1
Settings PK model of concentrations of theophylline [2] Dose=4 mg n=10 sampling times t =(0.25, 0.5, 1, 2, 3.5, 5, 7, 9, 12, 24) Parallel study design Two-sequence two-period crossover study design 500 data sets under H 0 : =log(0.8) and H 1 : =log(1)=0 Evaluation on AUC with varying assumptions on w and g at the planning stage w (%) g (%) Low True High Low True High 10 22 30 5 15 25 w (%) g (%) s intercept (mg/L) s slope (%) 50 15 0.1 10 Same w and g for all PK parameters P= S =0 Background Bioequivalence (BE) studies are performed to compare pharmacokinetics (PK) of drug formulations with, traditionally, the two one-sided test (TOST) using estimates of area under the curve (AUC) and maximal concentration (Cmax) obtained by non-compartmental analysis (NCA). Assumptions on the expected variability of AUC and Cmax are needed for sample size calculation (between subject (w) and within subject (g) standard deviation), and in case of uncertainty, it has been recently proposed to perform two-stage studies considering group sequential and adaptive designs for NCA-based BE [1]. In a previous work [2], we proposed a model-based TOST as an alternative to NCA-based TOST. Objectives To extend model-based statistical approaches for BE assessment to two-stage group sequential and adaptive designs and evaluate them by clinical trial simulation. Model-based approach for group sequential and adaptive designs in parallel and cross-over bioequivalence studies Manel Rakez (1), Julie Bertrand (1), Florence Loingeville (1), Thu Thuy Nguyen (1), France Mentré (1), Andrew Babiskin (2), Guoying Sun (3), Liang Zhao (2) and Lanyan (Lucy) Fang (2) (1) INSERM, IAME, UMR 1137, F-75018 Paris, France, (2) Office of Research and Standards, Office of Generic Drugs, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, 10903 New Hampshire Ave, Silver Spring, MD 20993, USA, (3) Office of Biostatistics, Office of Translational Sciences, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, 10903 New Hampshire Ave, Silver Spring, MD 20993, USA Introduction References [1] Maurer W, Jones B, Chen Y. Controlling the type I error rate in two-stage sequential adaptive designs when testing for average bioequivalence. Stat Med. 2018; 37(10):1587-1607; [2] Dubois A, Lavielle M, Gsteiger S, Piegeolet E, Mentré F. Model-based analyses of bioequivalence crossover trials using the SAEM algorithm. Stat Med. 2011;30:2582-2600; [3] Emmanuelle Comets, Audrey Lavenu, Marc Lavielle (2017). Parameter estimation in nonlinear mixed effect models using saemix, an R implementation of the SAEM algorithm. Journal of Statistical Software, 80(3), 1-41; [4] Monolix version 2018R1. Antony, France: Lixoft SAS, 2018. http://lixoft.com/products/monolix/; [5] Oehlert, Gary W. A Note on the Delta Method. The American Statistician, vol. 46, no. 1, 1992, pp. 27–29; [6] Dumont C, Lestini G, Le Nagard H, Mentré F, Comets E, Nguyen TT and the PFIM group. PFIM 4.0, an extended R program for design evaluation and optimization in nonlinear mixed-effect models. Comput Methods Programs Biomed. 2018;156:217–29; [7] Kieser M, Rauch G. Two-stage designs for cross-over bioequivalence trials. Stat Med. 2015; 34(16):2403-16. We showed that BE assessment is feasible using a model-based approach, which is an extension of these designs for NCA BE [1] with preserved type I errors in most cases and N END similar or reduced compared to OS design TSA is of interest when a higher variability was assumed at the planning stage than the one actually obtained from the first stage Further extensions are needed for sparse design where asymptotic standard errors can be too small [2] Methods Simulation study Conclusion w ka (%) w v (%) w Cl (%) s intercept (mg/L) s slope (%) 22 11 22 0.1 10 Two one-sided test (TOST): The null hypothesis of BE on the treatment effect on log(AUC) or log(Cmax), , is decomposed into 0,− : { ≤ − } and 0, : { } where =log (1.25) 0.22. = + / and = − / with rejection at level α if 1− and ≤ − 1− where SE denotes standard error and 1− the 1-a quantile of a Gaussian. Model-based (MB) TOST Estimation using Nonlinear mixed effects models in saemix R package [3] for parallel design studies and the Monolix software [4] for crossover design studies. AUC and C max are secondary parameters of the PK model, such that is a nonlinear function of PK parameters fixed effects and their associated treatment effect coefficient. ( ) are determined from the observed Fisher information matrix, by the delta method [5]. Sample size calculation Depends on the PK parameters fixed effects, the residual error, the assumed w, g (for crossover studies) and as well as the type I error α (0.05) and the power 1- b (0.8). Derived using the expected population Fisher Information Matrix [6]. Two-stage study design One-stage (OS) study design Sample size n 1 depends on weight w 1 such that n 1 /n 2 =w 1 /1-w 1 . Here w 1 =0.5 so n 1 = N OS /2 type I error a 1 (stage 1) =a 2 (stage 2)=0.0304 to ensure global a≤0.05[7]. Data collection and analysis 1 , ω 1 , γ 1 Z ± 1 TOST at a 1 BE passes Power estimate for 1 and 1 ≥0.8 BE fails <0.8 Standard combination test [1] w 1 Z ± 1 + (1 − 1 ) Z ± 2 at a 2 Data collection and analysis 2 , ω 2 , γ 2 Z ± 2 TOST at a 2 n 2 =n 1 =N OS /2 Sample size n 2 calculation using 1 , ω 1 , γ 1 and a 2 BE fails BE passes BE fails BE passes Sequential (TSS) Adaptative (TSA) Stage 1 Sample size N OS Data collection and analysis , ω , γ Z ± TOST at a BE passes BE fails Type 1 error for parallel (o) and crossover ( Δ) designs for OS, TSS and TSA In most cases TSS and TSA type 1 error estimates are within the 0.05 prediction interval [0.0326-0.0729] Sample size (median [5-95%]) at the end of the study (N END ) under H 0 under H 1 TSS and TSA lead to similar or lower N END than OS (but for TSA parallel design when assumed w and g are too low) Under H 1 , TSS and TSA stop at stage 1 half of the time, when assumed w and g are too high Power for parallel (o) and crossover ( Δ) designs for OS, TSS and TSA TSS and TSA power are lower than OS, but the difference reduces when assumed w and g get close or higher than the true w and g Stage 2 Acknowledgement & Disclaimer Funding for this project was made possible by the FDA (Office of Generic Drugs) through contract # HHSF223201610110C. The views presented in this poster are those of authors and do not necessarily reflect views or policies of the FDA.

