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Geography StandardsThe World in Spatial Terms
• Standard 1: How to use maps and
other geographic representations,
tools, and technologies to acquire,
process, and report information
from a spatial perspective
Places and Regions• Standard 5: That people create
regions to interpret Earth’s com-
plexity
Human Systems• Standard 9: The characteristics,
distribution, and migration of
human populations on Earth’s
surface
Environment and Society• Standard 14: How human actions
modify the physical environment
• Standard 15: How physical
systems affect human systems
• Standard 16: The changes that
occur in the meaning, use, distribu-
tion, and importance of resources
The Uses of Geography• Standard 18: How to apply
geography to interpret the present
and plan for the future
Science StandardsUnifying Concepts and Processes
• Change, constancy, and measure-
ment
Science and Technology• Abilities of technological designs
• Understandings about science and
technology
Science in Personal and SocialPerspectives
• Population growth
• Natural resources
• Environmental quality
• Science and technology in local,
national, and global challenges
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Overview
Where will yournext meal comefrom?: Inquiriesabout food, people,and environmentModule OverviewThis module includes three investigations dealing with agricultural systems
and the environmental problems and opportunities related to these
systems, including their capacities for sustaining human populations.
Investigation 1: Is there a future for subsistence agriculture?Investigation 1 focuses on subsistence ways of life, which are based on
ancient practices far removed from modern technology and urban indus-
trial livelihood patterns. After looking briefly at three main types of subsis-
tence agriculture, students investigate intensive subsistence agriculture,
specifically Asian rice production, and they interpret satellite images for
clues about challenges to the future of this type of agriculture. Students
debate the proposition that subsistence agriculture will continue to play a
significant role in feeding the populations of the developing world. In
contrast to subsistence agriculture, Investigation 2 deals with the indus-
trial, commercial agriculture common in the developed countries in North
America and Europe.
Investigation 2: What is industrial agriculture?The focus is on the high-energy- and technology-using system of commer-
cial agriculture in the developed, industrial world. Students investigate
industrial agriculture as a system of inputs and outputs, compare it to
subsistence agriculture, examine its effects on human and physical
landscapes, and consider how changes in technology are transforming the
way it operates. A debate or forum about industrial agriculture enables
students to argue its advantages and disadvantages and discuss the
ability of agriculture to support future populations without degrading the
environment.
Investigation 3: Who will feed the world?Building on their knowledge of agricultural systems gained from the first
two investigations, students look critically at the capacities of these
systems for sustaining human populations in a world where one of six
people suffers from hunger. Students work in groups to investigate
population growth and agricultural production in major world regions and
consider how developments in technology and monitoring systems will
contribute to feeding people in the future. The investigation concludes
with an investment challenge in Mozambique. Students work in groups to
make recommendations for improving agricultural production in this
country.
2
Mathematics StandardsData Analysis and Probability
• Formulate questions that can be
addressed with data; and collect,
organize, and display relevant data
to answer them
Measurement• Understand measurable attributes
of objects and the units, systems,
and processes of measurement
Algebra• Analyze change in various contexts
Representation• Use representations to model and
interpret physical, social, and
mathematical phenomena
Technological LiteracyStandards
Nature of Technology• Standard 2: Core concepts of
technology
Technology and Society• Standard 4: The cultural, social,
economic, and political effects of
technology
• Standard 5: The effects of
technology on the environment
• Standard 6: The role of society in
the development and use of
technology
The Designed World• Standard 15: Agricultural and
related biotechnologies
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Overview
Connection to the CurriculumWhere will your next meal come from?: Inquiries about food, people,and environment is an instructional unit—about 3 weeks in length—that
can be integrated, either in whole or in part, into high school courses in
world geography, demography, nutrition, population geography, economics
and economic geography, agricultural geography, regional geography, and
global studies. The material supports instruction about economic develop-
ment and population growth, as well as the dynamic interactions between
physical and human environmental change at both local and regional
scales of analysis. Connections to mathematics skills are easily made
because the material requires students to work with a large amount of
quantitative data in graphic and tabular form.
TimeInvestigation 1: Five to six 45-minute sessions
Investigation 2: Four to eight 45-minute sessions
Investigation 3: Four to eight 45-minute sessions
3
Is there afuture forsubsistenceagriculture?Investigation OverviewThis investigation focuses on subsistence ways of life, which are based
on ancient practices far removed from modern technology and urban
industrial livelihood patterns. After looking briefly at three main types of
subsistence agriculture, students investigate intensive subsistence
agriculture, specifically Asian rice production, and they interpret satellite
images for clues about challenges to the future of this type of agriculture.
Students debate the proposition that subsistence agriculture will continue
to play a significant role in feeding the populations of the developing
world. In contrast to subsistence agriculture, Investigation 2 deals with
the industrial, commercial agriculture common to the developed coun-
tries in North America and Europe.
Time required (as follows):
Introduction and Part 1: Two 45-minute sessions
Parts 2 and 3: One or two 45-minute sessions
Parts 4 and 5: Two 45-minute sessions
MaterialsBriefing (one copy per student)
Log (one copy per student)
Computer with CD-ROM. The Mission Geography CD contains color
graphics and links to the World Wide Web.
Reference materials such as encyclopedias
World atlases
Optional: Access to the Internet for data gathering
Content PreviewIt is usually impossible to correctly answer questions about the future,
such as the question posed in the title of this investigation. Rather, this
question is meant to raise awareness and to encourage speculation and
skepticism about the future capacity of subsistence agriculture to feed
the rapidly growing populations in the developing world. Several argu-
ments could be made based on the content of this investigation, but the
central conclusion is most likely to be close to this: because of environ-
mental constraints, primarily shortages of land and water, subsistence
farming will be less and less able to support, in the long run, the rapidly
growing populations in poor countries. The task of feeding future popula-
tions will probably require both the cessation of rapid population growth
and a surplus-producing, high technology-based, and environmentally
sustainable agriculture, such as is discussed in Investigation 2 of this
module.
Geography Standards
Standard 14: Environmentand Society
How humans modify the physicalenvironment
• Explain the global impacts of human
changes in the physical environment.
Standard 15: Environmentand Society
How physical systems affecthuman systems
• Analyze examples of changes in the
physical environment that have
reduced the capacity of the environ-
ment to support human activity.
Standard 16: Environmentand Society
The changes that occur in themeaning, use, distribution, andimportance of resources
• Analyze the relationships between the
spatial distribution of settlement and
resources.
Geography SkillsSkill Set 4: Analyzing GeographicInformation
• Make inferences and draw conclu-
sions from maps and other geo-
graphic representations.
Skill Set 5: Answering GeographicQuestions
• Evaluate the answers to geographic
questions.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 1
4
Classroom ProceduresBeginning the Investigation1. Hand out copies of the Briefing to each student
and have them read the Background and
Objectives. Draw out discussion with such
questions as:
• What do you know about subsistence
agriculture?
• What most surprised you in the Background?
• The title of the investigation raises the question
of whether subsistence agriculture has a future.
Why would this be argued?
• Why do you think subsistence agriculture might
continue to be important?
• What is the estimated number of people
supported by intensive subsistence farming in
the world? (This is the first question on the Log,
so it can be used to draw attention to the need
to give answers on the Log throughout the
investigation. The answers to the Log questions
are found at the end of this Educator’s Guide.
Give students a schedule for completing the
Log.)
2. Form students into FAO (UN Food and Agriculture
Organization) teams.
• Teams work together to collect information from
the Briefing and answer questions on the Log.
• Debate the proposition that subsistence
agriculture will continue to play a significant role
in feeding the populations of the developing
world in the future.
• Assign groups for the debate: half in favor and
half opposed to the proposition.
• Emphasize the importance of working together
to gain the expertise needed to debate at the
end of the investigation.
Developing the Investigation3. For Question 1 in Part 1: Where is subsistence
agriculture found?, students are asked to
describe the three types of subsistence agriculture
in the world by completing the table. They should
use atlases and print and/or electronic sources of
information (see Additional Resources).
• Have each group complete the whole table.
• Or, to save time, divide the work: each group
does only one type and then shares with the
other groups.
• Use the answers to the Log in this Educator’s
Guide to direct students’ understanding of the
questions.
4. Figure 1 in the Log is a world map of the
distribution of these three main agricultural
practices. To answer Question 1, students will
need political maps or atlases to locate the
countries where these practices are found.
5. Parts 2, 3, and 4 of the Briefing provide basic
information about intensive subsistence agriculture.
• Students can work through these parts in
groups, independently, or as a class.
• In any case, ask and answer questions to keep
students on task and moving through the
materials.
• These parts provide the information needed to
answer Questions 2 and 3 on the Log.
6. In order to answer Question 4, students should see
that Figure 9 contains a time series of three
infrared images of Beijing and its surroundings.
• The caption explains that the light blue color is
the infrared signature of concrete, which roughly
corresponds to the urban area of Beijing.
• The surrounding area in red primarily represents
agricultural land.
• The caption also notes that each image is 35
kilometers wide.
• With this information, challenge students to
measure the urban area of Beijing in each of the
three years. The following procedure can be
used:
− On the screen or on a color printout, measure
the area of the blue core in the middle of each
image.
− Make a linear scale for the images by using a
sheet of paper along the width of one of the
images; tick off the image width and call that
35 kilometers.
− Make ticks at half the width, which is
17.5 kilometers, 1/4th is 8.75 kilometers, and
3/4ths is 26.25 kilometers.
− Using this scale, measure the blue core in
each image by treating it as a square. For
example, the blue area in 1976 was roughly
8 x 8 kilometers or 64 square kilometers, for
1984 it was 9 x 9 or 81 square kilometers,
and for 1991 it was roughly 18 x 18 or 324
square kilometers.
7. To answer Question 5, encourage students to
speculate about what they observe in Figure 10.
• They might guess that the streams of white are
clouds or smoke.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 1
5
• Actually, it is smoke from land-clearing fires.
• Forests are being burned to clear the land for
intensive agriculture.
• Explain to students that to feed ever-increasing
populations, more cleared land is required for
agriculture.
• This results in rapid deforestation in many
developing areas that are experiencing strong
population pressure.
• Deforestation can be a serious problem because
the soils of many tropical rainforests have too
few nutrients to support intensive agriculture.
(Students may have prior knowledge of this
fact.)
• But in areas where recent volcanic eruptions
have enriched the soils with nutrients, such as in
this part of Indonesia, the soils may be able to
support intensive farming.
• A lot of deforestation in Indonesia is leading to
intensive subsistence agriculture, made possible
by soils derived from volcanic ash.
Concluding the Investigation8. In preparation for the debate, have each group
answer Question 6, either for or against the
proposition.
9. Conduct a formal debate as a whole class, with
groups assigned to opposing positions on the
proposition:
Resolved: Subsistence agriculture will continue
to play a significant role in feeding the
populations of the developing world in the 21st
century.
Note: Students will not be able to develop, using
only the Briefing, all of the possible arguments in
this issue, so it is important that you direct their
discussion with the points found in the Key to the
Investigation Log.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 1
10. Instead of a formal debate, you may wish to have
students individually or in groups write down three
reasons to support a “yes” answer and three
reasons for a “no” answer. Post their reasons on
the board in two columns and use them to direct
class discussion.
Evaluation• Evaluate the Investigation Logs using the answers in
this Educator’s Guide.
• Ideas suggested for extension and enrichment may
also be used for evaluation.
Additional ResourcesImages and information on the Sahel in Africa
http://kidsat.jpl.nasa.gov/kidsat/photogallery/
africa_sahel.GIF
Excellent information on deforestation
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/
Deforestation/
Information on related environmental issues studied by
Earth Observing System
http://eospso.gsfc.nasa.gov/eos_edu.pack
Images of Santa Cruz, Bolivia, deforestation that are
detailed enough for analysis in a laboratory setting
http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/imagewall/LandSat/
santa_cruz.html
An on-line class on global land use issues, many of
which are related to this investigation
http://see.gsfc.nasa.gov/edu/SEES/globa/class/
A good resource for students to see and read about the
circumstance of families is:
Peter Menzel. 1994. Material World: A Global FamilyPortrait. San Francisco: Sierra Club Books. This
book also exists on a CD.
Good overviews of the concepts presented in this
investigation can be found in:
Getis and Fellmann. 1995. Human Geography.Landscapes of Human Activities. Fourth
Edition. Dubuque, Iowa: Wm. C. Brown.
Rubenstein. 1994. An Introduction to HumanGeography. New York: Macmillan.
6
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 1
Log
1. Characteristics of major types of subsistence agriculture
Characteristic PastoralNomadism
ShiftingCultivation
IntensiveSubsistence
3 countries
representative of type
Namibia, Kenya, Mali, Niger,
Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, Russia,
Chad, Mongolia, Afghanistan, and
others
Brazil, Venezuela, Columbia,
Nigeria, Tanzania, Chad, Senegal,
Indonesia, and others
India, China, Vietnam, Cambodia,
Bangladesh, Pakistan, Mexico,
Peru, and others
Climate Hot and cold dry climates (tundra,
steppes, savannas, deserts)
Humid tropical (rain forests) Warm to temperate humid climates
or dry climates with irrigation
Percentage of world
land area covered
20% 25% 10%
Population density
(high, medium, or
low)
Low Low to medium High
Percentage of world
population supported<1% 5% 50%
Output per unit area
(High, medium, or
low)
Low Medium High
Output per unit of
human effort (high,
medium, or low)
High Medium Low
Other Reliance on herd animals (cattle,
sheep, goats, reindeer, horses);
people move with herds
Clear plots in forest for planting;
when soil loses fertility in 2-3
years, shift to other plots
Small, permanent, irrigated,
fertilized plots, produce rice and
vegetables
2. On the timeline below, write in the annual activities of traditional wet rice double cropping in China.
Turn soil with wooden plow and water buffalo; rake smooth,
fertilize, and water the plot; transplant seedings into plot
Weeding and watering
Weeding, watering, and fertilizing
Allow rice to draw starch; let water out to dry rice; harvest in late
June or early July
Separate rice from stalks, vegetable gardening Vegetable gardening
Turn soil with wooden plow and water buffalo; rake smooth,
fertilize, and water the plot; transplant seedlings into plot
Weeding and watering
Weeding, watering, and fertilizing
Allow rice to draw starch; let water out to dry rice; harvest in
November or early December
Separate rice from stalks
Jan
Feb
Mar
April
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 1
3. Identify six important features of intensive subsis-
tence agriculture on your own as you read the
Briefing:
• Growing a variety of crops helps reduce risksfrom crop failure, which can be caused by poorweather or pests.
