for risks that are chosen to be mitigated. The purpose
of the mitigation plan is to describe how this particular risk will be handled –
what, when, by who and how will be done to avoid it or minimize consequences
if it becomes a liability.
Summarizing planned and faced risks, effectiveness of mitigation activities and
effort spend for the risk management. (wikipedia)
CONTRACTUAL RISK MITIGATION
Contractual Risk Management is a systematic method of using proactive contracting
that is contract design and contract governance for the purpose of holistic management
of risks to the firm. It forms a part of the firms total risk management but adopts a view
internal to the contracting activities for the management of risks to the firm.
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Contractual risk management is based on an integration of the legal, economics and risk
management perspectives to the management of risks to the firm with the help of
contracting activities. Thus it can be tailored for the purpose of the firms strategic and
operative risk management.
Strategic Contractual Risk management will allow the firm to systematically develop
and manage its contracting activities and Operative Contractual Risk Management will
allow the firm to systematically manage its business transactions.
Thus risk mitigation through contracts is possible by
Identifying general risks connected to business transactions
Identification of legal norms regulating the transaction
Identification of the risks and risk distribution created by legal norms
Identification and evaluation of contractual risk management tools, prediction
and development of the viability of such contractual risk management tools,
followed by contractual risk allocation
Monitoring of changes in legal norms and their distribution of risks and the
viability of contractual risk management
Various Ways of Contractual Risk Mitigation
a) Hold Harmless Agreements: One type of agreement that transfers risk is
commonly known as a hold harmless agreement. Such agreements include
indemnity agreements. There are three types of indemnity: 1) Broad, 2)
Intermediate and 3) Limited. Contractors should indemnify and hold harmless a
local government from and against claims, damages, losses and expense arising out
of or resulting from the performance of their work. In addition, subcontractors and
service vendors should be held to this same standard. Much of the law that applies
to indemnification agreements was developed in the construction industry. When
considering hold harmless agreements in construction-related contracts,
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indemnification provisions should obligate contractors to assume any and all
liabilities associated with the performance of work.
b) Contractual Transfer for Risk Financing: Contractual transfer for risk financing
is a risk-financing technique and shifts only the financial burden of loss: it may or
may not involve insurance. “Contractual transfers for risk financing” typically share
the following three important characteristics: 1. the transferee promises to provide
funds without any promise of immediate equal repayment for the transferor (thus
creating a true transfer of the financial risk of loss). The funds are available to pay
only the losses that fall within the scope of the transfer agreement (which might be
limited in terms of the types of losses, perils or amount of losses for which the
financial burden is transferred). 3. The transferor’s financial security depends on the
transferee’s willingness and ability to pay and on the transfer agreement’s legal
enforceability. A contractual transfer for risk financing is equivalent to commercial
insurance except that the transferee is not the insurer.
One such technique is Syndicate banking or Consortium Banking which gets a
group of banks together within the same credit document, negotiate only one loan,
and have participating banks assume most of the administration and operations. It is
beneficial for the borrowers as well, for this helps them borrow large levels of
amounts normally not possible on a one to one basis, and bring in a competitive
element among the banks, which in turn results in lower debt service for the
borrower. Now the question comes as to why this cannot be financed using other
means of finance like debentures and bonds. The answer is; that though there is no
harm in financing projects through these means, the market may not be interested to
park their money in such high debt, high-risk and novice projects. Whereas, means
like syndicate banking may transfer the financial risk to the lending parties, the debt
risk can be mitigated by each lending party due to the large number of institutions
lending. It is up to the lead arranger whether or not to include other institutions as
well in the process (Syndicate process schema shown earlier).
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c) Contractual Transfer for Risk Control: Contractual transfer for Risk Control is a
frequent strategy for dealing with business risk — a strategy often called
subcontracting or outsourcing. Contractual transfer for Risk Control can easily be
mistaken for exposure avoidance. For certain types of infrastructure (in the power
sector in particular), there are risks pertaining to fuel supply such as the timely
availability of adequate amounts of fuel, price fluctuations and so on that must be
considered. Most investors prefer to allocate these risks to the host government;
either by having the government provide the fuel directly, or by obtaining a
contractual fuel pass-through agreement, wherein the tariff charged for usage of the
service provided by the infrastructure (e.g. the cost of electricity in the local setting),
reflects the cost of the fuel.
d) Project Insurance: Force Majeure or ‘Acts of God’ that are both unexpected and
out of the control of the project participants are also risks that may beset private
infrastructure projects. This risk is usually mitigated through the procurement of
project insurance from entities such as the Overseas Private Investment Corporation
(OPIC) and the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA). Infrastructure
project contracts will normally include a clause dealing with the occurrence of
events outside the control of either party that prevent or limit completion of the
development or the delivery of the infrastructure service. These are likely to relate
to risks that have been identified in the risk management plan that are not easy to
allocate to either party. If there is already good understanding of what those risks
might be and how important they are, it will be possible to more quickly move to a
preferred position on the scope of force majeure. In some cases, it will be
determined that some of these identified risks can indeed be better managed by one
side than the other and that the force majeure clause should not apply. In other
situations, it will be necessary to consider how and on what basis the financial
consequences of the force majeure event should be shared on a equitable basis.
e) Early termination: The contract documentation for an infrastructure project will
also have to provide for early termination rights in the event of a major contract
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breach, or as a result of persistent defaults in relation to some kinds of contract
breach. A robust assessment of risk should already have identified those risks (and
therefore those kind of events) that if realized are likely to have the most significant
adverse effect on the objectives set for the project. The job of identifying which of
these should or should not count as termination events under the contract will be
made much easier if this kind of risk assessment has been already done.
f) Liability limitation: It should be anticipated that developers and service providers
will require some form of limitation on the liabilities to which they are exposed
during the course of the project. This is a classic ‘risk take-back’ scenario for the
commissioning party. The commissioning party may have planned for transfers to
be effected in respect of many of the risks that have been identified. The
commissioning party also needs to understand what effect different liability
limitation regimes will have on its expected monetary value for the project even if it
is successful in gaining acceptance of most of these risk transfers. In the absence of
a well prepared risk management programme, it is difficult to take an informed view
on an appropriate liability limitation regime.
g) Power Purchase Agreements: In case of power projects is an apt example of
contractual risk management methods. The Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) is the
heart and soul of a private power project. The Request for Proposal provided to the
pre-qualified bidders should include the PPA as a part of the solicitation documents.
The PPA guarantees a market and a corresponding revenue stream for the power
to be produced by the project. Second, the PPA defines the rights and
obligations of the project developer and SEB during the development,
construction and operation phases of the useful life of a privately owned power
plant.
The PPA defines the service that the SEB can expect and which it must be
entitled to rely upon in planning to meet its customers needs. The PPA has to
ensure that performance is rendered as promised.
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The PPA allocates the risks associated with a power project, including fuel
prices other operating costs, financing costs, construction cost and various
performance factors. Related documents that may be necessary in course of
structuring the power purchase agreement are guarantees from the SEB or the
State Government, governmental authorizations to produce electricity,
environmental aspects, etc.
The PPA defines the service that the project developer and the power plant will
provide to the SEB through several provisions, including :
a) Technical description of the power plant, performance standards, quality of
power to be produced, detailed specification of fuel, environmental
responsibilities.
b) Term of PPA, including the provision of extension, early termination,
transfer of the project at the end of the PPA term.
c) the O & M procedures, metering arrangements, payment and billing terms,
protection equipment, personnel and safety requirements, operating records,
performance level, spare parts.
d) Energy price, O&M costs, penalty and bonus terms, third party sales.
e) Milestones for progress of construction, construction monitoring by SEB.
f) Force majeure provisions, labour disputes, regulatory changes, disputes
resolution, modification or amendments, Governing law, termination and
buy out provisions, etc.
The PPA is the source of all funds and should be commercially viable. Both SEBs
and developers-and their finances - will be paying the closest attention to the PPA.
The other agreements included in a successful private power project financing must
complement the PPA. The State Electricity Boards should retain control over
drafting of the PPA and this will give them a significant advantage in negotiation.
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h) Hedging Market Risks and Forward Covers: Forward cover can be taken against
the risk of the adverse movements in foreign exchange rates, to which a party is
exposed in the context of a proposed infrastructure project. The costs of taking this
cover out may be less for the commissioning party if that party is a government
organization. Therefore, there may be net benefits in accepting this risk, but then
mitigating that risk by the use of forward cover instruments.
Derivative instruments that are commonly used to hedge interest rate risk in project
financing include: rate locks to hedge bond issues; pay-fixed swaps and caps to hedge
floating-rate risk; and receive-fixed swaps to reduce negative spread. To hedge currency
risks, sponsors and lenders to the project can use long-dated cross-currency swaps to
hedge local revenues (which may be converted into dollar) against depreciation versus
non-dollar debt costs, while shorter-dated foreign exchange transactions can be used to
hedge local construction expenses against the risk that the local currency may
appreciate. Derivatives not only help to hedge commodity-based revenues against
variations in often volatile commodity prices, but can be structured to link interest rate
levels to commodity prices. And sovereign exposure decisions can be monetized by
sponsors entering into over-the-counter option agreements.
When the use of scenario generation and stress testing does show up weaknesses in the
finances of a certain project, hedging solutions can be used to effectively "box" risks
and to improve cash flow certainty. Such practices will undoubtedly improve the
financing terms of the deal and possibly increase the amount of debt that the project can
raise. In these cases, sponsors should consider using options in the form of caps and
floors to limit their exposure. These instruments will allow the sponsor to lay off some
proportion of its risk while also keeping part of the upside.
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CHAPTER 2
PROJECT MANAGEMENT AT SIMENS LTD.
ABOUT SIEMENS
Siemens World Wide
Siemens is one of the world’s leading companies in the development, manufacture and
marketing of electrical and electronic engineering. Established in Germany in 1847,
today the company is organized into nine major business groups, exclusively in
electrical and electronic engineering. They cover the fields of energy, industry,
information and communications, transportation, health care, components, lighting and
financial services.
Siemens Limited
Siemens Limited or Siemens India is the flagship company of the multinational
enterprise owned by Siemens AG (SAG) of Munich, Germany. The shareholding of
Siemens India currently is more than 51 %. Siemens India has been present in the
Indian Power Sector for over five decades and has supplied know how, eco-friendly
technology and equipment, both in public as well as private sector. It manufactures and
supplies the components, which are the building blocks for economical power
generation.
Siemens Limited- Power Generation
The power generation division of Siemens India (SL-PG) is in the business of setting up
power plants, automation of power plants and servicing of power plants. Since the
business of the division is essentially in the nature of execution of projects. It has no
manufacturing base and places orders on the other divisions for manufacturing.
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RANGE OF ACTIVITIES IN POWER GENERATION DIVISION:
The range of activities of SL-PG includes:
Power Projects
o Thermal Projects
o Hydro Projects
Power Plant Automation
Power Plant Service
Design and Engineering
Power Projects: in connection with the thermal and hydro projects, SL-PG avails
technical services from SAG as needed. In respect of erection, commissioning and
installation contracts of SL-PG with its customers, it obtains technical assistance from
SAG on a need- basis for erection, commissioning and installation of equipment
supplied by SAG to customer, which are in the nature if engineering services. SL-PG
remunerates SAG on a daily basis for these technical services.
