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    1Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Mundra Port and SEZ Ltd Accumulate

    CMP Rs.775

    Target Price Rs.852

    Key Data

    Face Value (in Rs) 10.00

    Market Cap (Rs in mn) 310052.7

    Total O/s Shares in (in mn) 400.7

    Free Float 18.96%

    52 Week High / Low 787/290

    Avg. Monthly Volume (BSE) 249963

    Avg. Monthly Volume (NSE) 607818

    BSE Code 532921

    NSE Code MUNDRAPORT

    Bloomberg Code MSEZ IN

    Beta 0.73

    Date of Incorporation May. 1998

    Last Dividend Declared 30%

    Six month return 41%

    Indices BSE-100

    FCCBs outstanding (in Rs mn) N.A

    Warrants outstanding N.A.

    One Year Price Chart

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    Ma r- 09 Ma y- 09 Jun -0 9 Jul -0 9 S ep -0 9 O ct -0 9 De c- 09 Ja n- 10 Ma r- 10

    0

    200000

    400000

    600000

    800000

    1000000

    1200000

    1400000

    1600000

    C los ing P rice Vo lu me

    Source: Capitaline

    Share Holding Pattern

    Banks/MF s/Instit

    utions/Ins

    2.4%

    Public&Others

    5.1%

    FIIs

    7.4%

    NonPromoters

    (BodyCorporate)

    4.0%

    Promoters

    81.0%

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

    Hiral KotakResearch Analyst

    Phone-022 4094 5500 Ext. 205

    Email - [email protected]

    MundraPort&SpecialEconomicZone(MPSEZ),Indialargestprivateportisslatedto

    cross 100 mn tones of volumeby FY13E from 35.7mn tonnes in FY09 drivenby

    operational of coal terminal, increasing container&bulkvolumes, and increase in

    crudevolumesfromHPCLandIOCL.Weremainpositiveonthegrowthprospectsof

    MPSEZonbackofits1)locationadvantage,2)commissioningofcoalterminal3)key

    strategic investments, 4) development of multi product SEZ, 5) state of the art

    infrastructureand6)potentialtoaddcapacity.We initiatethecoverageonthestock

    withaAccumulateratingandSOTPbasedtargetpriceofRs852/ translatinginto

    potentialupsideof10%.

    Investment Trigger Highlights

    Location advantage, excellent connectivi ty and state of the art infrastructure

    MundraPort isIndias largestprivateportonthewestcoast,withthedeepestdraft

    port

    in

    the

    range

    of

    17.5

    23

    metres

    making

    it

    attractive

    for

    larger

    vessels.

    Excellent

    multimodalconnectivitybybothrail(438kmadvantagebyMundraDelhicompared

    toMumbaiDelhi) and roads (206km advantage overMumbai port) and access to

    hinterland.

    Long term contracts provide steady revenue and cash flowsMPSEZhassignedlongtermcontractswith1)Tatapower(4000MW)&AdaniPower

    (4620MW) for coal traffic, 2)with IOCL for crude&withHPCL forPOL / crude

    productsand3)MOUwithMarutiforexportsofcars.Overthelongterm,MPSEZs

    cargovolumeislikelytobedrivenbyitsSEZwhichwouldhouseexportandimport

    orientedindustries.

    Capacity expansion and strategic investments to drive growthMundraPortpresentlyhas55mtpacargohandlingcapacityatportand25mtpaSPM

    capacity for crude. The company is constructing 50mtpa coal terminal, 25mtpa of

    crudeSPMforHMELBhatindarefineryand15mtpaofbulkcapacitywhichwilltake

    the port capacity to 170mtpaby FY12E.MPSEZ hasdone strategic investments in

    variousotherbusinesseslikecontainerrailoperations,Dahejport,develop&operate

    Mormugaoport,developmentoffacilitiesatHazira.Thevaluepershareofstrategic

    investmentcomestoRs48.

    SEZ business will accelerate revenue growthToleveragetheadvantageofport,theMPSEZisdevelopingamultiproductSEZover

    32,000acresof land.Thecompany is targetingtohousevarietyofmanufacturing&

    servicing units,which can create captive cargo for itsportbusiness.The company

    chargesupfrontpaymentofRs6580lacsperacreof landand~Rs6persq feetas

    annualleaserentals.Thecostofpurchasing23650acresoflandforthecompanyisRs

    315crsimplyingthecostof~Rs1.3lacsperacre.

    Standalone Financial Snapshot Rs in mn

    Parti culars FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E

    Total Income 8182.1 11351.2 13257.6 17922.2 25727.6 31032.1 36420.4

    Growth (%) 40.7 38.7 16.8 35.2 43.6 20.6 17.4

    EBIDTA 5354.1 7616.4 9450.3 12916.6 18596.3 22536.2 26699.9

    EBIDTA margins (%) 65.4 67.1 71.3 72.1 72.3 72.6 73.3

    PAT 2134.1 4611.2 6924.0 8945.2 14237.2 18122.4 22565.3

    EPS 5.3 11.5 17.3 22.3 35.5 45.2 56.3

    P/E 145.5 67.3 44.8 34.7 21.8 17.1 13.8

    EV/EBIDTA 59.9 42.3 34.6 25.4 17.2 13.6 10.8

    ROE (%) 8.2 15.7 20.1 22.3 27.8 27.8 26.9

    ROCE(%) 10.6 10.8 11.8 14.6 20.3 22.4 24.1

    Source: KJMC Research

    March30th,2010

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    2Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Disclaimer/Importantdisclosures

    KJMCCAPITALMARKETSERVIESLIMITEDisafullservice,stockbrokingcompany,andisamemberofBSE(BombayStockExchangeLtd.,

    andNSE (NationalStockExchangeof IndiaLtd.,KJMCgroupand itsofficers,directors,andemployees, including theanalyst(s),andothers

    involvedinthepreparationorissuanceofthismaterialandtheirdependants,mayonthedateofthisreportorfrom,timetotimehavelongor

    shortpositions in,actasprincipal in,andbuyorsell thesecuritiesorderivatives thereofofcompaniesmentionedherein.Or salespeople,

    dealers,tradersandotherprofessionalsmayprovideoralorwrittenmarketcommentaryortradingstrategiestoourclientsthatreflectopinions

    thatarecontrarytotheopinionexpressedherein.KJMCgroupmayhaveearlierissuedormayissueinfuturereportsonthecompaniescovered

    hereinwith

    recommendations/information

    inconsistent

    or

    different

    from

    those

    made

    in

    this

    report.

