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©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. All rights reserved. Micron and the Micron logo are trademarks of Micron Technology, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respec@ve owners.
1 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
Mobile Memory Outlook
Wei Shi
Regional Marke:ng, Mobile Business Unit
September 16th, 2015
September 28, 2015
2 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
Micron at a Glance
September 28, 2015
• Founded: October 1978, Boise, Idaho
• FY2014 Net Sales: $16.4 billion
• NASDAQ Symbol: MU
• Employees: ~30,000 worldwide
• Products: We offer one of the world’s broadest memory porVolios, including: DRAM components and modules, SSDs, NAND, and NOR, as well as other innova:ve memory technologies, packaging solu:ons and semiconductor systems
• Markets We Serve: Micron's products are designed to meet the diverse needs of compu:ng, networking, server, consumer, mobile, automo:ve, and industrial applica:ons
• Patents: ~26,000
3 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
Expansive Product Offering
September 28, 2015
SDRAM DDR DDR2 DDR3 DDR4 RLDRAM® Mobile LPDRAM PSRAM/ CellularRAM
DRAM Families
FBDIMM RDIMM VLP RDIMM VLP UDIMM UDIMM SODIMM SORDIMM Mini-‐DIMM VLP Mini-‐DIMM LRDIMM NVDIMM
DRAM Modules
Bare Die Mul:ple Technologies
NAND Flash TLC, MLC, SLC Serial NAND Enterprise NAND NAND MCP 3D NAND Solid State Drives
Client SSD Enterprise SATA Enterprise SAS Enterprise PCIe
Managed NAND MCP eMMC™ UFS (3D) Embedded USB
NOR Flash Parallel NOR Serial NOR NOR MCP
4 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
User Expecta:ons for Tomorrow’s Mobile Client
September 28, 2015
Users are always connected to Internet
Camera pixels con:nue to increase
Rising video content and resolu:on
More powerful CPUs w/ mul:ple-‐core
Improve baiery life without put on weight
Storage demands increase for apps and media
Mobile phone is the hub of ecosystem of connected experience
5 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
Near Term Smartphone Trends
September 28, 2015
Representa:ve SKUs System Level Trends Memory Implica:ons High-‐end
Mi Note Pro OnePlus 2
Ecosystem’ differenOaOon • Architectural license • Advanced camera func:onality • Apps Store/Content • QHD/UHD screen resolu:on
Mid-‐end
X5 R7
SpecificaOon’ differenOaOon • Carrier-‐Aggrega:on, LTE-‐A • big.LITTLE Octa-‐core • QHD screen resolu:on
Low-‐end
A51 F1
Cost’ differenOaOon • Single Chip (AP+BB) solu:on • 3 months :me to market • Reduced features and hardware spec
Discrete Solu:on
BB AP
eMMC or UFS LPD
Integrated Memory Solu:on
BB AP
eMCP
Discrete Solu:on
BB AP
eMMC or UFS LPD
OR BB AP
eMCP
Integrated Solu:on
6 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
2015-‐2016 Micron Solu:ons for Snapdragon
September 28, 2015
2015-‐2016 Qualcomm 2015-‐2016 Micron memory
800 Series
3GB-‐4GB LPDDR4 PoP (25nm 1600MHz -‐> 20nm 1866MHz) 3GB-‐4GB LPDDR3 PoP 16GB, 32GB eMMC5.1/UFS w/ 3D NAND
600 Series
3GB-‐4GB LPDDR3 PoP eMMC5.0/5.1 + LPDDR3, 221b (800MHz-‐>933MHz) 32GB+32Gb 32GB/16GB+24Gb 32GB/16GB+16Gb 16GB/8GB+8Gb
400 Series
eMMC5.0/5.1 + LPDDR3, 221b (800MHz-‐>933MHz) 16GB+16Gb 16GB/8GB+8Gb
200 Series
eMMC4.5 + LPDDR3, 221b 8GB+8Gb 4GB+4Gb
8994
8992
8996
8909
8916
8939
8929
8952
8976
8956
7 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
Display, Video and Camera
September 28, 2015
400 400
534
801
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Screen Resolu:on Video Resolu:on Memory Configura:on
FHD FHD 2GB LP3
UHD UHD 4GB LP4
QHD UHD 3GB LP4
3.2 6.4
12.8
25.6