Power Plant Automation: the power plant automation department of SL-PG meets the
entire automation needs of power plants of any type and size. The range of
comprehensive services for automation include project management, manufacturing,
engineering, software, installation, commissioning and after sales services as well as
modernization and renovation.
The major customers serviced by the department comprise of Independent Power Plants
(IPP) as well as utilities. Major customers include Hindalco, Tata Trombay,
Instrumentation Limited Kota, Damodar Valley Corporation etc. Power plant
automation is done not only for the projects brought by the clients but also the existing
projects under taken by Siemens. SL-PG also acts as a distributor of products like
modules, transmitters and spares manufactured by SAG.
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Power Plant Services: this department of SL-PG services clients to meet their needs
for service and spares for Gas Turbines and Generators and Auxiliaries. The service
division of SL-PG offers integrated solutions for improving the efficiency availability
of the turbines and genets. The department provides services in the areas of:
Planned and preventive maintenance/ overhauls and repair of power plants
Emergency services
Spare Parts Management
Relocation of old sets and erection of new turbine generator sets
Design and Development Department: SL-PG set up a Design Centre with an
objective of providing renovation and modernization of old turbine and generator sets to
take advantage of skilled manpower available at a relatively lower cost. This group has
experts in design of Steam Turbines, Generators, Layouts and related fields. SAG is the
only customer for this department. For various jobs, which SAG procures for turbine
manufacturing, it sub-contracts the design portion to SL-PG.
Power Generation offers complete solutions and services for all kinds of power plants.
This includes gas and steam power plants for the utility, industrial and captive power
segments. Power Generation has Automation, services, Thermal and DDIT GGs.
PROJECT MANAGEMENT AT SIEMENS
Definitions:
‘A set of coordinated activities with a specific start and finish, pursuing a
specific goal with constraints on time, cost and resources’ (ISO 8402)
‘A management environment that is created for the purpose of delivering one or
more business products according to a specified business case.’
A project has some or all of these features:
Unique, Non-Repetitive
Multiple Projects
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Multiple Linked Tasks
Multiple Agencies
Limited Time
Limited Resources
Engineering
Process Know-How
Planning And Controlling
Unknown Risks
A successful project should also include coordination, prioritization, and optimization.
PROCESS OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT
The process of project management includes the following steps (Official Documents,
Siemens Ltd.,2004):
a) Acquisition Phase
b) Offering Phase
c) Realization Phase
d) Operation Phase
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Project Management ProcessProject Management Process
Pre Acquisition
Project Acquisition
Bid Preparation
Contract Negotiation
Project Handover
Project Opening and Clarifications
Detailed Planning
Sourcing And Manuf’g
Shipment
Erection/Installation
Commissioning
Acceptance Test
Warranty Period
AcquisitionAcquisitionPhasePhase
OfferingOfferingPhasePhase
Realization Realization PhasePhase
Realization Realization PhasePhase
Operation Operation PhasePhase
Source: Official Documents, Siemens Ltd.
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Acquisition Phase
a) Pre-Acquisition- PM process begins with check listing the requirements. It
comprises of the following steps:
Analyze Inquiry or identify expected business
Identify Internal business coordinators
Create/ Adapt business plan and assess expected business
Inform for product portfolio process
Record pre-acquisition and project data
b) Pre-Acquisition- Go or no go decision
Investment approval for defined sales resources
Outline description of customer and business context
Outline description of the potential orders (scope of supply and anticipated
sales)
c) Project Acquisition - Requirements
Evaluate expected business
Analyze and structure customer’s requirements
Analyze customer’s business field
Develop rough financing concept
Define bid scope and determine responsibilities
Perform rough risk assessment
Obtain bid budget approval
d) Project Acquisition- Bid or no bid
Investment approval for defined bid preparation resources
Supplemented expected order document
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Documented customer inquiry
Analysis of context (Strength, weaknesses, opportunities, and risks)
Rough risk and cost estimate
Planned project/service share and volume, expected profit
Appointment of Proposal Management
Stipulation of partner and supplier strategy
Preliminary commercial and legal examination
Bid or no Bid decision matrix
Integration of export control
Stipulation of contract management and claim strategy
Offering Phase
a) Bid Preparation- Requirements
Set up bid project
Create bid parts
Analyze and supplement risk assessments
Review and confirm project classification
Prepare bid approval (LOA documents depending on the category of the project)
b) Bid Approval
Detailed project description (project plan and solutions)
Detailed project cost calculation (sales, EVA)
Completed bid documentation
Approval by all organizations involved
Current risk assessment
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Current project classification
Approval for submission of bid to the customer
Signed bid approval
Defined negotiation framework
c) Contract Negotiation- Requirements:
Hand over bid to customer
Prepare and realize customer presentation
Process customer feedback and change bid
Develop negotiation strategy
Organize and conduct contract negotiations
Obtain approval for contract signing
d) Contract Negotiation- after the project is won
Signed acknowledgement of order
Final contract documentation
Described changes to the bid (resources, legal aspects, solutions, etc.)
Revised risk evaluation including risk assessment, likelihood of occurrence
Approval by risk board in charge
Adapted escalation level
e) Contract Negotiation- Loss order Analysis
Track contract winner
Reasons for the contract loss
Relief for proposal management
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f) Project Handover- requirements
Allocate overall and commercial project managers
Update project documentation
Analyze the orders
Realization Phase:
1. Start Project
Project manager and commercial project manager appointed
Complete contract and bid documents handed over to project manager
Changes between contract and bid documented
Scope of delivery and cost calculation adapted
Risk analysis and adjustment of actions to reduce risk, final dialog with Bid
manager
2. Project opening and clarification- Requirements
Set up project organization and roles and responsibilities
Open project account and a project structure
Perform detailed site check
Clarify contract in legal and commercial terms
Create project structure and complete as sold cost calculations
Change and claim strategy documented
Perform a project assessment (PMA)
3. Order receipt clarified
Project organization completed
Detailed agreement with customer on scope of deliveries and services and
specifications
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Change and claim strategy completed
Contract structures adapted
Target agreements drawn up
Project structure created
As sold cost calculation finalized
4. Detailed planning- Requirements
Determine technical basis, solutions and implementation of approval
Perform detailed design
Create and release detailed specifications
Freeze basic schedule
Complete sourcing concept
Complete quality plan, risk analysis
5. Approval of detailed analysis
Approved documents for erection
Approval documents for purchasing
Selected suppliers/service providers
Completed service concept
Create current costing
Create QM plan
Stipulate frequency of following milestone meetings
6. Purchasing and manufacturing
Manufacture own products
Place orders
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Trace/expedite manufacture
Perform work acceptance
7. Dispatch approval
Notification of completion readiness
Packing list with current weights and dimensions of packing units
Export declaration prepared
Pro-forma invoice for customs clearance
Packaging and dispatch information
Notification of readiness of site
8. Dispatch-requirements
Obtain approval for dispatch
Plan and monitor dispatch
Organize infrastructure (tools, approval)
Inspect dispatch goods for damage
Plan assignment of internal and external resources
9. Material and Resources at site
Goods received and incorporated in inventories
Site ready for plant erection
Resources available
10. Erection/ Installation
Erection completed
Erection reports prepared
Handover of all documents to commissioning
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Commissioning protocols prepared
Site ready for commissioning
11. Commissioning
Commission plant/system
Perform internal system/ plant test
Create final execution documentation
Organize customer training
12. Commissioning Completed
Commissioning completed
Documented list of open points/ punch list
Documented commissioning results/test
Updated execution documents prepared
13. Acceptance Test- Requirements
Plan for acceptance test
Perform acceptance test
Create provisional customer documentation
Organize customer training
14. Provisional Customer Acceptance
Provisional customer acceptance signed
List of open points adopted together with customer
Acceptance test documentation completed
Provisional customer documentation drawn up
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Operation Phase
a) Warranty period
Reduce outstanding points
Create final customer documentation
Archive project
Create final project report
Dissolve project organization
Conclude warranty
Request FAC
b) Final customer acceptance
Final customer acceptance signed
Bank guarantee returned
Final customer documentation prepared
Final project report prepared
Enablers In Project Management
There are certain factors, which act as catalysts or enablers in the process of project
management. These are:
a. Risk Management
b. Change/Claim Management
c. Quality Management
d. Project Management Assessment
e. Scheduling
f. Cost Asset Controlling
g. Project Reporting
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RISK MANAGEMENT AT SIEMENS LTD.
Risk management embraces the whole spectrum of activities and measures associated
with the identification, evaluation, and handling of risks. (Official Documents, Siemens
Ltd, 2004)
Types Of Risks
Risks can be of the following types:
Market/Industry Risks
o Technology innovation pressure
o Risks of substitution
o Life cycle of products
o Customer behavior
o Changes in regulatory and taxation policies
RISK IDENTIFICATIONIdentification of
risks/sources of risks by a systematic procedure
RISK EVALUATIONQuantitative evaluation of
risks concerning their impact and probability
RISK HANDLINGMeasures and mechanisms
for influencing risks
RISK CONTROLLINGOngoing reporting and
monitoring of risks and risk handling mechanisms
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Business management Risks
o Capacity utilization of plant
o Management of alliances/joint ventures
o Knowledge management
o Location/multiple sites
o Distribution channels
Operation Management Risks (technological)
o Development-time to market
o Efficiency in R&D
o Delivery time in construction/projects
o Overall logistic process
o Quality in manufacturing
Operation Management Risks (Strategy)
o Strategic analysis of the business field environment
o Corporate governance
o Project Calculation/Project Selection
o After-sale customer service
o External communication/investor relations
Financial risks
o Currency fluctuations
o Interest rate fluctuations
o Credit risks
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
o Country risks
Purchasing risks
o Supplier engagement
o Supplier behavior
o Purchase prices/commodity risks
o Purchasing logistics
o Dependency risk
Other IT-Risks & Human Risks
o Loss of use of information systems
o Misuse of information systems
o IT development & implementation
o Key Personnel
o Reward systems
Legal Risks
o Reaction to changes in legal/accounting/ taxation
o Legal risks in product development
o Legal risks in sales
o Technology transfer
o Environment
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Result Of Risk Management
The result of risk management is a reduction in financial impact and/or probability of
occurrence.
WORK PROCESS AT COMMERCIAL DEPARTMENT (SIEMENS
LTD.)- POWER GENERATION DIVISION
Offer Costing
Offer costing is the method by which Siemens Ltd. calculates the total price (I.e. supply
and E&C) it shall quote to the client for the offer made for a contract.
The price is calculated entirely on the basis of Ex-works. A work sheet is prepared
wherein the cost incurred by Siemens is added to the profit margin. Cost incurred may
include cost of engineering and system integration, financing costs, administration
costs, sales overheads and bank guarantee costs. To this are added, the risks involved
and the negotiating margin.
Risk before risk- handling measures
Risk after risk-handling measures
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(Copies of worksheets including the factor sheet, and the other excel sheets prepared for
the Balswara Project, have been attached in annexure 1 to 4).
Order Booking
Two kinds of transactions occur at Siemens;
a) Cost Completion Method/ Normal Method
b) Percentage of Completion Method
Each kind differs in the way it is booked in the company’s accounts.