    In

    reviewing

    this

    document,

    you

    should

    be

    awarethatanyoralloftheforegoing,amongotherthings,mightgiverisetopotentialconflictsofinterest.KJMCgroupmayrelyoninformation

    barriers,suchasChineseWallstocontroltheflowofinformationcontainedinoneormoreareaswithinKJMCgroupintootherareas,units,

    groupsoraffiliatesofKJMCGroup.KJMCgroupanditsassociatesmayinpast,presentorfuturehaveinvestmentbanking/advisoryrelationship

    withcompanie(s)mentionedherein.

    Theprojectionsand forecastsdescribed in this reportwerebaseduponanumberofestimatesandassumptionsandare inherently subject to

    significantuncertaintiesandcontingencies.Projectionsandforecastsarenecessarilyspeculativeinnature,anditcanbeexpectedthatoneormore

    of theestimatesonwhich theprojectionsand forecastswerebasedwillnotmaterializeorwillvarysignificantly fromactualresults,andsuch

    varianceswill likely increaseover time.Allprojectionsand forecastsdescribed in thisreporthavebeenpreparedsolelyby theanalystof this

    report independentlyof theKJMCGroup.Theseprojectionsand forecastswerenotpreparedwithaview towardcompliancewithpublished

    guidelinesorGAAP.Youshouldnotregardtheinclusionoftheprojectionsandforecastsdescribedhereinasarepresentationorwarrantybyor

    onbehalfof theKJMCGroup,or specificallyKJMCCAPITALMARKETSERVICESLIMITED,or theanalystsoranyotherperson that these

    projections or forecasts or their underlying assumptionswillbe achieved. For these reasons, you should only consider the projections and

    forecasts described in this report after carefully evaluation all the information in this report, including the assumptions underlying such

    projectionsandforecasts.Thisreportisforinformationpurposesonlyandthisdocument/materialshouldnotbeconstruedasanoffertosellorthesolicitationofanofferto

    buy,purchaseorsubscribetoanysecurities,andneitherthisdocumentnoranythingcontainedhereinshallformthebasisoforberelieduponin

    connectionwithanycontractorcommitmentwhatsoever.Thepriceandvalueoftheinvestmentsreferredtointhisdocument/materialandthe

    incomefromthemmaygodownaswellasup,andinvestorsmayrealizelossesonanyinvestments.Pastperformanceisnotaguideforfuture

    performance.Futurereturnsarenotguaranteedandalossoforiginalcapitalmayoccur.Actualresultsmaydiffermateriallyfromthosesetforth

    inprojections.Forwardlookingstatementsarenotpredictionsandmaybesubjecttochangewithoutnotice.KJMCGroupanditsaffiliatesaccept

    noliabilitiesforanylossordamageofanykindarisingoutoftheuseofthisreport.

    Thisreport/documenthasbeenpreparedbytheKJMCGroupbaseduponinformationavailabletothepublicandsources, (includingcompany

    sources)believedtobereliable.Thoughutmostcarehasbeentakentoensureitsaccuracy,norepresentationorwarranty,expressorimpliedis

    madethatitisaccurateorcomplete. KJMCGrouporspecificallyKJMCCapitalMarketServicesLtd.,hasreviewedthereportand,insofarasit

    includes current or historical information, it isbelieved tobe reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannotbe guaranteed. This

    informationhereinwasobtainedfromvarioussources;wedonotguaranteeitsaccuracyorcompleteness.Thisdocumentdoesnothaveregardto

    thespecificinvestmentobjectives,financialsituationandtheparticularneedsofanyspecificpersonswhomayreceivethisdocumentandshould

    understandthatstatementsregardingfutureprospectsmanynotberealized.Investorsshouldnotethatincomeformsuchsecurities,ifany,may

    fluctuate(bothdownsideorupside),and thateachsecurityspriceorvaluemayriseorfall.Accordingly, investorsmayreceiveback lessthan

    originallyinvested.Pastperformanceisnotnecessarilyaguidetofutureperformance.

    AnalystCertification

    Iherebycertifythattheviewsexpressedinthisdocumentreflectmypersonalviews.Ialsocertifythatnopartofmyrespectivecompensationwas,

    is, orwillbe, directly or indirectly, related to the views expressed in this document. I do not own any amount of stock in the company

    recommended/coveredinthisreport.

    Generaldata

    sources

    Company,Capitaline,Publicdomain,Bloomberg.

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    3Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Contents

    Investment Highlights ............................................................................. 4

    Company Background.............................................................................. 8

    Management Details ............................................................................... 10

    Industry Overview.................................................................................. 11

    Financial Analysis ................................................................................... 13

    Peer Comparison..................................................................................... 14

    Key Risk & Concerns .............................................................................. 14

    Outlook & Valuation .............................................................................. 15

    Financial Summary ................................................................................. 17

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    4Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Investment Highlights

    Location advantage, excellent connectivity and state of the art infrastructure

    MundraPortisIndiaslargestprivateportonthewestcoastofIndiawiththe

    deepestdraftportinIndiaintherangeof17.523metresmaking itattractive

    forlargervessels.Theporthasanexcellentmultimodalconnectivitybyboth

    rail

    (438km

    advantage

    by

    Mundra

    Delhi

    compared

    to

    Mumbai

    Delhi)

    and

    roads (206km advantage over mumbai port); access to hinterland and

    operationalefficiencycompared toportson thewestcoast.Themultimodel

    connectivity through sea, air and rail link in the SEZwouldmake product

    deliveryefficientandeconomical.

    Anallweatherportwithnaturaldraftof17.523metresisoneofthedeepest

    draftportonthewestcoastatashortdistancefromtheshorewhichenablesit

    to handle large size vessels, reduces the transportation cost and gives

    economies

    of

    scale.

    Deep

    water

    draft

    makes

    it

    port

    of

    choice

    for

    shipping

    lines.

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    Kandla

    Chennai

    Mormugao

    Tuticorin

    Vishakhapatnam

    JNPT

    Mumbai

    Paradip

    New

    Mangalore

    Haldia

    Kolkata

    Cochin

    Pipavav

    MundraPort

    Draft(mtr)

    Average Turnaround TimePort No. of days

    Mundra 1.5

    JNPT 1.9NMPT 3.0

    Mormugao 3.6

    Mumbai 4.7

    Kandla 5.2

    Mundra Port can handle large size vessels

    Type of Vessel Capacity (dwt) Draft required

    Handy Size Bulk 10000-30000 10

    Panamax Bulk 50000-80000 12

    Capesize Bulk 80000-200000 15

    Aframax Crude 80000-120000 15Suezmax Crude 120000-200000 17

    VLCC Crude 200000 & above 20-25

    Source: IPA, NMDP , KJMC Research

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    5Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Railways&roadwaysareimportantlinksforthetransportationofgoodsto&

    from any port to the cargo centre at Mundra Port. The port has privately

    developeda57kmrailheadwhichisconnectedtothenearestrailheadAdipur.

