More Connectivity, More Reality and More IntelligenceMore Connectivity • Ubiquitous network industry needs “Connectivity” • Beyond the year 2010, “Whenever” for advanced

0Copyright (c) Nomura Research Institute, Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

More Connectivity, More Reality and More Intelligence

April 7, 2005

Makoto Yokozawa

Senior Consultant, Nomura Research Institute(Visiting Professor at Kyoto Univ.)


On the way here, 10,000 meters above Russia

was an ubiquitous flight.


　　 The Ubiquitous Network from SupplierThe Ubiquitous Network from Supplier’’s Point of Views Point of View

Mainframe

Server

PC

PC

PC

PC

Digital TV sets

Set-top box home servers

Video games

PDAs

Cell phones

Car navigation systems

Internet

Information appliances

Multi-media kiosksMobile PC

ＩＰｖ６ＩＰｖ６ Intelligent vending machines

BroadbandFTTH, xDSL, CATV, FWA,

3-G cellphones, Digital broadcasting, etc.

Electronic tag sensors/actuators

CSS

Web computing

WS

Blue Tooth, IEEE1394, Wireless LANITS, Electrical light cable networks,

wireless tags, etc.PC

Servers

MobilePC

The Ubiquitous Network


　　 The World of the The World of the ““Exotic NetworkExotic Network””

The Exotic Network

Wearable

Holodeck VR ROOM

Time Machine

Smart-dust

Bio-signalingElectronic Paper

Space Communication

DNA-chip

Quantum ICT

Unlimited Imagination

Hyper-warp engine

Energize/Materialize Transporter


““Frontier TechnologFrontier Technologiesies”” in the pastin the past

1.Embedded Wireless

2.SOC

3.Formal Verific

ation

4.Synergy between Tech and Culture (e.g. storytelling)

5.Post-Silicon Computing (Bio-Quantum)

6.Is your Computer Alive? (Androids)

7.Nano-technology (or "m

olecular and quantum computing")

8.Mobile Computing

9.Pervasive Computing

10. Automatic Self-repair (reconfigurable)

11. Perverive Computing

12. Microscopic Systems

13. Replacing Paper

14. Sub-micron Machines

15. Semiformal and Formal Spec--integration

16. Hew HCI (voice control)

17. Human Information Interaction

18. Bio-informatics

19. Future Forums

1.Wireless Sensor Networks

2.Injectable Tissue Engineering

3.Nano Solar Cells

4.Mechatronics

5.Grid Computing

6.Molecular Imaging

7.Nanoimprint Lithography

8.Software Assurance

9.Glycomics

10.Quantum Cryptography

1.Life sciences, genomics and biotechnology for health

. Advanced genomics and its applications for health

. Combatting major diseases

2. Information Society technologies

3. Nanotechnologies and nano-sciences, knowledge-based multifunctionalmaterials and new production processes and devices

4. Aeronautics and space

5. Food quality and safety

6. Sustainable development, global change and ecosystems

. Sustainable energy systems

. Sustainable surface transport

. Global change and ecosystems

7. Citizens and governance in a knowledge-based society

8. Specific activities covering a wider field of research


UbN Future 1) Connectivity

• Ubiquitous Network, a set of transformation of society.– whenever, whoever, wherever,

whatever . . . . , however,– Need years to have unlimited

Connectivity even in the most advanced countries.

– The Ubiquitous Network will be a frontier towards the year 2010.


Cupper　Network

・PC

Start of the Internet PenetrationStart of the Internet Penetration

・ Printer・PC ・Server

（analogue communication）

●

・Modem●

・

～10ｃｍ～1ｍ～10ｍ～100ｍ

～10ｃｍ

～1ｍ

～10ｍ

～100ｍ

・ Handheld terminal

・DSU

Leased line（ISDN etc.）

・PC

・Server

●

・DSUISDN

ISDN

Entrance・Garden

Bath

Bedroom

Kitchen

Living room

Work ｆromHome

In the House

In the Office

At Own Desk

Meeting &Conference

Receive Visitors

StorefrontOut of the House

Entertainment(Cinema, Watching sports)