Cost Completion Method
Under CCM, Siemens undertakes direct billing to the client. The transactions here
usually include spare parts, standard products etc. There are two kinds of cost scenarios
appearing therein:
1) Accruals
2) Unbilled Cost
Accruals: For instance, let there be four vendors, A, B, C and D who supply material
for the execution of the contract. Let the order value be Rs.100. Siemens assumes a
sales margin of 10% i.e. Rs.10.
Then, the planned cost will be: Rs100- 10=Rs. 90
When the vendors supply the materials, all but one vendor, say vendor C, invoice the
supply. In such a case, Siemens cannot book the cost of C’s material since there is no
invoice supporting it. Thus, actual cost will be the sum of values of A, B and D’s
supplies.
Particulars (Rs.)
Order Value 100
Less: Sales Margin@ 10% 10
Planned Cost 90
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Less: Actual Cost
A – 20
B – 20
(20) C – 00
D – 30 70
Accruals 20
C’s material cost, which has not yet been billed yet by him, cannot form a part of actual
cost and thus be counted as accruals.
Unbilled Cost: Assuming the order value Rs.100 and the sales margin 10% (Rs.10),
lets say only A and C have supplied the material. The actual cost here, (A+C) Rs. 40,
which cannot be negated from Rs. 90 (planned cost) until all the vendors supply the
material. (The rest B+D = 50 is yet to be achieved). Here Rs. 40 will be the unbilled
cost till the material for the remaining Rs.50 is not delivered and invoiced. Unbilled cost
is nothing but WIP yet to be turned over.
Particulars (Rs.)
Order Value 100
Less: Sales Margin@ 10% 10
Anticipated Cost 90
Less: Actual Cost
A – 20
(20) B – 00
C – 20
(30) D – 00 40 Unbilled Cost
Remaining 50
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Percentage of Completion Method
This method works on the US GAAP measures. Here the revenue of the project is
recovered on the basis of the percentage value of project completed.
Terms to be understood in this context are:
a) Order Value (Rs.100)
b) Sales Margin (10%)
c) Planned Cost (Rs.90)
d) Actual Cost
e) Percentage of Completion (POC)
f) Progress Billing
g) Excess Billing
h) Excess Cost
POC: It is the revenue to be obtained as per the cost incurred for the percentage value
of the project completed plus the sales margin. Thus, POC= Actual Cost+ Sales
Margin.
Progress Billing (PB): It is the amount that the client / customer is charged for the
percentage of order executed or completed.
Excess Billing and Excess Cost: PB can be greater than or less than POC. Whenever
POC is lesser than PB, it is a case of Excess Billing and whenever POC is greater than
PB, it is case of Excess Cost.
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Calculation of EBIT and Net Working Capital
Calculation Of EBIT:
Particulars (Rs.)
Order Value XXXX
Turnover
Less: Cost of Sales
Sales Margin
Less: Selling Expenses (Salaries, postage, rent)
EBIT
Less: Tax
PBT
VKA Analysis or Calculation of Net Working Capital
Particulars (Rs.)
Debtors
Add: Net Inventory*
Other Current Assets
Less: Other Current Liabilities
Excess Billing
Accruals
Trade Creditors
Net Working Capital
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*Net Inventory- Calculation:
Particulars (Rs.)
Physical
Add: Unbilled Cost
Goods in Transit
Excess Cost
Advance to Suppliers
Gross Inventory
Less: Customer Advance Payment (CAP)
Net Inventory
(Profitability Statement, Overview of results and OCC-PCC Survey Project report are
attached in annexure 5 to 7)
About EVA Or Economic Value Added
Economic Value Added (EVA) is a robust financial measure to evaluate how efficiently
a company is using its capital. It is unique in that it measures the return on capital
employed and the cost of capital employed. The difference between the two is EVA.
The return on capital is measured by net operating after taxes (NOPAT) and the cost of
capital is measured by taking the cost of equity and cost of debt. As an absolute figure,
it tells how much economic value is added every year as a percentage of capital
employed, and one can compare the trend over the years to see whether it is improving.
Thus when the operating profit of a company decreases or when the cost of capital
increases, the EVA declines and vice versa.
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TRANSFER PRICING AT SIEMENS
Siemens India engages in international transactions with Siemens Aktiengeselschaft
(SAG), in Germany, which fall under the purview of transfer pricing norms. Any
income arising from an international transaction (all transactions between Siemens India
and its associated enterprises) is computed having regard to the arm’s length price. The
newest provisions of the Finance Act, 2001, enacted by the Government of India require
commercial outcomes arising from international transactions between associated
enterprises to be consistent with the arm’s length principle.
The arm’s length principle has been endorsed as the standard for transfer pricing in
India and throughout various tax jurisdictions around the world. In this regard, the
provisions contained in section 92C provide for methods to determine the arm’s length
price in relation to the international transactions with the associated enterprises and
rules 10A to 10E give the manner and circumstances in which different methods can be
applied, and the factors governing the selection of the most appropriate method to
calculate the arm’s length price.
Selection of Most Appropriate Method
The calculation of arm’s length price has to be done by using the ‘the most appropriate
method’. The various options to choose from for this purpose are as follows:
a) Comparable Uncontrolled Price Method (CUP)
b) Resale Price Method (RPM)
c) Cost Plus Method (CLPM)
d) Profit Split Method (PSM)
e) Transactional Net Profit Margin Method (TNMM)
International Transactions between SL-PG and SAG
Following are the international transactions between SL-PG and SAG;
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a) Provision of Technical Services to SAG: This involves deputing personnel to
SAG and export of design in the form of drawings to SAG.
b) SAP Support Services: SL-PG provides back office SAP data processing
services to SAG. The transaction and data processing services involve filling up
of information into systems for SAG so as to enables it to give a quote to its
customers. For rendering this service, SL-PG charges a fixed fee to SAG.
c) Availing of Technical Services: Based on the need and requirement of SL-PG,
SAG provides technical services to SL-PG for erection, commissioning and
installation of power plants in India and for power plant service department.
d) Distribution (Import of spares for resale): SL-PG imports spares and modules
manufactured by SAG for resale in Indian market without any value addition.
SAG undertakes the entire research and development, design and other high-end
technical activities. The entire manufacturing risk and development risk is borne
by SAG. SL-Pg merely acts as a distributor.
e) Sales Agency Services: SL-PG provides sales agency services (such as
receiving trade enquiries/identifying opportunities for SAG, enabling SAG to
finalize the final quote to SAG for utility and industrial turbine power plant
service department and for getting mandates in India.
RISK REPORTING AT SIEMENS LTD.
Operating risk: The project coordinators undertake the process of Risk Reporting to
the risk champion for the projects undertaken by them on a monthly basis. The risk
champion consolidates, evaluates, and reports the risk for PG on a quarterly basis to the
Head Office.
All the projects greater than Rs. 5 million are covered in the risk report. There are
guidelines wherein the various categories of opportunities and risks to be reported are
identified. The risk report contains the value of risk and the probability of risk
occurrence. The action for mitigation is also stated.
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Liquidated Damages: In every risk report, the risks of every project are identified. The
risks of the project are in the form of Liquidated Damages, the probability of which is
identified by the Project Coordinators. If the probability is more than 50% the provision
for liquidated damages is created as per the terms stated in the contract.
Debtors: Average credit period is 30 to 60 days as per the terms. The bank guarantee is
issued in favor of the customers against advance/performance/warranty period.
CLAIMS MANAGEMENT AT SIEMENS LTD.
Siemens Ltd. practices contractual risk mitigation in order to counter risks that come in
way during the implementation of projects. It banks on another concept called Claims
management to face such situations.
What is a Claim?
A claim is a financial, material or time demand by a contractual partner as a result of
actions, omissions, deviations or impediments in fulfillment of the contract. A claim
may have a built in conflict potential. Ideally, each contractual partner should strive to
convert claim into change orders. (Official documents, Siemens Ltd. 2004)
A change order is a financial, material or time request of a contractual partner and
usually results in a mutually agreed amendment to the contract.
Claims arise due to contractual grey zones e.g. unclear tasks, interfaces, differences of
interpretations, contractual omissions, planning errors, new requirements, contractual
failures e.g. supplier’s delivery delays, delays in customer engineering inputs,
payments, supplies and site fronts, non-fulfillment of technical specifications, third
party actions, events e.g. strikes, changes in laws, delays in approvals and force majuere
conditions.
Types of Claims
Financial
o Extra costs
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
o Price reduction
o Penalties/ Liquidated Damages
Deadlines
o Time extension
o Advancement in Schedules
Material
o Fulfillment of technical specifications
o Fulfillment of general contractual conditions e.g. payment terms,
approvals, customer supplies, plant acceptance
Claims can be External (customer, supplier, consortium partner) and Internal
(own division, other division)
Why Claims Management?
There is no project without changes. Changes can cause enormous losses to both
purchasers and suppliers. Due to all this, Claims management becomes important. Also,
the impacts of changes could vary widely and there is sno basis for suppliers to
calculate and build safety factors into their prices or delivery commitments.
Objectives of Claims Management
The objectives of claims management are as follows:
To recognize own and opposing claims actively and timely
To realize own claims efficiently
To defend opposing claims successfully
Choice of Claims Strategy for a specific project
There can be two kinds of claims strategies: Defensive Claims Strategy and Offensive
Claims Strategy. Choice is influenced by
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Corporate culture
Corporate claims strategy
Relationship with the contractual partner(past experiences, expectations)
Project specific conditions
Claims Management before the Contract
Claims Management before the contract may include exactness in defining scope of
supplies, services, and documentation, trigger clauses, clauses defining “Customer
Acceptance”, Liquidated Damages Clause, and Force Majeure Clauses etc.
The objectives:
Anticipate all future claims while phrasing the contract
Build in rules for resolving conflicts
Improve the quality of the contract
Reduce grey areas
Claims Management after the Contract but before the event
The objective is to establish an early warning system for developments that could give
rise to claim events. for eg.:
Delays or hindrances from the customers side
Delays or hindrances by a third party
A strike in a suppliers work
Changes in taxation laws
Civil and transportation disturbances
In this phase, the paper work has to be carefully prepared. Each letter must be politely
clear and exact and a systematic case has to be build up.
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Claims Management after the Event
Step 1
Early problem recognition- foundation of a claim
Is there a deviation from the contract?
Is it a potential change order?
If not, compile the basic (easily available) documentation
The facts of the case
The causes
The effects
Judge the situation
Does it fit the claim strategy for the project?
The contractual risks
The chances of success with the basic documentation
The possible strength of further documentation(as evidence)
Efforts vs. results
Step 2
if there is a worthwhile claim case, collect detailed documentation. For site
related claims, a site diary and photograph can prove invaluable
the effort can be large but worth it- watertight evidence is needed for success
put a value to the claim considering
is it a delivery extension, scope reduction or price increase?
Is the value contractually definable, should it be based on actual; costs or
be intentionally exaggerated?
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Is it an individual claim, or a group claim or is it for the whole project?