50.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Slow mo:on 8MP x32 LP2
Face recogni:on 20MP x64 LP3/x32 LP4
3D camera/Computer vision 25MP x128 LP3/x64 LP4
What’s next? 30MP x128 LP4
Differen:a:ng features Camera Sensor Memory Configura:on(s)
AOHDR 16MP x32 LP3
Pixel Density of 5.5” Device (PPI) Bandwidth (GB/s)
Source: MBU Strategic Marke:ng
8 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
Mobile Phone Market Updates
September 28, 2015
Key Trends Millions of Units Average DRAM GB/sys
Market Data
§ Modest Unit TAM growth CAGR ~10%
§ Cannibaliza:on of feature phone by low-‐end Smartphone (China export + local kings in emerging markets)
§ India’s near-‐term growth in ques:on (GDP/Capita, infrastructure rollout)
§ Near term Smartphone inventory leads to slight correc:on in forecast
Source: MBU Strategic Marke:ng
525 368 257 231 208 187
621 718
784 850 898 937
473 469 520 565 597 621
371 386 405 436
460 479
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Feature phone Value
2.7
4.6
1.8
3.9
1.0
3.1
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
High Premium Value
Source: MBU Strategic Marke:ng
9 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
Mobile Memory (by Package)
September 28, 2015
§ MCP s:ll expected to grow to ~55% of overall mobile
§ LP3àLP4 transi:on expected to drive PoP adop:on in 2016 (for mid-‐end)
§ Flagship phones with LP4 (3.7Gbps) expected to launch in Q1 2016
Millions of Units Millions of Units
Source: MBU Strategic Marke:ng
-‐
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
LP2 LP3 LP4 LPx
888 922 1,038 1,119 1,196 1,245
816 894
918 985
1,020 1,059
-‐
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
PoP MCP
Key Trends Memory Market Data
Source: MBU Strategic Marke:ng
10 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
PoP LPDRAM Assump:ons
September 28, 2015
PoP DRAM Units (Mu) Mix of PoP DRAM density (%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
6GB 4GB 3GB 2GB 1.5GB 1GB 0.5GB
816 894 918
985 1,020 1,059
-‐
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Key Trends PoP DRAM Market Data
§ Screen Resolu:on-‐ widespread availability of beyond Full HD content leads users to desire QHD/UHD displays (600ppi)
§ Vision compu:ng intensive applica:ons such as face recogni:on, dual depth camera applica:ons driving 30M pixel and mul:ple sensors in high-‐end
§ Expected 4GB adop:on in Android H/E star:ng in 2015
§ RFP on 6GB PoP out of China
Source: MBU Strategic Marke:ng
11 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
eMCP/uMCP Assump:ons
September 28, 2015
Mix of eMCP/uMCP density (%) uMCP/eMCP Units (Mu)
Source: MBU Strategic Marke:ng
141 41
746
710
583 480
219
147 351
354
420
382
24 104 286
557
844
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
uMCP eMCP4 eMCP3 eMCP2
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
4GB 3GB 2GB 1.5GB <=1GB
Key Trends eMCP Market Data
§ eMCP4 introduc:on driving density to be 3GB+ density
§ Density will increase due to Android system requirements: § Android L and 64bit chip requirements
§ Con:nuing higher MP cameras
§ Con:nuing higher resolu:on displays
Source: MBU Strategic Marke:ng
12 | ©2015 Micron Technology, Inc. | Micron Confiden:al
Dedica:on to Customer Success
September 28, 2015
1
3
4
5
2
7
8
6
1. Milpitas, California
2. Boise, Idaho 3. Munich, Germany
4. South Korea 5. Japan 6. China • Shanghai • Beijing • Shenzhen • Taiwan
7. Singapore ü Hardware design reviews ü Enablement and performance op:miza:on ü System/PlaVorm qualifica:on
ü Timing and signal analysis ü New features enablement
Micron Customer Engineering Lab LocaOons