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Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents. Thomas Gaiser. WAVES Water Availability and Vulnerability of Ecosystems and Society in Northeast Brazil. Studying the interactions between water availability and lifelihood in semi-arid rural areas. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on
different continents
Thomas Gaiser
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
•Studying the interactions between water availability and lifelihood in semi-arid rural areas
WAVES
Water Availability and Vulnerability of Ecosystems and Society in Northeast Brazil
•Developing two integrative modeling approaches at
different regional scales
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Study area
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Two model approaches
Spatial scale Temporal scale
Extent Resolution Extent Resolution
SIM(Dynamic coupling)
"Macro-scale" (States of Piauí and Ceará)
Municipality 25 years(2000-2025)
Variable (1 day to 1 year)
MOSDEL(Data coupling, GIS)
"Meso-scale"(Guaribas water shed and municipality of Tauá)
1 ha 5 reference years
Variable(1 day to 1 year)
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
CearaState Ministry of PlanningState Institute for PlanningState Ministry of AgricultureState Ministry of Water ResourcesFederal University of CearaMunicipal Governement
Institutions involved in Germany
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Frequent dry years with water and food shortageHigh expenses for emergency aidFirst attempt to develop a tool for integrating
water and land use related sectors Involvement of the state secretary for planningWell established database managementDegree of complexity not too high
Incentives to use the project results
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Obstacles to adopt the developed modeling tools
Obstacles:
Relevant institutions were not participating from the very beginning
Transfer phase to shortLack of financial resources for additional staffPolitical changes
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
•Building of scenarios of integrated water resources management together with stakeholders to support the establishment of River Basin Management Plans (RBMP)
RIVERTWIN
Scientific and Technological Objectives
•Developing an integrated regional model for scenario
analysis and evaluation under contrasting ecological and
socioeconomic conditions in three river basins
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Central Europe:Neckar basin
Central Asia:Chirchik basin
West Africa:Oueme basin
Three selected river basins
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
LARSIM (HBV)
MODFLOWWEAP
Regi
onal
isie
rte K
limat
ypen
un
d -s
zena
rien
EPIC / SLISYS ACRE
QUAL2K
MONERIS
CASIMIR
OberflächenabflussGrundwasserKlima Wasser-
nutzung
Anbaumethoden, Erträge, diff. Einträge Agrarökonomie
Gewässer-ökologie
Gewässer-güte
Experten-systemSzenarien
Sozi
oöko
nom
isch
e An
nahm
en u
nd M
aßna
hmen
MO
SDEW
Inte
grat
ion
MOSDEW - Model for Sustainable Development of Water Resources – Coupling of submodels --
MOSDEW - Model for Sustainable Development of Water Resources – Coupling of submodels --
Chem.Water quality
Crop production anddiff. pollutions
Biol.Water quality
Agricultural economy
Surface and ground water flow
Integrationand evalution
Web-G
IS
Water demandScenario assumptions
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Stakeholder Participation in the „Story and
Simulation“ approach
Driving Forces
MOSDEW
Socio-economic and ecologicalEvaluation
Basin Management Plans
Agreement
Stake-holders
Output
Climatechange
Socio-economicchange
Indicators
Interventions
Input
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Neckar:Ministery of EnvironmentEnvironmental Protection AgencyRegional Commission Stuttgart („River basin
agency“)District administrationWater supply companies and associations
Institutions involved in Germany
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Incentives:
Political pressure from ECFirst project which truely integrated agricultural
sector and a wide range of water related problems
Technical and human capacity exist Insufficiency of existing toolsPotential end-user involved from the beginning
Incentives to use the project results
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Obstacles to adopt the developed modeling tools
Obstacles:
Lack of „integrating“ institutionFear to open the black box of existing toolsFear of becoming dependent on external know-how?Existing lobby for other approaches
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Oueme:Governmental Water AuthorityNational Agricultural Research CenterWater supply companyUniversity and national statistical officeLeaders of the districts (communes)
Institutions involved in Benin Republic
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Future institutional framework Oueme basin
Direction Generalede l´Eau
Datamanagement
unit
GIREGestion Integre des Resources
en Eau
(River basin committees)
Minstere de l´Agriculture, d´Elevage et de la peche
Ministere des Mines, de l´Energie et de l Hydraulique
Societe Beninoise des Eaux
et de l´Electricité
Chefs des departements et des communes
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Incentives:
New water law which makes basin related water management imperative
First project which tried to integrate agricultural and water sector
New water law making basin related water management imperative
End-user = project partner and involved from the beginning of the project
Incentives to use the project results in Benin
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Obstacles to adopt the developed modeling tools
Obstacles:
„Integrating“ institution is not yet establishedTechnical and human capacity exist only for some of
the submodelsFinancing of staff for database administration and
model maintenance not securedProject duration too shortPoor internet access for many of the administrative
institutionsTechnical and human capacity not yet well developed
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Chirchik:
Interstate Commission for Water Coordination
River basin agencyRegional water boardsWater User Associations
Institutions involved in Uzbekistan
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Institutional framework Chirchik basin
BWO “Syrdarya”Transboundary surface waters
ICWC
Keles irrigation unit
South Kazakhstan
province SCWR26 th. ha
Chirchik basin organization of
irrigation systems, Minagrowater Uz
382 th. ha
Reservoirs and HESJSC “Uzbekpower”2,5km3, 1230 MWt
Ground water resources: Ministry of
Geology
Irrigation systems and water canals
WUAs shirkats state farms
ICWC
Scientific Information
center
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Incentives:
Heavy competition for water between mainly hydropower generation and irrigation
Transboundary issuesProject tried to quantify not only water balance but
also economic aspects at the basin levelModelling is an established tool in the institutionEnd-user of the model = project partner
Incentives to use the project results in Uzbekistan
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Obstacles to adopt the developed modeling tools
Obstacles:
Project duration too short
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Factors encouraging model adoption
•Urgent problem that needs modeling approach („demand“)
•Participation of end-users of the models in the project planning (Desired output, scale etc.)
•Modelling and database management is an established tool in the institution
•End-user of the model = project partner•Favorable institutional setting when different sectors are concerned
•Own funding for end-users•Trust (Personal relationships, recognition of scientists)
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Obstacles for model adoption
• The product does not fit the needs• Insufficient technical and human capacity
=> Capacity building• Competition between institutions (ministries)
=>Coordination by „neutral“ academic institution• Lack of financial resources for model maintenance
=> Show the economic benefits• Lack of input and control data =>monitoring• Project duration (development and implementation
phase) too short
=> Flexible project time lifes
NMPI Workshop Stuttgart,12.–13. March 2007
Models and stakeholders: Lessons learnt from research on different continents
Thank you for your attention !