Step 3
Formulate the claim
Summary of the event
Convincing argumentation of the event(attach the files)
The consequent (quantified) demand
The formulation is the basis for negotiations and is crucial for their success
Make an entry (running no. , short description, value, status, success) in the
project specific claims register(for customers and suppliers)
Control results- how successful are the claims strategy?
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CHAPTER 3
APPRAISAL OF A POWER PLANT BY SEMENS LTD.
SUGEN CCPP- A JOINT VENTURE AGREEMENT BETWEEN TORRENT PRIVATE LIMITED AND SIEMENS AKTIENGESELSCHAFT (AG) AND SIEMENS INDIA
ABOUT THE POWER PROJECT
Torrent Group is developing and implementing a combined cycle power plant near
village Akhakhol, Distt. Surat. The project named SUGEN CCPP is a backward
integration initiative by the Torrent Group. The plant is expected to make a significant
contribution towards expanding and securing environmentally compatible power supply
in the cities of Ahmedabad, Surat and Gandhinagar in Gujarat, India.
This project, valued at over Euro 400 million, is the second turnkey project that
Siemens will implement for the Torrent Group following the successful execution of its
655MW combined-cycle power plant at Pathguthan, Gujarat. (Consent and Agreement:
Annexure 10).
Alstom and Siemens were the only bidders for the Engineering Procurement and
Construction contract for the mega power plant in Surat. Torrent Group has just
launched Torrent Power,which will be a common brand name used by these two
companies along with Torrent Power Generation Ltd.
GoG had initially approved TPSEC setting up a 675 MW power plant. However,
considering the projected increase in demand in the license areas of TPAEC / TPSEC as
well as to take advantage of economies of scale with ‘Mega Power Project’ status
(which results in substantial saving in project cost and thus tariff), Torrent Group
proposed to set up a 1100 MW power project through an SPV – Torrent Power
Generation Limited. (“TPGL”) The Government of Gujarat later enhanced the capacity
to 1000+ MW power project and permitted the project to be set up under TPGL.
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
The Plant shall use Re gasified Liquefied Natural Gas(R-LNG)/Natural Gas (NG) as
fuel. Globally it has been acknowledged that RLNG/NG are the most environment
friendly fuel for large scale power generation due to its low sulphur content and lower
emission of green house gases like CO2 and NO2 as compared to other fuels like Coal.
The project has been given the status of a mega power plant. He plant is being
implemented, considering the need to cater to the ever increasing demand in the
prevailing area.
POWER SECTOR- AN OVERVIEW
Power is one of the prime movers of economic development. The installed generation
capacity has risen from around 1300MW at the time of independence to more than
1,10,000 MW today. However, despite the phenomenal and required matching increase
in the transmission and distribution (T&D) capacity, the power sector has not kept pace
with the growth in demand resulting in an energy demand-supply gap.
With the liberalization of Indian economy in 1991, Power Generation sector was
opened up for private participation. Since then hundreds of projects have been signed.
The long gestation of power projects involves very high cost of development. The
funding of these IPP projects is based on Project Finance concept and largely dependent
on future cash flows.
Segments in the Power Industry
Essentially, the delivery of electric power to the doorstep/ wall-socket of the end-to-end
consumer is the result of interplay of three major segments of the generation and
delivery chain:
Generation- this segment involves generation of electric power from fossil fuels
like gas, coal, oil etc., renewable energy sources covering different forms such
as solar, wind, biomass, small hydro, geo-thermal, tidal, wave etc. and nuclear
matter using various technologies.
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Transmission- evacuation of power from the generation facilities at high
voltage levels over relatively long distances and its delivery in bulk quantities to
the receiving facilities of the local distributor.
Distribution/ Supply- receipt of bulk power from the transmission facilities and
supply to the end-to-end consumers within a local geographical unit at a lower
voltage level. The entities in this segment constitute the retail interface of the
industry and address supply, quality, billing and issues typical to the end
consumers.
The Indian Scenario
BHEL has by far been the leading player in Power Generation Equipment or Power
Plant Equipment (PPE) with a market share of 65% of the installed base in India. Other
players are Siemens, GE, Alstom, Ansaldo and Hanjung. With upsurge of independent
power producers and international competitive bidding setting in, players like
Mitsubishi, Hanjung and Chinese manufacturers are also making their presence felt.
The annual demand for PPE in India is around 90 billion.
The International Scenario
The ‘Big 4’- GE, Siemens, Alstom, and Mitsubishi, dominates the global PPE industry.
Their dominance stems from leadership in turbines and boilers and international
presence, which reduces volatility in earnings resulting from bunching of projects in a
certain region. The global market size for equipment is around 40 billion per annum.
The other players are –Ansaldo, Hyundai and Hanjung.
Policy initiatives in Power sector
FDI upto 100% is allowed under automatic approval route in respect of projects
relating to electricity generation, transmission and distribution, other than
atomic reactor power plants. No limit on the project cost and quantum of FDI.
The category which would qualify for such approval are: (i) Hydroelectric
power plants (ii) Coal / Lignite based thermal power plants (iii) Oil /Gas based
thermal power plants.
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A Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) constituted under the
provision of ERC Act, 1998, has become functional. It regulates tariff of
generating companies owned or controlled by the Central Government if they
have a composite scheme for generation and sale of electricity in more than one
state. CERC has finalised the Indian Electricity Grid Code.
CERC regulates inter-state transmission of energy including tariff of the
transmission utilities. It arbitrates or adjudicates upon disputes involving the
Generating companies and transmission utilities in matters relating to tariffs.
Under revised mega power policy, the main objective is to set up mega power
projects to generate power at the lowest possible tariff by utilizing economies of
scale and setting up of such plants at pithead or coastal areas so that it can act as
catalyst for the reforms in the beneficiary states.
Power Trading Corporation (PTC) incorporated for buying power from mega
power projects in private sector and selling it to the beneficiary states.
Certain fiscal concessions given to mega power projects to make the tariff
cheaper, like duty free import of capital goods, deemed export benefit and
Income Tax holiday for 10 years.
Ten years tax holiday out of fifteen years under Section 80 IA of IT Act w.e.f.
01.04.2002, for:
- An industrial undertaking for the generation or generation and
distribution of power beginning from 01.04.1993 and ending on
31.03.2006.
- An industrial undertaking which starts transmission or distribution by
laying a network of new transmission or distribution lines at any time
during the period beginning 01.04.1999 and ending on 31.03.2006.
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Liquid Fuel Policy aims at setting up of short gestation power projects based on
liquid fuels viz; Naptha, HPS, LSHS, HFO, FO, Refinery Residue and
Petroleum Coke.
The policy guidelines for the private sector participation in Renovation and
Modernisation, details out various options like Lease, Rehabilitate, Operate and
Transfer (LROT), sale of plant and joint venture between SEBs and private
companies.
Import of Naphtha by actual user Power Project without any import restriction
allowed. Fuel policy encouraging use of other alternative fuels announced.
Allocation to the Accelerated Power Development Program (APDP) stepped up
to Rs 1,500 crore from a level of Rs 1,000 crore in 2000-01.
Securitisation of dues of central sector power and coal utilities for assisting the
SEBs in clearing dues.
Central Government to accelerate the program of reforms for State Electricity
Boards (SEBs) anchored in Centre-State partnership on the following:
- A time bound program for installation of 100 percent metering.
- Energy audit at all levels.
- Commercialization of distribution.
- SEB restructuring.
Enactment of Energy Conservation Act, 2001.
Electricity Bill 2001 has been introduced in Parliament.
A Crisis Resolution Group (CRG) set up in the Ministry of Power on
01.01.1999 under the chairmanship of Union Minister of Power to resolve the
last minute problems of power projects so that they achieve financial closure and
start construction.
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NEED FOR PRIVATE PARTICIPATION IN POWER PROJECTS
Power sector is witnessing a critical phase. State Electricity Boards (SEBs) are
responsible for providing electricity to the people. Most of the SEBs is cash strapped.
They are not even able to earn a minimum Rate of Return (ROR) of 3% on their net
fixed assets in service after providing for depreciation and interest charges in
accordance with Section 59of the Electricity (Supply) Act, 1948. The power sector in
the country has accumulated a huge deficit, dues to Central Power Generating
Companies because of the deteriorating financial performance.
To turn around the financial health of the power sector, the Government has taken up
reforms in the power sector for gradual elimination of losses. There form process in
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power sector in India was initiated in 1991. The sole objective in launching of there
forms was to mobilize private sector resources for power generating capacity addition.
The Government of India has amended Electricity Supply Act, 1948 and the Indian
Electricity Act, 1910 to facilitate the private sector participation. The annual losses of
SEBs at the end of the Ninth Plan are estimated at Rs. 24.000 crores and this has led to
large outstanding dues to Central PSUs, NTPC, NHPC, CIL, Railways, etc. amounting
to Rs. 35,000 crores. As per the projections made in the 15th Electric Power Survey, the
energy and peak demand requirement are likely to increase to 569,650 MU and 95,750
MW, respectively, by the end of Ninth Five year Plan (2001-02) and 1058440 MU &
176647 MW, respectively, by 2011-12.
Problems like uncompetitive power tariffs, low operational efficiency, power shortage,
power thefts, overstaffing etc. were known at the start of the economic reforms and it
was recognized at the time the public sector may not be able to invest in the power
sector to the required extent to expand capacity. The government therefore invited
private investors in power generation in the hope that private investment would fill the
gap.
ENERGY AND PEAKING DEMAND
1998-99 2001-02 2006-07
Energy demand(billion KWH) 469.06 569.65 781.86
Peaking demand(MW) 78,936 95,757 130.944
Annual Load factor (%) 67.83 67.91 68.16
Source: http://www.tidco.com/india_policies/india_infra/Powersector1.asp
However, it soon became evident that significant volumes of private investment cannot
be attracted in an environment where the independent power producer is expected to
sell power to a public sector distributor which may not be in a position to pay for the
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power purchased. The result has been that the inflow of private investment has been
much below the targeted level. Since the financial problems of the State Electricity
Boards have worsened over the Ninth Plan period, even this volume cannot be expected
to continue unless State Governments undertake serious reforms in the power sector,
including especially distribution, to make the sector financially viable.
Initially, these projects were awarded based on direct negotiation, generally called as
MOU route. The cost plus approach was taken for tariff calculations of these projects,
which has resulted in higher tariff, making them non-competitive. Moreover, the poor
financial health of SEBs has failed to guarantee secured payment mechanism for IPP
projects.
The major features of the IPP policy at the time of announcement in 1992-93 were:
Proposed debt to equity ratio 4:1, generally 70:30 is being implemented
16% rate of return on investment at 68.5% PLF; return In dollar terms for
foreign equity
Build in incentives for efficient operation; and
Tax holiday for 5 years
In order to reduce the project cost, the mode of project award has been changed from
MOU to tariff based competitive bidding. Due to the high cost of project development
and poor success rate of Indian IPP projects, an early evaluation of project feasibility is
very important for bidding decision. Hence there is a need for a financial model to
gauge the financial feasibility of the project.
POWER SECTOR- THE SCENARIO TODAY
The total generation capacity of India stands at about 111 GW. Of this, the
major share – 78 GW – or 70 per cent is thermal. The share of hydro is about 26
per cent. The remaining is nuclear (2.5 per cent) and wind power (1.5 per cent).
