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MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and Susan E. hodge

MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

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Page 1: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

MMLS-C

By : Laurence Bisht

References :The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex

Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and Susan E. hodge

Page 2: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Overview

Introducing the problem. Goals.. Intuition. What is MMLS? What is MMLS-C? Generating Models. Results.

Discussion

Page 3: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Introducing The Problem …

What is it? Analyzing Complex diseases, i.e. analyzing

human linkage data.

Page 4: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Our Goal Is …

Finding the disease gene’s locations.

Limitations : Complex Disease. MOI (Mode Of Inheritance) is unknown. Using all data available, somehow… Get a Powerful Method, stable and reliable one.

Page 5: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

What was in Lecture 8… Affected sib pair (ASP) Affected Pedigree Member (APM) Nonparametric linkage (NPL)

Fact 1:We need to Exploit all data we have.

But… These method’s use ONLY affected family

members.

Intuition To MMLS-C

Page 6: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Intuition Cont.Fact 2: Maximum Likelihood analysis via LOD-

score, assuming we have the inheritance model is most powerful method for finding linkage.

Page 7: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Solution 1.Use Maximum likelihood analyzes trying all

modes of inheritance .. Why not? Is it logical?

Suppose given a super machine that can do it… how will this work?problem :

1. How will we compare?

Page 8: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Solution 2 – MMLS Choose several models. Run the Maximum likelihood analyzes for

every chosen model- (LOD-score). Take max(Z) as the test statistic for

linkage.

This is MMLS – Maximizing the Maximum LOD-Score

Page 9: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

MMLS – analyzes Negative sides.1. Using Several parameters (models),

Multiple tests … Result: Increase of type I error.

2. Unknown effect on the statistical power.

3. Most important: Is there a reason to believe that the models we used can lead us somewhere close to the true model?

Page 10: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Solving 1 Using Several parameters (models), Multiple

tests … Result: Increase of type I error.

We will show that: If we perform linkage analyzes twice, once

assuming recessive and once assuming dominant, with an arbitrary penetrance of 50% Then :

The Z threshold must be increased by at most ~0.3 for Zmax <3.

Page 11: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Solution facts Too stringent.. in most cases examined..

Suggestion: Perform the test twice with the two models proposed. take arbitrary penetrance (0.5 is good) take the larger between the two resultant Zmax subtract 0.3 to “correct” the result

It has been shown that: when there is linkage, Zmax relatively modest as the penetrance is varied. (relatively little information is lost assuming a single penetrance).

Page 12: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Points 2 and 3. Simulation study will answer them …

Simulation will : Quantify the effect of correction for multiple

testing. Examine the power to detect linkage in two

cases discussed later…

Page 13: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Generating Models D20,D80- Dominant with 20% and 80%

penetrance. R20,R80- Recessive with 20% and 80%

penetrance. Int10,Int30,Int50,Int80 – Intermediate (i.e.

heterozygote penetrance is 10%, 30%, 50%, 80% while the homozygote will always be 90% and 0%).

note that when f2=0 (homozygote penetrance) its simple recessive

Page 14: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Generating Models Cont. The MMLS power is expressed when f2=5-15% .. A hard case…

Additive-3 , additive-2: Two loci models. when it is required at least 3, 2 (accordingly) disease alleles at the two loci.

Page 15: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Generating Models Cont. Always one disease locus linked to the

marker with recombination fraction (theta = 0.01).

for the additive model the other one is linked and for the other we will examine 3 recombination fractions:

0.1, 0.05, 0.01

Page 16: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Simulation Parameters They examined 14 Generated Models one

of each.

On modified version of the Two-locus simulation program for Greenberg (their program)

1000 datasets of 20 families.

Page 17: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Simple MMLS-C Running MMLS for R50 and D50, as

previously described. Correction factor was varied*

~0.24 when Zmax< 0.59

~0.3 when Zmax< 0.59

*(according to hodge (1997))

Page 18: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Results Table Notice that:

Max[D50,R50] <

E[raw MMLS]=~

E[MMLS-C]+0.30<

E[True]

Page 19: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Power Vs. LOD-Score

Page 20: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Power Vs. LOD-Score

Page 21: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Power Vs. LOD-Score

Page 22: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Power Table

Page 23: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Discussion … Our main goal was : Examine the power to detect linkage using

MMLS-C After we passed over the results we can

see the following: MMLS-C doesn’t substantially decrease the

power compared with the True MOI. The range of the MMLS-C – TRUE was [0.3,0.7]

(except for three case )

Page 24: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

ASP Vs. MMLS-C

Page 25: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

Conclusions Pro :

MMLS-C is a simple method for analyzing complex diseases.

Exploits all data available. Reliable. The assumption that the linkage at the locus

being tested is critical.

Against : Was tested on small data set. not always the best method.

Page 26: MMLS-C By : Laurence Bisht References : The Power to Detect Linkage in Complex Diseases Means of Simple LOD-score Analyses. By David A.,Paula Abreu and

The End!