    Mundra Port is connected by rail, road & pipeline to the transportation

    networkofIndia,particularlytheinlandregionsofwestern&northernIndia

    includingDelhi.

    Rail Connectivi ty Pipeline Network

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

    Coal terminal to drive cargo volume

    MundraPortisconstructing50mtpacoalterminalforupcomingpowerplants

    atacostofRs2000crs.MegathermalpowerplantslikeTataPower(4000MW),

    Adani Power (4620MW),RajWestPower etc arebeing constructed in and

    aroundMundraPortregion.Thecoalterminalwillhaveadepthof22metres

    andwillmainlycatertoTataPowerandAdaniPowercoalrequirements.The

    total coal requirements from both the power plants once they are fully

    operationalwouldbearound32mtpa.Theterminalislikelytooperationalby

    Q3FY11.

    (mn tonnes)

    Coal Terminal FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E FY15E FY16E

    Tata Power 1.5 9.0 12.0 16.0 16.0 16.0

    Mundra Port 3.5 6.5 12.0 16.0 16.0 16.0

    Total 5.0 15.5 24.0 32.0 32.0 32.0

    Long term contracts provide steady revenue and cash flows:

    MPSEZ will clock strong volume growth backed by long term contracts.

    MPSEZ has signed long term contracts with 1) Tata power (4000 MW) &

    AdaniPower(4620MW)forcoaltraffic,2)withIOCLforcrude&withHPCL

    forcrude/POLhandlingand3)MOUwithMarutiforexportsofcars.More

    coal volume canbe expected from the power plants that are anticipated to

    spring up inwestern India.Over the longterm,MPSEZs cargo volume is

    likelytobedrivenbyitscaptiveSEZwhichwouldhouseexportandimport

    orientedindustries.

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    6Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Long Term contracts

    Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL)

    Type of Service Handling & transportation crude oil cargo directly to IOCL refinery in Panipat

    Duration of the contract Terminate along with concession agreement in Feb 2031

    Minimum fixed annual payments of Rs 35crs upto 8.25 - 11 mn tonnes

    Fixed Annual payments of Rs 48.41crs for 11 mn tonnes & above (escalation lined to WPI)Payment

    Royalty payment of Rs 48.4/t & Wharfage fees of Rs 12/t (escalation lined to WPI)

    HPCL, Subsidi ary Guru Gobin Singh Refineries Ltd (GGSRL)

    Type of Service Handling & transportation crude oil cargo directly to GGSRL refinery in Bhatinda

    Duration of the contract Signed in 2002

    Royalty payment of Rs 67/t if volumes are not guaranteed (incl. Wharfage)

    Royalty payment of Rs 63/t if volumes are guaranteed (incl. Wharfage)Payment

    Escalation based on formula subject linked to WPI and CPI subject to no more than 17% for every 3 years

    Adani Power Limited (APPL)

    Type of Service Coal handling and marine services

    Duration of the Contract Agreement is valid for 15 years from commencement of commercial operations

    Rs 300/t for coal services providedPayment

    Pilotage charge $0.57/ GRT, Waterfront Royalty Rs 30/t, Berth Hire $0.15/ GRT per day

    Coastal Gujarat Power Ltd & Tata Power Limited

    Type of Service Construct mechanized coal handling terminal and provide coal handling and marine servicesDuration of the Contract Valid upto 25th years from commencement of power plant or FY 2040 whichever is earlier

    Annual fixed payment of Rs 138crs p.a.

    Variable charge of Rs 68/t and escalation linked to 70% of CERC index every fiscal yearPayment

    Wharfage charges Rs 43.2/t (escalation 20% every 3 yr) & other marine charges

    Capacity expansion and strategic investments to drive growth

    Mundra Port presently has an 80 mtpa cargo handling capacity at port

    comprisingof30mtpaofbulk,25mtpaofcontainerand25mtpaofcrudeSPM

    capacity. The company is constructing 50mtpa coal terminal for upcoming

    powerplants,25mtpaofcrudecapacitySPMofHPCLBhatindarefineryand

    15mtpa ofbulk capacitywhichwill take the port capacity to 170mtpaby

    FY1112E.

    Mundra

    Port

    has

    the

    long

    term

    potential

    to

    add

    additional

    capacity

    duetoavailabilityoflargewaterfront.

    Capacity Details (million tones)Terminal Existing Capacity Additions After expansion Operational Details

    Dry Bulk 25 15 40 Q4 FY11E

    Containers 30 0 30

    Coal Terminal - 50 50 Q3 FY11E

    Crude - SPM 25 25 50 FY12E

    Total 80 90 170

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

    MPSEZhas

    done

    strategic

    investments

    in

    various

    other

    businesses

    like

    container rail operations,Adani Petronet (Dahej) port,develop and operate

    Mormugao port, development of non LNG facilities at Hazira. With all

    investmentsinvariousbusinessesMundraPortisanintegratedplayerinport

    solutions.

    Strategic Investments

    MPSEZ is developing the mechanized solid cargo port terminal at Dahej

    comprising

    two

    berths

    with

    a

    capacity

    of

    15

    20

    mn

    tonnes.

    Adani

    Petronet

    (Dahej) Port Private Limited (APDPPL) is a joint venture between Adani

    GroupandPetronetLNGterminal.MPSEZholds74%stake inAPDPPLand

    the total costof theproject isRs1147crs,wouldbe through thedebtequity

    ratio of 70:30. The terminal atDahej port is expected tobe operationalby

    CY2010.Theconcessionagreementisfor30yearswhichexpiresin2031.

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    7Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    o:

    MPSEZ has won the bid to develop and operate 8 mtpa coal terminal at

    Mormugao.The terminal is likely tobeoperational inFY12andcompany is

    expected to handle 5mpta in first year itself. MPSEZ will share 20% of

    revenues with the port authority and cost of the project is Rs 350crs. The

    concessionagreementisfor30years.

    MPSEZhassignedsubconcessionagreementforthedevelopmentofnonLNG

    port facilitiesatHazira.Theoverallmasterplanof theportprovides for13

    berths, to be developed in a phased manner, starting with 34 berths for

    container, liquid and drybulk in the first phase. MPSEZwill share 3% of

    revenuesafter10yearsofcommencementofoperations.Thesubconcession

    agreement is for 35 years. Hazira is strategically located to capture traffic

    originating/destined from/for South Gujarat,WesternMadhya Pradesh and

    NorthernMaharashtra.

