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MITIGATING RISKS: READY FOR THE DRILL BIT SIMON POTTER CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER October 2012

MITIGATING RISKS: READY FOR THE DRILL BIT€¦ · correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, th isPresentation which may become apparent. The Information is confidential information

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Page 1: MITIGATING RISKS: READY FOR THE DRILL BIT€¦ · correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, th isPresentation which may become apparent. The Information is confidential information

MITIGATING RISKS: READY FOR THE DRILL BIT

SIMON POTTERCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICEROctober 2012

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Disclaimer

This presentation (“Presentation”) has been prepared by Bahamas Petroleum Company plc (the“Company”) solely for its use at informational meetings with its shareholders and is being delivered forinformation purposes only to a limited number of persons. This Presentation should not be consideredas the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its shareholders, officers or advisers. Ifyou are in any doubt about the contents of this Presentation or the action you should take, you shouldconsult an independent adviser authorised to render such advice.

This Presentation has not been independently verified and is subject to material updating, revision andfurther amendments without notice. The Presentation does not purport to contain all informationthat a member of the Company may wish receive for purposes of assessment or valuation of his respectiveinvestment and is not intended to form the basis of any investment decision.

While the information contained herein has been prepared in good faith, neither the Company nor itsshareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees, or advisors give, has given or has authority togive, any representations or warranties (express or implied) as to the achievement or reasonablenessof future projections, management targets, estimates, prospects or returns contained in thispresentation, or in relation to, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information in thisPresentation, or any revision thereof, or of any other written or oral information made or to be madeavailable to any shareholder of the Company (all such information being referred to as “Information”).

The Presentation is not an offer or invitation by the Company, its shareholders, directors, officers,agents, employees, or advisors to purchase, acquire or sell securities or assets, nor any form ofcommitment, legal obligation or recommendation by either the Company, its shareholders, directors,officers, agents, employees, or advisors.

So far as permitted by law, neither the Company nor any of its shareholders, directors, officers,agents, employees or advisers (including the Agents) take any responsibility for, or will accept anyliability in respect of, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Information or for any loss,howsoever arising from the use of this Presentation. In furnishing this Presentation, the Company doesnot undertake any obligation to provide any additional information or to update this Presentation or tocorrect any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, this Presentation which may become apparent.

The Information is confidential information and the property of the Company. It is made availablestrictly for the purposes referred to above. The Information and any further confidential informationmade available to any recipient must be held in complete confidence and documents containing suchinformation may not be reproduced directly or indirectly, used or disclosed without the prior writtenconsent of the Company. By accepting delivery of this Presentation, the recipient agrees to return it atthe request of the Company.

This presentation contains certain statements which may constitute forward-looking statements. Allstatements in this presentation, other than statements of historical facts, that address future activitiesand events of developments that the Company expects, are forward-looking statements. Although theCompany believes that the expectations reflected in these statements are based on reasonableassumptions, such statements are only predictions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertaintiesand changes in the underlying assumptions which could cause actual values, results, performance orachievements to differ materially from those expressed, implied or projected in any forward-lookingstatements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in forward-looking

statements include market prices, continued availability of capital and financing, and generaleconomic, market or business conditions. Investors are cautioned that any such statements are notguarantees of future performance and that actual results or developments may differ materially fromthose projected in forward-looking statements.

The Company will not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events, circumstances or unanticipated events occurring after the dateof this Presentation, except as required by law or by any appropriate regulatory authority. Nothing inthis Presentation or in documents referred to in it should be considered as a profit forecast. Pastperformance of the Company or its shares cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance.

This Presentation does not constitute, or form part of or contain any offer or invitation to sell or issue,or any offer to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, or dispose of, any securities in theCompany in any jurisdiction and is directed at, and is only for distribution to existing shareholders ofthe Company. Neither this Presentation nor any part of or copy of it may be taken or transmitted,directly or indirectly, into the United States of America or Canada or distributed or re-distributeddirectly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions, or Canada, or toany resident thereof except in compliance with applicable securities laws. Any failure to comply withthese restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable U.S. or Canadian securities laws. ThisPresentation and the information contained herein do not constitute an offer of securities for sale inthe United States. By accepting this Presentation, the recipient represents and warrants that it is aperson to whom this Presentation may be delivered or distributed without a violation of the laws ofany relevant jurisdiction. This Presentation is not to be disclosed to any other person or used for anyother purpose and any other person who receives this Presentation should not rely or act upon it.