Mobile Work Place

Shopping

Visiting（Hospital、Public Service

Office etc.）

On the Move

Traveling

Commuting

Customer Call

・Printer

・Modem


～100ｍ

・Video camera

WLL

・PC・Server

GPS

Cell phone

Cell phone

3G Cell phone

３GCell phone

●

PC ・

Cell phone

・PC

3G/3.5GCell phone

・PC

●

3G Cel

l phon

e

●

・Gateway

●

●

●

Cell phone

●

Backbone network

GPS

●

On the Move In the House

Out of the House In the Office

Entrance・Garden

Bath

Bedroom

Kitchen

Living room

Work ｆromHome

At Own Desk

Meeting &Conference

Receive Visitors

Storefront

Entertainment(Cinema, Watching sports)

Mobile Work Place

Traveling

Commuting

Customer Call

Cell phone

Shopping

GPS ●

・Car

・PDA

3G/3.5G, Cell phone

・Cell phone

・Cell phone

・Car

・Bus/Delivery track

●Satellite communication

Cell phone

3.5G Cell phone

Cell phone3.5G Cell phone

・Cell phone

Cell phone

・PDA

3.5 G

3G Cell

phone

●

●

・Car navigation system

・Handheld terminal

・Cash register（POS）

Visiting（Hospital、Public Service

Office etc.）

・Mobile PC

FTTH

●

・Cell phone

3.5G Cell phone

・MMK

●

●

・Cell phone・Information 　KIOSK

●

～1ｍ～10ｍ～100ｍ～10ｃｍ・Cell phone●

GPS

●

●

●

Cell phone

・IP phone

FTTH

・Gateway

・Mobile PC

・Mobile PC

IEEE802.11a/g

●・IP phone

・PC ・Server

・Gateway

FTTH

・MMKFTTH

●

・Printer ・Gateway

・Mobile PC

・IP phone

●

FTTH● ・Printer ・Gateway

・IP phone

・Mobile PC

IEEE802.11b

・MMK

・IC card

・Automatic ticket gate

3G　Cell phone

・IP phone

FTTH・Game machine

・DVD ●

IEEE802.11a/g

・Printer

Satellite communication

・Gateway

●

3.5G C

ell ph

one

IEEEE802.11a/g

●

FTTH

●Hot spot

DSRC

・Headset

Bluetooth

3G　Cell phone

●Digital broadcasting

・Hot spot

ZigBee

・Car・Car navigation system

●

FTTH

・Train

・Airplane

Satellite communication

IEEE802.1

1a/

g

● ●

●

Cell phone

3G Cell

phone

Cell phone

３G　Cell phone

●

IEEE802.11a/g

IEEE80

2.11a/

g・Rack

・Document（RFID）

・Lighting・Air conditioner

・Sensor・Air conditioner

●

Digital broadcasting

・Medical equipment

・IC card

・PSA

・Price tag Display・

・Sensor・Air conditioner

・Lighting

・Sensor

・Storage

・Display rack

・Goods（RFID)

IEEE802.11a/g

MAN

●

IEEE802.11b・Multifunction copier

・Air conditioner・Sensor

・Book shelves

・Lighting

・Air conditioner・Sensor・Lighting

・Lighting

・Bookshelf・Book（RFID）

・Air conditioner

・Lighting

・Air conditioner

・Digital TV set

・Web camera ・Web camera

・Projector

・Web camera

・Audio

●Digital broadcasting

・Refrigerator

・Food （RFID）

Lighting ・Electric potRice cooker

・Air conditioner

・Clothes（RFID）

・Home server・Sensor

Bath tab

・Clothes washer

・Sensor

・Garage

・Web camera

・Own car

・garden sprinkler

・Shutter

・Sensor・Lighting

・Ubiquitous terminal

・Ubiquitousterminal

・Ubiquitousterminal

～10ｃｍ

●

ADSL

●

ADSL・Modem

●

・IC card

・Gateway

●

GPS

GPS

●

Power line network

●Cell phone

FTTH ●

・Lan at Home

・Network at Office

・In-house

network

・In-house network

・Multi tenant broadband access

UWB

・Gateway・Modem

・Mobile PC

IEEE802.11a/g

・Printer ・Mobile PC

・Microwave

・Closet

　　The Ubiquitous The Ubiquitous NetworkNetwork

・Gateway

Car navigation system・Cloth drier

・IP phone

Web camera

・Automatic ticket gate

・Car navigation system

・Ubiquitous terminal

Document/Book （RFID)