    AdaniLogisticsLimited(ALL),inwhichMPSEZholds100%,isinthebusiness

    of container rail freight servicesand InlandContainerDepot (ICDs).On the

    rail business MPSEZ currently operates 6 rakes and plans to procure

    additional20rakes.Thecompanyplanstodevelop14raillinkedICDsacross

    thecountry.Presently two ICDsareoperationalatPatliandKishnagarhand

    other ICDs locations areRaipur,Ludhiana,Ahmedabad,Mumbai,Chennai,

    Bangalore, Nagpur etc. With the establishment of the ICDs it would help

    MundraPorttoattractmorecontainercargocustomers.Theoverallcostofthe

    remainingprojectisintherangeofRs700800crsandwouldbefundedinthe

    D/Eratioof80:20.

    SEZ business will accelerate revenue growth

    To leveragetheadvantageofport,theMPSEZisdevelopingamultiproduct

    SEZover32,000acresof landwithall the facilitiesof infrastructure,power,

    railwayslines,airport,wateretc.Thecompanyistargetingtohousevarietyof

    manufacturing and servicing units, throughwhich the company can create

    captive cargo for itsportbusiness.MundraSEZhasalreadyacquired 23650

    acresofwhich18,000acresarenotifiedbythegovernment.Thecompanyhas

    already leased out land to various companies like Adani Power, Thermax,

    BharatForgeetc.ThecompanychargesupfrontpaymentofRs6580 lacsper

    acreoflandand~Rs6persqftasannualleaserentals.Thecostofpurchasing

    23650acresoflandforthecompanyisRs315croresimplyingthecostof~Rs1.3lacsperacre.

    SEZ Details (in acres)

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

    Total size of SEZ 32000

    Area under possession 23650

    Notified Area 18000

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    8Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Company Background

    Mundra Port and Special Economic Zone Limited (MPSEZ), Indias largest

    privateport and special economic zone,was incorporated asGujaratAdani

    PortLimited(GAPL)in1998todevelopaprivateportatMundra,onthewest

    coast of India.The company commenced commercial operations inOctober

    2001.Mundra SpecialEconomicZoneLimited (MSEZ)was incorporated in

    November2003,

    to

    set

    up

    an

    SEZ

    at

    Mundra.

    MPSEZ

    was

    merged

    with

    GAPL

    in April 2006. The company was renamed as Mundra Port and Special

    EconomicZoneLimited,toreflectthenatureofbusiness.

    TheMundraportisoneoftheleadingnonmajorprivatesectorportsinIndia

    basedonvolumeofcargohandle.LocatedintheKutchdistrictofGujarat,the

    companyisengagedinprovidingportservicesforbulkcargo,containercargo,

    crudeoil cargo,andvalueaddedport services including railway services. It

    hasexclusiverighttodevelopandoperateMundraportandrelatedfacilities

    untilFebruary2031. Port isstrategically locatedwithrespecttothenorthern

    andwesternhinterland, towhich it iswellconnectedbyboth railways and

    roadways.ExportbusinessfromAfrica,MiddleEasternandWesterncountries

    as well as Northern India which represents 70% of total container traffic

    handledby all ports in India. It has a privately developed 57 km rail line

    which is connected to thenearest railhead atAdipur.ThePorthas its own

    1900 meters aerodrome equipped with latest navigational instruments for

    landingofprivateexecutivejets.

    Business Model

    ICDs

    MPSEZ

    Ports development

    in India

    SEZ Logistics

    Mundra Port

    (100%

    holding)

    Mundra SEZ

    (100% Holding)Container ra ilsDahej Port

    (74: 26 JV

    with

    Petronet

    Hazira

    Adani Logistics

    (100% Holding)

    Dry Bulk

    Crude

    Oil/POL

    Containers

    Dry Bulk (All cargo

    type except

    LNG)

    Mormugao

    (100%

    holding)

    Coal Development multi

    product SEZ over

    32000 acres of

    land.

    Presently operating

    6 rakes and plans to

    procure addition 20

    rakes.

    Presently operating

    2 ICDs & plans to

    add further 12 ICDs.

    Greenfield

    Ports

    Terminal

    operations at

    ports

    Brownfield

    Ports

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    9Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    The company has customers like IOCL, Indian Railways, Indian Farmers

    FertilizersCooperative,FoodCorporationofIndia,someoftheAdanigroup

    companiessuchasAdnaiEnterpriseandAdaniPower.

    MPSEZhashandle35.7mntonesofcargo inFY09likecoal,wheat,fertilizer,

    steel, edible oil, chemicals, and petroleum products to container cargo,AutomobileandCrudeOil.

    Cargo handled by Mundra Port

    Coal, 6.29, 21%

    V. Oil, Chemical &

    POL, 5.19, 17%

    Fertilizer, 1.88, 6%

    Steel, 1.4, 5%

    Minerals & Others,

    1.26, 4%

    Container, 8.12,

    28%

    Crude Oil, 5.69,

    19%

    Fertilizer, 2.67, 7%

    V. Oil, Chemical &

    POL, 4.77, 13%

    Steel, 2.78, 8%Minerals & Others,

    1.05, 3%

    Container, 9.68,

    27%

    Coal, 7.36, 21%

    Food Grains, 0.62,

    2%Crude Oil, 6.79,

    19%

    Source:Company,KJMCResearch

    Mundra Port promoters 81% stake to be merged with Adani Enterprise Limited(AEL)

    The promoters 81% stake in Mundra Port will be merged with AEL and

    Mundra Port will become the subsidiary of AEL. The following

    transaction does not affect the shareholders of the Mundra Port. The

    merging process will be subject to all the approvals.

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    10Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Management Details

    Mr.GautamS.Adani:isthefounderChairmanoftheAdaniGrouphasbeen

    associatedwithMPSEZsinceinceptionasapromoterdirector.Presentlyheis

    appointedasCMDandCEOof the company.Underhis leadership,Adani

    Group has emerged as a diversified conglomerate with interests in

    international trading, infrastructure development, power generation and

    distribution,development

    of

    special

    economic

    zones,

    gas

    distribution,

    oil

    and

    gas exploration and production, coal mining and shipping. He has been

    instrumental in the diversification of the Adani Group into the port and

    logisticssector.

    Mr.RajeshS.Adani: anonexecutivedirectorofMPSEZhasbeenassociated

    withAdaniEnterprisesLimitedsinceitsinceptionin1988.Atpresentheisthe

    ManagingDirectorofAdaniEnterprisesLtd.Hebringshisvastexperiencein

    a variety of management functions ranging from Finance, Marketing and

    businessdevelopment,Legalaspectsofbusinessandorganizationbuildingfor

    the development of the MPSEZ. He has a Bachelor of Commerce (B.Com)

    degreefrom

    the

    Gujarat

    University.

    Mr. Rajeeva Sinha: is a Wholetime Director ofMPSEZ.He served as an

    officer in the IndianAdministrative Services for close to threedecades and

    brings indepthknowledgeof the shippingandport sectorwhichhe served

    for about 15 years in various capacities. He was the Deputy Chairman of

    Mumbai Port Trust from September 1997 to August 2003. He was the

    ManagingDirector ofGujarat Pipavav Port Limited fromOct 2005 toJune

    2007.

