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Moderator – Michael Arnold Global Markets, ESA Airports /[email protected]
Overview of Session
• Overview of Markets/Regions (Arnold)Complicating Factors (Stewart/Arnold)• Complicating Factors (Stewart/Arnold)
• Drill DownIndia (Connie Muller)– India (Connie Muller)
– Brazil (Aguero/Ubilla)
What is a Market?
• City Pair?Country?• Country?
• Region?AfricaAfricaAsia PacificEuropeLatin AmericaMiddle EastNorth America
R i Af iRegion – Africa
ACI 200 i t i 47 t i• ACI – 200 airports in 47 countries• Total Passengers – 156 million (6)
T t l C 1 7 illi t (6)• Total Cargo – 1.7 million tons (6)
Largest Economies Note: Northeast Africa is oftenLargest EconomiesSouth AfricaAlgeriaNigeriaE t
Note: Northeast Africa is often included in statistics for middle east
EgyptMorocco
R i A i P ifiRegion – Asia Pacific
ACI 480 i t i 46 t i• ACI – 480 airports in 46 countries• Total Passengers - 1.3 billion (3)
T t l C 32 illi t (1)• Total Cargo - 32 million tons (1)
Largest Economies Other NotablesLargest EconomiesChinaJapanIndiaA t li
Other NotablesMalaysiaThailandSingaporePhili iAustralia
South KoreaIndonesia
PhilippinesVietnam
R i ERegion – Europe
ACI 400+ i t i 46 t i• ACI – 400+ airports in 46 countries• Total Passengers – 1.47 billion (2)
T t l C 17 9 illi t (3)• Total Cargo – 17.9 million tons (3)
Largest Economies Other NotablesLargest EconomiesGermanyFranceUKIt l
Other NotablesNetherlandsTurkey *SwitzerlandP l dItaly
RussiaSpain
PolandBelgiumSweden
R i L ti A iRegion – Latin America
ACI 250+ i t i 37 t i• ACI – 250+ airports in 37 countries• Total Passengers – 404 million (4)
T t l C 4 7 illi t (5)• Total Cargo – 4.7 million tons (5)
Largest Economies Other NotablesLargest EconomiesBrazilMexicoArgentinaV l
Other NotablesPeruEcuadorDominican RepublicG t lVenezuela
ColombiaChile
GuatemalaCosta RicaPanama
R i Middl E tRegion – Middle East
ACI 52 i t i 10 t i• ACI – 52 airports in 10 countries• Total Passengers – 207 million (5)
T t l C 5 9 illi t (4)• Total Cargo – 5.9 million tons (4)
Largest Economies Other NotablesLargest EconomiesTurkeyIranSaudi ArabiaI l
Other NotablesQatarCyprusBahrainOIsrael
United Arab EmiratesKuwait
Oman
R i N th A iRegion – North America
ACI 360 i t i 2 t i• ACI – ~360 airports in 2 countries• Total Passengers – 1.51 billion (1)
T t l C 28 7 illi t (2)• Total Cargo – 28.7 million tons (2)
Top O&D Airports Greatest Total Pax VolumeTop O&D AirportsLos AngelesLas VegasOrlandoAtl t
Greatest Total Pax VolumeAtlantaChicago (ORD)Dallas Fort WorthDAtlanta
Chicago (ORD)Denver
DenverNew York (JFK)Las Vegas
Projected CAGR through 2030(sorted by GDP)
Market GDP RPKAsia Pacific 4.7% 6.7%Af i 4 4% 5 1%Africa 4.4% 5.1%Latin America 4.2% 6.9%Middle East 4.1% 6.6%CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States) 3.4% 4.3%North America 2.7% 2.9%Europe 2 0% 4 3%Europe 2.0% 4.3%World 3.3% 5.1%Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook – 2011-2030, 2011
Projected World Aircraft Fleet
Aircraft Type 2010 2030Large 770 1,140Twin Aisle 3,640 8,570Single Aisle 12,100 27,750Regional 2 900 2 070Regional 2,900 2,070
Total 19,410 39,530Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook – 2011-2030, 2011
Existing Aircraft will represent 15% of the fleet in 2030 Projected compound annual growth of fleet – 3.6%
Commercial Fleet DistributionCommercial Fleet Distribution206%
85%41%
195%161%
23% 78%
Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook – 2011-2030, 2011
Five Largest Domestic Markets gby 2014
Country
Domestic Passengers (millions)
United States 671China 379Japan 102Japan 102Brazil 90India 69
Source: IATA Press release February 14, 2011
Current Business Aircraft FleetCurrent Business Aircraft FleetJets Turbo Total Avg. Age
PropsNorth America 11,850 7,027 18,877 16 yearsEurope 2,905 1,001 3,906 11 years
+1.5%
+1.9%
South America 1,831 1,747 3,578 17 yearsPacific Rim 562 406 968 11 yearsAfrica 399 419 818 19 years
+8%
+6%
Africa 399 419 818 19 yearsMiddle East 389 85 474 11 yearsAsia 173 101 274 10 years
Source: Flight International 2011 Business Aircraft Census, ACAS
Major and Recent Projects
Market > $500 Million > $5 BillionAfrica 8 0Asia Pacific 41 4Europe 42 3Middle East 18 5Middle East 18 5North America 42 7South America 8 0Source: Momberger