Ten years ago, the installed capacity was 77 GW, but the per cent distribution by
fuel type was almost the same as at present.
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Electricity Tariff for 2004-09
Economic Survey 2004-2005
The average PLF is 72.7 per cent. It was as low as 60 per cent ten years ago.
Captive power capacity in India is also quite large – about 30 GW and operates
at a capacity factor of about 40 per cent.
The all-India average energy shortage is 8.8 per cent, while the all-India average
peaking shortage is 12.2 per cent.
Households with access to electricity – a key focus area for the government –
are also a low 55 per cent.
Use of non-commercial energy sources (firewood, charcoal, agricultural and
animal residues and derived fuels etc.) continues to be very high – 29 per cent
and is worrisome because of associated inefficiencies and health hazards, apart
from loss of tree cover.
Of the 586,000 villages in the country, about 120,000 are yet to be electrified.
Bio fuels are used by 90% of the rural households for cooking. As a result,
women in the rural households, who are engaged in cooking, are exposed to
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Respirable Suspended Particulate Matter for long hours and suffer from
respiratory and eye diseases.
After accounting for captive power and non-commercial energy, the ratio of
electricity to total primary energy in India is about 40 per cent.
The power policy in India has three main missions: power availability for all by
2012, electrification of all villages by 2009, and access to electricity for all
households by 2012. This entails a capacity addition of 100 GW by the end of
the Eleventh Five Year Plan that is by the year 2012, integrating the regional
grids into the national grid with 30 GW of interregional transfer capacity, and
access to power for the remaining 45 per cent of households.
This is targeted to take the installed capacity to 145 GW by the end of the Tenth
Five Year Plan that is by the year 2007. But it is unlikely that the 41 GW
capacity addition target for the Tenth Plan (2002-2007) will be achieved. The
capacity addition target for the Eleventh Plan is an even more ambitious 65 GW.
Under the 50 GW Hydro Initiative by 2017, 162 potential hydro sites have been
identified. Feasibility reports for about 68 projects worth about 27 GW reveal
that many of these projects can deliver power at a reasonable cost.
Broadly, it is estimated that total investments worth around $180 billion will be
required till 2012. Half of this would be for generation, while the other half
would be for transmission and distribution and rural electrification.
Coal fired thermal plants are the main stay of the power sector in India, but
inadequate coal supplies are creating a problem. These are due to several reasons
including inadequate mining capacity and problem of coal transportation over
long distances. Also many coal bearing areas are under protected forest.
By the middle of the century, India’s population could rise to 1.5 billion. Annual
generation of 8000 TWh (corresponding to an installed capacity of 1250 to 1350
GW) would provide only a little above 5000 kWh per capita per annum. While
8000 TWh may sound as very large, in the context of India, it is on the low side.
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THE ELECTRICITY ACT, 2003- MAIN FEATURES
The main features of the E-Act are:
Generation Delicensed: Thermal generation does not need clearance from CEA. Only
large or inter-state Hydel projects need this. Setting up Captive generation does not
need permission. Captive generation can be set up by a group or society to meet their
needs. The captive plants can be located off-site (far from the consumption point).
Transmission utility at the central level will continue to hold responsibility of
coordinating planning of the transmission network. These utilities or the State
governments would look after load dispatch (scheduling of plants, maintenance etc).
Private companies can build Transmission lines for captive use or for common use
Open Access: Any generating station will get access to the transmission system at a
fee, subject to capacity availability. They will have to pay a fee to the transmission
utility (called wheeling charge) and charges for load dispatch centre. Bulk consumers
including DISCOMS can take advantage of Open access by purchasing the wheeled
power. Large consumers will have to pay a surcharge to cover cross subsidy, except in
case of the captive generating stations. The State Regulatory Commission may permit
Open access in distribution in phases and can levy a surcharge on users buying power
through open access. This will be utilized to cover cross subsidy in that area.
Distribution licensees are free to undertake generation and generation companies are
free to undertake distribution license. The commission can allow multiple licenses in
the area of a distribution licensee.
For rural and remote areas, stand alone systems for generation and distribution are
allowed. Distribution managed through Panchayats, User associations, Co-operatives
or Franchises would also be permitted without needing license (in state government
notified areas).
Power Trading is being recognized as an activity that can be taken up after
authorization of RCs. The RCs would issue license and fix ceilings on trading margins.
Distribution licensees and state governments do not require license to carry out trading.
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After Open access is allowed, consumer can enter into direct commercial relationship
with a generating company or Trader. In such a case, the price of power will not be
regulated, but the transmission charges (called wheeling charges) and surcharge would
be.
State governments can un-bundle SEBs and create companies. At the minimum the
transmission activity needs to be separated from SEB. All states should have
Regulatory Commissions. An Appellate tribunal will be created at the Centre for
disposal of appeals against decisions of CERC and SERCs. Strict provisions to deal
with power theft.
Tariff: Tariff would be along commercial principles to encourage competition and
efficiency. Multi year tariff formulation is suggested with gradual elimination of
subsidies. Metering to be 100% in a few years time. Time of the Day tariff to be
introduced in a phased manner. Central government would bring out National
Electricity Policy, Tariff Policy, National policy on standalone systems for rural areas
and a National policy on electrification & local distribution in rural areas. CEA shall
prepare National Electricity Plan
Overview of Impact of the Act
It is early to comment of the impacts of E Act, as they depend on the policies, which
are yet to be finalized. Some key aspects of the possible impact of E-Act in the coming
decade are discussed below:
Entry of more players (mostly private, some public) into generation,
transmission, trading and distribution.
Increase of captive generation, especially group captives, set up by group of
industries to meet their power needs. Many bulk consumers would quit state
owned distribution utilities.
Many contracts between generators and bulk consumers (private and public –
e.g. NTPC & Railway, private generation company & large industry etc), which
would be finalized and operated without public scrutiny.
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Tariff will change slowly to reflect the cost to serve and cross subsidy will get
reduced and finally disappear. State government may give subsidy in advance if
it wants to lower the tariff for some consumers.
Increased role of Central government in policy formulation
End of vertically integrated Electricity Boards.
Power sector becomes more complex with entry of many more actors and
contracts. Group captive, private distribution companies, transmission licensees
and power traders are some new actors. With open access, TOD tariff, many
supplier- trader - consumer contracts and many dispersed systems, planning,
regulating and operation of the system becomes more complex.
Financial deterioration of many state owned utilities – as they will increasingly
serve only small and rural consumers.
Segmentation of the society into four parts (according to the Act)
These are:
A. Large consumers: They would be allowed to access new (low cost) generation or
put up their own captive plants. These consumers would see a major reduction in
their tariff and be allowed to shrug off or reduce burden of the historical costs
(stranded costs).
B. Urban small consumers: Private players may be interested in taking up
Distribution for these areas. These consumers may remain under regulated
monopoly for quite some time to come. The private companies may see these urban
consumers as captive consumers not just for distribution but also for their proposed
generation plants (unless competitive bidding is encouraged for new power plants
these will again become vertically integrated monopolies).
C. The Rural small consumers: These consumers would also be under regulated
monopoly, which is likely to be under public ownership. These consumers are the
largest in number and would be taking the largest brunt of tariff increase.
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D. Rural Un-connected Population: The last section is the prospective consumers.
The actions for these consumers under other policies are yet evolving. There is
urgency to clearly spell out what will be done for these consumers, and is expected
through the Rural Electrification policies of MOP.
INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS AND MERCHANT
POWER PLANTS
An Independent Power Producer is a private entity that generates electricity and sells
it to other businesses including utilities. In early 1990s, reforms in the Indian power
sector started with the entry of private players into power generation. The Central and
State governments encouraged national and multinational companies to set up what is
called Independent Power Producer (IPP) projects. Enron in Maharashtra, GVK &
Spectrum in AP, Essar in Gujarat etc are examples. The initial response was quite
good, but ultimately only few plants were set up and many have been ridden by
controversies. Now it is clear that the IPP process not only resulted in high cost
projects but also failed to solve the problem of generation capacity shortage. Despite a
decade of policy focus, in FY 2002 the IPPs contributed barely 3% of national
generation (15,000 MU). Where as, the improved plant performance during this decade
contributed 3.5 times more than IPPs.
A merchant power plant generates electricity for sale in the open wholesale power
market. This type of facility is generally referred to as an Exempt Wholesale Generator
(EWG). These facilities provide low-cost electricity for industrial plants, power
marketers, Investor Owned Utilities (IOUs), municipalities and cooperatives.
A federal law, in the US, the Energy Policy Act of 1992, opened the national wholesale
electricity market to competition by allowing the development of Exempt Wholesale
Generators. These generators are provided comparable, non-discriminatory access to the
transmission network.
Additionally, regions of the United States are experiencing electricity shortages.
Extreme hot or cold weather and unexpected outages of older plants put a strain on
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resources. Having electric generation close to where it is needed decreases the chances
of interruption in electrical supply. An 800 MW power plant represents an investment
of about $400 million, providing a very positive economic impact on the region in
which it is located.
The risks associated with merchant power plants can be classified into three major
categories: market risk (which includes the markets for the sale of electricity and for the
purchase of fuel), project risk (which includes construction, technology and operating
risks), and structural risk (which includes legal/regulatory and financing risks).
Financing these projects, particularly pure merchant plants, is a difficult and
challenging exercise requiring creative and often complex solutions to manage the
many risks. The first generation of merchant plants has mitigated some of these risks by
contracting to sell a portion of their output under fixed-term contracts and by locating in
those regions of the country where the newly-created regulatory regime is the most well
established. But the planned capacity for some of those regions is beginning to exceed
demand and finding a dedicated purchaser for even a portion of a plant's output is not
always possible.
A power plant typically generates an average of 300 construction jobs over an 18-24
month period, and approximately 25 long-term operations/maintenance jobs. The
building phase results in the purchase of millions of dollars of materials from local
businesses, followed by procurement required for the on-going maintenance of the plant
once it is operational.
In addition to providing a reliable electricity source to the community, the plant will
also generate excess energy capacity for the region to meet the needs of future
economic development.
Earlier this decade, independent power development activity in the US diminished
significantly when utilities stopped entering into long-term power purchase
agreements, some having felt victimized by Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of
1978 (PURPA) contracts and all seemingly determined not to repeat that experience in
the face of the utility restructuring that could be glimpsed just over the horizon.
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Instead, project developers focused their attention on the international markets,
particularly Asia, South America and Eastern Europe. Now, utility restructuring is well
under way in the US, with retail access, disaggregation and divestiture occurring at an
ever-increasing pace, while competition at the wholesale level has firmly taken hold
and capacity shortages have become manifest in certain regions of the country. Still,
with rare exception, even those utilities that retain an obligation to serve native load
customers have shown no inclination to either build new generating units or to enter
into long-term, fixed-price power purchase agreements.
Merchant power plants, both pure and hybrid, have stepped into the void and are now
the consensus choice to meet this country's power demands in the 21st century. So for
the next generation of merchant plants, maybe in fast developing countries like India,
to be successful in making it from the planning to the operational stage, will need to
implement many, if not most, of the risk mitigation measures that have been described.
While not an easy task, those who succeed, like the early PURPA pioneers, should be
rewarded with substantial returns on their investments.