    Dr. Malay Mahadevia: is a Whole Time Director (WTD) ofMPSEZLwith

    effectfrom

    20th

    May,

    2009.

    Working

    both

    as

    apracticing

    dentist

    and

    infrastructure developer has resulted in cross fertilization of ideas and

    practicesresultingincontinuousimprovement,bothasahumanbeingandas

    aprofessional.HejoinedCorporateSector in 1992with explicitmandate to

    assessviabilityofbuildingacaptiveberth/Jettyforexports.

    Mr. Arun Duggal: an independent director of MPSEZ is an experienced

    internationalbanker advising corporations on Financial Strategy,M&A and

    CapitalRaisingareas. Hehasbeenan InternationalAdvisor toanumberof

    Corporations,majorFinancialInstitutionsandPrivateEquityfirms.

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    11Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Industry Overview

    PortsareanimportantformofinfrastructureinIndianeconomy.Theyplaya

    vital role in facilitating international trade and commerceby providing an

    interfacebetweentheoceantransportandlandbasedtransport.

    Indiahasanextensivecoastlineofabout7517kmspreadingon theWestern

    andEastern

    shelves

    of

    the

    mainland

    as

    well

    as

    along

    the

    Islands.

    It

    has

    awell

    establishedport infrastructure covering 12majorports and200minorports

    (nonmajorports).Thesemajorportscomeunder thepurviewof theCentral

    Government, while nonmajor ports come under the jurisdiction of the

    respectiveStateGovernments.

    Major ports in India

    Source:Company,KJMCResearchIndias95%externaltradebyvolumeand70%byvaluemovesbysea.Cargo

    handlingvolume in12majorports in Indiawasat530million tonnes,while

    nonmajor ports contributed another 213 million tonnes during FY09,

    aggregatingto743milliontonnesimplyingagrowthof2.5%yoy.

    Thenonmajorportshavegarneredabout29%ofmarketshare inFY09from

    19%inFY2000,indicatinggrowingimportanceofnonmajorports.

    Cargo Handled (mn tonne) Cargo growth (%)

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09

    mntonnes

    Major Port Traffic Minor Port Traffic Total Profit Traffic

    0.0

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    25.0

    FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09

    %

    Major Port Traf fic Minor Port Traf fic Total

    Source:Company,KJMCResearch

    MbPT

    JNPTParadip

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    12Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    ThenonmajorportsofGujarathandled152milliontonnes inFY09.Mundra

    port, the largest private sector nonmajor port, with a cargo of around 36

    milliontonnesinFY09isamongthetop10portsinthecountry.

    Atpresentmostof themajorportsareoperatingatmore than90%capacity

    utilization levels leading to congestion, high turnaround time and resultant

    increaseincost.

    Capacity uti lization levels at major ports

    0.0

    20.0

    40.0

    60.0

    80.0

    100.0

    120.0

    140.0

    Kolkata

    Haldia

    Paradip

    Vizag

    C

    hennai

    Ennore

    T

    uticorin

    Cochin

    New

    Mangalore

    Mo

    rmugao

    Mumbai

    Kandla

    JNPT

    MundraPort

    %

    Source:Company,KJMCResearchAsperGovt.estimates, Indianeeds todoubleportcapacity to1,500million

    tonnesby201112andwouldrequireinvestmentsworthRs550billioninthat

    periodindicatingsignificantgrowthpotentialforthesector.

    TheIndiangovernmentcontrolledmajorportswillmissthecapacityaddition

    target.Themajor portswould have a capacity to handle 743mn tonnes ofcargobyMarch 31, 2012, comparedwith a target of 1020mn tonnes.With

    major ports operating at more than 90% capacity and capacity expansions

    plans are delayed we believe port like Mundra would be at an added

    advantageduetodoublingofitscapacityandadditionalcargovolumewould

    betransferredtoMundra.Itisestimatedthattheportcapacityofacountryat

    any given time should be 30% higher than the expected traffic to ensure

    efficiencyofoperationsandIndiaislagginginit.

    Increaseintheporttrafficisadirectindicatorofboomintrade.Porttraffichas

    adirect

    co

    relation

    with

    the

    GDP.

    Cargo

    growth

    of

    6%

    y

    o

    y

    in

    year

    to

    date

    FY10indicatesthateconomicactivityisbackontrack.AndwithGDPexpected

    to grow at 7% in FY10,webelieve the Indian economy has revived and is

    lookingbuoyant.

    Particular FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09

    Overall major Port Traffic ( mt) 344.8 383.7 423.6 463.8 519.2 530.4

    Minor Port Traffic (mt) 118.9 137.0 150.1 184.9 206.4 212.9

    Total Cargo Traffic (mt) 463.7 520.7 573.7 648.8 725.5 743.3

    Cargo Traffic growth (%) - (I) 9.9 12.3 10.2 13.1 11.8 2.4

    GDP (%) - (II) 8.5 7.5 9.5 9.7 8.8 6.9

    Multiplier (i) / (II) 1.2 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.3 0.4

    BasedonthelinearrelationshipbetweentheGDPandcargogrowthweexpect

    thecargotogrowthataCAGRof8.5%overnextfiveyearsandwillreach1115

    mntonnesbyFY14.

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    13Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Financial Analysis

    Revenue to grow at a CAGR of 28.6% during FY09-FY13ERevenuestogrowataCAGRof28.6%duringFY09FY13EtoRs31032.1mnin

    FY13Eandcargovolumetocross100mntonnesinFY13Eledby1)startingof

    coalterminal2)pickuplandsalesinSEZ3)rampingupofcontainervolumes

    4)increaseincrudeoilvolumefromIOCLandHPCL.

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    35000

    40000

    FY08

    FY09

    FY10E

    FY11E

    FY12E

    FY13E

    FY14E

    (Rsinmn)

    05

    1015

    202530

    3540

    4550

    (%)

    Revenues Growth (%)

    100m tonnes cargo by FY13E

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

    Low leverage and strong cash flows

    MundraPorthasalowdebtequityratioof0.8xduringFY09anditisfurther

    expectedtodeclineto0.3xbyFY13E.Thelowleveragemakesthecompanyin

    a comfortableposition to raisedebt in future for anygrowthopportunities.

    TheMundraPortcashflowsareexpectedtogrowataCAGRof21.3%during

    FY09FY13E.

