7
1 As seen in Figure 1, Illinois had approximately 1,414 confirmed (n=590) and probable (n=824) mumps cases reported from 2006 through 2014. 2 Over half of these cases (56.4%, n=798) occurred in 2006 during a large multi-state outbreak. 2 Figure 2. Mumps Cases by Sex, Illinois, 2006-2014 2 References 1 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, http://www.cdc.gov/mumps/outbreaks.html ; Accessed, March 2015 2 Illinois National Electronic Disease Surveillance System, Private Database; Accessed March 2015 Note: Case definitions can vary from year to year, and should be considered when comparing case counts across years. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Mumps Case Count Male Female Infectious Disease in Review Mumps in Illinois Mumps Trends, Illinois, 2006-2014 Mumps is caused by a paramyxovirus which typically presents as parotitis and lasts at least two days with the potential of persisting longer. The mumps virus is transmitted through respiratory droplets and by direct contact with nasopharyngeal secretions. According to The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), mumps outbreaks in the United States vary from year-to-year and in recent years have occurred among school-aged youth and young adults. 1 Figure 1. Confirmed and Probable Mumps Cases by Year, Illinois, 2006-2014 2 This report looks at mumps cases in Illinois and identifies trends from 2006 through 2014. When looking at mumps cases by sex, females represented 56.0 percent of all cases from 2006 through 2014, and males totaled 44.0 percent. 2 This distribution was affected by the 2006 outbreak. In the years following the 2006 outbreak (2007-2014), males represented 56.6 percent of all cases and females totaled just 43.4 percent. 2 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Confirmed 336 74 40 27 13 43 17 4 36 Probable 462 96 51 20 18 35 15 22 105 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Mumps Case Count

Mumps Trends in Illinois, 2006-2014

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Page 1: Mumps Trends in Illinois, 2006-2014

1

As seen in Figure 1,

Illinois had

approximately 1,414

confirmed (n=590) and

probable (n=824)

mumps cases reported

from 2006 through

2014.2 Over half of

these cases (56.4%,

n=798) occurred in

2006 during a large

multi-state outbreak.2

Figure 2. Mumps Cases by Sex, Illinois, 2006-20142

References 1Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, http://www.cdc.gov/mumps/outbreaks.html; Accessed, March 2015

2Illinois National Electronic Disease Surveillance System, Private Database; Accessed March 2015

Note: Case definitions can vary from year to year, and should be considered when comparing case counts across years.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Mu

mp

s C

ase

Co

un

t

Male Female

Infectious Disease in Review

Mumps in Illinois

Mumps Trends, Illinois, 2006-2014

Mumps is caused by a paramyxovirus which typically presents as parotitis and lasts

at least two days with the potential of persisting longer. The mumps virus is

transmitted through respiratory droplets and by direct contact with nasopharyngeal

secretions. According to The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC),

mumps outbreaks in the United States vary from year-to-year and in recent years

have occurred among school-aged youth and young adults.1

Figure 1. Confirmed and Probable Mumps Cases by Year, Illinois, 2006-20142

This report looks

at mumps cases

in Illinois and

identifies trends

from 2006

through 2014.

When looking at mumps cases

by sex, females represented

56.0 percent of all cases from

2006 through 2014, and males

totaled 44.0 percent.2 This

distribution was affected by the

2006 outbreak. In the years

following the 2006 outbreak

(2007-2014), males

represented 56.6 percent of all

cases and females totaled just

43.4 percent.2

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Confirmed 336 74 40 27 13 43 17 4 36

Probable 462 96 51 20 18 35 15 22 105

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Mu

mp

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ase

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Page 2: Mumps Trends in Illinois, 2006-2014

2

Table 1. Mumps Cases and Crude Rates per 100,000 Population by Race, Illinois, 2006-20142,3

References 3U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census; Accessed March 2015

Figure 3. Length of Parotitis Among Mumps Cases in Days, Illinois, 2006-20142

Note: The race category “Other” is not made up of the same races as the 2010 Census; therefore a rate could not be calculated.

