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Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report [email protected]

Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report [email protected]

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Page 1: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Mobile Imaging 2.0

Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile ImagingThe 6Sight Report

[email protected]

Page 2: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Camera Sales: 2004 – 2013

Mill

ion

s of

un

its

Page 3: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Still Room for Growth

Page 4: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Ubiquity

-It’s the camera you always have with you

Connectivity

-Always connected:

•to family, friends, colleagues

•to the internet

•to the world

Camera-phone advantages vs. standalone cameras:

2000 – 2009

Page 5: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Image quality = Unsatisfactory Hardware design / ergonomics = Awkward Software design / interface =

Impenetrable Transfer options = Too few, too

complicated Interoperability = Virtually none Data plans = Expensive, complex Networks = Too slow, spotty coverage Mobile imaging ecosystem = Nonexistent –

immature

Initial Inhibitors to Mainstream Usage

Page 6: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 7: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 8: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 9: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 10: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 11: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 12: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 13: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 14: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Resolution Trends: 2005 – 2013

Page 15: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Resolution Trends: 2009 – 2013

Page 16: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Resolution: U.S. Handsets

Page 17: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Resolution: U.S. vs Global

Page 18: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

MMS Growth: U.S. & Global

Page 19: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Steadily increasing resolution

- VGA > 1.3MP > 2MP > 3MP > 5MP > 8MP > 12MP > 20MP >> ??

Improving sensors

- Size (1.75 µm > 1.4 µm > 1.1 µm > 0.9 µm), sensitivity (FSI > BSI > Quantum Film)

Auto-focus

- Table stakes for premium phones, becoming mainstream (even the iPhone); new technologies beginning to appear

Improving video capabilities

- Capture & playback — VGA @ 30 fps > 720p > 1080p (2011~2012)

DSC features

- anti-shake, face detection & recognition, blink detection, red-eye removal, smile shutter, panorama stitching, scene modes, sophisticated metering/focusing schemes, mechanical shutters, Xenon flash

Camera-Phone Trends 2010

Page 20: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Impressive displays

- Larger, tighter, deeper palettes, AMOLED/TV technology, accelerometers, multi-touch interfaces (pico projectors already on the market)

Geo-tagging

- GPS increasingly common (in 21% of all handsets in 2009)

Multiple connectivity options

- Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, USB, removable media (70%), automatic network uploads

Optical zoom

- Likely to remain rare for a while longer

Camera-Phone Trends 2010

Page 21: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

• iPhone Sales by Quarter

Q3’07 270,000 (original iPhone released)Q4’07 1,119,000Q1’08 2,315,000Q2’08 1,703,000Q3’08 717,000Q4’08 6,892,000 (iPhone 3G released)Q1’09 4,363,000Q2’09 3,793,000Q3’09 5,200,000Q4’09 7,400,000 (iPhone 3GS released)Q1’10 8,750,000

• Total 42,522,000

Page 22: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

150,000 + iPhone apps

More than 10 million per day

4 Billion + downloaded so far

‣ 7 Billion apps in 2009

‣ 50 Billion a year by 2012

- all app stores (38 & counting) - GetJar

$4.1 Billion business in 2009

‣ $17.5 Billion in 2012

- all app stores - GetJar

Page 23: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 24: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 25: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

Smart phones vs. dumb cameras

- Simplified, touch-based, purpose-driven/contextual interfaces

- Real operating systems

- Open vs. closed

- App stores

- Malleable, extendable, customizable

- Generate revenue, trigger actions

- Accessorize, personalize to suit your own needs

Camera-phone advantages vs. standalone cameras:

2010 – ??

Page 26: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com
Page 27: Mobile Imaging 2.0 Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging The 6Sight Report thenning@6sight.com

What do you think?• Tony Henning – Senior Analyst, Mobile Imaging

[email protected]

• 6Sight Report – www.6sightreport.com

• 6Sight Future of Imaging Conference – www.6sight.com