    Cash to grow at a CAGR of 21.3% during FY09FY13E Low Leverage Comfortable posit ion

    0.0

    5000.0

    10000.0

    15000.0

    20000.0

    25000.0

    30000.0

    35000.0

    40000.0

    FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E

    Rs(inmn)

    Debt Equity Ratio

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

    Cargo Type (in mt) FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E

    Bulk 19.3 21.5 19.0 21.0 21.0 21.0

    Crude / POL 9.7 10.7 19.0 32.0 34.0 37.0

    Containers 6.8 8.8 11.0 19.0 22.0 24.0

    Coal Terminal 0.0 0.0 5.0 15.5 26.0 35.0

    Total 35.7 41.0 54.0 87.5 103.0 117.0

    Growth (%) 24.0 14.7 31.8 62.0 17.7 13.6

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    14Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Quarterly Financial Summary (in Rs mn)

    Particu lars Q3 FY10 Q3 FY09 y-o-y (%) 9M FY10 9M FY09 y-o-y (%)

    Total Income 3378.4 3008.9 12.3 9719.8 8506.2 14.3

    Total Expenditure 1047.8 1120.6 -6.5 2851.0 2791.0 2.1

    Staff Cost 141.8 89.1 59.1 381.6 262.5 45.4

    Adm & Other Exp 202.6 158.7 27.7 540.0 558.8 -3.4

    Operating Exp 703.4 872.8 -19.4 1929.4 1969.7 -2.0

    EBITDA 2330.6 1888.3 23.4 6868.8 5715.2 20.2

    EBITDA margins (%) 69.0 62.8 70.7 67.2

    Depreciation 433.1 347.5 24.6 1180.1 980.9 20.3

    EBIT 1897.5 1540.8 23.2 5688.7 4734.3 20.2

    Interest 80.6 495.1 -83.7 417.7 1443.0 -71.1

    Other Income 18.6 23.9 -22.1 264.1 302.1 -12.6

    PBT 1835.5 1069.5 71.6 5535.1 3593.3 54.0

    Tax 202.9 61.4 230.5 447.1 494.3 -9.5

    PAT 1632.6 1008.1 61.9 5088.0 3099.0 64.2

    Equity Capital 4006.8 4006.8 0.0 4006.8 4006.8 0.0

    EPS 4.1 2.5 61.9 12.7 7.7 64.2

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

    Peer Comparison

    EV/EBITDA P/E Price / BV EBITDA (%)Name Country

    2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011

    Shanghai International China 15.9 14.7 28.1 25.8 3.4 3.2 44.5 44.9

    Tianjin Port Co. Ltd. China 12.0 10.4 20.4 17.7 2.0 1.8 22.0 22.7

    Shenzhen Yantian Port China 43.2 42.2 23.1 21.8 2.5 2.3 55.1 53.9

    Rizhao Port Co. Ltd. China 12.9 11.4 24.6 21.2 2.5 2.4 44.7 44.0Yingkou Port LiabilityCo. China 15.1 14.2 41.6 33.5 2.8 2.6 46.8 45.5

    Tianjin Port DVLPHLDS Ltd. China 6.6 6.2 24.5 19.3 1.1 1.1 17.3 16.3

    Xiamen InternationalHongKong 7.4 6.7 14.0 11.5 0.9 0.8 26.1 28.1

    COSCO Pacific Ltd.HongKong 18.8 17.0 15.6 15.1 1.3 1.0 66.4 66.1

    Dalian Port (PDA) CoLtd.

    HongKong 11.4 10.1 15.5 14.0 1.2 1.2 52.7 52.5

    Mundra Port & SEZLtd. India 25.4 17.2 34.7 21.8 7.8 6.1 72.1 72.3

    Port of Tauranga Ltd.New

    Zealand 13.5 12.6 20.5 19.4 1.5 1.5 60.3 60.7

    Source : Bloomberg, KJMC Research

    Key Risk & Concerns

    Mundra Port hasbeen granted concession agreementby Gujarat Maritime

    Boards (GMB) tillFebruary,2031;anycancellation,early terminationornon

    renewalofsuchconcessionagreementwouldsignificantlyimpactitsbusiness.

    Any slowdown in economicgrowth impacts thevolumegrowthof theport

    business.

    MundraPorts

    ability

    to

    clinch

    deals

    for

    its

    SEZ

    space

    may

    be

    threatened

    if

    the

    SEZtaxbenefitsfortheoccupantsarewithdrawn.

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    15Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Outlook & Valuations

    Mundra Port

    WehavevaluedMundraPortbasedonDCFvaluation.Wehaveassumedthe

    cashflowforecastassumingtheconcessionperiodtillFY51EandWACCof

    11%.ThevalueoftheportbusinesscomestoRs644pershare.(in Rs mn)

    Y/E Mar FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E FY15E FY16E FY17E FY18E FY19E FY31E

    Net Profit 5992.6 10611.8 13711.4 17196.5 19033.7 21039.9 23442.5 25957.5 28444.1 59188.4

    Depreciation 2138.0 2255.2 2426.2 2390.9 2353.5 2307.8 2260.5 2202.6 2217.6 2397.6

    Non-Cash Expenditure 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    Interest(1-T) 1186.9 109.9 88.1 66.2 44.3 26.8 13.7 9.3 4.9 1.4

    Capital Expenditure -7975.6 2298.6 -1838.9 -919.4 -919.4 -735.5 -735.5 -459.7 -459.7 -459.7(Inc)/Dec in Non-Cash WorkingCapital -1597.4 -6549.9 -2615.9 -2657.3 -1037.7 -1424.4 -1730.2 -1690.7 -1654.4 -2492.3

    FCF To Equity -1442.5 8615.8 11682.9 16010.7 19430.1 21187.8 23237.2 26009.6 28547.6 58634.0

    Present Value of FCF To Firm -1442.5 7721.6 9383.7 11525.3 12535.2 12250.5 12041.1 12079.0 11881.7 11200.5

    Source: KJMC Research

    WACC 11%

    Present value of cumulative FCF (Rs mn) 274888.7

    Enterprise Value (Rs mn) 274888.7

    Net Debt (Rs mn) 16822.9

    Equity value (Rs mn) 258065.8

    Shares Outstanding 400.7

    Value per share 644.1

    Source: KJMC Research

    SEZ Valuation

    We have valued SEZbusiness using discounted cash flowmethod. In our

    projectionswehaveonlyassumed thenotified landareaof18,000acres.The

    companyhasalreadyacquired23650acresof land forRs300crs.For leasingwehaveassumedandupfrontpaymentofRs65lacsperacreandannuallease

    rental of ~ Rs 6 per sq feet. We have assumed the lease rentals and

    developmentcosttoincreaseby3%annually.WehaveusedWACCof12.5%.