When looking at mumps by race, cases that identify as white accounted for 70.7 percent of all cases in Illinois

(n=999), black or African Americans made up 7.9 percent (n=111), Asians made up 3.4 percent (n=48), and 3.4

percent of cases identified as other race.2 Cases that identify as black or African American experienced fewer

mumps infections than expected when compared to the percent this race makes up of the Illinois population

(14.5%). However, there were still 14.7 percent (n=208) of mumps cases in Illinois with no race identified.2

As seen in Table 1, the mumps rate in Illinois from 2006 through 2014 was 11.02 cases per 100,000 population

(range:10.45-11.59).2,3

Cases that identify as white were the most affected race by mumps with a rate of 10.88

per 100,000 population (range: 10.21-11.56). The rate among black or African American’s was 5.95 per

100,000 population (range: 4.84-7.05), and 8.8 (range: 5.86-10.49) for those identifying as Asian.2,3

Mumps commonly causes a condition called parotitis, where the patient’s salivary glands become very

swollen.1 In Illinois, 91.6 percent of mumps cases from 2006 through 2014 experienced parotitis for at least

one day (ranging from 1 to 45 days).2 As seen in Figure 3, the majority of cases experienced parotitis lasting

between two and ten days.2

Race % of Illinois

Pop Mumps Cases

% of Total Cases

Rate Per 100,000 Pop

95 % Confidence

Lower Limit Upper Limit

Asian 4.6% 48 3.4% 8.18 5.86 10.49

Black or African American

14.5% 111 7.9% 5.95 4.84 7.05

White 71.5% 999 70.7% 10.88 10.21 11.56

Other - 48 3.4% - - -

Unknown - 208 14.7% - - -

Illinois Totals 1,414 11.02 10.45 11.59

0

50

100

150

200

250

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 45

Mu

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Days of Parotitis

Page 3: Mumps Trends in Illinois, 2006-2014

3

Figure 6. Mumps Cases by Month, Illinois, 2007-20142

Figure 4 shows seasonal

trends of mumps in Illinois

from 2007 through 2014 (the

2006 outbreak presents its

own unique trends and is

displayed separately in Figure

5). Seasonally, mumps in

Illinois tends to start early in

the year during the months of

January and February, and

peaks in March before

beginning its decline in April.

Mumps continues to decline

through July with a slight

resurgence in the fall.

Figure 5 represents the 2006

outbreak by month and shows

very little activity at the beginning

of the year. A large surge of

mumps cases occurred later than

normal in April with a quick

decline in May lasting through July

into August. In 2006, Illinois saw a

slight increase in cases in

September, but did not experience

the same resurgence in the fall as

shown in Figure 4.

Figure 6 shows mumps trends by month and year from 2007 through 2014. As seen below, some years follow

the trends shown in Figure 4 and others mimic the seasonality of the 2006 outbreak.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Figure 4. Mumps Cases by Month, Illinois, 2007-20142

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Figure 5. Mumps Cases by Month, Illinois, 2006 Outbreak2

Page 4: Mumps Trends in Illinois, 2006-2014

4

0

168

255

320

463

191 179

121 93

46

0.0%

9.1%

13.8% 17.4%

25.1%

10.4% 9.7%

6.6% 5.0%

2.5% 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

<1 1-5 6-10 11-17 18-22 23-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 >60

Mu

mp

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ase

Co

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t

1.3%

6.6% 6.7%

9.8%

7.0%

11.3%

13.4% 14.2%

13.2%

16.6%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

<1 1-5 6-10 11-17 18-22 23-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 >60

Pe

rce

nt

of

Po

pu

lati

on

Figure 8. Percentage of Illinois Population, by Age Groups, U.S.

Census, 20103

Note: four cases did not have age data to be included in this figure.

0

146 150

192

349

148 164

122

93

46

0.0%

10.3% 10.6%

13.6%

24.7%

10.5% 11.6%

8.6% 6.6%

3.3% 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

<1 1-5 6-10 11-17 18-22 23-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 >60

Pe

rce

nt

of

Tota

l Cas

es

Mu

mp

s C

ase

Co

un

t Similar to current national

trends1, Figure 7 shows

school-aged youth and

young adults ages 6 through

22 years old made up nearly

half of the mumps cases in

Illinois (48.8%, n=691).2

When comparing the

distribution of mumps by age

group to the normal age

distribution in Illinois (seen in

Figure 8), it is apparent the

mumps disease

disproportionately affects

As seen in figure 9, the rates

of mumps by age group are

highest among 18 through 22

year olds (39.09 per 100,000

pop), and second highest

among 6 through 10 year olds

(17.34 per 100,000 pop).

