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MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: APRIL 29, 2020 Divyakant Tahlyan Hani Mahmassani Northwestern University Transportation Center

MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

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Page 1: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: APRIL 29, 2020

Divyakant TahlyanHani Mahmassani

Northwestern University Transportation Center

Page 2: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

MAIN TAKEAWAYS

1. Number of vehicle crashes in Chicago continues to be slowly ticking back up after its low in the wek of March 22-28, but remains about 50% below the levels of the pre-shelter in place order.

2. Crash severity in relative frequency terms continues to be above its pre-lockdown level, though appears to be gradually decreasing from peak reached in week of March 29-April 4– but not the percentage of fatal crashes, which is higher in the past two weeks than the week of March 29-April 4.

3. Crashes involving pedestrians continue a decreasing trend since the lockdown, though the percentage of fatalities is higher post-lockdown.

Page 3: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

CRASHES IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO2019 VERSUS 2020

Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over the last 2-3 weeks

Page 4: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

This is an animation, see in presentation mode

WEEKLY NUMBER OF CRASHESM A RCH 1 TO A PR IL 25 , 2020

Weekly snapshots in next slide

2048 2053

1330

824 905 876985 1016

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Mar 1 - Mar 7

Mar 8 - Mar 14

Mar 15 - Mar 21

Mar 22 - Mar 28

Mar 29 - Apr 4

Apr 5 - Apr 11

Apr 12 - Apr 18

Apr 19 - Apr 25

Num

ber

of C

rash

es

Time Period

Number of Crashes per Week

2050.5

1691.5

1077864.5 890.5 930.5 1000.5

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Mar 1 - Mar 14

Mar 8 - Mar 21

Mar 15 - Mar 28

Mar 22 - Apr 4

Mar 29 - Apr 11

Apr 5 - Apr 18

Apr 12 - Apr 25

Num

ber

of C

rash

es

Time Period

2-Week Rolling Average

Page 5: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over
Page 6: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

CRASHES BY SEVERITY TYPE

85.6

4

5.18 6.

88

1.66

0.05

84.9

0

4.92 7.

55

1.75

0.05

83.6

1

4.44

8.50

2.11

0.00

83.2

5

4.37

9.10

2.18

0.12

83.3

1

4.42

8.51

2.65

0.22

84.5

9

5.82 6.51

2.17

0.23

86.8

0

3.15

7.41

2.03

0.41

84.7

4

3.84

9.06

1.77

0.30

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

90.00

100.00

'NO INDICATION OF INJURY' 'REPORTED, NOT EVIDENT' 'NONINCAPACITATINGINJURY'

'INCAPACITATING INJURY' FATAL'

Perc

enta

ge

Injury Severity

Mar 1 - Mar 7 Mar 8 - Mar 14 Mar 15 - Mar 21 Mar 22 - Mar 28 Mar 29 - Apr 4 Apr 5 - Apr 11 Apr 12 - Apr 18 Apr 19 - Apr 25

Page 7: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

PEDESTRIAN CRASHES

Page 8: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

PEDESTRAIN CRASHES PER WEEK

62

48

37

25

3427

14

24

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Mar 1 - Mar 7

Mar 8 - Mar 14

Mar 15 - Mar 21

Mar 22 - Mar 28

Mar 29 - Apr 4

Apr 5 - Apr 11

Apr 12 - Apr 18

Apr 19 - Apr 25

Num

ber

of C

rash

es

Time Period

Number of Pedestrain involved Crashes

55

42.5

31 29.5 30.5

20.5 19

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Mar 1 - Mar 14

Mar 8 - Mar 21

Mar 15 - Mar 28

Mar 22 - Apr 4

Mar 29 - Apr 11

Apr 5 - Apr 18

Apr 12 - Apr 25

Num

ber

of C

rash

es

Time Period

2 Week Rolling Average

Page 9: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

PEDESTRAIN CRASHES’ SEVERITY

14.5

2

24.1

9

46.7

7

14.5

2

0.00

18.7

5

18.7

5

52.0

8

10.4

2

0.00

13.5

1

18.9

2

56.7

6

10.8

1

0.00

8.00

8.00

60.0

0

20.0

0

4.00

32.3

5

8.82

38.2

4

17.6

5

2.94

11.1

1

29.6

3

29.6

3

25.9

3

3.70

7.14

7.14

64.2

9

21.4

3

0.00

12.5

0

8.33

66.6

7

8.33

4.17

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

'NO INDICATION OF INJURY' 'REPORTED, NOT EVIDENT' 'NONINCAPACITATING INJURY' 'INCAPACITATING INJURY' FATAL'

Perc

enta

ge

Injury Severity

Mar 1 - Mar 7 Mar 8 - Mar 14 Mar 15 - Mar 21 Mar 22 - Mar 28 Mar 29 - Apr 4 Apr 5 - Apr 11 Apr 12 - Apr 18 Apr 19 - Apr 25

Page 10: MOBILITY TRENDS AND COVID-19 IN THE CITY OF CHICAGO: … · 2020-05-08 · CITY OF CHICAGO 2019 VERSUS 2020 Looks like the number of daily crashes are on a slight upward trend over

AVAILABLE DATA FROM THE CITY OF CHICAGO

Crash Data: https://data.cityofchicago.org/Transportation/Traffic-Crashes-Crashes/85ca-t3if (Updated Regularly)

Chicago Congestion Estimates: https://data.cityofchicago.org/Transportation/Chicago-Traffic-Tracker-Congestion-Estimates-by-Se/n4j6-wkkf (Uses CTA GPS data to estimated link speeds on city network every couple seconds/minutes, updated regularly)

Red Light traffic violations: https://data.cityofchicago.org/Transportation/Red-Light-Camera-Violations/spqx-js37 (last updated March 24)

Speed Camera Violations: https://data.cityofchicago.org/Transportation/Speed-Camera-Violations/hhkd-xvj4 (last updated March 24)

Chicago Taxi Data: https://data.cityofchicago.org/Transportation/Taxi-Trips/wrvz-psew (last updated Dec 31, 2019)

Chicago Divvy Bikes data: https://divvy-tripdata.s3.amazonaws.com/index.html (last updated Dec 31 2020)

L Entry data: https://data.cityofchicago.org/Transportation/CTA-Ridership-L-Station-Entries-Daily-Totals/5neh-572f (last updated Dec 31, 2019)

CTA ridership info: https://data.cityofchicago.org/Transportation/CTA-List-of-CTA-Datasets/pnau-cf66 (last update Dec 31, 2019)

Note: Data in red is where updated information is available for the month of March/April