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Mittal Steel South Africa Limited
Interim Financial Results for the 6 months ended June 2006
introduction Davinder Chugh
3
Overview
• Half year earnings of R1 912m
• Lower average international and domestic steel prices
• Significant cost increases on major input materials
• Liquid steel production down by 5%
• Earnings per share of 429c down 41% on H1’05 but up 3% on H2’05
• Domestic despatches up 22%
• Improved safety performance
• Remain committed to capacity expansion programme
Q2’06 earnings up 80% on Q1’06
market and operations Davinder Chugh
5
Key Result Drivers
H1’06 vs H1’05
Strong local sales countered slowdown in prices
H1’06 vs H2’05
* Rolling 12 months
Labour productivity* +5%+10%
Weighted average Rand HRC price (17%)+2%
Total sales volume +7%+1%
Movement in average ZAR/US$ (2%)+3%
HRC & Billet Rand cash cost per tonne +10%+4%
Weighted average US$ HRC price (18%)+6%
6
Global Environment - Export Prices
1994100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Expo
rt p
rices
(c&
f) U
S$/t
HRC Low carbon wire rod
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Prices remained above historical trends, though off peak
2006
7
Global Environment - Market Trends
• Prices revived in 2006 and continue to increase
• World economic growth expected to remain positive at 4.9% (IMF)
• Global consolidation received new impetus with the Arcelor S.A. and MittalSteel Company N.V. merger
• Steelmakers’ input costs remain high & will continue to support prices
• Chinese economy still growing at high rate (10%)
International steel markets remain strong
8
Global Environment - Chinese Market Trends
• China a net exporter of finished steel products in H1’06• Trend likely to continue in H2’06• In 2005 China accounted for
- 31% of world steel production - Per capita consumption now 35% above world average
ExportImport
China continues its net exporter status in 2006
Mill
ion
tonn
es
Chinese import/export tonnes 1998 - 2006
0
10
20
30
40
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006(e)
Source: ISSB & Mittal Steel South Africa
9
Global Environment - Benchmark Prices
Margins remain under pressure due to increased input costs
Global input costB
ased
to 1
00
Coking coal Iron ore
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Dec-01 Jun-02 Dec-02 Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06
10Raw materials continue to exert upward pressure on cost
+30%
+19%
Freight rates
Scrap prices
Zinc prices
+19%Iron ore fines
Commodity
Hard coking coal
(1%)
+1%
+88%
(8%)
(33%)
+114%
(5%)
Global Environment - Input Cost Trends
H1’06 vs H2’05 H1’06 vs H1’05
11
Input Cost Positioning
-
-
63%
5%*
-
-
Imported
100%
100%
25%
-
36%
-
Domestic supply
agreements
-
-
12%
95%
64%
100%
Backward integrated
1 072Coke (Metallurgical)
895Scrap
1 044Other coal & anthracite
365Coking coal (Market)
1 406Coking coal (Metallurgical)
4 513Iron ore (Lump, Fine & DRI)
Tonnes ‘000
Coal remains the biggest exposure
Pellets* 263 100%- -
Six months to June 2006
* Imported for Saldanha Steel
12
7%
14%
8%
3%
60%8%
Cost Developments
H1’05
7%
7%
9%
3%
57%
17%
H1’06
CoalIron ore Scrap/DRI Alloys/Coating Refractories Other
Raw materials constitute 43% of cash cost
13
Domestic Environment – Despatches
SA steel industry local despatches up 24% on H1’05
’000
tonn
es
FlatSource: SAISI
Long1970 1976 1982 1988 1994 2000 2006(e)
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
5500
14
Domestic Environment – Inventory Levels
No evidence of inventory buildup
Act
ual l
evel
(’00
0t)
Inventory levelSource: SAISI
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Inventory levels outside the primary steel producers
Week’s despatches
Wee
k’s
desp
atch
es
2004 2005500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
15
Domestic Environment – Imports
Although increasing trend, imports remain relatively low
% o
f loc
al s
ales
% of local salesSource: SAISI
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003Imports
’000
tonn
es
2004 20051%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
15
25
35
45
55
65
75
85
95
16
Key Performance Indicators
H1’06
Continued focus on cost and local market
H1’05 H2’05
325- US$/t 300 303
2 571Revenue per head (R’000) 2 282 2 321
1 413Employees per million tonnes produced 1 489 1 487
2 045HRC & Billet cash cost - R/t 1 859 1 972
Local sales as % of total sales 66%58% 54%
17
Liquid Steel Production Volumes
Production interruptions during Q1’06 reduced output
‘000
tonn
es
H1’05 H2’05 H1’06
1986
616
1105
3707
1837
628
1089
3554
1863
570
1100
3533
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Vanderbijlpark Saldanha Long Products Total
18
Shipment Volumes
Despite production interruptions, sales improved by 7%
1520
Vanderbijlpark Saldanha Long Products Total
’000
tonn
es 1603 1677
547 613 540
966 981 1015
30333197 3232