Mumps rates continue to

decline as the population ages

after 22

Figure 7. Mumps Cases by Age, Illinois 2006-20142

0.00

17.31 17.34 15.26

39.09

10.20 9.55 6.69 5.51 2.16 0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

<1 1-5 6-10 11-17 18-22 23-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 >60

Rat

es

Pe

r 1

00

,00

0 P

op

ula

tio

n

Figure 9. Mumps Crude Rates, by Age Groups, Illinois, 2006-20142,3

Although school-aged youth and

young adults (6-22 year olds)

represent nearly half of all

mumps cases in Illinois, these

age groups only make up 23.5

percent of the Illinois

population.2,3

Within these age

groups, college-aged young

adults (18-22 year olds) are the

most affected group. This group

makes up 24.7 percent (n=349)

of all cases, yet only seven

percent of the Illinois

population.2,3

As seen in figure 9, the rates

of mumps by age group are

highest among 18 through 22

year olds (39.09 per 100,000

pop), and second highest

among 6 through 10 year olds

(17.34 per 100,000 pop).

Mumps rates continue to

decline as the population

ages beyond 22 years of age.

Similar to current national

trends1, Figure 7 shows school-

aged youth and young adults

ages 6 through 22 years old

made up nearly half of the

mumps cases in Illinois (48.8%,

n=691).2 When comparing the

distribution of mumps by age

group to the normal age

distribution in Illinois (seen in

Figure 8), it is apparent the

mumps disease

disproportionately affects

school-aged youth and young

adults more than other age

groups.

Page 5: Mumps Trends in Illinois, 2006-2014

5

Figure 11.Time Frame Between Last MMR Vaccine Date and Disease Onset Date, Illinois 2006-20142

According to CDC, the mumps portion of the MMR (Measles, Mumps and Rubella) vaccine is 88 percent effective

(range: 66%-95%) at preventing the mumps disease when two doses are administered1 following the proper

vaccine schedule (first dose administered to children 12-15 months old, and the second at 4-6 years old), and 78

percent effective (range: 49%-92%) at preventing mumps when just one MMR vaccine is received.1

Figure 9 shows, from 2006 through 2014, 71.1 percent (n= 1,006) of all cases had been vaccinated before their

disease onset, 8.5 percent (n= 120) had not been vaccinated and 20.4 percent (n= 288) were unknown.2 Figure

10 breaks the 1,006 vaccinated cases into number of doses received, and shows 69.5 percent of vaccinated

cases received two or more vaccines, 18.0 percent received one vaccine and 12.5 percent were unknown.2

Note: Error bars represent 95% Confidence Intervals.

When looking at the time frame between last vaccine and disease onset, Figure 11 shows the majority of

mumps cases receiving at least one dose of MMR and still experiencing the disease had received their last

dose between 2 and 15 years prior to their disease onset. A total of 558 cases (55.5%) of a potential 1,006

cases receiving at least one MMR vaccine had the necessary vaccine and disease onset dates available to

calculate the time frame between these dates.2

Figure 9. Mumps Cases by MMR Vaccine Status,

Illinois 2006-20142

Figure 10. Mumps Cases by Number of MMR

Vaccines Received, Illinois 2006-20142

Note: Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals.

18.0%

69.5%

12.5%

1 Vaccine

2 or more Vaccines

Unknown

71.1%

8.5%

20.4%

Yes

No

Unknown

44 44

130

102

168

41

19 10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

<1year 1 To 2 years 2 To 5 years 5 to 10 years 10 to 15 years 15 to 20 years 20 to 25 years >25

When looking at age, the three time frames from Figure 11 with the highest number of cases are mostly

represented by school-aged youth and young adults aged six through 22 years of age.2

This is supportive of

these cases receiving their second MMR dose at four through six years of age (as recommended). Cases

aged six through ten years old made up 54.6 percent of cases with a disease onset of 2 to 5 years after their

last MMR vaccine, 11 through 17 year olds made up 67.6 percent of cases with a disease onset of 5 to 10

years after, and 18 through 22 year olds made up 46.4 percent of cases with a disease onset of 10 to 15

years after (Note: when adding bordering cases from the 11-17 year old age group, the percent increased to

