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MJC 2011 H1 Econs crowding Out effect
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Crowding Effect: An evaluation to the use of Expansionary Fiscal Policy
For H2s:
• Government spending if financed by from D1 to D2 � upward pressure on i/rborrowing � cost of borrowing > expected yielf of the investment project investment projects are profitable
• Individuals may also be discouraged from borrowing
opportunity costs of savings increase falls � Fall in I and C� might offset effectiveness of expansionary FP AD3 instead of AD2.
Key Assumption: Increase in Gov expenditure from the same source of private lending institution reserves/savings from previous budget
Crowding Effect: An evaluation to the use of Expansionary Fiscal Policy
Government spending if financed by borrowing � competition for loans upward pressure on i/r � increase i/r from R1 to R2 �
cost of borrowing > expected yielf of the investment project investment projects are profitable ��volume of investments falls from Q1 to Q2
scouraged from borrowing � returns to savings are higher opportunity costs of savings increase � consumption expenditure on goods bought on credit
might offset �G � AD falls from AD2 to AD3 effectiveness of expansionary FP � Hence total net effect of Increase G = AD1 increase to
Key Assumption: Increase in Gov expenditure ���� needs to be financed by borrowingfrom the same source of private lending institution ���� and/or government has no past
revious budget year surpluses.
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�� dd for loans raises the cost of
cost of borrowing > expected yielf of the investment project � fewer from Q1 to Q2
returns to savings are higher � consumption expenditure on goods bought on credit
AD falls from AD2 to AD3 � limits the l net effect of Increase G = AD1 increase to
borrowing and/or government has no past