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
H1'05 H2'05 H1'06 H1'05 H2'05 H1'06 H1'05 H2'05 H1'06 H1'05 H2'05 H1'06
19
Mittal Steel South Africa - Geographic Sales
Focus will remain on Africa
H1’05 H2’05 H1’06
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Oceania
Europe
Asia
Americas
Total Africa
Rest of Africa
South Africa
20
Investment Programme
1 700Relines
3 000Value adding projects
1 000Maintain capability
700Environmental related projects
1 568Completed in 2005
Rm
Investment plan on track
Completed in 2006 YTD 545
2006 to 2009
21
Safety Remains our Priority
Improved safety performance
Dis
ablin
g in
jury
freq
uenc
y ra
te (D
IFR
)
Disabling injuries per million man hours worked(employees & contractors)
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
H1'04 H2'04 H1'05 H2'05 H1'06
• 21% improvement in DIFR
• 1.8m man hours without disabling injury at Vanderbijlpark
• 1.0m man hours without disabling injury at Newcastle
• Saldanha Steel ranked amongst the world’s best
finance Kobus Verster
23
Headline Earnings
H1’06H2’05Rm
Earnings up 3% on previous six months
* After tax
H1’05
302286- in US$m 5211 912 1 858Headline earnings 3 221
19 120Equity earnings* 157
2 2Income from investments 3
14776Financing cost - net intst income 66
2 202 2 813Net operating profit 4 053476 (42)Gains & losses on forex & financial instruments 287
(908)(1 001)Tax (1 326)
(26)(110)- imputed intst on non-current prov (30)
12 132 11 910Revenue 12 386
Goodwill impairment 11
24
Comparable Headline Earnings Trend
Earnings remain healthy and off recent low
Rm
2003 2004 2005 2006
657 596
352
655 669
1393
1575
1422
15781643
987871
684
1228
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
25
Operating Profit
H1’06H1’05Rm
Lower but robust profitability
24(43)Corporate & others 9
62159Coke & Chemicals 142
2 2024 053Total 2 813
1 1812 812Flat steel 1 679
H2’05
9351 125Long steel 983
26
Cash Flow
(784)(1 501)Tax
963Investment income
837310Net cash flow
5 9694 249Net cash
(624)
153
(606)
(703)
3 305
H1’06
(1 783)Dividends
(493)Capex
(934)Change in working capital
74Net interest income
4 944Cash profits from operations
H1’05Rm
Strong cash flow
(1 466)
40
926
5 137
(1 070)
(1 074)
952
93
3 451
H2’05
27
Financial Ratios
28.622.5Net cash/equity (%)
1937Return on equity (%)*
1.31.5Revenue/invested capital (times)*
2337EBITDA margin (%)
18
H1’06
33Operating margin (%)
H1’05
Ratios still support good investment case
26.3
21
1.5
29
24
H2’05
*Annualised
28
Share Performance
Excellent share performance in both ZAR & US$
Inde
x (D
ec 2
001
= 1)
All Share (ZAR)
MLA (US$)All Share (US$)
0
400
800
1200
1600
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
MLA (ZAR)Source: McGregor BFA
29
Dividend
• Dividend policy
- Distributing one third of headline earnings
• Dividend declared
- Interim dividend of 143 cents per share - 4 September 2006- Dividend covered 3 times by EPS of 429 cents
Rewarding shareholders
other developments Davinder Chugh
31
Competition Tribunal, SARS and Pricing Policy
Competition Tribunal• Final arguments to be heard in November 2006
• Decision probable only next year
SARS BAA dispute• Awaiting SARS response regarding arbitration
Pricing structure• New pricing structure
• Interaction with DTI continues
32
Blast Furnace D Reline
Blast furnace D reline postponed to Q1’07• Initial timeline resulted in increased risk
• Delay may improve competitive contracting
• Interim measures in place to counter risk of extension
Delay of reline should not have a material financial impact
33
Corporate Social Investment
• Mittal Steel South Africa Science and Educational Centre
• Science Unlimited exhibition
• Mittal Steel Science Olympiad
• Sport Development Fund
CSI focus is on education, housing and job creation
34
Merger with Arcelor
• Strong support for merger
- 92% acceptance by Arcelor shareholders
• Unrivalled geographic footprint
• Exposure to technologically advanced products
• Leading position in developed markets in Europe & North America
• High level of vertical integration and unmatched financial flexibility
35
Merger with Arcelor
• Annual synergies of US$1.6bn
- Marketing & trading US$570m- Purchasing US$500m - Manufacturing and process optimisation US$470m
• Combined output of 114mtpa and EBITDA of US$14.5bn
• Leading position in the most attractive markets
- 61 plants- 27 countries
• Reducing cyclicality with geographic & product diversification
Strong industry logic
outlook
37
Outlook for Q3’06
Business environment• Local demand expected to improve further
• International price trends will impact from H2’06
• Stable production environment expected
• Raw material prices continue to influence production cost
• Exchange rate will have an important influence
Earnings• Earnings expected to remain strong in Q3’06
Continuous focus on cost control
Mittal Steel South Africa Limited
Interim Financial Results for the 6 months ended June 2006