• Labor is divided among the rice fields and thevegetable garden.
• Supports large, densely settled populations inregions of the world with large populations likeIndia, China, and Southeast Asia.
• Families must produce enough food for survivalon very small parcels of land.
• The same fields are planted year after year.• Livestock are generally not permitted to graze in
any area that could be used for crops.• Little grain is used for animal feed, and cattle are
limited by lack of grazing land.• Subsistence farmers grow rice in much of
Southeast Asia, Southeast China, and EastIndia.
• Fish are cultivated in aquaculture pondsintegrated with intensive agriculture.
• In drier areas where irrigation can be provided,a variety of crops are grown, including wheat,barley, oats, corn, sorghum, millet, soybeans,cotton, hemp, and flax.
• As the need for expanded production rises,many farmers terrace the hillsides of rivervalleys.
• Where intensive agriculture expands into tropicalrain forests, special problems of deforestationmay occur.
• Land for cultivation is lost to expanding urbanareas.
4. Using the information on Figure 9, provide a
quantitative description of the changes over the 15-
year period shown by the three images. How do
these changes challenge subsistence agriculture?
Since each image extends 35 kilometers from leftto right, students should be able to make a roughestimate of the changing size of the urban core ofBeijing—the blue area in the center of each image.
In 1976, Beijing occupied about 60 squarekilometers; in 1984, about 80 square kilometers;and in 1991, about 300 square kilometers. Theseare rough estimates and students should not beheld to exact figures, but they should be able toexplain that urban growth of Beijing has severelyeliminated many square kilometers of farmland. Byextension, you should explain that Beijing is onlyone example. Cropland is being lost to urbanexpansion in many of the world’s regions.
5. What do you think is shown in Figure 10, and how
might this be related to intensive subsistence
agriculture?
• They might guess that the streams of white areclouds or smoke.
• Actually, it is smoke from land-clearing fires.• Forests are being burned to clear the land for
intensive subsistence agriculture.• Explain to students that to feed ever-increasing
populations, more cleared land is required foragriculture.
• This results in rapid deforestation in manydeveloping areas that are experiencing strongpopulation pressure.
• This can be a serious problem because the soilsof many tropical rain forests are too poor innutrients to support intensive agriculture.(Students may have prior knowledge of this fact.)
• But in areas where recent volcanic eruptionshave enriched the soils with nutrients, such as inthis part of Indonesia, the soils can supportintensive farming.
• A lot of deforestation in Indonesia is leading tointensive subsistence agriculture, made possibleby soils derived from volcanic ash.
6. List arguments, either for or against the proposition
that subsistence agriculture will continue to play a
significant role in feeding the populations of the
developing world in the 21st century.
Arguments that support the proposition might
include:
• If, by significant role, we mean millions of
people, subsistence agriculture will continue to
feed a significant number of people, although
admittedly an increasingly large proportion of
populations will depend on commerical, surplus-
producing agriculture.
• Entire ways of life—traditional livelihood patterns
such as Asian subsistence rice culture—will not
quickly disappear; cultural and economic
changes do not occur easily.
Arguments against the proposition might include
the following:
• Populations in the developing world are
increasingly dependent on the food surpluses
produced by the developed world.
• Urban expansion will cause a loss of suitable
farm land.
• Soil fertility will become depleted by
deforestation on poor agricultural soils.
8
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 1
• Limitations will be caused by shortages of water
for irrigation—agriculture will face increasing
competition for water from urban, industrial, and
other uses.
• Because populations are moving out of
agriculture and into urban industrial modes of
life, there will be too few subsistence farmers to
feed ever-increasing populations.
• Of the total world population, the proportions of
urban populations are increasing, and rural
(agricultural) populations are decreasing,
meaning that the role of subsistence agriculture
in feeding populations must decrease and the
role of commercial, surplus-producing
agriculture must increase.
9
BackgroundWill subsistence agriculture continue to feed the
billions of people that currently depend upon it?
Unlike the large-scale, surplus-producing, industrial
farmers in the developed countries of North
America and Europe, subsistence farmers produce
only enough to feed themselves and their families.
Subsistence agriculture, which is mainly found in
the developing countries in Asia, Africa, and Latin
America, feeds half of the world’s population. More
important is the fact that the population in the
developing countries is increasing much faster than
it is in the developed countries. Intensive subsis-
tence rice farming supports nearly three billion
people, mostly in Asia. (Much smaller numbers of
people practice other forms of subsistence agricul-
ture, such as shifting cultivation in humid tropical
regions and nomadism in dry regions.) Subsis-
tence ways of life, which are based on ancient
practices far removed from modern technology and
urban industrial livelihood patterns, are disappear-
ing. This investigation will help you speculate
about the role subsistence agriculture will play in
feeding the populations of the developing world in
the 21st century.
ObjectivesIn this investigation, you will
• describe and locate three major types of subsis-
tence agriculture,
• develop expertise about Asian intensive subsis-
tence agriculture,
• interpret NASA satellite imagery to identify
challenges to the survival of intensive subsis-
tence agriculture, and
• debate the future of intensive subsistence
agriculture.
Part 1. Where is subsistence agriculturefound?Imagine that you are a geographer working for the
United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization
(FAO). You are a member of an FAO team as-
signed to investigate the role of intensive subsis-
tence agriculture in the world. You will debate
whether this type of agriculture will continue to
support populations in the developing world in the
21st century.
Module 2, Investigation 1: BriefingIs there a future for subsistence agriculture?
1
Three main types of subsistence agriculture are
a) pastoral nomadism,
b) shifting cultivation, and
c) intensive subsistence.
Describe these types by completing the table for
Log Question 1. In addition to the information in
this activity, you should use atlases and other print
or electronic reference materials to complete the
tables.
Your team should now use the remainder of this
investigation to develop expertise about intensive
subsistence agriculture.
Part 2. How is intensive subsistenceagriculture practiced?Intensive subsistence agriculture maximizes food
production on relatively small fields that are care-
fully cultivated, fertilized, and irrigated. Intensive
subsistence agriculture occupies less than 10 per-
cent of the world’s land area but supports about
half of the world’s population. Intensive subsis-
tence agriculture dominates in regions with large,
densely settled populations, such as India, China,
and Southeast Asia (Figures 2 and 3).
Intensive subsistence agriculture can support large
populations. Families must produce enough food
to survive on very small parcels of land. To ensure
as much food production as possible:
• no land is wasted,
• fertilizer (usually manure) is used,
• double cropping is common,
• the same fields are planted every year,
• livestock are usually not allowed to graze on
land that could be used for crops, and
• little grain is planted for animal feed.
Rice is widely grown by subsistence farmers in much
of Southeast Asia, Southeast China, and East India.
Rice production involves several steps. Farmers use
water buffalo or oxen to plow the field, or paddy. The
paddy is then flooded (Figure 2). Dry seeds are then
scattered through the field, or seedlings are trans-
planted from a nursery (Figure 3). The plants grow
submerged in water for about three-fourths of the
warm, wet growing season, and harvesting is done by
102
hand. This wet rice cultivation must be
done on flat land (like river valleys and
delta regions). As the need for expanded
production rises, many farmers terrace
the hillsides of river valleys to produce
more flat land.
Wet rice cultivation requires a constant
supply of water through irrigation and
drainage. Figure 4 is a Space Shuttle
image of Bangkok, Thailand, showing
the network of canals used for irrigation
for agriculture and domestic water
consumption.
Figure 2: Chinese rice farmer using a hand-operated pump to draw water from a canal
Source: http://www.fao.org/NEWS/FOTOFILE/Ph9716-e.htm, FAO photo by F.
Botts
Figure 4: Space Shuttle photogra-phy of Bangkok, Thailand
In an infrared photograph, the vegetation appears
reddish in hue. In this west-looking view, the city of
almost four million people has a vast network of canals
that are used for irrigation and drainage.
Source: http://images.jsc.nasa.gov/images/pao/STS45/
10064754.htm
Module 2, Investigation 1: BriefingIs there a future for subsistence agriculture?
Figure 3: Indian women farmers transplant-ing rice
Although women produce more than half the food grown globally, in
many countries their nutritional needs are met only after men and
children have had enough.
Source: http://www.fao.org/NEWS/FOTOFILE/PH9737-e.htm, FAO
photo by G. Bizzari
113
Part 3: How is wet rice traditionallycultivated in China?
Farmers in some of the more remote parts of China
(such as Hunan, Jiangxi, Anhui, inland parts of
Fujian and Zhejiang, inland/mountain parts of
Guangdong, Guangxi, Guizhou, and some areas of
Sichuan) still practice traditional wet rice farming.
They plant two crops of rice a year (double-
cropping) where it is warm and wet. In the double-
cropping cycle, farmers
• turn the soil with an iron-tipped wooden plow
pulled by a water buffalo early in March and
August;
• rake the plowed soil smooth, fertilize, and
water the plot (they must keep the water in
the rice field at the proper level as the plants
grow);
• transplant rice seedlings from seedbeds into
the prepared plot from the middle of March
and August (the entire family works in the
field taking seedlings by the bunch and
pushing them into the soft, water-covered
soil, as shown in Figure 3);
• weed the crop in April and September
(weeding is done by hand, and everyone old
enough for such work participates);
• weed and fertilize again in May and October;
• allow the rice to stand to “draw starch” to fill
the hull of the kernels (they let water out of
the fields when the kernels draw enough
starch, and both soil and stalks dry under
the Sun); and
• harvest in late June or early July and in
November; they cut off rice plants a few
inches above the ground with a sickle; then
they separate the rice from the other parts of
the crop (Figure 5), which are used for fuel.
When harvest work is done, farmers begin plowing
for the next crop. They use the slack season of the
rice crop for vegetable gardening. In the hot and
damp period of late spring and summer, they grow
eggplant and several varieties of squash and
beans. After harvesting a crop of vegetables, they
turn the soil and break up the clods with a digging
hoe, and level it with an iron rake to prepare for a
new crop. They weed vegetables constantly, water
with the long handled wooden dipper two or three
times a day, and fertilize often (Yang 1959).
Answer Question 2 on Log.
Module 2, Investigation 1: BriefingIs there a future for subsistence agriculture?
Figure 5: Women winnowing rice inMyanmar
Source: http://www.fao.org/NEWS/FOTOFILE/PH9722-e.htm, FAO
photo by G. Bizzarri
124
Part 4. What are other types of intensivesubsistence agriculture?
In addition to wet rice cultivation, intensive subsis-
tence agriculture also occurs in drier areas where
irrigation is available to provide water for crops
during dry seasons. The land is still fully planted
with a variety of grains and other crops. These
include wheat, barley, oats, corn, sorghum, millet,
soybeans, cotton, hemp, and flax. For example,
intensive subsistence wheat agriculture is found
around the Great Wall of China in a desert region
of north-central China, about 700 kilometers west
of Beijing (Figure 6).
In many wet areas, aquaculture, or fish farming, is
practiced, usually integrated with agriculture
(Figures 7 and 8). Fish provide an important
source of protein. In a world of land and water
scarcity, fish ponds have an advantage over
feedlots in producing low-cost animal protein. In
contrast to meat production, which is concentrated
in industrial countries, some 85 percent of fish
Figure 6: Intensive subsistence wheatagriculture around the Great Wall, north-central China
This radar image, taken on August 3, 1995, shows a segment of the
Great Wall. Most of the image is taken up by rectangular patterns
indicating agricultural development, primarily wheat fields. The Great
Wall appears as a thin orange band, running from the top to the
bottom of the left image. The wall is easily detected from space by
radar because its steep, smooth sides provide a prominent surface for
reflection of the radar beam.
Source: http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/radar/sircxsar/gwall.html
Module 2, Investigation 1: BriefingIs there a future for subsistence agriculture?
Figure 7: Mulberry fields and fish pondsin Jiangsu province in eastern China
Source: http://www.fao.org/NEWS/FOTOFILE/PH9811-e.htm,
FAO photo by H. Zhang
Figure 8: Indian workers harvest carpraised in an inland aquaculture pond
Source: http://www.fao.org/NEWS/FOTOFILE/ph9711-e.htm, FAO
photo by I. de Borhegyi
135
farming is in developing countries. China, where
fish farming began more than 3,000 years ago,
accounted for 21 million tons of the 31 million tons
of world aquaculture output in 1998. India was a
distant second with 2 million tons. Other developing
countries with large aquaculture production include
Bangladesh, Indonesia, and Thailand (Brown
2000).
Complete Question 3 on the Log.
Part 5. What are the challenges to inten-sive subsistence agriculture in the 21stcentury?
This investigation began by posing the question of
whether intensive subsistence agriculture will
continue in the 21st century. The answer to this
question may depend upon current and future
challenges to this form of agriculture. Examine
Figure 9 for clues to one important challenge to
subsistence agriculture, and write your observa-
tions on the Log at Question 4.