Video camera

Ticket-vending machine

・PDA

・In-store network


The Ubiquitous NetworkThe Ubiquitous Network--A PartA Part• 2010, the year of the framework completion

• still need seamless integration of connectivity

• Transparent connectivitywill increase the hours of networked human activity

•The number of UbN’edscenes in life, work and business will be the key inthe next stage


The The ““UbiqUbiq. Hours. Hours””• a measure of social ubiquity of the information network• one individual connected to the Ubiquitous/broadband network

for one hour = one ubiq. hour (hru)

1993 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Estimated ubiq. hours per year worldwide [hru]

xx

Population ceiling < ~1010

Numbers are by imagination beyond 2005

“Whoever” factorSome 107 each in all advanced nations

“Whenever” factor3hr/day x 365 = ~103

“Good Night” ceiling < ~104

including “subconscious connectivity”[hru]

1014

1013

1012

1011

1010

109

108

107

106


More ConnectivityMore Connectivity• Ubiquitous network industry needs “Connectivity”• Beyond the year 2010, “Whenever” for advanced countries• Still need “Whoever” effort for other countries

0 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.0 x 1011

Connectivity based market expansion

PO

TE

NT

IAL

MA

RK

ET

(arb

itra

ry u

nit)

The Network Effect comes in the combination

of [hru]

[hru]Social Ubiquity


UbN Future 2) Reality

• Connectivity needs “R”– Robotics, RFID, Software Radio, Real world …..– Subconscious Connectivity : while you are

…ing.• while you are sleeping• while you are driving• while you are flying• while you are in Geneva …….will need connectable real world environments


PC desksKitchen

living room

In the homes

cash registers

shelves and kiosks

Shopping

Outdoors

無線

wireless

Outside of homesAlways On the Network

Office

meeting visitors

Desks

in-transitconferenceswireless

In transit

commuting, leisure

Business trips, sales and leisure (33 minutes)

wireless

wireless

TheThe　　InternetInternet

warehouses

children’s rooms

wireless


Source: MIC u-Japan Policy Overview, 2005

RealworldRealworld ubiquityubiquity


UbN Future 3) Intelligence

• Reality needs “I”– Intelligence, innovation, inspiration,

intercultural …..– Intelligent ubiquity will remove long

queues at clinics, ticketing offices, elevators, immigrations as ITS is to reduce traffic jams

– Innovative communication will accelerate value creation


ICTICT’’ss elemental functionselemental functions

Mechanical Engineering

Actuators

Sensors

Emotion

Communication

Memory/StorageInnovation

Presentation

Transportation

20th Century


QueueQueue--free societyfree societyGOAL

Smooth traffic

unorganized mismatch

All “mismatch” problems in the human society can be potentially solved by intelligent and ubiquitous network

RFIDs and sensor networks and intelligent control systems

START


Intercultural communicationIntercultural communicationLess competition and more collaboration will benefit the global economy

EAST ASIA (Kanji and chopsticks based culture) will be a good testbed

•Machine translation•Knowledgebase•Cross-cultural collaboration platform•Semantics


Innovation engineeringInnovation engineering

•Digital archive could be an idea amplifier

•Tacit knowledge communication will make the Ubiquitous network a common meeting ground

•From simple communication to reciprocity-based community

•Knowledge community•Community money system(“Time Dollar”)•Weblogs


Concluding remarksConcluding remarksMORE CONNECTIVITY

Develops potential communication demands

MORE REALITYResolves problems in the real world

MORE INTELLIGENCE

Changes the society like “no one has gone before”

Documents

More Connectivity, More Reality and More IntelligenceMore Connectivity • Ubiquitous network industry needs “Connectivity” • Beyond the year 2010, “Whenever” for advanced