The delivery or distribution of this Presentation in or to persons in certain jurisdictions may berestricted by law and persons into whose possession this Presentation comes should inform themselvesabout, and observe, any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitutea violation of the laws of the relevant jurisdiction.

By attending the meeting where this Presentation is made, or by reading the Presentation slides, youagree to be bound by these provisions.

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Investment Highlights

Multiple play-types with scale potential – proven Cuba fold belt/thrust sheet plays – drilling now

CPR highlights multiple billion barrel prospects (only Cretaceous level assessed) average CoS 25%

Fiscal terms provide upside returns – management team with strong track record of value creation

Value realisation by material participation through funded well execution

Technical

3D interpretation;

DHI work ongoing

Well Plan drafted

Political

Election Process; revised/refreshed mandate

Licence status

Referendum

Commercial

Well funded

BDR Listing

Aggressively pursuing farmout plans

Negotiations ongoing

Environmental

EIA submitted; Public Consultation

Oil Spill Management Plan; EMP

Revised regulatory environment

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Late Cretaceous and Early Tertiary Compression

Middle Oligocene to Miocene (25‐22Myrs)

Cuban Marginal area Southern Bahamas areaCuban arc

Late Cretaceous Paleocene?

Proto‐Caribbean oceanic crust

Forbulge

Regional uplift Platform exposure

Transitional to continental crust

Paleocene Early Eocene?

Forbulge

Flexural drowning

Bahamas

Platform folding

North Cuba

Early Eocene Middle Eocene?

Middle Eocene Pliocene‐PleistoceneMasaferro (1997)

Late Cret.‐ Paleocene(70‐50Myrs)

Early to Middle Eocene (45‐40Myrs)

Middle Eocene to Late Oligocene (40‐30Myrs)

3

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Anticipated BPC well location Doubloon Saxon location (approx) Zarubezhneft November spud

Repsol P&A Petronas P&A PDVSA currently drilling✜ Anticipated well locations

✜✜

Regional Setting

• Region has discovered nearly 100 billion bbloil and 500 tcf gas

• Nearly 4mm acres under license equivalent to 672 OCS lease blocks

• Geology considerably different than U.S. Gulf of Mexico

• 5 wells in Bahamas ‐ 1987 Doubloon Saxon

4

DS 1

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Cuban Overthrust and Foredeep

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➜ Cretaceous reef/platform imaging is significantly improved. Better imaging of the deeper section

➜ Pronounced dip to the south-west; thicker Jurassic (source); opens migration pathway to beneath Cuban ramp; increased potential fetch area

➜ Records the evolution from hypersaline basin to platform basin morphology

Platform Margin Bahamian Foreland

Cuban Border Nassau Trend A Fold B Fold C

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Top Cretaceous Structure

7

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10 Kms

Fold B

Fold C

Trend A

Top Cretaceous Structure

TopVertical closure

Area

Fold B700m750m423 km2

(104,526 acres)

Fold C950m350m63 km2

(15,814 acres)

TopVertical closure

Area

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Fold B

Fold C

Trend A

Top Albian Structure

10 Kms

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10 Kms

Fold B

Fold C

Trend A

Top Aptian Structure

TopVertical closure

Area

Fold B2400m1400m288 km2

(71,166 acres)

Fold C3250m750m63 km2

(15,814 acres)

TopVertical closure

Area

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Progressive 3D De-risking

Fractured carbonate

Anhydrite

Shale

More porous carbonate

Less porous carbonate

Badhole

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LKUJr Anhydrite ‐Dolomite

LK/Ujr Anhydrite?