To consider another challenge to intensive subsis-
tence agriculture, study the image in Figure 10,
which shows an area in the southern part of
Borneo, in Indonesia, and record your observations
in the Log at Question 5.
Module 2, Investigation 1: BriefingIs there a future for subsistence agriculture?
Figure 9: Urban expansion of Beijing,China, over 15 years, as seen by thegrowth of the area in light blue color,which is the signature of concrete inthe infrared image
Source: http://see.gsfc.nasa.gov/edu/SEES/globa/class/
Chap_8/8_Js/8-03.jpg
Beijing, China, LANDSAT scene 123/32Data extract is 35 kilometers wide
26 Oct 1976
MSS
03 Oct 1984
MSS
16 May 1991
TM
146
Module 2, Investigation 1: BriefingIs there a future for subsistence agriculture?
Now that you have completed a basic investigation
of intensive subsistence agriculture, your team
should:
• Brainstorm arguments either for or against the
proposition that intensive subsistence agriculture
will continue to play a significant role in feeding
the populations of the developing world.
• List these arguments on your Log at Question 6.
• You can use these arguments in a debate on the
proposition.
Figure 10: Space Shuttle view of aportion of the Kalimantan region insouthern Borneo, Indonesia, (3.5S,113.5E) taken in September, 1991
Source: http://images.jsc.nasa.gov/images/pao/STS48/
10065058.htm
ReferencesBrown, Lester R. 2000. Fish farming may soon overtake
cattle ranching as a food source. Worldwatch Institute
Alert 2000-9.
Conklin, H.C. Hanunoo agriculture, FAO Forestry Develop-
ment Paper No. 12. In Getis, Getis, Fellmann. 1995.
Human geography. Landscapes of human activities.
Fourth Edition. Wm. C. Brown Publishers, Dubuque,
Iowa, page 261.
Yang, C.K. A Chinese village in early communist transition.
Cambridge, Massachusetts: Massachusetts Institute of
Technology, 1959. In Getis, Getis, Fellmann. 1995.
Human geography. Landscapes of human activities.
Fourth Edition. Wm. C. Brown Publishers, Dubuque,
Iowa, page 263.
157
Module 2, Investigation 1: LogIs there a future for subsistence agriculture?
1. Use individual or group research to complete the table below.
Characteristic PastoralNomadism
ShiftingCultivation
IntensiveSubsistence
3 countries
representative of
type
Climate
Percentage of
world land area
covered
Population
density (high,
medium, or low)
Percentage of
world population
supported
Output per unit
area (high,
medium, or low)
Output per unit of
human effort
(high, medium, or
low)
Other
1)
2)
3)
1)
2)
3)
1)
2)
3)
168
Fig
ure
1: W
orl
d a
gri
cult
ura
l pra
ctic
es m
ap
Mod
ule
2, In
vest
igat
ion
1: L
ogIs
ther
e a
futu
re fo
r sub
sist
ence
agr
icul
ture
?
179
Module 2, Investigation 1: LogIs there a future for subsistence agriculture?
2. On the timeline below, write in the annual activities of traditional wet rice double-cropping in China.
Write the steps for crop #1 on the left and for crop #2 on the right.
3. Identify six important features of intensive subsistence agriculture on your own as you read the Briefing.
1)
2)
3)
4)
5)
6)
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
1810
Module 2, Investigation 1: LogIs there a future for subsistence agriculture?
4. Using the information on Figure 9, provide a quantitative description of the changes over the 15-year
period shown by the three images. How do these changes challenge subsistence agriculture?
5. What do you think is shown in Figure 10, and how might this be related to intensive subsistence
agriculture?
6. List three arguments, either for or against the proposition that subsistence agriculture will continue to
play a significant role in feeding the populations of the developing world in the 21st century.
1
What is industrialagriculture?Investigation OverviewThis investigation focuses on the
high-energy- and technology-using
system of commercial agriculture in the
developed, industrialized world. Students
investigate industrial agriculture as a system of
inputs and outputs, compare it to subsistence agriculture, examine its
effects on human and physical landscapes, and consider how changes in
technology are transforming the way it operates. A debate or forum
about industrial agriculture enables students to argue its advantages and
disadvantages and discuss the ability of agriculture to support future
populations without degrading the environment.
Time required:
Introduction and Part 1: One or two 45-minute sessions
Part 2: One or two 45-minute sessions
Parts 3 and 4: One or two 45-minute sessions
Part 5: One or two 45-minute sessions
MaterialsInvestigation Briefing and Log, one for each student
Computer with CD-ROM drive. The Mission Geography CD-ROM
contains color graphics needed for this activity.
Content PreviewIndustrial agriculture, which is typified by the highly productive commer-
cial agricultural system in the United States, is important to understand
because it produces most of the world’s food and fiber. But there are two
major issues: (1) because it relies on fossil fuels, which are nonrenew-
able resources, its ability to support world populations in the long run is
problematic, and (2) because it sometimes produces serious environ-
mental degradation, it may not be sustainable. Whether or not technol-
ogy can solve these problems is an open question.
Classroom ProceduresBeginning the Investigation1. The first sentence of the Briefing asks: “Where did your last meal
come from?”
• Ask if it came from subsistence agriculture, which students may
have studied previously in this module.
• Ask for student responses to initiate discussion.
• Then say that this investigation will help them understand the type
of agriculture that provides the food they eat.
Geography Standards
Standard 1: The World inSpatial Terms
How to use maps and other geo-graphic representations, tools, andtechnologies to acquire, process,and report information
• Produce and interpret maps and other
graphic representations to solve
geographic problems.
Standard 14: Environmentand Society
How human actions modify thephysical environment
• Evaluate the ways in which technology
has expanded the human capacity to
modify the physical environment.
• Explain the global impacts of human
changes in the physical environment.
• Develop possible solutions to sce-
narios of environmental change
induced by human modification of the
physical environment.
Standard 18: Uses ofGeography
How to apply geography to inter-pret the present and plan for thefuture
• Develop policies that are designed to
guide the use and management of
Earth’s resources and that reflect
multiple points of view.
Geography SkillsSkill Set 3: Organizing GeographicInformation
• Select and design appropriate forms
of graphs, diagrams, tables, and
charts.
Skill Set 4: Analyzing GeographicInformation
• Make inferences and draw conclu-
sions from maps and other geo-
graphic representations.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 2
2
Alternative: This will take more time than #1
above.
The first sentence of the Briefing asks: “Where did
your last meal come from?” Have students
• list what they ate and drank for breakfast, lunch,
dinner, and snacks in one day;
• list the places of origin of each of those foods
and beverages by both interviewing managers at
stores and supermarkets and reading labels (A
Big Mac, a pizza, a mocha latte, and a banana
split have many ingredients and therefore many
places of origin.);
• collate the information for the class as a whole
into two lists: foods and places of origin of
foods; and
• mark the places of origin on a world map.
Focus class discussion on
• popularity of types of foods;
• spatial distributions and patterns of places of
origins of foods;
• speculations about how various foods are
produced, including any common elements of
agricultural production; and
• any problems or issues regarding agriculture
that students may know about.
Developing the Investigation2. Hand out copies of the Briefing and Log to each
student or to small groups of students.
• Students can work on this activity individually,
but it is recommended that they work in small
groups—pairs or triads are especially recom-
mended.
• You may wish to form groups to take sides in a
debate or in a forum, as suggested in Conclud-
ing the Investigation, #12 below.
3. Leaf through the materials with the students and
point out:
• the underlined questions to be answered on the
Log at the end of the materials (the answers to
the questions are found at the end of this
Educator’s Guide) and
• a schedule for completing the questions.
4. Have students read the Background and Objec-tives sections and then take any questions they
may have.
5. Set students working through the Briefing, begin-
ning with Part 1. How productive is industrialagriculture? which looks at the output of industrial
agriculture; Part 3 will look at the input side of the
system. Emphasize the importance of
• carefully studying and discussing the tables and
figures, including the satellite images;
• working on group answers to the Log questions;
and
• graphing the data from the 3 tables in Part 1—
graphing helps students grasp the relationships
and trends portrayed in the tables.
6. To monitor progress and to keep students moving
through the Briefing at roughly the same pace, ask
students to give their interpretations and examples of
• key concepts (e.g., input-output system, produc-
tion, productivity, landscape patterns, calorie
comparisons, sustainability, precision agricul-
ture, etc.),
• the satellite images, and/or
• use the Log questions (or other questions) to
generate class discussion.
7. The purpose of Part 2: What do the landscapesof industrial agriculture look like? is to help
students practice skills of satellite image interpreta-
tion and to learn that industrial agriculture is an
important geographic phenomenon because it
• creates many different landscape patterns on
Earth’s surface,
• transforms physical landscapes into human
landscapes, and
• varies from place to place because of environ-
mental and human differences.
Tell students that a geographic landscape can have
both physical and human characteristics.
8. Part 3: What inputs does industrial agriculturerequire? deals with the input side of the input-
output system.
• It helps students understand why industrial
agriculture is so productive, but
• it distinguishes different kinds of productivity—
those based primarily on labor inputs and those
based primarily on energy inputs from fossil
fuels.
9. Students may need assistance understanding
some of the arguments presented. For example:
• Eisenberg, quoted in Part 4: What problemsdoes industrial agriculture create? is criticiz-
ing industrial agriculture for its negative environ-
mental effects.
• Students should understand that industrial
agriculture requires inputs, such as fertilizer and
herbicides that can damage the environment if
they are misused.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 2
3
• Although these practices can produce large
amounts of food and fiber in the short run, they
also have the potential to produce serious
environmental effects in the long run.
• Technological changes may have unintendedconsequences. For example, contaminated
water supplies may be an unintended negative
consequence of using chemical fertilizers to
increase production.
10. Of course, technological changes may, in turn, also
help address unintended negative consequences—
they may solve some of the negative environmental
effects of industrial agriculture. One such change
is the use of remote sensing for precision agricul-ture, which is presented in Part 5: How areimprovements in technology reshaping indus-trial agriculture? Precision agriculture is a
concept that students (especially urban students)
may find difficult.
• You may need to help students interpret the
images of agricultural landscapes.
• Students should understand that agricultural
fields are rarely uniform and therefore are not
uniformly productive.
• Fields will often have areas that are wet and dry,
high and low, salty and less salty, clayey and
sandy, and the like.
• Remote sensing and precision agriculture assist
in tailoring the appropriate amount of seed,
fertilizer, water, herbicides, and pesticides
needed to increase the productivity on small,
nonuniform areas within the larger fields.
• Such precision allows for better estimates of
inputs and outputs.
• Precision agriculture can also reduce negative
environmental effects, e.g., the use of too much
fertilizer, which can contaminate ground water.
11. At the end of Part 5, students compare the informa-
tion given on two images—one a black and white
land use map (Figure 9) and the other a color
enhanced satellite image (Figure 10).
• They are asked (Question 14) about how the
information available from the two images differs
and how the “new” information from the satellite
image might help them in farming this area in
North Dakota.
• The key to Question 14 offers a range of appro-
priate changes that students might offer.
Concluding the Investigation12. Organize a debate or a forum about industrial
agriculture. For example:
• What are the advantages and disadvantages
(“pros” and “cons”) of industrial agriculture?
• Will industrial agriculture be able to feed future
populations? Why?
• Is industrial agriculture environmentally sustain-
able? Why?
• To support their positions in a debate or discus-
sion, students should bring in new information to
supplement the data in this activity. For ex-
ample, perspectives favoring industrial agricul-
ture may be found on web-sites for Cargill (http:/
/www.cargill.com) and ADM (http://
www.admworld.com).
• Have students write statements that they believe
would represent the positions of key parties in
the debates about industrial agriculture, and
then have them use these statements in a
dialog/round-table. Examples of roles could be
a gene scientist working for Genentech, an ADM
executive, a World Wildlife Fund representative,
an official of the United Nations Food and
Agriculture Organization (FAO), and the Secre-
tary of the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
13. Have students create a graphic organizer summa-
rizing the inputs and outputs of industrial agricul-
ture. Use the space in the Log for Question 16.
14. Have students role-play an international panel of
experts charged with making policy recommenda-
tions for the improvement of industrial agriculture.
15. Debrief the investigation by discussing the Logs.
You may wish to use the Objectives listed at the
beginning of the Briefing to organize the debriefing.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 2
4
EvaluationLog1. Complete a graph of the data given in Table 1.
What do these data tell you about agricultural
trends?
Because of the dramatic increases in the productivity offarm labor, fewer and fewer farmers have producedmore and more food. Productivity rose very little from1900 to 1950 but made large gains from 1950 to 2000.
2. Graph the data in Table 2. What do these data tell
you about agricultural trends?
There is actually less cropland per person devoted tograin crops today than there was in 1950, but cropproductivity and production have increased. The mostrapid rates of increase occurred in the period 1960 to1980. Since then, production rate increases appear tobe less rapid.
3. Graph the data given in Table 3. What do these
data tell you about agricultural trends?
The graph shows that the size of farms has increasedwhile the number of farms has decreased. Decreasesin the number of farms appear to have been most rapidin the period from 1950 to 1970. The number de-creased very little from 1980 to 1990.
4. Agriculture was described as an input-output
system. Write down three other examples of an
input-output system and explain your examples.
Examples abound, including
• manufacturing, fishing, mining, lumbering;• education, health care, Social Security, national
defense; and• a bicycle, a car, computer, bank account,
interest-bearing savings account, etc.
5. Explain the difference between “production” and
“productivity” using examples that are not found in
these materials.