81.5%).2

Page 6: Mumps Trends in Illinois, 2006-2014

6

When looking at mumps cases geographically by region, mumps in Illinois occurred more often in the northern

three regions, slightly less in the central two regions and the Edwardsville region, and least in the Marion

region.2 When comparing mumps rates per 100,000 population by region, the highest rate was in the Rockford

region (34.72 cases per 100,000 population),2,3

which can be attributed to the 2006 outbreak being centralized

in this region. When looking at the rest of Illinois, the next highest rates are in the Champaign and Peoria

regions, and the second lowest quartile is made up of the Edwardsville and Marion regions in the south.2,3

The

lowest rates are seen in the Chicago and West Chicago regions (6.43 and 9.44 per 100,000 pop).2,3

According to CDC, several mumps outbreaks have been linked to universities nationwide.1 A geographic

analysis of mumps cases from 2006 through 2014 by zip code was completed and revealed 70.9 percent of all

mumps cases in Illinois occurred in zip codes with, or neighboring, a college or university (see Map 4).2 When

looking at zip codes with a college or university only, college-aged young adults (18-22 year olds) were found

to make up 42.2 percent (n=247) of all mumps cases in these zip codes (among all age groups).2 When looking

within this age group, it was found 70.8 percent of mumps cases among 18 to 22 year olds occurred in zip

codes with a college or university. When neighboring zip codes were included, it was found 83.1 percent of

cases among 18 to 22 year olds lived in, or bordered, a zip code with a college or university2. In addition, 64.0

percent of 6 to 10 year olds and over half of 11 to 17 year olds also lived in these zip codes (56.3%).2

Map 2. Mumps Crude Rates by IDPH Region,

Illinois, 2006-20142,3

9.44

34.72

6.43

13.29

21.77

10.87

13.27 Mumps by IDPH Region

Case Count

74 - 118

119 - 182

183 - 321

322 - 334

County Border

Mumps Rates by IDPH Region

Crude Rate Per 100,000 Pop

6.43 - 9.44

9.45 - 13.27

13.28 - 21.77

21.78 - 34.72

County Border

Map 1. Mumps Case Counts by IDPH Region,

Illinois, 2006-20142

Page 7: Mumps Trends in Illinois, 2006-2014

7

Map 3. Mumps Cases by Zip Code, Illinois, 2006-2014

2

Map 3 shows mumps cases by zip code in Illinois from 2006 to 2014. The map highlights the

highest case counts in red (n=12 zip codes), the middle range in green (n=116 zip codes),

and the lowest number of cases in blue (n=159 zip codes). Map 4 shows zip codes in

yellow with a college or university and at least one mumps case, and the blue indicates zip

codes with a mumps case that borders a college or university (combined n=277 zip codes).

Combined, the maps compare the general distribution of mumps cases in Illinois by zip code

to those in, or neighboring, a college or university. The large presence of cases in areas

where colleges and universities are located and the high percentage of cases in the 18 to 22

year old age group demonstrates the importance of working with and educating colleges

and universities of the need for prompt vaccination of students and case reporting, testing

and implementation of control measures.

Map 4. Mumps Cases in Zip Codes with, or Neighboring a College or University, Illinois, 2006-2014

2

/ /

Map 3 and 4 Descriptions These two maps look at the distribution of mumps in Illinois and take an in-depth look at zip codes more likely to have youth and young adults interacting in close quarters, similar to that of various school settings. Both maps are layered over local health department jurisdictions in Illinois.

Methods Data from the 2010 US. Census and the Illinois National Electronic Diseases Surveillance System (I-NEDSS) was analyzed using Microsoft Excel. ESRI’s ArcGIS was used for mapping.

Notes

Colleges and Universities in other states bordering zip codes in Illinois with mumps cases were left out of the analysis.

Mumps Cases

LHD Jurisdiction

College or University Zip Code

Bordering A College or University

Mumps Case Count

1 - 3

4 - 14

15 - 98

No Cases

LHD Jurisdiction