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Page 1: Model-based approach for group sequential and adaptive ...€¦ · Model-based approach for group sequential and adaptive designs in parallel and cross-over bioequivalence studies

Settings• PK model of concentrations of theophylline [2]• Dose=4 mg

• n=10 sampling times t =(0.25, 0.5, 1, 2, 3.5, 5, 7, 9, 12, 24)• Parallel study design

• Two-sequence two-period crossover study design

• 500 data sets under H0: 𝛽𝑇𝑟 =log(0.8) and H1: 𝛽𝑇𝑟=log(1)=0• Evaluation on AUC with varying assumptions on w and g

at the planning stage

w (%) g (%)

Low True High Low True High

10 22 30 5 15 25

w (%) g (%) sintercept (mg/L) sslope (%)

50 15 0.1 10

Same w and g for all PK parameters

𝛽P=𝛽S=0

Background• Bioequivalence (BE) studies are performed to compare pharmacokinetics (PK) of drug formulations with, traditionally, the two one-sided test (TOST) using estimates of area

under the curve (AUC) and maximal concentration (Cmax) obtained by non-compartmental analysis (NCA).• Assumptions on the expected variability of AUC and Cmax are needed for sample size calculation (between subject (w) and within subject (g) standard deviation), and in case of

uncertainty, it has been recently proposed to perform two-stage studies considering group sequential and adaptive designs for NCA-based BE [1].• In a previous work [2], we proposed a model-based TOST as an alternative to NCA-based TOST.

Objectives• To extend model-based statistical approaches for BE assessment to two-stage group sequential and adaptive designs and evaluate them by clinical trial simulation.

Model-based approach for group sequential and adaptive designs in parallel and cross-over bioequivalence studies

Manel Rakez (1), Julie Bertrand (1), Florence Loingeville (1), Thu Thuy Nguyen (1), France Mentré (1), Andrew Babiskin (2), Guoying Sun (3), Liang Zhao (2) and Lanyan (Lucy) Fang (2)

(1) INSERM, IAME, UMR 1137, F-75018 Paris, France, (2) Office of Research and Standards, Office of Generic Drugs, Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, 10903 New Hampshire Ave, Silver Spring, MD 20993, USA, (3) Office of Biostatistics, Office of Translational Sciences, Center

for Drug Evaluation and Research, Food and Drug Administration, 10903 New Hampshire Ave, Silver Spring, MD 20993, USA

Introduction

References[1] Maurer W, Jones B, Chen Y. Controlling the type I error rate in two-stage sequential adaptive designs when testing for average bioequivalence. Stat Med. 2018; 37(10):1587-1607; [2] Dubois A, Lavielle M, Gsteiger S, Piegeolet E, Mentré F. Model-based analyses of bioequivalence crossover trials using the SAEM algorithm. Stat Med. 2011;30:2582-2600; [3] Emmanuelle Comets, Audrey Lavenu, Marc Lavielle(2017). Parameter estimation in nonlinear mixed effect models using saemix, an R implementation of the SAEM algorithm. Journal of Statistical Software, 80(3), 1-41; [4] Monolix version 2018R1. Antony, France: Lixoft SAS, 2018. http://lixoft.com/products/monolix/; [5] Oehlert, Gary W. A Note on the Delta Method. The American Statistician, vol. 46, no. 1, 1992, pp. 27–29; [6] Dumont C, Lestini G, Le Nagard H,Mentré F, Comets E, Nguyen TT and the PFIM group. PFIM 4.0, an extended R program for design evaluation and optimization in nonlinear mixed-effect models. Comput Methods Programs Biomed. 2018;156:217–29; [7] Kieser M, Rauch G. Two-stage designs for cross-over bioequivalence trials. Stat Med. 2015; 34(16):2403-16.