Production: amount of output (“product”) of asystem, e.g., the number of pounds of beef pro-duced last year in Nebraska, number of tons of fishcaught by the fleet in Alaska in 1999, etc.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 2
2000199019801950 1960 1970
0.40
0.35
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
2000
1750
1500
1250
1000
750
500
250Gra
in P
roduction (
mill
ion o
f m
etr
ic t
ons)
Area of Grain CroplandGrain Production
Are
a o
f Gra
in C
ropla
nd (h
ecta
res p
er p
ers
on)
1990198019701940 1950 1960
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
Num
ber
of F
arm
s (
mill
ions)
Average Size of FarmsNumber of Farms
Avera
ge S
ize (a
cre
s)
20001900
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
19801920 1940 1960
Avera
ge N
o.
of
People
Fed b
y
One U
.S. F
arm
er
Year
5
Productivity: ratio of input to output, or amount ofoutput per amount of input, e.g., 20 loaves of bread(the output) was produced with one hour of labor(an input) is a measure of productivity of labor; totalcosts of mining a ton of iron ore; etc.
6. Describe the trends in industrial agricultural pro-
duction and productivity in the 20th century.
• An American farmer fed seven people in 1900and 96 people in 1999.
• In 1920, about 30 percent of Americans werefarmers, but by 1990 only 2 percent farmed.
• Grain production expanded five times as muchsince 1900 as during the preceding 10,000years.
• From 1950 to 1989, the amount of grain crop-land in the world fell from 0.23 to 0.14 hectaresper person, yet the amount of grain productionrose from 650 to 1,700 million metric tons.
7. In Part 2: What do the landscapes of industrialagriculture look like? you were shown satellite
images of only a few examples of these land-
scapes. Write down two more examples of differ-
ent landscapes of industrial agriculture that you
have personally seen.
Examples abound:
• feed lots for hogs and cattle;• intensive vegetable production, such as pota-
toes, carrots, lettuce, onions, etc.;• intensive fruit and flower production, such as
oranges, apples, cherries, peaches, carnations,roses, etc.;
• packing houses, bakeries, and other industrialbuildings to process food and other agriculturalproducts;
• sheds for mass production of chickens, turkeys,and eggs; and
• grain elevators, bins, warehouses, railroad,truck, and port facilities for storage and shippingof agricultural products.
8. What are the characteristics of industrial agricul-
ture? In other words, what do all the examples of
this type of agriculture have in common? List as
many characteristics as you can:
• monocropping (only one crop per field)• use of manufactured fertilizers, herbicides, and
pesticides• use of hybrid or genetically altered seeds• use of specialized machinery: tractors, com-
bines, cultivators, seeders, pickers, balers,dryers, etc.
• use of irrigation (although some products ofindustrial agriculture are not irrigated, thetendency to irrigate has grown rapidly)
• all or nearly all of the product is distributed greatdistances and sold in specialized markets
9. What natural resource is used to make fertilizers,
pesticides, and farm machinery? List three other
agricultural inputs that come from this natural
resource.
Fossil fuels, particularly petroleum and natural gas,are used to make fertilizers, pesticides, and farmmachinery. Other inputs dependent on petroleumor natural gas include:• fuel to run farm machinery, such as tractors,
combines, irrigation pumps, and grain dryers;• fuel to run trucks, trains, and ships that distribute
the inputs to the farmer and the outputs to theconsumer; and
• energy used to process, package, and marketagricultural products.
10. Do you think the increasing use of fertilizer in
industrial agriculture is a practice that can be
sustained in the future? Why?
This question, which raises the fundamentalconcern of sustainability, requires more criticalthought than a yes or no answer. Sustainability is acontested term, but generally it is understood todenote a practice that does not unduly degradehuman and physical systems and will last into thefuture. The increasing use of energy-basedfertilizer will put a strain on the available sources offossil fuels. Unlike renewable resources such ashydroelectric, wind, and solar power, fossil fuels arefinite or nonrenewable resources. Also, fertilizeruse can have negative effects on soil and watersupplies. Therefore, it is possible to conclude thatthis is not a sustainable practice in the long-termfuture. On the other hand, improvements intechnology have contributed to better methods ofextracting fossil fuels without skyrocketing priceincreases. It is also possible to argue that technol-ogy will continually improve to meet demand, suchas by finding new ways to extract fossil fuels,finding alternative ways of producing and/orapplying fertilizers, and producing altered seedsthat require less fertilizer.
11. By what measure is “traditional” agriculture more
productive than industrial agriculture? By what
measure is industrial agriculture more productive
than traditional agriculture?
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 2
6
Traditional agriculture is more productive thanindustrial agriculture as measured by the inputsand outputs of energy measured in calories.Industrial agriculture is more productive thantraditional agriculture as measured by the input ofhuman labor. Industrial agriculture substitutesfossil fuels energy for labor.
12. What trends do you see in the amount of money
spent (expenditures) on agricultural production in
the United States? What is your evidence? Do
these data enable us to conclude anything about
changes in productivity? Why or why not?
Expenditures on fertilizer, labor, and (animal) feedin U.S. agricultural production from 1992 to 1997were increasing, according to the U.S. Departmentof Agriculture (Figure 6). These data only allow usto conclude that expenditures on these items roseduring that period. We would need to comparethese expenditures on inputs with production data(outputs) in order to make conclusions aboutchanges in productivity.
13. From the quote from Eisenberg and other informa-
tion you have gathered, list what, in your opinion,
may be the three biggest problems of industrial
agriculture and support your choices.
Students may list any three reasonable concerns,including the following, but be sure they supporttheir choices:• soil erosion,• contamination of water by agricultural chemicals
and waste products,• dependence on nonrenewable fossil fuels,• depletion of water supplies by increasing irriga-
tion,• silting of reservoirs,• salinization of soil from improper irrigation, and• contamination of food by agricultural chemicals
and waste products.
14. What information can you get from remote sensing,
and how would this information help you if you
were a farmer? Examine the satellite image in
Figure 10. What changes would you make on your
plot of land? Why?
Remote sensing provides detailed informationabout where crops are located, as well as how theyare developing. Farmers can use these images todetermine the location of wet spots, soil erosion,and wind damage that affect crop productivity.Remote sensing and precision agriculture help thefarmer to accurately determine how much water,seed, fertilizer, herbicide, and pesticide is requiredfor specific plots within a large field. Precisionagriculture allows farmers to be more precise in
their use of inputs, thereby decreasing costs andreducing possible environmental damage.
Students should consider recultivating andrefertilizing the areas that were accidentallyskipped. Additionally, the drown-out should betreated to increase the yield of sugar beets. Finally,there is a large planter skip in the sugar beets thatshould be replanted. It is likely that this would nothave been detected visually until later in theplanting cycle. By acting on this new information,the farmer could increase the yield of sugar beets.
15. How might the new technologies of remote sensing
and precision agriculture help solve three of the
problems of industrial agriculture that are men-
tioned in Part 4. What problems does industrialagriculture create?• Soil erosion might be reduced by identification of
eroding spots and reduction of overwatering.• Contamination of water by agricultural chemicals
and waste products might be reduced by appli-cation of only as much chemicals as needed sochemicals will not run off into water supplies.
• Depletion of water supplies by increasingirrigation might be reduced by precise applica-tion of water to eliminate overuse of water.
• Salinization of soil might be reduced by preciseapplication of irrigation water so that salt depos-its do not develop.
16. Create a graphic organizer to illustrate an input-
output model of industrial agriculture.
Students should create models similar to theexample below, but students should be given theflexibility to illustrate their understanding in a varietyof ways. Be sure that students understand and canappropriately use the concept of input-output in thecontext of agricultural production.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 2
Industrial
Agriculture
Inputs Outputs
7
BackgroundWhere did your last meal come from? It was
probably produced by industrial agriculture, a high-
energy and technology-using system of commercial
agriculture that spans the globe. (The term “indus-
trial” is used because it is associated with industri-
alized countries in Europe and North America
rather than with the traditional low-energy and low-
technology subsistence agriculture of Asia, Africa,
and Latin America.) Industrial agriculture is the
dominant type of agriculture in Europe and North
America. It is also found in other countries such as
Japan, Australia, South Africa, Argentina, and
southern Brazil. It is especially associated with
agriculture in the United States. Even some
developing countries have small segments of this
type of agriculture, often found alongside traditional
forms of subsistence agriculture.
Found in a variety of physical environments,
industrial agriculture creates a variety of land-
scapes. It is highly productive when measured in
terms of labor—a single worker can produce food
and fiber (such as cotton) for large numbers of
people. Industrial agriculture is responsible for
large gains in food and fiber output, but it requires
a host of costly inputs that may cause environmen-
tal problems. In this activity, you will investigate
industrial agriculture as a system of inputs and
outputs. You will also examine the effect of this
system on human and physical landscapes, and
consider how changes in technology are transform-
ing the way this system operates. Finally, you will
debate the pros and cons of industrial agriculture.
ObjectivesIn this activity you will
• describe and explain the productivity of industrial
agriculture,
• use satellite imagery to interpret landscapes
created by industrial agriculture,
• explain industrial agriculture as an input-output
system,
• discuss environmental problems associated with
industrial agriculture, and
• explain how remote sensing and precision
agriculture are being used to increase agricul-
tural efficiency and reduce environmental
problems.
1
Part 1: How productive is industrialagriculture?Agriculture can be thought of as an input-output
system. Farmers must put land, labor, and materi-
als into the system in order to derive outputs, or
farm products, from the system. The term produc-
tion refers to the total amount of output from a
given enterprise (e.g., Jones’ farm produced
10,000 bushels of wheat last year). Productivity,
on the other hand, refers to the amount of output
(e.g., 40 bushels of wheat produced) per amount of
input (e.g., hectare of land). Generally, farmers try
to increase productivity by reducing inputs and/or
increasing outputs. Industrial agriculture has been
highly successful at increasing productivity, as the
following passage illustrates:
When [the 20th] century began, each
American farmer produced enough food to feed
seven other people in the United States and
abroad. Today [1999], a U.S. farmer feeds 96
people [Table 1*]. Staggering gains in agricul-
tural productivity in the United States and
elsewhere have underpinned the emergence of
the modern world as we know it. Just as the
discovery of agriculture itself set the stage for the
emergence of early civilization, these gains in
agricultural productivity have facilitated the
emergence of our modern global civilization.
This has been a revolutionary century for
world agriculture. Draft animals have largely
been replaced by tractors; traditional varieties of
corn, wheat, and rice have given way to high-
yielding varieties; and the world irrigated area
has multiplied sixfold since 1900. The use of
chemical fertilizers—virtually unheard of in
1900—now accounts for an estimated 40
percent of world grain production.
Technological advances have tripled the
productivity of world cropland during this century.
They have helped expand the world grain harvest
from less than 400 million tons in 1900 to nearly
1.9 billion tons in 1998. Indeed, farmers have
expanded grain production five times as much
since 1900 as during the preceding 10,000 years
since agriculture began (Brown 1999: 115).
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
*Of course, one farmer does not feed 96 people all by
himself. He or she has a lot of help from the fertilizer producer,
fuel dealer, machinery builder, seed geneticist, veterinarian,
grain elevator operator, truck driver, and others who work to
support industrial agriculture.
82
Throughout this investigation, you will find ques-
tions that you should answer on the Log. The first
asks you to graph the data given in Table 1. What
do these data tell you about agricultural trends?
The key reason that industrial agricultural systems
use genetically improved seeds, pesticides,
herbicides, fertilizers, and often irrigation is that
they increase output. Since World War II, U.S.
farmers have more than doubled the total produc-
tion of grain crops (Table 2). These major grain
crops include wheat, rice, corn, oats, and barley.
Two-thirds of the world’s croplands are planted in
cereal grains that are a critical resource for feeding
human and animal populations (Brown 1987).
On the Log at #2, graph the data given in Table 2.
What do these data tell you about agricultural
trends?
Industrial agriculture has been called
“agribusiness” because of the large size of farms
and the large inputs of money required to run these
systems. Because hundreds of thousands of
dollars must be invested in today’s “corporate”
farms, the small, family-owned and operated farm
has difficulty competing and thus is in rapid decline
(Table 3).
On the Log at #3, graph the data in Table 3. What
do these data tell you about agricultural trends?
It is the nature of commercial, as opposed to
subsistence, agriculture to produce surpluses for
sale. In some countries, industrial agriculture
produces huge surpluses, which are exported to
other countries. These surpluses have great
economic importance. For example, grain sur-
pluses are vital in world trade, and wheat is the
most important grain traded. In fact, wheat is
second only to petroleum in terms of world trade
value. Five surplus-producing entities account for
90 percent of the world’s grain exports: the United
States, Canada, Argentina, Australia, and the
European Union (mainly France). The United
States exports one-third of all the wheat in world
trade, half of all coarse grains (those used mainly
for livestock feed—barley, oats, corn, millet,
sorghum), and is the world’s greatest exporter of
rice. Distribution is even more concentrated. Just
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
Table 3: Number and size of U.S. farms
Sources: Seitz 1995
YearNumber of
Farms(millions)
Average Size(acres)
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
6.4
5.6
4.0
2.9
2.4
2.1
170
210
300
370
430
460
Table 1: Number of people for whomfood was produced by each U.S.farm worker
Number of people
7
10
11
15
23
78
96
Year
1900
1930
1940
1950
1957
1981
1999
Sources: Seitz 1995; Brown 1999
Table 2: World grain production and areaof grain cropland per person, 1950-2000
Year
Sources: Brown 1987; 1989 (data for 1990 and 2000 are
estimated) *1 hectare = 2.471 acres
GrainProduction(millions ofmetric tons)
650
800
1,200
1,550
1,800
1,900
Area of GrainCropland
(hectares* perperson)
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
0.23
0.21
0.18
0.16
0.14
0.12
93
five privately-owned corporations control 85
percent of U.S. grain exports, 80 percent of
Argentina’s wheat exports, 90 percent of Australia’s
sorghum, and 90 percent of all wheat and corn
from the European Union. Of the five multinational
corporations—Cargill, Continental, Bunge and
Born, Louis Dreyfus, and Andre Carnac—only
Cargill began in the United States. The others
started in Europe in the 19th century. These
international giants have interests in banks, rail-
roads, shipping, and insurance as well as in
agriculture (Marshall 1991).
Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), another
U.S.-based agribusiness, have far-flung operations.
For example, Cargill markets, processes, and
distributes products at locations in 60 countries
(http://www.cargill.com). ADM’s worldwide trans-
portation network, which includes 13,000 railcars,
2,250 barges, and 1,200 trucks, links over 205
domestic and internationally based plants to
process cereal grains and oilseeds into many
products used for food, beverages, and animal
feed markets worldwide <http://
www.admworld.com>.
Answer questions 4, 5, and 6 in the Log.
Part 2. What do the landscapes ofindustrial agriculture look like?Industrial agriculture creates many different land-
scapes, including dry land cereal farming, beef
feed lots, apple orchards, and irrigated rice fields,
to name only a few. Consider, for example, a
landscape of corn and wheat near Dodge City,
Kansas (Figure 1).
Figure 1: Arkansas River and DodgeCity, Kansas, October 1995
Thousands of farm fields along the Arkansas River in western
Kansas are featured in this photograph. The Arkansas River is
observable as the dark line in the center of the picture. Dodge
City (left center), a distribution center in this wheat and
livestock area, also produces agricultural implements and
supplies. How do you think all those circles were made?
Source: http://earth.jsc.nasa.gov/
photoinfo.cgi?PHOTO=STS073-704-092
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
Figure 2: Center-pivot irrigation insouth-central Nebraska (1986)
Source: http://www-geoimages. berkeley.edu/
GeoImages/Starrs/CENPIVOT.html
104
As with many human traces on the landscape,
industrial agriculture typically produces regular-
looking patterns, which are readily observed and
interpreted from above with satellite imagery. In
the landscapes in Figures 1 and 2, the patterns are
rectangles and circles. Rectangular crop fields
derive from the land survey system in this part of
the United States—the system of townships and
ranges based on longitude and latitude. The
rectangles in this image are wheat fields, which are
probably not irrigated. However, superimposed on
this essentially rectangular system are very large
circles. What are they?
The large, field-sized circles are formed by a
special technology called center-pivot or circlemethod irrigation. The center-pivot
machine has a large arm, supported
by wheels, that sprays water as it
rotates around a center pivot. Water
is pumped up to the surface from a
large underground aquifer (called the
Ogallala Aquifer, which underlies
much of the Great Plains of the
United States) and distributed onto
the crops in a large circle. Corn and
alfalfa, crops that require more water
than wheat, are growing in these
circular fields. Figure 3 shows a
center-pivot rig watering alfalfa.
Irrigated farming produces more per
acre than nonirrigated farming, but it
also costs more. Center-pivot irriga-
tion uses water more efficiently than
does flood irrigation, but it requires
more energy inputs. Energy, in the
form of gasoline or diesel fuel, is
required to run the pumps and
engines that drive these machines.
Currently, heavy pumping is lowering
the water table of the Ogallala
aquifer. The lower it gets, the more energy is
needed to pump the water to the surface.
Industrial agriculture includes both irrigated and
nonirrigated, or dry land, farms. In dry regions such
as the Great Plains of the United States, the
availability of water for irrigation is vital to high
levels of production of crops and livestock. To
Figure 3: Center-pivot irrigation
Source: http://clay.agr.okstate.edu/alfalfa/images/water/irrig-
02.htm
Figure 4: Lake Texoma, Okla-homa, and Texas
Source: http://earth.jsc.nasa.gov/
photoinfo.cgi?PHOTO=STS068-247-079
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
115
ensure supplies of water, large dam projects are
often associated with agricultural landscapes
(Figure 4).
Lake Texoma (Figure 4) was created when the
Denison Dam was built on the Red River between
Oklahoma and Texas. The dam serves the region
as a source of hydroelectricity, irrigation water, and
recreation. A number of cities can be seen in this
photograph, including the city of Durant, Okla-
homa, a commercial and processing center for
agricultural products including peanuts, winter
wheat, cotton, and cattle. As with the previous
satellite images, you can see here how industrial
agriculture has left its imprint on the physical
landscape.
Industrial agriculture is not just recognizable as
corn and wheat fields utilizing center-pivot irriga-
tion. Rice production in the United States, for
example, leaves a distinct geographic landscape.
Figure 5 is a photograph of land leveled into
terraces for rice production in California.
Rice production in California is highly mechanized,
requiring only about four hours of labor per acre. In
contrast, nonmechanized rice production in much
of Asia and Africa requires more than 300 hours of
labor per acre. Mechanization includes laser
technology to precision-level rice land and estab-
lish field grades, large tractors, and heavy-duty
implements to prepare seedbeds, and combines
with half or full tracks for harvesting in muddy soils.
Aircraft are used for seeding, pest control, and
some fertilization.
Figure 5 shows terraces precisely leveled by laser
technology, which allows for the maintenance of a
uniform water depth within the basin to improve rice
production. Precision leveling also improves water-
use efficiency. Following the adoption of laser-
leveling technology in the late 1970s, more than
90 percent of California rice land was precision-
leveled (Hill et al. 2000). As with the previous
images of industrial agriculture, rice production in
the United States combines a variety of energy-
intensive techniques and leaves a specific type of
landscape observable from above.
Answer questions 7 and 8 in the Log.
Part 3: What inputs does industrialagriculture require?The tremendous gains in the productivity of indus-
trial grain agriculture in the 20th century were built
on five technologies, four of which were available
before 1900 (Brown 1999):
• irrigation, which goes back several thousand
years;
• chemical fertilizer, based upon the work of a
German chemist in 1847;
• plant breeding, from Gregor Mendel’s discovery
of the principles of genetics in the 1860s;
• short-strawed wheats and rices, from Japanese
success dwarfing cereals in the 1880s; and
Figure 5: Land levelingfor California rice pro-duction
Source: http://agronomy.ucdavis.edu/
uccerice/PRODUCT/rpic03.htm
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
126
• hybrid corn, from development in 1917 at the
University of Connecticut.
One should add to this list the application of huge
amounts of energy, especially petroleum, which is
needed to
• manufacture, transport, and operate farm
machinery;
• build and operate irrigation systems;
• manufacture, transport, and apply pesticides
and herbicides;
• mine, manufacture, and transport fertilizers; and
• process, package, transport, and
display food.
How have farmers increased their yield in
grain crops while utilizing less agricultural
area (Table 2)? Agricultural systems use
a variety of inputs to improve their yield.
One of the most important inputs to
industrial agriculture is fertilizer produced
from petroleum. Table 4 documents the
amount of fertilizer use throughout the
world.
Changes in the use of fossil fuels and
other energy inputs in agriculture over
time are shown in Table 5.
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
Table 6: Calories* of energy used to produce 1 calorie of food invarious food production systems
* A measure of heat energy, 1 calorie will raise 1 gram of water 1 degree Celsius.
Source: Adapted from Paul R. Ehrlich et al. 1977. Ecoscience: Population, Resources, Environment,p. 349. W. H. Freeman and Company
Calories Traditional Agriculture Industrial Agriculture
10-20
5-10
2-5
1-2
0.5-1
0.2-0.5
0.1-0.2
0.05-0.1
0.02-0.05
Coastal fishing
Low-intensity eggs
Range-fed beef
Low-intensity corn, peanuts
Wet rice
Wet rice
Ocean fishing
Feedlot beef
Intensive eggs
Modern milk from grass-fed cows
Intensive soybeans and peanuts
Intensive corn
Intensive wheat, potatoes
Intensive rice
Table 5: Energy use in world agriculture(millions of barrels of oil)
Notes: *Fuel = fuel for tractors and other farm machines, including irrigation
equipment. **Other = energy used to (1) synthesize pesticides and
herbicides, (2) manufacture farm machinery, (3) apply fertilizer, and (4) dry
grain. Figures are estimates because no reliable data exist.
Source: Brown 1987
Year Fuel* FertilizerManufacture
1950
1960
1970
1980
1985
160
321
498
789
940
70
133
310
552
646
Other **
46
91
162
268
317
Sources: Brown 1987; 1997; 1999
Table 4: World fertilizer use, 1950-1995
Year Millions ofMetric Tons
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
1995
14
27
63
112
140
120
137
The high productivity of labor in industrial agriculture
(Table 1) is made possible by the application of huge
amounts of energy. In traditional, or subsistence,
agriculture, the amount of energy used is small
compared to the yield, but in industrial agriculture,
more energy is expended than produced (Table 6).
For example, to produce and deliver to a U.S.
consumer one can of corn that has 270 calories in
it, a total of about 2,800 calories of energy must be
used. And to produce about 4 ounces of beefsteak,
which also provides about 270 calories, takes
22,000 calories of energy (Seitz 1995).
Thus, we can say that in terms of labor inputs,
industrial agriculture is highly productive, but in
terms of energy inputs, it is not. Because of this,
Barbara Ward was led to remark:
The high-energy U.S. food system is one reason
why the United States, for 5 percent of the
world’s people, is now consuming nearly 40
percent of its nonrenewable resources (Ward
1979: 92).
The use of various inputs in industrial farming
assures that fluctuations in prices affect the amount
of money spent on these inputs. Figure 6 is a listing
of costs for three farm inputs from 1992-1997.
Answer Questions 9-12 in the Log.
Part 4. What problems does industrialagriculture create?
In the following passage from a prominent maga-
zine, one critic suggests some of the problems with
industrial agriculture as it was practiced in the
United States during the 20th century.
A third of [U.S.] farmland topsoil, accumulated
over millennia, [has been lost in the last century].
For every bushel of corn that Iowa grows, it sheds
at least two bushels of soil. Farm runoff is . . . poi-
soning our drinking water . . . In 1948, at the dawn
of the chemical age, American farmers used 15 mil-
lion pounds of insecticides and lost 7 percent of
their crops to insects; today they use 125 million
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
Figure 6: U.S. production expenditures for commercialagriculture, 1992-97
Source: USDA http://www.usda.gov/
148
pounds and lose 13 percent. Because most agri-
cultural chemicals are made from fossil fuels, we
[use] three calories of energy to produce each calo-
rie of food we eat . . . In contrast, Tsembaga farm-
ers in New Guinea, using Neolithic slash-and-burn
methods, [use] less than a 10th of a calorie for each
calorie they eat. For each American man, woman,
and child, our agriculture [uses] 160 pounds of ni-
trogen, phosphate, and potash fertilizer each year,
and 325 gallons of water each day. The Ogallala
aquifer of the Great Plains held enough water
40 years ago to fill Lake Huron; in another 20 years
it may be too low to pump. The great dams of the
West are silting up. Sloppy irrigation and poor drain-
age . . . have caused [salty] conditions on 10 per-
cent of our crop and pasture land. Should we es-
cape the fate of the ancient empires that were done
in by erosion, we may instead face that of the
Sumerians, whose civilization crumbled as their soil
turned salty (Eisenberg 1989: 59).
Answer Question 13 in the Log.
Part 5: How are improvements in tech-nology reshaping industrial agriculture?
The use of remote sensing and precision agricul-ture is a promising attempt to reduce the reliance
upon certain inputs, while improving both crop
productivity and the environment. At the present
time, diminishing crop prices coupled with in-
creased costs have led to numerous attempts by
farmers to increase yields per acre. Increasing
irrigation, fertilizer, insecticide, and herbicide have
been attempted, and excessive applications of
these inputs means more costs and increased
environmental pollution. As a result, industrial
agriculture is moving toward the use of remote-
sensing technologies and precision agriculture, a
farming technology that attempts to specify the
exact quantities of water, fertilizer, herbicide, and
pesticide needed. Precision agriculture is being
used to identify when and where these inputs
should be applied to each specific field.
At the Global Hydrology and Climate Center in
Huntsville, Alabama, managed by the Marshall
Space Flight Center, NASA scientists are collabo-
rating with university scientists in Alabama and
Georgia to apply remote-sensing technology to
support precision farming (NASA Marshall News
1999). In precision farming, growers break fields
down into regions, or cells, analyzing growth
characteristics of each cell and improving crop
health and yield by applying precise amounts of
seed, fertilizer, herbicides, and pesticides as
needed. Traditionally, farmers have lacked the
ability to make close analyses of specific cells.
When they fertilized their crops, they simply spread
the fertilizer uniformly across the entire field.
Improvements in technology, including the use of
remote sensing, allow farmers to tailor the amount
of this agricultural input more precisely.
Remote sensing uses instruments on airplanes or
orbiting satellites to gather information about
Earth’s surface. These instruments, which mea-
sure electromagnetic radiation, including thermal
energy reflected or emitted by all natural and
synthetic objects, can be an excellent tool for
increasing agricultural production. As Doug
Rickman, lead scientist for the Global Hydrology
and Climate Center, stated:
We can fly over an area and precisely map its
plant quality and soil makeup—including mineral
variation and organic carbon content—in
approximately 6-foot increments. Farmers have
sought this ability for 30 years (NASA Marshall
News 1999).
Figure 7 is a remote-sensing image of land types of
the Midwest. The various colors indicate different
types of land systems that scientists can then
identify to assist agricultural production.
Using remote sensing, scientists can identify areas
that will naturally have a low yield and reduce the
amount of fertilizer applied. As Paul Mask, profes-
sor of agronomy at Auburn University, stated:
If the maximum capability of an area is 50
bushels an acre, there is no need to fertilize for
120 bushels. It does no good (NASA Marshall
News 1999).