POWER PLANT TECHNOLOGIES
Existing technology
The Thermal Power Stations in the country are mostly based on the following
Technologies:
i) Steam Power Plants
ii) Gas Turbine Power Plants
Steam power plants
The Steam Power Plants are mostly coal-based power plants having maximum unit size
of 500 MW. Recently, CEA has cleared on IPP proposal to install two units of 660 MW
to be commanded in Tamil Nadu in about 4-5 years time. One Mega Private Power
Project at Hirma is proposed with unit size of 720 MW, All the Steam Power Plants
except one at Talcher are conventional drum type and majority of them are two pass
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design. Few power plants are having single pass tower type design with drum. The
Talcher power plant of NTPC is the only power plant commissioned with two 500 MW
units having once through boilers. All the Steam Power Plants in the country are having
sub-critical steam parameters. Indigenous manufacturers are capable of offering steam
power plants up to 500 MW unit size and are quite competitive compared to the World
leaking manufacturers.
Gas turbine power plants
The present installed capacity of gas turbine power plants is about 9000 MW, which is
13 % of the total thermal power plant capacity. Govt. of India has permitted installation
of additional 12000 MW of liquid fuel based power plants, mostly gas turbine plants,
as a short term measure to bridge the gap between demand & supply. The major gas
turbine power plants are combined cycle plants and few small capacity plants are on
open cycle mode. The gas turbine power plants are having varying unit sizes and makes.
Recently M/s ENRON has set up a combined cycle power plant at Dabhol in
Maharashtra having gas turbines of latest 9FA advance class technology with unit size
of 250 MW (ISO). Few other IPPs have also proposals to set up combined cycle plants
with advance class as turbines namely 9 FA of GE make and GT-26 of ABB make. M/s
Bharat Heavy Electrical Ltd. (BHEL) is having collaborations with GE and Siemens
and thus able to offer gas turbines of latest advance class technology.
Other common technology
The other common technology is Diesel Engine Power Plants based on Liquid fuel. But
diesel engine based units are mostly installed by the Industries for their captive use. On
the utility side, some small diesel engine power plants are located in few states and
certain isolated areas like in Andaman Island. Recently one 200 MW diesel engine
based power plant has been commissioned by an IPP in Tamil Nadu. This plant is
having four units of slow speed engines each of 50 MW capacities. Few more diesel
engine power plants proposed in capacity range of 100-120 MW have been given
clearance by CEA.
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Source: Benjamin C. Esty, 2003
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FACETS OF PROJECT ANALYSIS
MARKET ANALYSIS
Off takers: Power from the 1100MW SUGEN CCPP would be sold to the off takers as
follows-
Project Off Takers
50%25%
25%
Torrent Power SEC Torrent Power AEC Inter- State
The project has strong off takers with sound credit worthiness. Torrent may even sell
100MW to Power Trading Corporation.
Demand Growth: Torrent Power SEC’s demand is expected to grow at 7% CAGR while
that of Torrent Power AEC’s is expected to grow at 4.5% CAGR.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
a) Technical Nature of the Project:
Torrent Group is developing and implementing 1100 MW SUGEN CCPP (Combined
Cycle Power Plant) near village Akhakhol, Dist. Surat, on a Build, Own, Operate basis
in the state of Gujarat, India through Torrent Power Generation Ltd (TPGL).
The company plans to design, finance, construct, operate, and maintain the project.
TPGL has awarded the engineering, procurement and construction contract (EPC
Contract) for the Project to Siemens.
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Sugen is a mega thermal combined cycle power project; meaning therein that two
sources of power shall be used to generate power namely: Gas and Steam.
The natural gas fired turnkey power plant to be supplied by Siemens Power Generation
Group will comprise three Single Shaft modules and the scope of supply will
encompass gas turbines, steam turbines and generators along with associated
accessories. The project is a 25 year operational power plant and 2200 start ups are
estimated under normal conditions.
The raw water requirement for the power plant is estimated at 42,500 cubic meters per
day. The water requirement for the power plant shall be met from the Tapi River, which
has controlled water releases from the Ukai dam. The Narmada, Water Resources &
Water Supply Department of the Government of Gujarat has accorded its approval for
allocation of 15 MGD of water (66000 cubic meters per day) for the power Project.
Siemens will also supply the plant’s electrical and I&C systems. The commissioning of
the plant is due for 2007. the EPC contract for implementing the project has been
awarded through an international competitive bidding process. A consortium of
Siemens AG and Siemens Ltd. India have been awarded the EPC contract. The project
will be executed in a phased manner and the commissioning schedule for the project is
as follows:
Block No. of months from the notice of proceed
1 26
2 30
3 32
The development of the Project site has been completed. These include the following:
(i) Site boundary wall
(ii) Approach road
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(iii) Site office
(iv)Raw water reservoir
(v) Area grading, peripheral roads, Storm water Drains
(vi)Raw water pipeline (from the intake well to the Project site)
The construction work by EPC Contractor at Project site is now under progress.
c) Acquiring Technology:
The technology used is called Combined Cycle Power Plant (CCPP). The selected
model of Gas Turbine is Siemens model SGT5 4000 F heavy duty turbo generator type
and belongs to advanced class gas turbines in single shift configuration and high
operating efficiency with low NOx emissions.
This Project being established by TPGL will be State-of-the-art Project and will have
following salient features:
a) 3 power blocks, each of 376 MW in single shaft configuration, comprising of
advanced class SGT5 4000 F gas turbines, horizontal ,unfired Waste Heat
Recovery Steam Generator (HRSG) (355 tones / hour), one Steam Turbine (ST)
and a hydrogen-cooled generator having high thermal efficiency(exceeding
55%), lower NOx emissions, lesser space requirement and lower capital cost.
b) Cooling water system comprising Natural Draft Cooling Towers, Cooling Water
Pumps and Chemical dosing systems.
c) Effluent treatment plant to ensure that the discharged effluents are within
stipulated standards.
d) Water treatment plant (common for all 3 blocks) consisting of clarifloculation
and demineralization plant.
e) 220kV and 400kV switchyard with two main bus and one transfer bus scheme
for power evacuation.
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f) Other non-EPC enabling works viz. Site Office, Approach Road, Boundary
Wall, Intake Well, Water Pipeline, Water Reservoir (which all have already
been constructed), Administrative Office and a Housing Colony.
The Project will use Natural Gas (NG)/Re-gasified Liquefied Natural Gas (RLNG) as
the fuel for power generation. Quantity required shall be 4.26/5.34 MMSCMD of
natural gas requirement at 80/100% PLF respectively for the plant. Since NG/RLNG is
supplied through gas pipelines, there is no requirement to maintain any fuel inventory.
This not only reduces the land requirement for the Project but also enhances the safety
of operations. The energy content of NG/RLNG is also much higher compared to other
conventional fuels. The project shall have a dedicated transmission line of 220 KV to
evacuate power to Surat, while power will be evacuated to Ahmedabad and off-takers
through two 400 KV lines.
d) Installed Capacity:
The potential installed capacity of the power project is 1100 MW.
e) Location and Site:
The SUGEN CCPP is a backward integration initiative by the Torrent Group. The
project spread over about 140 hectares, is strategically located close to the River Tapi,
National Highway No.8 and is also close to the gas supply infrastructure comprising
LNG terminals and main gas trunk lines.
The project site comprising of 139.55 hectares is located at a distance of approximately
30 kilometers off the National Highway, which connects Delhi and Mumbai and is 28
kilometers from Surat City. The nearest airport is at Surat approximately 30 kilometers
away from the site. Land acquisition for the Main plant, intake well, avenue road and
colony has been done in accordance with the Land Acquisition Act and the land owners
were paid compensation as per prevailing market rates. The land was acquired by the
Government of Gujarat and handed over to TPGL. TPGL made payment to the
government, who in turn made payment to the land owners.
The site offers the following advantages:
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Proximity to Torrent Power SEC’s distribution liscence area in Surat City, a
major load centre and which is envisaged to consume approximately 50% of the
power generated by the 1100MW SUGEN CCPP.
Proximity to River Tapi (3Kms), a perennial river, which would meet the entire
water requirement of the project
Proximity to two LNG terminals and gas pipelines namely
o Dahej LNG terminal of Petronet LNG Ltd.(approx. 100 Kms) capacity- 5
mpts proposed to be expanded to 10 mpta
o Shell HaziraLNG terminal (approx. 50 Kms) with capacity- 2.5 mpta
o Mora- Sojad pipeline (approx.20 kms) the main trunk gas pipeline of the
gas pipeline network of Gujarat State Petronet Ltd.
o Hazira- Bijapur- Jagdishpur pipeline (approx. 15 kms)
o Dahej- Uran pipeline (approx. 19 kms)
f) Broad Scope of Operation and Maintenance Agreement
Construction Phase:
Participation in perusal and approval of detailed engineering, drawing and
documents
Inspection and testing of equipment at EPC works
Witnessing of performance test and audit of the results
Review and approval of O&M Manuals provided by EPC contractor
Preparation of Hazard operation study (HAZOPS)
Assist owner in preparation of initial spare parts list and help sourcing spares
and consumables
Monitoring report on the progress of the construction at site
Advise on establishment of office and Maintenance shop
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Pre-take over inspection, testing, start up, trial operation and performance
operation of equipment under supervision of EPC contractor
Assistance in selection, recruitment, training and development of manpower
Preparation of operating policies, management procedures and system operating
procedures
Develop health and safety policy, compliance management systems,
maintenance management plans and systems, environmental management plans,
disaster management plan etc.
Advice owner in dealing with lenders engineers, bankers, auditors, insurance
representatives etc.
Operational Phase:
Operation, maintenance and house keeping of the power plant
Prepare annual engineering review and suggest remedial actions
Preparation and getting approval for annual operating and business plans
Developing and reviewing long terms plans for plant operation
Implement and update operating procedures
Assist Owner TPGL in purchasing equipment, supplies and consumables
Checking and testing various equipment periodically as required by the Owner
Comply with administration of Power purchase agreement
Co ordination with SDLC/RDLC and power off takers for evacuation of power
Co ordination with Fuel suppliers for scheduling fuel management plan
Maintain, renew and comply with all applicable statutory consents and licenses
To achieve and maintain best environment, health and safety practices including
assistance in obtaining relevant international certification
Maintain and periodically update disaster management plans
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Waste/ scrap disposal plans and waste/scrap management
Maintenance of plant records both technical and administrative
Inventory control and management
Assist Owner in submitting information for lenders engineering review
Supervision of major maintenance and repair work (other than routine and
periodic maintenance)
Advice and assist owner in insurance placement, renewal and claims management
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
a) Cost Of the Project:
The capital cost of the Project, has been appraised at Rs. 3,096 Crores (Rs 2.74 Crores
per MW) which is considered as competitive and comparable with that of other similar
projects. The petitioner, as investor in this Project, has taken steps through ICB process
to minimize the EPC Cost of the Project which represents more than 80% of the Project
cost. The capital cost for the Project has been equally apportioned among the three
units. The project is being financed with a debt equity ratio of 70: 30.