• We showed that BE assessment is feasible using a model-based approach, which is an extension of these designs for NCA BE [1]

• with preserved type I errors in most cases and NEND similar or reduced compared to OS design

• TSA is of interest when a higher variability was assumed at the planning stage than the one actually obtained from the first stage

• Further extensions are needed for sparse design where asymptotic standard errors can be too small [2]

Methods

Simulation study

Conclusion

wka (%) wv (%) wCl (%) sintercept (mg/L) sslope (%)

22 11 22 0.1 10

Two one-sided test (TOST): • The null hypothesis of BE on the treatment effect on log(AUC) or log(Cmax), 𝛽𝑇𝑟, is

decomposed into 𝐻0,−𝛿: {𝛽𝑇𝑟 ≤ −𝛿} and 𝐻0,𝛿: {𝛽𝑇𝑟 ≥ 𝛿} where 𝛿=log (1.25) ≈0.22.

• 𝒁−𝜹 = 𝛽𝑇𝑟 + 𝛿 /𝑆𝐸 𝛽𝑇𝑟 and 𝒁𝜹 = 𝛽𝑇𝑟 − 𝛿 /𝑆𝐸 𝛽𝑇𝑟 with rejection at level α if

𝑍−𝛿 ≥ 𝑧1−𝛼 and 𝑍𝛿 ≤ −𝑧1−𝛼 where SE denotes standard error and 𝑧1−𝛼 the 1-aquantile of a Gaussian.

Model-based (MB) TOST• Estimation using Nonlinear mixed effects models in saemix R package [3] for

parallel design studies and the Monolix software [4] for crossover design studies. • AUC and Cmax are secondary parameters of the PK model, such that 𝛽𝑇𝑟 is a

nonlinear function of PK parameters fixed effects and their associated treatment effect coefficient.

• 𝑆𝐸(𝛽𝑇𝑟) are determined from the observed Fisher information matrix, by the delta method [5].

Sample size calculation• Depends on the PK parameters fixed effects, the residual error, the assumed w, g

(for crossover studies) and 𝛽𝑇𝑟 as well as the type I error α (0.05) and the power 1-b (0.8).

• Derived using the expected population Fisher Information Matrix [6].

Two-stage study design

One-stage (OS) study design

Sample size n1

depends on weight w1 such that n1/n2=w1/1-w1. Here w1=0.5 so n1= NOS/2 type I error a1 (stage 1) =a2 (stage 2)=0.0304 to ensure global a≤0.05[7].

Data collection and analysis 𝛽𝑇𝑟1,ෝω1, ොγ1Z±𝛿1TOST at a1

BE passesPower estimate for 𝛽𝑇𝑟1 and 𝑆𝐸 𝛽𝑇𝑟1

≥0.8 BE fails <0.8

Standard combination test [1]w1Z±𝛿1 + (1 − 𝑤1) Z±𝛿2 at a2

Data collection and analysis 𝛽𝑇𝑟2,ෝω2, ොγ2 Z±𝛿2

TOST at a2

n2=n1=NOS/2 Sample size n2 calculation using 𝛽𝑇𝑟1,ෝω1, ොγ1 and a2

BE fails BE passesBE failsBE passes

Sequential (TSS) Adaptative (TSA)

Stag

e 1

Sample size NOS

Data collection and analysis𝛽𝑇𝑟 ,ෝω , ොγ → Z±𝛿

TOST at a

BE passes

BE fails

Type 1 error for parallel (o) and crossover (Δ) designsfor OS, TSS and TSA

In most cases TSS and TSA type 1 error estimates are within the 0.05 prediction interval [0.0326-0.0729]

Sample size (median [5-95%]) at the end of the study (NEND)under H0 under H1

TSS and TSA lead to similar or lower NEND than OS (but for TSA parallel design when assumed w and g are too low) Under H1, TSS and TSA stop at stage 1 half of the time, when assumed w and g are too high

Power for parallel (o) and crossover (Δ) designsfor OS, TSS and TSA

TSS and TSA power are lower than OS, but the difference reduces when assumed w and g get close or higher than the true w and g

Stag

e 2

Acknowledgement & DisclaimerFunding for this project was made possible by the FDA (Office of Generic Drugs) through contract # HHSF223201610110C. The views presented in this poster are those of authorsand do not necessarily reflect views or policies of the FDA.