    (in Rs mn)Y/E Mar FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E FY15E FY16E FY17E FY18E FY19E FY31E

    Net Profit 3273.5 3756.8 4333.3 4899.4 5151.3 5411.2 6407.1 6726.6 7054.7 16645.0

    FCF To Equity 3273.5 3756.8 4333.3 4899.4 5151.3 5411.2 6407.1 6726.6 7054.7 16645.0

    Present Value of FCF To Firm 3273.5 3341.1 3427.5 3446.5 3222.8 3010.9 3170.6 2960.4 2761.3 1595.4

    Source: KJMC Research

    Present value of cumulative cash flows (Rs mn)53959.3

    Terminal Value (Rs mn)9948.3

    Enterprise Value (Rs mn)63907.6

    Shares Outstanding400.1

    Value per share159.7

    Source: KJMC Research

    Dahej Port

    Dahej port is expected to commence its operations from FY11E and we

    expect the port to handle 2 mn tonne in FY11E. We expect the port to

    operate at full capacity of 15mtpa in FY17E. We have arrived at value

    of Rs 15 per share in using FCFE method by using the cost of equity of

    13.5%.

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    16Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Mormugao Port

    The coal terminal with a capacity of 8mtpa is expected to be operational

    by FY12E and it is expected to handle 5 mtpa in first year of operations

    i.e. in FY13E. Using FCFE method we arrive at a value of Rs 7 per

    share. We have used 13.5% as the cost of equity.

    Hazira Port

    MPSEZ is developing non LNG facilities like bulk, container and liquid

    cargo facilities at Hazira port. The first phase of development includes

    3-4 berths and expected to be operational by FY13E. Using FCFE

    method we arrive at a value of Rs 16 per share. We have used 13.5% as

    the cost of equity.

    Volume Assumptions at Dahej, Mormugao and Hazira (mn tones)

    Particulars FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E FY15E FY16E FY17E FY18E

    Dahej 2.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 15.0 15.0

    Mormugao - - 5.0 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0

    Hazira - - 5.0 7.0 9.0 10.0 12.0 14.0

    Total 2.0 6.0 18.0 22.0 26.5 30.0 33.5 36.0

    Source: KJMC Research

    SOTP Valuation Table

    Business Segment Basis Discount rate / Multiple Value ( Rs in mn) Value per share

    Mundra Port DCF WACC - 11% 258066 644

    SEZ DCF WACC - 12.5% 63908 160

    Adani Logistics P/BV P/BV of 2 ( 50% discount to that of Concor) 3960 10

    Dahej Port FCFE Cost of Equity - 13.5% 5975 15

    Hazira Port FCFE Cost of Equity - 13.5% 6504 16

    Mormugao FCFE Cost of Equity - 13.5% 2774 7

    Total 341186 852

    Source: KJMC Research

    Thecoal terminalatMundra,SPM forHPCLsubsidiary, thenetworkofrail

    and ICDs, and SEZ operations would contribute substantially to the

    companysearningsgrowthfromFY11Eonwards.Further,SEZdevelopment

    would lead to an additional income from the land leases, diversifying its

    revenuesandinsulatingitagainstcyclicality.

    Wehave

    valued

    the

    company

    by

    SOTP

    method

    and

    arrived

    at

    a

    target

    price

    of

    Rs852translatingintopotentialupsideof10%.Withrecentrunupinthestock

    pricewerecommendAccumulateonthestock.

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    17Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Financial Summary

    Standalone Profit & Loss Statement Rs. in mn

    Parti culars FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E

    Income from Operations 8182.1 11351.2 13257.6 17922.2 25727.6 31032.1 36420.4

    Growth (%) 40.7 38.7 16.8 35.2 43.6 20.6 17.4

    Total Expenditure 2828.0 3734.8 3807.4 5005.5 7131.3 8495.9 9720.5

    Operating Expenses 1835.9 2614.1 2473.9 3639.2 5291.7 6207.9 7050.6

    Personnel Expenses 266.1 367.0 546.0 575.3 800.8 999.3 1179.7

    Administrative & Other Expenses 726.1 753.6 787.5 791.0 1038.8 1288.6 1490.2

    EBIDTA 5354.1 7616.4 9450.3 12916.6 18596.3 22536.2 26699.9

    EBIDTA margins (%) 65.4 67.1 71.3 72.1 72.3 72.6 73.3

    Depreciation 1006.4 1372.4 1635.5 2138.0 2255.2 2426.2 2390.9

    EBIT 4347.7 6244.1 7814.8 10778.7 16341.1 20110.0 24309.1

    Interest 1062.2 1329.5 703.2 1356.5 1256.5 1006.5 756.5

    Other Income 279.0 443.2 350.1 379.1 668.6 977.7 1469.3

    PBT and prior period and Extra items 3564.6 5357.8 7461.6 9801.3 15753.1 20081.2 25021.9

    Prior Period Items 13.0 217.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    PBT and Extra Ordinary Items 3551.6 5140.3 7461.6 9801.3 15753.1 20081.2 25021.9Extra Ordinary Items 116.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    PBT 3668.2 5140.3 7461.6 9801.3 15753.1 20081.2 25021.9

    Tax 1534.1 529.2 537.6 856.1 1516.0 1958.8 2456.6

    PAT 2134.1 4611.2 6924.0 8945.2 14237.2 18122.4 22565.3

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

    Balance Sheet Rs. in mn

    Parti culars FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E

    Sources of Funds

    Share Capital 4034.9 4034.9 4034.9 4034.9 4034.9 4034.9 4034.9

    Reserves & Surplus 22090.2 25417.8 30338.5 36078.2 47109.9 61225.5 79784.0

    Shareholders Funds 26125.1 29452.7 34373.4 40113.1 51144.8 65260.4 83818.9

    Secured Loans 18847.7 22849.8 27849.8 26849.8 24849.8 19849.8 14849.8

    Unsecured Loans 219.8 280.2 280.2 280.2 280.2 280.2 280.2

    Total Loans Funds 19067.5 23130.0 28130.0 27130.0 25130.0 20130.0 15130.0Amt. recd/ receivable under long termlease 6811.0 6518.5 6518.5 6518.5 6518.5 6518.5 6518.5

    Deferred Tax Liabilities 1774.2 2297.0 2297.0 2297.0 2297.0 2297.0 2297.0

    Total Liabi li ties 53777.7 61398.2 71318.8 76058.5 85090.3 94205.8 107764.3

    Application of Funds

    Fixed Assets

    Gross Block 32016.7 37819.5 48819.5 63819.5 67319.5 69319.5 70319.5

    Less : Accu. Dept 3598.4 5305.3 6940.7 9078.7 11333.9 13760.1 16150.9

    Net Block 28418.3 32514.2 41878.8 54740.8 55985.6 55559.4 54168.6

    Capital WIP including capital a/c 4058.3 12325.5 12325.5 6000.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    Investments 10826.6 4317.5 4317.5 4317.5 4317.5 4317.5 4317.5