The parties to this agreement have agreed to the fact that the optimization of the overall
lifecycle cost of the project is dependant on the EPC cost and the O&M (Operation and
Maintenance) cost and therefore the parties shall endeavor to perform all activities so
that the optimization of the lifecycle of the project is achieved. In order to promote
reduction of overall cost of the project, Siemens and TPGL intend to form a Joint
Venture.
b) Means of Financing
Owner Funding Of the Project
The said JVC shall undertake Operation and Maintenance for the project. The JVC shall
be a separate legal entity from the parties. And the parties shall agree to jointly own,
operate and manage the JVC in accordance with its articles of association.
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The Torrent Group power entities will take 100% of the equity of the project worth Rs.
8361 million (US$ 191 Mn). It has already contributed Rs. 2790 Mn (US$ 64 Mn)
towards its equity commitment in the project. Torrent power Generation Ltd. and
Siemens AG have formed the 50:50 JV to provide O&M services to the project.
Debt-Financing The Sugen Project
Sugen project has been financed with 30% equity, and 70% debt. (The Debt-Equity
Ratio, thus becoming 70:30).
The debt for the project has been awarded to TPGL by a consortium of seven
institutions comprising of leading banks as well as financing institutions, collectively
referred to in the lenders agreement as ‘The Senior Lenders’, who have agreed to make
available for the company (TPGL), loans to the maximum amount set out against their
respective names. The debt is essentially non-recourse in nature.
Senior Lenders
The debt arrangements have been tied up with the following senior lenders:
Infrastructure Development Finance Corporation (IDFC)
Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI)
Power Finance Corporation (PFC)
Punjab National Bank
UCO Bank
Canara Bank
The ‘Senior Lenders’ have appointed one of them as a Senior Agent- a trustee and agent
of the Lenders inter alia for the purpose of taking actions, exercising powers and
discretions, and entering into agreements on behalf of the Senior Lender on the terms
and conditions contained in therein.
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Particulars Amount Rs. Crores Total Rs. Crores
1. Project Cost 3,096
2. Financing Plan:
Rupee Debt (A) 2,167
IDFC 400
IDBI 300
PFC 600
PNB 267
UCO 300
CB 300
Equity/Quasi Equity (B) 929
Equity Share Capital (Torrent Group Companies)
836
Subordinated debt (Siemens Limited) 93
Total Financing (A+B) 3096
c) Board of Directors and Voting Rights
The authorized share capital, issuance and subscription of shares, share participation,
board of directors and voting rights in the board and rules thereto of the JVC shall be
determined in the JV agreement.
The board of the company shall consist of not more than 6 but not less than 4 directors,
equally nominated by the parties
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
It is agreed that Siemens shall not transfer its shares in the JVC for a period of five
years of commercial operation date of the last block of the project as detailed in the
EPC contract. When Siemens desires to part with its shares at any time after the signing
of the agreement, it shall have to inform TPGL of its intentions to do so and TPGL or
its assignee shall purchase the same at par within a period of 3 months from Siemens
informing TPGL.
NOTE: Subject to the context of the project concerned, following shall be hereinafter
referred to as the names specified:
Siemens- The Consenting Party
TPGL- The Company
The Lead Banker: The Security Agent
d) Contract price
The contract price and other prices indicated in the contract are based on the applicable
tariff. The contract price is based on the Project not having the Mega Power Project
status. The final contract price cannot be disclosed due to the norm of confidentiality.
e) Taxes and Duties
The project is envisaged as a Mega Power Project under the Power Policy of the
Government of India and thus is likely to qualify for the exemption under Mega Power
Policy. In such an event, no sales tax would be payable in respect of local sales liable to
sales tax under the provisions of Gujarat sales tax. In such an event, the contractor
(Siemens) shall pass on the benefit of Gujarat sales tax exemption to TPGL, as the sales
tax is already included in the Contract Price.
f) Return on Equity
According to the economic survey 2004-09, the return of equity shall be 14% post tax,
uniformly applicable to all CPSUs and IPPs.
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g) Cash Flows Of The Project
Collection efficiency of the primary off takers Torrent Power AEC and Torrent Power
SEC is above 99%. Hence TPGL will have stable and consistent cash flow.
The project has already been awarded the status of a mega power project. In that case,
TPGL shall provide necessary certificates to Siemens for claiming exemption/refund for
the custom duties, excise duty, sales tax and other benefits, if any, which are available
to such Mega Power Projects.
(Financial Model for the calculation of projected cash flows and balance sheet for
Kribhco Pipav CCPP project in annexure 11)
LEGAL NORMS AND ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS
The ministry of Power , Government of India has awarded Mega Power Project status to
the 1100MW SUGEN CCPP. Following approvals have been granted for the
implementation of the project:
No objection certificate (NOC) received from Ministry of Environment and
Forests, Government of India
NOC from Gujarat Pollution Control Board received
Approval for allocation of 15mgd of water from Tapi river received
Clearance receive from forest department
Civil Aviation Clearance received from Airport Authority if India.
Environmental Management Plan (EMP) formulated to manage impacts
Environmental Management Unit (EMU) created within TPGL and the
Executive Director is in charge of all environmental, health and safety related
issues during the construction phase
Rain water harvesting ISO14001 (environment) and OHSAS 18001 (Safety)
compliance are also planned
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CONTRACTUAL RISK MITIGATION FOR SUGEN
a) Following are the ways the owner has sought risk mitigation with the help of
contracts between itself and the contractor.
Contractor- Siemens’ Obligations:
The agreements are in the nature of a turnkey, fixed-price, date-certain, EPC contract.
Siemens AG, Germany has been identified as the consortium leader and shall be
collectively responsible for timely satisfactory completion of performance and
obligations under the contract. The liability of all of the Contractors for all of their
obligations under the Contract shall be joint and several.
The contractor shall supply the goods and/or perform all activities required in
connection with the design, engineering, supply of equipment, procurement (including
without limitation all transportation services connected to it), fabrication,
manufacturing, delivery. Construction, erection, start up, commissioning, testing
including conducting performance testing and in connection therewith, provide all
materials, equipment, machinery, tools, Labor, Transportation, administration, and
other services and items required to complete the facility in all respects up to the final
acceptance of the third block and remedying the defects during the warranty period in
accordance with this contract. And if there are any supplies or services, outside the
scope of those mentioned in the contract, Contractor is obliged to provide the same as a
part of obligations under the contract to complete the facility.
If any errors are found in the services or goods including design/construction
documents, then the same has to be corrected by the contractor at its cost and risk
provided such are caused by it.
Arrangement for long term supply of 53 TBTU of Natural Gas per annum is in final
stages with three national level public sector undertakings. Details concerning delivery
schedule and related commercial matters are in the process of being finalized. Term
sheet has been signed with a leading gas transporter for transporting gas to the Project
site.
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
TPGL has already entered into Agreement on 20th April 2005 with Narmada Water
Resources and Water Supply Department of the Government of Gujarat for supply of 15
MGD water to the Project and a copy of such Agreement is enclosed per Annexure
XXI. The river water intake system has already been set up on the banks of the Tapi
River.
The contractor will be bound to pay liquidated damages in case of delays to complete
the work within the stipulated time due to the contractor’s mistake. It shall have to take
necessary actions to make good the delay by increasing workforce, or working
overtime, or increasing the supply of goods/ progress of services to comply with the
project schedule.
Onshore service contractor has to see to it that the other myriad contractors supply their
material on time and that the schedules are not disturbed due to such delays.
The contractor is supposed to make its own arrangements for the labor and workforce,
supervisors, managers and the project team. Their remuneration, health and safety
would become the responsibility of the contractor.
During the contract period, the contractor shall arrange and pay for construction fuel
necessary for the performance of the services and supply of goods. However, start up
power and fuel for commissioning, start up, reliability operation, performance tests, and
other tests before provisional acceptance of the block or facility, shall be borne by the
owner.
Each party viz. the owner and the contractor, seek in the contract, to indemnify and
keeo indemnified and saved harmless at all times the other party against any loss, cost,
expense or damage incurred or suffered by it by reason of failure to pay taxes, which it
is obliged to pat pursuant to this contract .
The contractor will have to insure against any loss to person or property in its own
name. If the claim is made to the owner in this behalf, the same shall be made good by
the contractor. Thus, there is a third party insurance, insurance against accidents to
workmen and other insurance, insurance of civil works, waiver, release and sub
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
contractors insurance, force majuere and limitation of liability clauses. There are
liquidated damages payable in case of delay, for failure to meet performance guarantees
for Net Electrical Output, shortfall in guaranteed availability, general warranties,
subcontractor warranties, manufacturer warranties, additional contract performance
security etc.
A change order shall be issued by the owner when either the owner or the contractor
proposes to make any change in the scope of services and supply of goods, the contract
price, performance guarantees and/or the project schedule.
PPA for SUGEN CCPP
Torrent Power AEC and Torrent Power SEC have already executed long term PPAs
with TPGL which has been filed for regulatory approvals. MoU with PTC Executed and
PPA is under negotiation. It is submitted that the power generated from the 1100MW
SUGEN CCPP power plant, will be sold primarily to meet the requirement of off
takers-TPSEC (564 MW of Project capacity) and TPAEC (282 MW of the Project
capacity),two of the respondents herein. These Companies have already executed the
long term Power Purchase Agreements (PPA) with TPGL on May 08, 2004. TPAEC
and TPSEC have filed their Power Purchase Agreements with Gujarat Electricity
Regulatory Commission (GERC) for approval. GERC suggested certain modifications
in the PPAs. The Supplementary PPAs incorporating the suggestions of GERC had
been executed on November 21, 2005. The terms of PPA are in line with the norms
stipulated in Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (Terms and conditions of
Tariff) Regulations 2004 dated 26th March 2004. It is submitted that out of the power
generated from the remaining capacity of the Project up to 100 MW, would be sold to
other respondent herein namely PTC India Limited (“PTC”). TPGL has entered into a
PPA with PTC on 2nd August 2005, for sale of power up to100 MW outside the state of
Gujarat.
Torrent Power AEC and Torrent Power SEC have already executed long term PPAs
with TPGL which has been filed for regulatory approvals. MoU with PTC Executed and
PPA is under negotiation.
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b) Following was the way the financial risk was transferred with the help of con tracts
by the owner. The project was 70% debt financed. The debt has been raised from a
consortium of 7 financial institutions (names already mentioned).this has helped in the
transfer of risk from the hands of the owner to the consortium. The entire responsibility
of raising the 70% debt is in the hands of the lead arranger, which in this case is the
IDFC. Who all it chooses to provide the funds and how it allocates the funds between
them, is its job.
In Case Of Default
There can be two kinds of default pertaining to the performance of the project:
1. Operational Default or default during the execution of the contract, and
2. Financial Default or default after the execution of the contract
In case of Operational default, the Lenders’ Agreement includes the following:
“…In the event of default by the Company, or any other person in the performance of
any of its obligations under the Assigned Agreements, or upon the occurrence or non-
occurrence of any event or condition under the assigned agreements, which would
immediately or with the passage of any applicable grace period or the giving of notice,
or both, enable the Consenting Party to exercise any right or remedy under the Assigned
Agreements or under any applicable law, the Consenting Party will continue to perform
such Assigned Agreements and will not exercise any such right or remedy until it has
given a written notice of such default top the Security Agent at the same time it gives
written notice to the Company……”
Thus, in case of any operational default by TPGL, i.e. when TPGL fails to pay Siemens
for the services rendered by it, Siemens will have to send a notice of default to TPGL as
well as the Security Agent, for such period as the Assigned Agreements may provide to
the Company for the cure of such a project. In the event wherein the Company too fails
to cure the default, the Consenting Party shall give an additional 30-day period for the
cure of such default. It is to be noticed that the Company, Lenders, or their nominee
shall have the right, but not the obligation to exercise the right to cure the default.