Such precise crop maintenance benefits society in
another way, according to Mask:
Excess nitrogen can leak into groundwater.
Other fertilizers can increase pollution problems,
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
159
threatening public health. By adding only the
amount of fertilizer the land and the crop can
effectively use, we can reduce such problems.
When NASA began studying precision agriculture
techniques in the 1970s, the practice was ham-
pered by scientists’ inability to accomplish such
precise mapping. Measuring yield was also incon-
venient, time consuming, and often imprecise.
According to Doug Rickman:
To measure a single field of 80 to 100 acres, you
might take six soil samples from different parts of
the field, send them to a lab, and wait days or
weeks for the results. And six samples don’t give
you a very accurate measure anyway — soil
quality can vary dramatically all across that area
(NASA Marshall News 1999).
Figure 7: AVHRRcomposite imageof the centralUnited Statesshowing landcover classifica-tion
Source: http://
www.earth.nasa.gov/
visions/app_factbk99/
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
Remote sensing, therefore, offers an improvement
to sampling techniques that can assist precision
agriculture techniques.
The Kansas Applied Remote Sensing Program is
using remote sensing to determine corn and wheat
yields in the Midwest region of the United States.
Figure 8 shows the 1998 corn yield estimates in
Iowa. This type of information assists farmers in
predicting their yields and in improving agricultural
output.
1610
Figure 8: 1998 Iowa corn yields measured as NVDI(greenness) of crops so yield predictions can bemade
In the first half of the corn growing season, strong winds and several isolated
hailstorms did large amounts of damage to the corn crops in Iowa. This image is used
to demonstrate that the areas damaged by the storms had reduced yields.
Source: http://www.kars.ukans.edu/products/iowa.htm
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
The Upper Midwest Aerospace Consortium
(UMAC) is another group investigating the use of
remote sensing for increasing agricultural output.
UMAC is providing remote-sensing data to sugar
beet growers in the Red River Valley in North
Dakota, an important sugar beet producing region.
UMAC scientists use aerial crop scouting to
examine an area of 6 miles by 10 miles covering
St. Thomas Township in North Dakota. Let’s
imagine how this type of information is helpful to
farmers.
Scenario: Imagine that you own the farmland
mapped in Figure 9. Notice that you have three
crops (wheat, sugar beets, and potatoes) distrib-
uted together on the land. You have decided to
buy a satellite image of your plot so you can look at
a precision agriculture image of the plot to deter-
mine any needed changes. You buy Figure 10.
Answer Question 14 in the Log.
For industrial agriculture to increase output while
reducing the need for inputs that put strains on the
environment, techniques like precision agriculture
will need to be utilized in the future. Remote
sensing and other satellite technologies will be
extremely useful in reducing the need for fertilizers
and pesticides, while also improving crop yields.
Answer Question 15 in the Log.
1711
ReferencesArcher Daniels Midland (ADM)
http://www.admworld.com
Brown, Lester R. 1987. Sustaining world agriculture. In
State of the world—1987, edited by L.R. Brown et al.,
122-138. New York: W. W. Norton.
Brown, Lester R. 1989. Reexamining the world food
prospect. In State of the world—1989, edited by L. R.
Brown et al., 41-58. New York: W. W. Norton.
Brown, Lester R. 1999. Feeding nine billion. In State of theworld—1999, edited by L. R. Brown, et al., 115-132.
New York: W. W. Norton.
Cargill
http://www.cargill.com
Earth from space: An astronaut’s view of the home planet
http://earth.jsc.nasa.gov/
Eisenberg, Evan. 1989. Back to Eden. Atlantic Monthly,
November: 57-89.
Ehrlich, Paul R., et al. 1977. Ecoscience: Population,resources, environment. W. H. Freeman and Company.
Hill, J. E., S. R. Roberts, D. M. Brandon, S. C. Scardaci, J. F.
Williams, and R. G. Mutters. 2000. Rice production inCalifornia (3/13). University of California-Davis
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
Figure 9: Map of images shown in Figure 10
Agronomy Department.
http://agronomy.ucdavis.edu/uccerice/PRODUCT/
rpic03.htm
Kansas Applied Remote Sensing Program at the University of
Kansas. 2000. 1998 Corn yield estimates in Iowahttp://www.kars.ukans.edu/products/iowa.htm
Marshall, Bruce (editor). 1991. The real world: Understandingthe modern world through the new geography. Boston:
Houghton Mifflin.
NASA’s Earth Systems Enterprises 1999 Factbook
http://www.earth.nasa.gov/visions/app_factbk99/
NASA Marshall News. 1999. As drought-ravaged ’99 harvest
proceeds, farmers turn to NASA’s Marshall Center for 21st
century solutions. Nov. 8, 1999. (Marshall Space Flight
Center http://www1.msfc.nasa.gov/news/)
Seitz, John L. 1995. Global issues: An introduction. Cam-
bridge, Massachusetts: Blackwell.
Upper Midwest Aerospace Consortium. 2000. Aerial cropscouting.
http://www.umac.org/new/stthomas.html
Ward, Barbara. 1979. Progress for a small planet. New York:
W. W. Norton.
Sugar Beets
Po
tato
es
Wheat
Wheat
Potatoes
Sugar Beets
1812
Module 2, Investigation 2: BriefingWhat is industrial agriculture?
Figure 10: Remote sensing of North Dakota
Figure 10 is a picture taken on July 11, 1999. The area was flown over twice using the Positive Systems’ ADAR 5500 camera,
which collects half-meter resolution digital data in four multispectral bands. The spectral channels used to generate these color
composites are green, red, and infrared. In this case, crops with fully developed canopy appear red. Sugar beets, still in their
early stages, are pink, and the recently planted crops where the background soil reflectance dominates, appear green.
Source: http://www.umac.org/new/stthomas.html
1913
Module 2, Investigation 2: LogWhat is industrial agriculture?
1. Complete the graph of the data given in Table 1. What do these data tell you about agricultural
trends?
2. Graph the data given in Table 2. What do these data tell you about agricultural trends?
20001900
100
19801920 1940 1960
Avera
ge N
um
ber
of
Pe
ople
Fed b
y O
ne U
.S.
Farm
er
Year
90
10
20
30
40
80
70
60
50
Gra
in P
roduction
(mill
ion o
f m
etr
ic t
ons) A
rea o
f Gra
in C
ropla
nd
(hecta
res p
er p
ers
on)
2000199019801950 1960 1970
250
500
750
1000
1250
0.05
0.10
0.15
2014
3. Graph the data given in Table 3. What do these data tell you about agricultural trends?
4. Agriculture was described as an input-output system. Write down three more examples of an input-
output system and explain your examples.
5. Explain the difference between “production” and “productivity” using examples that are not found in
these materials.
Module 2, Investigation 2: LogWhat is industrial agriculture?
1)
2)
3)
6.5
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
2
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
Average Size(acres)
Number
of
Farms
(millions)
2115
6. Describe the trends in industrial agricultural production and productivity in the 20th century.
7. In Part 2: What do the landscapes of industrial agriculture look like? you were shown satellite
images of only a few examples of these landscapes. Write down two more examples of different
landscapes of industrial agriculture that you have personally seen.
8. What are the characteristics of industrial agriculture? In other words, what do all the examples of this
type of agriculture have in common? List as many characteristics as you can.
9. What natural resource is used to make fertilizers, pesticides, and farm machinery? List three other
agricultural inputs that come from this natural resource.
Module 2, Investigation 2: LogWhat is industrial agriculture?
1)
2)
3)
1)
2)
22
10. Do you think the increasing use of fertilizer in industrial agriculture is a practice that can be sustained
in the future? Why or why not?
11. By what measure is “traditional” agriculture more productive than industrial agriculture? By what
measure is industrial agriculture more productive than traditional agriculture?
12. What trends do you see in the amount of money spent (expenditures) on agricultural production in the
United States? What is your evidence? Do these data enable us to conclude anything about changes
in productivity? Why?
16
Module 2, Investigation 2: LogWhat is industrial agriculture?
2317
Module 2, Investigation 2: LogWhat is industrial agriculture?
1)
2)
3)
1)
2)
3)
13. From the quote from Eisenberg and other information you have gathered, list what, in your opinion,
may be the three biggest problems of industrial agriculture, and support your choices.
14. What information can you get from remote sensing, and how would this information help you if you
were a farmer? Examine the satellite image in Figure 10. What changes would you make on your
plot of land and why?
15. How might the new technologies of remote sensing and precision agriculture help solve three of the
problems of industrial agriculture mentioned in Part 4. What problems does industrial agriculturecreate?
2418
Mod
ule
2, In
vest
igat
ion
2: L
ogW
hat i
s in
dust
rial
agr
icul
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?
16
. C
reate
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raphic
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1
Who will feed theworld?Investigation OverviewInvestigation 3 focuses on meeting
the food needs of an increasing global
population. Students work in groups to
investigate population growth and agricultural
production in major world regions and consider
how developments in technology and monitoring systems will address
these concerns in the future. The investigation concludes with an
investment challenge in Mozambique. Students work in groups to make
recommendations for improving agricultural production in this country.
Time required: Four to eight 45-minute sessions (as follows):
Introduction and Part 1: One or two sessions
Part 2: One or two sessions
Part 3: One session
Part 4: One or two sessions
MaterialsA copy of Investigation Briefing and Log for each student. The key to the
Log is included in this Educator’s Guide.
Computer with a CD-ROM drive. The Mission Geography CD contains
color graphics needed for this activity.
World atlases
Optional: Access to the Internet, which offers opportunities for extending
this activity.
Content PreviewInvestigating food production involves a number of topics. First, an
increasing global population will continue to put pressure on world
regions to increase agricultural production to meet demand. Population
growth is centered in the developing world regions including Asia and
Oceania, Latin America and the Caribbean, and sub-Saharan Africa.
Measuring agricultural production in relation to population growth puts
sub-Saharan Africa in the most tenuous position, as per capita (per
person) food production declined 12 percent between 1965 and 1985.
Increasing agricultural production will involve a variety of techniques
including satellite measurements of vegetation growth. Additionally,
investing in certain types of crops will play a key role in meeting human
demand.
Geography Standards
Standard 1: The World inSpatial Terms
How to use maps and other geo-graphic representations, tools, andtechnologies to acquire, process,and report information
• Produce and interpret maps and other
graphic representations to solve
geographic problems.
Standard 5: Places and RegionsThat people create regions tointerpret Earth’s complexity
• Use regions to analyze geographic
issues and answer geographic
questions.
Standard 9: Human SystemsThe characteristics, distribution, andmigration of human populations onEarth’s surface
• Predict trends in spatial distribution of
population on Earth, and analyze
population issues and propose policies
to address such issues.
Standard 14: Environment andSociety
How human actions modify thephysical environment
• Evaluate the ways in which technology
has expanded the human capacity to
modify the physical environment.
Standard 18: Uses ofGeography
How to apply geography to interpretthe present and plan for the future
• Use geography knowledge and skills to
analyze problems and make decisions
within a spatial context.
Geography SkillsSkill Set 4: Analyzing GeographicInformation
• Make inferences and draw conclusions
from maps and other geographic
representations.
• Use the processes of analysis,
synthesis, evaluation, and explanation
to interpret geographic information.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 3
2
Classroom ProceduresBeginning the Investigation1. Hand out a Briefing and Log to each student and
have them read the Background section. Draw out
discussion with such questions as:
Do you think hunger and famine will be eliminated
during your lifetime? Why or why not?
What do you think Secretary Glickman meant by
his statement about an “unstable food supply”?
What do you see as the difference between
increasing food production and increasing food
availability?
What is meant by “agricultural sustainability?” Why
do you think this is an important idea?
2. Tell students that they will work in regional teams in
the first part of this activity and that they will
conclude by making group investment decisions for
stimulating agricultural production in Mozambique.
Developing the Investigation3. Have students read the Objectives and take any
questions they may have.
4. Leaf through the materials with students and point
out the underlined Log questions to be answered
on the Investigation Log at the end of the materi-
als. The key to the Log is found at the end of this
Educator’s Guide. Give students a schedule for
completing the Log.
5. Direct attention to the Scenario: Planning to feedworld regions section. Divide the class into six
teams roughly equal in size. Each team is to
represent a major world region. The six world
regions are listed in Table 2. Emphasize the
importance of studying and discussing the materi-
als as a team and of working on team answers to
the Log questions.
Alternative: If you prefer smaller teams, you may
wish to form two teams for each region. To have
students appreciate the differences in population
between these regions, you might ask them to
compute the proportional representation of the
teams using the “Percentage of World Population”
column in Table 1. For example, 55 percent of the
students would represent Region 4, and 4 percent
would represent Region 3. You might even use
these proportions to form teams, but that would
give you teams of very uneven sizes.
6. Have teams meet to locate their world region on a
map and to identify the countries that comprise
their region. Have teams share this information
with the entire class.
7. Set students working through the materials,
beginning with Part 1: How do the populations ofworld regions compare? Direct attention to Table
1, which marks each year the global population
increased by 1 billion. Have students add a
column to Table 1 by calculating the number of
years between the next billion increment. There
will be eight entries:
Growth from:
1 to 2 billion 130 years
2 to 3 billion 30 years
3 to 4 billion 15 years
4 to 5 billion 12 years
5 to 6 billion 12 years
6 to 7 billion 13 years
7 to 8 billion 14 years
8 to 9 billion 17 years
Assist students in graphing this table at Question 1
on the Log.
8. After the regional teams have worked through Part3: What is the need for increasing agriculturalproduction?, they should begin on Part 4: Invest-ing in Mozambique. Be sure students understand
that Part 3 demonstrated that of all the major world
regions, sub-Saharan Africa will have the hardest
time producing enough food to meet demand. As a
result, Part 4 will focus on Mozambique as a case
study to investigate how agricultural production can
be increased.