    Currents Assets , L&A 13979.5 15789.1 20568.2 21507.0 36450.3 48246.7 64672.3

    Inventories 184.7 264.9 363.2 491.0 704.9 850.2 997.8

    Sundry Debtors 2963.4 2116.4 5085.1 6874.3 11277.9 13603.1 15965.1

    Cash & Bank Balances 8895.6 11307.1 11669.2 9477.0 16714.1 24441.3 36733.4

    Other Current Assets 451.4 522.3 726.4 982.0 1762.2 2125.5 2494.5

    Loans & Advances 1484.5 1578.3 2724.2 3682.6 5991.4 7226.7 8481.5

    Less: Curr Liab. & Provisons 3505.1 3548.1 7771.1 10506.7 11663.1 13917.8 15394.0

    Current Liabilities 2554.3 3079.3 5699.6 7233.1 8389.5 9842.8 11319.1

    Provisions 950.9 468.8 2071.6 3273.6 3273.6 4075.0 4075.0

    Net Current Assets 10474.4 12241.0 12797.0 11000.3 24787.2 34329.0 49278.3

    Total Assets 53777.7 61398.2 71318.8 76058.5 85090.3 94205.8 107764.3

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

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    18Mundra Port & SEZ Ltd.

    Ratios

    Parti culars FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E

    Profitability and Return Ratios

    EBIDTA Margin (%) 65.4 67.1 71.3 72.1 72.3 72.6 73.3

    Net Profit Margin (%) 40.6 52.2 49.9 55.3 58.4 62.0 65.5

    EPS 5.3 11.5 17.3 22.3 35.5 45.2 56.3

    CEPS 7.8 14.9 21.4 27.7 41.2 51.3 62.3BVPS 64.7 73.0 85.2 99.4 126.8 161.7 207.7

    Dividend Yield (%) 0.19 0.39 0.65 1.03 1.03 1.29 1.29

    ROE 8.2 15.7 20.1 22.3 27.8 27.8 26.9

    ROACE 10.6 10.8 11.8 14.6 20.3 22.4 24.1

    Operating Efficiency and Other Ratios

    Debtors T/o (x) 2.8 5.4 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.3

    Interest Coverage (x) 4.1 4.7 11.1 7.9 13.0 20.0 32.1

    Asset / Turnover (x) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3

    D/E (x) 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2

    Valuation Ratios

    P/E (x) 145.5 67.3 44.8 34.7 21.8 17.1 13.8

    P/CEPS (x) 98.9 51.9 36.3 28.0 18.8 15.1 12.4

    P/BV (x) 12.0 10.6 9.1 7.8 6.1 4.8 3.7

    Mcap / Sales (x) 38.0 27.4 23.4 17.3 12.1 10.0 8.5

    EV / Sales (x) 39.2 28.4 24.7 18.3 12.4 9.9 7.9

    EV / EBIDTA (x) 59.9 42.3 34.6 25.4 17.2 13.6 10.8

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

    Cash Flows Rs. in mn

    Particulars FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E FY13E FY14E

    Pre-tax Profit 3551.6 5140.3 7461.6 9801.3 15753.1 20081.2 25021.9

    Depreciation & Non Cash 1006.4 1372.4 1635.5 2138.0 2255.2 2426.2 2390.9

    Interest & Others 386.0 523.6 703.2 1356.5 1256.5 1006.5 756.5

    Changes in Workin Capital 290.8 140.6 -1796.7 -1597.4 -6549.9 -2615.9 -2657.3

    Tax Paid -43.2 -226.2 -537.6 -856.1 -1516.0 -1958.8 -2456.6

    Operating Cash Flow 5191.5 6950.7 7466.0 10842.2 11199.0 18939.1 23055.4

    Capex -9394.4 -12312.6 -11000.0 -8674.5 2500.0 -2000.0 -1000.0

    Free Cash Flow -4202.9 -5361.9 -3534.0 2167.7 13699.0 16939.1 22055.4

    Investment -1825.0 1188.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    Equity Capital 17187.0 -75.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

    Loans 6136.4 2922.6 5000.0 -1000.0 -2000.0 -5000.0 -5000.0

    Dividend 0.0 -1402.6 -400.7 -2003.4 -3205.4 -3205.4 -4006.8

    Others -8726.5 5140.1 -703.2 -1356.5 -1256.5 -1006.5 -756.5

    Net Change in Cash 8568.9 2411.5 362.1 -2192.2 7237.1 7727.2 12292.1

    Opening Cash Position 326.7 8895.7 11307.1 11669.2 9477.0 16714.1 24441.3

    Closing Cash Posit ion 8895.7 11307.1 11669.2 9477.0 16714.1 24441.3 36733.4

    Source: Company, KJMC Research

  • 7/31/2019 mundra_port_300310_01

    19/19

    Mr.GirishJain ExecutiveDirector [email protected] 22885201(B)

    Mr.SureshParmar A.V.P. InstitutionalEquities [email protected] 40945551(D)

    Mr.VipulSharma A.V.P. InstitutionalSales [email protected] 40945556(D)

    RecommendationParameters

    Expectedreturnsinabsolutetermsoveraoneyearperiod

    Buy appreciatemorethan20%overa12 monthperiod

    Accumulate appreciate10%to20%overa12 monthperiod

    Hold/Neutral appreciateupto20%overa12 monthperiod

    Reduce depreciateupto10%overa12 monthperiod

    Sell depreciatemorethan10%overa12 monthperiod

    Disclaimer :This publication has been prepared from information available on public domain and doses not constitute a solicitation to any person to buy or sell a security. The informationcontained therein has been obtained from source believed to be reliable to the best of our knowledge. KJMC Capital Market Services Ltd. dose not bear any responsibility for theauthentication of the information contained in the reports and consequently, is not liable for any decisions taken based on the same. Further KJMC only provides informationupdates and analysis. All option for buying and selling are available to investors when they are registered clients of KJMC Capital Market Services Ltd. As per SEBIrequirements it is stated that, KJMC Capital Market Services Ltd. , and/or individuals thereof may have positions in securities referred herein and may make purchases or salethereof while this report is in circulation

    The National Stock Exchange (EQ, WDM)

    The National Stock Exchange (Derivatives )

    The Stock Exchange, Mumbai

    : SEBI Regn. No. INB 230719932

    : SEBI Regn. No. INF 230719932

    : SEBI Regn. No. INB 010719939

    MCX-SX Currency

    MCX-Commodity*

    Mutual Funds AMFI No.

    : INE260719932

    : MCX/TM/CORP/1772

    : ARN - 2386

    Member

    * Under KJMC Commodities Market India Ltd