NE

Callovian

Tertiary Pelagics

Upper Cretateous Pelagics

Est 22,500 sstvd

12

SW

3D line Through Fold B - Perseverance 1 Location

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Perseverance - 1

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Environmental Context

Provision of Regulations Cross border co-operation and coordination Public consultation Coordinated response

EIA

Submitted October

BEST dialogue complete January

Public consultation

EMP

OSMP

Well location and rig specific

Cuba

CCA

Regulations

Statute

Law

Enabling Regulations

International Standards and Codes

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% of oil released making shoreline, remainder either evaporated or biodegraded2,556 individual spills lasting 60 days tracked for 90 days; no intervention

Environment: Oil Spill Movement Simulation

15

Location Surface15 mbopd

Seabed10 mbopd

Seabed20 mbopd

Eastern US 0.05 0.03 0.02

Southeast Florida

0.09 0.04 0.03

Florida Keys 0.04 0.02 0.01

Western Bahamas

0.07 0.14 0.29

Eastern Bahamas

0.16 0.12 0.11

Northern Cuba 46.44 34.98 27.26

Bahamian MPA’s 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total 46.9 35.3 27.7

• simulated release site

Sophisticated model incorporating ocean currents, wind and oil properties An uncontained, GoM-type spill – very minor landfall impact on Bahamas Trans border planning and response will be important

Ocean State Bathymetry

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Bahamas Royalty Income

Phased Development - 2 billion barrels of oil - conceptual

Year

$MM

Annual Production Company Challenges: Subsea development with FPSO Environmental aspects Limited reservoir specific information Geologic complexity/oil quality

Government Challenges: Converting resource use into sustainable

economic development

Benefits to The Bahamas:

Long term direct source of revenue

Enhanced indirect revenue

Potential for direct and indirect employment

Diversification/Rebasing of the economy

Social development

16

256

220

182

146

120

72

36Mill

ions

bbl

s/yr

Annual

Cumulative

1   2   3  4  5  6  7   8  9  10  

Assumed:• $100/bbl oil price• 2 bn bbls development• Initial well rates, acre

spacing, vertical trajectory, recovery, oil type and quality

• Licence royalty (~25%)• Undiscounted

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Commercial Issues - 2012 Funding

Current sources US$m

Cash as at 1/1/12 35.0

Cash Raise -

TOTAL SOURCES 1 35.01 Additional sources expected from farm in

Sources Uses (Estimated – calendar year 2012)

Operating expenditures US$m

2D Seismic 1.5

3D Seismic Processing 6.5

Other Technical Projects 1.0

Technical staffing/Consulting 1 0.5

Licence Related Costs 1.3

2012 Non-recurring costs 2 0.5

Sub-Total 11.3

Corporate Costs 2012 5.0

TOTAL USES 16.3

1 Including preparation for drilling2 Personnel, BISX Listing and Legal costs

Note: BPC is debt free

˃ Farm-in negotiations ongoing

˃ Drilling program to be funded from new sources (Farm-in vs Placing)

˃ Resultant net cash balance end 2012 assuming estimated uses ~US$19 million before any new sources

˃ BDR Listing BISX 4Q 2012

˃ Referendum Process and Timing

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Timeline: Company Planning

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4Q133Q132Q131Q134Q123Q121Q124Q113Q11 2Q12 3 Years

Corporate Objectives• A well safely executed to 2,000’ into Jurassic source• Shallower objectives as justified commercially• Facilitate the drilling of a well• Address funding, environment and permissions• Delay not in the interests of shareholders but realisable

SEISMIC

2Q11

ENVIRONMENT

DRILLING

2D

3D

EMP

Well FEED

Long Lead

Farm-in BDR COMMERCIAL

Acquired Fast track Interpretation

Potential well sites 3D PSDM Interpretation

Sites Defined

Farm-in

Consultation

Consultation?

Spill Study

Multi-beam

Renewal Licence Obligation

Submitted

Clean Caribbean & Americas

Spill Plan

Potential well sites

Enabling Regulations ?

EIA

Repsol

Zarubezhneft

Petronas PDVSA? ONGC?CubanDrilling

Repsol??

Long Lead

Referendum disclosed

Detailed well design