Students can stay in their assigned groups, but
they are no longer representing a major world
region. Instead, they should pretend to be part of a
FAO team investigating how to increase food
production in Mozambique. The first section will
ask them to estimate the cropland use intensity
(CUI) value for 1973, 1992, and 1995 using Figures
8, 9 and 10. Students should make estimations
based on the percentages given in the figures. It is
not critical that they get the exact answers; rather,
they should understand that the CUI is currently
very low for Mozambique.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 3
3
Students should continue to work in their groups
and have an opportunity to complete their major
task: making investment decisions for the agricul-
tural sector. Students are given the task of invest-
ing $40 million in a variety of agriculture and fishery
sectors to improve production in the country to
90,000,000 tonnes. Investments must be made in
multiples of $5 million, and students can invest as
their team desires, but they must support their
decisions on Log Question 9. Students will need
some guidance with this part of the investigation as
Table 5 provides some steering information on the
value of these investments as either a source of
consumption or foreign exchange. Table 5 pre-
sents these as multipliers, which students can
utilize to make investment decisions. They should
multiply their investment by the value of the mul-
tiple, and then multiply this again by the production
increase in tonnes to determine the investment
outcome. Remind students that they want to invest
for both consumption and foreign exchange. Point
out that the foreign exchange earned by exporting
crops can be used for consumption or to buy food
on the international market. Students should also
be encouraged to diversify in order to assist in
protecting against harmful pests or bad weather
that might destroy a single crop.
9. Have teams report their investment recommenda-
tions and reasons to the whole class, and have
the class discuss, classify, and evaluate these
recommendations according to agreed upon
criteria, such as importance, practicality, agree-
ment with facts, etc.
Concluding the Investigation10. Debrief the investigation by discussing the Log
questions. You may wish to debrief the activity
even further by referring to the Objectives listed at
the beginning of the Briefing.
EvaluationEvaluate the Logs using the answers in this Educator’s
Guide. You may wish to provide your own guidelines
for the team investment reports, or you may simply
ask for a numbered list of recommendations.
Log1. The graph of Table 1 should look like the following:
This is a classic J-curve of population growth withvery little growth, then growth increasing at greaterand greater rates (reflecting exponential growth)shown by a steeply rising curve, and finally, growthbeginning to slow as seen in the flattening of thecurve when the population is very large.
2. Using Figure 2, compare and contrast the diet in
your region with the other regions.
This will depend on the student’s choices of whichfoodstuffs to emphasize. Use Figure 2 to guideyour assessment of their answers.
3. How do you explain these differences in diets?
Diets around the world vary a great deal due to theavailability of certain foodstuffs. For example,people in the developed world can afford to eatlivestock products and fats more regularly thanpeople in developing countries. Food productionalso contributes to variation in diets, as well asdifferences in food preferences.
4. Compare and contrast the dietary energy supply
levels in your region with the other regions. Spe-
cifically, name the countries (and their levels) in
your region that have the highest and the lowest
dietary energy supplies, and compare and contrast
these with other countries with very high and very
low levels.
As with Question 2, this answer depends on thestudents’ choices of which countries in their regionto emphasize. Use Figure 3 to guide your assess-ment of their answers.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 3
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1Popula
tion (
in b
illio
ns)
1800 1900 20501850 1950 2000
4
5. With your team, brainstorm a list of reasons that
might account for the variations in dietary energy
supply levels between regions and countries and
within countries.
• Varying capacities to purchase food (people inricher countries can afford more livestockproducts and fats, for example)
• Different availability of foods among countries• Diets of richer countries usually more balanced
nutritionally and also contain a greater propor-tion of protein, particularly of animal origin, thanthose of the poor countries
• Developing countries’ diets characterized by ahigher proportion of cereals
• Significant variations in diet among countriesreflecting differing production capabilities,access to food types, and tastes even forcountries at similar income levels
6. According to Figure 6, which regions in Africa have
“very poor vegetation”? Why do you think this is so?
Northern Africa has very poor (or sparse) vegeta-tion because of the climate and physical land-scape. The Sahara Desert and the Sahel charac-terize this region, which has little to no rainfall on aregular basis. In the southern portion of Africa, theKalahari and other deserts limit the amount ofvegetation growth.
7. According to Figure 6, which regions in Africa have
shown “improvement” in their vegetation growth?
There are a few locations that have shown im-provement in vegetation growth. Southern Africa,parts of South Africa, Botswana, and Namibia,have demonstrated improvement. Additionally,there has been improvement in parts of centralAfrica and in western Africa near the Ivory Coast.
8. Estimate the cropland use intensity (CUI) for 1973,
1992, and 1995. How does this information assist
your group in understanding agricultural production
in Mozambique?
The CUI maps (Figures 8-10) showed that 22 per-cent of the land was cropped before independence(1973). The CUI dropped to 5 percent by the endof the civil war in 1992 and rebounded to 17percent by 1995. This information is helpful for anumber of reasons. First, it allows agriculturalagencies to identify the current state of agriculturalintensity in the country. All of these estimates arevery low, indicating that greater investment in theagricultural sector is needed. Secondly, the CUIallows for an assessment of where agriculture iscurrently practiced within the country. This isextremely useful for determining which locationsrequire future investments.
9. Put your group investment recommendations for
the $40 million in the table, and explain why you
are investing this way.
Students should complete the table in the Log toget an investment return of 90,000,000 tonnes orhigher, which was their investment challenge.
The investment decision that results in the highestproduction value is investing all $40 million intomaize or rice (resulting in a return of 120,000,000tonnes of maize or rice). This is not the most idealinvestment, however, because it forces the countryto rely on only one crop. This could be disastrous ifcertain types of weather or pests destroy the crop.Students should try to balance investments inmaize with rice and fishery products that are avaluable source of foreign exchange. In evaluatingtheir answers, however, it is more important thatstudents support their decisions. Choosing toinvest in crops, rice and maize for example, isimportant for food security. On the other hand,students may choose to invest in crops that are asource of foreign exchange for the country. In thiscase, investing in nuts or fisheries would be logical.
Module 2 Educator’s Guide Investigation 3
5
BackgroundMore than one billion of today’s six billion people
suffer from hunger. How many will be hungry when
the world’s population doubles, as it is expected to
do by the end of the 21st century? Or is it possible
that hunger and famine will be eliminated in this
century? Whether or not there will be enough food
is a matter of speculation, but we can be certain
that feeding the world will be a huge challenge. It
will affect all regions of the world and all economic,
political, social, and environmental systems. As
former U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Dan Glickman
said, “An unstable food supply is the greatest threat
to our national security” (Smith 2000:14). Experts
believe that it is crucial that we increase both food
production and food availability to needy popula-
tions. If this can be done, we will also need to
achieve agricultural sustainability—that is, to
protect the environment against degradation from
increased agricultural production. In this activity,
you will investigate global food production and
hunger. Additionally, you will examine sub-Saharan
Africa to consider the ways that famine might be
alleviated in the future.
ObjectivesIn this investigation, you will
• compare population growth and nutritional levels
of world regions,
• consider the demands of increasing global
population upon food production,
• learn that food security requires both a food
supply and access to that supply,• consider the role of industrial agriculture in
feeding the developing world,
• examine ways that technology can help to
prevent famines, and
• make investment decisions to stimulate agricul-
tural production in sub-Saharan Africa.
Scenario: Planning to feed world regionsImagine that you are a geographer working for the
United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization
(FAO). You have recently been assigned to a team
of scientists investigating food and population
issues in a major world region. Use Parts 1 and 2
of this investigation to help you assess, and report
to the entire group, the status of population and
food production in your region.
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
1
Part 1. How do the populations of worldregions compare?
Understanding world hunger requires an analysis
of the changing global population. To appreciate
how the global population has changed, look at
Table 1, which lists the years when the world’s
population reached an additional billion.
As you work through this investigation, you should
answer the underlined questions on the Investiga-
tion Log. For Question 1, make a line graph of the
world’s population from 1800 to 2043.
Nearly all of the population increase in the 21st
century will occur in the poorer, developing regions
of the world, specifically Africa, Asia (except
Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean, and
Oceania. By comparison, populations in the
industrialized, developed countries will remain
relatively constant (Figure 1).
Table 1: Years when world populationreached an additional billion
Population
1 billion
2 billion
3 billion
4 billion
5 billion
6 billion
7 billion (estimate)
8 billion (estimate)
9 billion (estimate)
Year
1800
1930
1960
1975
1987
1999
2012
2026
2043
Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census 1998; Population Refer-
ence Bureau, Inc., 1999
62
The current contributions to
world population by rich and
poor regions can be seen in
Table 2. Use the table to assess
the population growth in your
region.
Part 2. How do the dietsof world regions com-pare?
Food is divided into many types,
including animal oils and fats,
milk and eggs, sugars, roots and
tubers, and cereals. Each
region has a different proportion
of types of food in its diet (Figure
2). For example, Figure 2
shows that, in Latin America and
the Caribbean, cereals make up
40 percent of the diet, and in
East and Southeast Asia, 60
percent of the diet.
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
Table 2: Regional contribution to world populationand world population increase in 1998
Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1998
RegionPercentage
of WorldPopulation
PercentageContribution to
World PopulationIncrease
1.Eastern Europe and
Newly Independent
States
2.Sub-Saharan Africa
3.Near East and North
Africa
4.Asia and Oceania
5.Latin America and
the Caribbean
6.Industrialized
Countries (U.S.,
Canada, Western
Europe, and Japan)
9
10
4
55
10
1
20
9
57
10
212
Figure 1: World popu-lation growth, 1750-2150 (population after1999 is estimated)
Sources: The World of Child 6
Billion. 1999. Washington, D.C.:
Population Reference Bureau and
National Peace Corps Association.
http://www.prb.org and http://
www.rpcv.org
Pop
ula
tion in b
illio
ns
73
Use Figure 2 to determine what
types of foods contribute to diet
in your world region. (In reading
Figure 2, teams assigned to
Region 1 should use column C;
Region 4 uses columns G and H;
and Region 6 uses column B.)
You can use the information from
the Log questions to help your
team develop its recommenda-
tions. Answer Log Questions 2
and 3.
About 840 million people in the
developing world suffer from
malnutrition (Table 3). With less
than 2,000 calories per person
per day on average, about
15 percent of Earth’s people live
a life of permanent or intermittent
hunger (Conway 2000). Malnu-
trition is particularly devastating
Figure 2: Share of food groups by region and country
Source: United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization 1998,
The State of Food and Agriculture 1998: FAO Agriculture Series No. 31,
http://www.fao.org/docrep/w9500e/w9500e03.gif
Table 3: Malnutrition in developing regions in 1998
Source: United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization, 1998
RegionNumber of
MalnourishedPeople
(in millions)
Percentageof PopulationMalnourished
2. Sub-Saharan Africa
3. Near East and
North Africa
4. Asia and Oceania
5. Latin America and
the Caribbean
215
37
524
65
43
12
18
15
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
84
to the young and elderly. Malnutrition weakens the
body’s immune system to the point that common
childhood ailments, such as measles and diarrhea,
are often fatal. Each day, 19,000 children die as a
result of malnutrition and related illnesses (Brown
1999; World Food Summit 1996).
In contrast with developing regions, in some of the
countries in Region 1 (Eastern Europe and Newly
Independent States) and Region 6 (the industrial-
ized countries—Japan, U.S., Canada, and Western
Europe), over half of all adults are medically over-
weight (Gardner and Halweil 2000). This condition
occurs when food energy intake exceeds energy
use, which contributes to the risk of death from high
blood pressure, coronary heart disease, stroke,
diabetes, and various forms of cancer. As can be
seen from the global distribution of dietary energy
supply levels (Figure 3), the people in some regions
are overfed and in others they are underfed.
Figure 3 is a map of the countries of the world and
their average per person dietary energy supply,
measured in kilocalories (kcal) per day. Use Figure 3
to determine the dietary energy supply levels in your
world region, and answer Log questions 4 and 5.
Figure 3: Dietary energy supply levels bycountry in 1998
Source: United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization 1998,
The State of Food and Agriculture 1998: FAO Agriculture Series
No. 31, http://www.fao.org/docrep/w9500e/w9500e02.gif
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
95
Part 3. What is the need forincreasing agriculturalproduction?
Throughout the 1970s, the world watched in
horror as numerous African countries suffered
through droughts that led to massive famines.
The images sent around the world (Figure 4,
for example) only emphasized the belief that
there wasn’t enough food to feed the increas-
ing global population. Although scientists
have argued that famines are often caused by
peoples’ lack of access to food (access is
blocked, for example, by low incomes, political
conflicts, and wars), as opposed to a short-age of food (Sen 1981), most agree that the
amount of food must continue to increase in
the future to meet the demands of increasing
populations.
Following large increases in global agricultural
production from the Green Revolution, we still need
to increase the amount of food produced. In fact,
yields for cereals in the developing world decreased
in the period 1985-94, following the peak Green
Revolution yields (Figure 5). This recent decrease
in rice, wheat, and maize yields is an even larger
problem when population growth is considered.
Agricultural systems will be challenged in the
future, as rising population levels will put pressure
on their capacity to meet human demand. These
pressures will be felt most where population growth
is highest and incomes are lowest. This formula
points to Africa, especially the sub-Saharan region,
as the area with the greatest problem. A rapidly
growing population in Africa will demand increases
in agricultural output. Between 1965 and 1985,
total food production grew in sub-Saharan Africa by
54 percent, but per capita food production declined
by 12 percent (Turner et al. 1996).
You may have learned from the Industrial Agricul-ture investigation in this module that at the begin-
ning of the 20th century, each
American farmer produced
enough food to feed seven other
people in the United States and
abroad, but at the beginning of
the 21st century, a U.S. farmer
feeds 96 people (Brown 1999).