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In such a case the Security Agent will have to find out why such a default has occurred
and why TPGL failed to pay Siemens for the services rendered by them. To ensure
timely payments and execution of the contract, the Security Agent also has to conduct
regular site audits to keep a check on the progress of the project.
In case of a Financial Default, i.e. in case the Company becomes insolvent or bankrupt,
and TPGL fails to pay the interest obligations to the security agent, then, the Consenting
Party, at the option of the Security Agent can enter into a new agreement with it, on the
same terms and conditions as were there in the old one.
Now the consortium of banks can exercise the right to perform the agreement i.e.
undertake the activities mentioned in the agreement and operate and maintain the power
plant till the time the revenues generated cure the default triggered by TPGL by not
paying them the debt service.
Calculation of Financial Projections
Before agreeing to partner any project like SUGEN, Siemens undertakes a detailed
financial analysis to check the feasibility of the same in the long run. The projects cash
accruals, Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, Projected cash flows and projected
balance sheet are calculated. By doing so, it can be made sure that the project is worth
investing and part of the uncertainty is averted. At least it is known that the project shall
not be a technical and a financial failure.
This allows an estimation of break down of costs (EPC i.e. Equipment, Procurement,
Construction Cost or Non-EPC cost), financial fee calculations, sources and uses of
funds, phasing of expenditure, calculation of Interest during Construction (IDC), Profit
and Loss Account, and Working Capital Calculation. This in turn, gives an approximate
picture of the future financial scenario of the project and reduces the risk of uncertainty.
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CHAPTER 4
FINDING AND ANALYSIS
a) Project Management and Risk Management at Siemens:
Siemens practices the process of risk management in a very sound, detailed and an
organized manner. Following are the analysis and findings through observation and
study of their working techniques.
On signing of every project, a Project manager and commercial project manager
is appointed. Complete contract and bid documents handed over to project
manager.
Siemens practices the process of risk reporting where the project coordinators
undertake the process of Risk Reporting to the risk champion for the projects
undertaken by them on a monthly basis In every risk reporting the risk of every
project are identified. The risks of the project are in the form of Liquidated
Damages, the probability of which is identified by the Project Coordinators. If
the probability is more than 50% the provision for liquidated damages is created
as per the terms stated in the contract.
Average credit period is 30 to 60 days as per the terms. The bank guarantee is
issued in favor of the customers against advance/performance/warranty period.
A detailed Project Management Assessment is carried out throughout the
implementation of the project.
The lending parties help in allocation of risks in a project through thr LOA or
the Lenders Offer Agreement wherein the risk limit for the sales representative,
customer requirements/ specifications and for the contract negotiation is
mentioned and signed by contracting parties. (Annexure 9)
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Siemens has a practice of keeping a record of new lessons, concepts learnt
during the process of project management in a ‘Literature Folder’. This helps in
checking the similar mistakes in future and risk mitigation. (Annexure 8)
Risk Allocation through the LOA: An LOA Project Sheet is prepared by the financial
institutions lending to allocate the risk according to the limits for the contractor’s sales
representative, customer’s requirements/specifications and Limit for contract
negotiations. The same has been made for the SUGEN project as well (Could not be
provided due to the norms of confidentiality). This is nothing but a risk allocation
matrix. Those risks which have greatest impact in the risk assessment are not
necessarily those with the highest monetary values, but are often those which have the
greatest deviation between the upper and lower limits.
b) About the Power Sector
The growth rate of demand for power in developing countries is generally higher than
that of GDP. In India, the ever increasing demand for power has given rise to the need
of all the reforms the sector has seen in the past and will encounter in the future. As the
demand grows, so does the development of the sector. But any development in the
sector would need financing, and going by the rate of development the sector has seen
shortly, future shall see big money getting parked in the sector. According to a World
Bank Survey, with a leading consultancy firm, Tohmatsu Emerging Markets Group, the
finance required for the power sector in emerging markets like India is going to increase
manifold by 2020.
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Source: World Bank, IEA, Deloitte Touche; Tohmatsu Emerging Markets Group, 2002
So along with the scope of the infrastructure sector, the scope of project financing is
also going to see an uptrend in the future. The key challenges however are:
Ramp up pace and quality of policy implementation. What must be done to
move from about $6 billion to $20 investment/year?
Overcome concerns and resistance at state level. Accelerated reform of
distribution is still a critical bottleneck.
Resolve fuel supply bottlenecks
Engage the private sector
Who will invest in the sector and fill the void? Maybe the firms that invest their
own equity outside their home countries. But here again, well-managed reforms
are the only way the financial prowess of these firms can be tapped; reforms
such as: the increasing ability of utility to generate internal cash for investment
through cost reductions, timely tariff adjustments to recover the cost of supply,
and efficient collection of posted tariffs. It is important to improve access to debt
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
financing from domestic/international debt markets by maintaining profitable
operation along with an acceptable debt service ratio and reducing risk &
maintaining a healthy regulatory environment. In order to attract domestic &
foreign equity funding, creating and maintaining sector structure, regulatory and
legal environment conducive to minimization of country/project investment risk
becomes very important.
India has been working on all of these lately through thorough policy initiatives and
reforms but to make this vision a success, an integrative approach may be needed.
c) About the Project SUGEN
The project SUGEN has an operational life of 25 years. Within this time, the kind of
policy changes that the power sector may have is beyond limits. With the kind of sound
investments made and cost reduction techniques used, SUGEN sure is a financially and
commercially viable project. Be it gas supply from nearby fields, or fuel and water
supply, SUGEN has seen efficient plans and profitable tie ups with entities. As far as
revenue recognition is concerned, it all depends on how competitive the tariff level is.
And for SUGEN, which has been recognized as a Mega Power Project, substantial
savings have been the result.
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CHAPTER 5
RECOMMENDATION
The process of project management, and risk management is apt and sound. However
the following is recommended to increase the efficiency of the practices at Siemens Ltd.
To augment and catalyze the practices of risk management at Siemens Ltd., the process
of Team Risk Management is recommended.
About Team Risk Management
Team risk management establishes an environment built on a set of processes, methods,
and tools that enable the customer and supplier to work together co-operatively,
continuously managing risks throughout the life cycle of a project.
It is usually used in software-depended development programs and projects. But it has
equal relevance in power projects and can help in risk management in a better manner.
It is built on a foundation of the principles of risk management and the philosophy o co-
operative teams.
Steps in Team Risk Management
Initiate
Recognize the need and commit to create the team culture. Either customer or
supplier may initiate team activity, but both must commit to sustain the teams.
Team
Formalize the customer and supplier team and merge the viewpoints to form a
shared product vision. Systematic methods periodically and jointly applied establish
a shared understanding of the project risks and their relative importance. Establish a
joint information base of risks, priorities, metrics, and action plans.
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FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECTS
Identify
Search for and locate risks before they become problems. Identify risks and set
project priorities to arrive at a joint understanding of what is important. Identify new
risks and changes.
Analyze
Risk data process into decision making information. Risk analysis is performed to
determine what is important to the project, to set priorities, and to allocate resources.
Group risks and quantify impact, likelihood, and time frame.
Plan
Translate risk information into decisions and mitigating actions (both present and
future) and implement those actions. Joint risks require a team process to develop
mitigation plans.
Track
Monitor risk indicators and mitigation plans. Indicators and trends provide
information to activate plans and contingencies. These are also reviewed
periodically to measure progress and identify new risks. Maintain visibility of risks,
project priority, and mitigation plans.
Control
Correct for deviations from the risk mitigation plans. Actions can lead to corrections
in products or processes. Changes to risks, risks that become problems, or faulty
plans require adjustments in plans or actions. Maintain the level of risk acceptable to
the program managers.
Communicate
Provide information and feedback internal and external to the project on the risk
activities, current risks, and emerging risks. Communication occurs formally as well
as informally. Establish continuous, open communication. Formal communication
about risks and action plans is integrated into existing technical interchange
meetings, design reviews, and user requirements meetings.
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How can Siemens gain from Team Risk Management?
Advantage Description
Improved Communications
By openly sharing risks, both Siemens and the customer
would be able to draw on each other's resources in
mitigating risks and enabling rapid response to
developing risks or problems
Multiple Perspectives
Bringing the customer together in mitigating risks
opens doors to strategies for Siemens that both can do
together
Broader Base of Expertise
The combination of Siemens and customer brings
together a richer pool of experience in perceiving and
dealing with risks.
Broad-based Buy-in
Risks and mitigation strategies are cooperatively
determined by the team (Siemens and customer), so all
accept the results of the process. Second-guessing and
criticism after the fact are eliminated.
Risk Consolidation
Structured methods bring together risks identified in
each organization, resulting in decision making with a
more global perspective and highlighting areas of
common interest and concern.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
Prasanna Chandra, 2000, Project Planning, Analysis, Selection, Implementation and
Review, Tata Mc. Graw- Hill
Nevitt, P.K and F.J Fabbozzi, 2000, Project Financing, &th Edition, Euromoney
Books
Power Ministry website: www.powermin.nic.in/bidding_n_tenders/
solicitation_documents
Planning Commission Website: planningcommission.nic.in/
plans/planrel/fiveyr/10th/default.htm
Planning Commission, Government of India, Approach paper to tenth five year plan
2002-2007
Official documents, Siemens Ltd. 2004
Esty, B. C. (2003) The Economic Motivations for Using Project Finance, HBS
Working Paper, February 14
India Infrastructure, India Budget 2005-06,
The India Economic Survey, 2004-09
Mayank Khaduja, ‘Project Finance and Term Structure of Credit Spreads’, 2003-04
TIDCO (2005), ‘Power Sector in India’,
http://www.tidco.com/india_policies/india_infra/Powersector1.asp
Stephen Revill and Bell Gully (2003), ‘Risk Management Strategies for Future-
Proofing Infrastructure Projects’, 2nd Annual Utilities and Infrastructure
Conference, 10-11 November 2003
Salman Zaheer (2006), Lead Energy Specialist, World Bank, ‘India Power Sector:
Challenges & Investment Opportunities’, Plenary Session, May 12, 2006, New
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Delhi, http://www.ficci.com/media-room/speeches-presentations/2006/may/may12-
elec/PlenaryIV/SalmanZaheer-WorldBank.ppt
Anjani Aggarwal (2006), ‘Indian Electricity Sector-Opportunities and Challenges’,
http://www.ficci.com/media-room/speeches-presentations/2006/may/may11-elec/
Inaugural/AnjaniAgrawalE&Y.ppt
Torrent Power Generation Ltd.: Petition to CERC for in principle acceptance of
project capital cost and financing plan of 1100 MW SUGEN CCPP, December 14,
2005, C:\Documents and Settings\hp\Desktop\ST\PPA SUGEN.htm
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