This staggering fact resulted from
the use of new technologies for
planting, cultivation, and harvest-
ing; irrigation and chemical
fertilizers; and plant breeding and
improvements, especially in
wheat, rice, and corn. Wheat and
rice are consumed largely by
humans, but most of the world’s
corn harvest is fed to livestock
and poultry (Brown 1999).
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
Figure 4: Refugee camp in Africa
Source: United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization, 1998,
http://www.fao.org
Figure 5: Cereal yields in developing countries from1965-1994Source: Conway 2000: 13
106
These technologies have produced enormous grain
surpluses, especially in the United States, Canada,
Europe, Australia, and Argentina. Many developing
countries have been forced to buy these surpluses
to help feed their rapidly growing populations. They
often pay for these food grains with nonfood cash
crops they grow such as coffee, tea, sugar, and
cotton. Solutions to feeding the rapidly growing
populations in the developing world must consider
industrial agriculture, along with other strategies, to
increase agricultural production.
Another part of the solution may involve the use of
new technologies to reduce the chance of famines
brought on by environmental fluctuations. For
example, NASA satellite data, which are used to
study the expansion and contraction of the deserts
and semiarid lands of Africa, are the principal
source for providing early warning of potential
famines around the African continent.
Since 1987, scientists at NASA’s Goddard Space
Flight Center (GSFC) in Greenbelt, Maryland, and
the U.S. Agency for International Development
(USAID) have been cooperating on a project to
provide data to USAID’s Famine Early Warning
System (FEWS). They seek to understand natural
variations of climate that relate to desert bound-
aries and adjacent semiarid areas, and to deter-
mine any changes in climate between 1980 and
2000 (Dunbar and Kenitzer 1993).
As Dr. Compton J. Tucker, a scientist in the Labo-
ratory for Terrestrial Physics at Goddard, states:
The Agency for International Development of our
State Department came to us after seeing some
of our publications on remote sensing of the
Sahel of Africa and indicated it was interested in
studying the famine stricken regions in Africa.
Since we use satellites to look at vegetation in
these regions, we can obtain data on countries
that historically have been affected by famine
and do so very close to real time.
Using daily data from the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) -7, -9 and -11
meteorological satellites, scientists measure the
density of green vegetation in a specific region
every 10 days. As Tucker states:
Since 1981, we have compiled a time series of
plant-growth histories for the entire continent of
Africa, and we use it to assess current and future
vegetation growth. This information is used by
USAID’s FEWS to determine where droughts are
occurring, their severity, and how widespread
they are.
USAID’s FEWS augments the satellite data with
meteorological information and socioeconomic
information, where available, to determine the
location and severity of drought in Africa, Tucker
said. When drought conditions are detected, a
FEWS team can begin coordinating relief efforts, if
required. For example, changes in vegetation can
indicate oncoming drought. Figure 6 shows a
series of satellite vegetation models for the African
continent. The Normalized Difference VegetationIndex (NDVI) is a measure of the greenness of the
vegetation, which is used to generate assessments
and make predictions. The first image is the NDVI
taken during January 1-10, 2000. The second
image (vs Previous) is a comparison of the first
image to previous years. Finally, the third image
(vs Average) is a comparison of the first image to
the average NDVI for the continent.
NASA research and USAID’s FEWS are examples
of how improvements in technology will contribute
to agricultural productivity in various regions of the
world. At the very least, having more data on
vegetation growth and precipitation patterns should
assist in reducing the chance of famines on the
African continent.
Answer Questions 6 and 7 on the Log.
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
117
Part 4. Scenario: Investing inMozambique
Since sub-Saharan Africa faces the greatest
challenge for increasing agricultural production to
meet a growing population, this section addresses
a specific sub-Saharan country. Continue to
imagine that you are a geographer working for the
United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization
(FAO). Your team has been given the task of
investing $40 million to stimulate food production in
Mozambique, one of the poorest countries in sub-
Saharan Africa. Mozambique is located in southern
Africa and has been significantly affected by
colonialism and war. Mozambique was a colony of
Portugal until 1975, when an 11-year war of
independence ended with the establishment of an
independent, Marxist government. But a 17-year
civil war started soon after independence, with an
internal military uprising that was supported by
some foreign governments.
The civil war affected the people of Mozambique
severely, especially in rural areas. Hundreds of
thousands of people were killed. Over a million
people fled the country, especially to Malawi, and
more than a million others were displaced within
Mozambique (Sill 1992). Many rural people
migrated to the cities and the coast where the
government maintained control. The country went
into severe economic decline and agriculture was
disrupted, so the country could not feed itself. By
the late 1980s, Mozambique had one of the lowest
per-capita caloric intakes in the world (Sill 1992).
USAID and FEWS have been active in Mozambique
for a number of decades. As you learned earlier,
FEWS utilizes satellite images to determine the
health of vegetation in certain areas. Figure 7
shows maps of the NDVI for southeastern Africa
comparing the average with conditions in 1991.
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
Figure 6: Satellite vegetation analysis for Africa
Source: USAID Famine Early Warning System, 1999, http://www.info.usaid.gov/fews/imagery/sat_afr.html
128
In 1995, three years after the war
ended, USAID asked the U.S. Geologi-
cal Survey (USGS) to document the
migration of rural Mozambicans during
the civil war using LANDSAT and other
satellite data. In areas of subsistence
agriculture, cropland use intensity
(CUI) approximates population density.
CUI can also be used to connect
agricultural statistics with specific
geographic locations. For example, if
Sofala Province reports a 50 percent
rise in planted grains, CUI can identify
where in the province the grains were
planted.
Utilizing the CUI can assist your group
in deciding how to invest in
Mozambique because you can assess
the current state of agriculture in the
country. Using the process outlined
above, a small part of Mozambique
was mapped five different times,
representing various stages in the civil
war. The CUI for 1973 is represented
as Figure 8 below.
Figure 8: Estimated CUI in 1973
Source: http://edcwww.cr.usgs.gov/earthshots/slow/Mozambique/Mozambique
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
Figure 7: NDVI maps of southeastern Africa,including Mozambique
Source: http://edcwww.cr.usgs.gov/earthshots/slow/Mozambique/Mozambique
Note: This is animated at the above site, so you can observe the changes over
the course of one year.
13
The satellite images of the CUI in 1992 and 1995
are represented as Figures 9 and 10.
Begin your task of investing in Mozambique by
estimating the CUI from 1973 to 1995. Answer
Question 8 on the Log.
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
Figure 9: CUI in 1992
Source: http://
edcwww.cr.usgs.gov/earthshots/
slow/Mozambique/Mozambique
Figure 10: CUI in1995
Source: http://
edcwww.cr.usgs.gov/earthshots/
slow/Mozambique/Mozambique
9
Obviously, there is still a pressing need to increase
agricultural output in Mozambique. Your team
needs to determine how to invest the $40 million in
the agricultural sector. In 1996, Mozambique had
20 million hectares of arable land, of which 10 per-
cent was cultivated (Turner 1999).
14
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
10
Table 4 is a breakdown of the major products in the
agricultural sector. The fishery sector is also
included, since this sector plays a key role in
meeting food needs in the country.
Your challenge is to invest $40 million and increase
the total food production to 90,000,000 tonnes.
You can invest the money however you want in
allotments of $5 million. Include an explanation for
your investment decisions.
As you invest, think about which crops are better
for consumption and which crops are a better
source of foreign exchange (money a country
makes from its exports). Remember that the
money a country earns from exporting crops can
be used to invest in crops for consumption or to
buy food on the international market. Table 5
provides some information on the value of these
crops as a source of domestic consumption and as
an export product for foreign exchange. The
multiples indicate the total return that an invest-
ment in a particular crop
produces. That is, some
crops respond to increased
investment much more than
others. To determine your
return on investment, multiply
your investment by the
multiple value. You should
then multiply this value by the
production increase per $1
million investment found in
column 1, page 14 of your
student log to determine the
change in agricultural produc-
tion as a result of your
investment. As you invest,
your group should balance
the need to increase produc-
tion for consumption with the
need to invest in products for
foreign exchange.
Use the table in the Log at
Question 9 to list your invest-
ments.
Type of agriculture
Type offishery product
Maize
Rice
Other grains
Cassava
Beans
Peanuts
CurrentProduction
(tonnes)
1,246,000
186,000
387,000
5,553,000
189,000
147,000
Sources: Turner, 1999; Mozambique Agricultural
Statistics, http://www.ine.gov.mz/sector1/agricu.htm
Table 4: Agriculture and fisheryproduction in Mozambique
Anchovies
Prawns and shrimp300,000
14,000
Table 5: Estimated multiple values for consumption orforeign exchange
*Roots include sweet potatoes, potatoes, and cassava.
**Nuts include peanuts and cashews.
Type of agricultureMaize
Rice
Other grains
Fruits/vegetables
Sugar cane
Roots*
Nuts**
Value for DomesticConsumption as
Multipliers
3
4
2
2
1
3
1
Value as Export for Foreign Exchange
as Multipliers
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
Type offishery product
Lobster
Prawns and shrimp1
1
2
5
1511
Module 2, Investigation 3: BriefingWho will feed the world?
ReferencesBrown, L. R. 1999. State of the World 1999.
New York: W. W. Norton.
Conway, G. 2000. Food for all in the 21st cen-
tury. Environment 42(1): 9-18.
Dunbar, B., and A. Kenitzer. 1993. NASA helpsprovide famine early warning for Africa.
Spacelink news release.
http://spacelink.nasa.gov/NASA.News/
NASA.News.Releases/
Previous.News.Releases/
93.News.Releases/93-11.News.Releases/
93-11-29
Gardner, G., and B. Halweil. 2000. Nourishing
the Underfed and Overfed. State of theWorld 2000. New York: W. W. Norton.
Mozambique Agricultural Statistics
http://www.ine.gov/mz/sector1/agricu.htm
Sen, A. K. 1981. Poverty and famines: An essayon entitlement and deprivation.: New York:
Oxford University Press.
Sill, M. 1992. A geography of war. GeographicalMagazine, November: 45-50.
Smith, K. K. 2000. 6,000,000,000 and counting;
Feeding a Hungry World. Imaging Notes,
15(1) January/February 2000.
Turner, B. (ed.) 1999. The Statesman’s Yearbook.
London: Macmillan.
Turner, B. L. II, G. Hyden, and R. Kates (eds.),
1993. Population Growth and AgriculturalChange in Africa. Gainesville: University
Press of Florida.
United Nations Food and Agriculture Organiza-
tion. 1998. The State of Food and Agriculture1998. FAO Agriculture Series No. 31
http://www.fao.org/docrep/w9500e/
w9500e03.htm#03-I
United Nations Food and Agriculture Organiza-
tion. 2000. Sixth World Surveyhttp://www.fao.org/waicent/faoinfo/economic/
ESS/for-e.htm
USAID Famine Early Warning System
http://www.info.usaid.gov/fews/imagery/
sat_afr.html
United States Bureau of the Census. 1998.
World Population Profile: 1998.
http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/wp98.html
World Food Summit. 1996. Food Security andNutrition 5.http://www.fao.org/wfs/final/e/volume1/T5-
E.htm#1.Introduction
Other ResourcesHart, J. E., and M. O. Lombardi (eds.) 2001.
Taking sides: Clashing view on controversialglobal issues. McGraw-Hill/Dushkin. Evans,
L. T. 1998.
Feeding the ten billion. Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press.
U.N. Food and Agricultural Organization. 1995.
World agriculture: Towards 2000. U.N. FAO.
Mitchell, D. O., M. D. Ingco, and R. C. Duncan.
1997. The world food outlook. Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press.
Heileg, G. K. How many people can be fed on
Earth? In The future population of the world:What can we assume today? 2d ed. W. Lutz,
(ed.) Earthscan, 1996.
Cohen, J. E. 1995. How many people can theEarth support? New York: W. W. Norton,
1995.
1612
1. Make a line graph of world population from 1800 to 2043, using the data in Table 1. What does this
curve look like, and why?
2. Using Figure 2, compare and contrast the diet in your region with the other regions.
3. How do you explain these differences in diets?
4. Compare and contrast the dietary energy supply levels in your region with the other regions. Specifi-
cally, name the countries (and their levels) in your region that have the highest and the lowest dietary
energy supplies, and compare and contrast these with other countries with very high and very low
levels.
Module 2, Investigation 3: LogWho will feed the world?
1713
Module 2, Investigation 3: LogWho will feed the world?
5. With your team, brainstorm a list of reasons that might account for the variations in dietary energy
supply levels between regions and countries and within countries.
6. According to Figure 6, which African regions have “very poor vegetation”? Why do you think this is so?
7. According to Figure 6, which African regions have shown “improvement” in their vegetation growth?
8. Estimate the cropland use intensity (CUI) for 1973, 1992, and 1995. How does this information assist
your group in understanding agricultural production in Mozambique?
1814
Module 2, Investigation 3: LogWho will feed the world?
9. Put your group investment recommendations for the $40 million in the table below, and explain why
you are investing this way.
*Roots include sweet potatoes, potatoes, and cassava. **Nuts include peanuts and cashews.
ProductionIncrease
Per $1 MillionInvestment(in milliontonnes)
ConsumptionMultiplier
ForeignExchangeMultiplier
Investment(in U.S.dollars)
Return onInvestment
(in milliontonnes)
Type ofagriculture
Maize
Rice
Other grains
Fruits/vegetables
Sugar cane
Roots*
Nuts**
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.90
3
4
2
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
Type of fisheryproduct
Lobster
Prawns and
shrimp
1
1
2
5
0.90
0.45
Total $40 Million